Forecast Review: forecast_results_2018.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
1,518 rows sorted by race
This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)
Suggested facets: branch, version, category, Democrat_Won, Republican_Won, uncalled
Link | rowid | cycle | branch | race ▼ | forecastdate | version | Democrat_WinProbability | Republican_WinProbability | category | Democrat_Won | Republican_Won | uncalled |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
37 | 37 | 2018 | House | AK-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.3475 | 0.65249997 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
543 | 543 | 2018 | House | AK-1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.25525999 | 0.74474001 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1049 | 1049 | 2018 | House | AK-1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.35640001 | 0.64359999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1 | 1 | 2018 | Governor | AK-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.31095999 | 0.68904001 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
507 | 507 | 2018 | Governor | AK-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.28534001 | 0.71465999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1013 | 1013 | 2018 | Governor | AK-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.33284 | 0.66715997 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
38 | 38 | 2018 | House | AL-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00044 | 0.99956 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
544 | 544 | 2018 | House | AL-1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.00022 | 0.99978 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1050 | 1050 | 2018 | House | AL-1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.0040799999 | 0.99592 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
39 | 39 | 2018 | House | AL-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.022539999 | 0.97746003 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
545 | 545 | 2018 | House | AL-2 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.0123 | 0.98769999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1051 | 1051 | 2018 | House | AL-2 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.003 | 0.99699998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
40 | 40 | 2018 | House | AL-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0018 | 0.9982 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
546 | 546 | 2018 | House | AL-3 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.00118 | 0.99882001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1052 | 1052 | 2018 | House | AL-3 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.00232 | 0.99768001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
41 | 41 | 2018 | House | AL-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
547 | 547 | 2018 | House | AL-4 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1053 | 1053 | 2018 | House | AL-4 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
42 | 42 | 2018 | House | AL-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00106 | 0.99893999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
548 | 548 | 2018 | House | AL-5 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.00066000002 | 0.99934 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1054 | 1054 | 2018 | House | AL-5 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.0022 | 0.99779999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
43 | 43 | 2018 | House | AL-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 7.9999998e-05 | 0.99992001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
549 | 549 | 2018 | House | AL-6 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 5.9999998e-05 | 0.99993998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1055 | 1055 | 2018 | House | AL-6 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.00014 | 0.99985999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
44 | 44 | 2018 | House | AL-7 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
550 | 550 | 2018 | House | AL-7 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1056 | 1056 | 2018 | House | AL-7 | 11/6/18 | lite | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 2 | 2018 | Governor | AL-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.01692 | 0.98308003 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
508 | 508 | 2018 | Governor | AL-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.00942 | 0.99058002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1014 | 1014 | 2018 | Governor | AL-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.066679999 | 0.93331999 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
45 | 45 | 2018 | House | AR-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00039999999 | 0.99959999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
551 | 551 | 2018 | House | AR-1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.00030000001 | 0.99970001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1057 | 1057 | 2018 | House | AR-1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.0075400001 | 0.99246001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
46 | 46 | 2018 | House | AR-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.13928001 | 0.86071998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
552 | 552 | 2018 | House | AR-2 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.10034 | 0.89965999 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1058 | 1058 | 2018 | House | AR-2 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.14364 | 0.85636002 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
47 | 47 | 2018 | House | AR-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00068 | 0.99931997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
553 | 553 | 2018 | House | AR-3 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.00047999999 | 0.99952 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1059 | 1059 | 2018 | House | AR-3 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.01288 | 0.98711997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
48 | 48 | 2018 | House | AR-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00031999999 | 0.99967998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
554 | 554 | 2018 | House | AR-4 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.00026 | 0.99974 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1060 | 1060 | 2018 | House | AR-4 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.0096800001 | 0.99032003 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
3 | 3 | 2018 | Governor | AR-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00062000001 | 0.99937999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
509 | 509 | 2018 | Governor | AR-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.00044 | 0.99956 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1015 | 1015 | 2018 | Governor | AR-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.00098000001 | 0.99901998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
49 | 49 | 2018 | House | AZ-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.89223999 | 0.10776 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
555 | 555 | 2018 | House | AZ-1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.90763998 | 0.092359997 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1061 | 1061 | 2018 | House | AZ-1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.71565998 | 0.28433999 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
50 | 50 | 2018 | House | AZ-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.96737999 | 0.032620002 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
556 | 556 | 2018 | House | AZ-2 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.96038002 | 0.039620001 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1062 | 1062 | 2018 | House | AZ-2 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.87092 | 0.12908 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
51 | 51 | 2018 | House | AZ-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99992001 | 7.9999998e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
557 | 557 | 2018 | House | AZ-3 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.99993998 | 5.9999998e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1063 | 1063 | 2018 | House | AZ-3 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99963999 | 0.00036000001 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
52 | 52 | 2018 | House | AZ-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00028000001 | 0.99971998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
558 | 558 | 2018 | House | AZ-4 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.00019999999 | 0.99980003 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1064 | 1064 | 2018 | House | AZ-4 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.0025200001 | 0.99747998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
53 | 53 | 2018 | House | AZ-5 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.00085999997 | 0.99914002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
559 | 559 | 2018 | House | AZ-5 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.00069999998 | 0.9993 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1065 | 1065 | 2018 | House | AZ-5 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.0079399999 | 0.99206001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
54 | 54 | 2018 | House | AZ-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.092160001 | 0.90784001 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
560 | 560 | 2018 | House | AZ-6 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.0502 | 0.94980001 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1066 | 1066 | 2018 | House | AZ-6 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.055520002 | 0.94448 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
55 | 55 | 2018 | House | AZ-7 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99997997 | 1.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
561 | 561 | 2018 | House | AZ-7 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.99997997 | 1.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1067 | 1067 | 2018 | House | AZ-7 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99997997 | 1.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
56 | 56 | 2018 | House | AZ-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.22824 | 0.77175999 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
562 | 562 | 2018 | House | AZ-8 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.13298 | 0.86702001 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1068 | 1068 | 2018 | House | AZ-8 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.094860002 | 0.90513998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
57 | 57 | 2018 | House | AZ-9 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99572003 | 0.00428 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
563 | 563 | 2018 | House | AZ-9 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.99708003 | 0.0029200001 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1069 | 1069 | 2018 | House | AZ-9 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.96171999 | 0.038279999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 4 | 2018 | Governor | AZ-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.0128 | 0.98720002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
510 | 510 | 2018 | Governor | AZ-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.01434 | 0.98566002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1016 | 1016 | 2018 | Governor | AZ-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.0077599999 | 0.99224001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
472 | 472 | 2018 | Senate | AZ-S1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.61438 | 0.38562 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
978 | 978 | 2018 | Senate | AZ-S1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.67162001 | 0.32837999 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1484 | 1484 | 2018 | Senate | AZ-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.62996 | 0.37004 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
58 | 58 | 2018 | House | CA-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.21362001 | 0.78637999 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
564 | 564 | 2018 | House | CA-1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.091920003 | 0.90807998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1070 | 1070 | 2018 | House | CA-1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.02352 | 0.97648001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
59 | 59 | 2018 | House | CA-10 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.7748 | 0.2252 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
565 | 565 | 2018 | House | CA-10 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.74537998 | 0.25461999 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1071 | 1071 | 2018 | House | CA-10 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.60883999 | 0.39116001 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
60 | 60 | 2018 | House | CA-11 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
566 | 566 | 2018 | House | CA-11 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1072 | 1072 | 2018 | House | CA-11 | 11/6/18 | lite | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
61 | 61 | 2018 | House | CA-12 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
567 | 567 | 2018 | House | CA-12 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1073 | 1073 | 2018 | House | CA-12 | 11/6/18 | lite | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
62 | 62 | 2018 | House | CA-13 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.99997997 | 1.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
568 | 568 | 2018 | House | CA-13 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.99997997 | 1.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1074 | 1074 | 2018 | House | CA-13 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99997997 | 1.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
63 | 63 | 2018 | House | CA-14 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
569 | 569 | 2018 | House | CA-14 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1075 | 1075 | 2018 | House | CA-14 | 11/6/18 | lite | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
64 | 64 | 2018 | House | CA-15 | 11/6/18 | classic | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
570 | 570 | 2018 | House | CA-15 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1076 | 1076 | 2018 | House | CA-15 | 11/6/18 | lite | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
65 | 65 | 2018 | House | CA-16 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.98181999 | 0.01818 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Advanced export
JSON shape: default, array, newline-delimited
CREATE TABLE "forecast-review/forecast_results_2018" ( "cycle" INTEGER, "branch" TEXT, "race" TEXT, "forecastdate" TEXT, "version" TEXT, "Democrat_WinProbability" REAL, "Republican_WinProbability" REAL, "category" TEXT, "Democrat_Won" INTEGER, "Republican_Won" INTEGER, "uncalled" INTEGER );