pollster-ratings/2016/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
372 rows sorted by Mean-Reverted Bias
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Suggested facets: Live Caller With Cellphones, Internet, NCPP/AAPOR/Roper, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | ID | Pollster | Polls | Live Caller With Cellphones | Internet | NCPP/AAPOR/Roper | Polls.1 | Simple Average Error | Races Called Correctly | Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Banned by 538 | Mean-Reverted Bias ▼ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
41 | 41 | 41 | Castleton University | 3 | yes | no | yes | 0 | 9.933333 | 1.0 | -1.000844 | -0.241399 | B+ | no | |
57 | 57 | 57 | Vanderbilt University | 1 | yes | no | yes | 0 | 8.9 | 1.0 | 0.4947172 | -0.1032922 | B+ | no | |
109 | 109 | 109 | University of Houston | 1 | yes | no | no | 0 | 2.009998 | 1.0 | -6.56673 | 0.240052 | B | no | |
111 | 111 | 111 | QEV Analytics | 1 | yes | no | no | 0 | 7.299999 | 0.0 | -1.930019 | 0.2423095 | B | no | |
112 | 112 | 112 | Merrill Poll | 2 | yes | no | no | 0 | 8.719999 | 1.0 | -0.7337289 | 0.2449232 | B | no | |
121 | 121 | 121 | Dartmouth College | 2 | yes | no | no | 0 | 9.000001 | 1.0 | -0.3594726 | 0.2683142 | B | no | |
125 | 125 | 125 | Baruch College | 2 | yes | no | no | 0 | 5.664999 | 1.0 | -0.1153156 | 0.283574 | B- | no | |
133 | 133 | 133 | University of Nevada Las Vegas | 1 | yes | no | no | 0 | 8.999998 | 1.0 | 0.855173 | 0.3321544 | B- | no | |
155 | 155 | 155 | Overtime Politics | 12 | yes | no | no | 0 | 9.816668 | 0.6666667 | 0.8134353 | 0.4417978 | F | yes | |
161 | 161 | 161 | Alabama State University | 4 | no | no | no | 0 | 6.400001 | 0.5 | -3.430982 | 0.462353 | B- | no | |
164 | 164 | 164 | IVR Polls | 4 | no | no | no | 0 | 4.049999 | 1.0 | -2.178545 | 0.462353 | B- | no | |
177 | 177 | 177 | Iowa State University | 3 | no | no | no | 0 | 6.286667 | 0.6666667 | -3.536943 | 0.5254546 | B- | no | |
180 | 180 | 180 | Personal Marketing Research | 3 | no | no | no | 0 | 6.176666 | 0.6666667 | -2.216456 | 0.5254546 | B- | no | |
195 | 195 | 195 | Master Image | 2 | no | no | no | 0 | 1.170002 | 1.0 | -4.144325 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | |
196 | 196 | 196 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 2 | no | no | no | 0 | 5.07 | 1.0 | -2.879431 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | |
199 | 199 | 199 | Crosswind Media & Public Relations | 2 | no | no | no | 0 | 6.504997 | 1.0 | -1.965679 | 0.594645 | C+ | no | |
200 | 200 | 200 | Texas Credit Union League | 2 | no | no | no | 0 | 6.950001 | 1.0 | -1.931398 | 0.5967876 | C+ | no | |
203 | 203 | 203 | Dixie Strategies | 3 | no | no | no | 0 | 7.883335 | 0.8333333 | -0.9210004 | 0.6235454 | C+ | no | |
206 | 206 | 206 | Florida Atlantic University | 2 | no | no | no | 0 | 3.740002 | 1.0 | -1.344293 | 0.6334817 | C+ | no | |
209 | 209 | 209 | Canisius College | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 0.0999985 | 1.0 | -5.780735 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | |
217 | 217 | 217 | BIGresearch | 1 | no | yes | no | 0 | 1.99 | 1.0 | -3.573571 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | |
221 | 221 | 221 | Multi-Quest International | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 4.110001 | 0.0 | -3.026632 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | |
222 | 222 | 222 | MBQF | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 4.34 | 1.0 | -2.899745 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | |
225 | 225 | 225 | New Mexico State University | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 6.799999 | 0.0 | -2.540729 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | |
233 | 233 | 233 | War Room Logistics | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 4.500002 | 1.0 | -1.593909 | 0.6769707 | C+ | no | |
249 | 249 | 249 | Y2 Analytics | 1 | yes | no | no | 0 | 28.37 | 1.0 | 12.64241 | 0.7123879 | C+ | no | |
252 | 252 | 252 | RABA Research | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 3.75 | 1.0 | -0.3664897 | 0.7165648 | C+ | no | |
262 | 262 | 262 | Liberty Opinion Research | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 5.73 | 1.0 | 0.4906219 | 0.7442136 | C+ | no | |
270 | 270 | 270 | ResearchNow | 2 | no | no | no | 0 | 9.370001 | 1.0 | 0.7796888 | 0.7662306 | C+ | no | |
271 | 271 | 271 | R.L. Repass & Partners | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 11.15 | 1.0 | 1.196166 | 0.7669731 | C+ | no | |
278 | 278 | 278 | TeleResearch Corporation | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 8.599998 | 1.0 | 2.165789 | 0.7982513 | C+ | no | |
281 | 281 | 281 | Research America Inc. | 2 | yes | no | no | 0 | 20.74 | 1.0 | 8.235606 | 0.8055066 | C+ | no | |
286 | 286 | 286 | Public Strategies, Inc. | 6 | no | no | no | 0 | 7.883333 | 1.0 | 0.8238751 | 0.8173125 | C+ | no | |
293 | 293 | 293 | Ron Lester and Associates | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 18.9 | 1.0 | 3.27501 | 0.8340326 | C+ | no | |
301 | 301 | 301 | New Frontier Strategy | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 21.6 | 0.0 | 3.944951 | 0.8556436 | C | no | |
306 | 306 | 306 | Glascock Group | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 12.06 | 0.0 | 4.845338 | 0.8846883 | C | no | |
307 | 307 | 307 | Target Insyght | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 15.38 | 1.0 | 4.940274 | 0.8877508 | C | no | |
309 | 309 | 309 | Inside Michigan Politics | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 13.2 | 0.0 | 5.020034 | 0.8903237 | C | no | |
317 | 317 | 317 | GCR & Associates | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 18.3 | 1.0 | 6.056962 | 0.923773 | C | no | |
330 | 330 | 330 | Schapiro Group | 2 | no | no | no | 0 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 5.036587 | 1.032287 | C | no | |
333 | 333 | 333 | TargetPoint | 3 | no | no | no | 0 | 13.97 | 0.8333333 | 3.905684 | 1.062335 | C | no | |
335 | 335 | 335 | Trafalgar Group | 12 | no | no | no | 0 | 9.118333 | 0.9166667 | 1.586916 | 1.090547 | C | no | |
349 | 349 | 349 | Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne | 3 | yes | no | no | 0 | 23.5 | 0.0 | 10.31226 | 1.215908 | C- | no | |
352 | 352 | 352 | SurveyMonkey | 11 | no | yes | no | 0 | 11.22182 | 0.9090909 | 2.487321 | 1.310745 | C- | no | |
357 | 357 | 357 | Fort Hays State University | 4 | yes | no | no | 0 | 23.7975 | 0.5 | 9.269634 | 1.357881 | C- | no | |
361 | 361 | 361 | CPEC LLC | 3 | no | no | no | 0 | 16.16333 | 1.0 | 7.698291 | 1.407117 | D+ | no | |
372 | 372 | 372 | TCJ Research | 133 | no | no | no | 125 | 6.446767 | 0.5864662 | 3.160468 | 3.025044 | F | yes | -4.510129 |
321 | 321 | 321 | ccAdvertising | 30 | yes | no | no | 28 | 7.067333 | 0.8833333 | 1.596811 | 0.9634057 | C | no | -2.575172 |
337 | 337 | 337 | Merriman River Group | 21 | yes | no | no | 19 | 7.683808 | 0.8095238 | 2.281184 | 1.118584 | C- | no | -2.371837 |
264 | 264 | 264 | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 657 | no | no | no | 516 | 5.29653 | 0.7876712 | 0.3687695 | 0.7483866 | C+ | no | -1.990934 |
87 | 87 | 87 | Public Opinion Strategies | 53 | yes | no | no | 51 | 5.884529 | 0.6603774 | -0.0024708 | 0.1523213 | B | no | -1.914321 |
105 | 105 | 105 | Strategic Vision, LLC | 129 | no | no | no | 106 | 3.977597 | 0.875969 | -0.2980322 | 0.2061248 | F | yes | -1.875662 |
354 | 354 | 354 | Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies | 9 | yes | no | no | 8 | 8.955556 | 0.3333333 | 4.722919 | 1.315999 | C- | no | -1.733684 |
52 | 52 | 52 | Market Shares Corp. | 26 | yes | no | yes | 22 | 6.78423 | 0.8461539 | 0.1869822 | -0.1458399 | B+ | no | -1.730577 |
346 | 346 | 346 | Harris Interactive | 135 | no | yes | yes | 135 | 5.485185 | 0.8592592 | 1.241745 | 1.176056 | C- | no | -1.521576 |
368 | 368 | 368 | Millersville University | 5 | no | no | no | 5 | 14.062 | 0.8 | 7.160359 | 1.71148 | D | no | -1.494571 |
366 | 366 | 366 | Massie & Associates | 2 | no | no | no | 2 | 23.9 | 0.0 | 14.35812 | 1.614882 | D+ | no | -1.49375 |
13 | 13 | 13 | University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | 38 | yes | no | yes | 29 | 3.729211 | 0.9342105 | -0.9062568 | -0.7280639 | A | no | -1.453051 |
24 | 24 | 24 | Angus Reid Global | 29 | no | yes | no | 29 | 3.269655 | 0.9310345 | -1.996648 | -0.4183522 | A- | no | -1.337627 |
119 | 119 | 119 | Emerson College | 34 | no | no | yes | 7 | 7.877353 | 0.8382353 | 0.1891719 | 0.2617866 | B | no | -1.336216 |
364 | 364 | 364 | Dane & Associates | 2 | no | no | no | 2 | 21.2 | 0.5 | 13.06037 | 1.533773 | D+ | no | -1.325 |
35 | 35 | 35 | Western New England University | 11 | yes | no | yes | 10 | 5.827272 | 0.8636364 | -0.2534983 | -0.2825269 | A- | no | -1.152 |
360 | 360 | 360 | WCIA-TV | 2 | no | no | no | 2 | 18.295 | 1.0 | 10.73353 | 1.388345 | C- | no | -1.143438 |
237 | 237 | 237 | OnMessage Inc. | 6 | yes | no | no | 6 | 9.120001 | 0.6666667 | 2.650935 | 0.6901558 | C+ | no | -1.097778 |
2 | 2 | 2 | Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) | 25 | yes | no | yes | 17 | 3.8568 | 1.0 | -2.54074 | -1.142149 | A+ | no | -1.095745 |
181 | 181 | 181 | Gravis Marketing | 55 | no | no | no | 29 | 5.804545 | 0.7909091 | 0.0352 | 0.5298353 | B- | no | -1.05983 |
20 | 20 | 20 | Blum & Weprin Associates | 18 | yes | no | no | 16 | 4.557777 | 0.9444444 | -2.592506 | -0.563125 | A | no | -1.034565 |
356 | 356 | 356 | Baydoun Consulting | 6 | no | no | no | 4 | 6.831667 | 0.8333333 | 4.000275 | 1.346713 | C- | no | -1.029118 |
118 | 118 | 118 | George Washington University (Battleground) | 32 | yes | no | no | 32 | 3.4775 | 0.5625 | 0.1884734 | 0.2602735 | B | no | -1.000323 |
49 | 49 | 49 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. | 415 | yes | no | no | 355 | 5.212409 | 0.8614458 | -0.3800204 | -0.1782705 | B+ | no | -0.9653247 |
283 | 283 | 283 | Kimball Political Consulting | 4 | yes | no | no | 4 | 8.1 | 0.75 | 4.656388 | 0.815146 | C+ | no | -0.9529412 |
336 | 336 | 336 | We Ask America | 52 | no | no | no | 33 | 6.951539 | 0.8269231 | 0.9202591 | 1.095286 | C | no | -0.9166667 |
294 | 294 | 294 | JMC Enterprises | 5 | no | no | no | 4 | 7.836 | 1.0 | 1.04711 | 0.8381585 | C | no | -0.8964705 |
126 | 126 | 126 | Gallup | 80 | yes | no | yes | 65 | 4.26975 | 0.7125 | 0.6398347 | 0.2952517 | B- | no | -0.8367368 |
351 | 351 | 351 | Optimus | 4 | no | no | no | 2 | 13.3175 | 0.5 | 4.963184 | 1.281551 | C- | no | -0.833125 |
344 | 344 | 344 | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 465 | no | yes | no | 364 | 5.623549 | 0.7827957 | 0.8213917 | 1.173429 | C- | no | -0.7988071 |
172 | 172 | 172 | Richard Day Research, Inc. | 11 | no | no | no | 11 | 5.504546 | 1.0 | -0.5917472 | 0.4846532 | B- | no | -0.7704878 |
341 | 341 | 341 | University of Alabama | 2 | no | no | no | 2 | 12.025 | 1.0 | 6.971654 | 1.153228 | C- | no | -0.7515625 |
28 | 28 | 28 | IBD/TIPP | 17 | yes | no | no | 17 | 2.307059 | 0.7647059 | -1.555318 | -0.3726976 | A- | no | -0.7468085 |
292 | 292 | 292 | Illinois Wesleyan University | 3 | no | no | no | 3 | 8.166668 | 1.0 | 1.371075 | 0.8319159 | C+ | no | -0.7424242 |
5 | 5 | 5 | Ciruli Associates | 17 | yes | no | yes | 16 | 3.604118 | 0.9411765 | -2.002258 | -0.9534631 | A+ | no | -0.7176087 |
11 | 11 | 11 | Public Policy Institute of California | 12 | yes | no | yes | 8 | 4.065 | 1.0 | -1.992754 | -0.7877255 | A | no | -0.7092106 |
8 | 8 | 8 | Marist College | 146 | yes | no | yes | 85 | 5.395822 | 0.880137 | -0.8353609 | -0.8118232 | A | no | -0.6708696 |
16 | 16 | 16 | Research & Polling, Inc. | 26 | yes | no | no | 25 | 4.136154 | 0.8461539 | -1.693069 | -0.6159658 | A | no | -0.6661818 |
86 | 86 | 86 | Tarrance Group | 24 | yes | no | no | 20 | 6.156667 | 0.8333333 | -0.0477479 | 0.152112 | B | no | -0.6604 |
117 | 117 | 117 | Financial Dynamics | 15 | no | no | no | 15 | 2.767334 | 1.0 | -1.082405 | 0.2591983 | B | no | -0.6588889 |
26 | 26 | 26 | Quinnipiac University | 169 | yes | no | yes | 117 | 4.664438 | 0.872781 | -0.3431102 | -0.3986399 | A- | no | -0.6578912 |
69 | 69 | 69 | American Viewpoint | 6 | yes | no | no | 6 | 3.958333 | 0.6666667 | -1.350454 | 0.0232577 | B | no | -0.6297222 |
73 | 73 | 73 | Google Consumer Surveys | 12 | no | yes | no | 12 | 2.224998 | 0.8333333 | -1.944728 | 0.0815063 | B | no | -0.6290476 |
98 | 98 | 98 | New England College | 15 | no | no | no | 15 | 3.016667 | 0.7666667 | -1.28471 | 0.1917635 | B | no | -0.618 |
31 | 31 | 31 | Los Angeles Times | 40 | yes | no | yes | 24 | 5.23775 | 0.8625 | -0.2377604 | -0.3550468 | A- | no | -0.6116667 |
302 | 302 | 302 | Magellan Strategies | 13 | no | no | no | 7 | 7.706924 | 0.9230769 | 0.757229 | 0.8600925 | C | no | -0.5818919 |
61 | 61 | 61 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | 5 | yes | no | no | 4 | 4.444001 | 1.0 | -2.78075 | -0.0283673 | B+ | no | -0.5597059 |
334 | 334 | 334 | Jeffrey Stonecash | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 17.33 | 0.0 | 10.73795 | 1.074773 | C | no | -0.5590323 |
62 | 62 | 62 | Ward Research (Honolulu Star-Advertiser) | 14 | yes | no | no | 14 | 6.003572 | 0.75 | -0.7039244 | -0.0234388 | B+ | no | -0.5524999 |
343 | 343 | 343 | Neighbor | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 17.09 | 1.0 | 13.6828 | 1.169768 | C- | no | -0.5512903 |
68 | 68 | 68 | Clemson University | 5 | yes | no | no | 1 | 10.296 | 1.0 | -1.740682 | 0.0086781 | B | no | -0.5387097 |
147 | 147 | 147 | Potomac Incorporated | 8 | no | no | no | 6 | 4.5475 | 0.875 | -1.350889 | 0.3798128 | B- | no | -0.5227778 |
204 | 204 | 204 | Manhattanville College | 3 | no | no | no | 2 | 6.546667 | 1.0 | -0.9161616 | 0.6239854 | C+ | no | -0.51375 |
151 | 151 | 151 | OpinionWorks | 6 | yes | no | no | 6 | 7.3 | 0.9166667 | 0.9682027 | 0.4097005 | B- | no | -0.5077778 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2016/pollster-ratings" ( "ID" INTEGER, "Pollster" TEXT, "Polls" INTEGER, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Internet" TEXT, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper" TEXT, "Polls.1" INTEGER, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Races Called Correctly" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" REAL );