pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
430 rows sorted by Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) ▼ | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | 21 | Michigan State University | 463 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -7.6 | -0.6 | A/B° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.0 | 9.6 | -8.4 | -7.6 | -0.8 | -0.6 | 2 | R +0.5 | R +0.1 | R +1.5 | 0.0 | |
34 | 34 | Indiana University | 149 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -4.5 | -0.5 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.1 | -5.1 | -4.5 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +0.0 | D +4.1 | 0.0 | |
35 | 35 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | -0.5 | A/B° | 100% | 33% | 9.9 | 9.2 | 0.9 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
36 | 36 | Public Policy Institute of California | 262 | 13 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | -0.4 | A/B° | R +1.1 | 100% | 15% | 4.7 | 5.7 | -0.8 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 9 | R +4.4 | R +1.1 | R +1.5 | 0.0 | |
44 | 44 | University of Illinois at Chicago | 352 | 1 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | 6.9 | -0.3 | A/B° | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 14.1 | 5.4 | 8.9 | 6.9 | 0.1 | -0.3 | 1 | R +14.1 | R +0.2 | R +5.1 | 0.0 | |
78 | 78 | Montana State University Billings | 216 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.1 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 57% | 0% | 3.6 | 6.3 | -2.5 | -4.1 | -0.5 | 0.1 | 7 | D +3.0 | D +0.4 | D +2.6 | 0.0 | |
83 | 83 | Crawford Johnson & Northcott Inc. | 63 | 5 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.8 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 40% | 4.7 | 7.4 | -2.6 | -2.8 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 1 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
85 | 85 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.7 | 0.2 | B/C° | 67% | 33% | 6.3 | 8.6 | -2.1 | -3.7 | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
95 | 95 | Marshall Marketing & Communications | 196 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.5 | 0.2 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 6.6 | -3.6 | -2.5 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 3 | R +2.2 | R +0.2 | R +0.5 | 0.0 | |
103 | 103 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.1 | -2.4 | -3.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 2 | D +2.5 | D +0.2 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | |
107 | 107 | GBAO | 109 | 6 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | -1.9 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 75% | 0% | 3.7 | 6.0 | -2.1 | -1.9 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 6 | D +0.0 | D +0.0 | D +1.9 | 0.0 | |
108 | 108 | Hendrix College | 138 | 13 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -0.9 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +1.7 | 92% | 46% | 6.0 | 5.6 | 0.6 | -0.9 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 13 | D +4.7 | D +1.7 | R +3.0 | 0.0 | |
115 | 115 | MSR Group | 178 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.8 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.8 | -3.1 | -3.8 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 3 | D +3.5 | D +0.2 | D +1.3 | 0.0 | |
116 | 116 | North Star Opinion Research/Ayres, McHenry & Associates | 233 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.5 | 67% | 33% | 5.6 | 5.8 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 3 | R +5.6 | R +0.5 | R +5.3 | 0.0 | |
117 | 117 | Victory Research | 437 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.3 | 4.1 | -3.5 | -5.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 1 | D +0.3 | D +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
118 | 118 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.7 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 5.8 | -3.7 | -4.7 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | D +1.9 | D +0.1 | R +4.1 | 0.0 | |
119 | 119 | Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Martin Campaigns | 455 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 6.0 | -3.2 | -3.5 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | R +2.6 | R +0.1 | D +3.0 | 0.0 | |
120 | 120 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.2 | 0.3 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 7.0 | 9.1 | -2.0 | -2.2 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
124 | 124 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -6.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 8.2 | -6.0 | -6.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
127 | 127 | University of Wisconsin Milwaukee | 366 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.0 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 33% | 5.3 | 6.8 | -1.3 | -2.0 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 3 | R +5.3 | R +0.2 | R +2.1 | 0.0 | |
128 | 128 | Mercyhurst University | 422 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.7 | -4.8 | -5.1 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | R +0.7 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
132 | 132 | Fabrizio Ward | 90 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 33% | 33% | 5.7 | 6.2 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3 | D +2.1 | D +0.3 | R +4.5 | 0.0 | |
133 | 133 | Centre College | 47 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.4 | -1.3 | -1.6 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +3.9 | D +0.2 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
139 | 139 | Midwest Survey and Research | 209 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 33% | 7.3 | 5.9 | 1.6 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 3 | R +1.0 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
140 | 140 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 8.7 | 8.8 | 0.1 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
141 | 141 | Lincoln Institute | 170 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 75% | 0% | 4.1 | 5.1 | -0.8 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 2 | R +4.1 | R +0.1 | D +2.5 | 0.0 | |
142 | 142 | Southern Media & Opinion Research | 310 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.7 | 100% | 14% | 5.6 | 5.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 7 | D +3.2 | D +0.7 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
144 | 144 | QEV Analytics | 266 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | 0% | 0% | 7.3 | 6.5 | 1.0 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
145 | 145 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.3 | -4.3 | -5.9 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.8 | D +0.0 | R +13.0 | 0.0 | |
146 | 146 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | 0% | 0% | 6.8 | 10.6 | -3.7 | -3.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
147 | 147 | Winston Group | 385 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 6.3 | 6.7 | -0.2 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +6.3 | D +0.2 | R +8.0 | 0.0 | |
154 | 154 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 17 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 5.7 | -2.1 | -2.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +3.5 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
155 | 155 | Jim Meader (KELOLAND-TV) | 159 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 100% | 25% | 4.6 | 5.5 | -0.8 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 4 | D +4.6 | D +0.3 | D +4.4 | 0.0 | |
156 | 156 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 0.1 | 8.3 | -8.0 | -5.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
157 | 157 | University of Tennessee | 362 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -5.4 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.7 | R +0.1 | R +5.4 | 0.0 | |
158 | 158 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.7 | -3.8 | -3.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +0.0 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
160 | 160 | RMS Research | 273 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.7 | -5.6 | -5.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +0.9 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
162 | 162 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.8 | -3.0 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.6 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
163 | 163 | Red Sea Communications | 278 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 7.1 | -2.5 | -2.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +4.4 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
165 | 165 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 29 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.9 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +1.6 | D +0.1 | D +3.0 | 0.0 | |
166 | 166 | Dynamic Marketing Inc. | 83 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 6.2 | -3.0 | -4.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +3.0 | D +0.0 | R +7.5 | 0.0 | |
168 | 168 | Diversified Research Inc | 80 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.0 | 7.0 | -1.8 | -2.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +5.0 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
171 | 171 | Lauer Lalley Victoria Inc. | 168 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 6.6 | -4.7 | -3.9 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +1.7 | R +0.0 | D +4.0 | 0.0 | |
172 | 172 | Dartmouth College | 72 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 9.0 | 8.4 | 0.8 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
176 | 176 | Ohio State University | 236 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.7 | 5.1 | -1.3 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +3.7 | R +0.1 | R +7.3 | 0.0 | |
177 | 177 | Associated Industries of Florida | 18 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 50% | 0% | 3.4 | 4.5 | -0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +3.4 | D +0.3 | D +1.0 | 0.0 | |
179 | 179 | Market Trends Pacific | 190 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 50% | 0% | 4.6 | 5.6 | -0.8 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +4.6 | D +0.1 | D +2.5 | 0.0 | |
180 | 180 | Basswood Research | 24 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 10.7 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +13.1 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
181 | 181 | NRECA Market Research | 223 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 6.3 | 5.6 | 0.9 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +6.3 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
187 | 187 | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +5.5 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
195 | 195 | Cromer Group | 65 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.4 | -1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | R +3.9 | R +0.1 | R +3.8 | 0.0 | |
196 | 196 | Strategic Services | 319 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 5.5 | 5.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +5.5 | D +0.1 | D +2.0 | 0.0 | |
200 | 200 | University of Nevada Las Vegas | 356 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.8 | 0.5 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 9.0 | 8.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
201 | 201 | Victoria Research & Consulting | 369 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.2 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 50% | 0% | 8.1 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +8.1 | D +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
205 | 205 | Clarus Research Group | 53 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.7 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.6 | 100% | 33% | 6.8 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3 | D +6.8 | D +0.6 | D +2.2 | 0.0 | |
212 | 212 | Val Smith | 367 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.9 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 8.5 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | R +8.5 | R +0.2 | R +15.0 | 0.0 | |
219 | 219 | A&A Research | 2 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 3.7 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 10.1 | 6.4 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +10.1 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
221 | 221 | TMR Research | 328 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 2.7 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 0% | 50% | 7.8 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2 | D +7.8 | D +0.2 | D +6.7 | 0.0 | |
222 | 222 | California State University, Bakersfield | 41 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 4.4 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 9.9 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +9.9 | R +0.1 | R +14.0 | 0.0 | |
226 | 226 | Tulsa Surveys | 341 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 5.5 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 11.9 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +11.9 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
228 | 228 | Marketing Research Institute | 192 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 4.6 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 7.4 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +7.4 | R +0.1 | R +7.3 | 0.0 | |
229 | 229 | Riley Research Associates | 290 | 7 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | -2.3 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.6 | -2.8 | -2.3 | -0.3 | 0.5 | 7 | R +0.6 | R +0.1 | R +1.4 | 0.0 | |
230 | 230 | Feldman Group | 93 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 4.0 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 10.8 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | D +10.8 | D +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
236 | 236 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | 16 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 5.8 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 13.7 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +13.7 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
241 | 241 | MarketAide Services Inc. | 191 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 6.1 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 11.2 | 6.6 | 4.8 | 6.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | D +11.2 | D +0.2 | D +9.5 | 0.0 | |
247 | 247 | Minnesota State University Moorhead | 211 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 2.0 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 100% | 75% | 9.3 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3 | D +5.9 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | ||
256 | 256 | Glover Park Group | 120 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 4.4 | 0.6 | B/C° | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 11.4 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1 | R +11.4 | R +0.4 | R +8.0 | 0.0 | |
259 | 259 | Wiese Research Associates Inc. | 382 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.3 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +1.0 | 100% | 50% | 8.2 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 6 | D +5.9 | D +1.0 | D +4.1 | 0.0 | |
263 | 263 | Lauer Johnson Research | 167 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 7.2 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 13.8 | 6.4 | 7.6 | 7.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1 | D +13.8 | D +0.3 | D +17.0 | 0.0 | |
271 | 271 | Data West Polling | 74 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 6.0 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 50% | 100% | 13.1 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2 | D +13.1 | D +0.4 | D +7.5 | 0.0 | |
278 | 278 | Abacus Associates | 6 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 4.8 | 0.7 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 50% | 100% | 12.1 | 6.5 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2 | R +0.5 | R +0.0 | D +6.5 | 0.0 | |
279 | 279 | WCIA-TV | 373 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 9.6 | 0.7 | B/C° | R +0.5 | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 6.7 | 11.8 | 9.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2 | R +18.3 | R +0.5 | R +8.8 | 0.0 | |
288 | 288 | Rainmaker Media Group | 276 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 11.1 | 0.7 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 100% | 100% | 12.7 | 5.2 | 7.7 | 11.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1 | D +12.7 | D +0.3 | D +8.6 | 0.0 | |
292 | 292 | East Tennessee State University | 456 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 3.5 | 0.8 | B/C° | D +1.0 | 75% | 100% | 9.9 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2 | D +9.9 | D +1.0 | D +3.9 | 0.0 | |
295 | 295 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | 68 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -1.8 | 0.8 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.5 | 6.2 | -1.6 | -1.8 | -0.1 | 0.8 | 1 | D +4.5 | D +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
306 | 306 | Massie & Associates | 199 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 15.2 | 0.8 | B/C° | R +0.6 | 0% | 100% | 23.9 | 7.0 | 17.1 | 15.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2 | R +23.9 | R +0.6 | 0.0 | ||
315 | 315 | R.L. Repass & Partners | 268 | 1 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.8 | 0.9 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 11.2 | 9.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
322 | 322 | Momentum Analysis | 214 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 7.1 | 0.9 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 33% | 100% | 13.7 | 6.5 | 7.4 | 7.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 3 | D +5.7 | D +0.4 | D +2.8 | 0.0 | |
329 | 329 | Harper Polling/Clarity Campaign Labs | 513 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 2.0 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 0% | 0% | 7.0 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1 | D +7.0 | D +0.4 | D +4.8 | 0.0 | |
333 | 333 | University of Texas | 363 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | -5.0 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 5.6 | -4.3 | -5.0 | -0.6 | 1.0 | 4 | D +1.1 | D +0.1 | D +2.8 | 0.0 | |
342 | 342 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.9 | 1.1 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 7.1 | -5.8 | -3.9 | -0.3 | 1.1 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
359 | 359 | Victory Enterprises | 525 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 9.4 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.6 | 0% | 100% | 17.3 | 6.7 | 10.9 | 9.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1 | R +17.3 | R +0.6 | 0.0 | ||
363 | 363 | Pacific Market Research | 459 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | -0.1 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.7 | 100% | 50% | 7.5 | 6.6 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2 | R +7.5 | R +0.7 | R +0.9 | 0.0 | |
364 | 364 | Craciun Research Group | 61 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 16.9 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.9 | 0% | 100% | 18.7 | 6.2 | 12.7 | 16.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1 | D +18.7 | D +0.9 | D +11.3 | 0.0 | |
369 | 369 | AFL-CIO | 526 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 4.9 | -3.5 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +1.2 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
371 | 371 | Cranford & Associates | 62 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -3.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.5 | -2.8 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | D +2.5 | D +0.1 | D +9.5 | 0.0 | |
372 | 372 | Rivercity Polling | 291 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.0 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 6.7 | 7.6 | -0.8 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +6.7 | R +0.2 | R +11.5 | 0.0 | |
378 | 378 | Triumph Campaigns | 339 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.4 | 1.3 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | R +4.2 | R +0.2 | R +5.0 | 0.0 | |
379 | 379 | Rossman Group | 294 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.2 | 1.3 | C/D° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 6.5 | -2.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | D +4.2 | D +0.1 | D +4.7 | 0.0 | |
383 | 383 | TargetPoint | 331 | 3 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 4.1 | 1.3 | C/D° | 83% | 100% | 14.0 | 7.7 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
385 | 385 | BWD Global | 527 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.8 | 1.3 | C/D° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 4.8 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | R +4.4 | R +0.2 | R +5.3 | 0.0 | |
399 | 399 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.0 | 1.4 | C/D° | 0% | 100% | 21.6 | 7.5 | 14.3 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
400 | 400 | Zata3 | 392 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.1 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 10.2 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 2 | R +4.0 | R +0.2 | D +0.0 | 0.0 | |
403 | 403 | GCR & Associates | 110 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 6.1 | 1.5 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 7.8 | 10.7 | 6.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
406 | 406 | Glascock Group | 116 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 6.3 | 1.5 | C/D° | R +0.5 | 0% | 100% | 12.1 | 4.4 | 7.9 | 6.3 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1 | R +12.1 | R +0.5 | 0.0 | ||
407 | 407 | GaPundit.com | 111 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.8 | 1.5 | C/D° | D +0.6 | 25% | 100% | 8.3 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +0.6 | D +3.1 | 0.0 | |
410 | 410 | Baldwin Wallace University | 401 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 3.8 | 1.6 | C/D° | D +0.8 | 50% | 50% | 8.3 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +0.8 | D +3.5 | 0.0 | |
412 | 412 | Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne | 150 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 9.7 | 1.6 | C/D° | 0% | 100% | 23.5 | 8.9 | 14.7 | 9.7 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
424 | 424 | Brigham Young University | 34 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 8.2 | 2.3 | C/D° | D +2.4 | 75% | 75% | 16.5 | 8.7 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 4 | D +16.5 | D +2.4 | D +16.5 | 0.0 | |
430 | 430 | Jayhawk Consulting | 157 | 2 | no | no | Landline | no | 26.3 | 3.6 | C/D° | D +3.4 | 50% | 100% | 37.6 | 5.8 | 32.0 | 26.3 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 2 | D +37.6 | D +3.4 | D +10.9 | 0.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );