pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error ▼ | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
156 | 156 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 0.1 | 8.3 | -8.0 | -5.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
32 | 32 | Winthrop University | 386 | 1 | yes | yes | Live | no | -4.3 | -0.5 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.2 | 4.6 | -4.3 | -4.3 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 1 | D +0.2 | D +0.0 | R +0.9 | 3.8 | 0.61 |
117 | 117 | Victory Research | 437 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.3 | 4.1 | -3.5 | -5.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 1 | D +0.3 | D +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
61 | 61 | Public Religion Research Institute | 428 | 1 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -2.7 | -0.1 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.4 | 5.1 | -4.4 | -2.7 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 1 | D +0.4 | D +0.0 | D +1.6 | 2.0 | 1.23 |
368 | 368 | Revily | 284 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.8 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.5 | 4.8 | -4.1 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +0.5 | R +0.0 | 2.0 | 1.58 | |
291 | 291 | 1892 Polling | 461 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -2.2 | 0.7 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.6 | 4.0 | -3.2 | -2.2 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | R +0.6 | R +0.0 | R +4.3 | 7.6 | 0.0 |
114 | 114 | RBI Strategies & Research | 271 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -6.6 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.7 | -4.8 | -6.6 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 1 | R +0.7 | R +0.0 | D +3.5 | 5.1 | 0.17 |
128 | 128 | Mercyhurst University | 422 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.7 | -4.8 | -5.1 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | R +0.7 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
341 | 341 | Strategic National | 318 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -6.9 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 25% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.1 | -4.2 | -6.9 | -0.6 | 1.1 | 2 | D +0.7 | D +0.1 | R +4.8 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
347 | 347 | Ogden & Fry | 425 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -5.8 | 1.1 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 4.4 | -3.5 | -5.8 | -0.4 | 1.1 | 2 | R +0.2 | R +0.0 | R +6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 |
159 | 159 | Wood Communications Group | 388 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.8 | 6.4 | -5.4 | -4.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +0.8 | D +0.0 | D +3.0 | 2.0 | 3.28 |
380 | 380 | Singularis Group | 306 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.8 | 1.3 | C/D° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.8 | 4.1 | -3.1 | -1.8 | -0.1 | 1.3 | 1 | R +0.8 | R +0.0 | D +2.0 | 2.0 | 2.38 |
34 | 34 | Indiana University | 149 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -4.5 | -0.5 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.1 | -5.1 | -4.5 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +0.0 | D +4.1 | 0.0 | |
149 | 149 | Louis Harris & Associates | 173 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 5.1 | -4.0 | -4.9 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +0.0 | D +5.4 | 5.5 | 0.0 |
160 | 160 | RMS Research | 273 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.7 | -5.6 | -5.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +0.9 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
21 | 21 | Michigan State University | 463 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -7.6 | -0.6 | A/B° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.0 | 9.6 | -8.4 | -7.6 | -0.8 | -0.6 | 2 | R +0.5 | R +0.1 | R +1.5 | 0.0 | |
27 | 27 | High Point University | 139 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -5.2 | -0.6 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.0 | 5.2 | -4.1 | -5.2 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 2 | D +0.1 | D +0.0 | D +1.8 | 3.3 | 0.81 |
39 | 39 | University of Florida | 349 | 1 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | -0.4 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 50% | 0% | 1.1 | 4.6 | -3.4 | -1.0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 1 | D +1.1 | D +0.0 | R +0.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
161 | 161 | Market Strategies International | 189 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.1 | 6.3 | -5.1 | -5.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +1.1 | R +0.0 | R +4.6 | 3.6 | 1.27 |
333 | 333 | University of Texas | 363 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | -5.0 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 5.6 | -4.3 | -5.0 | -0.6 | 1.0 | 4 | D +1.1 | D +0.1 | D +2.8 | 0.0 | |
342 | 342 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.9 | 1.1 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 7.1 | -5.8 | -3.9 | -0.3 | 1.1 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
369 | 369 | AFL-CIO | 526 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 4.9 | -3.5 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +1.2 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
357 | 357 | Forward Strategies | 102 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.8 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.3 | 5.2 | -3.7 | -2.8 | -0.2 | 1.2 | 2 | D +1.3 | D +0.1 | D +3.4 | 3.4 | 1.1 |
185 | 185 | University of North Carolina | 359 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.6 | 5.5 | -3.7 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.6 | D +0.0 | R +1.3 | 1.0 | 2.97 |
158 | 158 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.7 | -3.8 | -3.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +0.0 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
171 | 171 | Lauer Lalley Victoria Inc. | 168 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 6.6 | -4.7 | -3.9 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +1.7 | R +0.0 | D +4.0 | 0.0 | |
349 | 349 | OnPoint | 240 | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.3 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.3 | -3.5 | -2.3 | -0.2 | 1.1 | 4 | D +1.6 | D +0.1 | D +2.3 | 3.7 | 0.79 |
145 | 145 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.3 | -4.3 | -5.9 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.8 | D +0.0 | R +13.0 | 0.0 | |
323 | 323 | Praecones Analytica | 257 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | -5.4 | 0.9 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 33% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.4 | -4.4 | -5.4 | -0.7 | 0.9 | 3 | R +1.8 | R +0.2 | R +5.3 | 5.1 | 0.77 |
118 | 118 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.7 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 5.8 | -3.7 | -4.7 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | D +1.9 | D +0.1 | R +4.1 | 0.0 | |
126 | 126 | U.S. News & World Report | 342 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.0 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 6.0 | -3.9 | -5.0 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 3 | R +0.8 | R +0.0 | D +1.2 | 4.9 | 0.82 |
77 | 77 | Strategies 360 | 321 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.9 | 0.1 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 63% | 0% | 2.0 | 5.6 | -3.4 | -2.9 | -0.4 | 0.1 | 4 | R +0.6 | R +0.1 | D +1.0 | 4.2 | 0.48 |
124 | 124 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -6.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 8.2 | -6.0 | -6.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
169 | 169 | Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies | 460 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 2.0 | 6.8 | -4.5 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.0 | R +0.1 | R +2.4 | 3.0 | 2.58 |
376 | 376 | BIGresearch | 19 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -2.9 | 1.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1.8 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 1.3 | 1 | D +2.0 | D +0.0 | 6.4 | 0.0 | |
6 | 6 | IBD/TIPP | 144 | 22 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.0 | -1.1 | A/B° | R +0.8 | 73% | 5% | 2.1 | 4.0 | -1.7 | -2.0 | -0.9 | -1.1 | 22 | R +1.8 | R +0.8 | R +1.3 | 3.4 | 0.23 |
129 | 129 | Odney | 524 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.1 | 6.3 | -4.1 | -4.6 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | D +2.1 | D +0.1 | R +8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
313 | 313 | CVOTER International | 40 | 5 | no | no | Online | no | -1.6 | 0.9 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 2.1 | 3.3 | -1.1 | -1.6 | -0.3 | 0.9 | 5 | R +1.8 | R +0.3 | R +0.3 | 3.1 | 0.08 |
11 | 11 | Data Orbital | 73 | 8 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | -0.9 | A/B° | D +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 2.2 | 5.3 | -3.0 | -2.8 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 8 | D +0.9 | D +0.3 | R +1.4 | 3.7 | 0.73 |
188 | 188 | Schoen Consulting | 301 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.3 | 4.5 | -2.1 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.3 | R +0.1 | R +1.8 | 1.8 | 0.99 |
81 | 81 | Keating Research Inc. | 161 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.1 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 80% | 0% | 2.4 | 5.0 | -2.4 | -2.1 | -0.4 | 0.1 | 5 | D +0.9 | D +0.2 | D +3.0 | 3.4 | 0.76 |
113 | 113 | Frederick Polls | 108 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 75% | 0% | 2.4 | 6.6 | -4.0 | -5.5 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 1 | R +0.6 | R +0.0 | D +4.5 | 10.5 | 0.0 |
103 | 103 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.1 | -2.4 | -3.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 2 | D +2.5 | D +0.2 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | |
148 | 148 | Insights West | 151 | 9 | no | no | Online | no | -3.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 94% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.7 | -3.1 | -3.6 | -1.1 | 0.4 | 8 | R +0.4 | R +0.1 | R +0.9 | 3.4 | 1.14 |
371 | 371 | Cranford & Associates | 62 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -3.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.5 | -2.8 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | D +2.5 | D +0.1 | D +9.5 | 0.0 | |
12 | 12 | National Journal | 224 | 12 | yes | yes | Live | no | -3.2 | -0.9 | A/B° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 6.2 | -3.4 | -3.2 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 12 | R +0.6 | R +0.2 | D +0.3 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
119 | 119 | Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Martin Campaigns | 455 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 6.0 | -3.2 | -3.5 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | R +2.6 | R +0.1 | D +3.0 | 0.0 | |
162 | 162 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.8 | -3.0 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.6 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
317 | 317 | Lucid | 175 | 15 | no | no | Online | no | 0.1 | 0.9 | B/C° | D +0.9 | 100% | 13% | 2.6 | 3.5 | -0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 15 | D +2.0 | D +0.9 | D +1.6 | 3.9 | 0.0 |
360 | 360 | CSP Polling | 39 | 1 | no | no | Online | yes | -2.5 | 1.2 | F | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.6 | -2.8 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | D +2.6 | D +0.1 | R +2.6 | 4.1 | 0.8 |
104 | 104 | Ethridge & Associates LLC | 89 | 6 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.7 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 83% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.6 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 6 | R +0.7 | R +0.1 | R +3.4 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
157 | 157 | University of Tennessee | 362 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -5.4 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.7 | R +0.1 | R +5.4 | 0.0 | |
193 | 193 | Meeting Street Research | 204 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +2.7 | D +0.1 | 3.0 | 1.39 | |
229 | 229 | Riley Research Associates | 290 | 7 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | -2.3 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.6 | -2.8 | -2.3 | -0.3 | 0.5 | 7 | R +0.6 | R +0.1 | R +1.4 | 0.0 | |
391 | 391 | RAND (American Life Panel) | 270 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | 1.4 | C/D° | D +0.2 | 100% | 25% | 2.7 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4 | D +1.4 | D +0.2 | D +3.8 | 4.3 | 0.0 |
3 | 3 | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 63 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.5 | -1.3 | A+ | D +0.6 | 79% | 5% | 2.8 | 4.6 | -1.7 | -1.5 | -1.1 | -1.3 | 58 | D +0.9 | D +0.6 | D +1.5 | 3.8 | 0.02 |
8 | 8 | Marquette University Law School | 195 | 11 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.4 | -1.0 | A/B° | D +0.3 | 77% | 9% | 2.8 | 5.6 | -2.6 | -2.4 | -0.8 | -1.0 | 8 | D +1.0 | D +0.3 | R +0.2 | 4.9 | 0.0 |
70 | 70 | University of South Alabama | 361 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.7 | 0.1 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 5.3 | -2.4 | -2.7 | -0.4 | 0.1 | 8 | R +1.9 | R +0.3 | R +1.5 | 5.9 | 0.03 |
80 | 80 | Financial Dynamics | 95 | 15 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.2 | 0.1 | B/C° | R +0.6 | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 4.7 | -1.8 | -1.2 | -0.4 | 0.1 | 15 | R +2.0 | R +0.6 | R +2.1 | 2.5 | 0.59 |
95 | 95 | Marshall Marketing & Communications | 196 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.5 | 0.2 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 6.6 | -3.6 | -2.5 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 3 | R +2.2 | R +0.2 | R +0.5 | 0.0 | |
183 | 183 | Wick Communications | 381 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 6.3 | -3.2 | -1.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +2.8 | D +0.1 | D +4.0 | 5.0 | 1.19 |
358 | 358 | Data for Progress | 522 | 1 | no | no | Text | no | -1.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 3.7 | -0.7 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 0 | 5.3 | 0.0 | ||||
73 | 73 | Market Research Institute Inc. | 186 | 9 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.5 | 0.1 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 11% | 2.9 | 5.5 | -2.3 | -2.5 | -0.4 | 0.1 | 9 | R +1.4 | R +0.2 | R +0.8 | 4.6 | 0.51 |
86 | 86 | McKeon & Associates | 202 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.1 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 67% | 33% | 2.9 | 5.9 | -2.8 | -4.1 | -0.5 | 0.2 | 2 | D +3.0 | D +0.2 | D +0.5 | 12.8 | 0.0 |
165 | 165 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 29 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.9 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +1.6 | D +0.1 | D +3.0 | 0.0 | |
166 | 166 | Dynamic Marketing Inc. | 83 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 6.2 | -3.0 | -4.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +3.0 | D +0.0 | R +7.5 | 0.0 | |
178 | 178 | Global Strategy Group/National Research (Philadelphia Inquirer) | 119 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 25% | 3.0 | 5.3 | -2.1 | -1.6 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 4 | R +2.7 | R +0.3 | D +0.1 | 2.3 | 1.93 |
198 | 198 | New England College | 228 | 15 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.2 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.7 | 77% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.0 | -1.8 | -1.2 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 15 | R +1.9 | R +0.7 | R +3.3 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
296 | 296 | Multi-Quest International | 220 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -2.4 | 0.8 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 50% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.8 | -2.6 | -2.4 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 2 | R +1.1 | R +0.1 | D +0.7 | 3.2 | 1.35 |
330 | 330 | Schroth, Eldon & Associates | 302 | 12 | no | no | Landline | no | -0.6 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.6 | 83% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.4 | -2.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 1.0 | 10 | D +2.2 | D +0.6 | D +0.2 | 3.5 | 0.49 |
331 | 331 | Morning Consult | 218 | 12 | no | no | Online | no | 0.2 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 75% | 25% | 3.0 | 3.5 | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 12 | D +0.6 | D +0.2 | R +0.6 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
366 | 366 | Purple Strategies | 265 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | -1.2 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.4 | 88% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.8 | -1.6 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 4 | R +3.0 | R +0.4 | R +0.0 | 2.0 | 1.32 |
382 | 382 | People's Pundit Daily | 251 | 3 | no | no | Online | yes | 1.0 | 1.3 | F | R +0.4 | 33% | 33% | 3.0 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 3 | R +3.0 | R +0.4 | R +4.8 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
14 | 14 | Grove Insight | 129 | 29 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | -0.8 | A/B° | D +0.5 | 90% | 7% | 3.1 | 5.8 | -2.4 | -2.8 | -1.4 | -0.8 | 29 | D +1.0 | D +0.5 | D +3.4 | 3.6 | 0.71 |
91 | 91 | Orion Strategies | 246 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.0 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.1 | 6.6 | -3.3 | -4.0 | -0.4 | 0.2 | 3 | D +1.3 | D +0.1 | D +6.3 | 2.6 | 0.35 |
351 | 351 | M4 Strategies | 177 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | -4.4 | 1.1 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 3.1 | 3.3 | 0.0 | -4.4 | -0.3 | 1.1 | 2 | R +3.1 | R +0.2 | D +4.8 | 6.7 | 0.0 |
33 | 33 | Elon University | 86 | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | -0.5 | A/B° | D +0.6 | 50% | 14% | 3.2 | 4.7 | -1.3 | -1.0 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 7 | D +2.7 | D +0.6 | D +1.1 | 3.7 | 0.47 |
59 | 59 | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 30 | no | no | Online | no | -2.5 | -0.1 | B+ | R +1.3 | 93% | 7% | 3.2 | 5.6 | -2.2 | -2.5 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 30 | R +2.6 | R +1.3 | D +0.9 | 3.1 | 0.82 |
60 | 60 | Cygnal | 67 | 12 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | -3.0 | -0.1 | A/B° | D +1.1 | 92% | 0% | 3.2 | 5.7 | -2.3 | -3.0 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 12 | D +2.8 | D +1.1 | R +1.1 | 3.7 | 0.67 |
89 | 89 | Louisville Courier-Journal | 174 | 10 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.5 | 0.2 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 80% | 10% | 3.3 | 5.2 | -1.7 | -1.5 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 10 | R +1.3 | R +0.2 | R +1.6 | 5.4 | 0.32 |
125 | 125 | Starboard Communications | 316 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.3 | 4.7 | -1.3 | -5.5 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | R +7.3 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
134 | 134 | Richmond Times-Dispatch | 288 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.3 | 4.9 | -1.4 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 4 | D +2.9 | D +0.2 | D +2.4 | 5.0 | 0.17 |
7 | 7 | Muhlenberg College | 219 | 29 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.2 | -1.0 | A+ | R +0.2 | 84% | 7% | 3.4 | 6.0 | -2.5 | -2.2 | -1.2 | -1.0 | 28 | R +0.4 | R +0.2 | D +0.2 | 3.9 | 0.84 |
143 | 143 | Neighborhood Research and Media | 227 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.4 | 6.5 | -2.9 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +3.4 | R +0.1 | R +7.2 | 8.4 | 0.0 |
177 | 177 | Associated Industries of Florida | 18 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 50% | 0% | 3.4 | 4.5 | -0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +3.4 | D +0.3 | D +1.0 | 0.0 | |
232 | 232 | University of Denver | 348 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.4 | 5.3 | -1.7 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2 | R +1.0 | R +0.1 | R +0.4 | 2.4 | 1.63 |
19 | 19 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain) | 27 | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.4 | -0.7 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 71% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.5 | -2.9 | -2.4 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 5 | D +0.6 | D +0.0 | R +2.1 | 9.4 | 0.0 |
23 | 23 | MassINC Polling Group | 198 | 16 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.2 | -0.6 | A/B° | R +0.8 | 88% | 13% | 3.5 | 6.5 | -2.8 | -2.2 | -0.9 | -0.6 | 12 | R +2.4 | R +0.8 | R +1.4 | 6.1 | 0.06 |
50 | 50 | Georgetown University (Battleground) | 114 | 31 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | -0.2 | A/B° | R +0.8 | 55% | 19% | 3.5 | 4.3 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 31 | R +1.9 | R +0.8 | R +2.0 | 3.4 | 0.27 |
51 | 51 | Christopher Newport University | 50 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.2 | -0.2 | A/B° | D +0.6 | 100% | 13% | 3.5 | 4.9 | -1.2 | -2.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 8 | D +2.2 | D +0.6 | D +1.6 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
96 | 96 | Pew Research Center | 253 | 21 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.7 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.6 | 60% | 29% | 3.5 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 21 | D +1.5 | D +0.6 | D +0.9 | 3.5 | 0.0 |
115 | 115 | MSR Group | 178 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.8 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.8 | -3.1 | -3.8 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 3 | D +3.5 | D +0.2 | D +1.3 | 0.0 | |
154 | 154 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 17 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 5.7 | -2.1 | -2.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +3.5 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
167 | 167 | Vox Populi Polling | 529 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 8.3 | -4.6 | -3.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 6.7 | 0.0 | ||||
389 | 389 | co/efficient | 514 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Text | no | 0.4 | 1.4 | C/D° | D +0.2 | 0% | 0% | 3.5 | 4.1 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1 | D +3.5 | D +0.2 | R +0.5 | 3.0 | 1.04 |
16 | 16 | Ciruli Associates | 51 | 17 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.3 | -0.7 | A/B° | R +0.4 | 94% | 0% | 3.6 | 6.1 | -2.3 | -2.3 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 16 | R +2.1 | R +0.4 | R +2.5 | 5.0 | 0.72 |
22 | 22 | University of Connecticut | 347 | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.5 | -0.6 | A/B° | R +0.3 | 93% | 0% | 3.6 | 5.4 | -1.6 | -1.5 | -0.2 | -0.6 | 7 | R +1.9 | R +0.3 | R +2.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
67 | 67 | Harper Polling | 132 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -1.9 | 0.0 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 91% | 18% | 3.6 | 6.0 | -2.2 | -1.9 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 8 | D +0.5 | D +0.1 | R +0.6 | 5.3 | 0.0 |
78 | 78 | Montana State University Billings | 216 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.1 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 57% | 0% | 3.6 | 6.3 | -2.5 | -4.1 | -0.5 | 0.1 | 7 | D +3.0 | D +0.4 | D +2.6 | 0.0 | |
98 | 98 | Northern Arizona University | 234 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.1 | 0.2 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 25% | 3.6 | 5.6 | -1.9 | -3.1 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 4 | R +3.3 | R +0.3 | R +5.1 | 6.0 | 0.18 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );