pollster-ratings/2016/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
372 rows sorted by Advanced Plus-Minus
This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)
Suggested facets: Live Caller With Cellphones, Internet, NCPP/AAPOR/Roper, 538 Grade, Banned by 538
Link | rowid | ID | Pollster | Polls | Live Caller With Cellphones | Internet | NCPP/AAPOR/Roper | Polls.1 | Simple Average Error | Races Called Correctly | Advanced Plus-Minus ▼ | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Banned by 538 | Mean-Reverted Bias |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
89 | 89 | 89 | McKeon & Associates | 2 | yes | no | no | 1 | 0.9050007 | 1.0 | -6.63812 | 0.1657812 | B | no | -0.0277419 |
90 | 90 | 90 | RBI Strategies & Research | 2 | yes | no | no | 1 | 0.7049999 | 1.0 | -6.571612 | 0.1657812 | B | no | -0.0219355 |
109 | 109 | 109 | University of Houston | 1 | yes | no | no | 0 | 2.009998 | 1.0 | -6.56673 | 0.240052 | B | no | |
193 | 193 | 193 | M4 Strategies | 2 | no | yes | no | 2 | 3.09 | 1.0 | -6.183712 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | -0.193125 |
209 | 209 | 209 | Canisius College | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 0.0999985 | 1.0 | -5.780735 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | |
110 | 110 | 110 | Florida International University/Univision | 1 | yes | no | no | 1 | 1.800003 | 1.0 | -5.67379 | 0.240052 | B | no | 0.0580645 |
38 | 38 | 38 | High Point University | 2 | yes | no | yes | 2 | 0.9499989 | 1.0 | -5.644591 | -0.2609375 | B+ | no | 0.005625 |
210 | 210 | 210 | University of Tennessee | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 2.73 | 1.0 | -5.637769 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | -0.0880645 |
211 | 211 | 211 | Market Strategies International | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 1.100002 | 1.0 | -5.619658 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | -0.0354839 |
27 | 27 | 27 | University of Arkansas | 4 | yes | no | yes | 4 | 2.4325 | 1.0 | -5.493968 | -0.3982699 | A- | no | 0.2861765 |
212 | 212 | 212 | RMS Research | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 0.9199982 | 1.0 | -5.405038 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | -0.0296774 |
159 | 159 | 159 | University of Texas | 4 | no | yes | no | 4 | 1.202499 | 1.0 | -5.019946 | 0.462353 | B- | no | 0.1285294 |
91 | 91 | 91 | Frederick Polls | 2 | yes | no | no | 1 | 2.384998 | 0.75 | -4.91725 | 0.1657812 | B | no | -0.0187097 |
176 | 176 | 176 | US News & World Report | 3 | no | no | no | 3 | 1.916667 | 1.0 | -4.68424 | 0.5254546 | B- | no | -0.0766667 |
194 | 194 | 194 | Louis Harris & Associates | 2 | no | no | no | 2 | 0.8999977 | 1.0 | -4.460755 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | 0.05625 |
54 | 54 | 54 | Market Research Insight | 7 | yes | no | no | 5 | 1.784285 | 1.0 | -4.398869 | -0.1381958 | B+ | no | 0.1891429 |
39 | 39 | 39 | Indiana University | 2 | yes | no | yes | 2 | 0.8549995 | 1.0 | -4.171918 | -0.2609375 | B+ | no | 0.0534375 |
195 | 195 | 195 | Master Image | 2 | no | no | no | 0 | 1.170002 | 1.0 | -4.144325 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | |
213 | 213 | 213 | Dynamic Marketing, Inc. | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 3.010002 | 1.0 | -4.096936 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | 0.0970968 |
214 | 214 | 214 | Cranford & Associates | 1 | no | yes | no | 1 | 2.459999 | 1.0 | -3.865096 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | 0.0793548 |
215 | 215 | 215 | Wood Communications Group | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 0.8400002 | 1.0 | -3.795208 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | 0.0270968 |
18 | 18 | 18 | Marquette University | 7 | yes | no | yes | 4 | 2.594286 | 1.0 | -3.762563 | -0.569905 | A | no | -0.0594118 |
55 | 55 | 55 | Montana State University Billings | 7 | yes | no | no | 7 | 3.607142 | 0.5714286 | -3.66488 | -0.1381958 | B+ | no | 0.5591892 |
160 | 160 | 160 | Orion Strategies | 4 | no | no | no | 3 | 3.065 | 1.0 | -3.625905 | 0.462353 | B- | no | 0.1175758 |
216 | 216 | 216 | Lauer Lalley Victoria, Inc. | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 1.700001 | 1.0 | -3.600807 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | -0.0548387 |
217 | 217 | 217 | BIGresearch | 1 | no | yes | no | 0 | 1.99 | 1.0 | -3.573571 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | |
177 | 177 | 177 | Iowa State University | 3 | no | no | no | 0 | 6.286667 | 0.6666667 | -3.536943 | 0.5254546 | B- | no | |
218 | 218 | 218 | Cooper & Secrest | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 2.639999 | 0.0 | -3.531607 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | -0.0851613 |
92 | 92 | 92 | APC Research | 2 | yes | no | no | 2 | 2.530001 | 1.0 | -3.475548 | 0.1657812 | B | no | 0.158125 |
161 | 161 | 161 | Alabama State University | 4 | no | no | no | 0 | 6.400001 | 0.5 | -3.430982 | 0.462353 | B- | no | |
178 | 178 | 178 | RAND (American Life Panel) | 3 | no | yes | no | 3 | 1.236666 | 1.0 | -3.393079 | 0.5254546 | B- | no | -0.0390909 |
219 | 219 | 219 | Central Surveys, Inc. | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 1.670002 | 0.0 | -3.300999 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | 0.053871 |
162 | 162 | 162 | Northern Arizona University | 4 | no | no | no | 4 | 3.5825 | 1.0 | -3.265447 | 0.462353 | B- | no | -0.3908823 |
93 | 93 | 93 | Tulchin Research | 2 | yes | no | no | 2 | 3.450001 | 1.0 | -3.162069 | 0.1657812 | B | no | -0.215625 |
70 | 70 | 70 | Strategies 360 | 4 | yes | no | no | 4 | 2.035001 | 0.625 | -3.152815 | 0.0320415 | B | no | -0.0664706 |
76 | 76 | 76 | Keating Research, Inc. | 3 | yes | no | no | 3 | 2.220001 | 0.6666667 | -3.04524 | 0.0966116 | B | no | -0.0236364 |
220 | 220 | 220 | University of North Carolina | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 1.600002 | 1.0 | -3.027152 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | 0.0516129 |
221 | 221 | 221 | Multi-Quest International | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 4.110001 | 0.0 | -3.026632 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | |
47 | 47 | 47 | University of South Alabama | 8 | yes | no | no | 8 | 2.75125 | 1.0 | -3.00668 | -0.1882548 | B+ | no | -0.4060526 |
149 | 149 | 149 | Crawford Johnson & Northcott Inc. | 5 | no | no | no | 1 | 4.649999 | 1.0 | -2.97579 | 0.4028572 | B- | no | 0.1048387 |
222 | 222 | 222 | MBQF | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 4.34 | 1.0 | -2.899745 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | |
196 | 196 | 196 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 2 | no | no | no | 0 | 5.07 | 1.0 | -2.879431 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | |
223 | 223 | 223 | Multi Quest International Inc | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 1.870003 | 1.0 | -2.808818 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | 0.0603226 |
179 | 179 | 179 | MSR Group | 3 | no | no | no | 3 | 3.466666 | 1.0 | -2.792488 | 0.5254546 | B- | no | 0.3151515 |
61 | 61 | 61 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | 5 | yes | no | no | 4 | 4.444001 | 1.0 | -2.78075 | -0.0283673 | B+ | no | -0.5597059 |
197 | 197 | 197 | Forward Strategies | 2 | no | no | no | 2 | 1.305 | 1.0 | -2.716085 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | 0.0815625 |
94 | 94 | 94 | GBA Strategies | 2 | yes | no | no | 2 | 3.689999 | 1.0 | -2.702554 | 0.1657812 | B | no | -0.230625 |
198 | 198 | 198 | Lincoln Institute | 2 | no | no | no | 2 | 4.129999 | 0.75 | -2.671461 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | -0.258125 |
224 | 224 | 224 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 3.470001 | 1.0 | -2.662441 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | -0.1119355 |
10 | 10 | 10 | National Journal | 12 | yes | no | yes | 12 | 2.596667 | 1.0 | -2.609999 | -0.7897959 | A | no | -0.1785714 |
20 | 20 | 20 | Blum & Weprin Associates | 18 | yes | no | no | 16 | 4.557777 | 0.9444444 | -2.592506 | -0.563125 | A | no | -1.034565 |
2 | 2 | 2 | Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) | 25 | yes | no | yes | 17 | 3.8568 | 1.0 | -2.54074 | -1.142149 | A+ | no | -1.095745 |
225 | 225 | 225 | New Mexico State University | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 6.799999 | 0.0 | -2.540729 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | |
7 | 7 | 7 | Grove Insight | 29 | yes | no | no | 29 | 3.140344 | 0.8965517 | -2.512963 | -0.8169233 | A | no | 0.4808475 |
19 | 19 | 19 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain) | 7 | yes | no | yes | 5 | 3.46 | 0.7142857 | -2.487332 | -0.569905 | A | no | 0.088 |
32 | 32 | 32 | MassINC Polling Group | 11 | yes | no | no | 7 | 3.081819 | 1.0 | -2.434031 | -0.3221356 | A- | no | -0.1775676 |
77 | 77 | 77 | Missouri State University | 3 | yes | no | no | 3 | 4.366669 | 0.6666667 | -2.393266 | 0.0966116 | B | no | 0.3727273 |
226 | 226 | 226 | Red Sea Communications | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 4.369999 | 1.0 | -2.386578 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | -0.1409677 |
56 | 56 | 56 | Riley Research Associates | 7 | yes | no | no | 7 | 2.657143 | 1.0 | -2.378693 | -0.1381958 | B+ | no | -0.1189189 |
138 | 138 | 138 | Ethridge & Associates, LLC | 6 | no | no | no | 6 | 2.671668 | 0.8333333 | -2.362378 | 0.3466667 | B- | no | -0.1202778 |
101 | 101 | 101 | Market Research Institute, Inc. | 9 | no | no | no | 9 | 2.932221 | 1.0 | -2.360387 | 0.1953846 | B | no | -0.3264102 |
227 | 227 | 227 | Winston Group | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 6.34 | 1.0 | -2.354104 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | 0.2045161 |
42 | 42 | 42 | Lake Research Partners | 9 | yes | no | no | 9 | 3.845555 | 0.8333333 | -2.325385 | -0.2354438 | B+ | no | 0.4976923 |
4 | 4 | 4 | Elway Research | 18 | yes | no | yes | 16 | 3.987778 | 0.8888889 | -2.306804 | -0.98125 | A+ | no | 0.481087 |
48 | 48 | 48 | University of Florida | 1 | yes | no | yes | 1 | 1.07 | 0.5 | -2.230408 | -0.1837669 | B+ | no | 0.0345161 |
228 | 228 | 228 | Diamond State Consulting Group | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 4.18 | 1.0 | -2.223317 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | 0.1348387 |
180 | 180 | 180 | Personal Marketing Research | 3 | no | no | no | 0 | 6.176666 | 0.6666667 | -2.216456 | 0.5254546 | B- | no | |
163 | 163 | 163 | Marshall Marketing & Communications | 4 | no | no | no | 3 | 2.785 | 1.0 | -2.196468 | 0.462353 | B- | no | -0.2 |
164 | 164 | 164 | IVR Polls | 4 | no | no | no | 0 | 4.049999 | 1.0 | -2.178545 | 0.462353 | B- | no | |
229 | 229 | 229 | Neighborhood Research Corporation | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 3.43 | 1.0 | -2.079472 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | -0.1106452 |
230 | 230 | 230 | Diversified Research Inc | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 4.989998 | 1.0 | -2.045131 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | -0.1609677 |
5 | 5 | 5 | Ciruli Associates | 17 | yes | no | yes | 16 | 3.604118 | 0.9411765 | -2.002258 | -0.9534631 | A+ | no | -0.7176087 |
24 | 24 | 24 | Angus Reid Global | 29 | no | yes | no | 29 | 3.269655 | 0.9310345 | -1.996648 | -0.4183522 | A- | no | -1.337627 |
11 | 11 | 11 | Public Policy Institute of California | 12 | yes | no | yes | 8 | 4.065 | 1.0 | -1.992754 | -0.7877255 | A | no | -0.7092106 |
199 | 199 | 199 | Crosswind Media & Public Relations | 2 | no | no | no | 0 | 6.504997 | 1.0 | -1.965679 | 0.594645 | C+ | no | |
73 | 73 | 73 | Google Consumer Surveys | 12 | no | yes | no | 12 | 2.224998 | 0.8333333 | -1.944728 | 0.0815063 | B | no | -0.6290476 |
200 | 200 | 200 | Texas Credit Union League | 2 | no | no | no | 0 | 6.950001 | 1.0 | -1.931398 | 0.5967876 | C+ | no | |
111 | 111 | 111 | QEV Analytics | 1 | yes | no | no | 0 | 7.299999 | 0.0 | -1.930019 | 0.2423095 | B | no | |
51 | 51 | 51 | National Research, Inc. | 8 | yes | no | no | 6 | 5.0575 | 0.8125 | -1.922492 | -0.1719374 | B+ | no | -0.4511111 |
168 | 168 | 168 | OnPoint | 4 | no | no | no | 4 | 1.652499 | 1.0 | -1.880882 | 0.4763669 | B- | no | 0.1926471 |
169 | 169 | 169 | Scripps Howard | 4 | no | no | no | 4 | 3.785 | 1.0 | -1.85246 | 0.4797106 | B- | no | -0.0652941 |
33 | 33 | 33 | St. Norbert College | 12 | yes | no | no | 11 | 3.868333 | 0.875 | -1.838594 | -0.3159249 | A- | no | 0.2531707 |
173 | 173 | 173 | Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. | 4 | no | no | no | 4 | 4.634998 | 1.0 | -1.810037 | 0.4847015 | B- | no | 0.5452942 |
113 | 113 | 113 | Hampton University | 1 | yes | no | no | 1 | 3.48 | 1.0 | -1.758506 | 0.2478422 | B | no | 0.1122581 |
107 | 107 | 107 | Louisville Courier-Journal | 10 | no | no | no | 10 | 3.298 | 0.8 | -1.749224 | 0.212694 | B | no | -0.3155 |
68 | 68 | 68 | Clemson University | 5 | yes | no | no | 1 | 10.296 | 1.0 | -1.740682 | 0.0086781 | B | no | -0.5387097 |
97 | 97 | 97 | Kiley & Company | 2 | yes | no | no | 2 | 5.1 | 1.0 | -1.715313 | 0.1835742 | B | no | 0.2125 |
16 | 16 | 16 | Research & Polling, Inc. | 26 | yes | no | no | 25 | 4.136154 | 0.8461539 | -1.693069 | -0.6159658 | A | no | -0.6661818 |
232 | 232 | 232 | Rivercity Polling | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 6.700001 | 1.0 | -1.669694 | 0.674526 | C+ | no | -0.216129 |
157 | 157 | 157 | International Communications Research, Inc. | 5 | no | no | no | 5 | 3.128002 | 0.2 | -1.632694 | 0.4553295 | B- | no | -0.0714286 |
3 | 3 | 3 | Selzer & Company | 37 | yes | no | yes | 24 | 4.620541 | 0.8378378 | -1.624378 | -1.119856 | A+ | no | -0.0074074 |
233 | 233 | 233 | War Room Logistics | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 4.500002 | 1.0 | -1.593909 | 0.6769707 | C+ | no | |
108 | 108 | 108 | Vox Populi Communications | 11 | no | no | no | 9 | 4.053637 | 0.7727273 | -1.557624 | 0.2255154 | B | no | -0.045641 |
22 | 22 | 22 | University of Connecticut | 7 | yes | no | yes | 7 | 3.64 | 0.9285714 | -1.555947 | -0.4858951 | A- | no | -0.3637838 |
28 | 28 | 28 | IBD/TIPP | 17 | yes | no | no | 17 | 2.307059 | 0.7647059 | -1.555318 | -0.3726976 | A- | no | -0.7468085 |
23 | 23 | 23 | Time/Abt SRBI | 7 | yes | no | yes | 6 | 3.172857 | 1.0 | -1.545493 | -0.4839172 | A- | no | 0.4425 |
64 | 64 | 64 | Temple University | 6 | no | no | yes | 5 | 3.66 | 1.0 | -1.505706 | -0.0026177 | B+ | no | -0.3531428 |
85 | 85 | 85 | The Polling Company Inc. | 3 | yes | no | no | 3 | 3.66 | 1.0 | -1.482646 | 0.1436438 | B | no | -0.0339394 |
75 | 75 | 75 | Philadelphia Inquirer | 4 | yes | no | no | 4 | 2.98 | 1.0 | -1.472829 | 0.0940616 | B | no | -0.3141177 |
189 | 189 | 189 | University of Wisconsin Milwaukee | 3 | no | no | no | 3 | 5.283331 | 1.0 | -1.472478 | 0.5734111 | C+ | no | -0.480303 |
Advanced export
JSON shape: default, array, newline-delimited
CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2016/pollster-ratings" ( "ID" INTEGER, "Pollster" TEXT, "Polls" INTEGER, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Internet" TEXT, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper" TEXT, "Polls.1" INTEGER, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Races Called Correctly" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" REAL );