home / fivethirtyeight

pollster-ratings/2016/pollster-ratings

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub

372 rows

View and edit SQL

Suggested facets: Live Caller With Cellphones, Internet, NCPP/AAPOR/Roper, 538 Grade, Banned by 538

Link rowid ID Pollster Polls Live Caller With Cellphones Internet NCPP/AAPOR/Roper Polls.1 Simple Average Error Races Called Correctly Advanced Plus-Minus Predictive Plus-Minus 538 Grade Banned by 538 Mean-Reverted Bias
1 1 Monmouth University 71 yes no yes 41 5.488592 0.8521127000000001 -1.452013 -1.200763 A+ no 0.5892957
2 2 Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) 25 yes no yes 17 3.8568 1.0 -2.54074 -1.142149 A+ no -1.095745
3 3 Selzer & Company 37 yes no yes 24 4.620541 0.8378378000000001 -1.624378 -1.119856 A+ no -0.0074074
4 4 Elway Research 18 yes no yes 16 3.987778 0.8888889000000001 -2.306804 -0.98125 A+ no 0.481087
5 5 Ciruli Associates 17 yes no yes 16 3.604118 0.9411765 -2.0022580000000003 -0.9534630999999999 A+ no -0.7176087
6 6 ABC News/Washington Post 51 yes no yes 46 3.021961 0.7843137 -1.041506 -0.8607013000000001 A+ no 0.5755263
7 7 Grove Insight 29 yes no no 29 3.140344 0.8965517 -2.512963 -0.8169233 A no 0.48084750000000004
8 8 Marist College 146 yes no yes 85 5.395822 0.8801370000000001 -0.8353609000000001 -0.8118232 A no -0.6708696
9 9 Muhlenberg College 22 yes no yes 21 3.493636 0.9090908999999999 -1.327424 -0.7950341999999999 A no -0.4982353
10 10 National Journal 12 yes no yes 12 2.5966669999999996 1.0 -2.609999 -0.7897959 A no -0.1785714
11 11 Public Policy Institute of California 12 yes no yes 8 4.065 1.0 -1.9927540000000001 -0.7877255 A no -0.7092106
12 12 SurveyUSA 763 no no yes 597 4.62772 0.9017038 -0.9754659999999999 -0.756749 A no 0.09031900000000001
13 13 University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) 38 yes no yes 29 3.7292110000000003 0.9342104999999999 -0.9062568000000001 -0.7280639 A no -1.453051
14 14 Siena College 42 yes no yes 38 5.331666 0.8452381 -0.8431964 -0.7085312 A no -0.2779412
15 15 Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) 18 yes no yes 17 4.0777779999999995 0.9444444 -1.250776 -0.700291 A no 0.045106400000000005
16 16 Research & Polling, Inc. 26 yes no no 25 4.136154 0.8461539 -1.693069 -0.6159658 A no -0.6661818
17 17 Fox News/Anderson Robbins Research/Shaw & Company Research 24 yes no yes 9 6.39625 0.6458333 -0.7573535 -0.5699349 A no 0.4471795
18 18 Marquette University 7 yes no yes 4 2.594286 1.0 -3.7625629999999997 -0.569905 A no -0.05941180000000001
19 19 Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain) 7 yes no yes 5 3.46 0.7142857 -2.487332 -0.569905 A no 0.08800000000000001
20 20 Blum & Weprin Associates 18 yes no no 16 4.557777 0.9444444 -2.592506 -0.563125 A no -1.034565
21 21 NBC News/Wall Street Journal 25 yes no yes 20 4.1820010000000005 0.74 -0.607908 -0.5093797000000001 A- no 0.4582
22 22 University of Connecticut 7 yes no yes 7 3.64 0.9285714 -1.555947 -0.4858951 A- no -0.3637838
23 23 Time/Abt SRBI 7 yes no yes 6 3.172857 1.0 -1.545493 -0.48391720000000005 A- no 0.4425
24 24 Angus Reid Global 29 no yes no 29 3.2696549999999998 0.9310345 -1.996648 -0.4183522 A- no -1.3376270000000001
25 25 Ipsos 49 no yes yes 43 4.2542860000000005 0.7755102 -0.9168712 -0.4141193 A- no 0.1450685
26 26 Quinnipiac University 169 yes no yes 117 4.664438 0.8727809999999999 -0.34311020000000003 -0.39863990000000005 A- no -0.6578911999999999
27 27 University of Arkansas 4 yes no yes 4 2.4325 1.0 -5.493968 -0.3982699 A- no 0.2861765
28 28 IBD/TIPP 17 yes no no 17 2.307059 0.7647059 -1.555318 -0.37269759999999996 A- no -0.7468085
29 29 CBS News/New York Times 55 yes no yes 45 4.729818 0.7545455 -0.2623802 -0.3694986 A- no 0.6442667
30 30 CNN/Opinion Research Corp. 89 yes no yes 61 5.464830999999999 0.7584270000000001 -0.2757123 -0.3671682 A- no -0.1073626
31 31 Los Angeles Times 40 yes no yes 24 5.23775 0.8625 -0.23776039999999998 -0.3550468 A- no -0.6116666999999999
32 32 MassINC Polling Group 11 yes no no 7 3.081819 1.0 -2.434031 -0.32213559999999997 A- no -0.17756760000000002
33 33 St. Norbert College 12 yes no no 11 3.8683330000000002 0.875 -1.8385939999999998 -0.3159249 A- no 0.2531707
34 34 EPIC-MRA 43 yes no no 38 5.080698 0.8372093 -0.7529311 -0.2872285 A- no -0.35308829999999997
35 35 Western New England University 11 yes no yes 10 5.827272 0.8636364 -0.25349829999999995 -0.2825269 A- no -1.1520000000000001
36 36 University of North Florida 4 yes no yes 2 4.490001 0.5 -0.9633091 -0.2763063 B+ no 0.31625
37 37 University of New Hampshire 93 yes no yes 77 5.252903 0.8763440999999998 -0.1389312 -0.2622139 B+ no 1.658318
38 38 High Point University 2 yes no yes 2 0.9499989 1.0 -5.644591 -0.2609375 B+ no 0.005625
39 39 Indiana University 2 yes no yes 2 0.8549995000000001 1.0 -4.171918 -0.2609375 B+ no 0.0534375
40 40 GfK Group 19 no yes yes 19 3.398947 0.9210526 -1.114287 -0.2479431 B+ no -0.09142860000000001
41 41 Castleton University 3 yes no yes 0 9.933333 1.0 -1.000844 -0.24139899999999997 B+ no  
42 42 Lake Research Partners 9 yes no no 9 3.8455550000000005 0.8333333 -2.325385 -0.2354438 B+ no 0.4976923
43 43 Princeton Survey Research Associates International 32 yes no yes 31 4.63125 0.6875 0.0001773 -0.2281083 B+ no 0.2577049
44 44 Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group 22 yes no no 22 5.312727 0.8636364 -0.8991593000000001 -0.20328339999999998 B+ no 1.289231
45 45 Franklin & Marshall College 18 yes no yes 15 5.743888 0.9444444 0.0993153 -0.1940068 B+ no -0.3782222
46 46 RKM Research and Communications, Inc. 26 yes no no 18 5.593077 0.8653846 -0.7785377 -0.1913619 B+ no -0.20625
47 47 University of South Alabama 8 yes no no 8 2.75125 1.0 -3.00668 -0.18825479999999997 B+ no -0.4060526
48 48 University of Florida 1 yes no yes 1 1.07 0.5 -2.230408 -0.18376689999999998 B+ no 0.0345161
49 49 Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. 415 yes no no 355 5.212409 0.8614458 -0.38002040000000004 -0.1782705 B+ no -0.9653246999999999
50 50 Pew Research Center 20 yes no yes 20 3.4155 0.575 0.145644 -0.1745424 B+ no 0.5542
51 51 National Research, Inc. 8 yes no no 6 5.0575 0.8125 -1.9224919999999999 -0.1719374 B+ no -0.4511111
52 52 Market Shares Corp. 26 yes no yes 22 6.78423 0.8461539 0.18698220000000002 -0.1458399 B+ no -1.730577
53 53 Fleming & Associates 15 yes no no 13 5.078 1.0 -1.01001 -0.14000320000000002 B+ no -0.2902325
54 54 Market Research Insight 7 yes no no 5 1.784285 1.0 -4.398869 -0.13819579999999998 B+ no 0.18914289999999997
55 55 Montana State University Billings 7 yes no no 7 3.6071419999999996 0.5714286 -3.66488 -0.13819579999999998 B+ no 0.5591891999999999
56 56 Riley Research Associates 7 yes no no 7 2.657143 1.0 -2.378693 -0.13819579999999998 B+ no -0.11891889999999998
57 57 Vanderbilt University 1 yes no yes 0 8.9 1.0 0.4947172 -0.1032922 B+ no  
58 58 Elon University 4 yes no yes 4 3.960001 0.5 0.7268667 -0.0774621 B+ no 0.3794118
59 59 RT Strategies 42 yes no yes 42 5.7623809999999995 0.7142857 0.2686314 -0.059965 B+ no 1.091944
60 60 Public Policy Polling 383 no no no 263 4.918433 0.8237598 -0.49645100000000003 -0.054238999999999996 B+ no -0.2037543
61 61 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint 5 yes no no 4 4.444001 1.0 -2.78075 -0.0283673 B+ no -0.5597059
62 62 Ward Research (Honolulu Star-Advertiser) 14 yes no no 14 6.003572 0.75 -0.7039244 -0.0234388 B+ no -0.5524998999999999
63 63 Harstad Strategic Research, Inc. 9 yes no no 9 3.806667 0.7222221999999999 -1.039461 -0.013781100000000001 B+ no 0.7753846999999999
64 64 Temple University 6 no no yes 5 3.66 1.0 -1.505706 -0.0026177 B+ no -0.3531428
65 65 Suffolk University 67 yes no no 36 5.202538 0.8208955 -0.2230502 -0.0007645 B+ no 0.7319697
66 66 Pan Atlantic SMS Group 17 yes no no 15 6.7782350000000005 0.9117646999999999 -0.5243747 0.0001968 B+ no 0.9171110999999998
67 67 University of Washington 10 yes no no 10 3.9889989999999997 1.0 -0.871708 0.002073 B no 0.22975
68 68 Clemson University 5 yes no no 1 10.296 1.0 -1.740682 0.008678100000000001 B no -0.5387097
69 69 American Viewpoint 6 yes no no 6 3.958333 0.6666667 -1.350454 0.0232577 B no -0.6297222
70 70 Strategies 360 4 yes no no 4 2.035001 0.625 -3.1528150000000004 0.0320415 B no -0.0664706
71 71 Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall, Inc. 12 yes no no 10 4.274166999999999 0.8333333 -0.5770274999999999 0.0445228 B no -0.04625
72 72 Pharos Research Group 31 yes no no 31 4.044839 0.9193549000000001 -0.20871439999999997 0.05789059999999999 F yes 0.8706558000000001
73 73 Google Consumer Surveys 12 no yes no 12 2.224998 0.8333333 -1.9447279999999998 0.0815063 B no -0.6290475999999999
74 74 University of Massachusetts Amherst 11 yes no no 2 6.527272 1.0 -0.4717854 0.0878732 B no -0.4478125
75 75 Philadelphia Inquirer 4 yes no no 4 2.98 1.0 -1.4728290000000002 0.09406160000000001 B no -0.3141177
76 76 Keating Research, Inc. 3 yes no no 3 2.220001 0.6666667 -3.04524 0.0966116 B no -0.023636400000000002
77 77 Missouri State University 3 yes no no 3 4.366669 0.6666667 -2.393266 0.0966116 B no 0.3727273
78 78 Mellman Group 21 yes no no 21 4.853333 0.7857143 -0.1846877 0.10322550000000001 B no 1.640784
79 79 Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates 4 yes no no 3 6.345 0.75 -1.27962 0.1167922 B no 0.3130303
80 80 University of Massachusetts Lowell 14 yes no no 6 5.262144 0.9285714 -0.2432433 0.12314160000000002 B no -0.14527779999999998
81 81 YouGov 707 no yes no 652 6.679067 0.927157 -0.2802982 0.1257655 B no 1.598431
82 82 Voter/Consumer Research 6 yes no no 5 5.523332 1.0 -0.7016245 0.13139589999999998 B no -0.20800000000000002
83 83 SoonerPoll.com 16 yes no yes 12 8.496250999999999 0.8125 1.036585 0.13200699999999999 B no 1.8173810000000001
84 84 Richmond Times-Dispatch 4 yes no no 4 3.3025 1.0 -1.0942530000000001 0.1386 B no 0.34147059999999996
85 85 The Polling Company Inc. 3 yes no no 3 3.66 1.0 -1.482646 0.1436438 B no -0.0339394
86 86 Tarrance Group 24 yes no no 20 6.156667 0.8333333 -0.0477479 0.152112 B no -0.6604
87 87 Public Opinion Strategies 53 yes no no 51 5.884529 0.6603774 -0.0024708 0.1523213 B no -1.914321
88 88 Market Decisions 4 yes no no 4 5.164999 1.0 -0.9643474 0.153883 B no -0.0535294
89 89 McKeon & Associates 2 yes no no 1 0.9050007 1.0 -6.63812 0.16578120000000002 B no -0.027741900000000003
90 90 RBI Strategies & Research 2 yes no no 1 0.7049999 1.0 -6.571611999999999 0.16578120000000002 B no -0.0219355
91 91 Frederick Polls 2 yes no no 1 2.384998 0.75 -4.91725 0.16578120000000002 B no -0.0187097
92 92 APC Research 2 yes no no 2 2.530001 1.0 -3.4755480000000003 0.16578120000000002 B no 0.158125
93 93 Tulchin Research 2 yes no no 2 3.4500010000000003 1.0 -3.162069 0.16578120000000002 B no -0.215625
94 94 GBA Strategies 2 yes no no 2 3.689999 1.0 -2.702554 0.16578120000000002 B no -0.230625
95 95 Stockton College 5 yes no no 5 4.468001 1.0 -0.6040429 0.17105510000000002 B no 0.5291429
96 96 Knowledge Networks 3 no yes yes 1 4.093333 1.0 -1.1371040000000001 0.1750567 B no -0.008387100000000001
97 97 Kiley & Company 2 yes no no 2 5.1 1.0 -1.715313 0.18357420000000002 B no 0.2125
98 98 New England College 15 no no no 15 3.016667 0.7666666999999999 -1.28471 0.1917635 B no -0.618
99 99 Moore Information 6 yes no no 6 6.453334 0.6666667 -0.32341149999999996 0.19443139999999998 B no -0.4694445
100 100 Landmark Communications 24 no no no 18 4.905416000000001 0.875 -0.8656572 0.1952635 B no 0.520625

Next page

Advanced export

JSON shape: default, array

CSV options:

CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2016/pollster-ratings" (
"ID" INTEGER,
  "Pollster" TEXT,
  "Polls" INTEGER,
  "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT,
  "Internet" TEXT,
  "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper" TEXT,
  "Polls.1" INTEGER,
  "Simple Average Error" REAL,
  "Races Called Correctly" REAL,
  "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL,
  "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL,
  "538 Grade" TEXT,
  "Banned by 538" TEXT,
  "Mean-Reverted Bias" REAL
)
Powered by Datasette · Query took 64.118ms · Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub