NCAA Bracket: historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
253 rows sorted by rowid descending
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Suggested facets: year, round, favorite_win_flag
Link | rowid ▲ | year | round | favorite | underdog | favorite_probability | favorite_win_flag |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
253 | 253 | 2011 | 2 | Ohio State | UTSA | 0.997 | 1 |
252 | 252 | 2011 | 2 | Duke | Hampton | 0.995 | 1 |
251 | 251 | 2013 | 2 | Louisville | North Carolina A&T | 0.995 | 1 |
250 | 250 | 2012 | 2 | Kentucky | Western Kentucky | 0.991 | 1 |
249 | 249 | 2011 | 2 | Kansas | Boston University | 0.99 | 1 |
248 | 248 | 2014 | 2 | Florida | Albany | 0.988 | 1 |
247 | 247 | 2013 | 2 | Indiana | James Madison | 0.983 | 1 |
246 | 246 | 2013 | 2 | Kansas | Western Kentucky | 0.982 | 1 |
245 | 245 | 2013 | 2 | Gonzaga | Southern University | 0.982 | 1 |
244 | 244 | 2014 | 2 | Arizona | Weber State | 0.978 | 1 |
243 | 243 | 2014 | 2 | Wichita State | Cal Poly | 0.975 | 1 |
242 | 242 | 2012 | 2 | Missouri | Norfolk State | 0.972 | 0 |
241 | 241 | 2011 | 2 | Pittsburgh | North Carolina Asheville | 0.967 | 1 |
240 | 240 | 2012 | 2 | Ohio State | Loyola (MD) | 0.964 | 1 |
239 | 239 | 2014 | 2 | Virginia | Coastal Carolina | 0.964 | 1 |
238 | 238 | 2014 | 2 | Michigan | Wofford | 0.954 | 1 |
237 | 237 | 2011 | 2 | Florida | UC-Santa Barbara | 0.95 | 1 |
236 | 236 | 2012 | 2 | Michigan State | Long Island | 0.949 | 1 |
235 | 235 | 2013 | 2 | Florida | Northwestern State | 0.948 | 1 |
234 | 234 | 2013 | 4 | Louisville | Oregon | 0.947 | 1 |
233 | 233 | 2014 | 2 | Villanova | Milwaukee | 0.947 | 1 |
232 | 232 | 2012 | 2 | Kansas | Detroit | 0.946 | 1 |
231 | 231 | 2013 | 2 | Duke | Albany | 0.946 | 1 |
230 | 230 | 2013 | 4 | Florida | Florida Gulf Coast | 0.942 | 1 |
229 | 229 | 2013 | 2 | Ohio State | Iona | 0.938 | 1 |
228 | 228 | 2012 | 2 | North Carolina | Vermont | 0.936 | 1 |
227 | 227 | 2011 | 2 | San Diego State | Northern Colorado | 0.935 | 1 |
226 | 226 | 2011 | 2 | North Carolina | Long Island | 0.933 | 1 |
225 | 225 | 2014 | 2 | Louisville | Manhattan | 0.931 | 1 |
224 | 224 | 2014 | 2 | Duke | Mercer | 0.929 | 0 |
223 | 223 | 2014 | 2 | Wisconsin | American University | 0.928 | 1 |
222 | 222 | 2011 | 3 | Duke | Michigan | 0.925 | 1 |
221 | 221 | 2014 | 2 | Kansas | Eastern Kentucky | 0.924 | 1 |
220 | 220 | 2011 | 2 | Purdue | St. Peter's | 0.922 | 1 |
219 | 219 | 2012 | 3 | Florida | Norfolk State | 0.921 | 1 |
218 | 218 | 2013 | 3 | Indiana | Temple | 0.919 | 1 |
217 | 217 | 2014 | 2 | Michigan State | Delaware | 0.912 | 1 |
216 | 216 | 2011 | 2 | Notre Dame | Akron | 0.906 | 1 |
215 | 215 | 2013 | 2 | Michigan | South Dakota State | 0.902 | 1 |
214 | 214 | 2013 | 3 | Louisville | Colorado State | 0.901 | 1 |
213 | 213 | 2013 | 2 | Miami (FL) | Pacific | 0.899 | 1 |
212 | 212 | 2013 | 2 | Georgetown | Florida Gulf Coast | 0.897 | 0 |
211 | 211 | 2011 | 3 | Ohio State | George Mason | 0.896 | 1 |
210 | 210 | 2011 | 2 | Syracuse | Indiana State | 0.896 | 1 |
209 | 209 | 2012 | 2 | Duke | Lehigh | 0.896 | 0 |
208 | 208 | 2012 | 3 | Kentucky | Iowa State | 0.895 | 1 |
207 | 207 | 2012 | 2 | Syracuse | North Carolina Asheville | 0.893 | 1 |
206 | 206 | 2014 | 2 | Creighton | Louisiana-Lafayette | 0.883 | 1 |
205 | 205 | 2014 | 2 | Syracuse | Western Michigan | 0.883 | 1 |
204 | 204 | 2012 | 2 | Florida State | St. Bonaventure | 0.882 | 1 |
203 | 203 | 2011 | 2 | Kentucky | Princeton | 0.882 | 1 |
202 | 202 | 2014 | 3 | UCLA | Stephen F. Austin | 0.878 | 1 |
201 | 201 | 2013 | 2 | New Mexico | Harvard | 0.874 | 0 |
200 | 200 | 2013 | 2 | Syracuse | Montana | 0.874 | 1 |
199 | 199 | 2011 | 5 | Kansas | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.873 | 0 |
198 | 198 | 2014 | 2 | UCLA | Tulsa | 0.871 | 1 |
197 | 197 | 2012 | 4 | North Carolina | Ohio | 0.862 | 1 |
196 | 196 | 2011 | 2 | Brigham Young | Wofford | 0.856 | 1 |
195 | 195 | 2012 | 3 | North Carolina | Creighton | 0.855 | 1 |
194 | 194 | 2012 | 2 | Wisconsin | Montana | 0.854 | 1 |
193 | 193 | 2013 | 3 | Arizona | Harvard | 0.853 | 1 |
192 | 192 | 2011 | 4 | Kansas | Richmond | 0.852 | 1 |
191 | 191 | 2012 | 3 | Ohio State | Gonzaga | 0.848 | 1 |
190 | 190 | 2013 | 6 | Louisville | Wichita State | 0.846 | 1 |
189 | 189 | 2011 | 2 | Texas | Oakland | 0.845 | 1 |
188 | 188 | 2011 | 3 | Purdue | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.835 | 0 |
187 | 187 | 2013 | 2 | Michigan State | Valparaiso | 0.83 | 1 |
186 | 186 | 2014 | 3 | Louisville | Saint Louis | 0.822 | 1 |
185 | 185 | 2011 | 3 | Florida | UCLA | 0.822 | 1 |
184 | 184 | 2012 | 4 | Kansas | North Carolina State | 0.819 | 1 |
183 | 183 | 2013 | 3 | Ohio State | Iowa State | 0.816 | 1 |
182 | 182 | 2011 | 2 | Connecticut | Bucknell | 0.814 | 1 |
181 | 181 | 2011 | 3 | San Diego State | Temple | 0.813 | 1 |
180 | 180 | 2013 | 3 | Florida | Minnesota | 0.813 | 1 |
179 | 179 | 2014 | 2 | Iowa State | North Carolina Central | 0.812 | 1 |
178 | 178 | 2014 | 3 | Tennessee | Mercer | 0.811 | 1 |
177 | 177 | 2011 | 2 | Louisville | Morehead State | 0.805 | 0 |
176 | 176 | 2011 | 4 | Duke | Arizona | 0.8 | 0 |
175 | 175 | 2012 | 4 | Kentucky | Indiana | 0.795 | 1 |
174 | 174 | 2012 | 4 | Ohio State | Cincinnati | 0.793 | 1 |
173 | 173 | 2012 | 2 | Baylor | South Dakota State | 0.792 | 1 |
172 | 172 | 2011 | 4 | Ohio State | Kentucky | 0.788 | 0 |
171 | 171 | 2014 | 3 | Kansas | Stanford | 0.787 | 0 |
170 | 170 | 2014 | 3 | Michigan | Texas | 0.787 | 1 |
169 | 169 | 2012 | 3 | Kansas | Purdue | 0.786 | 1 |
168 | 168 | 2011 | 3 | Pittsburgh | Butler | 0.786 | 0 |
167 | 167 | 2013 | 2 | Kansas State | La Salle | 0.782 | 0 |
166 | 166 | 2013 | 3 | Kansas | North Carolina | 0.778 | 1 |
165 | 165 | 2014 | 3 | Syracuse | Dayton | 0.773 | 0 |
164 | 164 | 2014 | 3 | Michigan State | Harvard | 0.772 | 1 |
163 | 163 | 2014 | 3 | Wisconsin | Oregon | 0.772 | 1 |
162 | 162 | 2012 | 3 | Baylor | Colorado | 0.771 | 0 |
161 | 161 | 2012 | 5 | Kentucky | Baylor | 0.769 | 1 |
160 | 160 | 2012 | 2 | Louisville | Davidson | 0.767 | 1 |
159 | 159 | 2011 | 3 | Kansas | Illinois | 0.765 | 1 |
158 | 158 | 2014 | 2 | Virginia Commonwealth | Stephen F. Austin | 0.764 | 0 |
157 | 157 | 2014 | 3 | Florida | Pittsburgh | 0.762 | 1 |
156 | 156 | 2013 | 2 | Saint Louis | New Mexico State | 0.762 | 1 |
155 | 155 | 2013 | 2 | Wisconsin | Mississippi | 0.756 | 0 |
154 | 154 | 2014 | 2 | Ohio State | Dayton | 0.753 | 0 |
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CREATE TABLE "historical-ncaa-forecasts/historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results" ( "year" INTEGER, "round" INTEGER, "favorite" TEXT, "underdog" TEXT, "favorite_probability" REAL, "favorite_win_flag" INTEGER );