pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology ▼ | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
198 | 198 | New England College | 228 | 15 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.2 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.7 | 77% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.0 | -1.8 | -1.2 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 15 | R +1.9 | R +0.7 | R +3.3 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
303 | 303 | St. Pete Polls | 314 | 21 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.1 | 0.8 | C+ | R +0.5 | 50% | 24% | 3.8 | 4.5 | -0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 21 | R +0.9 | R +0.5 | R +1.3 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
323 | 323 | Praecones Analytica | 257 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | -5.4 | 0.9 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 33% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.4 | -4.4 | -5.4 | -0.7 | 0.9 | 3 | R +1.8 | R +0.2 | R +5.3 | 5.1 | 0.77 |
336 | 336 | IVR Polls | 146 | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.1 | 1.0 | B/C° | 100% | 25% | 4.1 | 8.0 | -3.8 | -2.1 | -0.2 | 1.0 | 0 | 8.1 | 0.0 | ||||
341 | 341 | Strategic National | 318 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -6.9 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 25% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.1 | -4.2 | -6.9 | -0.6 | 1.1 | 2 | D +0.7 | D +0.1 | R +4.8 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
342 | 342 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.9 | 1.1 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 7.1 | -5.8 | -3.9 | -0.3 | 1.1 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
347 | 347 | Ogden & Fry | 425 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -5.8 | 1.1 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 4.4 | -3.5 | -5.8 | -0.4 | 1.1 | 2 | R +0.2 | R +0.0 | R +6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 |
349 | 349 | OnPoint | 240 | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.3 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.3 | -3.5 | -2.3 | -0.2 | 1.1 | 4 | D +1.6 | D +0.1 | D +2.3 | 3.7 | 0.79 |
353 | 353 | BK Strategies | 20 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.0 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +0.5 | 67% | 33% | 3.8 | 3.7 | 0.2 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 1.1 | 3 | D +3.6 | D +0.5 | R +2.9 | 2.9 | 0.59 |
357 | 357 | Forward Strategies | 102 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.8 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.3 | 5.2 | -3.7 | -2.8 | -0.2 | 1.2 | 2 | D +1.3 | D +0.1 | D +3.4 | 3.4 | 1.1 |
365 | 365 | Constituent Dynamics | 58 | 7 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.3 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 86% | 57% | 7.4 | 7.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +1.3 | R +0.0 | D +2.3 | 10.9 | 0.0 |
368 | 368 | Revily | 284 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.8 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.5 | 4.8 | -4.1 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +0.5 | R +0.0 | 2.0 | 1.58 | |
369 | 369 | AFL-CIO | 526 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 4.9 | -3.5 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +1.2 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
372 | 372 | Rivercity Polling | 291 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.0 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 6.7 | 7.6 | -0.8 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +6.7 | R +0.2 | R +11.5 | 0.0 | |
373 | 373 | War Room Logistics | 374 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.3 | 1.2 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 4.5 | 7.1 | -2.4 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0 | 11.3 | 0.0 | ||||
374 | 374 | Diamond State Consulting Group | 78 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.5 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 4.9 | -0.6 | -1.5 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | D +4.2 | D +0.2 | R +5.0 | 5.0 | 0.62 |
378 | 378 | Triumph Campaigns | 339 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.4 | 1.3 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | R +4.2 | R +0.2 | R +5.0 | 0.0 | |
379 | 379 | Rossman Group | 294 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.2 | 1.3 | C/D° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 6.5 | -2.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | D +4.2 | D +0.1 | D +4.7 | 0.0 | |
380 | 380 | Singularis Group | 306 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.8 | 1.3 | C/D° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.8 | 4.1 | -3.1 | -1.8 | -0.1 | 1.3 | 1 | R +0.8 | R +0.0 | D +2.0 | 2.0 | 2.38 |
385 | 385 | BWD Global | 527 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.8 | 1.3 | C/D° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 4.8 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | R +4.4 | R +0.2 | R +5.3 | 0.0 | |
386 | 386 | Liberty Opinion Research | 169 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.6 | 1.3 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 5.7 | 6.9 | -1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.51 | ||||
387 | 387 | Iona College | 152 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.0 | 1.3 | C/D° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 5.5 | -0.9 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | D +4.4 | D +0.1 | R +1.7 | 1.5 | 2.26 |
388 | 388 | CrossTarget | 66 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | 1.3 | C/D° | R +0.5 | 100% | 50% | 7.7 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2 | R +7.7 | R +0.5 | R +13.3 | 15.8 | 0.0 |
392 | 392 | TeleResearch Corporation | 335 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.3 | 1.4 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 8.6 | 7.7 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0 | 11.3 | 0.0 | ||||
394 | 394 | MarblePort | 182 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.6 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.5 | 100% | 100% | 5.6 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 2 | R +5.6 | R +0.5 | R +7.2 | 6.3 | 0.0 |
395 | 395 | Datamar | 75 | 8 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.3 | 69% | 38% | 6.3 | 5.9 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5 | R +2.9 | R +0.3 | R +3.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 |
397 | 397 | Great Lakes Strategies Group | 125 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.1 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 7.6 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1 | R +7.6 | R +0.2 | R +10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 |
399 | 399 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.0 | 1.4 | C/D° | 0% | 100% | 21.6 | 7.5 | 14.3 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
400 | 400 | Zata3 | 392 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.1 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 10.2 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 2 | R +4.0 | R +0.2 | D +0.0 | 0.0 | |
403 | 403 | GCR & Associates | 110 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 6.1 | 1.5 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 7.8 | 10.7 | 6.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
405 | 405 | Strategy Research | 322 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 5.2 | 1.5 | C/D° | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 8.6 | 3.2 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1 | R +8.6 | R +0.4 | R +4.7 | 3.8 | 0.0 |
406 | 406 | Glascock Group | 116 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 6.3 | 1.5 | C/D° | R +0.5 | 0% | 100% | 12.1 | 4.4 | 7.9 | 6.3 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1 | R +12.1 | R +0.5 | 0.0 | ||
407 | 407 | GaPundit.com | 111 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.8 | 1.5 | C/D° | D +0.6 | 25% | 100% | 8.3 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +0.6 | D +3.1 | 0.0 | |
416 | 416 | Zia Poll | 393 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.8 | 1.8 | C/D° | R +0.6 | 100% | 33% | 4.9 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 3 | R +4.9 | R +0.6 | R +3.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 |
418 | 418 | Baydoun Consulting | 25 | 6 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.9 | 1.8 | C/D° | R +1.1 | 83% | 67% | 6.8 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 4 | R +8.7 | R +1.1 | R +6.6 | 7.9 | 0.0 |
420 | 420 | Carroll Strategies | 450 | 5 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.4 | 2.0 | C/D° | R +2.1 | 80% | 60% | 9.9 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 5 | R +9.9 | R +2.1 | R +1.7 | 4.5 | 0.92 |
421 | 421 | TP Research | 452 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.8 | 2.0 | C/D° | R +1.6 | 0% | 100% | 15.6 | 6.3 | 9.5 | 7.8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | R +15.6 | R +1.6 | R +8.3 | 7.1 | 0.37 |
422 | 422 | Dane & Associates | 71 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 15.0 | 2.1 | C/D° | R +1.1 | 50% | 100% | 21.2 | 3.9 | 17.4 | 15.0 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | R +21.2 | R +1.1 | R +10.5 | 3.0 | 0.79 |
423 | 423 | CPEC LLC | 38 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.5 | 2.1 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 16.2 | 8.0 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 11.6 | 0.0 | ||||
428 | 428 | TCJ Research | 327 | 133 | no | no | IVR | yes | 3.0 | 3.0 | F | R +4.5 | 59% | 50% | 6.4 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 125 | R +5.6 | R +4.5 | R +3.5 | 4.4 | 0.0 |
429 | 429 | Nielson Brothers Polling | 231 | 9 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.8 | 3.1 | C/D° | D +3.2 | 89% | 67% | 12.2 | 5.1 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 9 | D +12.2 | D +3.2 | D +9.9 | 8.2 | 0.0 |
24 | 24 | Lake Research Partners | 165 | 10 | yes | partial | IVR/Live | no | -2.1 | -0.6 | A/B° | D +0.7 | 80% | 20% | 3.9 | 6.1 | -2.0 | -2.1 | -0.6 | -0.6 | 10 | D +2.4 | D +0.7 | D +3.5 | 5.8 | 0.06 |
67 | 67 | Harper Polling | 132 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -1.9 | 0.0 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 91% | 18% | 3.6 | 6.0 | -2.2 | -1.9 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 8 | D +0.5 | D +0.1 | R +0.6 | 5.3 | 0.0 |
108 | 108 | Hendrix College | 138 | 13 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -0.9 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +1.7 | 92% | 46% | 6.0 | 5.6 | 0.6 | -0.9 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 13 | D +4.7 | D +1.7 | R +3.0 | 0.0 | |
248 | 248 | JMC Analytics | 156 | 10 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -0.3 | 0.6 | B/C° | R +1.2 | 85% | 20% | 5.7 | 5.3 | 0.6 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 0.6 | 8 | R +4.9 | R +1.2 | R +1.3 | 4.9 | 0.11 |
262 | 262 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 52 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -0.5 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +1.2 | 50% | 18% | 3.7 | 4.4 | -0.5 | -0.5 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 11 | D +3.7 | D +1.2 | D +0.8 | 2.7 | 0.39 |
273 | 273 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 82 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -2.7 | 0.6 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 5.1 | 8.0 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0 | 9.1 | 0.0 | ||||
291 | 291 | 1892 Polling | 461 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -2.2 | 0.7 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.6 | 4.0 | -3.2 | -2.2 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | R +0.6 | R +0.0 | R +4.3 | 7.6 | 0.0 |
295 | 295 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | 68 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -1.8 | 0.8 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.5 | 6.2 | -1.6 | -1.8 | -0.1 | 0.8 | 1 | D +4.5 | D +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
296 | 296 | Multi-Quest International | 220 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -2.4 | 0.8 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 50% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.8 | -2.6 | -2.4 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 2 | R +1.1 | R +0.1 | D +0.7 | 3.2 | 1.35 |
298 | 298 | Magellan Strategies | 179 | 16 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.5 | 0.8 | B/C° | R +0.6 | 94% | 44% | 7.0 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 10 | R +2.0 | R +0.6 | R +4.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 |
305 | 305 | OH Predictive Insights/MBQF | 235 | 5 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.3 | 0.8 | B/C° | R +1.0 | 60% | 20% | 5.2 | 6.1 | -0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4 | R +5.4 | R +1.0 | R +4.7 | 4.9 | 0.08 |
307 | 307 | IMGE Insights | 145 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.2 | 0.8 | B/C° | R +0.6 | 100% | 50% | 6.4 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2 | R +6.4 | R +0.6 | R +0.8 | 6.5 | 0.0 |
312 | 312 | 20/20 Insight | 1 | 4 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.7 | 0.9 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 50% | 25% | 8.0 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3 | D +1.9 | D +0.2 | D +4.3 | 5.1 | 0.01 |
321 | 321 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | 326 | 38 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.8 | 0.9 | C | D +1.0 | 76% | 29% | 5.8 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 33 | D +1.7 | D +1.0 | D +0.3 | 4.9 | 0.0 |
329 | 329 | Harper Polling/Clarity Campaign Labs | 513 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 2.0 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 0% | 0% | 7.0 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1 | D +7.0 | D +0.4 | D +4.8 | 0.0 | |
335 | 335 | University of New Orleans | 358 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.1 | 1.0 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 82% | 36% | 6.5 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 9 | R +1.2 | R +0.3 | D +1.9 | 9.4 | 0.0 |
339 | 339 | Dixie Strategies | 81 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.2 | 1.0 | B/C° | R +1.3 | 95% | 55% | 6.6 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 8 | R +4.1 | R +1.3 | R +3.9 | 7.1 | 0.0 |
352 | 352 | Target Insyght | 330 | 5 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.8 | 1.1 | B/C° | R +0.7 | 70% | 20% | 7.6 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 4 | R +3.9 | R +0.7 | R +3.7 | 5.5 | 0.15 |
359 | 359 | Victory Enterprises | 525 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 9.4 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.6 | 0% | 100% | 17.3 | 6.7 | 10.9 | 9.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1 | R +17.3 | R +0.6 | 0.0 | ||
383 | 383 | TargetPoint | 331 | 3 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 4.1 | 1.3 | C/D° | 83% | 100% | 14.0 | 7.7 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
390 | 390 | Remington Research Group | 279 | 38 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.4 | 1.4 | C- | D +1.2 | 68% | 37% | 5.0 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 37 | D +1.9 | D +1.2 | R +1.9 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
401 | 401 | Merriman River Group | 207 | 21 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 2.2 | 1.5 | C/D° | R +2.3 | 81% | 57% | 7.7 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 20 | R +5.5 | R +2.3 | R +3.2 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
28 | 28 | Emerson College | 88 | 142 | yes | no | IVR/Online | no | -1.1 | -0.5 | A- | R +0.0 | 81% | 18% | 5.0 | 6.1 | -0.9 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -0.5 | 113 | R +0.0 | R +0.0 | R +1.4 | 4.8 | 0.23 |
197 | 197 | Vox Populi Polling | 372 | 19 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | -0.9 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 74% | 16% | 4.3 | 5.4 | -0.9 | -0.9 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 19 | D +0.6 | D +0.3 | R +1.4 | 4.8 | 0.14 |
242 | 242 | Opinion Savvy/InsiderAdvantage | 243 | 118 | yes | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.4 | 0.6 | B- | D +1.2 | 70% | 42% | 7.4 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 42 | D +1.8 | D +1.2 | D +0.5 | 5.8 | 0.0 |
301 | 301 | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 277 | 716 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.3 | 0.8 | C+ | R +1.5 | 78% | 30% | 5.3 | 5.5 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 576 | R +1.6 | R +1.5 | R +1.2 | 4.7 | 0.07 |
325 | 325 | Florida Atlantic University | 97 | 6 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | -0.8 | 0.9 | B/C° | D +0.5 | 67% | 0% | 3.7 | 6.4 | -2.5 | -0.8 | -0.2 | 0.9 | 4 | D +2.9 | D +0.5 | D +0.4 | 4.5 | 0.25 |
375 | 375 | Maine People's Resource Center | 180 | 8 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.8 | 1.3 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 88% | 38% | 7.0 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 7 | D +1.7 | D +0.4 | R +2.0 | 6.5 | 0.0 |
404 | 404 | Slingshot Strategies | 451 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 4.7 | 1.5 | C/D° | D +0.5 | 100% | 100% | 9.3 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1 | D +9.3 | D +0.5 | D +9.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
419 | 419 | Mitchell Research & Communications | 213 | 62 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 1.9 | 2.0 | D | D +0.8 | 63% | 42% | 7.4 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 40 | D +1.3 | D +0.8 | R +0.4 | 5.4 | 0.0 |
15 | 15 | SurveyUSA | 325 | 790 | yes | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | -1.1 | -0.8 | A | D +0.1 | 90% | 19% | 4.6 | 5.9 | -1.1 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -0.8 | 628 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | R +0.3 | 5.0 | 0.12 |
60 | 60 | Cygnal | 67 | 12 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | -3.0 | -0.1 | A/B° | D +1.1 | 92% | 0% | 3.2 | 5.7 | -2.3 | -3.0 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 12 | D +2.8 | D +1.1 | R +1.1 | 3.7 | 0.67 |
76 | 76 | Landmark Communications | 166 | 38 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | -0.7 | 0.1 | B | D +1.6 | 82% | 24% | 4.7 | 5.3 | -0.4 | -0.7 | -0.4 | 0.1 | 32 | D +2.7 | D +1.6 | R +0.6 | 4.5 | 0.0 |
284 | 284 | RRH Elections | 274 | 9 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | -1.0 | 0.7 | B/C° | D +0.5 | 83% | 22% | 4.2 | 5.6 | -1.2 | -1.0 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 9 | D +1.8 | D +0.5 | R +4.4 | 3.9 | 0.83 |
300 | 300 | Gravis Marketing | 124 | 127 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 0.4 | 0.8 | C+ | D +0.9 | 67% | 31% | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 100 | D +1.0 | D +0.9 | R +0.2 | 4.3 | 0.0 |
355 | 355 | The Polling Company Inc. | 337 | 7 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 1.4 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +1.2 | 71% | 57% | 6.2 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 7 | R +4.8 | R +1.2 | R +3.5 | 6.1 | 0.0 |
361 | 361 | RABA Research | 269 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 2.1 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 100% | 50% | 5.3 | 5.8 | -0.3 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1 | D +6.9 | D +0.3 | D +2.0 | 2.3 | 0.57 |
377 | 377 | We Ask America | 376 | 53 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 1.2 | 1.3 | C- | R +0.9 | 83% | 45% | 6.9 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 33 | R +1.8 | R +0.9 | R +2.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 |
384 | 384 | Trafalgar Group | 338 | 44 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 1.2 | 1.3 | C- | R +0.9 | 77% | 48% | 5.5 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 31 | R +1.4 | R +0.9 | R +2.7 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
408 | 408 | Spry Strategies | 508 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 10.0 | 1.5 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 14.6 | 4.8 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0 | 19.4 | 0.0 | ||||
402 | 402 | Optimus | 245 | 15 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live/Text | no | 2.0 | 1.5 | C/D° | R +1.3 | 87% | 67% | 7.2 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 13 | R +3.4 | R +1.3 | R +2.1 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
92 | 92 | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 418 | no | no | IVR/Online/Text | no | -0.3 | 0.2 | B | D +0.3 | 80% | 31% | 5.0 | 5.4 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 298 | D +0.3 | D +0.3 | D +0.9 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
389 | 389 | co/efficient | 514 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Text | no | 0.4 | 1.4 | C/D° | D +0.2 | 0% | 0% | 3.5 | 4.1 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1 | D +3.5 | D +0.2 | R +0.5 | 3.0 | 1.04 |
310 | 310 | Capital Survey Research Center | 44 | 11 | no | no | Landline | no | -0.9 | 0.9 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 36% | 55% | 7.8 | 7.2 | 0.8 | -0.9 | -0.2 | 0.9 | 4 | D +0.6 | D +0.0 | D +1.1 | 8.7 | 0.0 |
330 | 330 | Schroth, Eldon & Associates | 302 | 12 | no | no | Landline | no | -0.6 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.6 | 83% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.4 | -2.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 1.0 | 10 | D +2.2 | D +0.6 | D +0.2 | 3.5 | 0.49 |
334 | 334 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | Landline | no | -3.0 | 1.0 | B/C° | 50% | 50% | 6.4 | 7.8 | -1.3 | -3.0 | -0.3 | 1.0 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.03 | ||||
430 | 430 | Jayhawk Consulting | 157 | 2 | no | no | Landline | no | 26.3 | 3.6 | C/D° | D +3.4 | 50% | 100% | 37.6 | 5.8 | 32.0 | 26.3 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 2 | D +37.6 | D +3.4 | D +10.9 | 0.0 | |
1 | 1 | Monmouth University | 215 | 100 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.9 | -1.5 | A+ | D +1.3 | 80% | 21% | 5.2 | 6.5 | -1.1 | -1.9 | -1.6 | -1.5 | 70 | D +1.8 | D +1.3 | R +0.5 | 5.1 | 0.2 |
2 | 2 | Selzer & Co. | 304 | 44 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.9 | -1.4 | A+ | D +0.1 | 84% | 25% | 4.2 | 5.7 | -1.3 | -1.9 | -1.1 | -1.4 | 31 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | D +0.2 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
3 | 3 | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 63 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.5 | -1.3 | A+ | D +0.6 | 79% | 5% | 2.8 | 4.6 | -1.7 | -1.5 | -1.1 | -1.3 | 58 | D +0.9 | D +0.6 | D +1.5 | 3.8 | 0.02 |
4 | 4 | Elway Research | 87 | 21 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.5 | -1.2 | A/B° | D +0.5 | 90% | 5% | 3.9 | 6.3 | -2.2 | -2.5 | -1.0 | -1.2 | 20 | D +1.2 | D +0.5 | D +3.7 | 4.5 | 0.37 |
5 | 5 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | 94 | 25 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.0 | -1.2 | A/B° | R +1.0 | 100% | 16% | 3.9 | 5.5 | -1.5 | -2.0 | -0.8 | -1.2 | 18 | R +3.3 | R +1.0 | D +0.6 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
6 | 6 | IBD/TIPP | 144 | 22 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.0 | -1.1 | A/B° | R +0.8 | 73% | 5% | 2.1 | 4.0 | -1.7 | -2.0 | -0.9 | -1.1 | 22 | R +1.8 | R +0.8 | R +1.3 | 3.4 | 0.23 |
7 | 7 | Muhlenberg College | 219 | 29 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.2 | -1.0 | A+ | R +0.2 | 84% | 7% | 3.4 | 6.0 | -2.5 | -2.2 | -1.2 | -1.0 | 28 | R +0.4 | R +0.2 | D +0.2 | 3.9 | 0.84 |
8 | 8 | Marquette University Law School | 195 | 11 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.4 | -1.0 | A/B° | D +0.3 | 77% | 9% | 2.8 | 5.6 | -2.6 | -2.4 | -0.8 | -1.0 | 8 | D +1.0 | D +0.3 | R +0.2 | 4.9 | 0.0 |
9 | 9 | Siena College/New York Times Upshot | 448 | 57 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.3 | -1.0 | A+ | R +0.3 | 69% | 11% | 3.9 | 5.7 | -1.7 | -1.3 | -1.0 | -1.0 | 57 | R +0.4 | R +0.3 | D +0.4 | 4.2 | 0.21 |
10 | 10 | Marist College | 183 | 172 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.1 | -1.0 | A+ | R +0.2 | 84% | 24% | 5.2 | 6.3 | -1.0 | -1.1 | -0.9 | -1.0 | 111 | R +0.2 | R +0.2 | R +0.0 | 5.1 | 0.03 |
11 | 11 | Data Orbital | 73 | 8 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | -0.9 | A/B° | D +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 2.2 | 5.3 | -3.0 | -2.8 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 8 | D +0.9 | D +0.3 | R +1.4 | 3.7 | 0.73 |
12 | 12 | National Journal | 224 | 12 | yes | yes | Live | no | -3.2 | -0.9 | A/B° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 6.2 | -3.4 | -3.2 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 12 | R +0.6 | R +0.2 | D +0.3 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );