NCAA Bracket: historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
253 rows sorted by round
This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)
Suggested facets: year, round, favorite_win_flag
Link | rowid | year | round ▼ | favorite | underdog | favorite_probability | favorite_win_flag |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | 2013 | 1 | James Madison | Long Island | 0.506 | 1 |
7 | 7 | 2013 | 1 | La Salle | Boise State | 0.515 | 1 |
8 | 8 | 2014 | 1 | Tennessee | Iowa | 0.517 | 1 |
13 | 13 | 2014 | 1 | Albany | Mount St. Mary's | 0.523 | 1 |
14 | 14 | 2012 | 1 | Iona | Brigham Young | 0.525 | 0 |
18 | 18 | 2011 | 1 | USC | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.526 | 0 |
20 | 20 | 2013 | 1 | North Carolina A&T | Liberty | 0.527 | 1 |
21 | 21 | 2012 | 1 | Lamar | Vermont | 0.527 | 0 |
36 | 36 | 2014 | 1 | Cal Poly | Texas Southern | 0.556 | 1 |
39 | 39 | 2013 | 1 | Saint Mary's | Middle Tennessee | 0.559 | 0 |
49 | 49 | 2012 | 1 | California | South Florida | 0.577 | 0 |
65 | 65 | 2011 | 1 | UTSA | Alabama State | 0.602 | 1 |
69 | 69 | 2011 | 1 | Clemson | UAB | 0.605 | 1 |
78 | 78 | 2012 | 1 | Western Kentucky | Mississippi Valley State | 0.622 | 1 |
82 | 82 | 2011 | 1 | North Carolina Asheville | Arkansas-Little Rock | 0.627 | 1 |
88 | 88 | 2014 | 1 | Xavier | North Carolina State | 0.637 | 0 |
1 | 1 | 2014 | 2 | Texas | Arizona State | 0.501 | 1 |
2 | 2 | 2013 | 2 | Illinois | Colorado | 0.504 | 1 |
4 | 4 | 2011 | 2 | Cincinnati | Missouri | 0.509 | 1 |
9 | 9 | 2011 | 2 | Xavier | Marquette | 0.518 | 0 |
11 | 11 | 2014 | 2 | Oklahoma State | Gonzaga | 0.52 | 0 |
12 | 12 | 2012 | 2 | Xavier | Notre Dame | 0.521 | 1 |
19 | 19 | 2012 | 2 | Alabama | Creighton | 0.526 | 0 |
22 | 22 | 2011 | 2 | Florida State | Texas A&M | 0.531 | 1 |
31 | 31 | 2011 | 2 | West Virginia | Clemson | 0.55 | 1 |
32 | 32 | 2014 | 2 | Memphis | George Washington | 0.55 | 1 |
34 | 34 | 2011 | 2 | Temple | Penn State | 0.553 | 1 |
35 | 35 | 2012 | 2 | Georgetown | Belmont | 0.553 | 1 |
41 | 41 | 2013 | 2 | San Diego State | Oklahoma | 0.561 | 1 |
42 | 42 | 2011 | 2 | Butler | Old Dominion | 0.562 | 1 |
43 | 43 | 2011 | 2 | Washington | Georgia | 0.562 | 1 |
46 | 46 | 2011 | 2 | Tennessee | Michigan | 0.569 | 0 |
47 | 47 | 2011 | 2 | Kansas State | Utah State | 0.571 | 1 |
50 | 50 | 2012 | 2 | Connecticut | Iowa State | 0.578 | 0 |
52 | 52 | 2014 | 2 | Cincinnati | Harvard | 0.58 | 0 |
53 | 53 | 2014 | 2 | Saint Louis | North Carolina State | 0.58 | 1 |
54 | 54 | 2012 | 2 | West Virginia | Gonzaga | 0.582 | 0 |
55 | 55 | 2013 | 2 | Creighton | Cincinnati | 0.585 | 1 |
57 | 57 | 2011 | 2 | Vanderbilt | Richmond | 0.586 | 0 |
58 | 58 | 2011 | 2 | Illinois | UNLV | 0.586 | 1 |
59 | 59 | 2013 | 2 | Memphis | Saint Mary's | 0.588 | 1 |
61 | 61 | 2012 | 2 | North Carolina State | San Diego State | 0.598 | 1 |
64 | 64 | 2013 | 2 | Notre Dame | Iowa State | 0.6 | 0 |
67 | 67 | 2012 | 2 | Cincinnati | Texas | 0.604 | 1 |
68 | 68 | 2013 | 2 | Oklahoma State | Oregon | 0.605 | 0 |
71 | 71 | 2011 | 2 | Villanova | George Mason | 0.607 | 0 |
73 | 73 | 2012 | 2 | Purdue | St. Mary's | 0.61 | 1 |
74 | 74 | 2012 | 2 | Temple | South Florida | 0.614 | 0 |
76 | 76 | 2013 | 2 | Minnesota | UCLA | 0.619 | 1 |
77 | 77 | 2013 | 2 | Pittsburgh | Wichita State | 0.621 | 0 |
81 | 81 | 2013 | 2 | Butler | Bucknell | 0.627 | 1 |
85 | 85 | 2013 | 2 | Missouri | Colorado State | 0.634 | 0 |
89 | 89 | 2014 | 2 | New Mexico | Stanford | 0.638 | 0 |
90 | 90 | 2014 | 2 | Oklahoma | North Dakota State | 0.638 | 0 |
93 | 93 | 2012 | 2 | Florida | Virgina | 0.641 | 1 |
97 | 97 | 2014 | 2 | Oregon | Brigham Young | 0.647 | 1 |
99 | 99 | 2013 | 2 | Marquette | Davidson | 0.655 | 1 |
101 | 101 | 2011 | 2 | Wisconsin | Belmont | 0.658 | 1 |
102 | 102 | 2012 | 2 | Kansas State | Southern Miss | 0.658 | 1 |
103 | 103 | 2012 | 2 | Memphis | Saint Louis | 0.659 | 0 |
105 | 105 | 2011 | 2 | Gonzaga | St. John's | 0.664 | 1 |
106 | 106 | 2011 | 2 | Michigan State | UCLA | 0.667 | 0 |
107 | 107 | 2011 | 2 | Arizona | Memphis | 0.668 | 1 |
109 | 109 | 2013 | 2 | North Carolina | Villanova | 0.67 | 1 |
111 | 111 | 2013 | 2 | UNLV | California | 0.672 | 0 |
112 | 112 | 2012 | 2 | Murray State | Colorado State | 0.673 | 1 |
113 | 113 | 2014 | 2 | Connecticut | St. Joseph's | 0.673 | 1 |
114 | 114 | 2012 | 2 | New Mexico | Long Beach State | 0.679 | 1 |
115 | 115 | 2014 | 2 | North Carolina | Providence | 0.68 | 1 |
120 | 120 | 2012 | 2 | UNLV | Colorado | 0.684 | 0 |
124 | 124 | 2013 | 2 | North Carolina State | Temple | 0.701 | 0 |
125 | 125 | 2014 | 2 | Baylor | Nebraska | 0.703 | 1 |
128 | 128 | 2014 | 2 | Tennessee | Massachusetts | 0.705 | 1 |
129 | 129 | 2011 | 2 | Georgetown | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.706 | 0 |
133 | 133 | 2013 | 2 | Virginia Commonwealth | Akron | 0.711 | 1 |
135 | 135 | 2012 | 2 | Indiana | New Mexico State | 0.713 | 1 |
137 | 137 | 2012 | 2 | Michigan | Ohio | 0.715 | 0 |
139 | 139 | 2013 | 2 | Arizona | Belmont | 0.717 | 1 |
142 | 142 | 2014 | 2 | Pittsburgh | Colorado | 0.724 | 1 |
145 | 145 | 2014 | 2 | Kentucky | Kansas State | 0.739 | 1 |
146 | 146 | 2012 | 2 | Wichita State | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.742 | 0 |
148 | 148 | 2014 | 2 | San Diego State | New Mexico State | 0.745 | 1 |
152 | 152 | 2012 | 2 | Marquette | Brigham Young | 0.751 | 1 |
153 | 153 | 2012 | 2 | Vanderbilt | Harvard | 0.752 | 1 |
154 | 154 | 2014 | 2 | Ohio State | Dayton | 0.753 | 0 |
155 | 155 | 2013 | 2 | Wisconsin | Mississippi | 0.756 | 0 |
156 | 156 | 2013 | 2 | Saint Louis | New Mexico State | 0.762 | 1 |
158 | 158 | 2014 | 2 | Virginia Commonwealth | Stephen F. Austin | 0.764 | 0 |
160 | 160 | 2012 | 2 | Louisville | Davidson | 0.767 | 1 |
167 | 167 | 2013 | 2 | Kansas State | La Salle | 0.782 | 0 |
173 | 173 | 2012 | 2 | Baylor | South Dakota State | 0.792 | 1 |
177 | 177 | 2011 | 2 | Louisville | Morehead State | 0.805 | 0 |
179 | 179 | 2014 | 2 | Iowa State | North Carolina Central | 0.812 | 1 |
182 | 182 | 2011 | 2 | Connecticut | Bucknell | 0.814 | 1 |
187 | 187 | 2013 | 2 | Michigan State | Valparaiso | 0.83 | 1 |
189 | 189 | 2011 | 2 | Texas | Oakland | 0.845 | 1 |
194 | 194 | 2012 | 2 | Wisconsin | Montana | 0.854 | 1 |
196 | 196 | 2011 | 2 | Brigham Young | Wofford | 0.856 | 1 |
198 | 198 | 2014 | 2 | UCLA | Tulsa | 0.871 | 1 |
200 | 200 | 2013 | 2 | Syracuse | Montana | 0.874 | 1 |
Advanced export
JSON shape: default, array, newline-delimited
CREATE TABLE "historical-ncaa-forecasts/historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results" ( "year" INTEGER, "round" INTEGER, "favorite" TEXT, "underdog" TEXT, "favorite_probability" REAL, "favorite_win_flag" INTEGER );