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{"rowid": 2, "Rank": 2, "Pollster": "ABC News/The Washington Post", "Pollster Rating ID": 3, "Polls Analyzed": 82, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.9919601103089348, "538 Grade": "A+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.919806741264664, "Races Called Correctly": 0.7378048780487805, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0853658536585366, "Simple Average Error": 3.053507269882574, "Simple Expected Error": 4.972745084419228, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.914383473930063, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.328716976870906, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.980676124300166, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 77, "Bias": 1.256718524090656, "House Effect": 1.231279279930035, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.827491674106647, "Herding Penalty": 0.1323492717694392}
{"rowid": 3, "Rank": 3, "Pollster": "Siena College/The New York Times Upshot", "Pollster Rating ID": 448, "Polls Analyzed": 83, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.9544521038153676, "538 Grade": "A+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 1.14294147140295, "Races Called Correctly": 0.7289156626506024, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2048192771084337, "Simple Average Error": 4.352681654045381, "Simple Expected Error": 5.364920020225804, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.007384025573833, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.309740901950579, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -1.055391384869558, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 82, "Bias": 1.422586092134801, "House Effect": 0.2312039975053743, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.574593667720398, "Herding Penalty": 0.225521742481611}
{"rowid": 4, "Rank": 4, "Pollster": "IBD/TIPP", "Pollster Rating ID": 144, "Polls Analyzed": 31, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.9384244225719548, "538 Grade": "A+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.8323505085998764, "Races Called Correctly": 0.8064516129032258, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.032258064516129, "Simple Average Error": 2.085001545567666, "Simple Expected Error": 4.009343275206846, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.919487389032589, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.512109181475797, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.7926143837060662, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 31, "Bias": -1.587915728169103, "House Effect": -1.814818206485563, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.704195219998842, "Herding Penalty": 0.0994545884761387}
{"rowid": 5, "Rank": 5, "Pollster": "Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)", "Pollster Rating ID": 94, "Polls Analyzed": 25, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.9066947881490728, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.68286791423325, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2, "Simple Average Error": 4.103997268676758, "Simple Expected Error": 5.990497434167947, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.881645824884602, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.473642991473191, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.92313398496665, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 18, "Bias": -2.45507632361518, "House Effect": 0.725440897248749, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.752570927914591, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 6, "Rank": 6, "Pollster": "SurveyUSA", "Pollster Rating ID": 325, "Polls Analyzed": 834, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.8752330868681902, "538 Grade": "A", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.0484691218432057, "Races Called Correctly": 0.8932853717026379, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1954436450839329, "Simple Average Error": 4.704052174977547, "Simple Expected Error": 5.683743839377613, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.9748373237934712, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.032314128557589, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.9872966045424652, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 673, "Bias": 0.0512701689222769, "House Effect": -0.5315926826248129, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.945520069959565, "Herding Penalty": 0.1361415019183604}
{"rowid": 7, "Rank": 7, "Pollster": "Marquette University Law School", "Pollster Rating ID": 195, "Polls Analyzed": 13, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.8697002861718625, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.3831011403830225, "Races Called Correctly": 0.8076923076923077, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0769230769230769, "Simple Average Error": 2.932985892662635, "Simple Expected Error": 6.054269110656587, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.116428877387361, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.454291736544523, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -1.235316783275665, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 9, "Bias": 1.407818264431424, "House Effect": -0.5141475002058183, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.347614329091975, "Herding Penalty": 0.1538779277881331}
{"rowid": 8, "Rank": 8, "Pollster": "Siena College", "Pollster Rating ID": 305, "Polls Analyzed": 55, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.8293660466608428, "538 Grade": "A", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.5366020204415759, "Races Called Correctly": 0.8727272727272727, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2545454545454545, "Simple Average Error": 5.02008486661044, "Simple Expected Error": 5.578377511654227, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.5534383044371974, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.225251368148029, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.8036684444001194, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 50, "Bias": -0.844322738647461, "House Effect": -1.053552798344115, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.695373958576219, "Herding Penalty": 0.1790445736095319}
{"rowid": 9, "Rank": 9, "Pollster": "Landmark Communications", "Pollster Rating ID": 166, "Polls Analyzed": 48, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.786005596999762, "538 Grade": "A", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 1.414304425825647, "Races Called Correctly": 0.7708333333333334, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1666666666666667, "Simple Average Error": 4.448425730069478, "Simple Expected Error": 5.431063119323992, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.9777830486479258, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.360030188032199, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.9120955116881638, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 42, "Bias": 2.192652974809919, "House Effect": -1.707165289556037, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.390866224150755, "Herding Penalty": 0.0583615807178807}
{"rowid": 10, "Rank": 10, "Pollster": "Research & Polling Inc.", "Pollster Rating ID": 280, "Polls Analyzed": 40, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.7513833843367311, "538 Grade": "A", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.6080981815445845, "Races Called Correctly": 0.875, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1, "Simple Average Error": 4.338134384155273, "Simple Expected Error": 5.568008056561508, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.225019331799646, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.767130072846286, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -1.045516722924715, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 39, "Bias": -1.030772771590795, "House Effect": 0.4793430099621862, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.64207646394386, "Herding Penalty": 0.3149313028156319}
{"rowid": 11, "Rank": 11, "Pollster": "AtlasIntel", "Pollster Rating ID": 546, "Polls Analyzed": 22, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.7499685151956839, "538 Grade": "A", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.4354616403579712, "Races Called Correctly": 0.75, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2272727272727273, "Simple Average Error": 4.584125345403498, "Simple Expected Error": 5.225420256679696, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.6364405706696089, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.023215482173971, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.5627685151956839, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 14, "Bias": 0.9953408922467912, "House Effect": -1.740201084411755, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 6.067670031564372, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 12, "Rank": 12, "Pollster": "MassINC Polling Group", "Pollster Rating ID": 198, "Polls Analyzed": 20, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.7440584999606555, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.7850465739065724, "Races Called Correctly": 0.85, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2, "Simple Average Error": 4.52824182510376, "Simple Expected Error": 6.208162293460438, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.675066127750088, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.257475622479393, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.5865806232527697, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 14, "Bias": -2.180184500558036, "House Effect": -1.995397342239822, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.79614435261604, "Herding Penalty": 0.0812833459930051}
{"rowid": 13, "Rank": 13, "Pollster": "Monmouth University", "Pollster Rating ID": 215, "Polls Analyzed": 120, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.7076238531971101, "538 Grade": "A", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 2.087707895122895, "Races Called Correctly": 0.7833333333333333, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2666666666666667, "Simple Average Error": 5.895935599009196, "Simple Expected Error": 6.281559100011743, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.3807691603959558, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.036981998571407, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.8643483465169622, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 83, "Bias": 2.741045687572066, "House Effect": -0.1174755194307274, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.889776770866244, "Herding Penalty": 0.2711130049671029}
{"rowid": 14, "Rank": 14, "Pollster": "Marist College", "Pollster Rating ID": 183, "Polls Analyzed": 189, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.669456194648838, "538 Grade": "A", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.1069875574214711, "Races Called Correctly": 0.8333333333333334, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2698412698412698, "Simple Average Error": 5.503499348958333, "Simple Expected Error": 6.156418871325839, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.6480651817609135, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.7272975370227955, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.637006178226108, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 121, "Bias": 0.1314358671834646, "House Effect": 0.0296862598112305, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.997716942331857, "Herding Penalty": 0.0219156245512363}
{"rowid": 15, "Rank": 15, "Pollster": "Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research", "Pollster Rating ID": 103, "Polls Analyzed": 46, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.6526828278459328, "538 Grade": "A", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 1.807602334432939, "Races Called Correctly": 0.75, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.3695652173913043, "Simple Average Error": 5.56253603230352, "Simple Expected Error": 5.996276726177782, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.428886353267673, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.7697429920479961, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.5150206567139288, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 31, "Bias": 3.073489773658014, "House Effect": 0.8663459100829412, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.616863057440015, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 16, "Rank": 16, "Pollster": "Stockton University", "Pollster Rating ID": 317, "Polls Analyzed": 11, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.5988865336566043, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.8586874339554346, "Races Called Correctly": 0.9090909090909092, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1818181818181818, "Simple Average Error": 4.268058083274147, "Simple Expected Error": 5.3663269154552, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.093414491574463, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.443419811806566, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4592542556950052, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 11, "Bias": 2.698824102228338, "House Effect": 0.7386111683315703, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 6.07582560725001, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 17, "Rank": 17, "Pollster": "Data Orbital", "Pollster Rating ID": 73, "Polls Analyzed": 13, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.5601375650091485, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.5515915781817705, "Races Called Correctly": 0.9615384615384616, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0, "Simple Average Error": 2.397174541766827, "Simple Expected Error": 4.830461730624204, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.428432848250788, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.487450615111105, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.5659004369636715, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 13, "Bias": 1.449840252216046, "House Effect": -1.198510417111883, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.046261810032384, "Herding Penalty": 0.4437168583600935}
{"rowid": 18, "Rank": 18, "Pollster": "University of North Florida", "Pollster Rating ID": 360, "Polls Analyzed": 10, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.5472183790769786, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.8902943716826435, "Races Called Correctly": 0.4, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.3, "Simple Average Error": 4.059848022460938, "Simple Expected Error": 6.303158922207842, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.238456559140316, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.393749348566706, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4314608606122858, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 7, "Bias": 3.979950496128627, "House Effect": 1.022124882062393, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.95182601196337, "Herding Penalty": 0.0666741928082798}
{"rowid": 19, "Rank": 19, "Pollster": "Blum & Weprin Associates", "Pollster Rating ID": 32, "Polls Analyzed": 19, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.5370805569371541, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.6930586251044314, "Races Called Correctly": 0.9473684210526316, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2105263157894737, "Simple Average Error": 4.740097848992598, "Simple Expected Error": 5.245323230143717, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.5003710405445295, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.155558391362864, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4691066218503643, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 17, "Bias": -3.425431644215303, "House Effect": 0.5520147939495113, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.496007923756143, "Herding Penalty": 0.0729941157575656}
{"rowid": 20, "Rank": 20, "Pollster": "Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint", "Pollster Rating ID": 127, "Polls Analyzed": 8, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.463154299736858, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.6666186527357043, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.5, "Simple Average Error": 4.377521991729736, "Simple Expected Error": 5.458382514305143, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.076006181968817, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.622196341123171, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3597660894434694, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 6, "Bias": -4.268723805745442, "House Effect": 1.512220143538255, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.405572548404853, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 21, "Rank": 21, "Pollster": "Los Angeles Times", "Pollster Rating ID": 172, "Polls Analyzed": 36, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.4478968987718507, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.1703826699373148, "Races Called Correctly": 0.8472222222222222, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2777777777777778, "Simple Average Error": 5.032578468322754, "Simple Expected Error": 6.34540278620666, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.307969977277317, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.8479272108704069, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3299054331784183, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 23, "Bias": -0.6038673235022504, "House Effect": 0.8650991554956743, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.176007332823471, "Herding Penalty": 0.1241410678532038}
{"rowid": 22, "Rank": 22, "Pollster": "Trafalgar Group", "Pollster Rating ID": 338, "Polls Analyzed": 76, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.44111500781667, "538 Grade": "A-", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -1.322880839391394, "Races Called Correctly": 0.6578947368421053, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.3289473684210527, "Simple Average Error": 4.464504016073127, "Simple Expected Error": 4.785290985686268, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.3159326290065507, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.628346204721615, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4965072263540098, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 62, "Bias": -1.730800259497858, "House Effect": -4.426759876682544, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.635691353916745, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 23, "Rank": 23, "Pollster": "Public Policy Institute of California", "Pollster Rating ID": 262, "Polls Analyzed": 17, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.4350847160589734, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -1.142767725530053, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2352941176470588, "Simple Average Error": 5.058373956119313, "Simple Expected Error": 6.340402037348159, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.277173740622257, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.6710188021511885, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2660216305465535, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 11, "Bias": -4.278469779274681, "House Effect": -1.420514016184773, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 24, "Rank": 24, "Pollster": "Christopher Newport University", "Pollster Rating ID": 50, "Polls Analyzed": 13, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.4157477143028115, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 1.035338401208234, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.3076923076923077, "Simple Average Error": 5.421989147479717, "Simple Expected Error": 5.367781174548801, "Simple Plus-Minus": 0.0590623135375051, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.6752688755025994, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2542033919649918, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 12, "Bias": 2.971978823343913, "House Effect": 2.005821493074492, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.543501255013545, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 25, "Rank": 25, "Pollster": "Strategic Vision LLC", "Pollster Rating ID": 320, "Polls Analyzed": 133, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "yes", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.4093433552458224, "538 Grade": "F", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -1.565349522249775, "Races Called Correctly": 0.8872180451127819, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1879699248120301, "Simple Average Error": 3.9196988729606, "Simple Expected Error": 5.182542290160064, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.257989076592874, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.7759489547791791, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.5668363365415784, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 110, "Bias": -2.31423058943315, "House Effect": -2.151473507112263, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.35200216571219, "Herding Penalty": 0.1182012843699503}
{"rowid": 26, "Rank": 26, "Pollster": "Public Opinion Strategies", "Pollster Rating ID": 260, "Polls Analyzed": 77, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.4030286177198171, "538 Grade": "A-", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -1.463957198958165, "Races Called Correctly": 0.6818181818181818, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2077922077922078, "Simple Average Error": 5.400956191025771, "Simple Expected Error": 5.741270746812678, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.335460215180316, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.7056691730313095, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.490177117985457, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 75, "Bias": -2.147500305175781, "House Effect": -4.293983837071058, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.560357895633497, "Herding Penalty": 0.3083430447215038}
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{"rowid": 30, "Rank": 30, "Pollster": "Emerson College", "Pollster Rating ID": 88, "Polls Analyzed": 201, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.3918043792305625, "538 Grade": "A-", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.8432465238911562, "Races Called Correctly": 0.763681592039801, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2189054726368159, "Simple Average Error": 5.191912617849473, "Simple Expected Error": 5.690332812916279, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.4935658544602152, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.6118003743061373, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.5538779247346115, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 159, "Bias": 0.954035165174952, "House Effect": -1.373640348124942, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.557129234575539, "Herding Penalty": 0.2225262811932984}
{"rowid": 31, "Rank": 31, "Pollster": "University of Connecticut", "Pollster Rating ID": 347, "Polls Analyzed": 11, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.3806335800402641, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.1612337393223545, "Races Called Correctly": 0.9545454545454546, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0909090909090909, "Simple Average Error": 3.636163191361861, "Simple Expected Error": 5.702708061135182, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.061690529166732, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.812616607025872, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2986774449822354, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 11, "Bias": -0.9784968983043324, "House Effect": -0.6515151515151515, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 8.0, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 32, "Rank": 32, "Pollster": "Grove Insight", "Pollster Rating ID": 129, "Polls Analyzed": 29, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.3776262492576777, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.5517539789181637, "Races Called Correctly": 0.896551724137931, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0689655172413793, "Simple Average Error": 2.952531748804553, "Simple Expected Error": 5.123228803365846, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.165842713954703, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.854106225333469, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.8506096999546133, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 29, "Bias": 1.202679075043777, "House Effect": 3.314108001571689, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.847079442203469, "Herding Penalty": 0.6483529342285926}
{"rowid": 33, "Rank": 33, "Pollster": "The Winston Group", "Pollster Rating ID": 385, "Polls Analyzed": 10, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.3628111184548534, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 1.084935521863051, "Races Called Correctly": 0.5, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.4, "Simple Average Error": 4.175388336181641, "Simple Expected Error": 5.243162856132545, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.062920179344315, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.9085701682795456, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2424686196782707, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 10, "Bias": 4.065433502197266, "House Effect": 0.5544444618730905, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.733011955875233, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 34, "Rank": 34, "Pollster": "National Research Inc.", "Pollster Rating ID": 225, "Polls Analyzed": 15, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.3587017883973611, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.4235082427366348, "Races Called Correctly": 0.7666666666666667, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1333333333333333, "Simple Average Error": 4.39080924987793, "Simple Expected Error": 6.097393954064403, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.701730363579884, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.639751504682349, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.6537048030578724, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 12, "Bias": -1.213219165802002, "House Effect": -2.9290894101226, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.708379748852069, "Herding Penalty": 0.1404424683507143}
{"rowid": 35, "Rank": 35, "Pollster": "Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind)", "Pollster Rating ID": 92, "Polls Analyzed": 20, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.3279580548271417, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.2165206327505528, "Races Called Correctly": 0.95, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1, "Simple Average Error": 4.440978050231934, "Simple Expected Error": 5.358511689099378, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.9126792982608564, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.8380466513142142, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2720944607518267, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 19, "Bias": -0.6907659831799959, "House Effect": 2.435522153841081, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.523587596163656, "Herding Penalty": 0.2655406954045892}
{"rowid": 36, "Rank": 36, "Pollster": "Quinnipiac University", "Pollster Rating ID": 267, "Polls Analyzed": 219, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.3149763346868122, "538 Grade": "A-", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.5485570013033918, "Races Called Correctly": 0.817351598173516, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2694063926940639, "Simple Average Error": 4.796165736298583, "Simple Expected Error": 5.627070789704262, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.8260507127990924, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.3017991517287681, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2669757445552307, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 165, "Bias": 0.6401595375754616, "House Effect": 0.5421931999487883, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.89597885188422, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 37, "Rank": 37, "Pollster": "Ciruli Associates", "Pollster Rating ID": 51, "Polls Analyzed": 20, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.303590018460776, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.6109127602102492, "Races Called Correctly": 0.95, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1, "Simple Average Error": 3.77440013885498, "Simple Expected Error": 5.259219176594611, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.479964697133042, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.8894583268149803, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2662673607425706, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 20, "Bias": -2.040736198425293, "House Effect": -2.6586610296301, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.241835566962915, "Herding Penalty": 0.3181341688029125}
{"rowid": 38, "Rank": 38, "Pollster": "Elon University", "Pollster Rating ID": 86, "Polls Analyzed": 8, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2903980097900636, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.4572253997293468, "Races Called Correctly": 0.5625, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.125, "Simple Average Error": 3.152763366699219, "Simple Expected Error": 4.723235578300777, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.565617870994968, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.421942556563748, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3126489823390849, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 8, "Bias": 2.079483032226563, "House Effect": 0.7813109061682718, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.566882986360794, "Herding Penalty": 0.5681594481906921}
{"rowid": 39, "Rank": 39, "Pollster": "Elway Research", "Pollster Rating ID": 87, "Polls Analyzed": 21, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2878686657814885, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.7794182414161517, "Races Called Correctly": 0.9047619047619048, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0476190476190476, "Simple Average Error": 3.919994990030924, "Simple Expected Error": 5.772737359049807, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.847888028412294, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.814172326516857, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.6849752711822185, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 20, "Bias": 2.090176296234131, "House Effect": 3.493979747174967, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.20824696842231, "Herding Penalty": 0.3597209642869031}
{"rowid": 40, "Rank": 40, "Pollster": "Louisville Courier-Journal", "Pollster Rating ID": 174, "Polls Analyzed": 10, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2754931355358016, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.222187321142904, "Races Called Correctly": 0.8, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1, "Simple Average Error": 3.537170791625976, "Simple Expected Error": 5.386656777087478, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.844631644854912, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.669356578377343, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2448219489169292, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 10, "Bias": -1.515018844604492, "House Effect": -1.027777438693577, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.348942075163053, "Herding Penalty": 0.3032368524958057}
{"rowid": 41, "Rank": 41, "Pollster": "YouGov", "Pollster Rating ID": 391, "Polls Analyzed": 455, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.273505537653068, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.6766339784370394, "Races Called Correctly": 0.8868131868131868, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.3208791208791209, "Simple Average Error": 5.038859289819068, "Simple Expected Error": 5.174998705898146, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.1312850754724879, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.3428717352678932, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3236017801576189, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 395, "Bias": 0.7261292566227008, "House Effect": 0.280365261549705, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.228015171115431, "Herding Penalty": 0.0373586246742392}
{"rowid": 42, "Rank": 42, "Pollster": "Suffolk University", "Pollster Rating ID": 323, "Polls Analyzed": 90, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2723487593473102, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.9143103775867304, "Races Called Correctly": 0.8111111111111111, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2444444444444444, "Simple Average Error": 5.100966284010146, "Simple Expected Error": 6.171914465587268, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.066093840970535, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.2287499662750266, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1754884407814448, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 54, "Bias": 1.371931076049805, "House Effect": 1.690754449233349, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.290999667886991, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 43, "Rank": 43, "Pollster": "RKM Research and Communications Inc.", "Pollster Rating ID": 272, "Polls Analyzed": 35, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2502523505654984, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.1532592156273004, "Races Called Correctly": 0.8428571428571429, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2285714285714286, "Simple Average Error": 5.225879396711077, "Simple Expected Error": 6.439681586328422, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.208947849010754, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.8296452957554462, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4097837807572352, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 21, "Bias": -0.5748111179896763, "House Effect": -1.533106154161316, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.493119662042916, "Herding Penalty": 0.0427549324484808}
{"rowid": 44, "Rank": 44, "Pollster": "Temple University", "Pollster Rating ID": 336, "Polls Analyzed": 6, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2497520325929586, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.2160478104403776, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1666666666666667, "Simple Average Error": 3.65904426574707, "Simple Expected Error": 5.680047545301856, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.016148938948197, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.860153293013499, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2040752715764456, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 5, "Bias": -2.454236602783203, "House Effect": 0.7319953757764655, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.404894870860216, "Herding Penalty": 0.1419554183619184}
{"rowid": 45, "Rank": 45, "Pollster": "National Journal", "Pollster Rating ID": 224, "Polls Analyzed": 12, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2406283419287637, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.1370833076306571, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0, "Simple Average Error": 2.58882745107015, "Simple Expected Error": 5.180404786862579, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.586722995185841, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.52528217964292, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3327836470072496, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 12, "Bias": -0.6283082962036133, "House Effect": 0.3330994514929227, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.469211118333305, "Herding Penalty": 0.890053168558799}
{"rowid": 46, "Rank": 46, "Pollster": "Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Corp.", "Pollster Rating ID": 104, "Polls Analyzed": 34, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.239209639108953, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.2998547030637924, "Races Called Correctly": 0.7205882352941176, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1176470588235294, "Simple Average Error": 3.895261147442986, "Simple Expected Error": 5.056274404687062, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.156158916637486, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.3006300472953212, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1202377278616926, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 28, "Bias": -0.9087292807442802, "House Effect": -1.627355866590143, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.126998931852371, "Herding Penalty": 0.1285408132013464}
{"rowid": 47, "Rank": 47, "Pollster": "Michigan State University", "Pollster Rating ID": 463, "Polls Analyzed": 2, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2283145698385184, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.0470255683040697, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0, "Simple Average Error": 1.030765533447266, "Simple Expected Error": 7.354118595320895, "Simple Plus-Minus": -6.318498721267041, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.047355406498196, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3548497897677919, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": -0.5363655090332031, "House Effect": -1.523426869532446, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 48, "Rank": 48, "Pollster": "Abt Associates", "Pollster Rating ID": 7, "Polls Analyzed": 10, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2230922139435841, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.8133371554939981, "Races Called Correctly": 0.9, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.3, "Simple Average Error": 3.862665557861328, "Simple Expected Error": 5.52278232564798, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.655262427180062, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.7831479146443763, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.199387794214817, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 9, "Bias": 3.323231167263455, "House Effect": 0.2381627661094586, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.072007221867431, "Herding Penalty": 0.3614499188529773}
{"rowid": 49, "Rank": 49, "Pollster": "Muhlenberg College", "Pollster Rating ID": 219, "Polls Analyzed": 32, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2210083283841471, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.1419693389474709, "Races Called Correctly": 0.859375, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.09375, "Simple Average Error": 3.769753098487854, "Simple Expected Error": 5.368856193738219, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.594248754643777, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.1234256042749, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.5991136673049047, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 31, "Bias": -0.2723562179073211, "House Effect": 0.2832179336884245, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.64568803660892, "Herding Penalty": 1.073063459774076}
{"rowid": 50, "Rank": 50, "Pollster": "Florida Atlantic University", "Pollster Rating ID": 97, "Polls Analyzed": 9, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2161511206524903, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.6514053149811404, "Races Called Correctly": 0.6666666666666666, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0, "Simple Average Error": 3.636521657307943, "Simple Expected Error": 6.661359402823979, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.019983404909446, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.279551776412484, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.6921803183240303, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 5, "Bias": 3.434135437011719, "House Effect": 0.3300030026579208, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.668343239936295, "Herding Penalty": 0.4501304626064923}
{"rowid": 51, "Rank": 51, "Pollster": "Gallup", "Pollster Rating ID": 112, "Polls Analyzed": 84, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2154808928142098, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.5755774082287161, "Races Called Correctly": 0.6904761904761905, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2976190476190476, "Simple Average Error": 4.266228675842285, "Simple Expected Error": 5.117734480780458, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.8466514643315844, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.096501672301949, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.060565040547599, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 69, "Bias": -0.978036880493164, "House Effect": -1.518965194111872, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.154284865219057, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 52, "Rank": 52, "Pollster": "RT Strategies", "Pollster Rating ID": 275, "Polls Analyzed": 45, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2021314652948369, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 1.002058800878988, "Races Called Correctly": 0.6666666666666666, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.3777777777777778, "Simple Average Error": 5.921910264756945, "Simple Expected Error": 5.55415604226124, "Simple Plus-Minus": 0.3726085631022948, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.007357279439896, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0034954131741795, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 45, "Bias": 2.109171719021267, "House Effect": 3.299978956228956, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 7.47149558923968, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 53, "Rank": 53, "Pollster": "Potomac Incorporated", "Pollster Rating ID": 256, "Polls Analyzed": 8, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1972893066528501, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.2989758208518576, "Races Called Correctly": 0.875, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.125, "Simple Average Error": 4.56696891784668, "Simple Expected Error": 6.241066865240605, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.669243606787337, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.544391936630235, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1745590910046846, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 6, "Bias": -3.137205123901367, "House Effect": 1.314545504252116, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.517884820899634, "Herding Penalty": 0.3518447239383526}
{"rowid": 54, "Rank": 54, "Pollster": "University of Massachusetts Lowell", "Pollster Rating ID": 355, "Polls Analyzed": 26, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1954232368586374, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.8186157419018985, "Races Called Correctly": 0.7884615384615384, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.3076923076923077, "Simple Average Error": 6.218944916358361, "Simple Expected Error": 6.265896810268798, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.0420975533038478, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.1259619758484186, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0703227270573977, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 17, "Bias": 1.859513002283433, "House Effect": -0.3285967155637531, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.401121623922567, "Herding Penalty": 0.1050587827293154}
{"rowid": 55, "Rank": 55, "Pollster": "Northern Arizona University", "Pollster Rating ID": 234, "Polls Analyzed": 4, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1914932071865612, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.2397644110238754, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.25, "Simple Average Error": 3.581880569458008, "Simple Expected Error": 5.649931661070706, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.063196751006109, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.035183791440176, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2190712974725346, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 4, "Bias": -3.321882247924805, "House Effect": -5.12962962962963, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 6.0, "Herding Penalty": 0.1880023408760161}
{"rowid": 56, "Rank": 56, "Pollster": "Market Shares Corp.", "Pollster Rating ID": 187, "Polls Analyzed": 25, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1904870355902863, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -1.116463552379, "Races Called Correctly": 0.84, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.28, "Simple Average Error": 5.833436889648437, "Simple Expected Error": 5.459175339675063, "Simple Plus-Minus": 0.3791158905799643, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.5181010231370671, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1709831472780438, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 22, "Bias": -4.090595765547319, "House Effect": -1.910674497184886, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.568093518841848, "Herding Penalty": 0.3775032824995286}
{"rowid": 57, "Rank": 57, "Pollster": "Angus Reid Global", "Pollster Rating ID": 13, "Polls Analyzed": 31, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1891576113303911, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -1.156968436932061, "Races Called Correctly": 0.935483870967742, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0645161290322581, "Simple Average Error": 3.188856924733808, "Simple Expected Error": 4.892401796541075, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.698690531200678, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.402220205704477, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.6996465885099965, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 31, "Bias": -2.318777145877961, "House Effect": 0.7856167374884813, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 2.999321370691419, "Herding Penalty": 0.7563524627758474}
{"rowid": 58, "Rank": 58, "Pollster": "Tarrance Group", "Pollster Rating ID": 333, "Polls Analyzed": 31, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1877888208114844, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.9321207960623455, "Races Called Correctly": 0.8387096774193549, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2258064516129032, "Simple Average Error": 5.727274064094789, "Simple Expected Error": 6.269753478804693, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.5376250741033142, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.6242494207968549, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3175109413086395, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 27, "Bias": -2.074528164333767, "House Effect": -5.391174342874497, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 6.234594881392646, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 59, "Rank": 59, "Pollster": "Pharos Research Group", "Pollster Rating ID": 254, "Polls Analyzed": 33, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "yes", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.181091218007201, "538 Grade": "F", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.7837683835376599, "Races Called Correctly": 0.9393939393939394, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1515151515151515, "Simple Average Error": 3.727244232640122, "Simple Expected Error": 4.996001396717071, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.26390282347036, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.842373933489471, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4265716036697134, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 33, "Bias": 1.547749663844253, "House Effect": 0.8805577264040833, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.020183078748705, "Herding Penalty": 0.2274283195553339}
{"rowid": 60, "Rank": 60, "Pollster": "Cygnal", "Pollster Rating ID": 67, "Polls Analyzed": 20, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1781167384084711, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 2.050310420752583, "Races Called Correctly": 0.95, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.15, "Simple Average Error": 4.379972457885742, "Simple Expected Error": 5.295646775726844, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.9108199772345128, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.34953509896708, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.6761011620367349, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 20, "Bias": 4.092532348632813, "House Effect": -0.6020701489306607, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.324110385764116, "Herding Penalty": 0.7310457766211726}
{"rowid": 61, "Rank": 61, "Pollster": "Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.", "Pollster Rating ID": 326, "Polls Analyzed": 46, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1748126895970972, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.6142521511939343, "Races Called Correctly": 0.717391304347826, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2608695652173913, "Simple Average Error": 5.351888656616211, "Simple Expected Error": 5.511775495543286, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.1550324983204863, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.4183686364766303, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2690414781712609, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 41, "Bias": 0.9773832181604896, "House Effect": -1.257913985607085, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.39987791449076, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 62, "Rank": 62, "Pollster": "Castleton University", "Pollster Rating ID": 45, "Polls Analyzed": 3, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1563042889882817, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": null, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.3333333333333333, "Simple Average Error": 9.956270853678385, "Simple Expected Error": 10.88909266019898, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.927967465914008, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.9340794387797972, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0971842088293806, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 0, "Bias": null, "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 63, "Rank": 63, "Pollster": "Wick", "Pollster Rating ID": 284, "Polls Analyzed": 7, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1558947575762597, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.1659714457749334, "Races Called Correctly": 0.7142857142857143, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0, "Simple Average Error": 2.200096947806222, "Simple Expected Error": 3.925699169269442, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.72074788085663, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.907580142382158, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.5251704232891569, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 7, "Bias": -0.6028592245919364, "House Effect": -3.730497145167032, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.761407580823872, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 64, "Rank": 64, "Pollster": "Columbus Dispatch", "Pollster Rating ID": 57, "Polls Analyzed": 22, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1475464656834379, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.9783372510157, "Races Called Correctly": 0.9318181818181818, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.4545454545454545, "Simple Average Error": 5.398525238037109, "Simple Expected Error": 5.205428865655135, "Simple Plus-Minus": 0.1979507129885654, "Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.0248458562544853, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0090245301346492, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 17, "Bias": 2.964653912712546, "House Effect": 2.693081749123809, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.531728786497386, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 65, "Rank": 65, "Pollster": "Lake Research Partners", "Pollster Rating ID": 165, "Polls Analyzed": 12, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1326501768887209, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.8029285444950569, "Races Called Correctly": 0.8333333333333334, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.25, "Simple Average Error": 4.055425008138021, "Simple Expected Error": 5.466569561056333, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.406290212311723, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.459355515377667, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4598786932247855, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 12, "Bias": 2.547972361246745, "House Effect": 2.352757065794363, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 6.00216277883069, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 66, "Rank": 66, "Pollster": "Public Religion Research Institute", "Pollster Rating ID": 428, "Polls Analyzed": 1, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1289325890940318, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.0395204838800565, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0, "Simple Average Error": 0.8620071411132812, "Simple Expected Error": 5.824591809115224, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.957730327395354, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.43964563678583, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1576976030223359, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": -0.8620071411132812, "House Effect": 1.674285670689174, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 2.0, "Herding Penalty": 1.229466967224174}
{"rowid": 67, "Rank": 67, "Pollster": "Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League)", "Pollster Rating ID": 261, "Polls Analyzed": 2, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1255979863026042, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": null, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.5, "Simple Average Error": 6.854116439819336, "Simple Expected Error": 11.09983460908339, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.240863828657471, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.734016207015824, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1215095143011595, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 0, "Bias": null, "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 68, "Rank": 68, "Pollster": "Western New England University", "Pollster Rating ID": 380, "Polls Analyzed": 11, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.110773336936859, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.3796960623710915, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0909090909090909, "Simple Average Error": 4.244961478493431, "Simple Expected Error": 5.767853875608458, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.518038056508439, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.39739932795524, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4006546707201787, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 10, "Bias": -1.362352752685547, "House Effect": 2.019394173077492, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 2.6320729388773, "Herding Penalty": 1.456800997018991}
{"rowid": 69, "Rank": 69, "Pollster": "Market Solutions Group", "Pollster Rating ID": 188, "Polls Analyzed": 4, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1008247146695525, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.0033886612645791, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.25, "Simple Average Error": 4.36395263671875, "Simple Expected Error": 6.097904568171559, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.72909759084622, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.376334201919537, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0853178266666887, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": -0.12042236328125, "House Effect": 1.5, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.401517070360253, "Herding Penalty": 0.4484821992814314}
{"rowid": 70, "Rank": 70, "Pollster": "Scripps Howard", "Pollster Rating ID": 303, "Polls Analyzed": 5, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.098184248386978, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.1400422760768051, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.4, "Simple Average Error": 4.791368103027343, "Simple Expected Error": 4.674275851460114, "Simple Plus-Minus": 0.1219465921738193, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.346039014200504, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0874592030155707, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 5, "Bias": -2.155317687988281, "House Effect": -3.042857142857143, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 2.449489742783178, "Herding Penalty": 0.5187459930409232}
{"rowid": 71, "Rank": 71, "Pollster": "Wirthlin Worldwide", "Pollster Rating ID": 387, "Polls Analyzed": 4, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0964891616331315, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.1770737898220353, "Races Called Correctly": 0.75, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.25, "Simple Average Error": 4.596271514892578, "Simple Expected Error": 5.801935779527188, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.200809924028021, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.472980607947777, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0660914706539207, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 4, "Bias": -3.946443557739258, "House Effect": -5.564639632766311, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.251780870545703, "Herding Penalty": 0.1442666609128854}
{"rowid": 72, "Rank": 72, "Pollster": "Indiana University", "Pollster Rating ID": 149, "Polls Analyzed": 2, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0950399518333271, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.0274411754240121, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0, "Simple Average Error": 0.8688735961914062, "Simple Expected Error": 5.810770506827918, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.937042570029924, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.491494658622478, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1418525011964127, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": 0.8688735961914062, "House Effect": 4.125, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 73, "Rank": 73, "Pollster": "Baruch College", "Pollster Rating ID": 22, "Polls Analyzed": 2, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0937916384673061, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": null, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0, "Simple Average Error": 5.486835479736328, "Simple Expected Error": 9.283068746160636, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.791378925817718, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.5855972152556834, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0449379192348417, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 0, "Bias": null, "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 9.150757595082505, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 74, "Rank": 74, "Pollster": "Knowledge Networks", "Pollster Rating ID": 164, "Polls Analyzed": 3, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0935157378665621, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.216354991345209, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.3333333333333333, "Simple Average Error": 4.162570953369141, "Simple Expected Error": 4.799824124241399, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.6323988302656692, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.118871371364212, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0607503467046331, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 3, "Bias": 3.984724680582682, "House Effect": 0.7536700251929291, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.138353812727866, "Herding Penalty": 0.1408930172400337}
{"rowid": 75, "Rank": 75, "Pollster": "Princeton Survey Research Associates International", "Pollster Rating ID": 258, "Polls Analyzed": 35, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0887239206500411, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.445906197212584, "Races Called Correctly": 0.6571428571428571, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.3142857142857143, "Simple Average Error": 4.96545273917062, "Simple Expected Error": 5.250081343486058, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.2797742637088484, "Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.2179024459265716, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0947206962882701, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 33, "Bias": 1.072647672710997, "House Effect": 0.0717976123456168, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.761307992785031, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 76, "Rank": 76, "Pollster": "GfK Group", "Pollster Rating ID": 115, "Polls Analyzed": 21, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0884180165916167, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.1994639123490759, "Races Called Correctly": 0.9285714285714286, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1428571428571428, "Simple Average Error": 3.810167948404948, "Simple Expected Error": 4.906137733499703, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.091115444488166, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.0279496806216638, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0102266942597903, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 21, "Bias": 0.5451373145693824, "House Effect": 1.27808715300271, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.621799279541408, "Herding Penalty": 0.2169624036066385}
{"rowid": 77, "Rank": 77, "Pollster": "Vox Populi Polling", "Pollster Rating ID": 372, "Polls Analyzed": 19, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0824722486637735, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.39372786799427, "Races Called Correctly": 0.7631578947368421, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1578947368421053, "Simple Average Error": 3.956891310842414, "Simple Expected Error": 5.167959912711793, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.20621426126279, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.7980057743990526, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3511785784526951, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 19, "Bias": 0.8946932742470189, "House Effect": -1.300901224920249, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.7989892898252, "Herding Penalty": 0.1668381106557129}
{"rowid": 78, "Rank": 78, "Pollster": "Fleming & Associates", "Pollster Rating ID": 96, "Polls Analyzed": 18, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0758072388077397, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.5879486169435573, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1111111111111111, "Simple Average Error": 5.132949617173937, "Simple Expected Error": 5.804779806534564, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.6669758487540385, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.634495628457428, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.5652653590346407, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 16, "Bias": -1.821194887161255, "House Effect": -0.2280219780219779, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.121158932446784, "Herding Penalty": 0.562868849288604}
{"rowid": 79, "Rank": 79, "Pollster": "NBC News/The Wall Street Journal", "Pollster Rating ID": 221, "Polls Analyzed": 34, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.074224876190926, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.7641021561590894, "Races Called Correctly": 0.7794117647058824, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1176470588235294, "Simple Average Error": 4.058129142312443, "Simple Expected Error": 5.146696635890477, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.083713152971445, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.2587223426008963, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.139355755040453, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 29, "Bias": 1.43655356045427, "House Effect": 0.6217559621670972, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.053721056841095, "Herding Penalty": 0.4772484204720722}
{"rowid": 80, "Rank": 80, "Pollster": "Louis Harris & Associates", "Pollster Rating ID": 173, "Polls Analyzed": 2, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0723071526680285, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.0189190483417673, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0, "Simple Average Error": 0.8593788146972656, "Simple Expected Error": 4.876444529458897, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.012211374155043, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.505402691124016, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0991855161597517, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": 0.8593788146972656, "House Effect": 5.375, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.497869162102364, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 81, "Rank": 81, "Pollster": "KRC Research", "Pollster Rating ID": 160, "Polls Analyzed": 22, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0702860441389983, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.0850921296692476, "Races Called Correctly": 0.9090909090909092, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.4090909090909091, "Simple Average Error": 7.130356875332919, "Simple Expected Error": 6.784775967616778, "Simple Plus-Minus": 0.3504352483227293, "Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.1624733399840239, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0382628639685359, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 11, "Bias": 0.7248476201837714, "House Effect": 2.476515145735307, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 6.49785078408102, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 82, "Rank": 82, "Pollster": "Harris Insights & Analytics", "Pollster Rating ID": 133, "Polls Analyzed": 182, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0622054637457226, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -1.065041464326777, "Races Called Correctly": 0.8324175824175825, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.4835164835164835, "Simple Average Error": 5.043052254142342, "Simple Expected Error": 4.155189055042091, "Simple Plus-Minus": 0.8927175397068411, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.0052398861622841, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0045132013366394, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 182, "Bias": -1.236527159973815, "House Effect": 0.5303280530923598, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.927387720535005, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 83, "Rank": 83, "Pollster": "Georgetown University (Battleground)", "Pollster Rating ID": 114, "Polls Analyzed": 35, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0584013212469942, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.5307652890102345, "Races Called Correctly": 0.5571428571428572, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1428571428571428, "Simple Average Error": 3.355102648053851, "Simple Expected Error": 4.717154975203762, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.357197986543323, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.1870124153098356, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0819393053753601, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 35, "Bias": -1.211380767822266, "House Effect": -1.415722424694828, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.17295012842062, "Herding Penalty": 0.4753679838054304}
{"rowid": 84, "Rank": 84, "Pollster": "Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll)", "Pollster Rating ID": 27, "Polls Analyzed": 7, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0580673294746412, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.439183496978731, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2857142857142857, "Simple Average Error": 5.286084856305804, "Simple Expected Error": 6.095606947030773, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.8046677501183795, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.5948831378209584, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0653931342852088, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 6, "Bias": 5.300599416097005, "House Effect": 2.95, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.64820917074919, "Herding Penalty": 0.6245835965331664}
{"rowid": 85, "Rank": 85, "Pollster": "Escalent", "Pollster Rating ID": 189, "Polls Analyzed": 1, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0552193460940959, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.0166482327432473, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0, "Simple Average Error": 1.123138427734375, "Simple Expected Error": 5.486926266072844, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.35893349773188, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.875852503676521, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0574515954278837, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": -1.123138427734375, "House Effect": -4.641666730244955, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.6, "Herding Penalty": 1.265265741385294}
{"rowid": 86, "Rank": 86, "Pollster": "St. Pete Polls", "Pollster Rating ID": 314, "Polls Analyzed": 26, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0501213089677877, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.1213159892046658, "Races Called Correctly": 0.5576923076923077, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.3461538461538461, "Simple Average Error": 4.886916087223933, "Simple Expected Error": 5.23281610777392, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.3410456799433982, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.314876591309273, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1708644787340178, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 25, "Bias": -0.23000732421875, "House Effect": -1.43883243254266, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.387095196662985, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 87, "Rank": 87, "Pollster": "Lauer, Lalley, Victoria", "Pollster Rating ID": 168, "Polls Analyzed": 1, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0464446632527891, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.0184639711316201, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0, "Simple Average Error": 1.658950805664063, "Simple Expected Error": 6.284845112644165, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.621039966373513, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.423442351258791, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0492325098472914, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": -1.658950805664063, "House Effect": 4.0, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 88, "Rank": 88, "Pollster": "Gordon S. Black Corp.", "Pollster Rating ID": 123, "Polls Analyzed": 2, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0418053502782946, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.1399591861875582, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.5, "Simple Average Error": 6.357505798339844, "Simple Expected Error": 5.137398300763543, "Simple Plus-Minus": 1.22496183818289, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.6144861881899994, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0135277873981688, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": -6.357505798339844, "House Effect": -1.269841269841269, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 6.000000000000001, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 89, "Rank": 89, "Pollster": "University of Florida", "Pollster Rating ID": 349, "Polls Analyzed": 1, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0411360947075567, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.0373956668765794, "Races Called Correctly": 0.5, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0, "Simple Average Error": 1.077785491943359, "Simple Expected Error": 4.854339825419885, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.771699992869936, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.405468170236857, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0487651948302299, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": 1.077785491943359, "House Effect": -0.1470588235294118, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 1.414285387311663, "Herding Penalty": 1.172301971721692}
{"rowid": 90, "Rank": 90, "Pollster": "University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll)", "Pollster Rating ID": 346, "Polls Analyzed": 39, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0370594289568832, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -1.306065146884215, "Races Called Correctly": 0.935897435897436, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2307692307692308, "Simple Average Error": 4.199360969739082, "Simple Expected Error": 5.688044858653705, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.483829548308032, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.8723258548608629, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4079996282714262, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 30, "Bias": -3.206029510498047, "House Effect": -2.56406304192143, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.426229651161958, "Herding Penalty": 0.4379740993217192}
{"rowid": 91, "Rank": 91, "Pollster": "New England College", "Pollster Rating ID": 228, "Polls Analyzed": 19, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0339156692478161, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -1.233823913352059, "Races Called Correctly": 0.7368421052631579, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.1578947368421053, "Simple Average Error": 4.186138956170333, "Simple Expected Error": 5.130762388156788, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.9397690913798652, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.7022128287799915, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2771430608747104, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 19, "Bias": -3.126208455939042, "House Effect": -3.275668947623061, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.506584216856184, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 92, "Rank": 92, "Pollster": "Clemson University", "Pollster Rating ID": 54, "Polls Analyzed": 8, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0327079524429111, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.0305970901911662, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.5, "Simple Average Error": 10.055743932724, "Simple Expected Error": 7.745665259712248, "Simple Plus-Minus": 2.31493301361834, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.333011535195882, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.9821700093118636, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": 1.24305534362793, "House Effect": 2.166666666666666, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 15.99796985711743, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 93, "Rank": 93, "Pollster": "Ohio State University", "Pollster Rating ID": 236, "Polls Analyzed": 1, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.028267094412787, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.0472408228151871, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0, "Simple Average Error": 3.677444458007813, "Simple Expected Error": 4.889618661903905, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.207319863289503, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.2675489206245848, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.0034369604484707, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": -3.677444458007813, "House Effect": -5.8, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 94, "Rank": 94, "Pollster": "Global Strategy Group/National Research (Philadelphia Inquirer)", "Pollster Rating ID": 119, "Polls Analyzed": 4, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0241629481333874, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.2957787846748048, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.25, "Simple Average Error": 2.981807708740234, "Simple Expected Error": 4.960417918246559, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.973755868899735, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.602300614760774, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.17721193398286, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 4, "Bias": -2.674348831176758, "House Effect": 0.2030208667119344, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 2.248334797424331, "Herding Penalty": 1.940660405078344}
{"rowid": 95, "Rank": 95, "Pollster": "Voter/Consumer Research", "Pollster Rating ID": 371, "Polls Analyzed": 8, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0205286453863129, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.0938706638267403, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.375, "Simple Average Error": 4.966556310653687, "Simple Expected Error": 5.544527388315651, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.5731167370553751, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.9994758721376948, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1615045714218247, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 8, "Bias": -0.5809214115142822, "House Effect": -2.906479969685212, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 2.05764765011757, "Herding Penalty": 1.372204334348485}
{"rowid": 96, "Rank": 96, "Pollster": "Saint Anselm College", "Pollster Rating ID": 494, "Polls Analyzed": 5, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0043478260869565, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.4983920221743376, "Races Called Correctly": 1.0, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.2, "Simple Average Error": 2.593349456787109, "Simple Expected Error": 5.025210111007667, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.427006313613969, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.983210610041913, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.6485240456612853, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 5, "Bias": 2.292603302001953, "House Effect": 0.0333333333333332, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 2.666666666666667, "Herding Penalty": 0.9257676034617008}
{"rowid": 97, "Rank": 97, "Pollster": "Star Tribune (Minnesota Poll)", "Pollster Rating ID": 315, "Polls Analyzed": 14, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.0027021768417726, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.7866531081869236, "Races Called Correctly": 0.5714285714285714, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.4285714285714285, "Simple Average Error": 5.33117812020438, "Simple Expected Error": 4.399871006504118, "Simple Plus-Minus": 0.936161454306852, "Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.4676652409284022, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0882514522723825, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 12, "Bias": 4.415757815043132, "House Effect": 3.103320208554546, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.948527776277877, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 98, "Rank": 98, "Pollster": "co/efficient", "Pollster Rating ID": 514, "Polls Analyzed": 5, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.0025374719739618, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.1458200546642594, "Races Called Correctly": 0.8, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0, "Simple Average Error": 2.651225280761719, "Simple Expected Error": 4.891678480928892, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.235598859560584, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.390815593488743, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.7294941728289335, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 5, "Bias": -0.6777969360351562, "House Effect": -7.721500015258789, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.0, "Herding Penalty": 0.2086763622067728}
{"rowid": 99, "Rank": 99, "Pollster": "Pew Research Center", "Pollster Rating ID": 253, "Polls Analyzed": 25, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "yes", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.0050416989092537, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": 0.7468037257420483, "Races Called Correctly": 0.5, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.36, "Simple Average Error": 4.317460784912109, "Simple Expected Error": 4.529008709484654, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.2066935839659541, "Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.4441390606891732, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.1632249772615992, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 25, "Bias": 2.032070770263672, "House Effect": 1.005657165685872, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.818391934927934, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 100, "Rank": 100, "Pollster": "American Viewpoint", "Pollster Rating ID": 10, "Polls Analyzed": 8, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper": "no", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.0051543406263754, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": -0.7621450628157735, "Races Called Correctly": 0.6875, "Misses Outside MOE": 0.0, "Simple Average Error": 4.16240930557251, "Simple Expected Error": 5.712293976693308, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.545030330514208, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.079017544121555, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4454959471628316, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 8, "Bias": -3.556739330291748, "House Effect": -3.333993881672352, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 6.252438154863531, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}