pollster-ratings/2016/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
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Link | rowid ▼ | ID | Pollster | Polls | Live Caller With Cellphones | Internet | NCPP/AAPOR/Roper | Polls.1 | Simple Average Error | Races Called Correctly | Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Banned by 538 | Mean-Reverted Bias |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
101 | 101 | 101 | Market Research Institute, Inc. | 9 | no | no | no | 9 | 2.932221 | 1.0 | -2.360387 | 0.1953846 | B | no | -0.3264102 |
102 | 102 | 102 | Glengariff Group, Inc. | 7 | yes | no | no | 6 | 4.742857 | 0.7142857 | -0.2333356 | 0.1960381 | B | no | -0.0844445 |
103 | 103 | 103 | Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research | 3 | yes | no | no | 3 | 6.046667 | 0.6666667 | -0.8394504 | 0.2021161 | B | no | -0.26 |
104 | 104 | 104 | Tel Opinion Research | 12 | yes | no | no | 10 | 4.71 | 0.9583333 | -0.0232964 | 0.2027316 | B | no | -0.033 |
105 | 105 | 105 | Strategic Vision, LLC | 129 | no | no | no | 106 | 3.977597 | 0.875969 | -0.2980322 | 0.2061248 | F | yes | -1.875662 |
106 | 106 | 106 | Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Corp. | 34 | no | no | yes | 28 | 3.916764 | 0.7205882 | 0.0941152 | 0.2112878 | B | no | -0.4736207 |
107 | 107 | 107 | Louisville Courier-Journal | 10 | no | no | no | 10 | 3.298 | 0.8 | -1.749224 | 0.212694 | B | no | -0.3155 |
108 | 108 | 108 | Vox Populi Communications | 11 | no | no | no | 9 | 4.053637 | 0.7727273 | -1.557624 | 0.2255154 | B | no | -0.045641 |
109 | 109 | 109 | University of Houston | 1 | yes | no | no | 0 | 2.009998 | 1.0 | -6.56673 | 0.240052 | B | no | |
110 | 110 | 110 | Florida International University/Univision | 1 | yes | no | no | 1 | 1.800003 | 1.0 | -5.67379 | 0.240052 | B | no | 0.0580645 |
111 | 111 | 111 | QEV Analytics | 1 | yes | no | no | 0 | 7.299999 | 0.0 | -1.930019 | 0.2423095 | B | no | |
112 | 112 | 112 | Merrill Poll | 2 | yes | no | no | 0 | 8.719999 | 1.0 | -0.7337289 | 0.2449232 | B | no | |
113 | 113 | 113 | Hampton University | 1 | yes | no | no | 1 | 3.48 | 1.0 | -1.758506 | 0.2478422 | B | no | 0.1122581 |
114 | 114 | 114 | Hill Research Consultants | 4 | yes | no | no | 4 | 5.445002 | 0.5 | -0.1437343 | 0.2504257 | B | no | -0.3717647 |
115 | 115 | 115 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 4 | yes | no | no | 4 | 3.222499 | 0.625 | -0.1181453 | 0.2534362 | B | no | 0.3761765 |
116 | 116 | 116 | University of Wisconsin (Badger Poll) | 6 | no | no | yes | 5 | 6.928335 | 0.8333333 | 0.0432181 | 0.2555363 | B | no | 0.1785714 |
117 | 117 | 117 | Financial Dynamics | 15 | no | no | no | 15 | 2.767334 | 1.0 | -1.082405 | 0.2591983 | B | no | -0.6588889 |
118 | 118 | 118 | George Washington University (Battleground) | 32 | yes | no | no | 32 | 3.4775 | 0.5625 | 0.1884734 | 0.2602735 | B | no | -1.000323 |
119 | 119 | 119 | Emerson College | 34 | no | no | yes | 7 | 7.877353 | 0.8382353 | 0.1891719 | 0.2617866 | B | no | -1.336216 |
120 | 120 | 120 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 2 | yes | no | no | 2 | 5.914999 | 0.5 | -0.3674788 | 0.2678138 | B | no | 0.3621875 |
121 | 121 | 121 | Dartmouth College | 2 | yes | no | no | 0 | 9.000001 | 1.0 | -0.3594726 | 0.2683142 | B | no | |
122 | 122 | 122 | Old Dominion University | 1 | yes | no | no | 1 | 4.48 | 1.0 | -0.9814692 | 0.2729079 | B | no | 0.1445161 |
123 | 123 | 123 | Schoen Consulting | 1 | yes | no | no | 1 | 2.269997 | 1.0 | -0.7317172 | 0.2809644 | B- | no | -0.0732258 |
124 | 124 | 124 | Dittman Research | 9 | yes | no | no | 6 | 5.900001 | 1.0 | 0.2394205 | 0.2813456 | B- | no | 1.011111 |
125 | 125 | 125 | Baruch College | 2 | yes | no | no | 0 | 5.664999 | 1.0 | -0.1153156 | 0.283574 | B- | no | |
126 | 126 | 126 | Gallup | 80 | yes | no | yes | 65 | 4.26975 | 0.7125 | 0.6398347 | 0.2952517 | B- | no | -0.8367368 |
127 | 127 | 127 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (Democracy Corps) | 48 | yes | no | no | 47 | 4.389375 | 0.4895833 | 0.2283793 | 0.295334 | B- | no | 2.381169 |
128 | 128 | 128 | Yankelovich Partners, Inc. | 6 | no | no | yes | 3 | 6.990001 | 0.4166667 | 0.2964946 | 0.2977491 | B- | no | -0.1090909 |
129 | 129 | 129 | Belden Russonello | 2 | yes | no | no | 2 | 4.734999 | 1.0 | 0.1887329 | 0.302577 | B- | no | 0.2078125 |
130 | 130 | 130 | Probolsky Research | 1 | yes | no | no | 1 | 4.860001 | 0.0 | 0.3057219 | 0.3144301 | B- | no | -0.1567742 |
131 | 131 | 131 | Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc. | 29 | yes | no | no | 24 | 5.260345 | 0.7931035 | 0.3159967 | 0.3214479 | B- | no | 0.062037 |
132 | 132 | 132 | NPR | 3 | yes | no | no | 3 | 4.98 | 0.1666667 | 0.4934877 | 0.3232923 | B- | no | 0.0878788 |
133 | 133 | 133 | University of Nevada Las Vegas | 1 | yes | no | no | 0 | 8.999998 | 1.0 | 0.855173 | 0.3321544 | B- | no | |
134 | 134 | 134 | CallFire | 4 | yes | no | no | 4 | 3.932501 | 0.75 | 0.5555269 | 0.3326918 | B- | no | -0.4626471 |
135 | 135 | 135 | DFM Research | 5 | yes | no | no | 5 | 6.262 | 0.8 | 0.5289689 | 0.3329139 | B- | no | 0.8945714 |
136 | 136 | 136 | Victoria Research & Consulting | 1 | yes | no | no | 1 | 8.050003 | 0.5 | 1.038904 | 0.3380812 | B- | no | 0.2596774 |
137 | 137 | 137 | Christopher Newport University | 3 | yes | no | no | 3 | 6.789999 | 1.0 | 0.7369769 | 0.3454276 | B- | no | 0.6172727 |
138 | 138 | 138 | Ethridge & Associates, LLC | 6 | no | no | no | 6 | 2.671668 | 0.8333333 | -2.362378 | 0.3466667 | B- | no | -0.1202778 |
139 | 139 | 139 | Clarus Research Group | 3 | yes | no | no | 2 | 6.753332 | 1.0 | 0.812274 | 0.3522728 | B- | no | 0.505625 |
140 | 140 | 140 | Virginia Commonwealth University | 5 | yes | no | no | 5 | 4.898 | 1.0 | 0.7520552 | 0.3647834 | B- | no | -0.2768571 |
141 | 141 | 141 | Benenson Strategy Group | 9 | yes | no | no | 9 | 6.210001 | 0.5 | 0.6173753 | 0.3685659 | B- | no | 0.6566666 |
142 | 142 | 142 | Southern Media & Opinion Research | 4 | yes | no | no | 2 | 6.4275 | 1.0 | 0.8638199 | 0.3689615 | B- | no | 0.003125 |
143 | 143 | 143 | Middle Tennessee State University | 4 | yes | no | no | 3 | 8.01 | 1.0 | 0.8646795 | 0.3690626 | B- | no | 0.1169697 |
144 | 144 | 144 | Capital Survey Research Center | 11 | no | no | no | 4 | 7.756364 | 0.3636364 | -1.020068 | 0.3697377 | B- | no | 0.0670588 |
145 | 145 | 145 | Val Smith | 1 | yes | no | no | 1 | 8.519997 | 1.0 | 2.047489 | 0.3706162 | B- | no | -0.2748387 |
146 | 146 | 146 | Hoffman Research Group | 1 | yes | no | no | 1 | 7.09 | 1.0 | 2.152493 | 0.3740034 | B- | no | -0.2287097 |
147 | 147 | 147 | Potomac Incorporated | 8 | no | no | no | 6 | 4.5475 | 0.875 | -1.350889 | 0.3798128 | B- | no | -0.5227778 |
148 | 148 | 148 | Harper Polling | 9 | no | no | no | 5 | 4.128889 | 1.0 | -1.147167 | 0.3921922 | B- | no | 0.254 |
149 | 149 | 149 | Crawford Johnson & Northcott Inc. | 5 | no | no | no | 1 | 4.649999 | 1.0 | -2.97579 | 0.4028572 | B- | no | 0.1048387 |
150 | 150 | 150 | Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates | 7 | yes | no | no | 7 | 5.868571 | 0.7857143 | 0.8757483 | 0.4058647 | B- | no | 1.048108 |
151 | 151 | 151 | OpinionWorks | 6 | yes | no | no | 6 | 7.3 | 0.9166667 | 0.9682027 | 0.4097005 | B- | no | -0.5077778 |
152 | 152 | 152 | Rutgers University | 13 | yes | no | yes | 13 | 5.684615 | 0.8461539 | 2.125943 | 0.4210937 | B- | no | 0.0981395 |
153 | 153 | 153 | Feldman Group | 1 | yes | no | no | 1 | 10.8 | 0.0 | 3.679445 | 0.4232599 | B- | no | 0.3483871 |
154 | 154 | 154 | Schroth, Eldon & Associates | 8 | no | no | no | 6 | 3.151251 | 0.875 | -1.118056 | 0.4288304 | B- | no | 0.5586111 |
155 | 155 | 155 | Overtime Politics | 12 | yes | no | no | 0 | 9.816668 | 0.6666667 | 0.8134353 | 0.4417978 | F | yes | |
156 | 156 | 156 | North Star Opinion Research/Ayres, McHenry & Associates | 2 | yes | no | no | 2 | 7.030001 | 0.5 | 2.597078 | 0.4530987 | B- | no | -0.439375 |
157 | 157 | 157 | International Communications Research, Inc. | 5 | no | no | no | 5 | 3.128002 | 0.2 | -1.632694 | 0.4553295 | B- | no | -0.0714286 |
158 | 158 | 158 | Wilson Research Strategies | 10 | yes | no | no | 9 | 6.941 | 0.65 | 0.9508294 | 0.4577073 | B- | no | -0.1258975 |
159 | 159 | 159 | University of Texas | 4 | no | yes | no | 4 | 1.202499 | 1.0 | -5.019946 | 0.462353 | B- | no | 0.1285294 |
160 | 160 | 160 | Orion Strategies | 4 | no | no | no | 3 | 3.065 | 1.0 | -3.625905 | 0.462353 | B- | no | 0.1175758 |
161 | 161 | 161 | Alabama State University | 4 | no | no | no | 0 | 6.400001 | 0.5 | -3.430982 | 0.462353 | B- | no | |
162 | 162 | 162 | Northern Arizona University | 4 | no | no | no | 4 | 3.5825 | 1.0 | -3.265447 | 0.462353 | B- | no | -0.3908823 |
163 | 163 | 163 | Marshall Marketing & Communications | 4 | no | no | no | 3 | 2.785 | 1.0 | -2.196468 | 0.462353 | B- | no | -0.2 |
164 | 164 | 164 | IVR Polls | 4 | no | no | no | 0 | 4.049999 | 1.0 | -2.178545 | 0.462353 | B- | no | |
165 | 165 | 165 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies, Inc. | 9 | yes | no | no | 8 | 6.387777 | 0.7777778 | 1.026439 | 0.4629651 | B- | no | -0.4463158 |
166 | 166 | 166 | SocialSphere | 2 | yes | no | no | 2 | 6.139999 | 1.0 | 2.892591 | 0.4715682 | B- | no | -0.38375 |
167 | 167 | 167 | Howey Politics/DePauw University | 7 | yes | no | no | 6 | 6.798572 | 0.5714286 | 1.241041 | 0.4749742 | B- | no | 0.0952778 |
168 | 168 | 168 | OnPoint | 4 | no | no | no | 4 | 1.652499 | 1.0 | -1.880882 | 0.4763669 | B- | no | 0.1926471 |
169 | 169 | 169 | Scripps Howard | 4 | no | no | no | 4 | 3.785 | 1.0 | -1.85246 | 0.4797106 | B- | no | -0.0652941 |
170 | 170 | 170 | Loras College | 10 | yes | no | no | 6 | 9.705 | 0.7 | 1.042769 | 0.4806923 | B- | no | 1.060833 |
171 | 171 | 171 | KRC/Communications Research | 22 | no | no | no | 11 | 6.891364 | 0.9090909 | -0.2466019 | 0.4833607 | B- | no | 0.1941463 |
172 | 172 | 172 | Richard Day Research, Inc. | 11 | no | no | no | 11 | 5.504546 | 1.0 | -0.5917472 | 0.4846532 | B- | no | -0.7704878 |
173 | 173 | 173 | Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. | 4 | no | no | no | 4 | 4.634998 | 1.0 | -1.810037 | 0.4847015 | B- | no | 0.5452942 |
174 | 174 | 174 | Franklin Pierce University | 21 | yes | no | no | 12 | 6.636666 | 0.8333333 | 0.7721329 | 0.4972104 | B- | no | 1.279762 |
175 | 175 | 175 | Penn Schoen Berland | 18 | no | yes | yes | 18 | 7.587778 | 0.6666667 | 0.8800772 | 0.5169039 | B- | no | 2.52875 |
176 | 176 | 176 | US News & World Report | 3 | no | no | no | 3 | 1.916667 | 1.0 | -4.68424 | 0.5254546 | B- | no | -0.0766667 |
177 | 177 | 177 | Iowa State University | 3 | no | no | no | 0 | 6.286667 | 0.6666667 | -3.536943 | 0.5254546 | B- | no | |
178 | 178 | 178 | RAND (American Life Panel) | 3 | no | yes | no | 3 | 1.236666 | 1.0 | -3.393079 | 0.5254546 | B- | no | -0.0390909 |
179 | 179 | 179 | MSR Group | 3 | no | no | no | 3 | 3.466666 | 1.0 | -2.792488 | 0.5254546 | B- | no | 0.3151515 |
180 | 180 | 180 | Personal Marketing Research | 3 | no | no | no | 0 | 6.176666 | 0.6666667 | -2.216456 | 0.5254546 | B- | no | |
181 | 181 | 181 | Gravis Marketing | 55 | no | no | no | 29 | 5.804545 | 0.7909091 | 0.0352 | 0.5298353 | B- | no | -1.05983 |
182 | 182 | 182 | Lauer Johnson Research | 1 | yes | no | no | 1 | 13.82 | 0.0 | 7.17943 | 0.5361627 | B- | no | 0.4458064 |
183 | 183 | 183 | University of Illinois at Chicago | 1 | no | no | yes | 1 | 14.09 | 1.0 | 7.184 | 0.5363101 | B- | no | -0.4545161 |
184 | 184 | 184 | Political Marketing International, Inc./Red Racing Horses | 4 | no | no | no | 4 | 4.31 | 0.625 | -1.237512 | 0.5520574 | B- | no | 0.1341176 |
185 | 185 | 185 | Purple Strategies | 4 | no | yes | no | 4 | 3.02 | 0.875 | -1.233342 | 0.552548 | B- | no | -0.3552941 |
186 | 186 | 186 | Research 2000 | 279 | no | no | no | 247 | 5.539391 | 0.8781362 | 0.1581388 | 0.557737 | F | yes | 1.389458 |
187 | 187 | 187 | Baselice & Associates, Inc. | 2 | yes | no | no | 1 | 9.98 | 1.0 | 4.345331 | 0.5623645 | C+ | no | 0.2241935 |
188 | 188 | 188 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | 6 | yes | no | no | 3 | 11.045 | 0.1666667 | 1.893977 | 0.5639963 | C+ | no | -0.2712121 |
189 | 189 | 189 | University of Wisconsin Milwaukee | 3 | no | no | no | 3 | 5.283331 | 1.0 | -1.472478 | 0.5734111 | C+ | no | -0.480303 |
190 | 190 | 190 | Braun Research | 3 | yes | no | no | 3 | 9.113332 | 1.0 | 3.254724 | 0.5743138 | C+ | no | 0.8284848 |
191 | 191 | 191 | Market Solutions Group | 4 | no | no | no | 2 | 4.347498 | 1.0 | -1.018784 | 0.5777901 | C+ | no | -0.0078125 |
192 | 192 | 192 | CVOTER International | 3 | no | yes | no | 3 | 2.859997 | 1.0 | -1.264761 | 0.5922945 | C+ | no | -0.26 |
193 | 193 | 193 | M4 Strategies | 2 | no | yes | no | 2 | 3.09 | 1.0 | -6.183712 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | -0.193125 |
194 | 194 | 194 | Louis Harris & Associates | 2 | no | no | no | 2 | 0.8999977 | 1.0 | -4.460755 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | 0.05625 |
195 | 195 | 195 | Master Image | 2 | no | no | no | 0 | 1.170002 | 1.0 | -4.144325 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | |
196 | 196 | 196 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 2 | no | no | no | 0 | 5.07 | 1.0 | -2.879431 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | |
197 | 197 | 197 | Forward Strategies | 2 | no | no | no | 2 | 1.305 | 1.0 | -2.716085 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | 0.0815625 |
198 | 198 | 198 | Lincoln Institute | 2 | no | no | no | 2 | 4.129999 | 0.75 | -2.671461 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | -0.258125 |
199 | 199 | 199 | Crosswind Media & Public Relations | 2 | no | no | no | 0 | 6.504997 | 1.0 | -1.965679 | 0.594645 | C+ | no | |
200 | 200 | 200 | Texas Credit Union League | 2 | no | no | no | 0 | 6.950001 | 1.0 | -1.931398 | 0.5967876 | C+ | no |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2016/pollster-ratings" ( "ID" INTEGER, "Pollster" TEXT, "Polls" INTEGER, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Internet" TEXT, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper" TEXT, "Polls.1" INTEGER, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Races Called Correctly" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" REAL );