Historical FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecasts: historical-senate-predictions.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
34 rows where result = "Lose"
This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)
Suggested facets: year, forecast_prob
Link | rowid ▼ | state | year | candidate | forecast_prob | result | winflag |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Alabama | 2008 | Figures | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
6 | 6 | Alaska | 2008 | Stevens | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
7 | 7 | Alaska | 2010 | Miller | 0.71 | Lose | 0 |
20 | 20 | Colorado | 2008 | Schaeffer | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
28 | 28 | Delaware | 2008 | O'Connell | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
39 | 39 | Georgia | 2008 | Martin | 0.12 | Lose | 0 |
47 | 47 | Idaho | 2008 | LaRocco | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
51 | 51 | Illinois | 2008 | Sauerberg | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
59 | 59 | Iowa | 2008 | Reed | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
63 | 63 | Kansas | 2008 | Slattery | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
67 | 67 | Kentucky | 2008 | Lunsford | 0.08 | Lose | 0 |
71 | 71 | Louisiana | 2008 | Kennedy | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
75 | 75 | Maine | 2008 | Allen | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
84 | 84 | Massachusetts | 2008 | Beatty | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
88 | 88 | Michigan | 2008 | Hoogendyk | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
92 | 92 | Minnesota | 2008 | Coleman | 0.48 | Lose | 0 |
96 | 96 | Mississippi | 2008 | Fleming | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
100 | 100 | Mississippi (special election) | 2008 | Musgrove | 0.06 | Lose | 0 |
106 | 106 | Montana | 2008 | Kelleher | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
110 | 110 | Nebraska | 2008 | Kleeb | 0.01 | Lose | 0 |
118 | 118 | New Hampshire | 2008 | Sununu | 0.01 | Lose | 0 |
122 | 122 | New Jersey | 2008 | Zimmer | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
126 | 126 | New Mexico | 2008 | Pearce | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
136 | 136 | North Carolina | 2008 | Dole | 0.12 | Lose | 0 |
148 | 148 | Oklahoma | 2008 | Rice | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
152 | 152 | Oregon | 2008 | Smith | 0.08 | Lose | 0 |
160 | 160 | Rhode Island | 2008 | Tingle | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
164 | 164 | South Carolina | 2008 | Conley | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
168 | 168 | South Dakota | 2008 | Dykstra | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
171 | 171 | Tennessee | 2008 | Tuke | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
175 | 175 | Texas | 2008 | Noriega | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
187 | 187 | Virginia | 2008 | Gilmore | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
203 | 203 | Wyoming | 2008 | Rothfuss | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
207 | 207 | Wyoming (special election) | 2008 | Carter | 0.0 | Lose | 0 |
Advanced export
JSON shape: default, array, newline-delimited
CREATE TABLE "forecast-methodology/historical-senate-predictions" ( "state" TEXT, "year" INTEGER, "candidate" TEXT, "forecast_prob" REAL, "result" TEXT, "winflag" INTEGER );