pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
430 rows sorted by House Effect
This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)
Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect ▼ | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
35 | 35 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | -0.5 | A/B° | 100% | 33% | 9.9 | 9.2 | 0.9 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
83 | 83 | Crawford Johnson & Northcott Inc. | 63 | 5 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.8 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 40% | 4.7 | 7.4 | -2.6 | -2.8 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 1 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
85 | 85 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.7 | 0.2 | B/C° | 67% | 33% | 6.3 | 8.6 | -2.1 | -3.7 | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
117 | 117 | Victory Research | 437 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.3 | 4.1 | -3.5 | -5.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 1 | D +0.3 | D +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
120 | 120 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.2 | 0.3 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 7.0 | 9.1 | -2.0 | -2.2 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
121 | 121 | Personal Marketing Research | 252 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.1 | 0.3 | B/C° | 67% | 33% | 6.2 | 8.0 | -1.6 | -2.1 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0 | 6.1 | 0.0 | ||||
124 | 124 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -6.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 8.2 | -6.0 | -6.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
128 | 128 | Mercyhurst University | 422 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.7 | -4.8 | -5.1 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | R +0.7 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
139 | 139 | Midwest Survey and Research | 209 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 33% | 7.3 | 5.9 | 1.6 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 3 | R +1.0 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
140 | 140 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 8.7 | 8.8 | 0.1 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
144 | 144 | QEV Analytics | 266 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | 0% | 0% | 7.3 | 6.5 | 1.0 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
146 | 146 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | 0% | 0% | 6.8 | 10.6 | -3.7 | -3.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
152 | 152 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 5.7 | 8.4 | -2.6 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 9.2 | 0.0 | ||||
154 | 154 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 17 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 5.7 | -2.1 | -2.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +3.5 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
156 | 156 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 0.1 | 8.3 | -8.0 | -5.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
160 | 160 | RMS Research | 273 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.7 | -5.6 | -5.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +0.9 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
162 | 162 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.8 | -3.0 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.6 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
163 | 163 | Red Sea Communications | 278 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 7.1 | -2.5 | -2.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +4.4 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
167 | 167 | Vox Populi Polling | 529 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 8.3 | -4.6 | -3.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 6.7 | 0.0 | ||||
168 | 168 | Diversified Research Inc | 80 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.0 | 7.0 | -1.8 | -2.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +5.0 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
172 | 172 | Dartmouth College | 72 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 9.0 | 8.4 | 0.8 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
180 | 180 | Basswood Research | 24 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 10.7 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +13.1 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
181 | 181 | NRECA Market Research | 223 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 6.3 | 5.6 | 0.9 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +6.3 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
187 | 187 | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +5.5 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
193 | 193 | Meeting Street Research | 204 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +2.7 | D +0.1 | 3.0 | 1.39 | |
200 | 200 | University of Nevada Las Vegas | 356 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.8 | 0.5 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 9.0 | 8.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
201 | 201 | Victoria Research & Consulting | 369 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.2 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 50% | 0% | 8.1 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +8.1 | D +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
204 | 204 | Public Strategies Inc. | 264 | 6 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | 0.5 | B/C° | 100% | 33% | 7.9 | 8.4 | -0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0 | 7.6 | 0.0 | ||||
216 | 216 | Overtime Politics | 247 | 12 | no | yes | Live | yes | 0.6 | 0.5 | F | 67% | 42% | 9.8 | 8.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 | 6.8 | 0.0 | ||||
219 | 219 | A&A Research | 2 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 3.7 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 10.1 | 6.4 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +10.1 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
226 | 226 | Tulsa Surveys | 341 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 5.5 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 11.9 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +11.9 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
230 | 230 | Feldman Group | 93 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 4.0 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 10.8 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | D +10.8 | D +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
236 | 236 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | 16 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 5.8 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 13.7 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +13.7 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
244 | 244 | Ron Lester and Associates | 293 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 3.3 | 0.6 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 18.9 | 7.8 | 11.3 | 3.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.34 | ||||
247 | 247 | Minnesota State University Moorhead | 211 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 2.0 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 100% | 75% | 9.3 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3 | D +5.9 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | ||
261 | 261 | Baselice & Associates | 23 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 4.4 | 0.6 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 10.0 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2 | R +3.0 | R +0.1 | 4.0 | 0.23 | |
273 | 273 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 82 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -2.7 | 0.6 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 5.1 | 8.0 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0 | 9.1 | 0.0 | ||||
281 | 281 | Schapiro Group | 300 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 5.0 | 0.7 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 20.0 | 8.0 | 12.2 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.36 | ||||
295 | 295 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | 68 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -1.8 | 0.8 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.5 | 6.2 | -1.6 | -1.8 | -0.1 | 0.8 | 1 | D +4.5 | D +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
306 | 306 | Massie & Associates | 199 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 15.2 | 0.8 | B/C° | R +0.6 | 0% | 100% | 23.9 | 7.0 | 17.1 | 15.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2 | R +23.9 | R +0.6 | 0.0 | ||
315 | 315 | R.L. Repass & Partners | 268 | 1 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.8 | 0.9 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 11.2 | 9.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
334 | 334 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | Landline | no | -3.0 | 1.0 | B/C° | 50% | 50% | 6.4 | 7.8 | -1.3 | -3.0 | -0.3 | 1.0 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.03 | ||||
336 | 336 | IVR Polls | 146 | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.1 | 1.0 | B/C° | 100% | 25% | 4.1 | 8.0 | -3.8 | -2.1 | -0.2 | 1.0 | 0 | 8.1 | 0.0 | ||||
342 | 342 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.9 | 1.1 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 7.1 | -5.8 | -3.9 | -0.3 | 1.1 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
358 | 358 | Data for Progress | 522 | 1 | no | no | Text | no | -1.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 3.7 | -0.7 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 0 | 5.3 | 0.0 | ||||
359 | 359 | Victory Enterprises | 525 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 9.4 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.6 | 0% | 100% | 17.3 | 6.7 | 10.9 | 9.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1 | R +17.3 | R +0.6 | 0.0 | ||
368 | 368 | Revily | 284 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.8 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.5 | 4.8 | -4.1 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +0.5 | R +0.0 | 2.0 | 1.58 | |
369 | 369 | AFL-CIO | 526 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 4.9 | -3.5 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +1.2 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
373 | 373 | War Room Logistics | 374 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.3 | 1.2 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 4.5 | 7.1 | -2.4 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0 | 11.3 | 0.0 | ||||
376 | 376 | BIGresearch | 19 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -2.9 | 1.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1.8 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 1.3 | 1 | D +2.0 | D +0.0 | 6.4 | 0.0 | |
383 | 383 | TargetPoint | 331 | 3 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 4.1 | 1.3 | C/D° | 83% | 100% | 14.0 | 7.7 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
386 | 386 | Liberty Opinion Research | 169 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.6 | 1.3 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 5.7 | 6.9 | -1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.51 | ||||
392 | 392 | TeleResearch Corporation | 335 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.3 | 1.4 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 8.6 | 7.7 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0 | 11.3 | 0.0 | ||||
398 | 398 | ResearchNow | 283 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 0.5 | 1.4 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 9.4 | 8.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | ||||
399 | 399 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.0 | 1.4 | C/D° | 0% | 100% | 21.6 | 7.5 | 14.3 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
403 | 403 | GCR & Associates | 110 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 6.1 | 1.5 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 7.8 | 10.7 | 6.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
406 | 406 | Glascock Group | 116 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 6.3 | 1.5 | C/D° | R +0.5 | 0% | 100% | 12.1 | 4.4 | 7.9 | 6.3 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1 | R +12.1 | R +0.5 | 0.0 | ||
408 | 408 | Spry Strategies | 508 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 10.0 | 1.5 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 14.6 | 4.8 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0 | 19.4 | 0.0 | ||||
412 | 412 | Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne | 150 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 9.7 | 1.6 | C/D° | 0% | 100% | 23.5 | 8.9 | 14.7 | 9.7 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
423 | 423 | CPEC LLC | 38 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.5 | 2.1 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 16.2 | 8.0 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 11.6 | 0.0 | ||||
275 | 275 | Strategic Research Associates | 462 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.0 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 80% | 20% | 5.0 | 5.5 | -0.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 5 | D +1.9 | D +0.4 | D +0.0 | 3.3 | 0.36 |
332 | 332 | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 464 | no | no | Online | no | 0.5 | 1.0 | C | R +0.8 | 78% | 30% | 5.6 | 5.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 364 | R +1.0 | R +0.8 | D +0.0 | 5.1 | 0.0 |
400 | 400 | Zata3 | 392 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.1 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 10.2 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 2 | R +4.0 | R +0.2 | D +0.0 | 0.0 | |
178 | 178 | Global Strategy Group/National Research (Philadelphia Inquirer) | 119 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 25% | 3.0 | 5.3 | -2.1 | -1.6 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 4 | R +2.7 | R +0.3 | D +0.1 | 2.3 | 1.93 |
182 | 182 | Tel Opinion Research | 334 | 12 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 96% | 17% | 4.7 | 5.8 | -0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 10 | R +0.1 | R +0.0 | D +0.1 | 4.4 | 0.24 |
2 | 2 | Selzer & Co. | 304 | 44 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.9 | -1.4 | A+ | D +0.1 | 84% | 25% | 4.2 | 5.7 | -1.3 | -1.9 | -1.1 | -1.4 | 31 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | D +0.2 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
7 | 7 | Muhlenberg College | 219 | 29 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.2 | -1.0 | A+ | R +0.2 | 84% | 7% | 3.4 | 6.0 | -2.5 | -2.2 | -1.2 | -1.0 | 28 | R +0.4 | R +0.2 | D +0.2 | 3.9 | 0.84 |
58 | 58 | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 98 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | -0.1 | B+ | D +0.1 | 72% | 24% | 5.4 | 6.0 | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 70 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | D +0.2 | 4.6 | 0.2 |
330 | 330 | Schroth, Eldon & Associates | 302 | 12 | no | no | Landline | no | -0.6 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.6 | 83% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.4 | -2.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 1.0 | 10 | D +2.2 | D +0.6 | D +0.2 | 3.5 | 0.49 |
12 | 12 | National Journal | 224 | 12 | yes | yes | Live | no | -3.2 | -0.9 | A/B° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 6.2 | -3.4 | -3.2 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 12 | R +0.6 | R +0.2 | D +0.3 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
103 | 103 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.1 | -2.4 | -3.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 2 | D +2.5 | D +0.2 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | |
151 | 151 | Manhattanville College | 181 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 33% | 6.5 | 6.6 | 0.1 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | R +8.2 | R +0.2 | D +0.3 | 7.2 | 0.0 |
170 | 170 | YouGov | 391 | 395 | no | no | Online | no | -0.1 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.4 | 89% | 30% | 5.0 | 5.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 347 | D +0.4 | D +0.4 | D +0.3 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
199 | 199 | DHM Research | 76 | 14 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | -1.1 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 86% | 7% | 4.1 | 5.9 | -1.6 | -1.1 | -0.3 | 0.5 | 12 | R +0.3 | R +0.1 | D +0.3 | 4.5 | 0.53 |
321 | 321 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | 326 | 38 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.8 | 0.9 | C | D +1.0 | 76% | 29% | 5.8 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 33 | D +1.7 | D +1.0 | D +0.3 | 4.9 | 0.0 |
396 | 396 | Targoz Market Research | 454 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 1.4 | 1.4 | C/D° | D +0.8 | 88% | 50% | 6.8 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 4 | D +4.6 | D +0.8 | D +0.3 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
9 | 9 | Siena College/New York Times Upshot | 448 | 57 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.3 | -1.0 | A+ | R +0.3 | 69% | 11% | 3.9 | 5.7 | -1.7 | -1.3 | -1.0 | -1.0 | 57 | R +0.4 | R +0.3 | D +0.4 | 4.2 | 0.21 |
131 | 131 | Market Decisions | 184 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 25% | 5.2 | 5.2 | 0.1 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 4 | R +0.5 | R +0.0 | D +0.4 | 6.1 | 0.51 |
272 | 272 | PSB Research | 250 | 18 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.8 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +2.4 | 67% | 39% | 7.6 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 18 | D +6.7 | D +2.4 | D +0.4 | 1.0 | 0.15 |
325 | 325 | Florida Atlantic University | 97 | 6 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | -0.8 | 0.9 | B/C° | D +0.5 | 67% | 0% | 3.7 | 6.4 | -2.5 | -0.8 | -0.2 | 0.9 | 4 | D +2.9 | D +0.5 | D +0.4 | 4.5 | 0.25 |
54 | 54 | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 204 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | -0.2 | B+ | D +0.2 | 83% | 25% | 4.6 | 5.5 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 152 | D +0.2 | D +0.2 | D +0.5 | 5.2 | 0.0 |
86 | 86 | McKeon & Associates | 202 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.1 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 67% | 33% | 2.9 | 5.9 | -2.8 | -4.1 | -0.5 | 0.2 | 2 | D +3.0 | D +0.2 | D +0.5 | 12.8 | 0.0 |
220 | 220 | Decision Forecasting | 77 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 1.6 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 67% | 8.1 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3 | R +1.4 | R +0.1 | D +0.5 | 4.3 | 0.14 |
242 | 242 | Opinion Savvy/InsiderAdvantage | 243 | 118 | yes | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.4 | 0.6 | B- | D +1.2 | 70% | 42% | 7.4 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 42 | D +1.8 | D +1.2 | D +0.5 | 5.8 | 0.0 |
5 | 5 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | 94 | 25 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.0 | -1.2 | A/B° | R +1.0 | 100% | 16% | 3.9 | 5.5 | -1.5 | -2.0 | -0.8 | -1.2 | 18 | R +3.3 | R +1.0 | D +0.6 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
48 | 48 | Western New England University | 380 | 14 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.1 | -0.3 | A/B° | R +1.2 | 89% | 29% | 5.5 | 6.2 | -0.5 | -1.1 | -0.4 | -0.3 | 13 | R +3.2 | R +1.2 | D +0.6 | 3.0 | 1.32 |
56 | 56 | EPIC-MRA | 84 | 47 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | -0.2 | B+ | R +0.2 | 81% | 23% | 5.0 | 6.0 | -0.8 | -0.9 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 42 | R +0.4 | R +0.2 | D +0.6 | 4.5 | 0.3 |
208 | 208 | Zimmerman & Associates/Marketing Intelligence | 394 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.7 | 5.7 | -0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3 | D +3.2 | D +0.2 | D +0.6 | 2.2 | 0.57 |
210 | 210 | Rice University | 286 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.1 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 5.9 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2 | D +5.9 | D +0.2 | D +0.6 | 2.3 | 1.32 |
13 | 13 | Stockton University | 317 | 10 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.4 | -0.8 | A/B° | D +0.7 | 100% | 20% | 3.9 | 5.3 | -1.2 | -1.4 | -0.5 | -0.8 | 10 | D +2.2 | D +0.7 | D +0.7 | 6.1 | 0.0 |
49 | 49 | Abt Associates | 7 | 8 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | -0.2 | A/B° | D +0.8 | 88% | 25% | 4.1 | 5.2 | -0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 7 | D +3.8 | D +0.8 | D +0.7 | 4.0 | 0.49 |
110 | 110 | Dittman Research | 79 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.8 | 100% | 33% | 5.9 | 6.1 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 6 | D +6.1 | D +0.8 | D +0.7 | 10.9 | 0.0 |
175 | 175 | University of Georgia | 350 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.4 | 50% | 50% | 5.7 | 5.2 | 0.7 | -0.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 2 | R +4.1 | R +0.4 | D +0.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
296 | 296 | Multi-Quest International | 220 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -2.4 | 0.8 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 50% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.8 | -2.6 | -2.4 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 2 | R +1.1 | R +0.1 | D +0.7 | 3.2 | 1.35 |
311 | 311 | Harris Insights & Analytics | 133 | 169 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.8 | 0.9 | C+ | R +1.3 | 83% | 49% | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 169 | R +1.5 | R +1.3 | D +0.7 | 4.0 | 0.0 |
319 | 319 | Marketing Workshop | 194 | 7 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 3.4 | 0.9 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 57% | 57% | 9.7 | 5.5 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 7 | D +1.6 | D +0.2 | D +0.7 | 2.6 | 1.83 |
25 | 25 | Temple University | 336 | 6 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -1.4 | -0.6 | A/B° | R +0.2 | 100% | 17% | 3.7 | 5.2 | -1.3 | -1.4 | -0.2 | -0.6 | 5 | R +2.5 | R +0.2 | D +0.8 | 3.6 | 0.11 |
29 | 29 | Los Angeles Times | 172 | 38 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | -0.5 | A/B° | R +0.3 | 86% | 26% | 5.0 | 6.3 | -1.2 | -0.5 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 23 | R +1.0 | R +0.3 | D +0.8 | 5.3 | 0.06 |
88 | 88 | Research Co. | 449 | 20 | no | no | Online | no | -2.3 | 0.2 | B | R +0.6 | 88% | 10% | 3.8 | 6.0 | -2.1 | -2.3 | -1.2 | 0.2 | 20 | R +1.1 | R +0.6 | D +0.8 | 3.7 | 1.17 |
192 | 192 | Becker Institute | 26 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 67% | 67% | 7.6 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3 | D +7.6 | D +0.4 | D +0.8 | 11.5 | 0.0 |
Advanced export
JSON shape: default, array, newline-delimited
CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );