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NCAA Bracket: historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results.csv

This table contains data behind the story The NCAA Bracket: Checking Our Work.

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub

253 rows

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Suggested facets: year, round, favorite_win_flag

Link rowid year round favorite underdog favorite_probability favorite_win_flag
1 2014 2 Texas Arizona State 0.501 1
2 2013 2 Illinois Colorado 0.504 1
3 2013 1 James Madison Long Island 0.506 1
4 2011 2 Cincinnati Missouri 0.509 1
5 2012 3 Cincinnati Florida State 0.509 1
6 2011 5 Arizona Connecticut 0.514 0
7 2013 1 La Salle Boise State 0.515 1
8 2014 1 Tennessee Iowa 0.517 1
9 2011 2 Xavier Marquette 0.518 0
10 2013 6 Michigan Syracuse 0.519 1
11 2014 2 Oklahoma State Gonzaga 0.52 0
12 2012 2 Xavier Notre Dame 0.521 1
13 2014 1 Albany Mount St. Mary's 0.523 1
14 2012 1 Iona Brigham Young 0.525 0
15 2012 4 Florida Marquette 0.525 1
16 2011 5 North Carolina Kentucky 0.525 0
17 2012 5 North Carolina Kansas 0.525 0
18 2011 1 USC Virginia Commonwealth 0.526 0
19 2012 2 Alabama Creighton 0.526 0
20 2013 1 North Carolina A&T Liberty 0.527 1
21 2012 1 Lamar Vermont 0.527 0
22 2011 2 Florida State Texas A&M 0.531 1
23 2013 3 Marquette Butler 0.534 1
24 2011 6 Butler Virginia Commonwealth 0.534 1
25 2012 3 New Mexico Louisville 0.537 0
26 2012 4 Syracuse Wisconsin 0.537 1
27 2011 6 Kentucky Connecticut 0.5379999999999999 0
28 2013 4 Duke Michigan State 0.5429999999999999 1
29 2014 3 Creighton Baylor 0.544 0
30 2013 4 Kansas Michigan 0.5479999999999999 0
31 2011 2 West Virginia Clemson 0.55 1
32 2014 2 Memphis George Washington 0.55 1
33 2012 5 Florida Louisville 0.552 0
34 2011 2 Temple Penn State 0.5529999999999999 1
35 2012 2 Georgetown Belmont 0.5529999999999999 1
36 2014 1 Cal Poly Texas Southern 0.556 1
37 2014 3 Iowa State North Carolina 0.557 1
38 2013 4 Ohio State Arizona 0.5579999999999999 1
39 2013 1 Saint Mary's Middle Tennessee 0.5589999999999999 0
40 2011 3 Brigham Young Gonzaga 0.5589999999999999 1
41 2013 2 San Diego State Oklahoma 0.561 1
42 2011 2 Butler Old Dominion 0.562 1
43 2011 2 Washington Georgia 0.562 1
44 2011 3 Wisconsin Kansas State 0.563 1
45 2012 3 South Florida Ohio 0.5670000000000001 0
46 2011 2 Tennessee Michigan 0.569 0
47 2011 2 Kansas State Utah State 0.5710000000000001 1
48 2013 4 Indiana Syracuse 0.5710000000000001 0
49 2012 1 California South Florida 0.5770000000000001 0
50 2012 2 Connecticut Iowa State 0.578 0
51 2014 3 Wichita State Kentucky 0.579 0
52 2014 2 Cincinnati Harvard 0.58 0
53 2014 2 Saint Louis North Carolina State 0.58 1
54 2012 2 West Virginia Gonzaga 0.5820000000000001 0
55 2013 2 Creighton Cincinnati 0.585 1
56 2013 3 Michigan Virginia Commonwealth 0.586 1
57 2011 2 Vanderbilt Richmond 0.586 0
58 2011 2 Illinois UNLV 0.586 1
59 2013 2 Memphis Saint Mary's 0.588 1
60 2011 4 Florida Brigham Young 0.596 1
61 2012 2 North Carolina State San Diego State 0.598 1
62 2013 4 Miami (FL) Marquette 0.598 0
63 2012 3 Wisconsin Vanderbilt 0.599 1
64 2013 2 Notre Dame Iowa State 0.6 0
65 2011 1 UTSA Alabama State 0.602 1
66 2012 6 Ohio State Kansas 0.603 0
67 2012 2 Cincinnati Texas 0.604 1
68 2013 2 Oklahoma State Oregon 0.605 0
69 2011 1 Clemson UAB 0.605 1
70 2011 3 Kentucky West Virginia 0.606 1
71 2011 2 Villanova George Mason 0.607 0
72 2012 4 Michigan State Louisville 0.607 1
73 2012 2 Purdue St. Mary's 0.61 1
74 2012 2 Temple South Florida 0.614 0
75 2011 4 Florida State Virginia Commonwealth 0.619 0
76 2013 2 Minnesota UCLA 0.619 1
77 2013 2 Pittsburgh Wichita State 0.621 0
78 2012 1 Western Kentucky Mississippi Valley State 0.622 1
79 2013 3 Saint Louis Oregon 0.626 0
80 2013 3 Mississippi La Salle 0.627 0
81 2013 2 Butler Bucknell 0.627 1
82 2011 1 North Carolina Asheville Arkansas-Little Rock 0.627 1
83 2011 7 Connecticut Butler 0.628 1
84 2013 7 Louisville Michigan 0.629 1
85 2013 2 Missouri Colorado State 0.634 0
86 2012 3 Georgetown North Carolina State 0.636 0
87 2013 5 Florida Michigan 0.637 0
88 2014 1 Xavier North Carolina State 0.637 0
89 2014 2 New Mexico Stanford 0.638 0
90 2014 2 Oklahoma North Dakota State 0.638 0
91 2011 3 Connecticut Cincinnati 0.638 1
92 2012 7 Kentucky Kansas 0.6409999999999999 1
93 2012 2 Florida Virgina 0.6409999999999999 1
94 2012 5 Ohio State Syracuse 0.642 1
95 2014 3 San Diego State North Dakota State 0.6459999999999999 1
96 2012 3 Xavier Lehigh 0.647 1
97 2014 2 Oregon Brigham Young 0.647 1
98 2014 3 Villanova Connecticut 0.649 0
99 2013 2 Marquette Davidson 0.655 1
100 2011 4 Wisconsin Butler 0.657 0

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CREATE TABLE "historical-ncaa-forecasts/historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results" (
"year" INTEGER,
  "round" INTEGER,
  "favorite" TEXT,
  "underdog" TEXT,
  "favorite_probability" REAL,
  "favorite_win_flag" INTEGER
)
Powered by Datasette · Query took 35.48ms · Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub