rowid,state,year,candidate,forecast_prob,result,winflag
2,Alabama,2008,Figures,0.0,Lose,0
6,Alaska,2008,Stevens,0.0,Lose,0
7,Alaska,2010,Miller,0.71,Lose,0
20,Colorado,2008,Schaeffer,0.0,Lose,0
28,Delaware,2008,O'Connell,0.0,Lose,0
39,Georgia,2008,Martin,0.12,Lose,0
47,Idaho,2008,LaRocco,0.0,Lose,0
51,Illinois,2008,Sauerberg,0.0,Lose,0
59,Iowa,2008,Reed,0.0,Lose,0
63,Kansas,2008,Slattery,0.0,Lose,0
67,Kentucky,2008,Lunsford,0.08,Lose,0
71,Louisiana,2008,Kennedy,0.0,Lose,0
75,Maine,2008,Allen,0.0,Lose,0
84,Massachusetts,2008,Beatty,0.0,Lose,0
88,Michigan,2008,Hoogendyk,0.0,Lose,0
92,Minnesota,2008,Coleman,0.48,Lose,0
96,Mississippi,2008,Fleming,0.0,Lose,0
100,Mississippi (special election),2008,Musgrove,0.06,Lose,0
106,Montana,2008,Kelleher,0.0,Lose,0
110,Nebraska,2008,Kleeb,0.01,Lose,0
118,New Hampshire,2008,Sununu,0.01,Lose,0
122,New Jersey,2008,Zimmer,0.0,Lose,0
126,New Mexico,2008,Pearce,0.0,Lose,0
136,North Carolina,2008,Dole,0.12,Lose,0
148,Oklahoma,2008,Rice,0.0,Lose,0
152,Oregon,2008,Smith,0.08,Lose,0
160,Rhode Island,2008,Tingle,0.0,Lose,0
164,South Carolina,2008,Conley,0.0,Lose,0
168,South Dakota,2008,Dykstra,0.0,Lose,0
171,Tennessee,2008,Tuke,0.0,Lose,0
175,Texas,2008,Noriega,0.0,Lose,0
187,Virginia,2008,Gilmore,0.0,Lose,0
203,Wyoming,2008,Rothfuss,0.0,Lose,0
207,Wyoming (special election),2008,Carter,0.0,Lose,0
4,Alabama,2010,Barnes,0.0,Loss,0
9,Alaska,2010,McAdams,0.08,Loss,0
11,Arizona,2010,McCain,0.0,Loss,0
13,Arizona,2012,Carmona,0.04,Loss,0
16,Arkansas,2010,Lincoln,0.0,Loss,0
18,California,2012,Emken,0.0,Loss,0
21,Colorado,2010,Buck,0.65,Loss,0
24,Connecticut,2010,McMahon,0.0,Loss,0
26,Connecticut,2012,McMahon,0.04,Loss,0
30,Delaware,2010,O'Donnell,0.0,Loss,0
32,Delaware,2012,Wade,0.0,Loss,0
34,Florida,2010,Crist,0.03,Loss,0
35,Florida,2010,Meeks,0.0,Loss,0
37,Florida,2012,Mack,0.0,Loss,0
41,Georgia,2010,Thurmond,0.0,Loss,0
43,Hawaii,2010,Cavasso,0.0,Loss,0
45,Hawaii,2012,Lingle,0.0,Loss,0
49,Idaho,2010,Sullivan,0.0,Loss,0
53,Illinois,2010,Giannoulias,0.31,Loss,0
55,Indiana,2010,Ellsworth,0.0,Loss,0
57,Indiana,2012,Lingle,0.3,Loss,0
61,Iowa,2010,Conlin,0.0,Loss,0
65,Kansas,2010,Johnston,0.0,Loss,0
69,Kentucky,2010,Conway,0.0,Loss,0
73,Louisiana,2010,Melancon,0.0,Loss,0
77,Maine,2012,Summers,0.06,Loss,0
78,Maine,2012,Dill,0.01,Loss,0
80,Maryland,2010,Wargotz,0.0,Loss,0
82,Maryland,2012,Bongino,0.0,Loss,0
86,Massachusetts,2012,Brown,0.06,Loss,0
90,Michigan,2012,Hoekstra,0.0,Loss,0
94,Minnesota,2012,Bills,0.0,Loss,0
98,Mississippi,2012,Gore,0.0,Loss,0
102,Missouri,2010,Carnahan,0.01,Loss,0
104,Missouri,2012,Akin,0.02,Loss,0
108,Montana,2012,Tester,0.34,Loss,0
112,Nebraska,2012,Kerrey,0.01,Loss,0
113,Nevada,2010,Angle,0.83,Loss,0
116,Nevada,2012,Berkeley,0.17,Loss,0
120,New Hampshire,2010,Hodes,0.0,Loss,0
124,New Jersey,2012,Kyrillos,0.0,Loss,0
128,New Mexico,2012,Wilson,0.03,Loss,0
130,New York,2010,Townsend,0.0,Loss,0
132,New York,2012,Long,0.0,Loss,0
134,New York (special election),2010,DioGuardi,0.0,Loss,0
138,North Carolina,2010,Marshall,0.0,Loss,0
140,North Dakota,2010,Potter,0.0,Loss,0
141,North Dakota,2012,Berg,0.92,Loss,0
144,Ohio,2010,Fisher,0.0,Loss,0
146,Ohio,2012,Mandel,0.03,Loss,0
150,Oklahoma,2010,Rogers,0.0,Loss,0
154,Oregon,2010,Huffman,0.0,Loss,0
156,Pennsylvania,2010,Sestak,0.03,Loss,0
158,Pennsylvania,2012,Smith,0.01,Loss,0
162,Rhode Island,2012,Hinkley,0.0,Loss,0
166,South Carolina,2010,Greene,0.0,Loss,0
173,Tennessee,2012,Clayton,0.0,Loss,0
177,Texas,2012,Sadler,0.0,Loss,0
179,Utah,2010,Granato,0.0,Loss,0
181,Utah,2012,Lowell,0.0,Loss,0
183,Vermont,2010,Britton,0.0,Loss,0
185,Vermont,2012,MacGovern,0.0,Loss,0
189,Virginia,2012,Allen,0.12,Loss,0
191,Washington,2010,Rossi,0.2,Loss,0
193,Washington,2012,Baumgartner,0.12,Loss,0
195,West Virginia,2010,Raese,0.11,Loss,0
197,West Virginia,2012,Raese,0.08,Loss,0
199,Wisconsin,2010,Feingold,0.03,Loss,0
201,Wisconsin,2012,Baldwin,0.21,Loss,0
205,Wyoming,2012,Chestnut,0.0,Loss,0
1,Alabama,2008,Sessions,1.0,Win,1
3,Alabama,2010,Shelby,1.0,Win,1
5,Alaska,2008,Begich,1.0,Win,1
8,Alaska,2010,Murkowski,0.21,Win,1
10,Arizona,2010,Glassman,1.0,Win,1
12,Arizona,2012,Flake,0.96,Win,1
14,Arkansas,2008,Pryor,1.0,Win,1
15,Arkansas,2010,Boozman,1.0,Win,1
17,California,2012,Feinstein,1.0,Win,1
19,Colorado,2008,M. Udall,1.0,Win,1
22,Colorado,2010,Bennett,0.35,Win,1
23,Connecticut,2010,Blumenthal,1.0,Win,1
25,Connecticut,2012,Murphy,0.96,Win,1
27,Delaware,2008,Biden,1.0,Win,1
29,Delaware,2010,Coons,1.0,Win,1
31,Delaware,2012,Carper,1.0,Win,1
33,Florida,2010,Rubio,0.97,Win,1
36,Florida,2012,Nelson,1.0,Win,1
38,Georgia,2008,Chambilss,0.88,Win,1
40,Georgia,2010,Isakson,1.0,Win,1
42,Hawaii,2010,Inouye,1.0,Win,1
44,Hawaii,2012,Hirono,1.0,Win,1
46,Idaho,2008,Risch,1.0,Win,1
48,Idaho,2010,Crapo,1.0,Win,1
50,Illinois,2008,Durbin,1.0,Win,1
52,Illinois,2010,Kirk,0.69,Win,1
54,Indiana,2010,Coats,1.0,Win,1
56,Indiana,2012,Donnelly,0.7,Win,1
58,Iowa,2008,Harkin,1.0,Win,1
60,Iowa,2010,Grassley,1.0,Win,1
62,Kansas,2008,Roberts,1.0,Win,1
64,Kansas,2010,Moran,1.0,Win,1
66,Kentucky,2008,McConnell,0.92,Win,1
68,Kentucky,2010,Paul,1.0,Win,1
70,Louisiana,2008,Landireu,1.0,Win,1
72,Louisiana,2010,Vitter,1.0,Win,1
74,Maine,2008,Collins,1.0,Win,1
76,Maine,2012,King,0.93,Win,1
79,Maryland,2010,Murkowski,1.0,Win,1
81,Maryland,2012,Cardin,1.0,Win,1
83,Massachusetts,2008,Kerry,1.0,Win,1
85,Massachusetts,2012,Warren,0.94,Win,1
87,Michigan,2008,Levin,1.0,Win,1
89,Michigan,2012,Stabenow,1.0,Win,1
91,Minnesota,2008,Franken,0.52,Win,1
93,Minnesota,2012,Klobuchar,1.0,Win,1
95,Mississippi,2008,Cochran,1.0,Win,1
97,Mississippi,2012,Wicker,1.0,Win,1
99,Mississippi (special election),2008,Wicker,0.94,Win,1
101,Missouri,2010,Blunt,0.99,Win,1
103,Missouri,2012,McCaskill,0.98,Win,1
105,Montana,2008,Baucus,1.0,Win,1
107,Montana,2012,Rehberg,0.66,Win,1
109,Nebraska,2008,Johanns,0.99,Win,1
111,Nebraska,2012,Fischer,0.99,Win,1
114,Nevada,2010,Reid,0.17,Win,1
115,Nevada,2012,Heller,0.83,Win,1
117,New Hampshire,2008,Shaheen,0.99,Win,1
119,New Hampshire,2010,Ayotte,1.0,Win,1
121,New Jersey,2008,Lautenberg,1.0,Win,1
123,New Jersey,2012,Menendez,1.0,Win,1
125,New Mexico,2008,T. Udall,1.0,Win,1
127,New Mexico,2012,Heinrich,0.97,Win,1
129,New York,2010,Schumer,1.0,Win,1
131,New York,2012,Gillibrand,1.0,Win,1
133,New York (special election),2010,Gillibrand,1.0,Win,1
135,North Carolina,2008,Hagan,0.88,Win,1
137,North Carolina,2010,Burr,1.0,Win,1
139,North Dakota,2010,Hoeven,1.0,Win,1
142,North Dakota,2012,Heitkamp,0.08,Win,1
143,Ohio,2010,Portman,1.0,Win,1
145,Ohio,2012,Brown,0.97,Win,1
147,Oklahoma,2008,Inhofe,1.0,Win,1
149,Oklahoma,2010,Coburn,1.0,Win,1
151,Oregon,2008,Merkley,0.92,Win,1
153,Oregon,2010,Wyden,1.0,Win,1
155,Pennsylvania,2010,Toomey,0.97,Win,1
157,Pennsylvania,2012,Casey,0.99,Win,1
159,Rhode Island,2008,Reed,1.0,Win,1
161,Rhode Island,2012,Whitehouse,1.0,Win,1
163,South Carolina,2008,Graham,1.0,Win,1
165,South Carolina,2010,DeMint,1.0,Win,1
167,South Dakota,2008,Johnson,1.0,Win,1
169,South Dakota,2010,Thune,1.0,Win,1
170,Tennessee,2008,Alexander,1.0,Win,1
172,Tennessee,2012,Corker,1.0,Win,1
174,Texas,2008,Cornyn,1.0,Win,1
176,Texas,2012,Cruz,1.0,Win,1
178,Utah,2010,Lee,1.0,Win,1
180,Utah,2012,Hatch,1.0,Win,1
182,Vermont,2010,Leahy,1.0,Win,1
184,Vermont,2012,Sanders,1.0,Win,1
186,Virginia,2008,Warner,1.0,Win,1
188,Virginia,2012,Kaine,0.88,Win,1
190,Washington,2010,Murray,0.8,Win,1
192,Washington,2012,Cantwell,0.88,Win,1
194,West Virginia,2010,Manchin,0.89,Win,1
196,West Virginia,2012,Manchin,0.92,Win,1
198,Wisconsin,2010,Johnson,0.97,Win,1
200,Wisconsin,2012,Thompson,0.79,Win,1
202,Wyoming,2008,Enzi,1.0,Win,1
204,Wyoming,2012,Barrasso,1.0,Win,1
206,Wyoming (special election),2008,Barrasso,1.0,Win,1