pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid ▲ | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
430 | 430 | Jayhawk Consulting | 157 | 2 | no | no | Landline | no | 26.3 | 3.6 | C/D° | D +3.4 | 50% | 100% | 37.6 | 5.8 | 32.0 | 26.3 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 2 | D +37.6 | D +3.4 | D +10.9 | 0.0 | |
429 | 429 | Nielson Brothers Polling | 231 | 9 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.8 | 3.1 | C/D° | D +3.2 | 89% | 67% | 12.2 | 5.1 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 9 | D +12.2 | D +3.2 | D +9.9 | 8.2 | 0.0 |
428 | 428 | TCJ Research | 327 | 133 | no | no | IVR | yes | 3.0 | 3.0 | F | R +4.5 | 59% | 50% | 6.4 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 125 | R +5.6 | R +4.5 | R +3.5 | 4.4 | 0.0 |
427 | 427 | SurveyMonkey | 324 | 206 | no | no | Online | no | 2.3 | 2.6 | D- | D +5.1 | 84% | 54% | 7.2 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 193 | D +5.6 | D +5.1 | D +3.2 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
426 | 426 | Saint Leo University | 299 | 6 | no | no | Online | no | 6.7 | 2.6 | C/D° | D +2.0 | 33% | 67% | 8.5 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 6.7 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 6 | D +8.5 | D +2.0 | D +6.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
425 | 425 | Fort Hays State University | 101 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 9.7 | 2.5 | C/D° | R +1.7 | 67% | 50% | 22.1 | 8.8 | 13.5 | 9.7 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2 | R +18.8 | R +1.7 | R +27.7 | 28.3 | 0.0 |
424 | 424 | Brigham Young University | 34 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 8.2 | 2.3 | C/D° | D +2.4 | 75% | 75% | 16.5 | 8.7 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 4 | D +16.5 | D +2.4 | D +16.5 | 0.0 | |
423 | 423 | CPEC LLC | 38 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.5 | 2.1 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 16.2 | 8.0 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 11.6 | 0.0 | ||||
422 | 422 | Dane & Associates | 71 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 15.0 | 2.1 | C/D° | R +1.1 | 50% | 100% | 21.2 | 3.9 | 17.4 | 15.0 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | R +21.2 | R +1.1 | R +10.5 | 3.0 | 0.79 |
421 | 421 | TP Research | 452 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.8 | 2.0 | C/D° | R +1.6 | 0% | 100% | 15.6 | 6.3 | 9.5 | 7.8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | R +15.6 | R +1.6 | R +8.3 | 7.1 | 0.37 |
420 | 420 | Carroll Strategies | 450 | 5 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.4 | 2.0 | C/D° | R +2.1 | 80% | 60% | 9.9 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 5 | R +9.9 | R +2.1 | R +1.7 | 4.5 | 0.92 |
419 | 419 | Mitchell Research & Communications | 213 | 62 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 1.9 | 2.0 | D | D +0.8 | 63% | 42% | 7.4 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 40 | D +1.3 | D +0.8 | R +0.4 | 5.4 | 0.0 |
418 | 418 | Baydoun Consulting | 25 | 6 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.9 | 1.8 | C/D° | R +1.1 | 83% | 67% | 6.8 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 4 | R +8.7 | R +1.1 | R +6.6 | 7.9 | 0.0 |
417 | 417 | Brown University | 35 | 12 | no | yes | Live | no | 4.8 | 1.8 | C/D° | R +0.3 | 83% | 67% | 11.4 | 7.3 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 7 | R +2.2 | R +0.3 | R +0.1 | 3.9 | 0.53 |
416 | 416 | Zia Poll | 393 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.8 | 1.8 | C/D° | R +0.6 | 100% | 33% | 4.9 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 3 | R +4.9 | R +0.6 | R +3.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 |
415 | 415 | Opinion Research Associates | 242 | 14 | no | yes | Live | no | 5.0 | 1.8 | C/D° | D +2.3 | 61% | 43% | 9.4 | 6.1 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 14 | D +7.9 | D +2.3 | D +6.5 | 8.7 | 0.0 |
414 | 414 | Humphrey Institute | 143 | 10 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 6.5 | 1.7 | C/D° | D +0.6 | 40% | 50% | 13.1 | 6.0 | 7.3 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 8 | D +3.8 | D +0.6 | D +3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 |
413 | 413 | Saguaro Strategies | 298 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 4.5 | 1.6 | C/D° | D +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 5.0 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2 | D +5.0 | D +0.4 | D +4.1 | 2.7 | 0.24 |
412 | 412 | Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne | 150 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 9.7 | 1.6 | C/D° | 0% | 100% | 23.5 | 8.9 | 14.7 | 9.7 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
411 | 411 | Google Surveys | 122 | 24 | yes | no | Online | no | 2.8 | 1.6 | D+ | R +0.1 | 92% | 38% | 5.3 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 24 | R +0.2 | R +0.1 | R +0.7 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
410 | 410 | Baldwin Wallace University | 401 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 3.8 | 1.6 | C/D° | D +0.8 | 50% | 50% | 8.3 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +0.8 | D +3.5 | 0.0 | |
409 | 409 | ccAdvertising | 396 | 30 | no | yes | Live | no | 2.8 | 1.6 | C/D° | R +2.5 | 88% | 70% | 7.1 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 30 | R +5.1 | R +2.5 | R +3.3 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
408 | 408 | Spry Strategies | 508 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 10.0 | 1.5 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 14.6 | 4.8 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0 | 19.4 | 0.0 | ||||
407 | 407 | GaPundit.com | 111 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.8 | 1.5 | C/D° | D +0.6 | 25% | 100% | 8.3 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +0.6 | D +3.1 | 0.0 | |
406 | 406 | Glascock Group | 116 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 6.3 | 1.5 | C/D° | R +0.5 | 0% | 100% | 12.1 | 4.4 | 7.9 | 6.3 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1 | R +12.1 | R +0.5 | 0.0 | ||
405 | 405 | Strategy Research | 322 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 5.2 | 1.5 | C/D° | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 8.6 | 3.2 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1 | R +8.6 | R +0.4 | R +4.7 | 3.8 | 0.0 |
404 | 404 | Slingshot Strategies | 451 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 4.7 | 1.5 | C/D° | D +0.5 | 100% | 100% | 9.3 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1 | D +9.3 | D +0.5 | D +9.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
403 | 403 | GCR & Associates | 110 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 6.1 | 1.5 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 7.8 | 10.7 | 6.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
402 | 402 | Optimus | 245 | 15 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live/Text | no | 2.0 | 1.5 | C/D° | R +1.3 | 87% | 67% | 7.2 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 13 | R +3.4 | R +1.3 | R +2.1 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
401 | 401 | Merriman River Group | 207 | 21 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 2.2 | 1.5 | C/D° | R +2.3 | 81% | 57% | 7.7 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 20 | R +5.5 | R +2.3 | R +3.2 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
400 | 400 | Zata3 | 392 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.1 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 10.2 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 2 | R +4.0 | R +0.2 | D +0.0 | 0.0 | |
399 | 399 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.0 | 1.4 | C/D° | 0% | 100% | 21.6 | 7.5 | 14.3 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
398 | 398 | ResearchNow | 283 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 0.5 | 1.4 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 9.4 | 8.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | ||||
397 | 397 | Great Lakes Strategies Group | 125 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.1 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 7.6 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1 | R +7.6 | R +0.2 | R +10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 |
396 | 396 | Targoz Market Research | 454 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 1.4 | 1.4 | C/D° | D +0.8 | 88% | 50% | 6.8 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 4 | D +4.6 | D +0.8 | D +0.3 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
395 | 395 | Datamar | 75 | 8 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.3 | 69% | 38% | 6.3 | 5.9 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5 | R +2.9 | R +0.3 | R +3.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 |
394 | 394 | MarblePort | 182 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.6 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.5 | 100% | 100% | 5.6 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 2 | R +5.6 | R +0.5 | R +7.2 | 6.3 | 0.0 |
393 | 393 | McLaughlin & Associates | 203 | 23 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.7 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.6 | 78% | 35% | 6.0 | 5.8 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 23 | R +1.3 | R +0.6 | R +4.0 | 4.9 | 0.13 |
392 | 392 | TeleResearch Corporation | 335 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.3 | 1.4 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 8.6 | 7.7 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0 | 11.3 | 0.0 | ||||
391 | 391 | RAND (American Life Panel) | 270 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | 1.4 | C/D° | D +0.2 | 100% | 25% | 2.7 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4 | D +1.4 | D +0.2 | D +3.8 | 4.3 | 0.0 |
390 | 390 | Remington Research Group | 279 | 38 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.4 | 1.4 | C- | D +1.2 | 68% | 37% | 5.0 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 37 | D +1.9 | D +1.2 | R +1.9 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
389 | 389 | co/efficient | 514 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Text | no | 0.4 | 1.4 | C/D° | D +0.2 | 0% | 0% | 3.5 | 4.1 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1 | D +3.5 | D +0.2 | R +0.5 | 3.0 | 1.04 |
388 | 388 | CrossTarget | 66 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | 1.3 | C/D° | R +0.5 | 100% | 50% | 7.7 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2 | R +7.7 | R +0.5 | R +13.3 | 15.8 | 0.0 |
387 | 387 | Iona College | 152 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.0 | 1.3 | C/D° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 5.5 | -0.9 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | D +4.4 | D +0.1 | R +1.7 | 1.5 | 2.26 |
386 | 386 | Liberty Opinion Research | 169 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.6 | 1.3 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 5.7 | 6.9 | -1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.51 | ||||
385 | 385 | BWD Global | 527 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.8 | 1.3 | C/D° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 4.8 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | R +4.4 | R +0.2 | R +5.3 | 0.0 | |
384 | 384 | Trafalgar Group | 338 | 44 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 1.2 | 1.3 | C- | R +0.9 | 77% | 48% | 5.5 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 31 | R +1.4 | R +0.9 | R +2.7 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
383 | 383 | TargetPoint | 331 | 3 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 4.1 | 1.3 | C/D° | 83% | 100% | 14.0 | 7.7 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
382 | 382 | People's Pundit Daily | 251 | 3 | no | no | Online | yes | 1.0 | 1.3 | F | R +0.4 | 33% | 33% | 3.0 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 3 | R +3.0 | R +0.4 | R +4.8 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
381 | 381 | Critical Insights | 64 | 17 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 2.0 | 1.3 | C/D° | D +0.3 | 88% | 41% | 8.6 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 15 | D +0.9 | D +0.3 | R +1.8 | 11.3 | 0.0 |
380 | 380 | Singularis Group | 306 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.8 | 1.3 | C/D° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.8 | 4.1 | -3.1 | -1.8 | -0.1 | 1.3 | 1 | R +0.8 | R +0.0 | D +2.0 | 2.0 | 2.38 |
379 | 379 | Rossman Group | 294 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.2 | 1.3 | C/D° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 6.5 | -2.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | D +4.2 | D +0.1 | D +4.7 | 0.0 | |
378 | 378 | Triumph Campaigns | 339 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.4 | 1.3 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | R +4.2 | R +0.2 | R +5.0 | 0.0 | |
377 | 377 | We Ask America | 376 | 53 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 1.2 | 1.3 | C- | R +0.9 | 83% | 45% | 6.9 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 33 | R +1.8 | R +0.9 | R +2.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 |
376 | 376 | BIGresearch | 19 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -2.9 | 1.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1.8 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 1.3 | 1 | D +2.0 | D +0.0 | 6.4 | 0.0 | |
375 | 375 | Maine People's Resource Center | 180 | 8 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.8 | 1.3 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 88% | 38% | 7.0 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 7 | D +1.7 | D +0.4 | R +2.0 | 6.5 | 0.0 |
374 | 374 | Diamond State Consulting Group | 78 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.5 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 4.9 | -0.6 | -1.5 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | D +4.2 | D +0.2 | R +5.0 | 5.0 | 0.62 |
373 | 373 | War Room Logistics | 374 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.3 | 1.2 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 4.5 | 7.1 | -2.4 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0 | 11.3 | 0.0 | ||||
372 | 372 | Rivercity Polling | 291 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.0 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 6.7 | 7.6 | -0.8 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +6.7 | R +0.2 | R +11.5 | 0.0 | |
371 | 371 | Cranford & Associates | 62 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -3.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.5 | -2.8 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | D +2.5 | D +0.1 | D +9.5 | 0.0 | |
370 | 370 | University of California, Berkeley | 457 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -0.9 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 100% | 5.9 | 4.6 | 1.5 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1 | R +5.9 | R +0.3 | D +2.7 | 3.9 | 0.0 |
369 | 369 | AFL-CIO | 526 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 4.9 | -3.5 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +1.2 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
368 | 368 | Revily | 284 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.8 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.5 | 4.8 | -4.1 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +0.5 | R +0.0 | 2.0 | 1.58 | |
367 | 367 | Roanoke College | 292 | 15 | yes | yes | Live | no | 4.2 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.5 | 77% | 60% | 8.9 | 5.9 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 12 | D +1.6 | D +0.5 | D +1.5 | 5.4 | 0.0 |
366 | 366 | Purple Strategies | 265 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | -1.2 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.4 | 88% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.8 | -1.6 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 4 | R +3.0 | R +0.4 | R +0.0 | 2.0 | 1.32 |
365 | 365 | Constituent Dynamics | 58 | 7 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.3 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 86% | 57% | 7.4 | 7.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +1.3 | R +0.0 | D +2.3 | 10.9 | 0.0 |
364 | 364 | Craciun Research Group | 61 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 16.9 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.9 | 0% | 100% | 18.7 | 6.2 | 12.7 | 16.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1 | D +18.7 | D +0.9 | D +11.3 | 0.0 | |
363 | 363 | Pacific Market Research | 459 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | -0.1 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.7 | 100% | 50% | 7.5 | 6.6 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2 | R +7.5 | R +0.7 | R +0.9 | 0.0 | |
362 | 362 | Riggs Research Services | 289 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 25.4 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +1.0 | 0% | 100% | 33.7 | 5.9 | 28.0 | 25.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1 | D +33.7 | D +1.0 | D +29.0 | 29.0 | 0.0 |
361 | 361 | RABA Research | 269 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 2.1 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 100% | 50% | 5.3 | 5.8 | -0.3 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1 | D +6.9 | D +0.3 | D +2.0 | 2.3 | 0.57 |
360 | 360 | CSP Polling | 39 | 1 | no | no | Online | yes | -2.5 | 1.2 | F | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.6 | -2.8 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | D +2.6 | D +0.1 | R +2.6 | 4.1 | 0.8 |
359 | 359 | Victory Enterprises | 525 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 9.4 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.6 | 0% | 100% | 17.3 | 6.7 | 10.9 | 9.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1 | R +17.3 | R +0.6 | 0.0 | ||
358 | 358 | Data for Progress | 522 | 1 | no | no | Text | no | -1.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 3.7 | -0.7 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 0 | 5.3 | 0.0 | ||||
357 | 357 | Forward Strategies | 102 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.8 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.3 | 5.2 | -3.7 | -2.8 | -0.2 | 1.2 | 2 | D +1.3 | D +0.1 | D +3.4 | 3.4 | 1.1 |
356 | 356 | USC Dornsife/LA Times | 343 | 6 | yes | no | Online | no | 3.5 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 67% | 83% | 5.3 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 6 | D +1.2 | D +0.3 | D +1.1 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
355 | 355 | The Polling Company Inc. | 337 | 7 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 1.4 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +1.2 | 71% | 57% | 6.2 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 7 | R +4.8 | R +1.2 | R +3.5 | 6.1 | 0.0 |
354 | 354 | Probolsky Research | 259 | 2 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 3.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.8 | 50% | 50% | 9.1 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 2 | R +9.1 | R +0.8 | R +5.6 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
353 | 353 | BK Strategies | 20 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.0 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +0.5 | 67% | 33% | 3.8 | 3.7 | 0.2 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 1.1 | 3 | D +3.6 | D +0.5 | R +2.9 | 2.9 | 0.59 |
352 | 352 | Target Insyght | 330 | 5 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.8 | 1.1 | B/C° | R +0.7 | 70% | 20% | 7.6 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 4 | R +3.9 | R +0.7 | R +3.7 | 5.5 | 0.15 |
351 | 351 | M4 Strategies | 177 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | -4.4 | 1.1 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 3.1 | 3.3 | 0.0 | -4.4 | -0.3 | 1.1 | 2 | R +3.1 | R +0.2 | D +4.8 | 6.7 | 0.0 |
350 | 350 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | 193 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 2.2 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 33% | 78% | 10.4 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 5 | D +1.0 | D +0.2 | D +2.0 | 5.6 | 0.66 |
349 | 349 | OnPoint | 240 | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.3 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.3 | -3.5 | -2.3 | -0.2 | 1.1 | 4 | D +1.6 | D +0.1 | D +2.3 | 3.7 | 0.79 |
348 | 348 | Columbus Dispatch | 57 | 20 | no | no | no | 0.5 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +1.3 | 93% | 45% | 4.9 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 17 | D +3.6 | D +1.3 | D +3.3 | 5.6 | 0.0 | |
347 | 347 | Ogden & Fry | 425 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -5.8 | 1.1 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 4.4 | -3.5 | -5.8 | -0.4 | 1.1 | 2 | R +0.2 | R +0.0 | R +6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 |
346 | 346 | Western Kentucky University | 379 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | 3.3 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +1.4 | 80% | 80% | 11.1 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 4 | D +9.2 | D +1.4 | R +0.1 | 2.0 | 0.46 |
345 | 345 | WPA Intelligence (WPAi) | 383 | 6 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.6 | 1.1 | B/C° | R +1.0 | 67% | 50% | 8.1 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 6 | R +4.4 | R +1.0 | R +8.3 | 11.4 | 0.0 |
344 | 344 | Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies | 55 | 15 | no | yes | Live | no | 2.1 | 1.1 | B/C° | R +1.9 | 53% | 40% | 6.7 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 14 | R +5.5 | R +1.9 | R +4.9 | 5.3 | 0.0 |
343 | 343 | ALG Research | 14 | 14 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.1 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +1.5 | 64% | 36% | 6.6 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 13 | D +4.7 | D +1.5 | D +6.7 | 5.2 | 0.12 |
342 | 342 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.9 | 1.1 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 7.1 | -5.8 | -3.9 | -0.3 | 1.1 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
341 | 341 | Strategic National | 318 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -6.9 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 25% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.1 | -4.2 | -6.9 | -0.6 | 1.1 | 2 | D +0.7 | D +0.1 | R +4.8 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
340 | 340 | Hampton University | 131 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 4.2 | 1.1 | B/C° | R +0.9 | 50% | 50% | 7.5 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | R +5.8 | R +0.9 | R +6.7 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
339 | 339 | Dixie Strategies | 81 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.2 | 1.0 | B/C° | R +1.3 | 95% | 55% | 6.6 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 8 | R +4.1 | R +1.3 | R +3.9 | 7.1 | 0.0 |
338 | 338 | TargetSmart/William & Mary | 332 | 3 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.9 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.7 | 67% | 33% | 5.3 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3 | D +5.3 | D +0.7 | D +1.7 | 4.2 | 0.16 |
337 | 337 | Change Research | 48 | 57 | no | no | Online | no | 0.6 | 1.0 | C | D +1.1 | 78% | 33% | 5.5 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 56 | D +1.5 | D +1.1 | D +1.7 | 5.9 | 0.0 |
336 | 336 | IVR Polls | 146 | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.1 | 1.0 | B/C° | 100% | 25% | 4.1 | 8.0 | -3.8 | -2.1 | -0.2 | 1.0 | 0 | 8.1 | 0.0 | ||||
335 | 335 | University of New Orleans | 358 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.1 | 1.0 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 82% | 36% | 6.5 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 9 | R +1.2 | R +0.3 | D +1.9 | 9.4 | 0.0 |
334 | 334 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | Landline | no | -3.0 | 1.0 | B/C° | 50% | 50% | 6.4 | 7.8 | -1.3 | -3.0 | -0.3 | 1.0 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.03 | ||||
333 | 333 | University of Texas | 363 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | -5.0 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 5.6 | -4.3 | -5.0 | -0.6 | 1.0 | 4 | D +1.1 | D +0.1 | D +2.8 | 0.0 | |
332 | 332 | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 464 | no | no | Online | no | 0.5 | 1.0 | C | R +0.8 | 78% | 30% | 5.6 | 5.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 364 | R +1.0 | R +0.8 | D +0.0 | 5.1 | 0.0 |
331 | 331 | Morning Consult | 218 | 12 | no | no | Online | no | 0.2 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 75% | 25% | 3.0 | 3.5 | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 12 | D +0.6 | D +0.2 | R +0.6 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );