Forecast Review: forecast_results_2018.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
1,518 rows sorted by rowid descending
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Suggested facets: branch, version, category, Democrat_Won, Republican_Won, uncalled
Link | rowid ▲ | cycle | branch | race | forecastdate | version | Democrat_WinProbability | Republican_WinProbability | category | Democrat_Won | Republican_Won | uncalled |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1518 | 1518 | 2018 | Senate | WY-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.00156 | 0.99844003 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1517 | 1517 | 2018 | Senate | WV-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.85758001 | 0.14241999 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1516 | 1516 | 2018 | Senate | WI-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.97846001 | 0.021539999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1515 | 1515 | 2018 | Senate | WA-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.97430003 | 0.025699999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1514 | 1514 | 2018 | Senate | VT-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99985999 | 0.00014 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1513 | 1513 | 2018 | Senate | VA-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.97394001 | 0.02606 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1512 | 1512 | 2018 | Senate | UT-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.0086000003 | 0.9914 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1511 | 1511 | 2018 | Senate | TX-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.18762 | 0.81238002 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1510 | 1510 | 2018 | Senate | TN-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.20452 | 0.79548001 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1509 | 1509 | 2018 | Senate | RI-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99449998 | 0.0055 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1508 | 1508 | 2018 | Senate | PA-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.97109997 | 0.028899999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1507 | 1507 | 2018 | Senate | OH-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.97571999 | 0.02428 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1506 | 1506 | 2018 | Senate | NY-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99934 | 0.00066000002 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1505 | 1505 | 2018 | Senate | NV-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.56772 | 0.43228 | Tossup (Tilt D) | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1504 | 1504 | 2018 | Senate | NM-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99541998 | 0.0045799999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1503 | 1503 | 2018 | Senate | NJ-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.94191998 | 0.058079999 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1502 | 1502 | 2018 | Senate | NE-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.058200002 | 0.9418 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1501 | 1501 | 2018 | Senate | ND-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.10812 | 0.89186001 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1500 | 1500 | 2018 | Senate | MT-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.71366 | 0.28634 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1499 | 1499 | 2018 | Senate | MS-S2 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.31646001 | 0.68353999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1498 | 1498 | 2018 | Senate | MS-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.03492 | 0.96508002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1497 | 1497 | 2018 | Senate | MO-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.53486001 | 0.46514001 | Tossup (Tilt D) | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1496 | 1496 | 2018 | Senate | MN-S2 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.91071999 | 0.089280002 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1495 | 1495 | 2018 | Senate | MN-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99754 | 0.0024600001 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1494 | 1494 | 2018 | Senate | MI-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.96968001 | 0.03032 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1493 | 1493 | 2018 | Senate | ME-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.98128003 | 0.018719999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1492 | 1492 | 2018 | Senate | MD-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99910003 | 0.00089999998 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1491 | 1491 | 2018 | Senate | MA-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99739999 | 0.0026 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1490 | 1490 | 2018 | Senate | IN-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.70990002 | 0.29010001 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1489 | 1489 | 2018 | Senate | HI-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99978 | 0.00022 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1488 | 1488 | 2018 | Senate | FL-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.72166002 | 0.27834001 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1487 | 1487 | 2018 | Senate | DE-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99356002 | 0.0064400001 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1486 | 1486 | 2018 | Senate | CT-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99773997 | 0.00226 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1485 | 1485 | 2018 | Senate | CA-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1484 | 1484 | 2018 | Senate | AZ-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.62996 | 0.37004 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1483 | 1483 | 2018 | House | WY-1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.00134 | 0.99866003 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1482 | 1482 | 2018 | House | WV-3 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.27965999 | 0.72034001 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1481 | 1481 | 2018 | House | WV-2 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.1152 | 0.88480002 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1480 | 1480 | 2018 | House | WV-1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.0069200001 | 0.99308002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1479 | 1479 | 2018 | House | WI-8 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.085340001 | 0.91465998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1478 | 1478 | 2018 | House | WI-7 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.06182 | 0.93818003 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1477 | 1477 | 2018 | House | WI-6 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.022399999 | 0.97759998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1476 | 1476 | 2018 | House | WI-5 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.02118 | 0.97882003 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1475 | 1475 | 2018 | House | WI-4 | 11/6/18 | lite | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1474 | 1474 | 2018 | House | WI-3 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.98360002 | 0.0164 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1473 | 1473 | 2018 | House | WI-2 | 11/6/18 | lite | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1472 | 1472 | 2018 | House | WI-1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.42886001 | 0.57113999 | Tossup (Tilt R) | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1471 | 1471 | 2018 | House | WA-9 | 11/6/18 | lite | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1470 | 1470 | 2018 | House | WA-8 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.52323997 | 0.47676 | Tossup (Tilt D) | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1469 | 1469 | 2018 | House | WA-7 | 11/6/18 | lite | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1468 | 1468 | 2018 | House | WA-6 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99817997 | 0.00182 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1467 | 1467 | 2018 | House | WA-5 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.17194 | 0.82805997 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1466 | 1466 | 2018 | House | WA-4 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.0068600001 | 0.99313998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1465 | 1465 | 2018 | House | WA-3 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.24428 | 0.75572002 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1464 | 1464 | 2018 | House | WA-2 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99989998 | 9.9999997e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1463 | 1463 | 2018 | House | WA-10 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99732 | 0.0026799999 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1462 | 1462 | 2018 | House | WA-1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99892002 | 0.00108 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1461 | 1461 | 2018 | House | VT-1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99996001 | 3.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1460 | 1460 | 2018 | House | VA-9 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.032559998 | 0.96744001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1459 | 1459 | 2018 | House | VA-8 | 11/6/18 | lite | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1458 | 1458 | 2018 | House | VA-7 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.44330001 | 0.55669999 | Tossup (Tilt R) | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1457 | 1457 | 2018 | House | VA-6 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.046780001 | 0.95322001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1456 | 1456 | 2018 | House | VA-5 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.51447999 | 0.48552001 | Tossup (Tilt D) | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1455 | 1455 | 2018 | House | VA-4 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99956 | 0.00044 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1454 | 1454 | 2018 | House | VA-3 | 11/6/18 | lite | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1453 | 1453 | 2018 | House | VA-2 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.29412001 | 0.70587999 | Lean R | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1452 | 1452 | 2018 | House | VA-11 | 11/6/18 | lite | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1451 | 1451 | 2018 | House | VA-10 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.86180001 | 0.1382 | Likely D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1450 | 1450 | 2018 | House | VA-1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.076899998 | 0.92309999 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1449 | 1449 | 2018 | House | UT-4 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.62738001 | 0.37261999 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1448 | 1448 | 2018 | House | UT-3 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.00416 | 0.99584001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1447 | 1447 | 2018 | House | UT-2 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.02782 | 0.97218001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1446 | 1446 | 2018 | House | UT-1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.0040199999 | 0.99598002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1445 | 1445 | 2018 | House | TX-9 | 11/6/18 | lite | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1444 | 1444 | 2018 | House | TX-8 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1443 | 1443 | 2018 | House | TX-7 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.40952 | 0.59048003 | Tossup (Tilt R) | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1442 | 1442 | 2018 | House | TX-6 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.15821999 | 0.84178001 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1441 | 1441 | 2018 | House | TX-5 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.0066200001 | 0.99338001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1440 | 1440 | 2018 | House | TX-4 | 11/6/18 | lite | 9.9999997e-05 | 0.99989998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1439 | 1439 | 2018 | House | TX-36 | 11/6/18 | lite | 1.9999999e-05 | 0.99997997 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1438 | 1438 | 2018 | House | TX-35 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99970001 | 0.00030000001 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1437 | 1437 | 2018 | House | TX-34 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99754 | 0.0024600001 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1436 | 1436 | 2018 | House | TX-33 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99996001 | 3.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1435 | 1435 | 2018 | House | TX-32 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.64223999 | 0.35776001 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1434 | 1434 | 2018 | House | TX-31 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.02788 | 0.97211999 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1433 | 1433 | 2018 | House | TX-30 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99997997 | 1.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1432 | 1432 | 2018 | House | TX-3 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.068839997 | 0.93115997 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1431 | 1431 | 2018 | House | TX-29 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99927998 | 0.00072000001 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1430 | 1430 | 2018 | House | TX-28 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99992001 | 7.9999998e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1429 | 1429 | 2018 | House | TX-27 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.0037199999 | 0.99628001 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1428 | 1428 | 2018 | House | TX-26 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.00152 | 0.99848002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1427 | 1427 | 2018 | House | TX-25 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.01794 | 0.98206002 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1426 | 1426 | 2018 | House | TX-24 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.039560001 | 0.96043998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1425 | 1425 | 2018 | House | TX-23 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.040380001 | 0.95962 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1424 | 1424 | 2018 | House | TX-22 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.026699999 | 0.97329998 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1423 | 1423 | 2018 | House | TX-21 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.22504 | 0.77495998 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1422 | 1422 | 2018 | House | TX-20 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.99997997 | 1.9999999e-05 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1421 | 1421 | 2018 | House | TX-2 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.21998 | 0.78002 | Likely R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1420 | 1420 | 2018 | House | TX-19 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.0 | 1.0 | Safe R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1419 | 1419 | 2018 | House | TX-18 | 11/6/18 | lite | 1.0 | 0.0 | Solid D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
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CREATE TABLE "forecast-review/forecast_results_2018" ( "cycle" INTEGER, "branch" TEXT, "race" TEXT, "forecastdate" TEXT, "version" TEXT, "Democrat_WinProbability" REAL, "Republican_WinProbability" REAL, "category" TEXT, "Democrat_Won" INTEGER, "Republican_Won" INTEGER, "uncalled" INTEGER );