NCAA Bracket: historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
253 rows
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Link | rowid ▼ | year | round | favorite | underdog | favorite_probability | favorite_win_flag |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
101 | 101 | 2011 | 2 | Wisconsin | Belmont | 0.658 | 1 |
102 | 102 | 2012 | 2 | Kansas State | Southern Miss | 0.658 | 1 |
103 | 103 | 2012 | 2 | Memphis | Saint Louis | 0.659 | 0 |
104 | 104 | 2013 | 5 | Ohio State | Wichita State | 0.659 | 0 |
105 | 105 | 2011 | 2 | Gonzaga | St. John's | 0.664 | 1 |
106 | 106 | 2011 | 2 | Michigan State | UCLA | 0.667 | 0 |
107 | 107 | 2011 | 2 | Arizona | Memphis | 0.668 | 1 |
108 | 108 | 2012 | 4 | Baylor | Xavier | 0.669 | 1 |
109 | 109 | 2013 | 2 | North Carolina | Villanova | 0.67 | 1 |
110 | 110 | 2013 | 5 | Louisville | Duke | 0.67 | 1 |
111 | 111 | 2013 | 2 | UNLV | California | 0.672 | 0 |
112 | 112 | 2012 | 2 | Murray State | Colorado State | 0.673 | 1 |
113 | 113 | 2014 | 2 | Connecticut | St. Joseph's | 0.673 | 1 |
114 | 114 | 2012 | 2 | New Mexico | Long Beach State | 0.679 | 1 |
115 | 115 | 2014 | 2 | North Carolina | Providence | 0.68 | 1 |
116 | 116 | 2012 | 3 | Marquette | Murray State | 0.68 | 1 |
117 | 117 | 2011 | 5 | Florida | Butler | 0.68 | 0 |
118 | 118 | 2011 | 3 | Texas | Arizona | 0.682 | 0 |
119 | 119 | 2011 | 3 | Richmond | Morehead State | 0.682 | 1 |
120 | 120 | 2012 | 2 | UNLV | Colorado | 0.684 | 0 |
121 | 121 | 2013 | 3 | Michigan State | Memphis | 0.692 | 1 |
122 | 122 | 2011 | 4 | San Diego State | Connecticut | 0.696 | 0 |
123 | 123 | 2011 | 3 | North Carolina | Washington | 0.699 | 1 |
124 | 124 | 2013 | 2 | North Carolina State | Temple | 0.701 | 0 |
125 | 125 | 2014 | 2 | Baylor | Nebraska | 0.703 | 1 |
126 | 126 | 2011 | 3 | Notre Dame | Florida State | 0.704 | 0 |
127 | 127 | 2011 | 4 | North Carolina | Marquette | 0.704 | 1 |
128 | 128 | 2014 | 2 | Tennessee | Massachusetts | 0.705 | 1 |
129 | 129 | 2011 | 2 | Georgetown | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.706 | 0 |
130 | 130 | 2013 | 3 | San Diego State | Florida Gulf Coast | 0.707 | 0 |
131 | 131 | 2012 | 3 | Indiana | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.709 | 1 |
132 | 132 | 2014 | 3 | Virginia | Memphis | 0.71 | 1 |
133 | 133 | 2013 | 2 | Virginia Commonwealth | Akron | 0.711 | 1 |
134 | 134 | 2013 | 3 | Duke | Creighton | 0.711 | 1 |
135 | 135 | 2012 | 2 | Indiana | New Mexico State | 0.713 | 1 |
136 | 136 | 2013 | 4 | Wichita State | La Salle | 0.714 | 1 |
137 | 137 | 2012 | 2 | Michigan | Ohio | 0.715 | 0 |
138 | 138 | 2012 | 3 | Syracuse | Kansas State | 0.716 | 1 |
139 | 139 | 2013 | 2 | Arizona | Belmont | 0.717 | 1 |
140 | 140 | 2011 | 3 | Syracuse | Marquette | 0.717 | 0 |
141 | 141 | 2012 | 3 | Michigan State | Saint Louis | 0.717 | 1 |
142 | 142 | 2014 | 2 | Pittsburgh | Colorado | 0.724 | 1 |
143 | 143 | 2013 | 3 | Miami (FL) | Illinois | 0.726 | 1 |
144 | 144 | 2014 | 3 | Arizona | Gonzaga | 0.727 | 1 |
145 | 145 | 2014 | 2 | Kentucky | Kansas State | 0.739 | 1 |
146 | 146 | 2012 | 2 | Wichita State | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.742 | 0 |
147 | 147 | 2012 | 6 | Kentucky | Louisville | 0.744 | 1 |
148 | 148 | 2014 | 2 | San Diego State | New Mexico State | 0.745 | 1 |
149 | 149 | 2013 | 3 | Gonzaga | Wichita State | 0.747 | 0 |
150 | 150 | 2013 | 5 | Syracuse | Marquette | 0.75 | 1 |
151 | 151 | 2013 | 3 | Syracuse | California | 0.75 | 1 |
152 | 152 | 2012 | 2 | Marquette | Brigham Young | 0.751 | 1 |
153 | 153 | 2012 | 2 | Vanderbilt | Harvard | 0.752 | 1 |
154 | 154 | 2014 | 2 | Ohio State | Dayton | 0.753 | 0 |
155 | 155 | 2013 | 2 | Wisconsin | Mississippi | 0.756 | 0 |
156 | 156 | 2013 | 2 | Saint Louis | New Mexico State | 0.762 | 1 |
157 | 157 | 2014 | 3 | Florida | Pittsburgh | 0.762 | 1 |
158 | 158 | 2014 | 2 | Virginia Commonwealth | Stephen F. Austin | 0.764 | 0 |
159 | 159 | 2011 | 3 | Kansas | Illinois | 0.765 | 1 |
160 | 160 | 2012 | 2 | Louisville | Davidson | 0.767 | 1 |
161 | 161 | 2012 | 5 | Kentucky | Baylor | 0.769 | 1 |
162 | 162 | 2012 | 3 | Baylor | Colorado | 0.771 | 0 |
163 | 163 | 2014 | 3 | Wisconsin | Oregon | 0.772 | 1 |
164 | 164 | 2014 | 3 | Michigan State | Harvard | 0.772 | 1 |
165 | 165 | 2014 | 3 | Syracuse | Dayton | 0.773 | 0 |
166 | 166 | 2013 | 3 | Kansas | North Carolina | 0.778 | 1 |
167 | 167 | 2013 | 2 | Kansas State | La Salle | 0.782 | 0 |
168 | 168 | 2011 | 3 | Pittsburgh | Butler | 0.786 | 0 |
169 | 169 | 2012 | 3 | Kansas | Purdue | 0.786 | 1 |
170 | 170 | 2014 | 3 | Michigan | Texas | 0.787 | 1 |
171 | 171 | 2014 | 3 | Kansas | Stanford | 0.787 | 0 |
172 | 172 | 2011 | 4 | Ohio State | Kentucky | 0.788 | 0 |
173 | 173 | 2012 | 2 | Baylor | South Dakota State | 0.792 | 1 |
174 | 174 | 2012 | 4 | Ohio State | Cincinnati | 0.793 | 1 |
175 | 175 | 2012 | 4 | Kentucky | Indiana | 0.795 | 1 |
176 | 176 | 2011 | 4 | Duke | Arizona | 0.8 | 0 |
177 | 177 | 2011 | 2 | Louisville | Morehead State | 0.805 | 0 |
178 | 178 | 2014 | 3 | Tennessee | Mercer | 0.811 | 1 |
179 | 179 | 2014 | 2 | Iowa State | North Carolina Central | 0.812 | 1 |
180 | 180 | 2013 | 3 | Florida | Minnesota | 0.813 | 1 |
181 | 181 | 2011 | 3 | San Diego State | Temple | 0.813 | 1 |
182 | 182 | 2011 | 2 | Connecticut | Bucknell | 0.814 | 1 |
183 | 183 | 2013 | 3 | Ohio State | Iowa State | 0.816 | 1 |
184 | 184 | 2012 | 4 | Kansas | North Carolina State | 0.819 | 1 |
185 | 185 | 2011 | 3 | Florida | UCLA | 0.822 | 1 |
186 | 186 | 2014 | 3 | Louisville | Saint Louis | 0.822 | 1 |
187 | 187 | 2013 | 2 | Michigan State | Valparaiso | 0.83 | 1 |
188 | 188 | 2011 | 3 | Purdue | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.835 | 0 |
189 | 189 | 2011 | 2 | Texas | Oakland | 0.845 | 1 |
190 | 190 | 2013 | 6 | Louisville | Wichita State | 0.846 | 1 |
191 | 191 | 2012 | 3 | Ohio State | Gonzaga | 0.848 | 1 |
192 | 192 | 2011 | 4 | Kansas | Richmond | 0.852 | 1 |
193 | 193 | 2013 | 3 | Arizona | Harvard | 0.853 | 1 |
194 | 194 | 2012 | 2 | Wisconsin | Montana | 0.854 | 1 |
195 | 195 | 2012 | 3 | North Carolina | Creighton | 0.855 | 1 |
196 | 196 | 2011 | 2 | Brigham Young | Wofford | 0.856 | 1 |
197 | 197 | 2012 | 4 | North Carolina | Ohio | 0.862 | 1 |
198 | 198 | 2014 | 2 | UCLA | Tulsa | 0.871 | 1 |
199 | 199 | 2011 | 5 | Kansas | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.873 | 0 |
200 | 200 | 2013 | 2 | Syracuse | Montana | 0.874 | 1 |
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CREATE TABLE "historical-ncaa-forecasts/historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results" ( "year" INTEGER, "round" INTEGER, "favorite" TEXT, "underdog" TEXT, "favorite_probability" REAL, "favorite_win_flag" INTEGER );