pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
430 rows sorted by Live Caller With Cellphones
This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)
Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones ▼ | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | 28 | Emerson College | 88 | 142 | yes | no | IVR/Online | no | -1.1 | -0.5 | A- | R +0.0 | 81% | 18% | 5.0 | 6.1 | -0.9 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -0.5 | 113 | R +0.0 | R +0.0 | R +1.4 | 4.8 | 0.23 |
59 | 59 | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 30 | no | no | Online | no | -2.5 | -0.1 | B+ | R +1.3 | 93% | 7% | 3.2 | 5.6 | -2.2 | -2.5 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 30 | R +2.6 | R +1.3 | D +0.9 | 3.1 | 0.82 |
88 | 88 | Research Co. | 449 | 20 | no | no | Online | no | -2.3 | 0.2 | B | R +0.6 | 88% | 10% | 3.8 | 6.0 | -2.1 | -2.3 | -1.2 | 0.2 | 20 | R +1.1 | R +0.6 | D +0.8 | 3.7 | 1.17 |
92 | 92 | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 418 | no | no | IVR/Online/Text | no | -0.3 | 0.2 | B | D +0.3 | 80% | 31% | 5.0 | 5.4 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 298 | D +0.3 | D +0.3 | D +0.9 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
148 | 148 | Insights West | 151 | 9 | no | no | Online | no | -3.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 94% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.7 | -3.1 | -3.6 | -1.1 | 0.4 | 8 | R +0.4 | R +0.1 | R +0.9 | 3.4 | 1.14 |
153 | 153 | Knowledge Networks | 164 | 3 | yes | no | Online | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 33% | 4.1 | 4.5 | -0.2 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3 | R +4.1 | R +0.3 | R +0.3 | 3.2 | 0.08 |
170 | 170 | YouGov | 391 | 395 | no | no | Online | no | -0.1 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.4 | 89% | 30% | 5.0 | 5.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 347 | D +0.4 | D +0.4 | D +0.3 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
197 | 197 | Vox Populi Polling | 372 | 19 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | -0.9 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 74% | 16% | 4.3 | 5.4 | -0.9 | -0.9 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 19 | D +0.6 | D +0.3 | R +1.4 | 4.8 | 0.14 |
198 | 198 | New England College | 228 | 15 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.2 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.7 | 77% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.0 | -1.8 | -1.2 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 15 | R +1.9 | R +0.7 | R +3.3 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
203 | 203 | GfK Group | 115 | 21 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.1 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 88% | 19% | 3.9 | 5.0 | -0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 21 | D +0.6 | D +0.2 | D +1.2 | 4.2 | 0.44 |
234 | 234 | Ipsos | 154 | 66 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.3 | 0.5 | B- | D +0.2 | 71% | 23% | 4.5 | 4.8 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 60 | D +0.3 | D +0.2 | D +0.8 | 3.5 | 0.16 |
242 | 242 | Opinion Savvy/InsiderAdvantage | 243 | 118 | yes | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.4 | 0.6 | B- | D +1.2 | 70% | 42% | 7.4 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 42 | D +1.8 | D +1.2 | D +0.5 | 5.8 | 0.0 |
272 | 272 | PSB Research | 250 | 18 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.8 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +2.4 | 67% | 39% | 7.6 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 18 | D +6.7 | D +2.4 | D +0.4 | 1.0 | 0.15 |
301 | 301 | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 277 | 716 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.3 | 0.8 | C+ | R +1.5 | 78% | 30% | 5.3 | 5.5 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 576 | R +1.6 | R +1.5 | R +1.2 | 4.7 | 0.07 |
303 | 303 | St. Pete Polls | 314 | 21 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.1 | 0.8 | C+ | R +0.5 | 50% | 24% | 3.8 | 4.5 | -0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 21 | R +0.9 | R +0.5 | R +1.3 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
310 | 310 | Capital Survey Research Center | 44 | 11 | no | no | Landline | no | -0.9 | 0.9 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 36% | 55% | 7.8 | 7.2 | 0.8 | -0.9 | -0.2 | 0.9 | 4 | D +0.6 | D +0.0 | D +1.1 | 8.7 | 0.0 |
311 | 311 | Harris Insights & Analytics | 133 | 169 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.8 | 0.9 | C+ | R +1.3 | 83% | 49% | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 169 | R +1.5 | R +1.3 | D +0.7 | 4.0 | 0.0 |
313 | 313 | CVOTER International | 40 | 5 | no | no | Online | no | -1.6 | 0.9 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 2.1 | 3.3 | -1.1 | -1.6 | -0.3 | 0.9 | 5 | R +1.8 | R +0.3 | R +0.3 | 3.1 | 0.08 |
317 | 317 | Lucid | 175 | 15 | no | no | Online | no | 0.1 | 0.9 | B/C° | D +0.9 | 100% | 13% | 2.6 | 3.5 | -0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 15 | D +2.0 | D +0.9 | D +1.6 | 3.9 | 0.0 |
323 | 323 | Praecones Analytica | 257 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | -5.4 | 0.9 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 33% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.4 | -4.4 | -5.4 | -0.7 | 0.9 | 3 | R +1.8 | R +0.2 | R +5.3 | 5.1 | 0.77 |
325 | 325 | Florida Atlantic University | 97 | 6 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | -0.8 | 0.9 | B/C° | D +0.5 | 67% | 0% | 3.7 | 6.4 | -2.5 | -0.8 | -0.2 | 0.9 | 4 | D +2.9 | D +0.5 | D +0.4 | 4.5 | 0.25 |
330 | 330 | Schroth, Eldon & Associates | 302 | 12 | no | no | Landline | no | -0.6 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.6 | 83% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.4 | -2.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 1.0 | 10 | D +2.2 | D +0.6 | D +0.2 | 3.5 | 0.49 |
331 | 331 | Morning Consult | 218 | 12 | no | no | Online | no | 0.2 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 75% | 25% | 3.0 | 3.5 | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 12 | D +0.6 | D +0.2 | R +0.6 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
332 | 332 | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 464 | no | no | Online | no | 0.5 | 1.0 | C | R +0.8 | 78% | 30% | 5.6 | 5.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 364 | R +1.0 | R +0.8 | D +0.0 | 5.1 | 0.0 |
333 | 333 | University of Texas | 363 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | -5.0 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 5.6 | -4.3 | -5.0 | -0.6 | 1.0 | 4 | D +1.1 | D +0.1 | D +2.8 | 0.0 | |
334 | 334 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | Landline | no | -3.0 | 1.0 | B/C° | 50% | 50% | 6.4 | 7.8 | -1.3 | -3.0 | -0.3 | 1.0 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.03 | ||||
336 | 336 | IVR Polls | 146 | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.1 | 1.0 | B/C° | 100% | 25% | 4.1 | 8.0 | -3.8 | -2.1 | -0.2 | 1.0 | 0 | 8.1 | 0.0 | ||||
337 | 337 | Change Research | 48 | 57 | no | no | Online | no | 0.6 | 1.0 | C | D +1.1 | 78% | 33% | 5.5 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 56 | D +1.5 | D +1.1 | D +1.7 | 5.9 | 0.0 |
341 | 341 | Strategic National | 318 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -6.9 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 25% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.1 | -4.2 | -6.9 | -0.6 | 1.1 | 2 | D +0.7 | D +0.1 | R +4.8 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
342 | 342 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.9 | 1.1 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 7.1 | -5.8 | -3.9 | -0.3 | 1.1 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
347 | 347 | Ogden & Fry | 425 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -5.8 | 1.1 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 4.4 | -3.5 | -5.8 | -0.4 | 1.1 | 2 | R +0.2 | R +0.0 | R +6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 |
348 | 348 | Columbus Dispatch | 57 | 20 | no | no | no | 0.5 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +1.3 | 93% | 45% | 4.9 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 17 | D +3.6 | D +1.3 | D +3.3 | 5.6 | 0.0 | |
349 | 349 | OnPoint | 240 | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.3 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.3 | -3.5 | -2.3 | -0.2 | 1.1 | 4 | D +1.6 | D +0.1 | D +2.3 | 3.7 | 0.79 |
351 | 351 | M4 Strategies | 177 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | -4.4 | 1.1 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 3.1 | 3.3 | 0.0 | -4.4 | -0.3 | 1.1 | 2 | R +3.1 | R +0.2 | D +4.8 | 6.7 | 0.0 |
353 | 353 | BK Strategies | 20 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.0 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +0.5 | 67% | 33% | 3.8 | 3.7 | 0.2 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 1.1 | 3 | D +3.6 | D +0.5 | R +2.9 | 2.9 | 0.59 |
356 | 356 | USC Dornsife/LA Times | 343 | 6 | yes | no | Online | no | 3.5 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 67% | 83% | 5.3 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 6 | D +1.2 | D +0.3 | D +1.1 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
357 | 357 | Forward Strategies | 102 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.8 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.3 | 5.2 | -3.7 | -2.8 | -0.2 | 1.2 | 2 | D +1.3 | D +0.1 | D +3.4 | 3.4 | 1.1 |
358 | 358 | Data for Progress | 522 | 1 | no | no | Text | no | -1.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 3.7 | -0.7 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 0 | 5.3 | 0.0 | ||||
360 | 360 | CSP Polling | 39 | 1 | no | no | Online | yes | -2.5 | 1.2 | F | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.6 | -2.8 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | D +2.6 | D +0.1 | R +2.6 | 4.1 | 0.8 |
363 | 363 | Pacific Market Research | 459 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | -0.1 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.7 | 100% | 50% | 7.5 | 6.6 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2 | R +7.5 | R +0.7 | R +0.9 | 0.0 | |
365 | 365 | Constituent Dynamics | 58 | 7 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.3 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 86% | 57% | 7.4 | 7.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +1.3 | R +0.0 | D +2.3 | 10.9 | 0.0 |
366 | 366 | Purple Strategies | 265 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | -1.2 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.4 | 88% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.8 | -1.6 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 4 | R +3.0 | R +0.4 | R +0.0 | 2.0 | 1.32 |
368 | 368 | Revily | 284 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.8 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.5 | 4.8 | -4.1 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +0.5 | R +0.0 | 2.0 | 1.58 | |
369 | 369 | AFL-CIO | 526 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 4.9 | -3.5 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +1.2 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
370 | 370 | University of California, Berkeley | 457 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -0.9 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 100% | 5.9 | 4.6 | 1.5 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1 | R +5.9 | R +0.3 | D +2.7 | 3.9 | 0.0 |
371 | 371 | Cranford & Associates | 62 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -3.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.5 | -2.8 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | D +2.5 | D +0.1 | D +9.5 | 0.0 | |
372 | 372 | Rivercity Polling | 291 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.0 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 6.7 | 7.6 | -0.8 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +6.7 | R +0.2 | R +11.5 | 0.0 | |
373 | 373 | War Room Logistics | 374 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.3 | 1.2 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 4.5 | 7.1 | -2.4 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0 | 11.3 | 0.0 | ||||
374 | 374 | Diamond State Consulting Group | 78 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.5 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 4.9 | -0.6 | -1.5 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | D +4.2 | D +0.2 | R +5.0 | 5.0 | 0.62 |
375 | 375 | Maine People's Resource Center | 180 | 8 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.8 | 1.3 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 88% | 38% | 7.0 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 7 | D +1.7 | D +0.4 | R +2.0 | 6.5 | 0.0 |
376 | 376 | BIGresearch | 19 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -2.9 | 1.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1.8 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 1.3 | 1 | D +2.0 | D +0.0 | 6.4 | 0.0 | |
378 | 378 | Triumph Campaigns | 339 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.4 | 1.3 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | R +4.2 | R +0.2 | R +5.0 | 0.0 | |
379 | 379 | Rossman Group | 294 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.2 | 1.3 | C/D° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 6.5 | -2.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | D +4.2 | D +0.1 | D +4.7 | 0.0 | |
380 | 380 | Singularis Group | 306 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.8 | 1.3 | C/D° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.8 | 4.1 | -3.1 | -1.8 | -0.1 | 1.3 | 1 | R +0.8 | R +0.0 | D +2.0 | 2.0 | 2.38 |
382 | 382 | People's Pundit Daily | 251 | 3 | no | no | Online | yes | 1.0 | 1.3 | F | R +0.4 | 33% | 33% | 3.0 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 3 | R +3.0 | R +0.4 | R +4.8 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
385 | 385 | BWD Global | 527 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.8 | 1.3 | C/D° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 4.8 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | R +4.4 | R +0.2 | R +5.3 | 0.0 | |
386 | 386 | Liberty Opinion Research | 169 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.6 | 1.3 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 5.7 | 6.9 | -1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.51 | ||||
387 | 387 | Iona College | 152 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.0 | 1.3 | C/D° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 5.5 | -0.9 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | D +4.4 | D +0.1 | R +1.7 | 1.5 | 2.26 |
388 | 388 | CrossTarget | 66 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | 1.3 | C/D° | R +0.5 | 100% | 50% | 7.7 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2 | R +7.7 | R +0.5 | R +13.3 | 15.8 | 0.0 |
389 | 389 | co/efficient | 514 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Text | no | 0.4 | 1.4 | C/D° | D +0.2 | 0% | 0% | 3.5 | 4.1 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1 | D +3.5 | D +0.2 | R +0.5 | 3.0 | 1.04 |
391 | 391 | RAND (American Life Panel) | 270 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | 1.4 | C/D° | D +0.2 | 100% | 25% | 2.7 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4 | D +1.4 | D +0.2 | D +3.8 | 4.3 | 0.0 |
392 | 392 | TeleResearch Corporation | 335 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.3 | 1.4 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 8.6 | 7.7 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0 | 11.3 | 0.0 | ||||
394 | 394 | MarblePort | 182 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.6 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.5 | 100% | 100% | 5.6 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 2 | R +5.6 | R +0.5 | R +7.2 | 6.3 | 0.0 |
395 | 395 | Datamar | 75 | 8 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.3 | 69% | 38% | 6.3 | 5.9 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5 | R +2.9 | R +0.3 | R +3.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 |
396 | 396 | Targoz Market Research | 454 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 1.4 | 1.4 | C/D° | D +0.8 | 88% | 50% | 6.8 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 4 | D +4.6 | D +0.8 | D +0.3 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
397 | 397 | Great Lakes Strategies Group | 125 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.1 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 7.6 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1 | R +7.6 | R +0.2 | R +10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 |
398 | 398 | ResearchNow | 283 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 0.5 | 1.4 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 9.4 | 8.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | ||||
399 | 399 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.0 | 1.4 | C/D° | 0% | 100% | 21.6 | 7.5 | 14.3 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
400 | 400 | Zata3 | 392 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.1 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 10.2 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 2 | R +4.0 | R +0.2 | D +0.0 | 0.0 | |
403 | 403 | GCR & Associates | 110 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 6.1 | 1.5 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 7.8 | 10.7 | 6.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
404 | 404 | Slingshot Strategies | 451 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 4.7 | 1.5 | C/D° | D +0.5 | 100% | 100% | 9.3 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1 | D +9.3 | D +0.5 | D +9.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
405 | 405 | Strategy Research | 322 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 5.2 | 1.5 | C/D° | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 8.6 | 3.2 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1 | R +8.6 | R +0.4 | R +4.7 | 3.8 | 0.0 |
406 | 406 | Glascock Group | 116 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 6.3 | 1.5 | C/D° | R +0.5 | 0% | 100% | 12.1 | 4.4 | 7.9 | 6.3 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1 | R +12.1 | R +0.5 | 0.0 | ||
407 | 407 | GaPundit.com | 111 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.8 | 1.5 | C/D° | D +0.6 | 25% | 100% | 8.3 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +0.6 | D +3.1 | 0.0 | |
410 | 410 | Baldwin Wallace University | 401 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 3.8 | 1.6 | C/D° | D +0.8 | 50% | 50% | 8.3 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +0.8 | D +3.5 | 0.0 | |
411 | 411 | Google Surveys | 122 | 24 | yes | no | Online | no | 2.8 | 1.6 | D+ | R +0.1 | 92% | 38% | 5.3 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 24 | R +0.2 | R +0.1 | R +0.7 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
413 | 413 | Saguaro Strategies | 298 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 4.5 | 1.6 | C/D° | D +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 5.0 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2 | D +5.0 | D +0.4 | D +4.1 | 2.7 | 0.24 |
416 | 416 | Zia Poll | 393 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.8 | 1.8 | C/D° | R +0.6 | 100% | 33% | 4.9 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 3 | R +4.9 | R +0.6 | R +3.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 |
418 | 418 | Baydoun Consulting | 25 | 6 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.9 | 1.8 | C/D° | R +1.1 | 83% | 67% | 6.8 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 4 | R +8.7 | R +1.1 | R +6.6 | 7.9 | 0.0 |
419 | 419 | Mitchell Research & Communications | 213 | 62 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 1.9 | 2.0 | D | D +0.8 | 63% | 42% | 7.4 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 40 | D +1.3 | D +0.8 | R +0.4 | 5.4 | 0.0 |
420 | 420 | Carroll Strategies | 450 | 5 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.4 | 2.0 | C/D° | R +2.1 | 80% | 60% | 9.9 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 5 | R +9.9 | R +2.1 | R +1.7 | 4.5 | 0.92 |
421 | 421 | TP Research | 452 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.8 | 2.0 | C/D° | R +1.6 | 0% | 100% | 15.6 | 6.3 | 9.5 | 7.8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | R +15.6 | R +1.6 | R +8.3 | 7.1 | 0.37 |
422 | 422 | Dane & Associates | 71 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 15.0 | 2.1 | C/D° | R +1.1 | 50% | 100% | 21.2 | 3.9 | 17.4 | 15.0 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | R +21.2 | R +1.1 | R +10.5 | 3.0 | 0.79 |
423 | 423 | CPEC LLC | 38 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.5 | 2.1 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 16.2 | 8.0 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 11.6 | 0.0 | ||||
424 | 424 | Brigham Young University | 34 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 8.2 | 2.3 | C/D° | D +2.4 | 75% | 75% | 16.5 | 8.7 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 4 | D +16.5 | D +2.4 | D +16.5 | 0.0 | |
426 | 426 | Saint Leo University | 299 | 6 | no | no | Online | no | 6.7 | 2.6 | C/D° | D +2.0 | 33% | 67% | 8.5 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 6.7 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 6 | D +8.5 | D +2.0 | D +6.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
427 | 427 | SurveyMonkey | 324 | 206 | no | no | Online | no | 2.3 | 2.6 | D- | D +5.1 | 84% | 54% | 7.2 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 193 | D +5.6 | D +5.1 | D +3.2 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
428 | 428 | TCJ Research | 327 | 133 | no | no | IVR | yes | 3.0 | 3.0 | F | R +4.5 | 59% | 50% | 6.4 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 125 | R +5.6 | R +4.5 | R +3.5 | 4.4 | 0.0 |
429 | 429 | Nielson Brothers Polling | 231 | 9 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.8 | 3.1 | C/D° | D +3.2 | 89% | 67% | 12.2 | 5.1 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 9 | D +12.2 | D +3.2 | D +9.9 | 8.2 | 0.0 |
430 | 430 | Jayhawk Consulting | 157 | 2 | no | no | Landline | no | 26.3 | 3.6 | C/D° | D +3.4 | 50% | 100% | 37.6 | 5.8 | 32.0 | 26.3 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 2 | D +37.6 | D +3.4 | D +10.9 | 0.0 | |
15 | 15 | SurveyUSA | 325 | 790 | yes | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | -1.1 | -0.8 | A | D +0.1 | 90% | 19% | 4.6 | 5.9 | -1.1 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -0.8 | 628 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | R +0.3 | 5.0 | 0.12 |
20 | 20 | University of Massachusetts Lowell | 355 | 17 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -1.3 | -0.6 | A/B° | R +0.2 | 88% | 24% | 4.5 | 6.7 | -2.0 | -1.3 | -0.6 | -0.6 | 9 | R +0.8 | R +0.2 | R +0.6 | 6.0 | 0.0 |
24 | 24 | Lake Research Partners | 165 | 10 | yes | partial | IVR/Live | no | -2.1 | -0.6 | A/B° | D +0.7 | 80% | 20% | 3.9 | 6.1 | -2.0 | -2.1 | -0.6 | -0.6 | 10 | D +2.4 | D +0.7 | D +3.5 | 5.8 | 0.06 |
60 | 60 | Cygnal | 67 | 12 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | -3.0 | -0.1 | A/B° | D +1.1 | 92% | 0% | 3.2 | 5.7 | -2.3 | -3.0 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 12 | D +2.8 | D +1.1 | R +1.1 | 3.7 | 0.67 |
61 | 61 | Public Religion Research Institute | 428 | 1 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -2.7 | -0.1 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.4 | 5.1 | -4.4 | -2.7 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 1 | D +0.4 | D +0.0 | D +1.6 | 2.0 | 1.23 |
67 | 67 | Harper Polling | 132 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -1.9 | 0.0 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 91% | 18% | 3.6 | 6.0 | -2.2 | -1.9 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 8 | D +0.5 | D +0.1 | R +0.6 | 5.3 | 0.0 |
76 | 76 | Landmark Communications | 166 | 38 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | -0.7 | 0.1 | B | D +1.6 | 82% | 24% | 4.7 | 5.3 | -0.4 | -0.7 | -0.4 | 0.1 | 32 | D +2.7 | D +1.6 | R +0.6 | 4.5 | 0.0 |
96 | 96 | Pew Research Center | 253 | 21 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.7 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.6 | 60% | 29% | 3.5 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 21 | D +1.5 | D +0.6 | D +0.9 | 3.5 | 0.0 |
99 | 99 | Pan Atlantic Research | 249 | 17 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | -1.0 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.9 | 91% | 24% | 6.8 | 6.8 | 0.2 | -1.0 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 15 | D +2.8 | D +0.9 | D +1.5 | 7.5 | 0.0 |
107 | 107 | GBAO | 109 | 6 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | -1.9 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 75% | 0% | 3.7 | 6.0 | -2.1 | -1.9 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 6 | D +0.0 | D +0.0 | D +1.9 | 0.0 |
Advanced export
JSON shape: default, array, newline-delimited
CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );