======= ======= ============== =========== ====================== ============== ============== ==================== ==================== ====================== =============== ================ ============ ============== =========== ================ ============= ================== =================== ================== =============== =================== ============ ================== =========== ============================ ========================= ============================== =========================== ====================== ============================== ============================ ================================ rowid cycle state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment election_date election_qdate last_qdate last_enddate _medpoly2 trend_medpoly2 _shortpoly0 trend_shortpoly0 sum_weight_medium sum_weight_short sum_influence sum_nat_influence _minpoints _defaultbasetime _numloops _state_houseeffects_weight _state_trendline_weight _out_of_state_house_discount _house_effects_multiplier _attenuate_endpoints _nonlinear_polynomial_degree _shortpoly_combpoly_weight _nat_shortpoly_combpoly_weight ======= ======= ============== =========== ====================== ============== ============== ==================== ==================== ====================== =============== ================ ============ ============== =========== ================ ============= ================== =================== ================== =============== =================== ============ ================== =========== ============================ ========================= ============================== =========================== ====================== ============================== ============================ ================================ 1 2016 Alabama 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 70.1114 68.6375 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 66 1/12/2016 70.1114 68.6375 1.29351 1.29351 1.29351 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 2 2016 Alaska 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 51.6301 49.6817 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/12/2016 51.6301 49.6817 0.827405 0.827405 0.827405 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 3 2016 Arizona 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 44 41.0221 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 30 12/9/2015 44 41.0221 0.829977 0.829977 0.829977 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 4 2016 Colorado 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 45.9515 43.5119 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 113 2/29/2016 45.9515 43.5119 2.2095 2.2095 1.01283 0.691074 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 5 2016 Florida 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.546 44.6867 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 110 2/25/2016 47.3942 46.5589 46.3764 44.3123 4.32887 4.32887 2.77084 0.942023 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 6 2016 Georgia 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 49.9836 49.4803 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/23/2016 49.9836 49.4803 1.7753 1.7753 1.7753 1.19463 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 7 2016 Illinois 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 27.5 25.7027 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/9/2016 27.5 25.7027 0.728957 0.728957 0.728957 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 8 2016 Iowa 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.1852 41.1441 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/10/2016 43.1987 41.4335 43.1825 41.0862 5.33846 5.33846 4.13661 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 9 2016 Kansas 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 50.4554 49.8359 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/26/2016 50.4554 49.8359 0.388638 0.388638 0.388638 0.261522 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 10 2016 Michigan 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 38.922 38.4854 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/3/2016 38.4882 38.3441 39.0088 38.5137 4.18046 4.18046 3.27845 3.13495 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 11 2016 Minnesota 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 40.2598 38.38 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 73 1/20/2016 40.2598 38.38 1.08468 1.08468 1.08468 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 12 2016 Montana 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 55.8441 52.1211 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 13 11/23/2015 55.8441 52.1211 0.469405 0.469405 0.469405 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 13 2016 National 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 42.9214 42.44 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016 42.4474 42.3861 43.3954 42.4939 54.5167 62.4876 8.46191 8.46191 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 14 2016 Nevada 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.2844 41.7275 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015 46.2844 41.7275 0.78169 0.78169 0.78169 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 15 2016 New Hampshire 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 41.2632 39.6426 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 109 2/28/2016 40.4409 39.552 41.4277 39.6607 9.32161 9.32161 3.47053 0.812256 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 16 2016 New Jersey 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 38.2311 37.8766 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 111 2/28/2016 38.2311 37.8766 1.05975 1.05975 1.05975 0.861677 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 17 2016 New York 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 35.199 34.5459 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016 35.1991 34.5459 2.29291 2.39399 1.3762 1.17569 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 18 2016 North Carolina 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 44.2603 43.3064 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 102 2/19/2016 43.4191 42.8467 44.4285 43.3984 7.0178 7.0178 5.56371 1.60838 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 19 2016 Ohio 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.6277 43.0851 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 103 2/20/2016 43.6277 43.085 2.49898 2.49898 2.42832 1.0151 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 20 2016 Pennsylvania 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 42.7562 42.3479 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/2/2016 42.7562 42.3479 1.49953 1.49953 1.17201 1.18639 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 21 2016 South Carolina 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.2844 42.6788 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015 46.2844 42.6788 0.780913 0.780913 0.780913 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 22 2016 Texas 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.9836 46.2808 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016 46.9836 46.2808 1.79932 1.79932 1.79932 1.12672 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 23 2016 Utah 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 37.2043 34.7495 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 34 12/14/2015 37.2043 34.7495 0.586565 0.586565 0.586565 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 24 2016 Virginia 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 37.4733 35.7785 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/22/2016 37.2897 36.4957 37.51 35.6351 2.09377 2.09377 1.36023 0.389452 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 25 2016 West Virginia 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 61 60.4197 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016 61 60.4197 0.562637 0.562637 0.562637 0.352319 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 26 2016 Wisconsin 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 39.8508 38.1439 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/21/2016 39.5539 38.7293 39.9102 38.0268 3.30681 3.30681 2.05719 0.574262 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 27 2016 Alabama 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 32.671 32.8449 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 66 1/12/2016 32.671 32.8449 1.29351 1.29351 1.29351 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 28 2016 Alaska 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.824 45.0815 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/12/2016 44.824 45.0815 0.827405 0.827405 0.827405 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 29 2016 Arizona 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42 40.0138 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 30 12/9/2015 42 40.0138 0.829977 0.829977 0.829977 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 30 2016 Colorado 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.0301 41.3168 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 113 2/29/2016 42.0301 41.3168 2.2095 2.2095 1.01283 0.691074 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 31 2016 Florida 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.907 44.3463 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 110 2/25/2016 44.5259 44.3869 44.9833 44.3382 4.32887 4.32887 2.77084 0.942023 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 32 2016 Georgia 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 41.0286 40.9625 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/23/2016 41.0286 40.9625 1.7753 1.7753 1.7753 1.19463 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 33 2016 Illinois 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 36.5 36.7727 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/9/2016 36.5 36.7727 0.728957 0.728957 0.728957 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 34 2016 Iowa 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 45.3186 45.0853 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/10/2016 45.1574 45.4848 45.3509 45.0054 5.33846 5.33846 4.13661 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 35 2016 Kansas 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 37.2351 37.1775 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/26/2016 37.2351 37.1775 0.388638 0.388638 0.388638 0.261522 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 36 2016 Michigan 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 48.9463 48.9292 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/3/2016 50.3313 50.3322 48.6693 48.6485 4.18046 4.18046 3.27845 3.13495 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 37 2016 Minnesota 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 43.7215 43.6111 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 73 1/20/2016 43.7215 43.6111 1.08468 1.08468 1.08468 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 38 2016 Montana 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 31.1683 29.8528 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 13 11/23/2015 31.1683 29.8528 0.469405 0.469405 0.469405 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 39 2016 National 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 47.3888 47.1303 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016 47.4822 47.2014 47.2954 47.0591 54.5167 62.4876 8.46191 8.46191 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 40 2016 Nevada 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.149 40.5989 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015 42.149 40.5989 0.78169 0.78169 0.78169 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 41 2016 New Hampshire 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 46.9077 46.5303 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 109 2/28/2016 46.2132 45.8807 47.0466 46.6602 9.32161 9.32161 3.47053 0.812256 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 42 2016 New Jersey 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 52.7287 52.7289 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 111 2/28/2016 52.7287 52.7289 1.05975 1.05975 1.05975 0.861677 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 43 2016 New York 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 57.7196 57.5566 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016 57.7196 57.5566 2.29291 2.39399 1.3762 1.17569 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 44 2016 North Carolina 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.4222 44.0943 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 102 2/19/2016 44.7252 44.5439 44.3617 44.0043 7.0178 7.0178 5.56371 1.60838 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 45 2016 Ohio 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 40.6463 40.6076 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 103 2/20/2016 40.6463 40.6076 2.49898 2.49898 2.42832 1.0151 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 46 2016 Pennsylvania 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.8965 44.8473 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/2/2016 44.8965 44.8473 1.49953 1.49953 1.17201 1.18639 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 47 2016 South Carolina 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.149 40.8485 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015 42.149 40.8485 0.780913 0.780913 0.780913 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 48 2016 Texas 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.029 43.9093 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016 44.029 43.9093 1.79932 1.79932 1.79932 1.12672 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 49 2016 Utah 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 29.1401 27.6107 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 34 12/14/2015 29.1401 27.6107 0.586565 0.586565 0.586565 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 50 2016 Virginia 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 49.9683 49.5427 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/22/2016 49.5075 49.5257 50.0605 49.5461 2.09377 2.09377 1.36023 0.389452 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 51 2016 West Virginia 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 24 23.9663 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016 24 23.9663 0.562637 0.562637 0.562637 0.352319 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 52 2016 Wisconsin 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 48.3936 48.0314 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/21/2016 48.3038 48.3328 48.4116 47.9711 3.30681 3.30681 2.05719 0.574262 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 53 2016 Alabama 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 70.1115 68.4045 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 66 1/12/2016 70.1115 68.4045 1.29351 1.29351 1.29351 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 54 2016 Alaska 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 51.6303 49.3739 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/12/2016 51.6303 49.3739 0.827405 0.827405 0.827405 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 55 2016 Arizona 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 44 40.6602 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 30 12/9/2015 44 40.6602 0.829977 0.829977 0.829977 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 56 2016 Colorado 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 45.9516 43.2413 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 113 2/29/2016 45.9516 43.2413 2.2095 2.2095 1.01283 0.655455 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 57 2016 Florida 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.5463 44.435 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 110 2/25/2016 47.3947 46.3967 46.3766 44.0427 4.32887 4.32887 2.77084 0.883315 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 58 2016 Georgia 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 49.9836 49.3145 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/23/2016 49.9836 49.3145 1.7753 1.7753 1.7753 1.11168 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 59 2016 Illinois 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 27.5 25.4165 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/9/2016 27.5 25.4165 0.728957 0.728957 0.728957 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 60 2016 Iowa 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.1854 40.8683 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/10/2016 43.199 41.1687 43.1827 40.8082 5.33846 5.33846 4.13661 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 61 2016 Kansas 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 50.4549 49.6326 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/26/2016 50.4549 49.6326 0.388638 0.388638 0.388638 0.243362 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 62 2016 Michigan 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 38.9221 38.4054 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/3/2016 38.4884 38.3105 39.0089 38.4244 4.18046 4.18046 3.27845 2.98088 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 63 2016 Minnesota 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 40.26 38.0833 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 73 1/20/2016 40.26 38.0833 1.08468 1.08468 1.08468 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 64 2016 Missouri 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43 43 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 118 3/4/2016 43 43 0.964287 0.964287 0.964287 1.0544 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 65 2016 Montana 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 55.8435 51.8316 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 13 11/23/2015 55.8435 51.8316 0.469405 0.469405 0.469405 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 66 2016 National 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 42.7084 42.1092 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/4/2016 42.1146 42.0173 43.3021 42.2012 54.6319 62.6841 8.0409 8.0409 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 67 2016 Nevada 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.2838 41.3851 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015 46.2838 41.3851 0.78169 0.78169 0.78169 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 68 2016 New Hampshire 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 41.2634 39.3995 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 109 2/28/2016 40.4409 39.3655 41.4279 39.4063 9.32161 9.32161 3.47053 0.757572 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 69 2016 New Jersey 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 38.2313 37.7546 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 111 2/28/2016 38.2313 37.7546 1.05975 1.05975 1.05975 0.812159 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 70 2016 New York 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 35.1992 34.389 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016 35.1992 34.389 2.29291 2.39399 1.3762 1.11763 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 71 2016 North Carolina 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 44.2604 43.1041 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 102 2/19/2016 43.4192 42.6711 44.4286 43.1907 7.0178 7.0178 5.56371 1.3844 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 72 2016 Ohio 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.6278 42.8919 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 103 2/20/2016 43.6278 42.8919 2.49898 2.49898 2.42832 0.898332 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 73 2016 Pennsylvania 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 42.756 42.2795 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/2/2016 42.756 42.2795 1.49953 1.49953 1.17201 1.11632 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 74 2016 South Carolina 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.2838 42.4017 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015 46.2838 42.4017 0.780913 0.780913 0.780913 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 75 2016 Texas 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.9837 46.0857 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016 46.9837 46.0857 1.79932 1.79932 1.79932 1.04264 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 76 2016 Utah 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 37.2038 34.4111 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 34 12/14/2015 37.2038 34.4111 0.586565 0.586565 0.586565 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 77 2016 Virginia 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 37.4733 35.5441 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/22/2016 37.2897 36.2848 37.51 35.396 2.09377 2.09377 1.36023 0.355294 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 78 2016 West Virginia 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 61 60.2645 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016 61 60.2645 0.562637 0.562637 0.562637 0.326029 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 79 2016 Wisconsin 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 39.8509 37.9136 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/21/2016 39.554 38.5152 39.9103 37.7932 3.30681 3.30681 2.05719 0.523894 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 80 2016 Alabama 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 32.671 32.7905 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 66 1/12/2016 32.671 32.7905 1.29351 1.29351 1.29351 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 81 2016 Alaska 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.824 45.0108 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/12/2016 44.824 45.0108 0.827405 0.827405 0.827405 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 82 2016 Arizona 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42 39.9305 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 30 12/9/2015 42 39.9305 0.829977 0.829977 0.829977 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 83 2016 Colorado 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.0302 41.2292 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 113 2/29/2016 42.0302 41.2292 2.2095 2.2095 1.01283 0.655455 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 84 2016 Florida 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.9072 44.279 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 110 2/25/2016 44.5261 44.3303 44.9834 44.2688 4.32887 4.32887 2.77084 0.883315 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 85 2016 Georgia 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 41.0287 40.9218 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/23/2016 41.0287 40.9219 1.7753 1.7753 1.7753 1.11168 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 86 2016 Illinois 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 36.5 36.6979 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/9/2016 36.5 36.6979 0.728957 0.728957 0.728957 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 87 2016 Iowa 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 45.3188 45.0206 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/10/2016 45.1575 45.4228 45.351 44.9402 5.33846 5.33846 4.13661 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 88 2016 Kansas 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 37.2357 37.1293 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/26/2016 37.2357 37.1293 0.388638 0.388638 0.388638 0.243362 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 89 2016 Michigan 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 48.9464 48.9055 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/3/2016 50.3313 50.319 48.6694 48.6228 4.18046 4.18046 3.27845 2.98088 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 90 2016 Minnesota 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 43.7215 43.5403 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 73 1/20/2016 43.7215 43.5403 1.08468 1.08468 1.08468 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 91 2016 Missouri 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 38 38 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 118 3/4/2016 38 38 0.964287 0.964287 0.964287 1.0544 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 92 2016 Montana 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 31.1689 29.7934 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 13 11/23/2015 31.1689 29.7934 0.469405 0.469405 0.469405 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 93 2016 National 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 47.3585 47.0766 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/4/2016 47.434 47.1536 47.283 46.9995 54.6319 62.6841 8.0409 8.0409 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 94 2016 Nevada 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.1494 40.5206 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015 42.1494 40.5206 0.78169 0.78169 0.78169 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 95 2016 New Hampshire 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 46.9078 46.4719 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 109 2/28/2016 46.2132 45.833 47.0467 46.5997 9.32161 9.32161 3.47053 0.757572 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 96 2016 New Jersey 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 52.7287 52.6811 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 111 2/28/2016 52.7287 52.6811 1.05975 1.05975 1.05975 0.812159 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 97 2016 New York 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 57.7196 57.5613 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016 57.7196 57.5613 2.29291 2.39399 1.3762 1.11763 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 98 2016 North Carolina 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.4223 44.0457 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 102 2/19/2016 44.7252 44.5008 44.3617 43.9547 7.0178 7.0178 5.56371 1.3844 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 99 2016 Ohio 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 40.6463 40.5589 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 103 2/20/2016 40.6463 40.5589 2.49898 2.49898 2.42832 0.898332 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 100 2016 Pennsylvania 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.8967 44.8317 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/2/2016 44.8967 44.8317 1.49953 1.49953 1.17201 1.11632 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 101 2016 South Carolina 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.1494 40.7854 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015 42.1494 40.7854 0.780913 0.780913 0.780913 0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5 ======= ======= ============== =========== ====================== ============== ============== ==================== ==================== ====================== =============== ================ ============ ============== =========== ================ ============= ================== =================== ================== =============== =================== ============ ================== =========== ============================ ========================= ============================== =========================== ====================== ============================== ============================ ================================