pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
430 rows sorted by # of Polls for Bias Analysis
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis ▼ | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
35 | 35 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | -0.5 | A/B° | 100% | 33% | 9.9 | 9.2 | 0.9 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
85 | 85 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.7 | 0.2 | B/C° | 67% | 33% | 6.3 | 8.6 | -2.1 | -3.7 | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
120 | 120 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.2 | 0.3 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 7.0 | 9.1 | -2.0 | -2.2 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
121 | 121 | Personal Marketing Research | 252 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.1 | 0.3 | B/C° | 67% | 33% | 6.2 | 8.0 | -1.6 | -2.1 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0 | 6.1 | 0.0 | ||||
124 | 124 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -6.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 8.2 | -6.0 | -6.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
140 | 140 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 8.7 | 8.8 | 0.1 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
144 | 144 | QEV Analytics | 266 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | 0% | 0% | 7.3 | 6.5 | 1.0 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
146 | 146 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | 0% | 0% | 6.8 | 10.6 | -3.7 | -3.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
152 | 152 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 5.7 | 8.4 | -2.6 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 9.2 | 0.0 | ||||
156 | 156 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 0.1 | 8.3 | -8.0 | -5.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
167 | 167 | Vox Populi Polling | 529 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 8.3 | -4.6 | -3.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 6.7 | 0.0 | ||||
172 | 172 | Dartmouth College | 72 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 9.0 | 8.4 | 0.8 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
200 | 200 | University of Nevada Las Vegas | 356 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.8 | 0.5 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 9.0 | 8.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
204 | 204 | Public Strategies Inc. | 264 | 6 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | 0.5 | B/C° | 100% | 33% | 7.9 | 8.4 | -0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0 | 7.6 | 0.0 | ||||
216 | 216 | Overtime Politics | 247 | 12 | no | yes | Live | yes | 0.6 | 0.5 | F | 67% | 42% | 9.8 | 8.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 | 6.8 | 0.0 | ||||
244 | 244 | Ron Lester and Associates | 293 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 3.3 | 0.6 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 18.9 | 7.8 | 11.3 | 3.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.34 | ||||
273 | 273 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 82 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -2.7 | 0.6 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 5.1 | 8.0 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0 | 9.1 | 0.0 | ||||
281 | 281 | Schapiro Group | 300 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 5.0 | 0.7 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 20.0 | 8.0 | 12.2 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.36 | ||||
315 | 315 | R.L. Repass & Partners | 268 | 1 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.8 | 0.9 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 11.2 | 9.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
334 | 334 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | Landline | no | -3.0 | 1.0 | B/C° | 50% | 50% | 6.4 | 7.8 | -1.3 | -3.0 | -0.3 | 1.0 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.03 | ||||
336 | 336 | IVR Polls | 146 | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.1 | 1.0 | B/C° | 100% | 25% | 4.1 | 8.0 | -3.8 | -2.1 | -0.2 | 1.0 | 0 | 8.1 | 0.0 | ||||
342 | 342 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.9 | 1.1 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 7.1 | -5.8 | -3.9 | -0.3 | 1.1 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
358 | 358 | Data for Progress | 522 | 1 | no | no | Text | no | -1.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 3.7 | -0.7 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 0 | 5.3 | 0.0 | ||||
373 | 373 | War Room Logistics | 374 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.3 | 1.2 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 4.5 | 7.1 | -2.4 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0 | 11.3 | 0.0 | ||||
383 | 383 | TargetPoint | 331 | 3 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 4.1 | 1.3 | C/D° | 83% | 100% | 14.0 | 7.7 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
386 | 386 | Liberty Opinion Research | 169 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.6 | 1.3 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 5.7 | 6.9 | -1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.51 | ||||
392 | 392 | TeleResearch Corporation | 335 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.3 | 1.4 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 8.6 | 7.7 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0 | 11.3 | 0.0 | ||||
398 | 398 | ResearchNow | 283 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 0.5 | 1.4 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 9.4 | 8.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | ||||
399 | 399 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.0 | 1.4 | C/D° | 0% | 100% | 21.6 | 7.5 | 14.3 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
403 | 403 | GCR & Associates | 110 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 6.1 | 1.5 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 7.8 | 10.7 | 6.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
408 | 408 | Spry Strategies | 508 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 10.0 | 1.5 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 14.6 | 4.8 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0 | 19.4 | 0.0 | ||||
412 | 412 | Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne | 150 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 9.7 | 1.6 | C/D° | 0% | 100% | 23.5 | 8.9 | 14.7 | 9.7 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
423 | 423 | CPEC LLC | 38 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.5 | 2.1 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 16.2 | 8.0 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 11.6 | 0.0 | ||||
32 | 32 | Winthrop University | 386 | 1 | yes | yes | Live | no | -4.3 | -0.5 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.2 | 4.6 | -4.3 | -4.3 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 1 | D +0.2 | D +0.0 | R +0.9 | 3.8 | 0.61 |
39 | 39 | University of Florida | 349 | 1 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | -0.4 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 50% | 0% | 1.1 | 4.6 | -3.4 | -1.0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 1 | D +1.1 | D +0.0 | R +0.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
44 | 44 | University of Illinois at Chicago | 352 | 1 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | 6.9 | -0.3 | A/B° | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 14.1 | 5.4 | 8.9 | 6.9 | 0.1 | -0.3 | 1 | R +14.1 | R +0.2 | R +5.1 | 0.0 | |
61 | 61 | Public Religion Research Institute | 428 | 1 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -2.7 | -0.1 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.4 | 5.1 | -4.4 | -2.7 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 1 | D +0.4 | D +0.0 | D +1.6 | 2.0 | 1.23 |
72 | 72 | Clemson University | 54 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.3 | 0.1 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 40% | 10.3 | 7.5 | 2.9 | -2.3 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 1 | R +16.7 | R +0.3 | R +9.7 | 17.1 | 0.0 |
83 | 83 | Crawford Johnson & Northcott Inc. | 63 | 5 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.8 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 40% | 4.7 | 7.4 | -2.6 | -2.8 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 1 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
113 | 113 | Frederick Polls | 108 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 75% | 0% | 2.4 | 6.6 | -4.0 | -5.5 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 1 | R +0.6 | R +0.0 | D +4.5 | 10.5 | 0.0 |
114 | 114 | RBI Strategies & Research | 271 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -6.6 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.7 | -4.8 | -6.6 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 1 | R +0.7 | R +0.0 | D +3.5 | 5.1 | 0.17 |
117 | 117 | Victory Research | 437 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.3 | 4.1 | -3.5 | -5.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 1 | D +0.3 | D +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
118 | 118 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.7 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 5.8 | -3.7 | -4.7 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | D +1.9 | D +0.1 | R +4.1 | 0.0 | |
119 | 119 | Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Martin Campaigns | 455 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 6.0 | -3.2 | -3.5 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | R +2.6 | R +0.1 | D +3.0 | 0.0 | |
125 | 125 | Starboard Communications | 316 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.3 | 4.7 | -1.3 | -5.5 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | R +7.3 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
128 | 128 | Mercyhurst University | 422 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.7 | -4.8 | -5.1 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | R +0.7 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
129 | 129 | Odney | 524 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.1 | 6.3 | -4.1 | -4.6 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | D +2.1 | D +0.1 | R +8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
133 | 133 | Centre College | 47 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.4 | -1.3 | -1.6 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +3.9 | D +0.2 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
143 | 143 | Neighborhood Research and Media | 227 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.4 | 6.5 | -2.9 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +3.4 | R +0.1 | R +7.2 | 8.4 | 0.0 |
145 | 145 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.3 | -4.3 | -5.9 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.8 | D +0.0 | R +13.0 | 0.0 | |
147 | 147 | Winston Group | 385 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 6.3 | 6.7 | -0.2 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +6.3 | D +0.2 | R +8.0 | 0.0 | |
154 | 154 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 17 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 5.7 | -2.1 | -2.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +3.5 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
157 | 157 | University of Tennessee | 362 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -5.4 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.7 | R +0.1 | R +5.4 | 0.0 | |
158 | 158 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.7 | -3.8 | -3.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +0.0 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
159 | 159 | Wood Communications Group | 388 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.8 | 6.4 | -5.4 | -4.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +0.8 | D +0.0 | D +3.0 | 2.0 | 3.28 |
160 | 160 | RMS Research | 273 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.7 | -5.6 | -5.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +0.9 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
161 | 161 | Market Strategies International | 189 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.1 | 6.3 | -5.1 | -5.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +1.1 | R +0.0 | R +4.6 | 3.6 | 1.27 |
162 | 162 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.8 | -3.0 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.6 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
163 | 163 | Red Sea Communications | 278 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 7.1 | -2.5 | -2.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +4.4 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
166 | 166 | Dynamic Marketing Inc. | 83 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 6.2 | -3.0 | -4.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +3.0 | D +0.0 | R +7.5 | 0.0 | |
168 | 168 | Diversified Research Inc | 80 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.0 | 7.0 | -1.8 | -2.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +5.0 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
169 | 169 | Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies | 460 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 2.0 | 6.8 | -4.5 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.0 | R +0.1 | R +2.4 | 3.0 | 2.58 |
171 | 171 | Lauer Lalley Victoria Inc. | 168 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 6.6 | -4.7 | -3.9 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +1.7 | R +0.0 | D +4.0 | 0.0 | |
176 | 176 | Ohio State University | 236 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.7 | 5.1 | -1.3 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +3.7 | R +0.1 | R +7.3 | 0.0 | |
179 | 179 | Market Trends Pacific | 190 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 50% | 0% | 4.6 | 5.6 | -0.8 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +4.6 | D +0.1 | D +2.5 | 0.0 | |
180 | 180 | Basswood Research | 24 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 10.7 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +13.1 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
181 | 181 | NRECA Market Research | 223 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 6.3 | 5.6 | 0.9 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +6.3 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
183 | 183 | Wick Communications | 381 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 6.3 | -3.2 | -1.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +2.8 | D +0.1 | D +4.0 | 5.0 | 1.19 |
185 | 185 | University of North Carolina | 359 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.6 | 5.5 | -3.7 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.6 | D +0.0 | R +1.3 | 1.0 | 2.97 |
186 | 186 | Analytical Group | 11 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.0 | 5.4 | -1.2 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +4.0 | D +0.1 | D +3.0 | 3.7 | 0.86 |
187 | 187 | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +5.5 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
188 | 188 | Schoen Consulting | 301 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.3 | 4.5 | -2.1 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.3 | R +0.1 | R +1.8 | 1.8 | 0.99 |
193 | 193 | Meeting Street Research | 204 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +2.7 | D +0.1 | 3.0 | 1.39 | |
195 | 195 | Cromer Group | 65 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.4 | -1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | R +3.9 | R +0.1 | R +3.8 | 0.0 | |
196 | 196 | Strategic Services | 319 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 5.5 | 5.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +5.5 | D +0.1 | D +2.0 | 0.0 | |
201 | 201 | Victoria Research & Consulting | 369 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.2 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 50% | 0% | 8.1 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +8.1 | D +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
212 | 212 | Val Smith | 367 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.9 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 8.5 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | R +8.5 | R +0.2 | R +15.0 | 0.0 | |
215 | 215 | Old Dominion University | 238 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.5 | 5.3 | -0.7 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +4.5 | D +0.2 | R +0.8 | 0.0 | 2.78 |
217 | 217 | Harvard University | 135 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 6.9 | 6.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +6.9 | D +0.1 | D +1.5 | 2.0 | 2.69 |
219 | 219 | A&A Research | 2 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 3.7 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 10.1 | 6.4 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +10.1 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
222 | 222 | California State University, Bakersfield | 41 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 4.4 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 9.9 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +9.9 | R +0.1 | R +14.0 | 0.0 | |
226 | 226 | Tulsa Surveys | 341 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 5.5 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 11.9 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +11.9 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
228 | 228 | Marketing Research Institute | 192 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 4.6 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 7.4 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +7.4 | R +0.1 | R +7.3 | 0.0 | |
230 | 230 | Feldman Group | 93 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 4.0 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 10.8 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | D +10.8 | D +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
236 | 236 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | 16 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 5.8 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 13.7 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +13.7 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
240 | 240 | PSI | 248 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 1.9 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 67% | 67% | 12.5 | 7.8 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +3.3 | R +0.0 | R +4.0 | 2.0 | 0.76 |
241 | 241 | MarketAide Services Inc. | 191 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 6.1 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 11.2 | 6.6 | 4.8 | 6.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | D +11.2 | D +0.2 | D +9.5 | 0.0 | |
249 | 249 | Blumenthal Research Daily | 447 | 1 | no | yes | Live | yes | -0.4 | 0.6 | F | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.3 | 5.5 | -1.1 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1 | R +4.3 | R +0.2 | R +5.3 | 1.0 | 3.17 |
256 | 256 | Glover Park Group | 120 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 4.4 | 0.6 | B/C° | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 11.4 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1 | R +11.4 | R +0.4 | R +8.0 | 0.0 | |
257 | 257 | Anderson Group | 12 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 7.9 | 0.6 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 10.9 | 4.4 | 6.7 | 7.9 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1 | R +10.9 | R +0.2 | R +5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
260 | 260 | SMS Research & Marketing Services Inc. | 296 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 4.6 | 0.6 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 9.8 | 5.1 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1 | R +9.8 | R +0.2 | R +0.3 | 0.3 | 3.23 |
263 | 263 | Lauer Johnson Research | 167 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 7.2 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 13.8 | 6.4 | 7.6 | 7.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1 | D +13.8 | D +0.3 | D +17.0 | 0.0 | |
264 | 264 | Neighbor | 226 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 12.5 | 0.6 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 17.1 | 6.4 | 10.9 | 12.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1 | R +17.1 | R +0.2 | R +14.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 |
283 | 283 | University of Iowa | 353 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 3.9 | 0.7 | B/C° | R +0.4 | 67% | 67% | 15.9 | 7.6 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1 | R +6.6 | R +0.4 | R +2.8 | 12.1 | 0.0 |
286 | 286 | Jeffrey Stonecash | 158 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 11.9 | 0.7 | B/C° | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 17.3 | 4.8 | 12.7 | 11.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1 | R +17.3 | R +0.4 | R +16.5 | 22.0 | 0.0 |
288 | 288 | Rainmaker Media Group | 276 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 11.1 | 0.7 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 100% | 100% | 12.7 | 5.2 | 7.7 | 11.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1 | D +12.7 | D +0.3 | D +8.6 | 0.0 | |
291 | 291 | 1892 Polling | 461 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -2.2 | 0.7 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.6 | 4.0 | -3.2 | -2.2 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | R +0.6 | R +0.0 | R +4.3 | 7.6 | 0.0 |
295 | 295 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | 68 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -1.8 | 0.8 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.5 | 6.2 | -1.6 | -1.8 | -0.1 | 0.8 | 1 | D +4.5 | D +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
302 | 302 | Research America Inc. | 282 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 3.1 | 0.8 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 33% | 14.4 | 7.4 | 7.2 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +0.1 | R +1.6 | 11.9 | 0.0 |
316 | 316 | Sacred Heart University | 453 | 1 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.8 | 0.9 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 0% | 0% | 5.6 | 5.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1 | R +5.6 | R +0.3 | R +8.8 | 6.4 | 0.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );