rowid cycle state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment election_date election_qdate last_qdate last_enddate _medpoly2 trend_medpoly2 _shortpoly0 trend_shortpoly0 sum_weight_medium sum_weight_short sum_influence sum_nat_influence _minpoints _defaultbasetime _numloops _state_houseeffects_weight _state_trendline_weight _out_of_state_house_discount _house_effects_multiplier _attenuate_endpoints _nonlinear_polynomial_degree _shortpoly_combpoly_weight _nat_shortpoly_combpoly_weight 1 2016 Alabama 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 70.11138 68.63747 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 66 1/12/2016 70.111381 68.637474 1.293506 1.293506 1.293506 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 2 2016 Alaska 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 51.63014 49.68174 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/12/2016 51.630138 49.681736 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 3 2016 Arizona 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 44.0 41.02212 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 30 12/9/2015 44.0 41.022121 0.8299773 0.8299773 0.8299773 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 4 2016 Colorado 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 45.9515 43.51193 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 113 2/29/2016 45.951502 43.511929 2.209496 2.209496 1.012831 0.6910744 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 5 2016 Florida 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.54603 44.68674 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 110 2/25/2016 47.394218 46.558936 46.376394 44.312304 4.328866 4.328866 2.770836 0.9420227 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 6 2016 Georgia 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 49.98361 49.4803 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/23/2016 49.983612 49.480297 1.775305 1.775305 1.775305 1.194635 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 7 2016 Illinois 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 27.5 25.70271 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/9/2016 27.500001 25.702706 0.7289574 0.7289574 0.7289574 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 8 2016 Iowa 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.1852 41.14408 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/10/2016 43.198731 41.433503 43.182495 41.086191 5.338463 5.338463 4.136615 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 9 2016 Kansas 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 50.45541 49.83593 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/26/2016 50.455414 49.83593 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.2615218 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 10 2016 Michigan 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 38.922 38.48544 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/3/2016 38.488217 38.344093 39.008763 38.513705 4.180455 4.180455 3.278449 3.134945 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 11 2016 Minnesota 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 40.25981 38.38002 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 73 1/20/2016 40.259812 38.380024 1.084677 1.084677 1.084677 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 12 2016 Montana 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 55.84407 52.12106 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 13 11/23/2015 55.844066 52.121059 0.4694052 0.4694052 0.4694052 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 13 2016 National 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 42.9214 42.44001 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016 42.447379 42.386132 43.395429 42.493883 54.51669 62.48756 8.461908 8.461908 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 14 2016 Nevada 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.28437 41.72754 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015 46.284366 41.727535 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 15 2016 New Hampshire 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 41.26325 39.64256 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 109 2/28/2016 40.440873 39.552022 41.427723 39.660664 9.321606 9.321606 3.470526 0.8122557 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 16 2016 New Jersey 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 38.23107 37.87658 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 111 2/28/2016 38.231072 37.876576 1.059748 1.059748 1.059748 0.8616768 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 17 2016 New York 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 35.19905 34.54594 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016 35.199056 34.545939 2.292912 2.393991 1.376205 1.175688 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 18 2016 North Carolina 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 44.26028 43.30642 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 102 2/19/2016 43.419103 42.84673 44.428513 43.398352 7.017797 7.017797 5.563706 1.608383 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 19 2016 Ohio 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.62766 43.08505 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 103 2/20/2016 43.627659 43.085048 2.498985 2.498985 2.428324 1.015099 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 20 2016 Pennsylvania 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 42.75623 42.34789 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/2/2016 42.756226 42.347888 1.499532 1.499532 1.172013 1.186391 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 21 2016 South Carolina 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.28437 42.67881 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015 46.284366 42.67881 0.7809128 0.7809128 0.7809128 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 22 2016 Texas 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.98365 46.2808 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016 46.983646 46.280804 1.799316 1.799316 1.799316 1.126718 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 23 2016 Utah 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 37.2043 34.74948 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 34 12/14/2015 37.204296 34.749477 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 24 2016 Virginia 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 37.47325 35.77851 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/22/2016 37.289689 36.495688 37.509958 35.635076 2.093773 2.093773 1.360229 0.3894523 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 25 2016 West Virginia 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 61.0 60.41967 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016 61.0 60.419666 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.3523191 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 26 2016 Wisconsin 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 39.85077 38.14385 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/21/2016 39.553864 38.729296 39.910153 38.026762 3.306806 3.306806 2.057189 0.574262 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 27 2016 Alabama 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 32.67097 32.84491 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 66 1/12/2016 32.670974 32.844913 1.293506 1.293506 1.293506 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 28 2016 Alaska 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.82401 45.08152 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/12/2016 44.824013 45.081524 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 29 2016 Arizona 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.0 40.0138 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 30 12/9/2015 42.0 40.013798 0.8299773 0.8299773 0.8299773 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 30 2016 Colorado 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.03014 41.31678 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 113 2/29/2016 42.030141 41.31678 2.209496 2.209496 1.012831 0.6910744 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 31 2016 Florida 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.90705 44.34629 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 110 2/25/2016 44.525869 44.386938 44.983282 44.338154 4.328866 4.328866 2.770836 0.9420227 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 32 2016 Georgia 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 41.02863 40.96251 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/23/2016 41.028633 40.962509 1.775305 1.775305 1.775305 1.194635 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 33 2016 Illinois 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 36.5 36.77266 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/9/2016 36.5 36.772659 0.7289574 0.7289574 0.7289574 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 34 2016 Iowa 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 45.31864 45.08527 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/10/2016 45.157377 45.484846 45.350893 45.005355 5.338463 5.338463 4.136615 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 35 2016 Kansas 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 37.2351 37.17752 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/26/2016 37.235096 37.17752 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.2615218 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 36 2016 Michigan 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 48.94632 48.92916 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/3/2016 50.331258 50.332246 48.669327 48.648538 4.180455 4.180455 3.278449 3.134945 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 37 2016 Minnesota 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 43.72152 43.61113 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 73 1/20/2016 43.721515 43.611126 1.084677 1.084677 1.084677 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 38 2016 Montana 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 31.16828 29.85276 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 13 11/23/2015 31.168275 29.852756 0.4694052 0.4694052 0.4694052 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 39 2016 National 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 47.38879 47.13026 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016 47.482154 47.201392 47.295415 47.05913 54.51669 62.48756 8.461908 8.461908 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 40 2016 Nevada 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.14902 40.59892 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015 42.149017 40.598915 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 41 2016 New Hampshire 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 46.90771 46.53025 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 109 2/28/2016 46.213225 45.880746 47.046604 46.660153 9.321606 9.321606 3.470526 0.8122557 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 42 2016 New Jersey 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 52.72868 52.72894 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 111 2/28/2016 52.728676 52.728939 1.059748 1.059748 1.059748 0.8616768 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 43 2016 New York 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 57.71964 57.55657 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016 57.719635 57.556568 2.292912 2.393991 1.376205 1.175688 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 44 2016 North Carolina 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.42224 44.09425 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 102 2/19/2016 44.725157 44.543866 44.36166 44.004333 7.017797 7.017797 5.563706 1.608383 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 45 2016 Ohio 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 40.64627 40.60757 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 103 2/20/2016 40.646266 40.607575 2.498985 2.498985 2.428324 1.015099 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 46 2016 Pennsylvania 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.8965 44.84734 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/2/2016 44.896504 44.847338 1.499532 1.499532 1.172013 1.186391 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 47 2016 South Carolina 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.14902 40.84846 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015 42.149017 40.848465 0.7809128 0.7809128 0.7809128 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 48 2016 Texas 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.02897 43.90934 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016 44.028969 43.90934 1.799316 1.799316 1.799316 1.126718 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 49 2016 Utah 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 29.14013 27.61069 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 34 12/14/2015 29.140133 27.610689 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 50 2016 Virginia 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 49.96832 49.54266 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/22/2016 49.507496 49.525675 50.060484 49.546062 2.093773 2.093773 1.360229 0.3894523 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 51 2016 West Virginia 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 24.0 23.9663 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016 24.0 23.966297 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.3523191 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 52 2016 Wisconsin 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 48.39363 48.03135 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/21/2016 48.30381 48.332798 48.4116 47.971063 3.306806 3.306806 2.057189 0.574262 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 53 2016 Alabama 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 70.11154 68.40449 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 66 1/12/2016 70.111542 68.404487 1.293506 1.293506 1.293506 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 54 2016 Alaska 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 51.63032 49.37394 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/12/2016 51.630321 49.37394 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 55 2016 Arizona 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 44.0 40.66024 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 30 12/9/2015 44.0 40.660237 0.8299773 0.8299773 0.8299773 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 56 2016 Colorado 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 45.95164 43.24126 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 113 2/29/2016 45.951637 43.241263 2.209496 2.209496 1.012831 0.6554546 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 57 2016 Florida 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.5463 44.43505 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 110 2/25/2016 47.394664 46.396706 46.376631 44.042716 4.328866 4.328866 2.770836 0.8833147 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 58 2016 Georgia 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 49.98364 49.31447 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/23/2016 49.983639 49.314472 1.775305 1.775305 1.775305 1.111682 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 59 2016 Illinois 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 27.5 25.41646 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/9/2016 27.500001 25.416458 0.7289574 0.7289574 0.7289574 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 60 2016 Iowa 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.18541 40.8683 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/10/2016 43.199 41.168692 43.182685 40.808225 5.338463 5.338463 4.136615 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 61 2016 Kansas 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 50.45487 49.63258 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/26/2016 50.454872 49.632584 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.2433623 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 62 2016 Michigan 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 38.92212 38.40537 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/3/2016 38.488363 38.310459 39.008876 38.424355 4.180455 4.180455 3.278449 2.980875 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 63 2016 Minnesota 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 40.25999 38.08333 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 73 1/20/2016 40.259991 38.083329 1.084677 1.084677 1.084677 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 64 2016 Missouri 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.0 43.0 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 118 3/4/2016 43.0 43.0 0.9642869 0.9642869 0.9642869 1.054401 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 65 2016 Montana 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 55.84353 51.83164 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 13 11/23/2015 55.843529 51.831638 0.4694052 0.4694052 0.4694052 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 66 2016 National 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 42.70839 42.10922 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/4/2016 42.11465 42.017289 43.302122 42.201158 54.63187 62.68411 8.040898 8.040898 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 67 2016 Nevada 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.28382 41.3851 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015 46.283825 41.385101 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 68 2016 New Hampshire 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 41.26338 39.39946 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 109 2/28/2016 40.440922 39.365505 41.427875 39.406255 9.321606 9.321606 3.470526 0.7575725 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 69 2016 New Jersey 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 38.23125 37.75459 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 111 2/28/2016 38.231251 37.754585 1.059748 1.059748 1.059748 0.8121591 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 70 2016 New York 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 35.19923 34.38905 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016 35.199228 34.389046 2.292912 2.393991 1.376205 1.117634 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 71 2016 North Carolina 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 44.26038 43.10411 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 102 2/19/2016 43.419157 42.671132 44.428623 43.190709 7.017797 7.017797 5.563706 1.384402 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 72 2016 Ohio 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.6278 42.89187 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 103 2/20/2016 43.627797 42.891867 2.498985 2.498985 2.428324 0.8983319 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 73 2016 Pennsylvania 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 42.75599 42.27952 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/2/2016 42.755987 42.27952 1.499532 1.499532 1.172013 1.116324 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 74 2016 South Carolina 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.28382 42.40171 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015 46.283825 42.40171 0.7809128 0.7809128 0.7809128 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 75 2016 Texas 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.98368 46.0857 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016 46.983677 46.085705 1.799316 1.799316 1.799316 1.042643 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 76 2016 Utah 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 37.20378 34.41109 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 34 12/14/2015 37.203777 34.411095 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 77 2016 Virginia 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 37.47329 35.54412 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/22/2016 37.289676 36.284801 37.510015 35.395985 2.093773 2.093773 1.360229 0.3552939 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 78 2016 West Virginia 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 61.0 60.2645 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016 61.0 60.264496 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.3260293 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 79 2016 Wisconsin 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 39.85095 37.91355 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/21/2016 39.554044 38.515243 39.910333 37.793211 3.306806 3.306806 2.057189 0.5238943 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 80 2016 Alabama 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 32.67096 32.79052 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 66 1/12/2016 32.670963 32.790516 1.293506 1.293506 1.293506 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 81 2016 Alaska 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.824 45.01081 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/12/2016 44.823998 45.010807 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 82 2016 Arizona 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.0 39.93046 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 30 12/9/2015 42.0 39.930462 0.8299773 0.8299773 0.8299773 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 83 2016 Colorado 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.0302 41.22924 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 113 2/29/2016 42.030203 41.229235 2.209496 2.209496 1.012831 0.6554546 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 84 2016 Florida 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.90715 44.27904 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 110 2/25/2016 44.526097 44.330322 44.98336 44.268787 4.328866 4.328866 2.770836 0.8833147 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 85 2016 Georgia 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 41.0287 40.92185 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/23/2016 41.028702 40.921852 1.775305 1.775305 1.775305 1.111682 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 86 2016 Illinois 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 36.5 36.69793 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/9/2016 36.5 36.697929 0.7289574 0.7289574 0.7289574 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 87 2016 Iowa 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 45.31878 45.02062 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/10/2016 45.1575 45.422782 45.351038 44.940184 5.338463 5.338463 4.136615 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 88 2016 Kansas 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 37.23573 37.12932 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/26/2016 37.235733 37.129322 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.2433623 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 89 2016 Michigan 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 48.94638 48.90551 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/3/2016 50.331338 50.319011 48.669388 48.622803 4.180455 4.180455 3.278449 2.980875 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 90 2016 Minnesota 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 43.7215 43.54032 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 73 1/20/2016 43.7215 43.540321 1.084677 1.084677 1.084677 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 91 2016 Missouri 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 38.0 38.0 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 118 3/4/2016 38.0 38.0 0.9642869 0.9642869 0.9642869 1.054401 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 92 2016 Montana 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 31.16888 29.79341 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 13 11/23/2015 31.16888 29.793411 0.4694052 0.4694052 0.4694052 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 93 2016 National 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 47.35847 47.07659 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/4/2016 47.433959 47.153644 47.282974 46.999542 54.63187 62.68411 8.040898 8.040898 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 94 2016 Nevada 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.14941 40.5206 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015 42.14941 40.520599 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 95 2016 New Hampshire 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 46.90776 46.47194 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 109 2/28/2016 46.213192 45.832988 47.046674 46.599728 9.321606 9.321606 3.470526 0.7575725 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 96 2016 New Jersey 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 52.72866 52.68113 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 111 2/28/2016 52.728664 52.681129 1.059748 1.059748 1.059748 0.8121591 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 97 2016 New York 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 57.71962 57.5613 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016 57.71962 57.561301 2.292912 2.393991 1.376205 1.117634 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 98 2016 North Carolina 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.42231 44.04568 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 102 2/19/2016 44.725193 44.500827 44.36173 43.954653 7.017797 7.017797 5.563706 1.384402 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 99 2016 Ohio 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 40.64633 40.55891 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 103 2/20/2016 40.646326 40.558912 2.498985 2.498985 2.428324 0.8983319 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 100 2016 Pennsylvania 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.89671 44.83169 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/2/2016 44.896714 44.831687 1.499532 1.499532 1.172013 1.116324 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 101 2016 South Carolina 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.14941 40.78539 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015 42.14941 40.785389 0.7809128 0.7809128 0.7809128 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5