Forecast Review: forecast_results_2018.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
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Link | rowid ▼ | cycle | branch | race | forecastdate | version | Democrat_WinProbability | Republican_WinProbability | category | Democrat_Won | Republican_Won | uncalled |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
101 | 101 | 2018 | House | CA-49 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.95999998 | 0.039999999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
102 | 102 | 2018 | House | CA-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99989998 | 9.9999997e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
103 | 103 | 2018 | House | CA-50 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.22188 | 0.77811998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
104 | 104 | 2018 | House | CA-51 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
105 | 105 | 2018 | House | CA-52 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99949998 | 0.00050000002 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
106 | 106 | 2018 | House | CA-53 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99993998 | 5.9999998e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
107 | 107 | 2018 | House | CA-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
108 | 108 | 2018 | House | CA-7 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99501997 | 0.0049800002 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
109 | 109 | 2018 | House | CA-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
110 | 110 | 2018 | House | CA-9 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99944001 | 0.00056000001 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
111 | 111 | 2018 | House | CO-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
112 | 112 | 2018 | House | CO-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99948001 | 0.00052 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
113 | 113 | 2018 | House | CO-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.19786 | 0.80214 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
114 | 114 | 2018 | House | CO-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.041639999 | 0.95836002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
115 | 115 | 2018 | House | CO-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.022159999 | 0.97784001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
116 | 116 | 2018 | House | CO-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.88753998 | 0.11246 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
117 | 117 | 2018 | House | CO-7 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99934 | 0.00066000002 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
118 | 118 | 2018 | House | CT-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99989998 | 9.9999997e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
119 | 119 | 2018 | House | CT-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99975997 | 0.00023999999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
120 | 120 | 2018 | House | CT-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99992001 | 7.9999998e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
121 | 121 | 2018 | House | CT-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99981999 | 0.00018 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
122 | 122 | 2018 | House | CT-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.97482002 | 0.025180001 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
123 | 123 | 2018 | House | DE-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99776 | 0.0022400001 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
124 | 124 | 2018 | House | FL-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.9999999e-05 | 0.99997997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
125 | 125 | 2018 | House | FL-10 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
126 | 126 | 2018 | House | FL-11 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00038000001 | 0.99962002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
127 | 127 | 2018 | House | FL-12 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0046999999 | 0.99529999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
128 | 128 | 2018 | House | FL-13 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99849999 | 0.0015 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
129 | 129 | 2018 | House | FL-14 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
130 | 130 | 2018 | House | FL-15 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.42084 | 0.57915998 | Tossup (Tilt R) | 0 | 1 | 0 |
131 | 131 | 2018 | House | FL-16 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.14139999 | 0.85860002 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
132 | 132 | 2018 | House | FL-17 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00132 | 0.99868 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
133 | 133 | 2018 | House | FL-18 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0867 | 0.91329998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
134 | 134 | 2018 | House | FL-19 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0090800002 | 0.99092001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
135 | 135 | 2018 | House | FL-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00022 | 0.99978 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
136 | 136 | 2018 | House | FL-20 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
137 | 137 | 2018 | House | FL-21 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
138 | 138 | 2018 | House | FL-22 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99962002 | 0.00038000001 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
139 | 139 | 2018 | House | FL-23 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99974 | 0.00026 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
140 | 140 | 2018 | House | FL-24 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
141 | 141 | 2018 | House | FL-25 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.27827999 | 0.72171998 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
142 | 142 | 2018 | House | FL-26 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.55849999 | 0.44150001 | Tossup (Tilt D) | 1 | 0 | 0 |
143 | 143 | 2018 | House | FL-27 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.84824002 | 0.15176 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
144 | 144 | 2018 | House | FL-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0131 | 0.98689997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
145 | 145 | 2018 | House | FL-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 7.9999998e-05 | 0.99992001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
146 | 146 | 2018 | House | FL-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99997997 | 1.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
147 | 147 | 2018 | House | FL-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.26653999 | 0.73346001 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
148 | 148 | 2018 | House | FL-7 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.94852 | 0.051479999 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
149 | 149 | 2018 | House | FL-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0074800001 | 0.99251997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
150 | 150 | 2018 | House | FL-9 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.98531997 | 0.01468 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
151 | 151 | 2018 | House | GA-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00144 | 0.99856001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
152 | 152 | 2018 | House | GA-10 | 11/6/18 | classic | 3.9999999e-05 | 0.99996001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
153 | 153 | 2018 | House | GA-11 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00016 | 0.99984002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
154 | 154 | 2018 | House | GA-12 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.01248 | 0.98751998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
155 | 155 | 2018 | House | GA-13 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99997997 | 1.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
156 | 156 | 2018 | House | GA-14 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
157 | 157 | 2018 | House | GA-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99985999 | 0.00014 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
158 | 158 | 2018 | House | GA-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 7.9999998e-05 | 0.99992001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
159 | 159 | 2018 | House | GA-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99997997 | 1.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
160 | 160 | 2018 | House | GA-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
161 | 161 | 2018 | House | GA-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.49142 | 0.50858003 | Tossup (Tilt R) | 1 | 0 | 0 |
162 | 162 | 2018 | House | GA-7 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.16351999 | 0.83648002 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
163 | 163 | 2018 | House | GA-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
164 | 164 | 2018 | House | GA-9 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
165 | 165 | 2018 | House | HI-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99996001 | 3.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
166 | 166 | 2018 | House | HI-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
167 | 167 | 2018 | House | IA-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.95529997 | 0.0447 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
168 | 168 | 2018 | House | IA-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.98809999 | 0.0119 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
169 | 169 | 2018 | House | IA-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.70248002 | 0.29752001 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
170 | 170 | 2018 | House | IA-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.14334001 | 0.85666001 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
171 | 171 | 2018 | House | ID-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0059600002 | 0.99404001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
172 | 172 | 2018 | House | ID-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00068 | 0.99931997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
173 | 173 | 2018 | House | IL-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
174 | 174 | 2018 | House | IL-10 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99981999 | 0.00018 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
175 | 175 | 2018 | House | IL-11 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99988002 | 0.00012 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
176 | 176 | 2018 | House | IL-12 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.28222001 | 0.71777999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
177 | 177 | 2018 | House | IL-13 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.28378001 | 0.71622002 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
178 | 178 | 2018 | House | IL-14 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.69436002 | 0.30564001 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
179 | 179 | 2018 | House | IL-15 | 11/6/18 | classic | 7.9999998e-05 | 0.99992001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
180 | 180 | 2018 | House | IL-16 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0090800002 | 0.99092001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
181 | 181 | 2018 | House | IL-17 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99980003 | 0.00019999999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
182 | 182 | 2018 | House | IL-18 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00012 | 0.99988002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
183 | 183 | 2018 | House | IL-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
184 | 184 | 2018 | House | IL-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99993998 | 5.9999998e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
185 | 185 | 2018 | House | IL-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
186 | 186 | 2018 | House | IL-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
187 | 187 | 2018 | House | IL-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.48602 | 0.51397997 | Tossup (Tilt R) | 1 | 0 | 0 |
188 | 188 | 2018 | House | IL-7 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
189 | 189 | 2018 | House | IL-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99988002 | 0.00012 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
190 | 190 | 2018 | House | IL-9 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99997997 | 1.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
191 | 191 | 2018 | House | IN-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99997997 | 1.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
192 | 192 | 2018 | House | IN-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.039239999 | 0.96076 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
193 | 193 | 2018 | House | IN-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0024000001 | 0.99760002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
194 | 194 | 2018 | House | IN-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00134 | 0.99866003 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
195 | 195 | 2018 | House | IN-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.03616 | 0.96384001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
196 | 196 | 2018 | House | IN-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00046000001 | 0.99953997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
197 | 197 | 2018 | House | IN-7 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
198 | 198 | 2018 | House | IN-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00324 | 0.99676001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
199 | 199 | 2018 | House | IN-9 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.16684 | 0.83315998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
200 | 200 | 2018 | House | KS-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00126 | 0.99874002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
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CREATE TABLE "forecast-review/forecast_results_2018" ( "cycle" INTEGER, "branch" TEXT, "race" TEXT, "forecastdate" TEXT, "version" TEXT, "Democrat_WinProbability" REAL, "Republican_WinProbability" REAL, "category" TEXT, "Democrat_Won" INTEGER, "Republican_Won" INTEGER, "uncalled" INTEGER );