pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
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Link | rowid ▼ | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
101 | 101 | Middle Tennessee State University | 208 | 6 | yes | yes | Live | no | 3.3 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +1.1 | 100% | 67% | 10.1 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 5 | D +6.5 | D +1.1 | R +2.8 | 5.0 | 0.12 |
102 | 102 | University of Massachusetts Amherst | 354 | 11 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.9 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 36% | 6.5 | 8.1 | -1.4 | -0.9 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 2 | R +7.2 | R +0.2 | R +1.8 | 7.4 | 0.0 |
103 | 103 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.1 | -2.4 | -3.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 2 | D +2.5 | D +0.2 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | |
104 | 104 | Ethridge & Associates LLC | 89 | 6 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.7 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 83% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.6 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 6 | R +0.7 | R +0.1 | R +3.4 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
105 | 105 | Potomac Incorporated | 256 | 8 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.3 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 88% | 13% | 4.5 | 6.1 | -1.4 | -1.3 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 6 | R +3.1 | R +0.3 | D +1.3 | 4.5 | 0.35 |
106 | 106 | American Research Group | 9 | 263 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | 0.3 | B | R +0.2 | 75% | 40% | 7.5 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 79 | R +0.3 | R +0.2 | R +1.8 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
107 | 107 | GBAO | 109 | 6 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | -1.9 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 75% | 0% | 3.7 | 6.0 | -2.1 | -1.9 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 6 | D +0.0 | D +0.0 | D +1.9 | 0.0 | |
108 | 108 | Hendrix College | 138 | 13 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -0.9 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +1.7 | 92% | 46% | 6.0 | 5.6 | 0.6 | -0.9 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 13 | D +4.7 | D +1.7 | R +3.0 | 0.0 | |
109 | 109 | Moore Information | 217 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.8 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.4 | 67% | 17% | 6.5 | 6.5 | 0.1 | -0.8 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 6 | R +2.8 | R +0.4 | R +5.1 | 6.0 | 0.0 |
110 | 110 | Dittman Research | 79 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.8 | 100% | 33% | 5.9 | 6.1 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 6 | D +6.1 | D +0.8 | D +0.7 | 10.9 | 0.0 |
111 | 111 | Richard Day Research Inc. | 287 | 11 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.5 | 100% | 36% | 5.5 | 5.3 | 0.4 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 11 | R +2.9 | R +0.5 | R +0.9 | 5.5 | 0.0 |
112 | 112 | Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates | 56 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.3 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 75% | 25% | 6.3 | 6.5 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 3 | D +3.4 | D +0.1 | R +2.3 | 4.1 | 0.41 |
113 | 113 | Frederick Polls | 108 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 75% | 0% | 2.4 | 6.6 | -4.0 | -5.5 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 1 | R +0.6 | R +0.0 | D +4.5 | 10.5 | 0.0 |
114 | 114 | RBI Strategies & Research | 271 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -6.6 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.7 | -4.8 | -6.6 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 1 | R +0.7 | R +0.0 | D +3.5 | 5.1 | 0.17 |
115 | 115 | MSR Group | 178 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.8 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.8 | -3.1 | -3.8 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 3 | D +3.5 | D +0.2 | D +1.3 | 0.0 | |
116 | 116 | North Star Opinion Research/Ayres, McHenry & Associates | 233 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.5 | 67% | 33% | 5.6 | 5.8 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 3 | R +5.6 | R +0.5 | R +5.3 | 0.0 | |
117 | 117 | Victory Research | 437 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.3 | 4.1 | -3.5 | -5.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 1 | D +0.3 | D +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
118 | 118 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.7 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 5.8 | -3.7 | -4.7 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | D +1.9 | D +0.1 | R +4.1 | 0.0 | |
119 | 119 | Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Martin Campaigns | 455 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 6.0 | -3.2 | -3.5 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | R +2.6 | R +0.1 | D +3.0 | 0.0 | |
120 | 120 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.2 | 0.3 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 7.0 | 9.1 | -2.0 | -2.2 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
121 | 121 | Personal Marketing Research | 252 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.1 | 0.3 | B/C° | 67% | 33% | 6.2 | 8.0 | -1.6 | -2.1 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0 | 6.1 | 0.0 | ||||
122 | 122 | Pharos Research Group | 254 | 31 | no | yes | Live | yes | -0.1 | 0.3 | F | D +0.9 | 92% | 16% | 4.0 | 5.0 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 31 | D +1.7 | D +0.9 | D +0.9 | 4.4 | 0.34 |
123 | 123 | Public Opinion Strategies | 260 | 58 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | 0.3 | B- | R +1.5 | 66% | 24% | 6.0 | 6.2 | 0.1 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 56 | R +2.4 | R +1.5 | R +4.2 | 4.4 | 0.34 |
124 | 124 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -6.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 8.2 | -6.0 | -6.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
125 | 125 | Starboard Communications | 316 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.3 | 4.7 | -1.3 | -5.5 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | R +7.3 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
126 | 126 | U.S. News & World Report | 342 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.0 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 6.0 | -3.9 | -5.0 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 3 | R +0.8 | R +0.0 | D +1.2 | 4.9 | 0.82 |
127 | 127 | University of Wisconsin Milwaukee | 366 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.0 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 33% | 5.3 | 6.8 | -1.3 | -2.0 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 3 | R +5.3 | R +0.2 | R +2.1 | 0.0 | |
128 | 128 | Mercyhurst University | 422 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.7 | -4.8 | -5.1 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | R +0.7 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
129 | 129 | Odney | 524 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.1 | 6.3 | -4.1 | -4.6 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | D +2.1 | D +0.1 | R +8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
130 | 130 | Scripps Howard | 303 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 25% | 3.8 | 4.5 | -0.6 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 4 | R +0.6 | R +0.0 | R +2.3 | 2.8 | 0.54 |
131 | 131 | Market Decisions | 184 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 25% | 5.2 | 5.2 | 0.1 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 4 | R +0.5 | R +0.0 | D +0.4 | 6.1 | 0.51 |
132 | 132 | Fabrizio Ward | 90 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 33% | 33% | 5.7 | 6.2 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3 | D +2.1 | D +0.3 | R +4.5 | 0.0 | |
133 | 133 | Centre College | 47 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.4 | -1.3 | -1.6 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +3.9 | D +0.2 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
134 | 134 | Richmond Times-Dispatch | 288 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.3 | 4.9 | -1.4 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 4 | D +2.9 | D +0.2 | D +2.4 | 5.0 | 0.17 |
135 | 135 | Market Solutions Group | 188 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 25% | 4.3 | 6.4 | -1.9 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 2 | R +0.1 | R +0.0 | D +1.8 | 4.4 | 0.45 |
136 | 136 | Research 2000 | 281 | 278 | no | yes* | Live* | yes | -0.1 | 0.4 | F | D +1.4 | 88% | 22% | 5.5 | 5.8 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 246 | D +1.6 | D +1.4 | D +1.2 | 4.7 | 0.23 |
137 | 137 | Frank N. Magid Associates Inc. | 105 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 100% | 25% | 4.6 | 5.7 | -0.9 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 4 | D +4.6 | D +0.3 | R +0.9 | 4.0 | 0.76 |
138 | 138 | Mellman Group | 205 | 21 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +1.7 | 79% | 14% | 4.9 | 5.4 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 21 | D +4.0 | D +1.7 | D +5.4 | 3.4 | 0.54 |
139 | 139 | Midwest Survey and Research | 209 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 33% | 7.3 | 5.9 | 1.6 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 3 | R +1.0 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
140 | 140 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 8.7 | 8.8 | 0.1 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
141 | 141 | Lincoln Institute | 170 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 75% | 0% | 4.1 | 5.1 | -0.8 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 2 | R +4.1 | R +0.1 | D +2.5 | 0.0 | |
142 | 142 | Southern Media & Opinion Research | 310 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.7 | 100% | 14% | 5.6 | 5.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 7 | D +3.2 | D +0.7 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
143 | 143 | Neighborhood Research and Media | 227 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.4 | 6.5 | -2.9 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +3.4 | R +0.1 | R +7.2 | 8.4 | 0.0 |
144 | 144 | QEV Analytics | 266 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | 0% | 0% | 7.3 | 6.5 | 1.0 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
145 | 145 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.3 | -4.3 | -5.9 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.8 | D +0.0 | R +13.0 | 0.0 | |
146 | 146 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | 0% | 0% | 6.8 | 10.6 | -3.7 | -3.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
147 | 147 | Winston Group | 385 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 6.3 | 6.7 | -0.2 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +6.3 | D +0.2 | R +8.0 | 0.0 | |
148 | 148 | Insights West | 151 | 9 | no | no | Online | no | -3.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 94% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.7 | -3.1 | -3.6 | -1.1 | 0.4 | 8 | R +0.4 | R +0.1 | R +0.9 | 3.4 | 1.14 |
149 | 149 | Louis Harris & Associates | 173 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 5.1 | -4.0 | -4.9 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +0.0 | D +5.4 | 5.5 | 0.0 |
150 | 150 | Wirthlin Worldwide | 387 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 75% | 25% | 4.6 | 6.1 | -1.3 | -1.1 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 4 | R +3.9 | R +0.2 | R +4.9 | 4.9 | 0.32 |
151 | 151 | Manhattanville College | 181 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 33% | 6.5 | 6.6 | 0.1 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | R +8.2 | R +0.2 | D +0.3 | 7.2 | 0.0 |
152 | 152 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 5.7 | 8.4 | -2.6 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 9.2 | 0.0 | ||||
153 | 153 | Knowledge Networks | 164 | 3 | yes | no | Online | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 33% | 4.1 | 4.5 | -0.2 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3 | R +4.1 | R +0.3 | R +0.3 | 3.2 | 0.08 |
154 | 154 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 17 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 5.7 | -2.1 | -2.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +3.5 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
155 | 155 | Jim Meader (KELOLAND-TV) | 159 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 100% | 25% | 4.6 | 5.5 | -0.8 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 4 | D +4.6 | D +0.3 | D +4.4 | 0.0 | |
156 | 156 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 0.1 | 8.3 | -8.0 | -5.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
157 | 157 | University of Tennessee | 362 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -5.4 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.7 | R +0.1 | R +5.4 | 0.0 | |
158 | 158 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.7 | -3.8 | -3.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +0.0 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
159 | 159 | Wood Communications Group | 388 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.8 | 6.4 | -5.4 | -4.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +0.8 | D +0.0 | D +3.0 | 2.0 | 3.28 |
160 | 160 | RMS Research | 273 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.7 | -5.6 | -5.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +0.9 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
161 | 161 | Market Strategies International | 189 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.1 | 6.3 | -5.1 | -5.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +1.1 | R +0.0 | R +4.6 | 3.6 | 1.27 |
162 | 162 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.8 | -3.0 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.6 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
163 | 163 | Red Sea Communications | 278 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 7.1 | -2.5 | -2.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +4.4 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
164 | 164 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | 113 | 23 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | -0.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +1.5 | 85% | 35% | 5.7 | 5.8 | 0.1 | -0.5 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 23 | D +3.5 | D +1.5 | D +4.9 | 4.8 | 0.11 |
165 | 165 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 29 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.9 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +1.6 | D +0.1 | D +3.0 | 0.0 | |
166 | 166 | Dynamic Marketing Inc. | 83 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 6.2 | -3.0 | -4.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +3.0 | D +0.0 | R +7.5 | 0.0 | |
167 | 167 | Vox Populi Polling | 529 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 8.3 | -4.6 | -3.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 6.7 | 0.0 | ||||
168 | 168 | Diversified Research Inc | 80 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.0 | 7.0 | -1.8 | -2.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +5.0 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
169 | 169 | Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies | 460 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 2.0 | 6.8 | -4.5 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.0 | R +0.1 | R +2.4 | 3.0 | 2.58 |
170 | 170 | YouGov | 391 | 395 | no | no | Online | no | -0.1 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.4 | 89% | 30% | 5.0 | 5.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 347 | D +0.4 | D +0.4 | D +0.3 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
171 | 171 | Lauer Lalley Victoria Inc. | 168 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 6.6 | -4.7 | -3.9 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +1.7 | R +0.0 | D +4.0 | 0.0 | |
172 | 172 | Dartmouth College | 72 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 9.0 | 8.4 | 0.8 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
173 | 173 | Franklin & Marshall College | 106 | 21 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 86% | 29% | 6.5 | 6.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 18 | D +0.9 | D +0.4 | D +2.0 | 5.5 | 0.15 |
174 | 174 | Voter/Consumer Research | 371 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 50% | 5.5 | 5.7 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 6 | D +0.3 | D +0.0 | R +3.9 | 2.5 | 1.19 |
175 | 175 | University of Georgia | 350 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.4 | 50% | 50% | 5.7 | 5.2 | 0.7 | -0.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 2 | R +4.1 | R +0.4 | D +0.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
176 | 176 | Ohio State University | 236 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.7 | 5.1 | -1.3 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +3.7 | R +0.1 | R +7.3 | 0.0 | |
177 | 177 | Associated Industries of Florida | 18 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 50% | 0% | 3.4 | 4.5 | -0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +3.4 | D +0.3 | D +1.0 | 0.0 | |
178 | 178 | Global Strategy Group/National Research (Philadelphia Inquirer) | 119 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 25% | 3.0 | 5.3 | -2.1 | -1.6 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 4 | R +2.7 | R +0.3 | D +0.1 | 2.3 | 1.93 |
179 | 179 | Market Trends Pacific | 190 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 50% | 0% | 4.6 | 5.6 | -0.8 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +4.6 | D +0.1 | D +2.5 | 0.0 | |
180 | 180 | Basswood Research | 24 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 10.7 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +13.1 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
181 | 181 | NRECA Market Research | 223 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 6.3 | 5.6 | 0.9 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +6.3 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
182 | 182 | Tel Opinion Research | 334 | 12 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 96% | 17% | 4.7 | 5.8 | -0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 10 | R +0.1 | R +0.0 | D +0.1 | 4.4 | 0.24 |
183 | 183 | Wick Communications | 381 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 6.3 | -3.2 | -1.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +2.8 | D +0.1 | D +4.0 | 5.0 | 1.19 |
184 | 184 | Belden Russonello | 28 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 4.7 | 5.2 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | D +5.7 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
185 | 185 | University of North Carolina | 359 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.6 | 5.5 | -3.7 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.6 | D +0.0 | R +1.3 | 1.0 | 2.97 |
186 | 186 | Analytical Group | 11 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.0 | 5.4 | -1.2 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +4.0 | D +0.1 | D +3.0 | 3.7 | 0.86 |
187 | 187 | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +5.5 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
188 | 188 | Schoen Consulting | 301 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.3 | 4.5 | -2.1 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.3 | R +0.1 | R +1.8 | 1.8 | 0.99 |
189 | 189 | Braun Research | 33 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +1.3 | 100% | 50% | 6.6 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 6 | D +6.6 | D +1.3 | D +2.8 | 2.5 | 0.17 |
190 | 190 | Virginia Commonwealth University | 370 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 20% | 4.9 | 5.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 5 | R +1.9 | R +0.2 | R +1.7 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
191 | 191 | Benenson Strategy Group | 30 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.6 | 50% | 11% | 6.2 | 6.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 9 | D +2.8 | D +0.6 | D +7.6 | 9.9 | 0.0 |
192 | 192 | Becker Institute | 26 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 67% | 67% | 7.6 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3 | D +7.6 | D +0.4 | D +0.8 | 11.5 | 0.0 |
193 | 193 | Meeting Street Research | 204 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +2.7 | D +0.1 | 3.0 | 1.39 | |
194 | 194 | Gordon S. Black Corp. | 123 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 6.3 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2 | R +6.3 | R +0.2 | R +1.3 | 6.0 | 0.0 |
195 | 195 | Cromer Group | 65 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.4 | -1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | R +3.9 | R +0.1 | R +3.8 | 0.0 | |
196 | 196 | Strategic Services | 319 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 5.5 | 5.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +5.5 | D +0.1 | D +2.0 | 0.0 | |
197 | 197 | Vox Populi Polling | 372 | 19 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | -0.9 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 74% | 16% | 4.3 | 5.4 | -0.9 | -0.9 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 19 | D +0.6 | D +0.3 | R +1.4 | 4.8 | 0.14 |
198 | 198 | New England College | 228 | 15 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.2 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.7 | 77% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.0 | -1.8 | -1.2 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 15 | R +1.9 | R +0.7 | R +3.3 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
199 | 199 | DHM Research | 76 | 14 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | -1.1 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 86% | 7% | 4.1 | 5.9 | -1.6 | -1.1 | -0.3 | 0.5 | 12 | R +0.3 | R +0.1 | D +0.3 | 4.5 | 0.53 |
200 | 200 | University of Nevada Las Vegas | 356 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.8 | 0.5 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 9.0 | 8.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );