pollster-ratings/2018/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Exclusively Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade, Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus
Link | rowid ▲ | Pollster | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Exclusively Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
396 | 396 | TCJ Research | 133 | no | no | IVR | yes | 2.8 | 2.8 | F | R +4.5 | 59% | 49% | 6.4 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 125 | R +5.6 | R +4.5 | R +3.5 |
395 | 395 | SurveyMonkey | 206 | no | no | Online | no | 2.3 | 2.4 | D- | D +4.9 | 83% | 51% | 7.5 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 193 | D +5.6 | D +4.9 | D +3.2 |
394 | 394 | Nielson Brothers Polling | 9 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.1 | 2.3 | D- | D +2.8 | 89% | 67% | 12.2 | 4.9 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 9 | D +12.2 | D +2.8 | D +9.9 |
393 | 393 | Humphrey Institute | 10 | no | no | Live* | no | 6.4 | 2.2 | D- | D +0.8 | 40% | 30% | 13.1 | 5.7 | 7.3 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 8 | D +3.8 | D +0.8 | D +3.0 |
392 | 392 | Mitchell Research & Communications | 56 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 2.3 | 2.0 | D- | D +0.9 | 59% | 39% | 8.0 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 34 | D +1.6 | D +0.9 | R +0.0 |
391 | 391 | Fort Hays State University | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 10.0 | 1.9 | D | R +1.2 | 67% | 50% | 22.1 | 8.3 | 13.9 | 10.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | R +18.8 | R +1.2 | R +27.7 |
390 | 390 | Jayhawk Consulting | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 32.7 | 1.8 | D | D +1.4 | 0% | 100% | 42.9 | 5.9 | 37.0 | 32.7 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | D +42.9 | D +1.4 | |
389 | 389 | Brigham Young University | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 8.9 | 1.8 | D | D +1.9 | 75% | 75% | 16.5 | 7.6 | 8.9 | 8.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | D +16.5 | D +1.9 | D +16.5 |
388 | 388 | Massie & Associates | 2 | no | no | Live* | no | 14.9 | 1.7 | D+ | R +1.5 | 0% | 100% | 23.9 | 6.5 | 17.4 | 14.9 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | R +23.9 | R +1.5 | |
387 | 387 | Millersville University | 5 | no | no | Live* | no | 6.6 | 1.6 | D+ | R +1.5 | 80% | 80% | 14.1 | 5.2 | 8.8 | 6.6 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | R +10.5 | R +1.5 | R +6.3 |
386 | 386 | Dane & Associates | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 13.8 | 1.6 | D+ | R +1.3 | 50% | 100% | 21.2 | 4.9 | 16.3 | 13.8 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | R +21.2 | R +1.3 | R +10.5 |
385 | 385 | Riggs Research Services | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 25.3 | 1.5 | D+ | D +1.1 | 0% | 100% | 33.7 | 5.7 | 28.0 | 25.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1 | D +33.7 | D +1.1 | D +29.0 |
384 | 384 | Valley Research | 6 | no | no | Live* | no | 5.0 | 1.5 | D+ | D +0.4 | 83% | 50% | 11.5 | 4.6 | 6.9 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 6 | D +2.4 | D +0.4 | D +1.4 |
383 | 383 | CPEC LLC | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.5 | 1.4 | C- | 100% | 100% | 16.2 | 7.8 | 8.4 | 7.5 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0 | ||||
382 | 382 | Saint Leo University | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 5.6 | 1.4 | C- | D +0.9 | 50% | 50% | 7.6 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 4 | D +7.6 | D +0.9 | D +5.7 |
381 | 381 | Marketing Workshop | 7 | no | no | Live* | no | 3.6 | 1.4 | C- | D +0.3 | 57% | 57% | 9.7 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 7 | D +1.6 | D +0.3 | D +0.7 |
380 | 380 | WCIA-TV | 2 | no | no | Live* | no | 10.1 | 1.4 | C- | R +1.1 | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 6.2 | 12.1 | 10.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2 | R +18.3 | R +1.1 | R +8.8 |
379 | 379 | Optimus | 5 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.2 | 1.3 | C- | R +1.0 | 60% | 100% | 11.8 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3 | R +10.9 | R +1.0 | R +1.1 |
378 | 378 | McLaughlin & Associates | 22 | no | no | Online/Live | no | 1.6 | 1.3 | C- | R +0.4 | 77% | 23% | 5.9 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 22 | R +1.0 | R +0.4 | R +3.9 |
377 | 377 | Merriman River Group | 21 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | 1.6 | 1.3 | C- | R +2.2 | 81% | 48% | 7.7 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 20 | R +5.5 | R +2.2 | R +3.4 |
376 | 376 | Ed Renwick/Loyola University New Orleans | 7 | no | no | Live* | no | 3.1 | 1.3 | C- | D +0.3 | 86% | 29% | 8.1 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 7 | D +1.7 | D +0.3 | D +2.5 |
375 | 375 | Brown University | 12 | no | yes | Live | no | 3.6 | 1.2 | C- | R +0.4 | 83% | 58% | 11.4 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 7 | R +2.2 | R +0.4 | R +0.7 |
374 | 374 | Baydoun Consulting | 6 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.4 | 1.2 | C- | R +1.0 | 83% | 67% | 6.8 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 4 | R +8.7 | R +1.0 | R +6.6 |
373 | 373 | Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 10.0 | 1.2 | C- | 0% | 100% | 23.5 | 8.5 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0 | ||||
372 | 372 | Opinion Research Associates | 12 | no | yes | Live | no | 3.3 | 1.2 | C- | D +1.7 | 71% | 33% | 7.9 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 12 | D +6.1 | D +1.7 | D +5.9 |
371 | 371 | Neighbor | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 12.9 | 1.1 | C- | R +0.6 | 100% | 100% | 17.1 | 5.8 | 11.3 | 12.9 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1 | R +17.1 | R +0.6 | R +14.0 |
370 | 370 | Ohio University | 2 | no | no | Live* | no | 6.6 | 1.1 | C- | D +0.5 | 50% | 50% | 8.8 | 5.0 | 3.8 | 6.6 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2 | D +8.8 | D +0.5 | D +8.1 |
369 | 369 | Data West Polling | 2 | no | no | Live* | no | 6.4 | 1.1 | C- | D +0.8 | 50% | 100% | 13.1 | 6.1 | 7.0 | 6.4 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2 | D +13.1 | D +0.8 | D +7.5 |
368 | 368 | University of Alabama | 2 | no | no | Live* | no | 6.2 | 1.1 | C | R +0.8 | 100% | 50% | 12.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 6.2 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2 | R +12.0 | R +0.8 | R +7.0 |
367 | 367 | Jeffrey Stonecash | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 11.4 | 1.1 | C | R +0.6 | 0% | 100% | 17.3 | 5.2 | 12.1 | 11.4 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1 | R +17.3 | R +0.6 | R +16.5 |
366 | 366 | Roanoke College | 15 | yes | yes | Live | no | 4.0 | 1.1 | C | D +0.5 | 77% | 60% | 8.9 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 12 | D +1.6 | D +0.5 | D +1.6 |
365 | 365 | Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies | 12 | no | yes | Live | no | 3.1 | 1.1 | C | R +1.7 | 50% | 50% | 7.7 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 11 | R +6.3 | R +1.7 | R +4.5 |
364 | 364 | Consumer Logic | 4 | no | no | Live* | no | 3.3 | 1.1 | C | D +0.6 | 50% | 50% | 8.8 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 4 | D +5.4 | D +0.6 | D +2.3 |
363 | 363 | Rainmaker Media Group | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 10.8 | 1.1 | C | D +0.4 | 100% | 100% | 12.7 | 4.9 | 7.8 | 10.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1 | D +12.7 | D +0.4 | D +8.6 |
362 | 362 | Zia Poll | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.0 | 1.1 | C | R +0.4 | 100% | 33% | 4.9 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 3 | R +4.9 | R +0.4 | R +3.3 |
361 | 361 | TargetPoint | 3 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | 3.8 | 1.0 | C | 83% | 67% | 14.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0 | ||||
360 | 360 | Abacus Associates | 2 | no | no | Live* | no | 5.1 | 1.0 | C | R +0.0 | 50% | 100% | 12.1 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 5.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2 | R +0.5 | R +0.0 | D +6.5 |
359 | 359 | Greg Smith and Associates | 5 | no | no | Live* | no | 2.4 | 1.0 | C | D +1.2 | 60% | 40% | 8.5 | 5.7 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 5 | D +8.5 | D +1.2 | D +3.7 |
358 | 358 | Google Surveys | 24 | yes | no | Online | no | 1.9 | 1.0 | C | R +0.1 | 92% | 38% | 5.3 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 24 | R +0.2 | R +0.1 | R +0.7 |
357 | 357 | Schapiro Group | 2 | no | no | Live* | no | 4.9 | 1.0 | C | 100% | 50% | 20.0 | 8.3 | 11.7 | 4.9 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0 | ||||
356 | 356 | Southeastern Louisiana University | 8 | no | no | Live* | no | 1.7 | 1.0 | C | D +0.3 | 88% | 38% | 6.6 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 8 | D +1.4 | D +0.3 | R +0.7 |
355 | 355 | University of New Orleans | 10 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | 1.0 | C | R +0.3 | 80% | 30% | 6.8 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 9 | R +1.2 | R +0.3 | R +0.2 |
354 | 354 | Datamar | 8 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | 1.0 | C | R +0.4 | 69% | 38% | 6.3 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 5 | R +2.9 | R +0.4 | R +3.3 |
353 | 353 | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 464 | no | no | Online | no | 0.6 | 1.0 | C | R +0.9 | 78% | 28% | 5.6 | 5.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 364 | R +1.0 | R +0.9 | D +0.0 |
352 | 352 | Critical Insights | 17 | no | yes | Live | no | 2.2 | 1.0 | C | D +0.3 | 88% | 35% | 8.6 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 15 | D +0.9 | D +0.3 | R +1.8 |
351 | 351 | Anderson Group | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 7.6 | 1.0 | C | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 10.9 | 4.4 | 6.5 | 7.6 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1 | R +10.9 | R +0.4 | R +5.0 |
350 | 350 | Remington Research Group | 32 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | 0.8 | 1.0 | C | D +1.1 | 67% | 31% | 4.9 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 32 | D +2.1 | D +1.1 | R +1.9 |
349 | 349 | We Ask America | 52 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | 0.7 | 1.0 | C | R +0.9 | 83% | 44% | 7.0 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 33 | R +1.8 | R +0.9 | R +2.4 |
348 | 348 | McCulloch Research & Polling | 4 | no | no | Live* | no | 2.3 | 1.0 | C | R +0.6 | 75% | 50% | 7.0 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 4 | R +5.5 | R +0.6 | R +3.7 |
347 | 347 | Bannon Communications | 2 | no | no | Live* | no | 3.7 | 1.0 | C | D +0.6 | 100% | 50% | 10.4 | 6.2 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2 | D +10.4 | D +0.6 | D +8.3 |
346 | 346 | Saguaro Strategies | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 3.6 | 0.9 | C | D +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 5.0 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2 | D +5.0 | D +0.3 | D +4.1 |
345 | 345 | MarketAide Services Inc. | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 6.5 | 0.9 | C | D +0.4 | 100% | 100% | 11.2 | 6.1 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1 | D +11.2 | D +0.4 | D +9.5 |
344 | 344 | Momentum Analysis | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 7.3 | 0.9 | C | D +0.5 | 33% | 100% | 13.7 | 6.1 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 3 | D +5.7 | D +0.5 | D +2.8 |
343 | 343 | The Polling Company Inc. | 7 | no | no | Online/Live | no | 1.4 | 0.9 | C | R +0.9 | 71% | 57% | 6.2 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 7 | R +4.8 | R +0.9 | R +3.5 |
342 | 342 | Anzalone Liszt Grove Research | 11 | no | yes | Live | no | 2.7 | 0.9 | C | D +1.4 | 55% | 36% | 7.6 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 11 | D +5.1 | D +1.4 | D +7.7 |
341 | 341 | ccAdvertising | 30 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.5 | 0.9 | C | R +2.5 | 88% | 63% | 7.1 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 30 | R +5.1 | R +2.5 | R +3.2 |
340 | 340 | PSI | 3 | no | no | Live* | no | 2.3 | 0.9 | C | R +0.1 | 67% | 67% | 12.5 | 7.4 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1 | R +3.3 | R +0.1 | R +4.0 |
339 | 339 | GCR & Associates | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 5.9 | 0.9 | C | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 8.4 | 10.0 | 5.9 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0 | ||||
338 | 338 | Big Ten | 10 | no | no | Live* | no | 1.0 | 0.9 | C | D +1.1 | 100% | 20% | 4.8 | 4.7 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 10 | D +4.5 | D +1.1 | D +5.5 |
337 | 337 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 5.5 | 0.9 | C | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 13.7 | 6.8 | 6.9 | 5.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1 | R +13.7 | R +0.4 | |
336 | 336 | GaPundit.com | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.9 | 0.9 | C | D +0.5 | 25% | 100% | 8.3 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +0.5 | D +3.0 |
335 | 335 | Maine People's Resource Center | 8 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 1.1 | 0.9 | C | D +0.3 | 88% | 25% | 7.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 7 | D +1.7 | D +0.3 | R +2.0 |
334 | 334 | Zata3 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.8 | 0.9 | C | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 10.2 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2 | R +4.0 | R +0.2 | D +0.0 |
333 | 333 | USC Dornsife/LA Times | 3 | no | no | Online | no | 2.0 | 0.9 | C | R +0.4 | 33% | 67% | 4.1 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3 | R +4.1 | R +0.4 | R +5.9 |
332 | 332 | Glascock Group | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.8 | 0.9 | C | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 12.1 | 5.6 | 6.5 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1 | R +12.1 | R +0.4 | |
331 | 331 | Target Insyght | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.8 | 0.9 | C | 100% | 100% | 15.4 | 8.5 | 6.9 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0 | ||||
330 | 330 | SMS Research & Marketing Services Inc. | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 4.4 | 0.9 | C | R +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 9.8 | 4.5 | 5.2 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1 | R +9.8 | R +0.3 | R +0.3 |
329 | 329 | TargetSmart/William & Mary | 3 | no | no | Online/Live | no | 1.8 | 0.9 | C | D +0.5 | 67% | 33% | 5.3 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3 | D +5.3 | D +0.5 | D +1.7 |
328 | 328 | Ivan Moore Research | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | 4.3 | 0.9 | C | D +1.3 | 40% | 80% | 9.4 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 5 | D +9.4 | D +1.3 | D +5.2 |
327 | 327 | Craciun Research Group | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 17.3 | 0.9 | C | D +0.6 | 0% | 100% | 18.7 | 5.2 | 13.6 | 17.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1 | D +18.7 | D +0.6 | D +11.3 |
326 | 326 | Marketing Research Institute | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 4.0 | 0.9 | C | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 7.4 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1 | R +7.4 | R +0.2 | R +7.3 |
325 | 325 | California State University, Bakersfield | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 4.0 | 0.9 | C | R +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 9.9 | 6.1 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1 | R +9.9 | R +0.3 | R +14.0 |
324 | 324 | New Frontier Strategy | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.0 | 0.9 | C | 0% | 100% | 21.6 | 7.9 | 13.8 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0 | ||||
323 | 323 | Tulsa Surveys | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 4.0 | 0.9 | C | R +0.4 | 100% | 100% | 11.9 | 5.4 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1 | R +11.9 | R +0.4 | |
322 | 322 | Strategy Research | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.9 | 0.9 | C | R +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 8.6 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1 | R +8.6 | R +0.3 | R +4.7 |
321 | 321 | Decision Forecasting | 3 | no | no | Live* | no | 1.6 | 0.8 | C | R +0.1 | 100% | 67% | 8.1 | 4.7 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3 | R +1.4 | R +0.1 | D +0.5 |
320 | 320 | Polling Company/Global Strategy Group (Hotline Bullseye) | 3 | no | no | Live* | no | 1.6 | 0.8 | C | R +0.4 | 33% | 33% | 4.6 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3 | R +4.6 | R +0.4 | R +3.1 |
319 | 319 | Southern Opinion Research | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 3.7 | 0.8 | C | D +0.3 | 100% | 100% | 9.4 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1 | D +9.4 | D +0.3 | D +13.0 |
318 | 318 | Trafalgar Group | 27 | no | no | IVR/Online/Live | no | 0.6 | 0.8 | C | R +0.3 | 85% | 56% | 6.3 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 15 | R +0.8 | R +0.3 | R +3.1 |
317 | 317 | RABA Research | 2 | no | no | IVR/Online/Live | no | 2.0 | 0.8 | C | D +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 5.3 | 5.6 | -0.3 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1 | D +6.9 | D +0.2 | D +2.0 |
316 | 316 | Illinois Wesleyan University | 3 | no | no | Live* | no | 1.4 | 0.8 | C | R +0.7 | 100% | 33% | 8.2 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3 | R +8.2 | R +0.7 | R +5.9 |
315 | 315 | TMR Research | 2 | no | no | Live* | no | 1.9 | 0.8 | C | D +0.5 | 0% | 50% | 7.8 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2 | D +7.8 | D +0.5 | D +6.7 |
314 | 314 | Lycoming College | 3 | no | no | Live* | no | 1.4 | 0.8 | C | D +0.7 | 67% | 33% | 7.3 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3 | D +7.3 | D +0.7 | D +6.3 |
313 | 313 | Ron Lester and Associates | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 3.1 | 0.8 | C | 100% | 100% | 18.9 | 7.9 | 11.0 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0 | ||||
312 | 312 | A&A Research | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 3.1 | 0.8 | C | R +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 10.1 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1 | R +10.1 | R +0.3 | |
311 | 311 | Great Lakes Strategies Group | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.9 | 0.8 | C+ | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 7.6 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1 | R +7.6 | R +0.2 | R +10.0 |
310 | 310 | Harris Interactive | 135 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.8 | 0.8 | C+ | R +1.5 | 86% | 53% | 5.5 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 135 | R +1.9 | R +1.5 | D +0.9 |
309 | 309 | Minnesota State University Moorhead | 4 | no | no | Live* | no | 1.0 | 0.8 | C+ | D +0.5 | 100% | 50% | 9.3 | 5.8 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3 | D +5.9 | D +0.5 | |
308 | 308 | University of Georgia | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 2.6 | 0.8 | C+ | R +0.3 | 100% | 100% | 9.8 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1 | R +9.8 | R +0.3 | R +0.8 |
307 | 307 | IMGE Insights | 1 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | 2.6 | 0.8 | C+ | R +0.3 | 100% | 100% | 7.9 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1 | R +7.9 | R +0.3 | R +2.3 |
306 | 306 | CrossTarget | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | 0.8 | C+ | R +0.5 | 100% | 50% | 7.7 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2 | R +7.7 | R +0.5 | R +13.3 |
305 | 305 | Public Strategies Inc. | 6 | no | no | Live* | no | 0.7 | 0.8 | C+ | 100% | 33% | 7.9 | 8.1 | -0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0 | ||||
304 | 304 | Independent Market Research | 2 | no | no | Live* | no | 1.4 | 0.8 | C+ | D +0.3 | 100% | 50% | 5.7 | 5.3 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2 | D +5.3 | D +0.3 | D +4.9 |
303 | 303 | Opinion Consultants | 2 | no | no | Live* | no | 1.2 | 0.8 | C+ | R +0.4 | 100% | 50% | 6.5 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2 | R +6.5 | R +0.4 | R +5.4 |
302 | 302 | TeleResearch Corporation | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.1 | 0.8 | C+ | 100% | 100% | 8.6 | 7.8 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0 | ||||
301 | 301 | Global Strategy Group | 22 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.5 | 0.8 | C+ | D +2.0 | 68% | 23% | 6.9 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 22 | D +4.6 | D +2.0 | D +5.1 |
300 | 300 | Research America Inc. | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 8.0 | 0.8 | C+ | 100% | 50% | 20.7 | 8.1 | 12.6 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0 | ||||
299 | 299 | R.L. Repass & Partners | 1 | no | no | Online/Live | no | 1.1 | 0.8 | C+ | 100% | 100% | 11.2 | 8.7 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0 | ||||
298 | 298 | Harvard University | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 1.0 | 0.8 | C+ | D +0.2 | 0% | 0% | 6.9 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1 | D +6.9 | D +0.2 | D +1.5 |
297 | 297 | Hampton University | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 4.2 | 0.8 | C+ | R +0.7 | 50% | 50% | 7.5 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 4 | R +5.8 | R +0.7 | R +6.7 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2018/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Exclusively Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT );