Forecast Review: forecast_results_2018.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
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Link | rowid ▼ | cycle | branch | race | forecastdate | version | Democrat_WinProbability | Republican_WinProbability | category | Democrat_Won | Republican_Won | uncalled |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
201 | 201 | 2018 | House | KS-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.61754 | 0.38246 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
202 | 202 | 2018 | House | KS-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.84994 | 0.15006 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
203 | 203 | 2018 | House | KS-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00648 | 0.99352002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
204 | 204 | 2018 | House | KY-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 3.9999999e-05 | 0.99996001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
205 | 205 | 2018 | House | KY-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00066000002 | 0.99934 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
206 | 206 | 2018 | House | KY-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99875998 | 0.00124 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
207 | 207 | 2018 | House | KY-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00046000001 | 0.99953997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
208 | 208 | 2018 | House | KY-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
209 | 209 | 2018 | House | KY-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.45743999 | 0.54255998 | Tossup (Tilt R) | 0 | 1 | 0 |
210 | 210 | 2018 | House | LA-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
211 | 211 | 2018 | House | LA-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
212 | 212 | 2018 | House | LA-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00039999999 | 0.99959999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
213 | 213 | 2018 | House | LA-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00057999999 | 0.99941999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
214 | 214 | 2018 | House | LA-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00022 | 0.99978 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
215 | 215 | 2018 | House | LA-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 5.9999998e-05 | 0.99993998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
216 | 216 | 2018 | House | MA-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
217 | 217 | 2018 | House | MA-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
218 | 218 | 2018 | House | MA-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99958003 | 0.00042 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
219 | 219 | 2018 | House | MA-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
220 | 220 | 2018 | House | MA-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
221 | 221 | 2018 | House | MA-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99996001 | 3.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
222 | 222 | 2018 | House | MA-7 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
223 | 223 | 2018 | House | MA-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
224 | 224 | 2018 | House | MA-9 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99738002 | 0.0026199999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
225 | 225 | 2018 | House | MD-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0091000004 | 0.99089998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
226 | 226 | 2018 | House | MD-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99993998 | 5.9999998e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
227 | 227 | 2018 | House | MD-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99996001 | 3.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
228 | 228 | 2018 | House | MD-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
229 | 229 | 2018 | House | MD-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99997997 | 1.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
230 | 230 | 2018 | House | MD-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99419999 | 0.0057999999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
231 | 231 | 2018 | House | MD-7 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
232 | 232 | 2018 | House | MD-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
233 | 233 | 2018 | House | ME-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99944001 | 0.00056000001 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
234 | 234 | 2018 | House | ME-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.63422 | 0.36578 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
235 | 235 | 2018 | House | MI-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.075300001 | 0.92470002 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
236 | 236 | 2018 | House | MI-10 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00106 | 0.99893999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
237 | 237 | 2018 | House | MI-11 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.79229999 | 0.2077 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
238 | 238 | 2018 | House | MI-12 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
239 | 239 | 2018 | House | MI-13 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
240 | 240 | 2018 | House | MI-14 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
241 | 241 | 2018 | House | MI-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.06168 | 0.93831998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
242 | 242 | 2018 | House | MI-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.019200001 | 0.98079997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
243 | 243 | 2018 | House | MI-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0017199999 | 0.99827999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
244 | 244 | 2018 | House | MI-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99975997 | 0.00023999999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
245 | 245 | 2018 | House | MI-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.22482 | 0.77517998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
246 | 246 | 2018 | House | MI-7 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.41494 | 0.58506 | Tossup (Tilt R) | 0 | 1 | 0 |
247 | 247 | 2018 | House | MI-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.66898 | 0.33102 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
248 | 248 | 2018 | House | MI-9 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99643999 | 0.0035600001 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
249 | 249 | 2018 | House | MN-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.55831999 | 0.44168001 | Tossup (Tilt D) | 0 | 1 | 0 |
250 | 250 | 2018 | House | MN-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.86404002 | 0.13596 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
251 | 251 | 2018 | House | MN-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.84921998 | 0.15075999 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
252 | 252 | 2018 | House | MN-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99996001 | 3.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
253 | 253 | 2018 | House | MN-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
254 | 254 | 2018 | House | MN-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00104 | 0.99896002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
255 | 255 | 2018 | House | MN-7 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.93393999 | 0.066059999 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
256 | 256 | 2018 | House | MN-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.19322 | 0.80677998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
257 | 257 | 2018 | House | MO-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
258 | 258 | 2018 | House | MO-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.16237999 | 0.83762002 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
259 | 259 | 2018 | House | MO-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.9999999e-05 | 0.99997997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
260 | 260 | 2018 | House | MO-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00046000001 | 0.99953997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
261 | 261 | 2018 | House | MO-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99927998 | 0.00072000001 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
262 | 262 | 2018 | House | MO-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00023999999 | 0.99975997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
263 | 263 | 2018 | House | MO-7 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.9999999e-05 | 0.99997997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
264 | 264 | 2018 | House | MO-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 3.9999999e-05 | 0.99996001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
265 | 265 | 2018 | House | MS-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00060000003 | 0.99940002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
266 | 266 | 2018 | House | MS-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
267 | 267 | 2018 | House | MS-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0035999999 | 0.9964 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
268 | 268 | 2018 | House | MS-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0048600002 | 0.99514002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
269 | 269 | 2018 | House | MT-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.24448 | 0.75551999 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
270 | 270 | 2018 | House | NC-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
271 | 271 | 2018 | House | NC-10 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00202 | 0.99798 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
272 | 272 | 2018 | House | NC-11 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00284 | 0.99716002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
273 | 273 | 2018 | House | NC-12 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
274 | 274 | 2018 | House | NC-13 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.38688001 | 0.61312002 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
275 | 275 | 2018 | House | NC-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.15254 | 0.84745997 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
276 | 276 | 2018 | House | NC-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
277 | 277 | 2018 | House | NC-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99997997 | 1.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
278 | 278 | 2018 | House | NC-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.03822 | 0.96178001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
279 | 279 | 2018 | House | NC-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.13410001 | 0.86589998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
280 | 280 | 2018 | House | NC-7 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.18684 | 0.81316 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
281 | 281 | 2018 | House | NC-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.12352 | 0.87647998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
282 | 282 | 2018 | House | NC-9 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.47608 | 0.52392 | Tossup (Tilt R) | 0 | 1 | 1 |
283 | 283 | 2018 | House | ND-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00154 | 0.99845999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
284 | 284 | 2018 | House | NE-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0024999999 | 0.9975 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
285 | 285 | 2018 | House | NE-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.41944 | 0.58056003 | Tossup (Tilt R) | 0 | 1 | 0 |
286 | 286 | 2018 | House | NE-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 3.9999999e-05 | 0.99996001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
287 | 287 | 2018 | House | NH-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.89209998 | 0.1079 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
288 | 288 | 2018 | House | NH-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99633998 | 0.0036599999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
289 | 289 | 2018 | House | NJ-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99996001 | 3.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
290 | 290 | 2018 | House | NJ-10 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
291 | 291 | 2018 | House | NJ-11 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.85364002 | 0.14636 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
292 | 292 | 2018 | House | NJ-12 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
293 | 293 | 2018 | House | NJ-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.97994 | 0.020059999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
294 | 294 | 2018 | House | NJ-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.54856002 | 0.45144001 | Tossup (Tilt D) | 1 | 0 | 0 |
295 | 295 | 2018 | House | NJ-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.069239996 | 0.93076003 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
296 | 296 | 2018 | House | NJ-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.98563999 | 0.01436 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
297 | 297 | 2018 | House | NJ-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99989998 | 9.9999997e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
298 | 298 | 2018 | House | NJ-7 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.78252 | 0.21748 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
299 | 299 | 2018 | House | NJ-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
300 | 300 | 2018 | House | NJ-9 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99996001 | 3.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
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CREATE TABLE "forecast-review/forecast_results_2018" ( "cycle" INTEGER, "branch" TEXT, "race" TEXT, "forecastdate" TEXT, "version" TEXT, "Democrat_WinProbability" REAL, "Republican_WinProbability" REAL, "category" TEXT, "Democrat_Won" INTEGER, "Republican_Won" INTEGER, "uncalled" INTEGER );