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August Senate Polls: august_senate_polls.csv

This table contains the data behind the story How Much Trouble Is Ted Cruz Really In?

august_senate_polls.csv contains every senate poll in our database from 1990 to 2016 that was conducted in the month of August along with the results of the election corresponding to each poll and the average error of each poll.

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub

594 rows

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Suggested facets: cycle, senate_class

Link rowid cycle state senate_class start_date end_date DEM_poll REP_poll DEM_result REP_result error absolute_error
1 2016 IA 3 2016-08-30 2016-08-31 43.0 49.0 35.66 60.09 -18.430000000000007 18.430000000000007
2 2016 PA 3 2016-08-30 2016-08-31 44.0 41.0 47.34 48.77 -4.43 4.43
3 2016 NH 3 2016-08-30 2016-08-31 47.0 44.0 47.98 47.84 -2.8600000000000065 2.8600000000000065
4 2016 CO 3 2016-08-29 2016-08-31 48.0 38.0 49.97 44.31 -4.340000000000003 4.340000000000003
5 2016 NY 3 2016-08-28 2016-08-30 60.0 23.0 70.6 27.17 6.429999999999992 6.429999999999992
6 2016 NC 3 2016-08-27 2016-08-29 41.3 45.2 45.37 51.06 -1.7899999999999991 1.7899999999999991
7 2016 AK 3 2016-08-27 2016-08-29 12.0 56.0 11.62 44.36 11.259999999999998 11.259999999999998
8 2016 WI 3 2016-08-27 2016-08-30 54.0 41.0 46.81 50.17 -16.36 16.36
9 2016 PA 3 2016-08-26 2016-08-27 46.0 40.0 47.34 48.77 -7.43 7.43
10 2016 OH 3 2016-08-26 2016-08-27 39.0 48.0 37.16 58.03 -11.870000000000005 11.870000000000005
11 2016 MO 3 2016-08-26 2016-08-27 43.0 47.0 46.39 49.18 1.2100000000000009 1.2100000000000009
12 2016 WI 3 2016-08-26 2016-08-27 49.0 42.0 46.81 50.17 -10.36 10.36
13 2016 NC 3 2016-08-26 2016-08-27 43.0 46.0 45.37 51.06 -2.690000000000005 2.690000000000005
14 2016 NH 3 2016-08-26 2016-08-28 47.0 45.0 47.98 47.84 -1.8600000000000063 1.8600000000000063
15 2016 AZ 3 2016-08-26 2016-08-28 43.0 43.0 40.75 53.71 -12.96 12.96
16 2016 PA 3 2016-08-26 2016-08-29 45.0 41.0 47.34 48.77 -5.43 5.43
17 2016 WI 3 2016-08-25 2016-08-25 55.0 37.0 46.81 50.17 -21.36 21.36
18 2016 WI 3 2016-08-25 2016-08-28 48.0 45.0 46.81 50.17 -6.3599999999999985 6.3599999999999985
19 2016 PA 3 2016-08-25 2016-08-29 43.0 38.0 47.34 48.77 -6.43 6.43
20 2016 PA 3 2016-08-25 2016-08-28 39.0 46.0 47.34 48.77 5.57 5.57
21 2016 OH 3 2016-08-25 2016-08-27 25.0 40.0 37.16 58.03 -5.8700000000000045 5.8700000000000045
22 2016 FL 3 2016-08-22 2016-08-24 43.0 46.0 44.31 51.98 -4.6699999999999955 4.6699999999999955
23 2016 PA 3 2016-08-21 2016-08-28 48.0 45.0 47.34 48.77 -4.43 4.43
24 2016 WI 3 2016-08-21 2016-08-22 49.6 46.6 46.81 50.17 -6.3599999999999985 6.3599999999999985
25 2016 PA 3 2016-08-21 2016-08-28 47.0 42.0 47.34 48.77 -6.43 6.43
26 2016 NC 3 2016-08-20 2016-08-23 43.0 45.0 45.37 51.06 -3.690000000000005 3.690000000000005
27 2016 NH 3 2016-08-20 2016-08-28 51.0 27.0 47.98 47.84 -23.86000000000001 23.86000000000001
28 2016 NH 3 2016-08-20 2016-08-28 44.0 42.0 47.98 47.84 -1.8600000000000063 1.8600000000000063
29 2016 FL 3 2016-08-19 2016-08-22 39.0 44.0 44.31 51.98 -2.6699999999999946 2.6699999999999946
30 2016 UT 3 2016-08-19 2016-08-21 21.0 51.0 27.06 68.15 -11.090000000000005 11.090000000000005
31 2016 MO 3 2016-08-19 2016-08-22 43.0 48.0 46.39 49.18 2.210000000000001 2.210000000000001
32 2016 AZ 3 2016-08-18 2016-08-23 39.0 52.0 40.75 53.71 0.03999999999999915 0.03999999999999915
33 2016 NC 3 2016-08-18 2016-08-23 45.0 50.0 45.37 51.06 -0.6900000000000048 0.6900000000000048
34 2016 MD 3 2016-08-18 2016-08-30 55.0 26.0 60.89 35.67 -3.780000000000001 3.780000000000001
35 2016 ID 3 2016-08-18 2016-08-31 20.0 57.0 27.73 66.13 -1.3999999999999917 1.3999999999999917
36 2016 OH 3 2016-08-18 2016-08-21 40.0 48.0 37.16 58.03 -12.870000000000005 12.870000000000005
37 2016 FL 3 2016-08-18 2016-08-24 42.0 43.0 44.31 51.98 -6.6699999999999955 6.6699999999999955
38 2016 OH 3 2016-08-17 2016-08-19 39.0 46.0 37.16 58.03 -13.870000000000005 13.870000000000005
39 2016 IA 3 2016-08-17 2016-08-19 38.0 45.0 35.66 60.09 -17.430000000000007 17.430000000000007
40 2016 IN 3 2016-08-15 2016-08-18 55.0 39.0 42.41 52.11 -25.700000000000006 25.700000000000006
41 2016 NV 3 2016-08-15 2016-08-17 37.0 37.0 47.1 44.67 2.43 2.43
42 2016 FL 3 2016-08-14 2016-08-18 38.0 46.0 44.31 51.98 0.3300000000000054 0.3300000000000054
43 2016 IN 3 2016-08-13 2016-08-16 48.0 41.0 42.41 52.11 -16.700000000000006 16.700000000000006
44 2016 FL 3 2016-08-12 2016-08-15 43.0 48.0 44.31 51.98 -2.6699999999999946 2.6699999999999946
45 2016 NH 3 2016-08-10 2016-08-12 42.0 41.0 47.98 47.84 -0.8600000000000065 0.8600000000000065
46 2016 FL 3 2016-08-10 2016-08-10 43.4 44.7 44.31 51.98 -6.36999999999999 6.36999999999999
47 2016 IN 3 2016-08-10 2016-08-14 54.0 36.0 42.41 52.11 -27.700000000000006 27.700000000000006
48 2016 FL 3 2016-08-09 2016-08-15 45.0 44.0 44.31 51.98 -8.669999999999995 8.669999999999995
49 2016 WA 3 2016-08-09 2016-08-13 52.0 34.0 58.83 40.86 -0.030000000000001137 0.030000000000001137
50 2016 SC 3 2016-08-09 2016-08-10 28.0 45.0 36.93 60.57 -6.6400000000000015 6.6400000000000015
51 2016 CO 3 2016-08-09 2016-08-16 54.0 38.0 49.97 44.31 -10.340000000000003 10.340000000000003
52 2016 IA 3 2016-08-09 2016-08-16 42.0 51.0 35.66 60.09 -15.430000000000007 15.430000000000007
53 2016 IA 3 2016-08-08 2016-08-10 42.0 52.0 35.66 60.09 -14.430000000000007 14.430000000000007
54 2016 NY 3 2016-08-07 2016-08-10 63.0 24.0 70.6 27.17 4.4299999999999935 4.4299999999999935
55 2016 NH 3 2016-08-07 2016-08-08 46.0 43.0 47.98 47.84 -2.8600000000000065 2.8600000000000065
56 2016 GA 3 2016-08-06 2016-08-07 30.0 39.0 41.03 54.78 -4.75 4.75
57 2016 NH 3 2016-08-05 2016-08-07 47.0 42.0 47.98 47.84 -4.860000000000007 4.860000000000007
58 2016 NC 3 2016-08-05 2016-08-07 37.0 41.0 45.37 51.06 -1.6900000000000048 1.6900000000000048
59 2016 FL 3 2016-08-05 2016-08-07 40.0 42.0 44.31 51.98 -5.6699999999999955 5.6699999999999955
60 2016 MO 3 2016-08-05 2016-08-06 40.0 47.0 46.39 49.18 4.210000000000001 4.210000000000001
61 2016 WI 3 2016-08-04 2016-08-07 50.0 39.0 46.81 50.17 -14.36 14.36
62 2016 NC 3 2016-08-04 2016-08-10 46.0 44.0 45.37 51.06 -7.690000000000005 7.690000000000005
63 2016 FL 3 2016-08-04 2016-08-10 43.0 49.0 44.31 51.98 -1.6699999999999946 1.6699999999999946
64 2016 CO 3 2016-08-04 2016-08-10 53.0 38.0 49.97 44.31 -9.340000000000003 9.340000000000003
65 2016 WI 3 2016-08-04 2016-08-07 49.0 43.0 46.81 50.17 -9.36 9.36
66 2016 WI 3 2016-08-04 2016-08-07 53.0 42.0 46.81 50.17 -14.36 14.36
67 2016 WI 3 2016-08-04 2016-08-07 47.0 38.0 46.81 50.17 -12.36 12.36
68 2016 IA 3 2016-08-03 2016-08-07 42.0 52.0 35.66 60.09 -14.430000000000007 14.430000000000007
69 2016 OH 3 2016-08-03 2016-08-07 43.0 48.0 37.16 58.03 -15.870000000000005 15.870000000000005
70 2016 PA 3 2016-08-03 2016-08-07 48.0 44.0 47.34 48.77 -5.43 5.43
71 2016 KS 3 2016-08-03 2016-08-07 32.0 52.0 32.24 62.18 -9.939999999999998 9.939999999999998
72 2016 KY 3 2016-08-02 2016-08-04 40.7 59.3 42.72 57.27 4.04999999999999 4.04999999999999
73 2016 NV 3 2016-08-02 2016-08-05 35.0 38.0 47.1 44.67 5.43 5.43
74 2016 GA 3 2016-08-01 2016-08-04 42.0 48.0 41.03 54.78 -7.75 7.75
75 2016 IL 3 2016-08-01 2016-08-04 44.0 37.0 54.86 39.78 8.079999999999998 8.079999999999998
76 2016 FL 3 2016-08-01 2016-08-03 31.0 45.0 44.31 51.98 6.3300000000000045 6.3300000000000045
77 2016 FL 3 2016-08-01 2016-08-03 33.0 46.0 44.31 51.98 5.3300000000000045 5.3300000000000045
78 2016 IN 3 2016-08-01 2016-08-03 58.0 32.0 42.41 52.11 -35.7 35.7
79 2016 KY 3 2016-07-31 2016-08-01 38.0 50.0 42.72 57.27 -2.5500000000000043 2.5500000000000043
80 2016 PA 3 2016-07-31 2016-08-04 42.0 40.0 47.34 48.77 -3.43 3.43
81 2016 PA 3 2016-07-30 2016-08-07 47.0 44.0 47.34 48.77 -4.43 4.43
82 2016 FL 3 2016-07-30 2016-08-07 45.0 48.0 44.31 51.98 -4.6699999999999955 4.6699999999999955
83 2016 FL 3 2016-07-30 2016-08-07 48.0 34.0 44.31 51.98 -21.669999999999995 21.669999999999995
84 2016 OH 3 2016-07-30 2016-08-07 40.0 49.0 37.16 58.03 -11.870000000000005 11.870000000000005
85 2016 WI 3 2016-07-30 2016-08-01 49.7 44.2 46.81 50.17 -8.86 8.86
86 2016 NH 3 2016-07-29 2016-08-01 48.0 37.0 47.98 47.84 -10.860000000000007 10.860000000000007
87 2016 PA 3 2016-07-29 2016-08-01 39.0 38.0 47.34 48.77 -2.43 2.43
88 2016 UT 3 2016-07-18 2016-08-04 22.0 57.0 27.06 68.15 -6.0900000000000025 6.0900000000000025
89 2014 IA 2 2014-08-28 2014-08-30 43.0 45.0 43.76 52.1 -6.3400000000000025 6.3400000000000025
90 2014 OK 2 2014-08-28 2014-08-30 27.6 59.1 28.55 68.01 -7.960000000000008 7.960000000000008
91 2014 OK 3 2014-08-28 2014-08-30 27.9 58.4 28.98 67.85 -8.36999999999999 8.36999999999999
92 2014 NH 2 2014-08-27 2014-08-28 50.0 44.0 51.46 48.21 -2.75 2.75
93 2014 OK 3 2014-08-27 2014-08-28 34.0 57.0 28.98 67.85 -15.86999999999999 15.86999999999999
94 2014 IL 2 2014-08-27 2014-08-27 47.78 40.5 53.55 42.69 3.5799999999999983 3.5799999999999983
95 2014 MI 2 2014-08-27 2014-08-27 46.0 44.0 54.61 41.33 11.28 11.28
96 2014 SD 2 2014-08-27 2014-08-28 37.5 42.0 29.51 50.37 -16.359999999999996 16.359999999999996
97 2014 IL 2 2014-08-25 2014-08-27 44.0 38.0 53.55 42.69 4.8599999999999985 4.8599999999999985
98 2014 AR 2 2014-08-25 2014-08-26 44.0 43.0 39.43 56.5 -18.07 18.07
99 2014 KY 2 2014-08-25 2014-08-27 42.0 46.0 40.72 56.19 -11.47 11.47
100 2014 GA 2 2014-08-24 2014-08-25 44.74 43.09 45.21 52.89 -9.329999999999998 9.329999999999998

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CREATE TABLE "august-senate-polls/august_senate_polls" (
"cycle" INTEGER,
  "state" TEXT,
  "senate_class" INTEGER,
  "start_date" TEXT,
  "end_date" TEXT,
  "DEM_poll" REAL,
  "REP_poll" REAL,
  "DEM_result" REAL,
  "REP_result" REAL,
  "error" REAL,
  "absolute_error" REAL
)
Powered by Datasette · Query took 97.865ms · Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub