pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
430 rows sorted by Races Called Correctly
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly ▼ | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
144 | 144 | QEV Analytics | 266 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | 0% | 0% | 7.3 | 6.5 | 1.0 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
146 | 146 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | 0% | 0% | 6.8 | 10.6 | -3.7 | -3.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
158 | 158 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.7 | -3.8 | -3.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +0.0 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
162 | 162 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.8 | -3.0 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.6 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
169 | 169 | Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies | 460 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 2.0 | 6.8 | -4.5 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.0 | R +0.1 | R +2.4 | 3.0 | 2.58 |
196 | 196 | Strategic Services | 319 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 5.5 | 5.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +5.5 | D +0.1 | D +2.0 | 0.0 | |
217 | 217 | Harvard University | 135 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 6.9 | 6.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +6.9 | D +0.1 | D +1.5 | 2.0 | 2.69 |
219 | 219 | A&A Research | 2 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 3.7 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 10.1 | 6.4 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +10.1 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
221 | 221 | TMR Research | 328 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 2.7 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 0% | 50% | 7.8 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2 | D +7.8 | D +0.2 | D +6.7 | 0.0 | |
222 | 222 | California State University, Bakersfield | 41 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 4.4 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 9.9 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +9.9 | R +0.1 | R +14.0 | 0.0 | |
228 | 228 | Marketing Research Institute | 192 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 4.6 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 7.4 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +7.4 | R +0.1 | R +7.3 | 0.0 | |
230 | 230 | Feldman Group | 93 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 4.0 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 10.8 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | D +10.8 | D +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
236 | 236 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | 16 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 5.8 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 13.7 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +13.7 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
256 | 256 | Glover Park Group | 120 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 4.4 | 0.6 | B/C° | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 11.4 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1 | R +11.4 | R +0.4 | R +8.0 | 0.0 | |
257 | 257 | Anderson Group | 12 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 7.9 | 0.6 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 10.9 | 4.4 | 6.7 | 7.9 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1 | R +10.9 | R +0.2 | R +5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
260 | 260 | SMS Research & Marketing Services Inc. | 296 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 4.6 | 0.6 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 9.8 | 5.1 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1 | R +9.8 | R +0.2 | R +0.3 | 0.3 | 3.23 |
263 | 263 | Lauer Johnson Research | 167 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 7.2 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 13.8 | 6.4 | 7.6 | 7.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1 | D +13.8 | D +0.3 | D +17.0 | 0.0 | |
286 | 286 | Jeffrey Stonecash | 158 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 11.9 | 0.7 | B/C° | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 17.3 | 4.8 | 12.7 | 11.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1 | R +17.3 | R +0.4 | R +16.5 | 22.0 | 0.0 |
306 | 306 | Massie & Associates | 199 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 15.2 | 0.8 | B/C° | R +0.6 | 0% | 100% | 23.9 | 7.0 | 17.1 | 15.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2 | R +23.9 | R +0.6 | 0.0 | ||
316 | 316 | Sacred Heart University | 453 | 1 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.8 | 0.9 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 0% | 0% | 5.6 | 5.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1 | R +5.6 | R +0.3 | R +8.8 | 6.4 | 0.0 |
329 | 329 | Harper Polling/Clarity Campaign Labs | 513 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 2.0 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 0% | 0% | 7.0 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1 | D +7.0 | D +0.4 | D +4.8 | 0.0 | |
359 | 359 | Victory Enterprises | 525 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 9.4 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.6 | 0% | 100% | 17.3 | 6.7 | 10.9 | 9.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1 | R +17.3 | R +0.6 | 0.0 | ||
362 | 362 | Riggs Research Services | 289 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 25.4 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +1.0 | 0% | 100% | 33.7 | 5.9 | 28.0 | 25.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1 | D +33.7 | D +1.0 | D +29.0 | 29.0 | 0.0 |
364 | 364 | Craciun Research Group | 61 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 16.9 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.9 | 0% | 100% | 18.7 | 6.2 | 12.7 | 16.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1 | D +18.7 | D +0.9 | D +11.3 | 0.0 | |
389 | 389 | co/efficient | 514 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Text | no | 0.4 | 1.4 | C/D° | D +0.2 | 0% | 0% | 3.5 | 4.1 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1 | D +3.5 | D +0.2 | R +0.5 | 3.0 | 1.04 |
397 | 397 | Great Lakes Strategies Group | 125 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.1 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 7.6 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1 | R +7.6 | R +0.2 | R +10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 |
399 | 399 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.0 | 1.4 | C/D° | 0% | 100% | 21.6 | 7.5 | 14.3 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
405 | 405 | Strategy Research | 322 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 5.2 | 1.5 | C/D° | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 8.6 | 3.2 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1 | R +8.6 | R +0.4 | R +4.7 | 3.8 | 0.0 |
406 | 406 | Glascock Group | 116 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 6.3 | 1.5 | C/D° | R +0.5 | 0% | 100% | 12.1 | 4.4 | 7.9 | 6.3 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1 | R +12.1 | R +0.5 | 0.0 | ||
412 | 412 | Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne | 150 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 9.7 | 1.6 | C/D° | 0% | 100% | 23.5 | 8.9 | 14.7 | 9.7 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
413 | 413 | Saguaro Strategies | 298 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 4.5 | 1.6 | C/D° | D +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 5.0 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2 | D +5.0 | D +0.4 | D +4.1 | 2.7 | 0.24 |
421 | 421 | TP Research | 452 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.8 | 2.0 | C/D° | R +1.6 | 0% | 100% | 15.6 | 6.3 | 9.5 | 7.8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | R +15.6 | R +1.6 | R +8.3 | 7.1 | 0.37 |
5 | 5 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | 94 | 25 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.0 | -1.2 | A/B° | R +1.0 | 100% | 16% | 3.9 | 5.5 | -1.5 | -2.0 | -0.8 | -1.2 | 18 | R +3.3 | R +1.0 | D +0.6 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
11 | 11 | Data Orbital | 73 | 8 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | -0.9 | A/B° | D +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 2.2 | 5.3 | -3.0 | -2.8 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 8 | D +0.9 | D +0.3 | R +1.4 | 3.7 | 0.73 |
12 | 12 | National Journal | 224 | 12 | yes | yes | Live | no | -3.2 | -0.9 | A/B° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 6.2 | -3.4 | -3.2 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 12 | R +0.6 | R +0.2 | D +0.3 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
13 | 13 | Stockton University | 317 | 10 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.4 | -0.8 | A/B° | D +0.7 | 100% | 20% | 3.9 | 5.3 | -1.2 | -1.4 | -0.5 | -0.8 | 10 | D +2.2 | D +0.7 | D +0.7 | 6.1 | 0.0 |
21 | 21 | Michigan State University | 463 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -7.6 | -0.6 | A/B° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.0 | 9.6 | -8.4 | -7.6 | -0.8 | -0.6 | 2 | R +0.5 | R +0.1 | R +1.5 | 0.0 | |
25 | 25 | Temple University | 336 | 6 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -1.4 | -0.6 | A/B° | R +0.2 | 100% | 17% | 3.7 | 5.2 | -1.3 | -1.4 | -0.2 | -0.6 | 5 | R +2.5 | R +0.2 | D +0.8 | 3.6 | 0.11 |
27 | 27 | High Point University | 139 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -5.2 | -0.6 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.0 | 5.2 | -4.1 | -5.2 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 2 | D +0.1 | D +0.0 | D +1.8 | 3.3 | 0.81 |
32 | 32 | Winthrop University | 386 | 1 | yes | yes | Live | no | -4.3 | -0.5 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.2 | 4.6 | -4.3 | -4.3 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 1 | D +0.2 | D +0.0 | R +0.9 | 3.8 | 0.61 |
34 | 34 | Indiana University | 149 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -4.5 | -0.5 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.1 | -5.1 | -4.5 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +0.0 | D +4.1 | 0.0 | |
35 | 35 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | -0.5 | A/B° | 100% | 33% | 9.9 | 9.2 | 0.9 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
36 | 36 | Public Policy Institute of California | 262 | 13 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | -0.4 | A/B° | R +1.1 | 100% | 15% | 4.7 | 5.7 | -0.8 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 9 | R +4.4 | R +1.1 | R +1.5 | 0.0 | |
44 | 44 | University of Illinois at Chicago | 352 | 1 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | 6.9 | -0.3 | A/B° | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 14.1 | 5.4 | 8.9 | 6.9 | 0.1 | -0.3 | 1 | R +14.1 | R +0.2 | R +5.1 | 0.0 | |
51 | 51 | Christopher Newport University | 50 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.2 | -0.2 | A/B° | D +0.6 | 100% | 13% | 3.5 | 4.9 | -1.2 | -2.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 8 | D +2.2 | D +0.6 | D +1.6 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
61 | 61 | Public Religion Research Institute | 428 | 1 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -2.7 | -0.1 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.4 | 5.1 | -4.4 | -2.7 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 1 | D +0.4 | D +0.0 | D +1.6 | 2.0 | 1.23 |
62 | 62 | Fleming & Associates | 96 | 17 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.6 | -0.1 | A/B° | R +0.5 | 100% | 12% | 5.0 | 6.3 | -1.1 | -1.6 | -0.6 | -0.1 | 15 | R +1.4 | R +0.5 | R +0.2 | 3.4 | 0.69 |
65 | 65 | University of Arkansas | 345 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | 0.0 | A/B° | D +0.7 | 100% | 0% | 3.8 | 5.5 | -1.5 | -2.8 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 6 | D +3.8 | D +0.7 | R +4.2 | 6.9 | 0.0 |
70 | 70 | University of South Alabama | 361 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.7 | 0.1 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 5.3 | -2.4 | -2.7 | -0.4 | 0.1 | 8 | R +1.9 | R +0.3 | R +1.5 | 5.9 | 0.03 |
71 | 71 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | 127 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | 0.1 | B/C° | R +0.7 | 100% | 50% | 4.4 | 4.9 | -0.3 | -1.0 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 6 | R +4.2 | R +0.7 | D +1.6 | 6.2 | 0.0 |
72 | 72 | Clemson University | 54 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.3 | 0.1 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 40% | 10.3 | 7.5 | 2.9 | -2.3 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 1 | R +16.7 | R +0.3 | R +9.7 | 17.1 | 0.0 |
73 | 73 | Market Research Institute Inc. | 186 | 9 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.5 | 0.1 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 11% | 2.9 | 5.5 | -2.3 | -2.5 | -0.4 | 0.1 | 9 | R +1.4 | R +0.2 | R +0.8 | 4.6 | 0.51 |
75 | 75 | University of Washington | 364 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.5 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.7 | 5.6 | -1.7 | -1.5 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 9 | D +0.3 | D +0.1 | D +3.4 | 5.3 | 0.42 |
80 | 80 | Financial Dynamics | 95 | 15 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.2 | 0.1 | B/C° | R +0.6 | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 4.7 | -1.8 | -1.2 | -0.4 | 0.1 | 15 | R +2.0 | R +0.6 | R +2.1 | 2.5 | 0.59 |
83 | 83 | Crawford Johnson & Northcott Inc. | 63 | 5 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.8 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 40% | 4.7 | 7.4 | -2.6 | -2.8 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 1 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
90 | 90 | Market Research Insight | 185 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 22% | 4.0 | 5.1 | -0.9 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 7 | D +0.3 | D +0.1 | D +1.9 | 6.9 | 0.0 |
91 | 91 | Orion Strategies | 246 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.0 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.1 | 6.6 | -3.3 | -4.0 | -0.4 | 0.2 | 3 | D +1.3 | D +0.1 | D +6.3 | 2.6 | 0.35 |
93 | 93 | Y2 Analytics | 389 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 100% | 50% | 9.6 | 5.8 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 3 | D +3.3 | D +0.4 | R +6.5 | 7.1 | 0.0 |
95 | 95 | Marshall Marketing & Communications | 196 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.5 | 0.2 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 6.6 | -3.6 | -2.5 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 3 | R +2.2 | R +0.2 | R +0.5 | 0.0 | |
98 | 98 | Northern Arizona University | 234 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.1 | 0.2 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 25% | 3.6 | 5.6 | -1.9 | -3.1 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 4 | R +3.3 | R +0.3 | R +5.1 | 6.0 | 0.18 |
101 | 101 | Middle Tennessee State University | 208 | 6 | yes | yes | Live | no | 3.3 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +1.1 | 100% | 67% | 10.1 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 5 | D +6.5 | D +1.1 | R +2.8 | 5.0 | 0.12 |
102 | 102 | University of Massachusetts Amherst | 354 | 11 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.9 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 36% | 6.5 | 8.1 | -1.4 | -0.9 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 2 | R +7.2 | R +0.2 | R +1.8 | 7.4 | 0.0 |
103 | 103 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.1 | -2.4 | -3.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 2 | D +2.5 | D +0.2 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | |
110 | 110 | Dittman Research | 79 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.8 | 100% | 33% | 5.9 | 6.1 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 6 | D +6.1 | D +0.8 | D +0.7 | 10.9 | 0.0 |
111 | 111 | Richard Day Research Inc. | 287 | 11 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.5 | 100% | 36% | 5.5 | 5.3 | 0.4 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 11 | R +2.9 | R +0.5 | R +0.9 | 5.5 | 0.0 |
114 | 114 | RBI Strategies & Research | 271 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -6.6 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.7 | -4.8 | -6.6 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 1 | R +0.7 | R +0.0 | D +3.5 | 5.1 | 0.17 |
115 | 115 | MSR Group | 178 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.8 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.8 | -3.1 | -3.8 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 3 | D +3.5 | D +0.2 | D +1.3 | 0.0 | |
117 | 117 | Victory Research | 437 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.3 | 4.1 | -3.5 | -5.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 1 | D +0.3 | D +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
118 | 118 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.7 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 5.8 | -3.7 | -4.7 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | D +1.9 | D +0.1 | R +4.1 | 0.0 | |
119 | 119 | Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Martin Campaigns | 455 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 6.0 | -3.2 | -3.5 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | R +2.6 | R +0.1 | D +3.0 | 0.0 | |
120 | 120 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.2 | 0.3 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 7.0 | 9.1 | -2.0 | -2.2 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
124 | 124 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -6.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 8.2 | -6.0 | -6.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
125 | 125 | Starboard Communications | 316 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.3 | 4.7 | -1.3 | -5.5 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | R +7.3 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
126 | 126 | U.S. News & World Report | 342 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.0 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 6.0 | -3.9 | -5.0 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 3 | R +0.8 | R +0.0 | D +1.2 | 4.9 | 0.82 |
127 | 127 | University of Wisconsin Milwaukee | 366 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.0 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 33% | 5.3 | 6.8 | -1.3 | -2.0 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 3 | R +5.3 | R +0.2 | R +2.1 | 0.0 | |
128 | 128 | Mercyhurst University | 422 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.7 | -4.8 | -5.1 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | R +0.7 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
129 | 129 | Odney | 524 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.1 | 6.3 | -4.1 | -4.6 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | D +2.1 | D +0.1 | R +8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
130 | 130 | Scripps Howard | 303 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 25% | 3.8 | 4.5 | -0.6 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 4 | R +0.6 | R +0.0 | R +2.3 | 2.8 | 0.54 |
131 | 131 | Market Decisions | 184 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 25% | 5.2 | 5.2 | 0.1 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 4 | R +0.5 | R +0.0 | D +0.4 | 6.1 | 0.51 |
133 | 133 | Centre College | 47 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.4 | -1.3 | -1.6 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +3.9 | D +0.2 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
134 | 134 | Richmond Times-Dispatch | 288 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.3 | 4.9 | -1.4 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 4 | D +2.9 | D +0.2 | D +2.4 | 5.0 | 0.17 |
135 | 135 | Market Solutions Group | 188 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 25% | 4.3 | 6.4 | -1.9 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 2 | R +0.1 | R +0.0 | D +1.8 | 4.4 | 0.45 |
137 | 137 | Frank N. Magid Associates Inc. | 105 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 100% | 25% | 4.6 | 5.7 | -0.9 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 4 | D +4.6 | D +0.3 | R +0.9 | 4.0 | 0.76 |
139 | 139 | Midwest Survey and Research | 209 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 33% | 7.3 | 5.9 | 1.6 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 3 | R +1.0 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
140 | 140 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 8.7 | 8.8 | 0.1 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
142 | 142 | Southern Media & Opinion Research | 310 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.7 | 100% | 14% | 5.6 | 5.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 7 | D +3.2 | D +0.7 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
143 | 143 | Neighborhood Research and Media | 227 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.4 | 6.5 | -2.9 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +3.4 | R +0.1 | R +7.2 | 8.4 | 0.0 |
145 | 145 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.3 | -4.3 | -5.9 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.8 | D +0.0 | R +13.0 | 0.0 | |
147 | 147 | Winston Group | 385 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 6.3 | 6.7 | -0.2 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +6.3 | D +0.2 | R +8.0 | 0.0 | |
149 | 149 | Louis Harris & Associates | 173 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 5.1 | -4.0 | -4.9 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +0.0 | D +5.4 | 5.5 | 0.0 |
151 | 151 | Manhattanville College | 181 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 33% | 6.5 | 6.6 | 0.1 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | R +8.2 | R +0.2 | D +0.3 | 7.2 | 0.0 |
152 | 152 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 5.7 | 8.4 | -2.6 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 9.2 | 0.0 | ||||
153 | 153 | Knowledge Networks | 164 | 3 | yes | no | Online | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 33% | 4.1 | 4.5 | -0.2 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3 | R +4.1 | R +0.3 | R +0.3 | 3.2 | 0.08 |
154 | 154 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 17 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 5.7 | -2.1 | -2.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +3.5 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
155 | 155 | Jim Meader (KELOLAND-TV) | 159 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 100% | 25% | 4.6 | 5.5 | -0.8 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 4 | D +4.6 | D +0.3 | D +4.4 | 0.0 | |
156 | 156 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 0.1 | 8.3 | -8.0 | -5.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
157 | 157 | University of Tennessee | 362 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -5.4 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.7 | R +0.1 | R +5.4 | 0.0 | |
159 | 159 | Wood Communications Group | 388 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.8 | 6.4 | -5.4 | -4.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +0.8 | D +0.0 | D +3.0 | 2.0 | 3.28 |
160 | 160 | RMS Research | 273 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.7 | -5.6 | -5.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +0.9 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
161 | 161 | Market Strategies International | 189 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.1 | 6.3 | -5.1 | -5.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +1.1 | R +0.0 | R +4.6 | 3.6 | 1.27 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );