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FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: raw-polls.csv

This directory contains the data behind FiveThirtyEight's pollster ratings.

See also:

Past data:

pollster-stats-full.xlsx contains a spreadsheet with all of the summary data and calculations involved in determining the pollster ratings as well as descriptions for each column.

pollster-ratings.csv has ratings and calculations for each pollster. A copy of this data and descriptions for each column can also be found in pollster-stats-full.xlsx.

raw-polls.csv contains all of the polls analyzed to give each pollster a grade. Descriptions for each column are in the table below.

Header Definition
pollno FiveThirtyEight poll ID number
race Election polled
year Year of election (not year of poll)
location Location (state or Congressional district, or "US" for national polls)
type_simple Type of election (5 categories)
type_detail Detailed type of election (this distinguishes between Republican and Democratic primaries, for example, whereas type_simple does not)
pollster Pollster name
partisan Flag for internal/partisan poll. "D" indicates Democratic poll, "R" indicates Republican poll, "I" indicates poll put out by independent candidate's campaign. Note that different sources define these categories differently and our categorization will often reflect the original source's definition. In other words, these definitions may be inconsistent and should be used carefully.
polldate Median field date of the poll
samplesize Sample size of the poll. Where missing, this is estimated from the poll's margin of error, or similar polls conducted by the same polling firm. A sample size of 600 is used if no better estimate is available.
cand1_name Name of Candidate #1. Candidates #1 and #2 are defined as the top two finishers in the election (regardless of whether or not they were the top two candidates in the poll). In races where a Democrat and a Republican were the top two finishers, Candidate #1 is the Democrat and simply listed as "Democrat".
cand1_pct Candidate #1's share of the vote in the poll.
cand2_name Name of Candidate #2. Candidates #1 and #2 are defined as the top two finishers in the election (regardless of whether or not they were the top two candidates in the poll). In races where a Democrat and a Republican were the top two finishers, Candidate #2 is the Republican and simply listed as "Republican"
cand2_pct Candidate #2's share of the vote in the poll.
cand3_pct Share of the vote for the top candidate listed in the poll, other than Candidate #1 and Candidate #2.
margin_poll Projected margin of victory (defeat) for Candidate #1. This is calculated as cand1_pct - cand2_pct. In races between a Democrat and a Republican, positive values indicate a Democratic lead; negative values a Repubican lead.
electiondate Date of election
cand1_actual Actual share of vote for Candidate #1
cand2_actual Actual share of vote for Candidate #2
margin_actual Actual margin in the election. This is calculated as cand1_actual - cand2_actual. In races between a Democrat and a Republican, positive values indicate a Democratic win; negative values a Republican win.
error Absolute value of the difference between the actual and polled result. This is calculated as abs(margin_poll - margin_actual)
bias Statistical bias of the poll. This is calculated only for races in which the top two finishers were a Democrat and a Republican. It is calculated as margin_poll - margin_actual. Positive values indicate a Democratic bias (the Democrat did better in the poll than the election). Negative values indicate a Republican bias.
rightcall Flag to indicate whether the pollster called the outcome correctly, i.e. whether the candidate they had listed in 1st place won the election. A 1 indicates a correct call and a 0 an incorrect call; 0.5 indicates that the pollster had two or more candidates tied for the lead and one of the tied candidates won.
comment Additional information, such as alternate names for the poll.

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub

8,512 rows

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Suggested facets: year, type_simple, type_detail, partisan, rightcall

Link rowid pollno race year location type_simple type_detail pollster partisan polldate samplesize cand1_name cand1_pct cand2_name cand2_pct cand3_pct margin_poll electiondate cand1_actual cand2_actual margin_actual error bias rightcall comment
1 5380001 1998_House-G_ID-1 1998 ID-1 House-G House-G Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group D 10/13/98 372.0 Democrat 44.0 Republican 42.0   2.0 11/3/98 44.73 55.27 -10.54 12.54 12.54 0.0  
2 5380002 1998_House-G_ID-2 1998 ID-2 House-G House-G Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group D 10/13/98 400.0 Democrat 42.0 Republican 36.0   6.0 11/3/98 44.69 52.51 -7.82 13.82 13.82 0.0  
3 5380003 1998_House-G_US 1998 US House-G House-G Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics   10/13/98 864.0 Democrat 39.0 Republican 36.0   3.0 11/3/98 46.42 47.99 -1.57 4.57 4.57 0.0 previously listed as Zogby Analytics, telephone
4 5380004 1998_Sen-G_NV 1998 NV Sen-G Sen-G Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates D 10/13/98 1418.0 Democrat 49.0 Republican 44.0   5.0 11/3/98 47.88 47.78 0.1 4.9 4.9 1.0  
5 5380005 1998_Sen-G_NY 1998 NY Sen-G Sen-G Blum & Weprin Associates   10/13/98 364.0 Democrat 44.0 Republican 52.0   -8.0 11/3/98 54.62 44.08 10.54 18.54 -18.54 0.0  
6 5380006 1998_Sen-G_NY 1998 NY Sen-G Sen-G Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group D 10/13/98 902.0 Democrat 46.0 Republican 42.0   4.0 11/3/98 54.62 44.08 10.54 6.54 -6.54 1.0  
7 5380007 1998_Sen-G_OH 1998 OH Sen-G Sen-G University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll)   10/13/98 540.0 Democrat 34.0 Republican 62.0   -28.0 11/3/98 43.53 56.46 -12.93 15.07 -15.07 1.0  
8 5380008 1998_Gov-G_AZ 1998 AZ Gov-G Gov-G Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain)   10/14/98 519.0 Democrat 31.0 Republican 53.0   -22.0 11/3/98 35.5 61.0 -25.5 3.5 3.5 1.0  
9 5380009 1998_Gov-G_IA 1998 IA Gov-G Gov-G Talmey-Drake Research & Strategy, Inc. D 10/14/98 408.0 Democrat 40.0 Republican 48.0   -8.0 11/3/98 52.3 46.5 5.8 13.8 -13.8 0.0  
10 5380010 1998_Gov-G_IL 1998 IL Gov-G Gov-G WCIA-TV   10/14/98 401.0 Democrat 32.0 Republican 58.0   -26.0 11/3/98 47.5 51.0 -3.5 22.5 -22.5 1.0  
11 5380011 1998_Gov-G_NE 1998 NE Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.   10/14/98 828.0 Democrat 34.0 Republican 54.0   -20.0 11/3/98 46.0 53.9 -7.9 12.1 -12.1 1.0  
12 5380012 1998_Gov-G_WI 1998 WI Gov-G Gov-G St. Norbert College   10/14/98 269.0 Democrat 35.0 Republican 59.0   -24.0 11/3/98 38.7 59.7 -21.0 3.0 -3.0 1.0  
13 5380013 1998_House-G_MT-1 1998 MT-1 House-G House-G Moore Information R 10/14/98 400.0 Democrat 36.0 Republican 51.0   -15.0 11/3/98 44.4 53.0 -8.6 6.4 -6.4 1.0  
14 5380014 1998_Sen-G_AZ 1998 AZ Sen-G Sen-G Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain)   10/14/98 519.0 Democrat 18.0 Republican 60.0   -42.0 11/3/98 27.16 68.74 -41.58 0.42 -0.42 1.0  
15 5380015 1998_Sen-G_IL 1998 IL Sen-G Sen-G WCIA-TV   10/14/98 401.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 54.0   -17.0 11/3/98 47.44 50.35 -2.91 14.09 -14.09 1.0  
16 5380016 1998_Sen-G_WI 1998 WI Sen-G Sen-G St. Norbert College   10/14/98 415.0 Democrat 47.0 Republican 40.0   7.0 11/3/98 50.55 48.4 2.15 4.85 4.85 1.0  
17 5380017 1998_Gov-G_NY 1998 NY Gov-G Gov-G Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics   10/15/98 706.0 Democrat 21.0 Republican 53.0 7.0 -32.0 11/3/98 33.2 54.3 -21.1 10.9 -10.9 1.0 previously listed as Zogby Analytics, telephone
18 5380018 1998_Gov-G_WI 1998 WI Gov-G Gov-G University of Wisconsin Milwaukee   10/15/98 415.0 Democrat 28.0 Republican 63.0   -35.0 11/3/98 38.7 59.7 -21.0 14.0 -14.0 1.0 previously listed as University Wisconsin-Milwaukee
19 5380019 1998_House-G_NC-8 1998 NC-8 House-G House-G Wirthlin Worldwide R 10/15/98 505.0 Democrat 39.0 Republican 51.0   -12.0 11/3/98 49.0 51.0 -2.0 10.0 -10.0 1.0  
20 5380020 1998_House-G_US 1998 US House-G House-G Yankelovich Partners, Inc.   10/15/98 442.0 Democrat 47.0 Republican 47.0   0.0 11/3/98 46.42 47.99 -1.57 1.57 1.57 0.5  
21 5380021 1998_Sen-G_GA 1998 GA Sen-G Sen-G University of Georgia   10/15/98 500.0 Democrat 29.0 Republican 46.0   -17.0 11/3/98 45.15 52.37 -7.22 9.78 -9.78 1.0  
22 5380022 1998_Sen-G_NY 1998 NY Sen-G Sen-G Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics   10/15/98 706.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 42.0   -5.0 11/3/98 54.62 44.08 10.54 15.54 -15.54 0.0 previously listed as Zogby Analytics, telephone
23 5380023 1998_Sen-G_WI 1998 WI Sen-G Sen-G University of Wisconsin Milwaukee   10/15/98 269.0 Democrat 46.0 Republican 44.0   2.0 11/3/98 50.55 48.4 2.15 0.15 -0.15 1.0 previously listed as University Wisconsin-Milwaukee
24 5380024 1998_Gov-G_CO 1998 CO Gov-G Gov-G Public Opinion Strategies   10/16/98 500.0 Democrat 39.0 Republican 43.0   -4.0 11/3/98 48.4 49.1 -0.7 3.3 -3.3 1.0  
25 5380025 1998_Gov-G_CT 1998 CT Gov-G Gov-G Quinnipiac University   10/16/98 683.0 Democrat 24.0 Republican 72.0   -48.0 11/3/98 35.4 62.9 -27.5 20.5 -20.5 1.0  
26 5380026 1998_Gov-G_MD 1998 MD Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.   10/16/98 828.0 Democrat 46.0 Republican 44.0   2.0 11/3/98 55.1 44.8 10.3 8.3 -8.3 1.0  
27 5380027 1998_House-G_US 1998 US House-G House-G Hill Research Consultants   10/16/98 600.0 Democrat 41.0 Republican 38.0   3.0 11/3/98 46.42 47.99 -1.57 4.57 4.57 0.0  
28 5380028 1998_House-G_US 1998 US House-G House-G Pew Research Center   10/16/98 743.0 Democrat 43.0 Republican 48.0   -5.0 11/3/98 46.42 47.99 -1.57 3.43 -3.43 1.0  
29 5380029 1998_Sen-G_CT 1998 CT Sen-G Sen-G Quinnipiac University   10/16/98 683.0 Democrat 61.0 Republican 29.0   32.0 11/3/98 65.15 32.37 32.78 0.78 -0.78 1.0  
30 5380030 1998_Sen-G_IL 1998 IL Sen-G Sen-G University of Illinois at Chicago   10/16/98 597.0 Democrat 31.0 Republican 48.0   -17.0 11/3/98 47.44 50.35 -2.91 14.09 -14.09 1.0  
31 5380031 1998_Sen-G_MD 1998 MD Sen-G Sen-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.   10/16/98 821.0 Democrat 67.0 Republican 26.0   41.0 11/3/98 70.5 29.5 41.0 0.0 0.0 1.0  
32 5380032 1998_Gov-G_CA 1998 CA Gov-G Gov-G Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)   10/17/98 809.0 Democrat 50.0 Republican 43.0   7.0 11/3/98 58.0 38.4 19.6 12.6 -12.6 1.0  
33 5380033 1998_Gov-G_FL 1998 FL Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.   10/17/98 822.0 Democrat 41.0 Republican 51.0   -10.0 11/3/98 44.7 55.3 -10.6 0.6 0.6 1.0  
34 5380034 1998_Gov-G_MN 1998 MN Gov-G Gov-G Star Tribune   10/17/98 1007.0 Ventura (I) 21.0 Coleman (R) 34.0   -13.0 11/3/98 37.0 34.3 2.7 15.7   0.0 number of likely voters estimated
35 5380035 1998_Gov-G_NH 1998 NH Gov-G Gov-G Becker Institute   10/17/98 355.0 Democrat 67.0 Republican 22.0   45.0 11/3/98 66.1 33.1 33.0 12.0 12.0 1.0  
36 5380036 1998_House-G_CA-46 1998 CA-46 House-G House-G Los Angeles Times   10/17/98 1000.0 Democrat 48.0 Republican 34.0   14.0 11/3/98 56.4 39.2 17.2 3.2 -3.2 1.0  
37 5380037 1998_House-G_IN-10 1998 IN-10 House-G House-G Massie & Associates R 10/17/98 300.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 38.0   -1.0 11/3/98 58.3 39.4 18.9 19.9 -19.9 0.0  
38 5380038 1998_House-G_US 1998 US House-G House-G ABC News/Washington Post   10/17/98 548.0 Democrat 47.0 Republican 48.0   -1.0 11/3/98 46.42 47.99 -1.57 0.57 0.57 1.0  
39 5380039 1998_Sen-G_FL 1998 FL Sen-G Sen-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.   10/17/98 836.0 Democrat 58.0 Republican 32.0   26.0 11/3/98 62.47 37.53 24.94 1.06 1.06 1.0  
40 5380040 1998_Gov-G_HI 1998 HI Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.   10/18/98 406.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 52.0   -15.0 11/3/98 50.1 48.8 1.3 16.3 -16.3 0.0  
41 5380041 1998_Gov-G_NM 1998 NM Gov-G Gov-G Research & Polling, Inc.   10/18/98 916.0 Democrat 39.0 Republican 49.0   -10.0 11/3/98 45.5 54.5 -9.0 1.0 -1.0 1.0  
42 5380042 1998_Gov-G_OH 1998 OH Gov-G Gov-G Gordon S. Black Corp.   10/18/98 1012.0 Democrat 28.0 Republican 36.0   -8.0 11/3/98 44.7 50.1 -5.4 2.6 -2.6 1.0 aka Plain Dealer
43 5380043 1998_Gov-G_RI 1998 RI Gov-G Gov-G KRC/Communications Research   10/18/98 400.0 Democrat 45.0 Republican 47.0   -2.0 11/3/98 42.1 51.0 -8.9 6.9 6.9 1.0  
44 5380044 1998_House-G_HI-1 1998 HI-1 House-G House-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.   10/18/98 221.0 Democrat 50.0 Republican 36.0   14.0 11/3/98 59.8 35.3 24.5 10.5 -10.5 1.0  
45 5380045 1998_House-G_KY-6 1998 KY-6 House-G House-G TMR Research   10/18/98 700.0 Democrat 44.0 Republican 41.0   3.0 11/3/98 46.0 53.1 -7.1 10.1 10.1 0.0  
46 5380046 1998_House-G_ND-1 1998 ND-1 House-G House-G Wilson Research Strategies R 10/18/98 300.0 Democrat 49.0 Republican 40.0   9.0 11/3/98 56.2 41.1 15.1 6.1 -6.1 1.0  
47 5380047 1998_House-G_WA-1 1998 WA-1 House-G House-G Lauer Lalley Victoria, Inc. D 10/18/98 368.0 Democrat 43.0 Republican 39.0 5.0 4.0 11/3/98 49.8 44.1 5.7 1.7 -1.7 1.0  
48 5380048 1998_Sen-G_KY 1998 KY Sen-G Sen-G TMR Research   10/18/98 800.0 Democrat 44.0 Republican 39.0   5.0 11/3/98 49.16 49.75 -0.59 5.59 5.59 0.0  
49 5380049 1998_Sen-G_OH 1998 OH Sen-G Sen-G Gordon S. Black Corp.   10/18/98 1012.0 Democrat 28.0 Republican 51.0   -23.0 11/3/98 43.53 56.46 -12.93 10.07 -10.07 1.0  
50 5380050 1998_Sen-G_OK 1998 OK Sen-G Sen-G Tulsa Surveys   10/18/98 750.0 Democrat 16.0 Republican 63.0   -47.0 11/3/98 31.28 66.38 -35.1 11.9 -11.9 1.0  
51 5380051 1998_Gov-G_CA 1998 CA Gov-G Gov-G Los Angeles Times   10/19/98 883.0 Democrat 53.0 Republican 42.0   11.0 11/3/98 58.0 38.4 19.6 8.6 -8.6 1.0  
52 5380053 1998_Gov-G_IL 1998 IL Gov-G Gov-G Market Shares Corp.   10/19/98 1099.0 Democrat 34.0 Republican 49.0   -15.0 11/3/98 47.5 51.0 -3.5 11.5 -11.5 1.0  
53 5380054 1998_Gov-G_MA 1998 MA Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.   10/19/98 625.0 Democrat 41.0 Republican 46.0   -5.0 11/3/98 47.4 50.8 -3.4 1.6 -1.6 1.0  
54 5380055 1998_House-G_US 1998 US House-G House-G Wirthlin Worldwide   10/19/98 415.0 Democrat 41.0 Republican 45.0   -4.0 11/3/98 46.42 47.99 -1.57 2.43 -2.43 1.0  
55 5380056 1998_Sen-G_CA 1998 CA Sen-G Sen-G Los Angeles Times   10/19/98 883.0 Democrat 49.0 Republican 44.0   5.0 11/3/98 53.06 43.01 10.05 5.05 -5.05 1.0  
56 5380057 1998_Sen-G_IL 1998 IL Sen-G Sen-G Market Shares Corp.   10/19/98 1099.0 Democrat 38.0 Republican 48.0   -10.0 11/3/98 47.44 50.35 -2.91 7.09 -7.09 1.0  
57 5380058 1998_Gov-G_AZ 1998 AZ Gov-G Gov-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 732.0 Democrat 35.0 Republican 55.0   -20.0 11/3/98 35.5 61.0 -25.5 5.5 5.5 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
58 5380059 1998_Gov-G_CA 1998 CA Gov-G Gov-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 4531.0 Democrat 50.0 Republican 39.0   11.0 11/3/98 58.0 38.4 19.6 8.6 -8.6 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
59 5380060 1998_Gov-G_CO 1998 CO Gov-G Gov-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 614.0 Democrat 46.0 Republican 43.0   3.0 11/3/98 48.4 49.1 -0.7 3.7 3.7 0.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
60 5380061 1998_Gov-G_FL 1998 FL Gov-G Gov-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 2295.0 Democrat 40.0 Republican 56.0   -16.0 11/3/98 44.7 55.3 -10.6 5.4 -5.4 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
61 5380062 1998_Gov-G_GA 1998 GA Gov-G Gov-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 1174.0 Democrat 42.0 Republican 47.0   -5.0 11/3/98 52.5 44.0 8.5 13.5 -13.5 0.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
62 5380063 1998_Gov-G_IA 1998 IA Gov-G Gov-G Talmey-Drake Research & Strategy, Inc. D 10/20/98 408.0 Democrat 44.0 Republican 46.0   -2.0 11/3/98 52.3 46.5 5.8 7.8 -7.8 0.0  
63 5380064 1998_Gov-G_IL 1998 IL Gov-G Gov-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 1209.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 55.0   -18.0 11/3/98 47.5 51.0 -3.5 14.5 -14.5 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
64 5380065 1998_Gov-G_IL 1998 IL Gov-G Gov-G KRC/Communications Research   10/20/98 400.0 Democrat 42.0 Republican 44.0   -2.0 11/3/98 47.5 51.0 -3.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 aka Chicago Sun Times
65 5380066 1998_Gov-G_MA 1998 MA Gov-G Gov-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 907.0 Democrat 36.0 Republican 56.0   -20.0 11/3/98 47.4 50.8 -3.4 16.6 -16.6 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
66 5380067 1998_Gov-G_MA 1998 MA Gov-G Gov-G RKM Research and Communications, Inc.   10/20/98 402.0 Democrat 41.0 Republican 46.0   -5.0 11/3/98 47.4 50.8 -3.4 1.6 -1.6 1.0  
67 5380068 1998_Gov-G_MD 1998 MD Gov-G Gov-G ABC News/Washington Post   10/20/98 919.0 Democrat 49.0 Republican 44.0   5.0 11/3/98 55.1 44.8 10.3 5.3 -5.3 1.0  
68 5380069 1998_Gov-G_MD 1998 MD Gov-G Gov-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 911.0 Democrat 42.0 Republican 55.0   -13.0 11/3/98 55.1 44.8 10.3 23.3 -23.3 0.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
69 5380070 1998_Gov-G_MI 1998 MI Gov-G Gov-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 1535.0 Democrat 36.0 Republican 51.0   -15.0 11/3/98 37.8 62.2 -24.4 9.4 9.4 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
70 5380071 1998_Gov-G_NM 1998 NM Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.   10/20/98 409.0 Democrat 43.0 Republican 47.0   -4.0 11/3/98 45.5 54.5 -9.0 5.0 5.0 1.0  
71 5380072 1998_Gov-G_NY 1998 NY Gov-G Gov-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 1792.0 Democrat 24.0 Republican 48.0 15.0 -24.0 11/3/98 33.2 54.3 -21.1 2.9 -2.9 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
72 5380073 1998_Gov-G_OH 1998 OH Gov-G Gov-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 1793.0 Democrat 39.0 Republican 50.0   -11.0 11/3/98 44.7 50.1 -5.4 5.6 -5.6 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
73 5380074 1998_Gov-G_PA 1998 PA Gov-G Gov-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 1611.0 Democrat 16.0 Republican 64.0 12.0 -48.0 11/3/98 31.0 57.4 -26.4 21.6 -21.6 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
74 5380075 1998_Gov-G_TX 1998 TX Gov-G Gov-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 3248.0 Democrat 22.0 Republican 73.0   -51.0 11/3/98 31.2 68.2 -37.0 14.0 -14.0 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
75 5380076 1998_House-G_MT-1 1998 MT-1 House-G House-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.   10/20/98 819.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 52.0   -15.0 11/3/98 44.4 53.0 -8.6 6.4 -6.4 1.0  
76 5380077 1998_House-G_UT-2 1998 UT-2 House-G House-G Valley Research   10/20/98 452.0 Democrat 42.0 Republican 41.0   1.0 11/3/98 43.4 52.7 -9.3 10.3 10.3 0.0 aka Salt Lake Tribune
77 5380078 1998_Sen-G_AZ 1998 AZ Sen-G Sen-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 732.0 Democrat 18.0 Republican 66.0   -48.0 11/3/98 27.16 68.74 -41.58 6.42 -6.42 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
78 5380079 1998_Sen-G_CA 1998 CA Sen-G Sen-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 4531.0 Democrat 46.0 Republican 45.0   1.0 11/3/98 53.06 43.01 10.05 9.05 -9.05 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
79 5380080 1998_Sen-G_CO 1998 CO Sen-G Sen-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 614.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 55.0   -18.0 11/3/98 35.01 62.47 -27.46 9.46 9.46 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
80 5380081 1998_Sen-G_FL 1998 FL Sen-G Sen-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 2295.0 Democrat 60.0 Republican 31.0   29.0 11/3/98 62.47 37.53 24.94 4.06 4.06 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
81 5380082 1998_Sen-G_GA 1998 GA Sen-G Sen-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 1174.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 53.0   -16.0 11/3/98 45.15 52.37 -7.22 8.78 -8.78 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
82 5380083 1998_Sen-G_IL 1998 IL Sen-G Sen-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 1209.0 Democrat 38.0 Republican 52.0   -14.0 11/3/98 47.44 50.35 -2.91 11.09 -11.09 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
83 5380084 1998_Sen-G_IL 1998 IL Sen-G Sen-G Illinois Wesleyan University   10/20/98 423.0 Democrat 31.0 Republican 53.0   -22.0 11/3/98 47.44 50.35 -2.91 19.09 -19.09 1.0  
84 5380085 1998_Sen-G_IL 1998 IL Sen-G Sen-G KRC/Communications Research   10/20/98 400.0 Democrat 40.0 Republican 50.0   -10.0 11/3/98 47.44 50.35 -2.91 7.09 -7.09 1.0  
85 5380086 1998_Sen-G_IN 1998 IN Sen-G Sen-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 831.0 Democrat 63.0 Republican 27.0   36.0 11/3/98 63.72 34.79 28.93 7.07 7.07 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
86 5380087 1998_Sen-G_MD 1998 MD Sen-G Sen-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 911.0 Democrat 67.0 Republican 27.0   40.0 11/3/98 70.5 29.5 41.0 1.0 -1.0 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
87 5380088 1998_Sen-G_NC 1998 NC Sen-G Sen-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 1163.0 Democrat 47.0 Republican 38.0   9.0 11/3/98 51.15 47.01 4.14 4.86 4.86 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
88 5380089 1998_Sen-G_NY 1998 NY Sen-G Sen-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 1792.0 Democrat 44.0 Republican 46.0   -2.0 11/3/98 54.62 44.08 10.54 12.54 -12.54 0.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
89 5380090 1998_Sen-G_OH 1998 OH Sen-G Sen-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 1793.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 55.0   -18.0 11/3/98 43.53 56.46 -12.93 5.07 -5.07 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
90 5380091 1998_Sen-G_PA 1998 PA Sen-G Sen-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 1611.0 Democrat 25.0 Republican 57.0   -32.0 11/3/98 34.79 61.34 -26.55 5.45 -5.45 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
91 5380092 1998_Sen-G_SD 1998 SD Sen-G Sen-G NRECA Market Research   10/20/98 500.0 Democrat 58.0 Republican 26.0   32.0 11/3/98 62.14 36.41 25.73 6.27 6.27 1.0  
92 5380093 1998_Sen-G_WA 1998 WA Sen-G Sen-G Harris Interactive   10/20/98 831.0 Democrat 54.0 Republican 41.0   13.0 11/3/98 58.41 41.59 16.82 3.82 -3.82 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online
93 5380094 1998_Gov-G_AL 1998 AL Gov-G Gov-G University of South Alabama   10/21/98 820.0 Democrat 46.0 Republican 32.0   14.0 11/3/98 57.7 42.1 15.6 1.6 -1.6 1.0  
94 5380095 1998_Gov-G_MI 1998 MI Gov-G Gov-G Mitchell Research & Communications   10/21/98 600.0 Democrat 30.0 Republican 62.0   -32.0 11/3/98 37.8 62.2 -24.4 7.6 -7.6 1.0  
95 5380096 1998_Gov-G_RI 1998 RI Gov-G Gov-G KRC/Communications Research   10/21/98 400.0 Democrat 45.0 Republican 40.0 7.0 5.0 11/3/98 42.1 51.0 -8.9 13.9 13.9 0.0  
96 5380097 1998_House-G_IN-9 1998 IN-9 House-G House-G Public Opinion Strategies R 10/21/98 300.0 Democrat 41.0 Republican 51.0   -10.0 11/3/98 50.8 47.9 2.9 12.9 -12.9 0.0  
97 5380098 1998_House-G_KS-4 1998 KS-4 House-G House-G SurveyUSA   10/21/98 500.0 Democrat 40.0 Republican 56.0   -16.0 11/3/98 38.56 58.26 -19.7 3.7 3.7 1.0  
98 5380099 1998_Sen-G_CO 1998 CO Sen-G Sen-G Ciruli Associates   10/21/98 400.0 Democrat 30.0 Republican 61.0   -31.0 11/3/98 35.01 62.47 -27.46 3.54 -3.54 1.0  
99 5380100 1998_Sen-G_NY 1998 NY Sen-G Sen-G SurveyUSA   10/21/98 500.0 Democrat 48.0 Republican 43.0   5.0 11/3/98 54.62 44.08 10.54 5.54 -5.54 1.0  
100 5380101 1998_Sen-G_NY 1998 NY Sen-G Sen-G Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics   10/21/98 703.0 Democrat 39.0 Republican 43.0   -4.0 11/3/98 54.62 44.08 10.54 14.54 -14.54 0.0 previously listed as Zogby Analytics, telephone

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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/raw-polls" (
"pollno" INTEGER,
  "race" TEXT,
  "year" INTEGER,
  "location" TEXT,
  "type_simple" TEXT,
  "type_detail" TEXT,
  "pollster" TEXT,
  "partisan" TEXT,
  "polldate" TEXT,
  "samplesize" REAL,
  "cand1_name" TEXT,
  "cand1_pct" REAL,
  "cand2_name" TEXT,
  "cand2_pct" REAL,
  "cand3_pct" REAL,
  "margin_poll" REAL,
  "electiondate" TEXT,
  "cand1_actual" REAL,
  "cand2_actual" REAL,
  "margin_actual" REAL,
  "error" REAL,
  "bias" REAL,
  "rightcall" REAL,
  "comment" REAL
)
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