Forecast Review: forecast_results_2018.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
1,518 rows sorted by Democrat_Won
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Suggested facets: branch, version, category, Democrat_Won, Republican_Won, uncalled
Link | rowid | cycle | branch | race | forecastdate | version | Democrat_WinProbability | Republican_WinProbability | category | Democrat_Won ▼ | Republican_Won | uncalled |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | 2018 | Governor | AK-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.31095999 | 0.68904001 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
2 | 2 | 2018 | Governor | AL-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.01692 | 0.98308003 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
3 | 3 | 2018 | Governor | AR-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00062000001 | 0.99937999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | 4 | 2018 | Governor | AZ-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0128 | 0.98720002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
8 | 8 | 2018 | Governor | FL-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.77215999 | 0.22784001 | Likely D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
9 | 9 | 2018 | Governor | GA-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.3224 | 0.67760003 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
11 | 11 | 2018 | Governor | IA-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.57315999 | 0.42684001 | Tossup (Tilt D) | 0 | 1 | 0 |
12 | 12 | 2018 | Governor | ID-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0174 | 0.98259997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
15 | 15 | 2018 | Governor | MA-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00079999998 | 0.99919999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
16 | 16 | 2018 | Governor | MD-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0073199999 | 0.99268001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
20 | 20 | 2018 | Governor | NE-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00942 | 0.99058002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
21 | 21 | 2018 | Governor | NH-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.13988 | 0.86012 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
25 | 25 | 2018 | Governor | OH-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.59491998 | 0.40507999 | Tossup (Tilt D) | 0 | 1 | 0 |
26 | 26 | 2018 | Governor | OK-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.14308 | 0.85692 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
30 | 30 | 2018 | Governor | SC-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.02558 | 0.97442001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
31 | 31 | 2018 | Governor | SD-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.36921999 | 0.63077998 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
32 | 32 | 2018 | Governor | TN-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.023360001 | 0.97663999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
33 | 33 | 2018 | Governor | TX-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0047800001 | 0.99522001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
34 | 34 | 2018 | Governor | VT-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.06098 | 0.93901998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
36 | 36 | 2018 | Governor | WY-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0011 | 0.9989 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
37 | 37 | 2018 | House | AK-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.3475 | 0.65249997 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
38 | 38 | 2018 | House | AL-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00044 | 0.99956 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
39 | 39 | 2018 | House | AL-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.022539999 | 0.97746003 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
40 | 40 | 2018 | House | AL-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0018 | 0.9982 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
41 | 41 | 2018 | House | AL-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
42 | 42 | 2018 | House | AL-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00106 | 0.99893999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
43 | 43 | 2018 | House | AL-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 7.9999998e-05 | 0.99992001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
45 | 45 | 2018 | House | AR-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00039999999 | 0.99959999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
46 | 46 | 2018 | House | AR-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.13928001 | 0.86071998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
47 | 47 | 2018 | House | AR-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00068 | 0.99931997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
48 | 48 | 2018 | House | AR-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00031999999 | 0.99967998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
52 | 52 | 2018 | House | AZ-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00028000001 | 0.99971998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
53 | 53 | 2018 | House | AZ-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00085999997 | 0.99914002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
54 | 54 | 2018 | House | AZ-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.092160001 | 0.90784001 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
56 | 56 | 2018 | House | AZ-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.22824 | 0.77175999 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
58 | 58 | 2018 | House | CA-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.21362001 | 0.78637999 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
72 | 72 | 2018 | House | CA-22 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.045960002 | 0.95403999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
73 | 73 | 2018 | House | CA-23 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00063999998 | 0.99936002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
91 | 91 | 2018 | House | CA-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.15448 | 0.84552002 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
94 | 94 | 2018 | House | CA-42 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.02314 | 0.97685999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
103 | 103 | 2018 | House | CA-50 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.22188 | 0.77811998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
109 | 109 | 2018 | House | CA-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
113 | 113 | 2018 | House | CO-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.19786 | 0.80214 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
114 | 114 | 2018 | House | CO-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.041639999 | 0.95836002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
115 | 115 | 2018 | House | CO-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.022159999 | 0.97784001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
124 | 124 | 2018 | House | FL-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.9999999e-05 | 0.99997997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
126 | 126 | 2018 | House | FL-11 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00038000001 | 0.99962002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
127 | 127 | 2018 | House | FL-12 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0046999999 | 0.99529999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
130 | 130 | 2018 | House | FL-15 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.42084 | 0.57915998 | Tossup (Tilt R) | 0 | 1 | 0 |
131 | 131 | 2018 | House | FL-16 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.14139999 | 0.85860002 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
132 | 132 | 2018 | House | FL-17 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00132 | 0.99868 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
133 | 133 | 2018 | House | FL-18 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0867 | 0.91329998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
134 | 134 | 2018 | House | FL-19 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0090800002 | 0.99092001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
135 | 135 | 2018 | House | FL-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00022 | 0.99978 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
141 | 141 | 2018 | House | FL-25 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.27827999 | 0.72171998 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
144 | 144 | 2018 | House | FL-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0131 | 0.98689997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
145 | 145 | 2018 | House | FL-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 7.9999998e-05 | 0.99992001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
147 | 147 | 2018 | House | FL-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.26653999 | 0.73346001 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
149 | 149 | 2018 | House | FL-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0074800001 | 0.99251997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
151 | 151 | 2018 | House | GA-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00144 | 0.99856001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
152 | 152 | 2018 | House | GA-10 | 11/6/18 | classic | 3.9999999e-05 | 0.99996001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
153 | 153 | 2018 | House | GA-11 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00016 | 0.99984002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
154 | 154 | 2018 | House | GA-12 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.01248 | 0.98751998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
156 | 156 | 2018 | House | GA-14 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
158 | 158 | 2018 | House | GA-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 7.9999998e-05 | 0.99992001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
162 | 162 | 2018 | House | GA-7 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.16351999 | 0.83648002 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
163 | 163 | 2018 | House | GA-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
164 | 164 | 2018 | House | GA-9 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
170 | 170 | 2018 | House | IA-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.14334001 | 0.85666001 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
171 | 171 | 2018 | House | ID-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0059600002 | 0.99404001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
172 | 172 | 2018 | House | ID-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00068 | 0.99931997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
176 | 176 | 2018 | House | IL-12 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.28222001 | 0.71777999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
177 | 177 | 2018 | House | IL-13 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.28378001 | 0.71622002 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
179 | 179 | 2018 | House | IL-15 | 11/6/18 | classic | 7.9999998e-05 | 0.99992001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
180 | 180 | 2018 | House | IL-16 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0090800002 | 0.99092001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
182 | 182 | 2018 | House | IL-18 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00012 | 0.99988002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
192 | 192 | 2018 | House | IN-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.039239999 | 0.96076 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
193 | 193 | 2018 | House | IN-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0024000001 | 0.99760002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
194 | 194 | 2018 | House | IN-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00134 | 0.99866003 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
195 | 195 | 2018 | House | IN-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.03616 | 0.96384001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
196 | 196 | 2018 | House | IN-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00046000001 | 0.99953997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
198 | 198 | 2018 | House | IN-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00324 | 0.99676001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
199 | 199 | 2018 | House | IN-9 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.16684 | 0.83315998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
200 | 200 | 2018 | House | KS-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00126 | 0.99874002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
201 | 201 | 2018 | House | KS-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.61754 | 0.38246 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
203 | 203 | 2018 | House | KS-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00648 | 0.99352002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
204 | 204 | 2018 | House | KY-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 3.9999999e-05 | 0.99996001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
205 | 205 | 2018 | House | KY-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00066000002 | 0.99934 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
207 | 207 | 2018 | House | KY-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00046000001 | 0.99953997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
208 | 208 | 2018 | House | KY-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
209 | 209 | 2018 | House | KY-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.45743999 | 0.54255998 | Tossup (Tilt R) | 0 | 1 | 0 |
210 | 210 | 2018 | House | LA-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
212 | 212 | 2018 | House | LA-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00039999999 | 0.99959999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
213 | 213 | 2018 | House | LA-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00057999999 | 0.99941999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
214 | 214 | 2018 | House | LA-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00022 | 0.99978 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
215 | 215 | 2018 | House | LA-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 5.9999998e-05 | 0.99993998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
225 | 225 | 2018 | House | MD-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0091000004 | 0.99089998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
235 | 235 | 2018 | House | MI-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.075300001 | 0.92470002 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
236 | 236 | 2018 | House | MI-10 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00106 | 0.99893999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
241 | 241 | 2018 | House | MI-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.06168 | 0.93831998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
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CREATE TABLE "forecast-review/forecast_results_2018" ( "cycle" INTEGER, "branch" TEXT, "race" TEXT, "forecastdate" TEXT, "version" TEXT, "Democrat_WinProbability" REAL, "Republican_WinProbability" REAL, "category" TEXT, "Democrat_Won" INTEGER, "Republican_Won" INTEGER, "uncalled" INTEGER );