NCAA Bracket: historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
253 rows sorted by underdog
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Suggested facets: year, round, favorite_win_flag
Link | rowid | year | round | favorite | underdog ▼ | favorite_probability | favorite_win_flag |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
133 | 133 | 2013 | 2 | Virginia Commonwealth | Akron | 0.711 | 1 |
216 | 216 | 2011 | 2 | Notre Dame | Akron | 0.906 | 1 |
65 | 65 | 2011 | 1 | UTSA | Alabama State | 0.602 | 1 |
231 | 231 | 2013 | 2 | Duke | Albany | 0.946 | 1 |
248 | 248 | 2014 | 2 | Florida | Albany | 0.988 | 1 |
223 | 223 | 2014 | 2 | Wisconsin | American University | 0.928 | 1 |
38 | 38 | 2013 | 4 | Ohio State | Arizona | 0.558 | 1 |
118 | 118 | 2011 | 3 | Texas | Arizona | 0.682 | 0 |
176 | 176 | 2011 | 4 | Duke | Arizona | 0.8 | 0 |
1 | 1 | 2014 | 2 | Texas | Arizona State | 0.501 | 1 |
82 | 82 | 2011 | 1 | North Carolina Asheville | Arkansas-Little Rock | 0.627 | 1 |
29 | 29 | 2014 | 3 | Creighton | Baylor | 0.544 | 0 |
161 | 161 | 2012 | 5 | Kentucky | Baylor | 0.769 | 1 |
35 | 35 | 2012 | 2 | Georgetown | Belmont | 0.553 | 1 |
101 | 101 | 2011 | 2 | Wisconsin | Belmont | 0.658 | 1 |
139 | 139 | 2013 | 2 | Arizona | Belmont | 0.717 | 1 |
7 | 7 | 2013 | 1 | La Salle | Boise State | 0.515 | 1 |
249 | 249 | 2011 | 2 | Kansas | Boston University | 0.99 | 1 |
14 | 14 | 2012 | 1 | Iona | Brigham Young | 0.525 | 0 |
60 | 60 | 2011 | 4 | Florida | Brigham Young | 0.596 | 1 |
97 | 97 | 2014 | 2 | Oregon | Brigham Young | 0.647 | 1 |
152 | 152 | 2012 | 2 | Marquette | Brigham Young | 0.751 | 1 |
81 | 81 | 2013 | 2 | Butler | Bucknell | 0.627 | 1 |
182 | 182 | 2011 | 2 | Connecticut | Bucknell | 0.814 | 1 |
23 | 23 | 2013 | 3 | Marquette | Butler | 0.534 | 1 |
83 | 83 | 2011 | 7 | Connecticut | Butler | 0.628 | 1 |
100 | 100 | 2011 | 4 | Wisconsin | Butler | 0.657 | 0 |
117 | 117 | 2011 | 5 | Florida | Butler | 0.68 | 0 |
168 | 168 | 2011 | 3 | Pittsburgh | Butler | 0.786 | 0 |
243 | 243 | 2014 | 2 | Wichita State | Cal Poly | 0.975 | 1 |
111 | 111 | 2013 | 2 | UNLV | California | 0.672 | 0 |
151 | 151 | 2013 | 3 | Syracuse | California | 0.75 | 1 |
55 | 55 | 2013 | 2 | Creighton | Cincinnati | 0.585 | 1 |
91 | 91 | 2011 | 3 | Connecticut | Cincinnati | 0.638 | 1 |
174 | 174 | 2012 | 4 | Ohio State | Cincinnati | 0.793 | 1 |
31 | 31 | 2011 | 2 | West Virginia | Clemson | 0.55 | 1 |
239 | 239 | 2014 | 2 | Virginia | Coastal Carolina | 0.964 | 1 |
2 | 2 | 2013 | 2 | Illinois | Colorado | 0.504 | 1 |
120 | 120 | 2012 | 2 | UNLV | Colorado | 0.684 | 0 |
142 | 142 | 2014 | 2 | Pittsburgh | Colorado | 0.724 | 1 |
162 | 162 | 2012 | 3 | Baylor | Colorado | 0.771 | 0 |
85 | 85 | 2013 | 2 | Missouri | Colorado State | 0.634 | 0 |
112 | 112 | 2012 | 2 | Murray State | Colorado State | 0.673 | 1 |
214 | 214 | 2013 | 3 | Louisville | Colorado State | 0.901 | 1 |
6 | 6 | 2011 | 5 | Arizona | Connecticut | 0.514 | 0 |
27 | 27 | 2011 | 6 | Kentucky | Connecticut | 0.538 | 0 |
98 | 98 | 2014 | 3 | Villanova | Connecticut | 0.649 | 0 |
122 | 122 | 2011 | 4 | San Diego State | Connecticut | 0.696 | 0 |
19 | 19 | 2012 | 2 | Alabama | Creighton | 0.526 | 0 |
134 | 134 | 2013 | 3 | Duke | Creighton | 0.711 | 1 |
195 | 195 | 2012 | 3 | North Carolina | Creighton | 0.855 | 1 |
99 | 99 | 2013 | 2 | Marquette | Davidson | 0.655 | 1 |
160 | 160 | 2012 | 2 | Louisville | Davidson | 0.767 | 1 |
154 | 154 | 2014 | 2 | Ohio State | Dayton | 0.753 | 0 |
165 | 165 | 2014 | 3 | Syracuse | Dayton | 0.773 | 0 |
217 | 217 | 2014 | 2 | Michigan State | Delaware | 0.912 | 1 |
232 | 232 | 2012 | 2 | Kansas | Detroit | 0.946 | 1 |
110 | 110 | 2013 | 5 | Louisville | Duke | 0.67 | 1 |
221 | 221 | 2014 | 2 | Kansas | Eastern Kentucky | 0.924 | 1 |
130 | 130 | 2013 | 3 | San Diego State | Florida Gulf Coast | 0.707 | 0 |
212 | 212 | 2013 | 2 | Georgetown | Florida Gulf Coast | 0.897 | 0 |
230 | 230 | 2013 | 4 | Florida | Florida Gulf Coast | 0.942 | 1 |
5 | 5 | 2012 | 3 | Cincinnati | Florida State | 0.509 | 1 |
126 | 126 | 2011 | 3 | Notre Dame | Florida State | 0.704 | 0 |
71 | 71 | 2011 | 2 | Villanova | George Mason | 0.607 | 0 |
211 | 211 | 2011 | 3 | Ohio State | George Mason | 0.896 | 1 |
32 | 32 | 2014 | 2 | Memphis | George Washington | 0.55 | 1 |
43 | 43 | 2011 | 2 | Washington | Georgia | 0.562 | 1 |
11 | 11 | 2014 | 2 | Oklahoma State | Gonzaga | 0.52 | 0 |
40 | 40 | 2011 | 3 | Brigham Young | Gonzaga | 0.559 | 1 |
54 | 54 | 2012 | 2 | West Virginia | Gonzaga | 0.582 | 0 |
144 | 144 | 2014 | 3 | Arizona | Gonzaga | 0.727 | 1 |
191 | 191 | 2012 | 3 | Ohio State | Gonzaga | 0.848 | 1 |
252 | 252 | 2011 | 2 | Duke | Hampton | 0.995 | 1 |
52 | 52 | 2014 | 2 | Cincinnati | Harvard | 0.58 | 0 |
153 | 153 | 2012 | 2 | Vanderbilt | Harvard | 0.752 | 1 |
164 | 164 | 2014 | 3 | Michigan State | Harvard | 0.772 | 1 |
193 | 193 | 2013 | 3 | Arizona | Harvard | 0.853 | 1 |
201 | 201 | 2013 | 2 | New Mexico | Harvard | 0.874 | 0 |
143 | 143 | 2013 | 3 | Miami (FL) | Illinois | 0.726 | 1 |
159 | 159 | 2011 | 3 | Kansas | Illinois | 0.765 | 1 |
175 | 175 | 2012 | 4 | Kentucky | Indiana | 0.795 | 1 |
210 | 210 | 2011 | 2 | Syracuse | Indiana State | 0.896 | 1 |
229 | 229 | 2013 | 2 | Ohio State | Iona | 0.938 | 1 |
8 | 8 | 2014 | 1 | Tennessee | Iowa | 0.517 | 1 |
50 | 50 | 2012 | 2 | Connecticut | Iowa State | 0.578 | 0 |
64 | 64 | 2013 | 2 | Notre Dame | Iowa State | 0.6 | 0 |
183 | 183 | 2013 | 3 | Ohio State | Iowa State | 0.816 | 1 |
208 | 208 | 2012 | 3 | Kentucky | Iowa State | 0.895 | 1 |
247 | 247 | 2013 | 2 | Indiana | James Madison | 0.983 | 1 |
17 | 17 | 2012 | 5 | North Carolina | Kansas | 0.525 | 0 |
66 | 66 | 2012 | 6 | Ohio State | Kansas | 0.603 | 0 |
92 | 92 | 2012 | 7 | Kentucky | Kansas | 0.641 | 1 |
44 | 44 | 2011 | 3 | Wisconsin | Kansas State | 0.563 | 1 |
138 | 138 | 2012 | 3 | Syracuse | Kansas State | 0.716 | 1 |
145 | 145 | 2014 | 2 | Kentucky | Kansas State | 0.739 | 1 |
16 | 16 | 2011 | 5 | North Carolina | Kentucky | 0.525 | 0 |
51 | 51 | 2014 | 3 | Wichita State | Kentucky | 0.579 | 0 |
172 | 172 | 2011 | 4 | Ohio State | Kentucky | 0.788 | 0 |
80 | 80 | 2013 | 3 | Mississippi | La Salle | 0.627 | 0 |
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CREATE TABLE "historical-ncaa-forecasts/historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results" ( "year" INTEGER, "round" INTEGER, "favorite" TEXT, "underdog" TEXT, "favorite_probability" REAL, "favorite_win_flag" INTEGER );