pollster-ratings/2018/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
396 rows sorted by Bias
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Exclusively Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade, Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus
Link | rowid | Pollster | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Exclusively Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias ▼ | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
39 | 39 | Castleton University | 3 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.2 | -0.3 | B+ | 100% | 0% | 9.9 | 9.7 | 0.3 | -1.2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0 | ||||
84 | 84 | Iowa State University | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.5 | 0.1 | B | 67% | 33% | 6.3 | 8.9 | -2.6 | -3.5 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0 | ||||
118 | 118 | University of Houston | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -6.5 | 0.2 | B | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 8.5 | -6.4 | -6.5 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0 | ||||
121 | 121 | QEV Analytics | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.0 | 0.2 | B | 0% | 0% | 7.3 | 5.8 | 1.5 | -2.0 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0 | ||||
122 | 122 | Merrill Poll | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.8 | 0.2 | B | 100% | 0% | 8.7 | 8.8 | -0.1 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 | ||||
131 | 131 | Dartmouth College | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.3 | B- | 100% | 50% | 9.0 | 8.1 | 0.9 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 | ||||
133 | 133 | Baruch College | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | 0.3 | B- | 100% | 0% | 5.7 | 8.4 | -2.7 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 | ||||
146 | 146 | University of Nevada Las Vegas | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.7 | 0.3 | B- | 100% | 0% | 9.0 | 8.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 | ||||
168 | 168 | Overtime Politics | 12 | no | yes | Live | yes | 0.7 | 0.4 | F | 67% | 42% | 9.8 | 8.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 | ||||
182 | 182 | Alabama State University | 4 | no | no | Live* | no | -3.4 | 0.5 | B- | 50% | 0% | 6.4 | 8.4 | -2.0 | -3.4 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 0 | ||||
185 | 185 | IVR Polls | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.2 | 0.5 | B- | 100% | 25% | 4.1 | 7.9 | -3.8 | -2.2 | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0 | ||||
202 | 202 | Personal Marketing Research | 3 | no | no | Live* | no | -2.3 | 0.5 | B- | 67% | 33% | 6.2 | 8.3 | -2.2 | -2.3 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 0 | ||||
215 | 215 | Master Image | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -4.1 | 0.6 | C+ | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 7.7 | -6.6 | -4.1 | -0.3 | 0.6 | 0 | ||||
217 | 217 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 2 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | -2.9 | 0.6 | C+ | 100% | 50% | 5.1 | 8.2 | -3.1 | -2.9 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0 | ||||
221 | 221 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 2 | no | no | Live* | no | -1.9 | 0.6 | C+ | 100% | 0% | 7.0 | 8.8 | -1.8 | -1.9 | -0.1 | 0.6 | 0 | ||||
233 | 233 | Canisius College | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | -5.8 | 0.7 | C+ | 100% | 0% | 0.1 | 8.5 | -8.3 | -5.8 | -0.2 | 0.7 | 0 | ||||
248 | 248 | New Mexico State University | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | -2.7 | 0.7 | C+ | 0% | 0% | 6.8 | 9.2 | -2.4 | -2.7 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 0 | ||||
261 | 261 | War Room Logistics | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.6 | 0.7 | C+ | 100% | 0% | 4.5 | 7.4 | -2.9 | -1.6 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 0 | ||||
286 | 286 | Liberty Opinion Research | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.4 | 0.7 | C+ | 100% | 100% | 5.7 | 7.5 | -1.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0 | ||||
296 | 296 | ResearchNow | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 0.7 | 0.8 | C+ | 100% | 50% | 9.4 | 8.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0 | ||||
299 | 299 | R.L. Repass & Partners | 1 | no | no | Online/Live | no | 1.1 | 0.8 | C+ | 100% | 100% | 11.2 | 8.7 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0 | ||||
300 | 300 | Research America Inc. | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 8.0 | 0.8 | C+ | 100% | 50% | 20.7 | 8.1 | 12.6 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0 | ||||
302 | 302 | TeleResearch Corporation | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.1 | 0.8 | C+ | 100% | 100% | 8.6 | 7.8 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0 | ||||
305 | 305 | Public Strategies Inc. | 6 | no | no | Live* | no | 0.7 | 0.8 | C+ | 100% | 33% | 7.9 | 8.1 | -0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0 | ||||
313 | 313 | Ron Lester and Associates | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 3.1 | 0.8 | C | 100% | 100% | 18.9 | 7.9 | 11.0 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0 | ||||
324 | 324 | New Frontier Strategy | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.0 | 0.9 | C | 0% | 100% | 21.6 | 7.9 | 13.8 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0 | ||||
331 | 331 | Target Insyght | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.8 | 0.9 | C | 100% | 100% | 15.4 | 8.5 | 6.9 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0 | ||||
339 | 339 | GCR & Associates | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 5.9 | 0.9 | C | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 8.4 | 10.0 | 5.9 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0 | ||||
357 | 357 | Schapiro Group | 2 | no | no | Live* | no | 4.9 | 1.0 | C | 100% | 50% | 20.0 | 8.3 | 11.7 | 4.9 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0 | ||||
361 | 361 | TargetPoint | 3 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | 3.8 | 1.0 | C | 83% | 67% | 14.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0 | ||||
373 | 373 | Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 10.0 | 1.2 | C- | 0% | 100% | 23.5 | 8.5 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0 | ||||
383 | 383 | CPEC LLC | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.5 | 1.4 | C- | 100% | 100% | 16.2 | 7.8 | 8.4 | 7.5 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0 | ||||
7 | 7 | SurveyUSA | 777 | yes | no | IVR/Online/Live | no | -1.1 | -0.9 | A | D +0.1 | 90% | 16% | 4.6 | 5.6 | -1.0 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -0.9 | 615 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | R +0.3 |
14 | 14 | Siena College | 60 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | -0.8 | A | D +0.1 | 82% | 15% | 4.9 | 5.3 | -0.3 | -0.9 | -0.6 | -0.8 | 56 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | R +0.7 |
15 | 15 | Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) | 18 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.4 | -0.7 | A | D +0.0 | 94% | 6% | 4.1 | 5.4 | -1.3 | -1.4 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 17 | D +0.1 | D +0.0 | D +3.1 |
29 | 29 | Quinnipiac University | 195 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | -0.4 | A- | D +0.1 | 85% | 23% | 4.6 | 5.5 | -0.9 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 143 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | D +0.5 |
42 | 42 | High Point University | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -4.6 | -0.3 | B+ | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.0 | 4.5 | -3.5 | -4.6 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 2 | D +0.1 | D +0.0 | D +1.8 |
44 | 44 | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 98 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | -0.2 | B+ | D +0.1 | 72% | 23% | 5.4 | 5.7 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 70 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 |
40 | 40 | Emerson College | 85 | yes | no | IVR | no | -0.6 | -0.3 | B+ | D +0.1 | 75% | 16% | 5.6 | 6.0 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -0.4 | -0.3 | 58 | D +0.2 | D +0.1 | R +1.8 |
51 | 51 | Winthrop University | 1 | yes | yes | Live | no | -3.9 | -0.2 | B+ | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.2 | 4.2 | -4.0 | -3.9 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 1 | D +0.2 | D +0.0 | R +0.9 |
138 | 138 | RRH Elections | 7 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | -2.2 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.0 | 79% | 14% | 3.4 | 5.4 | -2.0 | -2.2 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 7 | D +0.2 | D +0.0 | R +4.1 |
276 | 276 | 20/20 Insight | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.0 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.0 | 67% | 33% | 8.9 | 5.6 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2 | D +0.2 | D +0.0 | D +2.0 |
56 | 56 | Market Research Insight | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.6 | -0.1 | B+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 5.0 | -3.2 | -4.6 | -0.9 | -0.1 | 7 | D +0.3 | D +0.1 | D +2.0 |
61 | 61 | University of Washington | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.4 | -0.1 | B+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.7 | 5.1 | -1.4 | -1.4 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 9 | D +0.3 | D +0.1 | D +3.4 |
74 | 74 | Public Policy Polling | 411 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | -0.4 | 0.0 | B | D +0.3 | 80% | 28% | 4.9 | 5.4 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 292 | D +0.3 | D +0.3 | D +1.0 |
78 | 78 | YouGov | 375 | no | no | Online | no | -0.4 | 0.1 | B | D +0.3 | 88% | 25% | 5.0 | 5.1 | -0.1 | -0.4 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 327 | D +0.3 | D +0.3 | D +0.3 |
86 | 86 | Voter/Consumer Research | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | 0.1 | B | D +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 5.5 | 5.7 | -0.2 | -0.9 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 6 | D +0.3 | D +0.1 | R +3.0 |
152 | 152 | Rutgers University | 13 | yes | yes | Live | no | 1.9 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.1 | 85% | 15% | 5.7 | 5.2 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 13 | D +0.3 | D +0.1 | D +1.3 |
58 | 58 | Data Orbital | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.6 | -0.1 | B+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 4.6 | -2.8 | -2.6 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 7 | D +0.4 | D +0.1 | R +2.6 |
159 | 159 | Franklin & Marshall College | 19 | yes | yes | Live | no | 1.6 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.1 | 84% | 26% | 6.7 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 16 | D +0.4 | D +0.1 | D +1.4 |
46 | 46 | Princeton Survey Research Associates International | 33 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | -0.2 | B+ | D +0.3 | 70% | 27% | 4.8 | 5.0 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 31 | D +0.5 | D +0.3 | R +0.2 |
100 | 100 | Harper Polling | 11 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.8 | 0.2 | B | D +0.1 | 91% | 9% | 3.6 | 5.8 | -2.3 | -1.8 | -0.5 | 0.2 | 8 | D +0.5 | D +0.1 | R +1.1 |
259 | 259 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | 31 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | 0.2 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.2 | 74% | 26% | 5.2 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 26 | D +0.5 | D +0.2 | D +0.3 |
19 | 19 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain) | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.6 | -0.6 | A- | D +0.1 | 71% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.5 | -3.0 | -2.6 | -0.5 | -0.6 | 5 | D +0.6 | D +0.1 | R +2.1 |
90 | 90 | GfK Group | 21 | yes | no | Online | no | -0.1 | 0.1 | B | D +0.3 | 88% | 19% | 3.9 | 4.8 | -0.9 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 21 | D +0.6 | D +0.3 | D +1.2 |
156 | 156 | Capital Survey Research Center | 11 | no | no | Live* | no | -1.0 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.1 | 36% | 36% | 7.8 | 7.1 | 0.7 | -1.0 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 4 | D +0.6 | D +0.1 | D +1.1 |
196 | 196 | Howey Politics/DePauw University | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.4 | 0.5 | B- | D +0.1 | 57% | 29% | 6.8 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 6 | D +0.6 | D +0.1 | D +1.3 |
21 | 21 | CBS News/New York Times | 53 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | -0.5 | A- | D +0.4 | 76% | 17% | 4.6 | 5.3 | -0.7 | -0.5 | -0.3 | -0.5 | 43 | D +0.7 | D +0.4 | D +1.8 |
165 | 165 | St. Pete Polls | 5 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.3 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.1 | 70% | 0% | 1.4 | 5.0 | -3.6 | -3.3 | -0.5 | 0.4 | 5 | D +0.7 | D +0.1 | D +0.3 |
175 | 175 | KRC/Communications Research | 22 | no | no | Live* | no | -0.3 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.2 | 91% | 27% | 6.9 | 6.9 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 11 | D +0.7 | D +0.2 | D +2.5 |
212 | 212 | Strategic National | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -5.7 | 0.6 | C+ | D +0.0 | 25% | 0% | 0.7 | 4.2 | -3.5 | -5.7 | -0.4 | 0.6 | 2 | D +0.7 | D +0.0 | R +4.8 |
240 | 240 | Wood Communications Group | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | -3.7 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.8 | 5.6 | -4.8 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | D +0.8 | D +0.0 | D +3.0 |
4 | 4 | ABC News/Washington Post | 60 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.3 | -1.1 | A+ | D +0.6 | 78% | 5% | 2.9 | 4.6 | -1.8 | -1.3 | -0.9 | -1.1 | 55 | D +0.9 | D +0.6 | D +1.5 |
35 | 35 | St. Norbert College | 12 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.8 | -0.3 | A- | D +0.3 | 88% | 0% | 3.9 | 6.1 | -2.3 | -1.8 | -0.5 | -0.3 | 11 | D +0.9 | D +0.3 | D +2.9 |
43 | 43 | Indiana University | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -4.4 | -0.3 | B+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 5.8 | -4.9 | -4.4 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +0.1 | D +4.1 |
72 | 72 | Keating Research Inc. | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.8 | 0.0 | B | D +0.1 | 80% | 0% | 2.4 | 4.5 | -2.1 | -1.8 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 5 | D +0.9 | D +0.1 | D +3.0 |
214 | 214 | Louis Harris & Associates | 2 | no | no | Live* | no | -4.5 | 0.6 | C+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 4.8 | -3.9 | -4.5 | -0.3 | 0.6 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +0.1 | D +4.6 |
281 | 281 | Gravis Marketing | 108 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.3 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.6 | 67% | 32% | 5.2 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 82 | D +0.9 | D +0.6 | R +0.9 |
352 | 352 | Critical Insights | 17 | no | yes | Live | no | 2.2 | 1.0 | C | D +0.3 | 88% | 35% | 8.6 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 15 | D +0.9 | D +0.3 | R +1.8 |
10 | 10 | Grove Insight | 29 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.3 | -0.8 | A | D +0.5 | 90% | 7% | 3.1 | 5.1 | -2.0 | -2.3 | -1.1 | -0.8 | 29 | D +1.0 | D +0.5 | D +3.4 |
55 | 55 | Suffolk University | 74 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | -0.1 | B+ | D +0.6 | 81% | 19% | 5.0 | 6.4 | -1.3 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 44 | D +1.0 | D +0.6 | D +2.0 |
63 | 63 | Ipsos | 56 | yes | no | Online | no | -0.3 | -0.1 | B+ | D +0.6 | 75% | 18% | 4.4 | 4.8 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 50 | D +1.0 | D +0.6 | D +1.3 |
151 | 151 | NPR | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.8 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.1 | 17% | 33% | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3 | D +1.0 | D +0.1 | D +1.0 |
231 | 231 | West Chester University | 7 | no | no | Live* | no | 0.0 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.2 | 100% | 14% | 5.2 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 7 | D +1.0 | D +0.2 | D +2.3 |
52 | 52 | University of Florida | 1 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.0 | -0.2 | B+ | D +0.0 | 50% | 0% | 1.1 | 4.9 | -3.8 | -2.0 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 1 | D +1.1 | D +0.0 | R +0.9 |
181 | 181 | University of Texas | 4 | no | no | Online | no | -4.9 | 0.5 | B- | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 5.4 | -4.1 | -4.9 | -0.6 | 0.5 | 4 | D +1.1 | D +0.1 | D +2.8 |
5 | 5 | Elway Research | 21 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.2 | -1.1 | A+ | D +0.5 | 90% | 5% | 3.9 | 5.9 | -1.9 | -2.2 | -0.9 | -1.1 | 20 | D +1.2 | D +0.5 | D +3.2 |
75 | 75 | Orion Strategies | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.8 | 0.0 | B | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.1 | 6.2 | -3.2 | -3.8 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 3 | D +1.3 | D +0.1 | D +6.3 |
115 | 115 | University of Wisconsin (Badger Poll) | 6 | yes | no | Live* | no | -0.1 | 0.2 | B | D +0.2 | 83% | 17% | 6.9 | 5.6 | 1.3 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 5 | D +1.3 | D +0.2 | D +1.7 |
147 | 147 | Middle Tennessee State University | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.1 | 100% | 25% | 8.0 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 3 | D +1.3 | D +0.1 | R +5.0 |
219 | 219 | Forward Strategies | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.7 | 0.6 | C+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.3 | 4.8 | -3.5 | -2.7 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 2 | D +1.3 | D +0.1 | D +3.4 |
265 | 265 | RAND (American Life Panel) | 4 | no | no | Online | no | -0.1 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.2 | 100% | 25% | 2.7 | 3.2 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4 | D +1.4 | D +0.2 | D +3.8 |
356 | 356 | Southeastern Louisiana University | 8 | no | no | Live* | no | 1.7 | 1.0 | C | D +0.3 | 88% | 38% | 6.6 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 8 | D +1.4 | D +0.3 | R +0.7 |
17 | 17 | Marquette University Law School | 9 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.5 | -0.7 | A | D +0.3 | 78% | 11% | 3.3 | 5.8 | -2.5 | -2.5 | -0.6 | -0.7 | 6 | D +1.5 | D +0.3 | R +0.0 |
54 | 54 | Stockton University | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.9 | -0.2 | B+ | D +0.3 | 100% | 13% | 3.6 | 5.2 | -1.6 | -1.9 | -0.4 | -0.2 | 8 | D +1.5 | D +0.3 | D +0.2 |
139 | 139 | Pew Research Center | 21 | yes | no | Online/Live | no | 0.3 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.6 | 60% | 29% | 3.5 | 4.1 | -0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 21 | D +1.5 | D +0.6 | D +0.9 |
136 | 136 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.0 | -1.9 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2 | D +1.6 | D +0.1 | D +3.0 |
174 | 174 | Research 2000 | 277 | no | no | Live* | yes | 0.0 | 0.4 | F | D +1.4 | 88% | 18% | 5.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 245 | D +1.6 | D +1.4 | D +1.2 |
190 | 190 | OnPoint | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.9 | 0.5 | B- | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 4.8 | -3.1 | -1.9 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 4 | D +1.6 | D +0.2 | D +2.3 |
244 | 244 | University of North Carolina | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | -3.0 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.6 | 5.3 | -3.7 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | D +1.6 | D +0.1 | R +1.3 |
366 | 366 | Roanoke College | 15 | yes | yes | Live | no | 4.0 | 1.1 | C | D +0.5 | 77% | 60% | 8.9 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 12 | D +1.6 | D +0.5 | D +1.6 |
381 | 381 | Marketing Workshop | 7 | no | no | Live* | no | 3.6 | 1.4 | C- | D +0.3 | 57% | 57% | 9.7 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 7 | D +1.6 | D +0.3 | D +0.7 |
392 | 392 | Mitchell Research & Communications | 56 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 2.3 | 2.0 | D- | D +0.9 | 59% | 39% | 8.0 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 34 | D +1.6 | D +0.9 | R +0.0 |
70 | 70 | Pharos Research Group | 31 | no | yes | Live | yes | -0.3 | 0.0 | F | D +0.9 | 92% | 16% | 4.0 | 4.9 | -0.9 | -0.3 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 31 | D +1.7 | D +0.9 | D +0.9 |
243 | 243 | Central Surveys Inc. | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | -3.1 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 1.7 | 4.9 | -3.2 | -3.1 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +0.1 | D +2.3 |
335 | 335 | Maine People's Resource Center | 8 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 1.1 | 0.9 | C | D +0.3 | 88% | 25% | 7.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 7 | D +1.7 | D +0.3 | R +2.0 |
376 | 376 | Ed Renwick/Loyola University New Orleans | 7 | no | no | Live* | no | 3.1 | 1.3 | C- | D +0.3 | 86% | 29% | 8.1 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 7 | D +1.7 | D +0.3 | D +2.5 |
16 | 16 | Fox News/Anderson Robbins Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 31 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | -0.7 | A | D +0.6 | 69% | 35% | 5.6 | 6.0 | -0.4 | -0.9 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 16 | D +1.8 | D +0.6 | D +0.9 |
119 | 119 | Florida International University/Univision | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -6.1 | 0.2 | B | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.4 | -4.5 | -6.1 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 1 | D +1.8 | D +0.1 | R +13.0 |
34 | 34 | NBC News/Wall Street Journal | 27 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | -0.3 | A- | D +0.8 | 72% | 15% | 4.2 | 5.1 | -0.9 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 22 | D +1.9 | D +0.8 | D +1.4 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2018/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Exclusively Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT );