NCAA Bracket: historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
253 rows sorted by favorite_win_flag
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Suggested facets: year, round, favorite_win_flag
Link | rowid | year | round | favorite | underdog | favorite_probability | favorite_win_flag ▼ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | 2011 | 5 | Arizona | Connecticut | 0.514 | 0 |
9 | 9 | 2011 | 2 | Xavier | Marquette | 0.518 | 0 |
11 | 11 | 2014 | 2 | Oklahoma State | Gonzaga | 0.52 | 0 |
14 | 14 | 2012 | 1 | Iona | Brigham Young | 0.525 | 0 |
16 | 16 | 2011 | 5 | North Carolina | Kentucky | 0.525 | 0 |
17 | 17 | 2012 | 5 | North Carolina | Kansas | 0.525 | 0 |
18 | 18 | 2011 | 1 | USC | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.526 | 0 |
19 | 19 | 2012 | 2 | Alabama | Creighton | 0.526 | 0 |
21 | 21 | 2012 | 1 | Lamar | Vermont | 0.527 | 0 |
25 | 25 | 2012 | 3 | New Mexico | Louisville | 0.537 | 0 |
27 | 27 | 2011 | 6 | Kentucky | Connecticut | 0.538 | 0 |
29 | 29 | 2014 | 3 | Creighton | Baylor | 0.544 | 0 |
30 | 30 | 2013 | 4 | Kansas | Michigan | 0.548 | 0 |
33 | 33 | 2012 | 5 | Florida | Louisville | 0.552 | 0 |
39 | 39 | 2013 | 1 | Saint Mary's | Middle Tennessee | 0.559 | 0 |
45 | 45 | 2012 | 3 | South Florida | Ohio | 0.567 | 0 |
46 | 46 | 2011 | 2 | Tennessee | Michigan | 0.569 | 0 |
48 | 48 | 2013 | 4 | Indiana | Syracuse | 0.571 | 0 |
49 | 49 | 2012 | 1 | California | South Florida | 0.577 | 0 |
50 | 50 | 2012 | 2 | Connecticut | Iowa State | 0.578 | 0 |
51 | 51 | 2014 | 3 | Wichita State | Kentucky | 0.579 | 0 |
52 | 52 | 2014 | 2 | Cincinnati | Harvard | 0.58 | 0 |
54 | 54 | 2012 | 2 | West Virginia | Gonzaga | 0.582 | 0 |
57 | 57 | 2011 | 2 | Vanderbilt | Richmond | 0.586 | 0 |
62 | 62 | 2013 | 4 | Miami (FL) | Marquette | 0.598 | 0 |
64 | 64 | 2013 | 2 | Notre Dame | Iowa State | 0.6 | 0 |
66 | 66 | 2012 | 6 | Ohio State | Kansas | 0.603 | 0 |
68 | 68 | 2013 | 2 | Oklahoma State | Oregon | 0.605 | 0 |
71 | 71 | 2011 | 2 | Villanova | George Mason | 0.607 | 0 |
74 | 74 | 2012 | 2 | Temple | South Florida | 0.614 | 0 |
75 | 75 | 2011 | 4 | Florida State | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.619 | 0 |
77 | 77 | 2013 | 2 | Pittsburgh | Wichita State | 0.621 | 0 |
79 | 79 | 2013 | 3 | Saint Louis | Oregon | 0.626 | 0 |
80 | 80 | 2013 | 3 | Mississippi | La Salle | 0.627 | 0 |
85 | 85 | 2013 | 2 | Missouri | Colorado State | 0.634 | 0 |
86 | 86 | 2012 | 3 | Georgetown | North Carolina State | 0.636 | 0 |
87 | 87 | 2013 | 5 | Florida | Michigan | 0.637 | 0 |
88 | 88 | 2014 | 1 | Xavier | North Carolina State | 0.637 | 0 |
89 | 89 | 2014 | 2 | New Mexico | Stanford | 0.638 | 0 |
90 | 90 | 2014 | 2 | Oklahoma | North Dakota State | 0.638 | 0 |
98 | 98 | 2014 | 3 | Villanova | Connecticut | 0.649 | 0 |
100 | 100 | 2011 | 4 | Wisconsin | Butler | 0.657 | 0 |
103 | 103 | 2012 | 2 | Memphis | Saint Louis | 0.659 | 0 |
104 | 104 | 2013 | 5 | Ohio State | Wichita State | 0.659 | 0 |
106 | 106 | 2011 | 2 | Michigan State | UCLA | 0.667 | 0 |
111 | 111 | 2013 | 2 | UNLV | California | 0.672 | 0 |
117 | 117 | 2011 | 5 | Florida | Butler | 0.68 | 0 |
118 | 118 | 2011 | 3 | Texas | Arizona | 0.682 | 0 |
120 | 120 | 2012 | 2 | UNLV | Colorado | 0.684 | 0 |
122 | 122 | 2011 | 4 | San Diego State | Connecticut | 0.696 | 0 |
124 | 124 | 2013 | 2 | North Carolina State | Temple | 0.701 | 0 |
126 | 126 | 2011 | 3 | Notre Dame | Florida State | 0.704 | 0 |
129 | 129 | 2011 | 2 | Georgetown | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.706 | 0 |
130 | 130 | 2013 | 3 | San Diego State | Florida Gulf Coast | 0.707 | 0 |
137 | 137 | 2012 | 2 | Michigan | Ohio | 0.715 | 0 |
140 | 140 | 2011 | 3 | Syracuse | Marquette | 0.717 | 0 |
146 | 146 | 2012 | 2 | Wichita State | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.742 | 0 |
149 | 149 | 2013 | 3 | Gonzaga | Wichita State | 0.747 | 0 |
154 | 154 | 2014 | 2 | Ohio State | Dayton | 0.753 | 0 |
155 | 155 | 2013 | 2 | Wisconsin | Mississippi | 0.756 | 0 |
158 | 158 | 2014 | 2 | Virginia Commonwealth | Stephen F. Austin | 0.764 | 0 |
162 | 162 | 2012 | 3 | Baylor | Colorado | 0.771 | 0 |
165 | 165 | 2014 | 3 | Syracuse | Dayton | 0.773 | 0 |
167 | 167 | 2013 | 2 | Kansas State | La Salle | 0.782 | 0 |
168 | 168 | 2011 | 3 | Pittsburgh | Butler | 0.786 | 0 |
171 | 171 | 2014 | 3 | Kansas | Stanford | 0.787 | 0 |
172 | 172 | 2011 | 4 | Ohio State | Kentucky | 0.788 | 0 |
176 | 176 | 2011 | 4 | Duke | Arizona | 0.8 | 0 |
177 | 177 | 2011 | 2 | Louisville | Morehead State | 0.805 | 0 |
188 | 188 | 2011 | 3 | Purdue | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.835 | 0 |
199 | 199 | 2011 | 5 | Kansas | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.873 | 0 |
201 | 201 | 2013 | 2 | New Mexico | Harvard | 0.874 | 0 |
209 | 209 | 2012 | 2 | Duke | Lehigh | 0.896 | 0 |
212 | 212 | 2013 | 2 | Georgetown | Florida Gulf Coast | 0.897 | 0 |
224 | 224 | 2014 | 2 | Duke | Mercer | 0.929 | 0 |
242 | 242 | 2012 | 2 | Missouri | Norfolk State | 0.972 | 0 |
1 | 1 | 2014 | 2 | Texas | Arizona State | 0.501 | 1 |
2 | 2 | 2013 | 2 | Illinois | Colorado | 0.504 | 1 |
3 | 3 | 2013 | 1 | James Madison | Long Island | 0.506 | 1 |
4 | 4 | 2011 | 2 | Cincinnati | Missouri | 0.509 | 1 |
5 | 5 | 2012 | 3 | Cincinnati | Florida State | 0.509 | 1 |
7 | 7 | 2013 | 1 | La Salle | Boise State | 0.515 | 1 |
8 | 8 | 2014 | 1 | Tennessee | Iowa | 0.517 | 1 |
10 | 10 | 2013 | 6 | Michigan | Syracuse | 0.519 | 1 |
12 | 12 | 2012 | 2 | Xavier | Notre Dame | 0.521 | 1 |
13 | 13 | 2014 | 1 | Albany | Mount St. Mary's | 0.523 | 1 |
15 | 15 | 2012 | 4 | Florida | Marquette | 0.525 | 1 |
20 | 20 | 2013 | 1 | North Carolina A&T | Liberty | 0.527 | 1 |
22 | 22 | 2011 | 2 | Florida State | Texas A&M | 0.531 | 1 |
23 | 23 | 2013 | 3 | Marquette | Butler | 0.534 | 1 |
24 | 24 | 2011 | 6 | Butler | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.534 | 1 |
26 | 26 | 2012 | 4 | Syracuse | Wisconsin | 0.537 | 1 |
28 | 28 | 2013 | 4 | Duke | Michigan State | 0.543 | 1 |
31 | 31 | 2011 | 2 | West Virginia | Clemson | 0.55 | 1 |
32 | 32 | 2014 | 2 | Memphis | George Washington | 0.55 | 1 |
34 | 34 | 2011 | 2 | Temple | Penn State | 0.553 | 1 |
35 | 35 | 2012 | 2 | Georgetown | Belmont | 0.553 | 1 |
36 | 36 | 2014 | 1 | Cal Poly | Texas Southern | 0.556 | 1 |
37 | 37 | 2014 | 3 | Iowa State | North Carolina | 0.557 | 1 |
38 | 38 | 2013 | 4 | Ohio State | Arizona | 0.558 | 1 |
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CREATE TABLE "historical-ncaa-forecasts/historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results" ( "year" INTEGER, "round" INTEGER, "favorite" TEXT, "underdog" TEXT, "favorite_probability" REAL, "favorite_win_flag" INTEGER );