pollster-ratings/2018/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
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Link | rowid ▼ | Pollster | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Exclusively Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
101 | 101 | Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.8 | 0.2 | B | R +0.1 | 50% | 25% | 6.1 | 5.7 | 0.4 | -0.8 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 4 | R +0.6 | R +0.1 | R +7.1 |
102 | 102 | Knowledge Networks | 3 | yes | no | Online | no | -1.1 | 0.2 | B | R +0.4 | 100% | 33% | 4.1 | 4.7 | -0.6 | -1.1 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 3 | R +4.1 | R +0.4 | R +1.0 |
103 | 103 | Glengariff Group Inc. | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | 0.2 | B | R +0.1 | 71% | 0% | 4.7 | 5.7 | -1.0 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 6 | R +0.5 | R +0.1 | D +1.9 |
104 | 104 | Tel Opinion Research | 12 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | 0.2 | B | R +0.0 | 96% | 17% | 4.7 | 5.6 | -0.9 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 10 | R +0.1 | R +0.0 | D +0.1 |
105 | 105 | Southern Media & Opinion Research | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | 0.2 | B | D +0.6 | 100% | 14% | 5.6 | 5.6 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 7 | D +3.2 | D +0.6 | D +3.6 |
106 | 106 | Louisville Courier-Journal | 10 | no | no | Live* | no | -1.8 | 0.2 | B | R +0.3 | 80% | 10% | 3.3 | 5.2 | -1.8 | -1.8 | -0.5 | 0.2 | 10 | R +1.3 | R +0.3 | R +1.6 |
107 | 107 | Market Research Institute Inc. | 9 | no | no | Live* | no | -2.6 | 0.2 | B | R +0.3 | 100% | 11% | 2.9 | 5.2 | -2.3 | -2.6 | -0.6 | 0.2 | 9 | R +1.4 | R +0.3 | R +0.8 |
108 | 108 | Insights West | 9 | no | no | Online | no | -2.5 | 0.2 | B | R +0.1 | 94% | 0% | 2.5 | 4.7 | -2.2 | -2.5 | -0.6 | 0.2 | 8 | R +0.4 | R +0.1 | R +0.9 |
109 | 109 | Moore Information | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | 0.2 | B | R +0.5 | 67% | 17% | 6.5 | 6.1 | 0.4 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 6 | R +2.8 | R +0.5 | R +5.1 |
110 | 110 | Gallup | 79 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | 0.2 | B | R +0.9 | 71% | 29% | 4.3 | 4.9 | -0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 65 | R +1.3 | R +0.9 | R +1.6 |
111 | 111 | Kiley & Company | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.5 | 0.2 | B | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 5.1 | 5.8 | -0.7 | -1.5 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 2 | D +3.4 | D +0.2 | D +7.3 |
112 | 112 | Vox Populi Communications | 11 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.6 | 0.2 | B | R +0.2 | 77% | 9% | 4.1 | 5.5 | -1.5 | -1.6 | -0.4 | 0.2 | 10 | R +0.7 | R +0.2 | R +2.2 |
113 | 113 | Hill Research Consultants | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.2 | B | R +0.4 | 50% | 25% | 5.4 | 5.3 | 0.1 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 4 | R +3.2 | R +0.4 | R +1.0 |
114 | 114 | University of New Hampshire | 111 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | 0.2 | B | D +2.7 | 85% | 22% | 5.9 | 5.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 95 | D +3.6 | D +2.7 | D +3.4 |
115 | 115 | University of Wisconsin (Badger Poll) | 6 | yes | no | Live* | no | -0.1 | 0.2 | B | D +0.2 | 83% | 17% | 6.9 | 5.6 | 1.3 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 5 | D +1.3 | D +0.2 | D +1.7 |
116 | 116 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | 0.2 | B | D +0.4 | 50% | 50% | 5.9 | 6.2 | -0.3 | -0.9 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 2 | D +5.8 | D +0.4 | R +1.3 |
117 | 117 | North Star Opinion Research/Ayres, McHenry & Associates | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.2 | B | R +0.5 | 67% | 0% | 5.6 | 5.7 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3 | R +5.6 | R +0.5 | R +5.3 |
118 | 118 | University of Houston | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -6.5 | 0.2 | B | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 8.5 | -6.4 | -6.5 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0 | ||||
119 | 119 | Florida International University/Univision | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -6.1 | 0.2 | B | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.4 | -4.5 | -6.1 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 1 | D +1.8 | D +0.1 | R +13.0 |
120 | 120 | Starboard Communications | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.9 | 0.2 | B | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.3 | 4.2 | -0.9 | -4.9 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 1 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | R +7.3 |
121 | 121 | QEV Analytics | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.0 | 0.2 | B | 0% | 0% | 7.3 | 5.8 | 1.5 | -2.0 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0 | ||||
122 | 122 | Merrill Poll | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.8 | 0.2 | B | 100% | 0% | 8.7 | 8.8 | -0.1 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 | ||||
123 | 123 | Braun Research | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | 0.2 | B | D +1.1 | 100% | 50% | 6.6 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 6 | D +6.6 | D +1.1 | D +2.8 |
124 | 124 | Cygnal | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | 0.2 | B | D +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 5.2 | 4.6 | 0.6 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2 | D +5.2 | D +0.3 | R +3.4 |
125 | 125 | Probolsky Research | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.7 | 0.3 | B | R +0.2 | 0% | 0% | 4.9 | 5.6 | -0.8 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 1 | R +4.9 | R +0.2 | |
126 | 126 | George Washington University (Battleground) | 31 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | 0.3 | B | R +1.0 | 55% | 19% | 3.5 | 4.5 | -0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 31 | R +1.9 | R +1.0 | R +2.0 |
127 | 127 | Dittman Research | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | 0.3 | B | D +1.0 | 100% | 22% | 5.9 | 5.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 6 | D +6.1 | D +1.0 | D +0.7 |
128 | 128 | Meeting Street Research | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.4 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 6.2 | -3.5 | -1.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 | D +2.7 | D +0.1 | D +5.3 |
129 | 129 | Yankelovich Partners Inc. | 6 | yes | no | Live* | no | 0.1 | 0.3 | B- | R +0.1 | 42% | 50% | 7.0 | 6.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3 | R +1.2 | R +0.1 | R +1.3 |
130 | 130 | Associated Industries of Florida | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.2 | 50% | 0% | 3.4 | 5.0 | -1.5 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2 | D +3.4 | D +0.2 | D +1.0 |
131 | 131 | Dartmouth College | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.3 | B- | 100% | 50% | 9.0 | 8.1 | 0.9 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 | ||||
132 | 132 | Old Dominion University | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.5 | 5.4 | -0.9 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 | D +4.5 | D +0.1 | R +0.8 |
133 | 133 | Baruch College | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | 0.3 | B- | 100% | 0% | 5.7 | 8.4 | -2.7 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 | ||||
134 | 134 | Schoen Consulting | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.8 | 0.3 | B- | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.3 | 5.1 | -2.9 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 | R +2.3 | R +0.1 | R +1.8 |
135 | 135 | Centre College | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 4.9 | -1.0 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 | D +3.9 | D +0.1 | D +2.3 |
136 | 136 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.0 | -1.9 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2 | D +1.6 | D +0.1 | D +3.0 |
137 | 137 | Belden Russonello | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 4.7 | 5.1 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2 | D +3.3 | D +0.2 | D +5.7 |
138 | 138 | RRH Elections | 7 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | -2.2 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.0 | 79% | 14% | 3.4 | 5.4 | -2.0 | -2.2 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 7 | D +0.2 | D +0.0 | R +4.1 |
139 | 139 | Pew Research Center | 21 | yes | no | Online/Live | no | 0.3 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.6 | 60% | 29% | 3.5 | 4.1 | -0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 21 | D +1.5 | D +0.6 | D +0.9 |
140 | 140 | University of Denver | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | 0.3 | B- | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.4 | 4.8 | -1.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2 | R +1.0 | R +0.1 | R +0.4 |
141 | 141 | Clarus Research Group | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.6 | 100% | 33% | 6.8 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3 | D +6.8 | D +0.6 | D +2.2 |
142 | 142 | Financial Dynamics | 15 | no | no | Live* | no | -0.9 | 0.3 | B- | R +0.7 | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 4.8 | -2.0 | -0.9 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 15 | R +2.0 | R +0.7 | R +2.1 |
143 | 143 | CallFire | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | 0.3 | B- | R +0.5 | 75% | 0% | 3.9 | 4.1 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 4 | R +3.9 | R +0.5 | R +0.4 |
144 | 144 | Basswood Research | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | 0.3 | B- | R +0.4 | 100% | 50% | 10.7 | 7.6 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 | R +13.1 | R +0.4 | |
145 | 145 | Virginia Commonwealth University | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | 0.3 | B- | R +0.3 | 100% | 20% | 4.9 | 5.0 | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 5 | R +1.9 | R +0.3 | R +1.7 |
146 | 146 | University of Nevada Las Vegas | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.7 | 0.3 | B- | 100% | 0% | 9.0 | 8.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 | ||||
147 | 147 | Middle Tennessee State University | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.1 | 100% | 25% | 8.0 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 3 | D +1.3 | D +0.1 | R +5.0 |
148 | 148 | Victoria Research & Consulting | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.8 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.3 | 50% | 0% | 8.1 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 | D +8.1 | D +0.3 | |
149 | 149 | Normington, Petts & Associates | 10 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.7 | 60% | 40% | 6.4 | 6.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 10 | D +2.7 | D +0.7 | D +4.5 |
150 | 150 | Ethridge & Associates LLC | 6 | no | no | Live* | no | -2.4 | 0.3 | B- | R +0.1 | 83% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.0 | -2.4 | -2.4 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 6 | R +0.7 | R +0.1 | R +3.4 |
151 | 151 | NPR | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.8 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.1 | 17% | 33% | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3 | D +1.0 | D +0.1 | D +1.0 |
152 | 152 | Rutgers University | 13 | yes | yes | Live | no | 1.9 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.1 | 85% | 15% | 5.7 | 5.2 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 13 | D +0.3 | D +0.1 | D +1.3 |
153 | 153 | Potomac Incorporated | 8 | no | no | Live* | no | -1.5 | 0.4 | B- | R +0.5 | 88% | 13% | 4.5 | 6.0 | -1.4 | -1.5 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 6 | R +3.1 | R +0.5 | D +1.3 |
154 | 154 | Hoffman Research Group | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.6 | 0.4 | B- | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 7.1 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +7.1 | R +0.2 | R +0.4 |
155 | 155 | Benenson Strategy Group | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.7 | 50% | 11% | 6.2 | 6.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 9 | D +2.8 | D +0.7 | D +7.6 |
156 | 156 | Capital Survey Research Center | 11 | no | no | Live* | no | -1.0 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.1 | 36% | 36% | 7.8 | 7.1 | 0.7 | -1.0 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 4 | D +0.6 | D +0.1 | D +1.1 |
157 | 157 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (Democracy Corps) | 50 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B- | D +2.4 | 51% | 20% | 4.4 | 5.0 | -0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 49 | D +3.9 | D +2.4 | D +3.5 |
158 | 158 | Val Smith | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 2.1 | 0.4 | B- | R +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 8.5 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +8.5 | R +0.3 | R +15.0 |
159 | 159 | Franklin & Marshall College | 19 | yes | yes | Live | no | 1.6 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.1 | 84% | 26% | 6.7 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 16 | D +0.4 | D +0.1 | D +1.4 |
160 | 160 | Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.8 | 0.4 | B- | D +1.0 | 79% | 29% | 5.9 | 5.7 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 7 | D +5.5 | D +1.0 | D +6.9 |
161 | 161 | Hendrix College | 11 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.0 | 0.4 | B- | D +1.7 | 91% | 36% | 6.3 | 5.8 | 0.5 | -1.0 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 11 | D +6.3 | D +1.7 | R +2.8 |
162 | 162 | SoonerPoll.com | 17 | yes | no | Online/Live | no | 0.6 | 0.4 | B- | D +1.9 | 82% | 41% | 8.4 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 13 | D +6.4 | D +1.9 | R +0.2 |
163 | 163 | DFM Research | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.7 | 0.4 | B- | D +1.5 | 69% | 50% | 6.9 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 8 | D +6.9 | D +1.5 | D +2.9 |
164 | 164 | OpinionWorks | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.9 | 0.4 | B- | R +0.5 | 92% | 50% | 7.3 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 6 | R +3.0 | R +0.5 | D +3.7 |
165 | 165 | St. Pete Polls | 5 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.3 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.1 | 70% | 0% | 1.4 | 5.0 | -3.6 | -3.3 | -0.5 | 0.4 | 5 | D +0.7 | D +0.1 | D +0.3 |
166 | 166 | Crawford Johnson & Northcott Inc. | 5 | no | no | Live* | no | -3.1 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.1 | 100% | 20% | 4.7 | 7.7 | -3.0 | -3.1 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 1 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | |
167 | 167 | Schroth, Eldon & Associates | 8 | no | no | Live* | no | -1.2 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.6 | 88% | 0% | 3.2 | 5.6 | -2.5 | -1.2 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 6 | D +3.4 | D +0.6 | D +1.4 |
168 | 168 | Overtime Politics | 12 | no | yes | Live | yes | 0.7 | 0.4 | F | 67% | 42% | 9.8 | 8.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 | ||||
169 | 169 | Wilson Research Strategies | 10 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.8 | 0.4 | B- | R +0.1 | 65% | 20% | 6.9 | 5.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 9 | R +0.5 | R +0.1 | R +2.8 |
170 | 170 | Feldman Group | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 3.6 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 10.8 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +10.8 | D +0.3 | |
171 | 171 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.9 | 0.4 | B- | R +0.4 | 78% | 22% | 6.4 | 5.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 8 | R +2.1 | R +0.4 | R +1.4 |
172 | 172 | Franklin Pierce University | 21 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | 0.4 | B- | D +1.3 | 83% | 33% | 6.6 | 6.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 12 | D +4.5 | D +1.3 | D +5.1 |
173 | 173 | Florida Poll | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.1 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.6 | 67% | 0% | 4.6 | 4.9 | -0.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 6 | D +3.3 | D +0.6 | D +1.6 |
174 | 174 | Research 2000 | 277 | no | no | Live* | yes | 0.0 | 0.4 | F | D +1.4 | 88% | 18% | 5.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 245 | D +1.6 | D +1.4 | D +1.2 |
175 | 175 | KRC/Communications Research | 22 | no | no | Live* | no | -0.3 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.2 | 91% | 27% | 6.9 | 6.9 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 11 | D +0.7 | D +0.2 | D +2.5 |
176 | 176 | Cherry Communications | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.9 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.4 | 50% | 33% | 8.8 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2 | R +5.9 | R +0.4 | R +6.3 |
177 | 177 | SocialSphere | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 2.7 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.4 | 100% | 0% | 6.1 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2 | R +6.1 | R +0.4 | R +6.4 |
178 | 178 | Wiese Research Associates Inc. | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.3 | 0.5 | B- | D +1.0 | 100% | 50% | 8.2 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 6 | D +5.9 | D +1.0 | D +4.1 |
179 | 179 | Dixie Strategies | 6 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.3 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.1 | 92% | 33% | 5.2 | 6.1 | -1.0 | -1.3 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 3 | R +1.1 | R +0.1 | R +3.4 |
180 | 180 | University of Massachusetts Amherst | 11 | no | no | Live* | no | -0.7 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.4 | 100% | 9% | 6.5 | 7.8 | -1.2 | -0.7 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 2 | R +7.2 | R +0.4 | R +1.8 |
181 | 181 | University of Texas | 4 | no | no | Online | no | -4.9 | 0.5 | B- | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 5.4 | -4.1 | -4.9 | -0.6 | 0.5 | 4 | D +1.1 | D +0.1 | D +2.8 |
182 | 182 | Alabama State University | 4 | no | no | Live* | no | -3.4 | 0.5 | B- | 50% | 0% | 6.4 | 8.4 | -2.0 | -3.4 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 0 | ||||
183 | 183 | Northern Arizona University | 4 | no | no | Live* | no | -3.3 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.4 | 100% | 25% | 3.6 | 5.6 | -2.1 | -3.3 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 4 | R +3.3 | R +0.4 | R +5.1 |
184 | 184 | Scripps Howard | 4 | no | no | Live* | no | -2.2 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.1 | 100% | 25% | 3.8 | 4.8 | -1.0 | -2.2 | -0.3 | 0.5 | 4 | R +0.6 | R +0.1 | R +2.3 |
185 | 185 | IVR Polls | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.2 | 0.5 | B- | 100% | 25% | 4.1 | 7.9 | -3.8 | -2.2 | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0 | ||||
186 | 186 | Marshall Marketing & Communications | 4 | no | no | Live* | no | -2.2 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 6.1 | -3.3 | -2.2 | -0.3 | 0.5 | 3 | R +2.2 | R +0.2 | R +0.5 |
187 | 187 | Morning Consult | 8 | no | no | Online | no | -1.0 | 0.5 | B- | D +0.6 | 63% | 13% | 2.7 | 4.1 | -1.3 | -1.0 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 8 | D +2.7 | D +0.6 | D +0.5 |
188 | 188 | Richard Day Research Inc. | 11 | no | no | Live* | no | -0.6 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.8 | 100% | 27% | 5.5 | 5.3 | 0.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 11 | R +2.9 | R +0.8 | R +0.9 |
189 | 189 | Glover Park Group | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 5.3 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 11.4 | 6.6 | 4.8 | 5.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1 | R +11.4 | R +0.4 | R +11.5 |
190 | 190 | OnPoint | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.9 | 0.5 | B- | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 4.8 | -3.1 | -1.9 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 4 | D +1.6 | D +0.2 | D +2.3 |
191 | 191 | Loras College | 18 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.8 | 0.5 | B- | D +1.4 | 72% | 17% | 8.1 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 14 | D +4.3 | D +1.4 | D +0.6 |
192 | 192 | CVOTER International | 5 | no | no | Online | no | -1.5 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 2.1 | 3.3 | -1.2 | -1.5 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 5 | R +1.8 | R +0.3 | R +0.3 |
193 | 193 | Frank N. Magid Associates Inc. | 4 | no | no | Live* | no | -1.9 | 0.5 | B- | D +0.5 | 100% | 25% | 4.6 | 5.6 | -1.0 | -1.9 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 4 | D +4.6 | D +0.5 | R +0.9 |
194 | 194 | Penn Schoen Berland | 18 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.8 | 0.5 | B- | D +2.5 | 67% | 39% | 7.6 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 18 | D +6.7 | D +2.5 | D +0.4 |
195 | 195 | Lucid | 14 | no | no | Online | no | -0.4 | 0.5 | B- | D +0.8 | 100% | 14% | 2.6 | 3.8 | -1.2 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 0.5 | 14 | D +2.4 | D +0.8 | D +1.8 |
196 | 196 | Howey Politics/DePauw University | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.4 | 0.5 | B- | D +0.1 | 57% | 29% | 6.8 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 6 | D +0.6 | D +0.1 | D +1.3 |
197 | 197 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 10 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | -0.5 | 0.5 | B- | D +0.9 | 45% | 20% | 3.6 | 4.3 | -0.7 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 0.5 | 10 | D +3.6 | D +0.9 | D +0.8 |
198 | 198 | University of Illinois at Chicago | 1 | yes | no | Live* | no | 6.6 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.5 | 100% | 100% | 14.1 | 5.7 | 8.4 | 6.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1 | R +14.1 | R +0.5 | R +5.1 |
199 | 199 | Praecones Analytica | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | -4.7 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.2 | 33% | 0% | 1.8 | 5.5 | -3.7 | -4.7 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 3 | R +1.8 | R +0.2 | R +5.3 |
200 | 200 | U.S. News & World Report | 3 | no | no | Live* | no | -4.3 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 5.1 | -3.2 | -4.3 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 3 | R +0.8 | R +0.1 | D +1.2 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2018/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Exclusively Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT );