Forecast Review: forecast_results_2018.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
1,518 rows sorted by branch
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Suggested facets: branch, version, category, Democrat_Won, Republican_Won, uncalled
Link | rowid | cycle | branch ▼ | race | forecastdate | version | Democrat_WinProbability | Republican_WinProbability | category | Democrat_Won | Republican_Won | uncalled |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | 2018 | Governor | AK-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.31095999 | 0.68904001 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
2 | 2 | 2018 | Governor | AL-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.01692 | 0.98308003 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
3 | 3 | 2018 | Governor | AR-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00062000001 | 0.99937999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | 4 | 2018 | Governor | AZ-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0128 | 0.98720002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
5 | 5 | 2018 | Governor | CA-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.98794001 | 0.01206 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | 6 | 2018 | Governor | CO-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.9497 | 0.050299998 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7 | 7 | 2018 | Governor | CT-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.78996003 | 0.21004 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8 | 8 | 2018 | Governor | FL-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.77215999 | 0.22784001 | Likely D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
9 | 9 | 2018 | Governor | GA-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.3224 | 0.67760003 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
10 | 10 | 2018 | Governor | HI-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99853998 | 0.0014600001 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
11 | 11 | 2018 | Governor | IA-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.57315999 | 0.42684001 | Tossup (Tilt D) | 0 | 1 | 0 |
12 | 12 | 2018 | Governor | ID-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0174 | 0.98259997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
13 | 13 | 2018 | Governor | IL-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.83969998 | 0.1603 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
14 | 14 | 2018 | Governor | KS-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.42814001 | 0.57151997 | Tossup (Tilt R) | 1 | 0 | 0 |
15 | 15 | 2018 | Governor | MA-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00079999998 | 0.99919999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
16 | 16 | 2018 | Governor | MD-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0073199999 | 0.99268001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
17 | 17 | 2018 | Governor | ME-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.94651997 | 0.053479999 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
18 | 18 | 2018 | Governor | MI-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.93129998 | 0.068700001 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
19 | 19 | 2018 | Governor | MN-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.93074 | 0.069260001 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
20 | 20 | 2018 | Governor | NE-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00942 | 0.99058002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
21 | 21 | 2018 | Governor | NH-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.13988 | 0.86012 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
22 | 22 | 2018 | Governor | NM-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.94032001 | 0.05968 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
23 | 23 | 2018 | Governor | NV-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.51521999 | 0.48478001 | Tossup (Tilt D) | 1 | 0 | 0 |
24 | 24 | 2018 | Governor | NY-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99265999 | 0.00734 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
25 | 25 | 2018 | Governor | OH-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.59491998 | 0.40507999 | Tossup (Tilt D) | 0 | 1 | 0 |
26 | 26 | 2018 | Governor | OK-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.14308 | 0.85692 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
27 | 27 | 2018 | Governor | OR-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.82336003 | 0.17664 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
28 | 28 | 2018 | Governor | PA-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99048001 | 0.0095199998 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
29 | 29 | 2018 | Governor | RI-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.97869998 | 0.021299999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
30 | 30 | 2018 | Governor | SC-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.02558 | 0.97442001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
31 | 31 | 2018 | Governor | SD-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.36921999 | 0.63077998 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
32 | 32 | 2018 | Governor | TN-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.023360001 | 0.97663999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
33 | 33 | 2018 | Governor | TX-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0047800001 | 0.99522001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
34 | 34 | 2018 | Governor | VT-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.06098 | 0.93901998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
35 | 35 | 2018 | Governor | WI-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.59653997 | 0.40346 | Tossup (Tilt D) | 1 | 0 | 0 |
36 | 36 | 2018 | Governor | WY-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0011 | 0.9989 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
507 | 507 | 2018 | Governor | AK-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.28534001 | 0.71465999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
508 | 508 | 2018 | Governor | AL-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.00942 | 0.99058002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
509 | 509 | 2018 | Governor | AR-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.00044 | 0.99956 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
510 | 510 | 2018 | Governor | AZ-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.01434 | 0.98566002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
511 | 511 | 2018 | Governor | CA-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.99360001 | 0.0063999998 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
512 | 512 | 2018 | Governor | CO-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.9253 | 0.074699998 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
513 | 513 | 2018 | Governor | CT-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.79313999 | 0.20686001 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
514 | 514 | 2018 | Governor | FL-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.77833998 | 0.22166 | Likely D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
515 | 515 | 2018 | Governor | GA-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.34092 | 0.65908003 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
516 | 516 | 2018 | Governor | HI-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.99892002 | 0.00108 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
517 | 517 | 2018 | Governor | IA-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.63617998 | 0.36381999 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
518 | 518 | 2018 | Governor | ID-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.0109 | 0.98909998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
519 | 519 | 2018 | Governor | IL-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.87585998 | 0.12414 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
520 | 520 | 2018 | Governor | KS-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.50007999 | 0.49958 | Tossup (Tilt D) | 1 | 0 | 0 |
521 | 521 | 2018 | Governor | MA-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.00052 | 0.99948001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
522 | 522 | 2018 | Governor | MD-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.01322 | 0.98677999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
523 | 523 | 2018 | Governor | ME-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.89748001 | 0.10252 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
524 | 524 | 2018 | Governor | MI-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.93235999 | 0.067639999 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
525 | 525 | 2018 | Governor | MN-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.93988001 | 0.060120001 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
526 | 526 | 2018 | Governor | NE-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.0080199996 | 0.99198002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
527 | 527 | 2018 | Governor | NH-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.14804 | 0.85196 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
528 | 528 | 2018 | Governor | NM-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.92666 | 0.073339999 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
529 | 529 | 2018 | Governor | NV-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.60005999 | 0.39994001 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
530 | 530 | 2018 | Governor | NY-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.99523997 | 0.0047599999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
531 | 531 | 2018 | Governor | OH-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.61940002 | 0.38060001 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
532 | 532 | 2018 | Governor | OK-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.17433999 | 0.82565999 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
533 | 533 | 2018 | Governor | OR-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.79926002 | 0.20073999 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
534 | 534 | 2018 | Governor | PA-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.99234003 | 0.0076600001 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
535 | 535 | 2018 | Governor | RI-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.95455998 | 0.04544 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
536 | 536 | 2018 | Governor | SC-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.01488 | 0.98512 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
537 | 537 | 2018 | Governor | SD-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.34630001 | 0.65369999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
538 | 538 | 2018 | Governor | TN-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.01192 | 0.98808002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
539 | 539 | 2018 | Governor | TX-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.00266 | 0.99734002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
540 | 540 | 2018 | Governor | VT-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.024639999 | 0.97535998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
541 | 541 | 2018 | Governor | WI-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.6171 | 0.3829 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
542 | 542 | 2018 | Governor | WY-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.00076000002 | 0.99923998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1013 | 1013 | 2018 | Governor | AK-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.33284 | 0.66715997 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1014 | 1014 | 2018 | Governor | AL-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.066679999 | 0.93331999 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1015 | 1015 | 2018 | Governor | AR-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.00098000001 | 0.99901998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1016 | 1016 | 2018 | Governor | AZ-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.0077599999 | 0.99224001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1017 | 1017 | 2018 | Governor | CA-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99382001 | 0.00618 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1018 | 1018 | 2018 | Governor | CO-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.88748002 | 0.11252 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1019 | 1019 | 2018 | Governor | CT-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.77873999 | 0.22126 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1020 | 1020 | 2018 | Governor | FL-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.81283998 | 0.18716 | Likely D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1021 | 1021 | 2018 | Governor | GA-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.32124001 | 0.67875999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1022 | 1022 | 2018 | Governor | HI-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.9903 | 0.0097000003 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1023 | 1023 | 2018 | Governor | IA-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.57779998 | 0.42219999 | Tossup (Tilt D) | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1024 | 1024 | 2018 | Governor | ID-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.06724 | 0.93276 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1025 | 1025 | 2018 | Governor | IL-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.96579999 | 0.034200002 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1026 | 1026 | 2018 | Governor | KS-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.53556001 | 0.46408001 | Tossup (Tilt D) | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1027 | 1027 | 2018 | Governor | MA-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.00094 | 0.99905998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1028 | 1028 | 2018 | Governor | MD-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.01518 | 0.98482001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1029 | 1029 | 2018 | Governor | ME-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.88789999 | 0.1121 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1030 | 1030 | 2018 | Governor | MI-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.92732 | 0.072679996 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1031 | 1031 | 2018 | Governor | MN-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.90388 | 0.09612 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1032 | 1032 | 2018 | Governor | NE-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.01952 | 0.98048002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1033 | 1033 | 2018 | Governor | NH-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.23322 | 0.76678002 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1034 | 1034 | 2018 | Governor | NM-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.92869997 | 0.0713 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1035 | 1035 | 2018 | Governor | NV-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.52486002 | 0.47514001 | Tossup (Tilt D) | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1036 | 1036 | 2018 | Governor | NY-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.98382002 | 0.016179999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1037 | 1037 | 2018 | Governor | OH-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.6652 | 0.3348 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1038 | 1038 | 2018 | Governor | OK-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.27983999 | 0.72016001 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1039 | 1039 | 2018 | Governor | OR-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.69481999 | 0.30518001 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1040 | 1040 | 2018 | Governor | PA-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.98830003 | 0.0117 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
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CREATE TABLE "forecast-review/forecast_results_2018" ( "cycle" INTEGER, "branch" TEXT, "race" TEXT, "forecastdate" TEXT, "version" TEXT, "Democrat_WinProbability" REAL, "Republican_WinProbability" REAL, "category" TEXT, "Democrat_Won" INTEGER, "Republican_Won" INTEGER, "uncalled" INTEGER );