pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster ▼ | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
291 | 291 | 1892 Polling | 461 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -2.2 | 0.7 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.6 | 4.0 | -3.2 | -2.2 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | R +0.6 | R +0.0 | R +4.3 | 7.6 | 0.0 |
312 | 312 | 20/20 Insight | 1 | 4 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.7 | 0.9 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 50% | 25% | 8.0 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3 | D +1.9 | D +0.2 | D +4.3 | 5.1 | 0.01 |
219 | 219 | A&A Research | 2 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 3.7 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 10.1 | 6.4 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +10.1 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
3 | 3 | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 63 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.5 | -1.3 | A+ | D +0.6 | 79% | 5% | 2.8 | 4.6 | -1.7 | -1.5 | -1.1 | -1.3 | 58 | D +0.9 | D +0.6 | D +1.5 | 3.8 | 0.02 |
369 | 369 | AFL-CIO | 526 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 4.9 | -3.5 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +1.2 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
343 | 343 | ALG Research | 14 | 14 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.1 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +1.5 | 64% | 36% | 6.6 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 13 | D +4.7 | D +1.5 | D +6.7 | 5.2 | 0.12 |
103 | 103 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.1 | -2.4 | -3.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 2 | D +2.5 | D +0.2 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | |
187 | 187 | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +5.5 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
278 | 278 | Abacus Associates | 6 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 4.8 | 0.7 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 50% | 100% | 12.1 | 6.5 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2 | R +0.5 | R +0.0 | D +6.5 | 0.0 | |
49 | 49 | Abt Associates | 7 | 8 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | -0.2 | A/B° | D +0.8 | 88% | 25% | 4.1 | 5.2 | -0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 7 | D +3.8 | D +0.8 | D +0.7 | 4.0 | 0.49 |
334 | 334 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | Landline | no | -3.0 | 1.0 | B/C° | 50% | 50% | 6.4 | 7.8 | -1.3 | -3.0 | -0.3 | 1.0 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.03 | ||||
289 | 289 | Alaska Survey Research | 155 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.5 | 0.7 | B/C° | D +2.1 | 50% | 50% | 8.0 | 6.0 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 8 | D +8.0 | D +2.1 | D +5.2 | 10.3 | 0.0 |
106 | 106 | American Research Group | 9 | 263 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | 0.3 | B | R +0.2 | 75% | 40% | 7.5 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 79 | R +0.3 | R +0.2 | R +1.8 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
64 | 64 | American Viewpoint | 10 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.6 | 0.0 | A/B° | R +0.9 | 69% | 0% | 4.2 | 5.7 | -1.3 | -1.6 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 8 | R +3.6 | R +0.9 | R +3.2 | 6.3 | 0.0 |
186 | 186 | Analytical Group | 11 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.0 | 5.4 | -1.2 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +4.0 | D +0.1 | D +3.0 | 3.7 | 0.86 |
257 | 257 | Anderson Group | 12 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 7.9 | 0.6 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 10.9 | 4.4 | 6.7 | 7.9 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1 | R +10.9 | R +0.2 | R +5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
59 | 59 | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 30 | no | no | Online | no | -2.5 | -0.1 | B+ | R +1.3 | 93% | 7% | 3.2 | 5.6 | -2.2 | -2.5 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 30 | R +2.6 | R +1.3 | D +0.9 | 3.1 | 0.82 |
308 | 308 | Arizona State University | 15 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | 2.1 | 0.8 | B/C° | D +0.6 | 100% | 50% | 8.0 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 6 | D +5.5 | D +0.6 | D +6.5 | 0.4 | 0.86 |
236 | 236 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | 16 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 5.8 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 13.7 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +13.7 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
154 | 154 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 17 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 5.7 | -2.1 | -2.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +3.5 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
177 | 177 | Associated Industries of Florida | 18 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 50% | 0% | 3.4 | 4.5 | -0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +3.4 | D +0.3 | D +1.0 | 0.0 | |
376 | 376 | BIGresearch | 19 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -2.9 | 1.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1.8 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 1.3 | 1 | D +2.0 | D +0.0 | 6.4 | 0.0 | |
353 | 353 | BK Strategies | 20 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.0 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +0.5 | 67% | 33% | 3.8 | 3.7 | 0.2 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 1.1 | 3 | D +3.6 | D +0.5 | R +2.9 | 2.9 | 0.59 |
385 | 385 | BWD Global | 527 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.8 | 1.3 | C/D° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 4.8 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | R +4.4 | R +0.2 | R +5.3 | 0.0 | |
410 | 410 | Baldwin Wallace University | 401 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 3.8 | 1.6 | C/D° | D +0.8 | 50% | 50% | 8.3 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +0.8 | D +3.5 | 0.0 | |
251 | 251 | Bannon Communications | 21 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 3.9 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 100% | 50% | 10.4 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2 | D +10.4 | D +0.4 | D +8.3 | 21.0 | 0.0 |
152 | 152 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 5.7 | 8.4 | -2.6 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 9.2 | 0.0 | ||||
261 | 261 | Baselice & Associates | 23 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 4.4 | 0.6 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 10.0 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2 | R +3.0 | R +0.1 | 4.0 | 0.23 | |
180 | 180 | Basswood Research | 24 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 10.7 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +13.1 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
418 | 418 | Baydoun Consulting | 25 | 6 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.9 | 1.8 | C/D° | R +1.1 | 83% | 67% | 6.8 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 4 | R +8.7 | R +1.1 | R +6.6 | 7.9 | 0.0 |
192 | 192 | Becker Institute | 26 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 67% | 67% | 7.6 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3 | D +7.6 | D +0.4 | D +0.8 | 11.5 | 0.0 |
19 | 19 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain) | 27 | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.4 | -0.7 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 71% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.5 | -2.9 | -2.4 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 5 | D +0.6 | D +0.0 | R +2.1 | 9.4 | 0.0 |
184 | 184 | Belden Russonello | 28 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 4.7 | 5.2 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | D +5.7 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
165 | 165 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 29 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.9 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +1.6 | D +0.1 | D +3.0 | 0.0 | |
191 | 191 | Benenson Strategy Group | 30 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.6 | 50% | 11% | 6.2 | 6.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 9 | D +2.8 | D +0.6 | D +7.6 | 9.9 | 0.0 |
233 | 233 | Big Ten | 31 | 10 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.9 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +1.0 | 100% | 20% | 4.8 | 5.1 | -0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 10 | D +4.5 | D +1.0 | D +5.5 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
57 | 57 | Blum & Weprin Associates | 32 | 19 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.2 | -0.1 | A/B° | R +0.8 | 95% | 21% | 4.8 | 5.2 | -0.2 | -2.2 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 17 | R +3.4 | R +0.8 | D +1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
249 | 249 | Blumenthal Research Daily | 447 | 1 | no | yes | Live | yes | -0.4 | 0.6 | F | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.3 | 5.5 | -1.1 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1 | R +4.3 | R +0.2 | R +5.3 | 1.0 | 3.17 |
189 | 189 | Braun Research | 33 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +1.3 | 100% | 50% | 6.6 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 6 | D +6.6 | D +1.3 | D +2.8 | 2.5 | 0.17 |
424 | 424 | Brigham Young University | 34 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 8.2 | 2.3 | C/D° | D +2.4 | 75% | 75% | 16.5 | 8.7 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 4 | D +16.5 | D +2.4 | D +16.5 | 0.0 | |
417 | 417 | Brown University | 35 | 12 | no | yes | Live | no | 4.8 | 1.8 | C/D° | R +0.3 | 83% | 67% | 11.4 | 7.3 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 7 | R +2.2 | R +0.3 | R +0.1 | 3.9 | 0.53 |
18 | 18 | CBS News/New York Times | 36 | 54 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | -0.7 | A | D +0.4 | 77% | 28% | 4.5 | 5.4 | -0.7 | -0.9 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 44 | D +0.7 | D +0.4 | D +1.8 | 4.2 | 0.11 |
58 | 58 | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 98 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | -0.1 | B+ | D +0.1 | 72% | 24% | 5.4 | 6.0 | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 70 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | D +0.2 | 4.6 | 0.2 |
423 | 423 | CPEC LLC | 38 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.5 | 2.1 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 16.2 | 8.0 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 11.6 | 0.0 | ||||
360 | 360 | CSP Polling | 39 | 1 | no | no | Online | yes | -2.5 | 1.2 | F | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.6 | -2.8 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | D +2.6 | D +0.1 | R +2.6 | 4.1 | 0.8 |
313 | 313 | CVOTER International | 40 | 5 | no | no | Online | no | -1.6 | 0.9 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 2.1 | 3.3 | -1.1 | -1.6 | -0.3 | 0.9 | 5 | R +1.8 | R +0.3 | R +0.3 | 3.1 | 0.08 |
222 | 222 | California State University, Bakersfield | 41 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 4.4 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 9.9 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +9.9 | R +0.1 | R +14.0 | 0.0 | |
235 | 235 | CallFire | 42 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.5 | 75% | 0% | 3.9 | 4.6 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4 | R +3.9 | R +0.5 | R +0.4 | 2.5 | 0.82 |
156 | 156 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 0.1 | 8.3 | -8.0 | -5.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
310 | 310 | Capital Survey Research Center | 44 | 11 | no | no | Landline | no | -0.9 | 0.9 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 36% | 55% | 7.8 | 7.2 | 0.8 | -0.9 | -0.2 | 0.9 | 4 | D +0.6 | D +0.0 | D +1.1 | 8.7 | 0.0 |
420 | 420 | Carroll Strategies | 450 | 5 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.4 | 2.0 | C/D° | R +2.1 | 80% | 60% | 9.9 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 5 | R +9.9 | R +2.1 | R +1.7 | 4.5 | 0.92 |
35 | 35 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | -0.5 | A/B° | 100% | 33% | 9.9 | 9.2 | 0.9 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
158 | 158 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.7 | -3.8 | -3.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +0.0 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
133 | 133 | Centre College | 47 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.4 | -1.3 | -1.6 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +3.9 | D +0.2 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
337 | 337 | Change Research | 48 | 57 | no | no | Online | no | 0.6 | 1.0 | C | D +1.1 | 78% | 33% | 5.5 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 56 | D +1.5 | D +1.1 | D +1.7 | 5.9 | 0.0 |
268 | 268 | Cherry Communications | 49 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 2.0 | 0.6 | B/C° | R +0.5 | 50% | 33% | 8.8 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2 | R +5.9 | R +0.5 | R +5.4 | 12.0 | 0.0 |
51 | 51 | Christopher Newport University | 50 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.2 | -0.2 | A/B° | D +0.6 | 100% | 13% | 3.5 | 4.9 | -1.2 | -2.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 8 | D +2.2 | D +0.6 | D +1.6 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
16 | 16 | Ciruli Associates | 51 | 17 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.3 | -0.7 | A/B° | R +0.4 | 94% | 0% | 3.6 | 6.1 | -2.3 | -2.3 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 16 | R +2.1 | R +0.4 | R +2.5 | 5.0 | 0.72 |
262 | 262 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 52 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -0.5 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +1.2 | 50% | 18% | 3.7 | 4.4 | -0.5 | -0.5 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 11 | D +3.7 | D +1.2 | D +0.8 | 2.7 | 0.39 |
205 | 205 | Clarus Research Group | 53 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.7 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.6 | 100% | 33% | 6.8 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3 | D +6.8 | D +0.6 | D +2.2 | 0.0 | |
72 | 72 | Clemson University | 54 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.3 | 0.1 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 40% | 10.3 | 7.5 | 2.9 | -2.3 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 1 | R +16.7 | R +0.3 | R +9.7 | 17.1 | 0.0 |
344 | 344 | Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies | 55 | 15 | no | yes | Live | no | 2.1 | 1.1 | B/C° | R +1.9 | 53% | 40% | 6.7 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 14 | R +5.5 | R +1.9 | R +4.9 | 5.3 | 0.0 |
112 | 112 | Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates | 56 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.3 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 75% | 25% | 6.3 | 6.5 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 3 | D +3.4 | D +0.1 | R +2.3 | 4.1 | 0.41 |
348 | 348 | Columbus Dispatch | 57 | 20 | no | no | no | 0.5 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +1.3 | 93% | 45% | 4.9 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 17 | D +3.6 | D +1.3 | D +3.3 | 5.6 | 0.0 | |
365 | 365 | Constituent Dynamics | 58 | 7 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.3 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 86% | 57% | 7.4 | 7.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +1.3 | R +0.0 | D +2.3 | 10.9 | 0.0 |
294 | 294 | Consumer Logic | 59 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 4.1 | 0.8 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 50% | 75% | 8.8 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 4 | D +5.4 | D +0.4 | D +2.3 | 3.1 | 1.17 |
162 | 162 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.8 | -3.0 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.6 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
364 | 364 | Craciun Research Group | 61 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 16.9 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.9 | 0% | 100% | 18.7 | 6.2 | 12.7 | 16.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1 | D +18.7 | D +0.9 | D +11.3 | 0.0 | |
371 | 371 | Cranford & Associates | 62 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -3.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.5 | -2.8 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | D +2.5 | D +0.1 | D +9.5 | 0.0 | |
83 | 83 | Crawford Johnson & Northcott Inc. | 63 | 5 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.8 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 40% | 4.7 | 7.4 | -2.6 | -2.8 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 1 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
381 | 381 | Critical Insights | 64 | 17 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 2.0 | 1.3 | C/D° | D +0.3 | 88% | 41% | 8.6 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 15 | D +0.9 | D +0.3 | R +1.8 | 11.3 | 0.0 |
195 | 195 | Cromer Group | 65 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.4 | -1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | R +3.9 | R +0.1 | R +3.8 | 0.0 | |
388 | 388 | CrossTarget | 66 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | 1.3 | C/D° | R +0.5 | 100% | 50% | 7.7 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2 | R +7.7 | R +0.5 | R +13.3 | 15.8 | 0.0 |
60 | 60 | Cygnal | 67 | 12 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | -3.0 | -0.1 | A/B° | D +1.1 | 92% | 0% | 3.2 | 5.7 | -2.3 | -3.0 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 12 | D +2.8 | D +1.1 | R +1.1 | 3.7 | 0.67 |
295 | 295 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | 68 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -1.8 | 0.8 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.5 | 6.2 | -1.6 | -1.8 | -0.1 | 0.8 | 1 | D +4.5 | D +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
211 | 211 | DFM Research | 69 | 10 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +1.7 | 75% | 40% | 6.4 | 5.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 10 | D +5.4 | D +1.7 | D +3.9 | 3.0 | 0.43 |
199 | 199 | DHM Research | 76 | 14 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | -1.1 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 86% | 7% | 4.1 | 5.9 | -1.6 | -1.1 | -0.3 | 0.5 | 12 | R +0.3 | R +0.1 | D +0.3 | 4.5 | 0.53 |
304 | 304 | Dan Jones & Associates | 70 | 35 | no | partial | Online/Live/Mail | no | 0.4 | 0.8 | C+ | D +1.0 | 97% | 23% | 7.9 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 31 | D +2.1 | D +1.0 | R +2.6 | 10.5 | 0.0 |
422 | 422 | Dane & Associates | 71 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 15.0 | 2.1 | C/D° | R +1.1 | 50% | 100% | 21.2 | 3.9 | 17.4 | 15.0 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | R +21.2 | R +1.1 | R +10.5 | 3.0 | 0.79 |
172 | 172 | Dartmouth College | 72 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 9.0 | 8.4 | 0.8 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
11 | 11 | Data Orbital | 73 | 8 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | -0.9 | A/B° | D +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 2.2 | 5.3 | -3.0 | -2.8 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 8 | D +0.9 | D +0.3 | R +1.4 | 3.7 | 0.73 |
271 | 271 | Data West Polling | 74 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 6.0 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 50% | 100% | 13.1 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2 | D +13.1 | D +0.4 | D +7.5 | 0.0 | |
358 | 358 | Data for Progress | 522 | 1 | no | no | Text | no | -1.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 3.7 | -0.7 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 0 | 5.3 | 0.0 | ||||
395 | 395 | Datamar | 75 | 8 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.3 | 69% | 38% | 6.3 | 5.9 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5 | R +2.9 | R +0.3 | R +3.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 |
220 | 220 | Decision Forecasting | 77 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 1.6 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 67% | 8.1 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3 | R +1.4 | R +0.1 | D +0.5 | 4.3 | 0.14 |
374 | 374 | Diamond State Consulting Group | 78 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.5 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 4.9 | -0.6 | -1.5 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | D +4.2 | D +0.2 | R +5.0 | 5.0 | 0.62 |
110 | 110 | Dittman Research | 79 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.8 | 100% | 33% | 5.9 | 6.1 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 6 | D +6.1 | D +0.8 | D +0.7 | 10.9 | 0.0 |
168 | 168 | Diversified Research Inc | 80 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.0 | 7.0 | -1.8 | -2.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +5.0 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
339 | 339 | Dixie Strategies | 81 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.2 | 1.0 | B/C° | R +1.3 | 95% | 55% | 6.6 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 8 | R +4.1 | R +1.3 | R +3.9 | 7.1 | 0.0 |
273 | 273 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 82 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -2.7 | 0.6 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 5.1 | 8.0 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0 | 9.1 | 0.0 | ||||
166 | 166 | Dynamic Marketing Inc. | 83 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 6.2 | -3.0 | -4.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +3.0 | D +0.0 | R +7.5 | 0.0 | |
56 | 56 | EPIC-MRA | 84 | 47 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | -0.2 | B+ | R +0.2 | 81% | 23% | 5.0 | 6.0 | -0.8 | -0.9 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 42 | R +0.4 | R +0.2 | D +0.6 | 4.5 | 0.3 |
292 | 292 | East Tennessee State University | 456 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 3.5 | 0.8 | B/C° | D +1.0 | 75% | 100% | 9.9 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2 | D +9.9 | D +1.0 | D +3.9 | 0.0 | |
320 | 320 | Ed Renwick/Loyola University New Orleans | 85 | 7 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 3.9 | 0.9 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 86% | 43% | 8.1 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 7 | D +1.7 | D +0.2 | D +5.6 | 6.4 | 0.0 |
33 | 33 | Elon University | 86 | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | -0.5 | A/B° | D +0.6 | 50% | 14% | 3.2 | 4.7 | -1.3 | -1.0 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 7 | D +2.7 | D +0.6 | D +1.1 | 3.7 | 0.47 |
4 | 4 | Elway Research | 87 | 21 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.5 | -1.2 | A/B° | D +0.5 | 90% | 5% | 3.9 | 6.3 | -2.2 | -2.5 | -1.0 | -1.2 | 20 | D +1.2 | D +0.5 | D +3.7 | 4.5 | 0.37 |
28 | 28 | Emerson College | 88 | 142 | yes | no | IVR/Online | no | -1.1 | -0.5 | A- | R +0.0 | 81% | 18% | 5.0 | 6.1 | -0.9 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -0.5 | 113 | R +0.0 | R +0.0 | R +1.4 | 4.8 | 0.23 |
104 | 104 | Ethridge & Associates LLC | 89 | 6 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.7 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 83% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.6 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 6 | R +0.7 | R +0.1 | R +3.4 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
207 | 207 | FM3 Research | 91 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.7 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.6 | 79% | 29% | 5.9 | 5.9 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 7 | D +5.5 | D +0.6 | D +6.9 | 8.3 | 0.0 |
132 | 132 | Fabrizio Ward | 90 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 33% | 33% | 5.7 | 6.2 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3 | D +2.1 | D +0.3 | R +4.5 | 0.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );