Forecast Review: forecast_results_2018.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
1,518 rows sorted by category
This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)
Suggested facets: branch, version, category, Democrat_Won, Republican_Won, uncalled
Link | rowid | cycle | branch | race | forecastdate | version | Democrat_WinProbability | Republican_WinProbability | category ▼ | Democrat_Won | Republican_Won | uncalled |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75 | 75 | 2018 | House | CA-25 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.63661999 | 0.36338001 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
97 | 97 | 2018 | House | CA-45 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.63200003 | 0.368 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
169 | 169 | 2018 | House | IA-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.70248002 | 0.29752001 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
178 | 178 | 2018 | House | IL-14 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.69436002 | 0.30564001 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
201 | 201 | 2018 | House | KS-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.61754 | 0.38246 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
234 | 234 | 2018 | House | ME-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.63422 | 0.36578 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
247 | 247 | 2018 | House | MI-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.66898 | 0.33102 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
318 | 318 | 2018 | House | NY-19 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.61166 | 0.38834 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
437 | 437 | 2018 | House | UT-4 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.62276 | 0.37724 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
458 | 458 | 2018 | House | WA-8 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.66983998 | 0.33015999 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
472 | 472 | 2018 | Senate | AZ-S1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.61438 | 0.38562 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
476 | 476 | 2018 | Senate | FL-S1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.70384002 | 0.29616001 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
478 | 478 | 2018 | Senate | IN-S1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.71846002 | 0.28154001 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
517 | 517 | 2018 | Governor | IA-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.63617998 | 0.36381999 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
529 | 529 | 2018 | Governor | NV-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.60005999 | 0.39994001 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
531 | 531 | 2018 | Governor | OH-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.61940002 | 0.38060001 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
541 | 541 | 2018 | Governor | WI-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.6171 | 0.3829 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
565 | 565 | 2018 | House | CA-10 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.74537998 | 0.25461999 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
603 | 603 | 2018 | House | CA-45 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.64709997 | 0.35288 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
606 | 606 | 2018 | House | CA-48 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.62787998 | 0.37211999 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
675 | 675 | 2018 | House | IA-3 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.69889998 | 0.30109999 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
684 | 684 | 2018 | House | IL-14 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.69264001 | 0.30735999 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
693 | 693 | 2018 | House | IL-6 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.62023997 | 0.37976 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
707 | 707 | 2018 | House | KS-2 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.64069998 | 0.35927999 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
740 | 740 | 2018 | House | ME-2 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.64506 | 0.35494 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
753 | 753 | 2018 | House | MI-8 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.70642 | 0.29358 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
800 | 800 | 2018 | House | NJ-3 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.62896001 | 0.37103999 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
824 | 824 | 2018 | House | NY-19 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.66864002 | 0.33136001 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
828 | 828 | 2018 | House | NY-22 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.60443997 | 0.39556 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
943 | 943 | 2018 | House | UT-4 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.64204001 | 0.35795999 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
964 | 964 | 2018 | House | WA-8 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.71546 | 0.28454 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
978 | 978 | 2018 | Senate | AZ-S1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.67162001 | 0.32837999 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
982 | 982 | 2018 | Senate | FL-S1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.73163998 | 0.26835999 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
984 | 984 | 2018 | Senate | IN-S1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.61721998 | 0.38277999 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
999 | 999 | 2018 | Senate | NV-S1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.63918 | 0.36082 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1037 | 1037 | 2018 | Governor | OH-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.6652 | 0.3348 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1039 | 1039 | 2018 | Governor | OR-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.69481999 | 0.30518001 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1047 | 1047 | 2018 | Governor | WI-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.70257998 | 0.29742 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1061 | 1061 | 2018 | House | AZ-1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.71565998 | 0.28433999 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1071 | 1071 | 2018 | House | CA-10 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.60883999 | 0.39116001 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1155 | 1155 | 2018 | House | FL-27 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.6541 | 0.3459 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1190 | 1190 | 2018 | House | IL-14 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.63988 | 0.36012 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1259 | 1259 | 2018 | House | MI-8 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.64462 | 0.35538 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1267 | 1267 | 2018 | House | MN-7 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.69528002 | 0.30472001 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1319 | 1319 | 2018 | House | NV-4 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.72109997 | 0.2789 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1435 | 1435 | 2018 | House | TX-32 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.64223999 | 0.35776001 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1449 | 1449 | 2018 | House | UT-4 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.62738001 | 0.37261999 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1484 | 1484 | 2018 | Senate | AZ-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.62996 | 0.37004 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1488 | 1488 | 2018 | Senate | FL-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.72166002 | 0.27834001 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1490 | 1490 | 2018 | Senate | IN-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.70990002 | 0.29010001 | Lean D | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1500 | 1500 | 2018 | Senate | MT-S1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.71366 | 0.28634 | Lean D | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1 | 1 | 2018 | Governor | AK-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.31095999 | 0.68904001 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
9 | 9 | 2018 | Governor | GA-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.3224 | 0.67760003 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
31 | 31 | 2018 | Governor | SD-G1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.36921999 | 0.63077998 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
37 | 37 | 2018 | House | AK-1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.3475 | 0.65249997 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
141 | 141 | 2018 | House | FL-25 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.27827999 | 0.72171998 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
147 | 147 | 2018 | House | FL-6 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.26653999 | 0.73346001 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
176 | 176 | 2018 | House | IL-12 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.28222001 | 0.71777999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
177 | 177 | 2018 | House | IL-13 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.28378001 | 0.71622002 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
274 | 274 | 2018 | House | NC-13 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.38688001 | 0.61312002 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
319 | 319 | 2018 | House | NY-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.27732 | 0.72267997 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
338 | 338 | 2018 | House | OH-12 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.34705999 | 0.65293998 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
362 | 362 | 2018 | House | PA-10 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.32495999 | 0.67504001 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
423 | 423 | 2018 | House | TX-32 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.37171999 | 0.62827998 | Lean R | 1 | 0 | 0 |
441 | 441 | 2018 | House | VA-2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.32712001 | 0.67287999 | Lean R | 1 | 0 | 0 |
453 | 453 | 2018 | House | WA-3 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.25914001 | 0.74085999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
487 | 487 | 2018 | Senate | MS-S2 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.25229999 | 0.74769998 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
489 | 489 | 2018 | Senate | ND-S1 | 11/6/18 | classic | 0.26763999 | 0.73236001 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
507 | 507 | 2018 | Governor | AK-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.28534001 | 0.71465999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
515 | 515 | 2018 | Governor | GA-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.34092 | 0.65908003 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
537 | 537 | 2018 | Governor | SD-G1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.34630001 | 0.65369999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
543 | 543 | 2018 | House | AK-1 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.25525999 | 0.74474001 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
636 | 636 | 2018 | House | FL-15 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.36462 | 0.63538003 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
780 | 780 | 2018 | House | NC-13 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.35012001 | 0.64987999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
791 | 791 | 2018 | House | NE-2 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.32284001 | 0.67716002 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
844 | 844 | 2018 | House | OH-12 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.35174 | 0.64826 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
868 | 868 | 2018 | House | PA-10 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.28753999 | 0.71245998 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
950 | 950 | 2018 | House | VA-5 | 11/6/18 | deluxe | 0.29960001 | 0.70039999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1013 | 1013 | 2018 | Governor | AK-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.33284 | 0.66715997 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1021 | 1021 | 2018 | Governor | GA-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.32124001 | 0.67875999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1038 | 1038 | 2018 | Governor | OK-G1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.27983999 | 0.72016001 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1049 | 1049 | 2018 | House | AK-1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.35640001 | 0.64359999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1083 | 1083 | 2018 | House | CA-21 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.27579999 | 0.72420001 | Lean R | 1 | 0 | 1 |
1087 | 1087 | 2018 | House | CA-25 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.31865999 | 0.68133998 | Lean R | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1115 | 1115 | 2018 | House | CA-50 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.26050001 | 0.73949999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1159 | 1159 | 2018 | House | FL-6 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.31614 | 0.68386 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1257 | 1257 | 2018 | House | MI-6 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.3529 | 0.64709997 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1281 | 1281 | 2018 | House | MT-1 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.26082 | 0.73918003 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1286 | 1286 | 2018 | House | NC-13 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.34560001 | 0.65439999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1331 | 1331 | 2018 | House | NY-2 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.26446 | 0.73553997 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1333 | 1333 | 2018 | House | NY-21 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.28207999 | 0.71792001 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1335 | 1335 | 2018 | House | NY-23 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.27647999 | 0.72351998 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1339 | 1339 | 2018 | House | NY-27 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.26036 | 0.73964 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1350 | 1350 | 2018 | House | OH-12 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.31373999 | 0.68625998 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1354 | 1354 | 2018 | House | OH-16 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.33338001 | 0.66662002 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1374 | 1374 | 2018 | House | PA-10 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.32721999 | 0.67277998 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1380 | 1380 | 2018 | House | PA-16 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.32427999 | 0.67571998 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1453 | 1453 | 2018 | House | VA-2 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.29412001 | 0.70587999 | Lean R | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1482 | 1482 | 2018 | House | WV-3 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.27965999 | 0.72034001 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1499 | 1499 | 2018 | Senate | MS-S2 | 11/6/18 | lite | 0.31646001 | 0.68353999 | Lean R | 0 | 1 | 0 |
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CREATE TABLE "forecast-review/forecast_results_2018" ( "cycle" INTEGER, "branch" TEXT, "race" TEXT, "forecastdate" TEXT, "version" TEXT, "Democrat_WinProbability" REAL, "Republican_WinProbability" REAL, "category" TEXT, "Democrat_Won" INTEGER, "Republican_Won" INTEGER, "uncalled" INTEGER );