NCAA Bracket: historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
253 rows sorted by year
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Suggested facets: year, round, favorite_win_flag
Link | rowid | year ▼ | round | favorite | underdog | favorite_probability | favorite_win_flag |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | 2011 | 2 | Cincinnati | Missouri | 0.509 | 1 |
6 | 6 | 2011 | 5 | Arizona | Connecticut | 0.514 | 0 |
9 | 9 | 2011 | 2 | Xavier | Marquette | 0.518 | 0 |
16 | 16 | 2011 | 5 | North Carolina | Kentucky | 0.525 | 0 |
18 | 18 | 2011 | 1 | USC | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.526 | 0 |
22 | 22 | 2011 | 2 | Florida State | Texas A&M | 0.531 | 1 |
24 | 24 | 2011 | 6 | Butler | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.534 | 1 |
27 | 27 | 2011 | 6 | Kentucky | Connecticut | 0.538 | 0 |
31 | 31 | 2011 | 2 | West Virginia | Clemson | 0.55 | 1 |
34 | 34 | 2011 | 2 | Temple | Penn State | 0.553 | 1 |
40 | 40 | 2011 | 3 | Brigham Young | Gonzaga | 0.559 | 1 |
42 | 42 | 2011 | 2 | Butler | Old Dominion | 0.562 | 1 |
43 | 43 | 2011 | 2 | Washington | Georgia | 0.562 | 1 |
44 | 44 | 2011 | 3 | Wisconsin | Kansas State | 0.563 | 1 |
46 | 46 | 2011 | 2 | Tennessee | Michigan | 0.569 | 0 |
47 | 47 | 2011 | 2 | Kansas State | Utah State | 0.571 | 1 |
57 | 57 | 2011 | 2 | Vanderbilt | Richmond | 0.586 | 0 |
58 | 58 | 2011 | 2 | Illinois | UNLV | 0.586 | 1 |
60 | 60 | 2011 | 4 | Florida | Brigham Young | 0.596 | 1 |
65 | 65 | 2011 | 1 | UTSA | Alabama State | 0.602 | 1 |
69 | 69 | 2011 | 1 | Clemson | UAB | 0.605 | 1 |
70 | 70 | 2011 | 3 | Kentucky | West Virginia | 0.606 | 1 |
71 | 71 | 2011 | 2 | Villanova | George Mason | 0.607 | 0 |
75 | 75 | 2011 | 4 | Florida State | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.619 | 0 |
82 | 82 | 2011 | 1 | North Carolina Asheville | Arkansas-Little Rock | 0.627 | 1 |
83 | 83 | 2011 | 7 | Connecticut | Butler | 0.628 | 1 |
91 | 91 | 2011 | 3 | Connecticut | Cincinnati | 0.638 | 1 |
100 | 100 | 2011 | 4 | Wisconsin | Butler | 0.657 | 0 |
101 | 101 | 2011 | 2 | Wisconsin | Belmont | 0.658 | 1 |
105 | 105 | 2011 | 2 | Gonzaga | St. John's | 0.664 | 1 |
106 | 106 | 2011 | 2 | Michigan State | UCLA | 0.667 | 0 |
107 | 107 | 2011 | 2 | Arizona | Memphis | 0.668 | 1 |
117 | 117 | 2011 | 5 | Florida | Butler | 0.68 | 0 |
118 | 118 | 2011 | 3 | Texas | Arizona | 0.682 | 0 |
119 | 119 | 2011 | 3 | Richmond | Morehead State | 0.682 | 1 |
122 | 122 | 2011 | 4 | San Diego State | Connecticut | 0.696 | 0 |
123 | 123 | 2011 | 3 | North Carolina | Washington | 0.699 | 1 |
126 | 126 | 2011 | 3 | Notre Dame | Florida State | 0.704 | 0 |
127 | 127 | 2011 | 4 | North Carolina | Marquette | 0.704 | 1 |
129 | 129 | 2011 | 2 | Georgetown | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.706 | 0 |
140 | 140 | 2011 | 3 | Syracuse | Marquette | 0.717 | 0 |
159 | 159 | 2011 | 3 | Kansas | Illinois | 0.765 | 1 |
168 | 168 | 2011 | 3 | Pittsburgh | Butler | 0.786 | 0 |
172 | 172 | 2011 | 4 | Ohio State | Kentucky | 0.788 | 0 |
176 | 176 | 2011 | 4 | Duke | Arizona | 0.8 | 0 |
177 | 177 | 2011 | 2 | Louisville | Morehead State | 0.805 | 0 |
181 | 181 | 2011 | 3 | San Diego State | Temple | 0.813 | 1 |
182 | 182 | 2011 | 2 | Connecticut | Bucknell | 0.814 | 1 |
185 | 185 | 2011 | 3 | Florida | UCLA | 0.822 | 1 |
188 | 188 | 2011 | 3 | Purdue | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.835 | 0 |
189 | 189 | 2011 | 2 | Texas | Oakland | 0.845 | 1 |
192 | 192 | 2011 | 4 | Kansas | Richmond | 0.852 | 1 |
196 | 196 | 2011 | 2 | Brigham Young | Wofford | 0.856 | 1 |
199 | 199 | 2011 | 5 | Kansas | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.873 | 0 |
203 | 203 | 2011 | 2 | Kentucky | Princeton | 0.882 | 1 |
210 | 210 | 2011 | 2 | Syracuse | Indiana State | 0.896 | 1 |
211 | 211 | 2011 | 3 | Ohio State | George Mason | 0.896 | 1 |
216 | 216 | 2011 | 2 | Notre Dame | Akron | 0.906 | 1 |
220 | 220 | 2011 | 2 | Purdue | St. Peter's | 0.922 | 1 |
222 | 222 | 2011 | 3 | Duke | Michigan | 0.925 | 1 |
226 | 226 | 2011 | 2 | North Carolina | Long Island | 0.933 | 1 |
227 | 227 | 2011 | 2 | San Diego State | Northern Colorado | 0.935 | 1 |
237 | 237 | 2011 | 2 | Florida | UC-Santa Barbara | 0.95 | 1 |
241 | 241 | 2011 | 2 | Pittsburgh | North Carolina Asheville | 0.967 | 1 |
249 | 249 | 2011 | 2 | Kansas | Boston University | 0.99 | 1 |
252 | 252 | 2011 | 2 | Duke | Hampton | 0.995 | 1 |
253 | 253 | 2011 | 2 | Ohio State | UTSA | 0.997 | 1 |
5 | 5 | 2012 | 3 | Cincinnati | Florida State | 0.509 | 1 |
12 | 12 | 2012 | 2 | Xavier | Notre Dame | 0.521 | 1 |
14 | 14 | 2012 | 1 | Iona | Brigham Young | 0.525 | 0 |
15 | 15 | 2012 | 4 | Florida | Marquette | 0.525 | 1 |
17 | 17 | 2012 | 5 | North Carolina | Kansas | 0.525 | 0 |
19 | 19 | 2012 | 2 | Alabama | Creighton | 0.526 | 0 |
21 | 21 | 2012 | 1 | Lamar | Vermont | 0.527 | 0 |
25 | 25 | 2012 | 3 | New Mexico | Louisville | 0.537 | 0 |
26 | 26 | 2012 | 4 | Syracuse | Wisconsin | 0.537 | 1 |
33 | 33 | 2012 | 5 | Florida | Louisville | 0.552 | 0 |
35 | 35 | 2012 | 2 | Georgetown | Belmont | 0.553 | 1 |
45 | 45 | 2012 | 3 | South Florida | Ohio | 0.567 | 0 |
49 | 49 | 2012 | 1 | California | South Florida | 0.577 | 0 |
50 | 50 | 2012 | 2 | Connecticut | Iowa State | 0.578 | 0 |
54 | 54 | 2012 | 2 | West Virginia | Gonzaga | 0.582 | 0 |
61 | 61 | 2012 | 2 | North Carolina State | San Diego State | 0.598 | 1 |
63 | 63 | 2012 | 3 | Wisconsin | Vanderbilt | 0.599 | 1 |
66 | 66 | 2012 | 6 | Ohio State | Kansas | 0.603 | 0 |
67 | 67 | 2012 | 2 | Cincinnati | Texas | 0.604 | 1 |
72 | 72 | 2012 | 4 | Michigan State | Louisville | 0.607 | 1 |
73 | 73 | 2012 | 2 | Purdue | St. Mary's | 0.61 | 1 |
74 | 74 | 2012 | 2 | Temple | South Florida | 0.614 | 0 |
78 | 78 | 2012 | 1 | Western Kentucky | Mississippi Valley State | 0.622 | 1 |
86 | 86 | 2012 | 3 | Georgetown | North Carolina State | 0.636 | 0 |
92 | 92 | 2012 | 7 | Kentucky | Kansas | 0.641 | 1 |
93 | 93 | 2012 | 2 | Florida | Virgina | 0.641 | 1 |
94 | 94 | 2012 | 5 | Ohio State | Syracuse | 0.642 | 1 |
96 | 96 | 2012 | 3 | Xavier | Lehigh | 0.647 | 1 |
102 | 102 | 2012 | 2 | Kansas State | Southern Miss | 0.658 | 1 |
103 | 103 | 2012 | 2 | Memphis | Saint Louis | 0.659 | 0 |
108 | 108 | 2012 | 4 | Baylor | Xavier | 0.669 | 1 |
112 | 112 | 2012 | 2 | Murray State | Colorado State | 0.673 | 1 |
114 | 114 | 2012 | 2 | New Mexico | Long Beach State | 0.679 | 1 |
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CREATE TABLE "historical-ncaa-forecasts/historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results" ( "year" INTEGER, "round" INTEGER, "favorite" TEXT, "underdog" TEXT, "favorite_probability" REAL, "favorite_win_flag" INTEGER );