This table contains the data behind How FiveThirtyEight's 2018 Midterm Forecasts Did.
forecast_results_2018.csv contains FiveThirtyEight's final classic, deluxe, and lite election forecasts for every House, Senate, and gubernatorial race as of the morning of Nov. 6, 2018. It also contains columns indicating whether the Democrat or the Republican won, or if a race was uncalled as of December 3, 2018.
Data source: https://github.com/fivethirtyeight/data/blob/master/forecast-review/forecast_results_2018.csv
| rowid | cycle | branch | race | forecastdate | version | Democrat_WinProbability | Republican_WinProbability | category | Democrat_Won | Republican_Won | uncalled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 2018 | House | CA-21 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.2102 | 0.78979999 | Likely R | 1 | 0 | 1 |