pollster-ratings/2019/raw-polls
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
9,133 rows sorted by pollster
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Link | rowid | pollno | race | year | location | type_simple | type_detail | pollster ▼ | pollster_rating_id | polldate | samplesize | cand1_name | cand1_pct | cand2_name | cand2_pct | cand3_pct | margin_poll | electiondate | cand1_actual | cand2_actual | margin_actual | error | bias | rightcall | comment | partisan |
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8687 | 8687 | 90822 | 2018_Gov-G_FL | 2018 | FL | Gov-G | Gov-G | 1892 Polling | 461 | 10/21/2018 | 2500.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 47.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2018 | 49.19 | 49.59 | -0.39 | 0.61 | -0.61 | 1.0 | for Ron DeSantis; among registered voters | R | |
5548 | 5548 | 5385558 | 2012_Pres-R_SC | 2012 | SC | Pres-P | Pres-R | 20/20 Insight LLC | 1 | 1/16/2012 | 512.0 | Gingrich | 23.0 | Romney | 34.0 | 15.0 | -11.0 | 1/21/2012 | 40.4 | 27.8 | 12.6 | 23.6 | 0.0 | had incorrectly previously been listed as 3 separate polls (pollno's 5385558, 5385562, 5385564) based on daily subsamples; consolidated under one poll | ||
6243 | 6243 | 5386247 | 2012_House-G_GA-12 | 2012 | GA-12 | House-G | House-G | 20/20 Insight LLC | 1 | 10/30/2012 | 450.0 | Democrat | 50.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 6.0 | 11/6/2012 | 53.7 | 46.3 | 7.4 | 1.4 | -1.4 | 1.0 | |||
6259 | 6259 | 5386263 | 2012_Pres-G_GA | 2012 | GA | Pres-G | Pres-G | 20/20 Insight LLC | 1 | 10/30/2012 | 1316.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 52.0 | -6.0 | 11/6/2012 | 45.39 | 53.19 | -7.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | |||
8982 | 8982 | 91483 | 2018_Gov-G_GA | 2018 | GA | Gov-G | Gov-G | 20/20 Insight LLC | 1 | 11/1/2018 | 614.0 | Democrat | 50.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11/6/2018 | 48.83 | 50.22 | -1.39 | 5.39 | 5.39 | 0.0 | for Southern Majority | D |
1249 | 1249 | 5381247 | 2002_Gov-G_WY | 2002 | WY | Gov-G | Gov-G | A&A Research | 2 | 10/22/2002 | 400.0 | Democrat | 36.0 | Republican | 44.0 | -8.0 | 11/5/2002 | 50.0 | 47.9 | 2.1 | 10.1 | -10.1 | 0.0 | |||
40 | 40 | 5380038 | 1998_House-G_US | 1998 | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/17/1998 | 548.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 48.0 | -1.0 | 11/3/1998 | 46.42 | 47.99 | -1.57 | 0.5700000000000001 | 0.5700000000000001 | 1.0 | |||
69 | 69 | 5380068 | 1998_Gov-G_MD | 1998 | MD | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/20/1998 | 919.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 5.0 | 11/3/1998 | 55.1 | 44.8 | 10.3 | 5.3 | -5.3 | 1.0 | |||
131 | 131 | 5380129 | 1998_House-G_US | 1998 | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/1998 | 581.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -2.0 | 11/3/1998 | 46.42 | 47.99 | -1.57 | 0.43 | -0.43 | 1.0 | |||
260 | 260 | 5380259 | 1998_House-G_US | 1998 | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/31/1998 | 581.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 3.0 | 11/3/1998 | 46.42 | 47.99 | -1.57 | 4.57 | 4.57 | 0.0 | |||
348 | 348 | 5380347 | 2000_Pres-R_SC | 2000 | SC | Pres-P | Pres-R | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 2/6/2000 | 500.0 | Bush | 48.0 | McCain | 43.0 | 5.0 | 2/19/2000 | 53.39 | 41.87 | 11.52 | 6.52 | 1.0 | ||||
516 | 516 | 5380514 | 2000_Pres-G_US | 2000 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/20/2000 | 1071.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.51 | 3.51 | -3.51 | 0.0 | ||
603 | 603 | 5380602 | 2000_Pres-G_US | 2000 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/23/2000 | 1000.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.51 | 2.51 | -2.51 | 0.0 | ||
631 | 631 | 5380630 | 2000_Pres-G_VA | 2000 | VA | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2000 | 1009.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 49.0 | 3.0 | -4.0 | 11/7/2000 | 44.44 | 52.47 | -8.03 | 4.03 | 4.03 | 1.0 | ||
641 | 641 | 5380640 | 2000_Sen-G_VA | 2000 | VA | Sen-G | Sen-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2000 | 1009.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 48.0 | -2.0 | 11/7/2000 | 47.68 | 52.26 | -4.58 | 2.58 | 2.58 | 1.0 | |||
688 | 688 | 5380687 | 2000_Pres-G_US | 2000 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/26/2000 | 1009.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.51 | 1.51 | -1.51 | 0.0 | ||
777 | 777 | 5380776 | 2000_Pres-G_US | 2000 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/29/2000 | 1020.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.51 | 3.51 | -3.51 | 0.0 | ||
895 | 895 | 5380894 | 2000_Pres-G_US | 2000 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 11/1/2000 | 1280.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.51 | 3.51 | -3.51 | 0.0 | ||
1065 | 1065 | 5381064 | 2000_Pres-G_US | 2000 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 11/4/2000 | 1801.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.51 | 3.51 | -3.51 | 0.0 | ||
1118 | 1118 | 5381117 | 2001_Gov-G_VA | 2001 | VA | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2001 | 1010.0 | Democrat | 51.0 | Republican | 41.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 11/6/2001 | 52.2 | 47.0 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 1.0 | ||
1240 | 1240 | 5381238 | 2002_Gov-G_MD | 2002 | MD | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/22/2002 | 1529.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 0.0 | 11/5/2002 | 47.7 | 51.6 | -3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 0.5 | for Washington Post only, but FiveThirtyEight lists all ABC News/Washington post polls jointly | ||
1331 | 1331 | 5381330 | 2002_House-G_US | 2002 | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/26/2002 | 845.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -2.0 | 11/5/2002 | 44.91 | 49.83 | -4.92 | 2.92 | 2.92 | 1.0 | |||
1512 | 1512 | 5381513 | 2002_House-G_US | 2002 | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 11/2/2002 | 845.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 0.0 | 11/5/2002 | 44.91 | 49.83 | -4.92 | 4.92 | 4.92 | 0.5 | |||
1762 | 1762 | 5381763 | 2004_Pres-G_US | 2004 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/15/2004 | 2904.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 50.0 | 2.0 | -4.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.27 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 1.54 | -1.54 | 1.0 | ||
1800 | 1800 | 5381801 | 2004_Pres-G_OH | 2004 | OH | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/16/2004 | 789.0 | Democrat | 50.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 3.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.71 | 50.81 | -2.1 | 5.100000000000001 | 5.100000000000001 | 0.0 | |||
1822 | 1822 | 5381823 | 2004_Sen-G_OH | 2004 | OH | Sen-G | Sen-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/16/2004 | 789.0 | Democrat | 35.0 | Republican | 60.0 | -25.0 | 11/2/2004 | 36.14 | 63.85 | -27.71 | 2.71 | 2.71 | 1.0 | |||
1890 | 1890 | 5381890 | 2004_Pres-G_US | 2004 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/18/2004 | 2904.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 50.0 | 1.0 | -3.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.27 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 0.54 | -0.54 | 1.0 | ||
1999 | 1999 | 5382000 | 2004_Pres-G_US | 2004 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/22/2004 | 2904.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 49.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.27 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.0 | ||
2155 | 2155 | 5382155 | 2004_Pres-G_US | 2004 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/26/2004 | 2904.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 49.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.27 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.0 | ||
2336 | 2336 | 5382338 | 2004_Pres-G_US | 2004 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/30/2004 | 2904.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 49.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.27 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.0 | ||
2411 | 2411 | 5382414 | 2005_Gov-G_VA | 2005 | VA | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/25/2005 | 1004.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 11/8/2005 | 51.72 | 45.99 | 5.73 | 2.73 | -2.73 | 1.0 | ||
2505 | 2505 | 5382508 | 2006_House-G_US | 2006 | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/21/2006 | 875.0 | Democrat | 55.0 | Republican | 41.0 | 14.0 | 11/7/2006 | 52.3 | 43.75 | 8.55 | 5.45 | 5.45 | 1.0 | |||
2580 | 2580 | 5382584 | 2006_Gov-G_MD | 2006 | MD | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2006 | 1003.0 | Democrat | 55.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 10.0 | 11/7/2006 | 52.7 | 46.2 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | |||
2602 | 2602 | 5382607 | 2006_Sen-G_MD | 2006 | MD | Sen-G | Sen-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2006 | 1003.0 | Democrat | 54.0 | Republican | 43.0 | 11.0 | 11/7/2006 | 54.21 | 44.2 | 10.01 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 1.0 | |||
2997 | 2997 | 5383004 | 2006_House-G_US | 2006 | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 11/3/2006 | 875.0 | Democrat | 51.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 6.0 | 11/7/2006 | 52.3 | 43.75 | 8.55 | 2.55 | -2.55 | 1.0 | |||
3055 | 3055 | 5383061 | 2008_Pres-D_IA | 2008 | IA | Pres-P | Pres-D | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 12/15/2007 | 652.0 | Obama | 33.0 | Edwards | 20.0 | 29.0 | 13.0 | 1/3/2008 | 37.6 | 29.7 | 7.9 | 5.100000000000001 | 1.0 | |||
3056 | 3056 | 5383062 | 2008_Pres-R_IA | 2008 | IA | Pres-P | Pres-R | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 12/15/2007 | 501.0 | Huckabee | 35.0 | Romney | 27.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1/3/2008 | 34.4 | 25.2 | 9.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | |||
3485 | 3485 | 5383491 | 2008_Pres-D_OH | 2008 | OH | Pres-P | Pres-D | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 2/18/2008 | 611.0 | Obama | 43.0 | Clinton | 50.0 | -7.0 | 3/4/2008 | 44.0 | 54.3 | -10.3 | 3.3 | 1.0 | ||||
3487 | 3487 | 5383493 | 2008_Pres-D_TX | 2008 | TX | Pres-P | Pres-D | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 2/18/2008 | 603.0 | Obama | 47.0 | Clinton | 48.0 | -1.0 | 3/4/2008 | 47.4 | 50.9 | -3.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | ||||
3980 | 3980 | 5383988 | 2008_Pres-G_US | 2008 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/21/2008 | 1335.0 | Democrat | 54.0 | Republican | 43.0 | 11.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.92 | 45.66 | 7.26 | 3.74 | 3.74 | 1.0 | |||
4109 | 4109 | 5384117 | 2008_Pres-G_VA | 2008 | VA | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2008 | 784.0 | Democrat | 52.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 8.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.63 | 46.33 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | |||
4183 | 4183 | 5384191 | 2008_Pres-G_US | 2008 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/25/2008 | 1314.0 | Democrat | 52.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 7.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.92 | 45.66 | 7.26 | 0.26 | -0.26 | 1.0 | |||
4296 | 4296 | 5384304 | 2008_Sen-G_VA | 2008 | VA | Sen-G | Sen-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/26/2008 | 671.0 | Democrat | 63.0 | Republican | 32.0 | 31.0 | 11/4/2008 | 65.03 | 33.73 | 31.3 | 0.3 | -0.3 | 1.0 | |||
4447 | 4447 | 5384456 | 2008_Pres-G_US | 2008 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/29/2008 | 1580.0 | Democrat | 53.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 9.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.92 | 45.66 | 7.26 | 1.74 | 1.74 | 1.0 | |||
4625 | 4625 | 5384634 | 2008_Pres-G_US | 2008 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 11/2/2008 | 2304.0 | Democrat | 53.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 9.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.92 | 45.66 | 7.26 | 1.74 | 1.74 | 1.0 | |||
4664 | 4664 | 5384673 | 2009_Gov-G_VA | 2009 | VA | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2009 | 1206.0 | Democrat | 44.0 | Republican | 55.0 | -11.0 | 11/3/2009 | 41.3 | 58.6 | -17.3 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 1.0 | |||
5052 | 5052 | 5385062 | 2010_Gov-G_MD | 2010 | MD | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/21/2010 | 1434.0 | Democrat | 54.0 | Republican | 40.0 | 14.0 | 11/2/2010 | 56.24 | 41.79 | 14.45 | 0.45 | -0.45 | 1.0 | |||
5082 | 5082 | 5385091 | 2010_Sen-G_MD | 2010 | MD | Sen-G | Sen-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/21/2010 | 1434.0 | Democrat | 64.0 | Republican | 27.0 | 37.0 | 11/2/2010 | 62.19 | 35.75 | 26.44 | 10.56 | 10.56 | 1.0 | |||
5306 | 5306 | 5385318 | 2010_House-G_US | 2010 | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/27/2010 | 786.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -4.0 | 11/2/2010 | 44.92 | 51.65 | -6.73 | 2.73 | 2.73 | 1.0 | |||
5940 | 5940 | 5385947 | 2012_Pres-G_US | 2012 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/22/2012 | 1394.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.01 | 47.15 | 3.86 | 4.86 | -4.86 | 0.0 | |||
6027 | 6027 | 5386029 | 2012_Pres-G_VA | 2012 | VA | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2012 | 1228.0 | Democrat | 51.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 4.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.16 | 47.28 | 3.88 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 1.0 | Washington Post only | ||
6048 | 6048 | 5386051 | 2012_Sen-G_VA | 2012 | VA | Sen-G | Sen-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2012 | 1228.0 | Democrat | 51.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 7.0 | 11/6/2012 | 52.87 | 46.96 | 5.91 | 1.09 | 1.09 | 1.0 | Washington Post alone | ||
6102 | 6102 | 5386105 | 2012_Pres-G_US | 2012 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/26/2012 | 1278.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.01 | 47.15 | 3.86 | 4.86 | -4.86 | 0.0 | |||
6278 | 6278 | 5386282 | 2012_Pres-G_US | 2012 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/30/2012 | 1293.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.01 | 47.15 | 3.86 | 2.86 | -2.86 | 1.0 | |||
6481 | 6481 | 5386486 | 2012_Pres-G_US | 2012 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 11/3/2012 | 2345.0 | Democrat | 50.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 3.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.01 | 47.15 | 3.86 | 0.86 | -0.86 | 1.0 | |||
6592 | 6592 | 5386597 | 2013_Gov-G_VA | 2013 | VA | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/26/2013 | 762.0 | Democrat | 51.0 | Republican | 39.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 11/5/2013 | 47.75 | 45.23 | 2.52 | 9.48 | 9.48 | 1.0 | aka Washington Post/Abt-SRBI | |
6955 | 6955 | 15380688 | 2014_House-G_US | 2014 | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/25/2014 | 758.0 | Democrat | 44.0 | Republican | 50.0 | -6.0 | 11/4/2014 | 45.7 | 51.42 | -5.72 | 0.28 | -0.28 | 1.0 | |||
7754 | 7754 | 74261 | 2016_House-G_US | 2016 | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/23/2016 | 828.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 1.0 | 11/8/2016 | 48.04 | 49.1 | -1.07 | 2.07 | 2.07 | 0.0 | |||
7755 | 7755 | 74498 | 2016_House-G_US | 2016 | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/23/2016 | 828.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 1.0 | 11/8/2016 | 48.04 | 49.1 | -1.07 | 2.07 | 2.07 | 0.0 | |||
7798 | 7798 | 74392 | 2016_Pres-G_US | 2016 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2016 | 1135.0 | Democrat | 49.5 | Republican | 43.0 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 11/8/2016 | 48.02 | 45.93 | 2.09 | 4.41 | 4.41 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | |
7977 | 7977 | 74802 | 2016_Pres-G_US | 2016 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/28/2016 | 1165.0 | Democrat | 47.5 | Republican | 46.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 11/8/2016 | 48.02 | 45.93 | 2.09 | 0.59 | -0.59 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | |
8041 | 8041 | 74935 | 2016_Pres-G_VA | 2016 | VA | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/29/2016 | 1024.0 | Democrat | 49.5 | Republican | 43.5 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 11/8/2016 | 49.75 | 44.43 | 5.32 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 1.0 | by Washington Post only, but FiveThirtyEight classifies all ABC News and Washington Post polls together even if they're conducted by just one of the news organizations; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | |
8186 | 8186 | 75635 | 2016_Pres-G_US | 2016 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 11/1/2016 | 1151.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 11/8/2016 | 48.02 | 45.93 | 2.09 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | |
8463 | 8463 | 76193 | 2016_Pres-G_US | 2016 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 11/5/2016 | 2220.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 44.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 11/8/2016 | 48.02 | 45.93 | 2.09 | 1.41 | 1.41 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | |
8533 | 8533 | 79746 | 2017_Gov-G_VA | 2017 | VA | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/28/2017 | 921.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 11/7/2017 | 53.9 | 44.97 | 8.93 | 3.93 | -3.93 | 1.0 | by Washington Post only, but FiveThirtyEight classifies all ABC News and Washington Post polls together even if they're conducted by just one of the news organizations | |
8559 | 8559 | 79996 | 2017_Sen-GS_AL | 2017 | AL | Sen-G | Sen-GS | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 11/29/2017 | 739.0 | Democrat | 50.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 3.0 | 12/12/2017 | 49.97 | 48.34 | 1.63 | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.0 | by Washington Post only, but FiveThirtyEight classifies all ABC News and Washington Post polls together even if they're conducted by just one of the news organizations | ||
8642 | 8642 | 90801 | 2018_House-G_VA-10 | 2018 | VA-10 | House-G | House-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/18/2018 | 430.0 | Democrat | 56.0 | Republican | 43.0 | 13.0 | 11/6/2018 | 56.11 | 43.73 | 12.38 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 1.0 | |||
8831 | 8831 | 91244 | 2018_House-G_VA-10 | 2018 | VA-10 | House-G | House-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/27/2018 | 446.0 | Democrat | 54.0 | Republican | 43.0 | 11.0 | 11/6/2018 | 56.11 | 43.73 | 12.38 | 1.38 | -1.38 | 1.0 | |||
8967 | 8967 | 91388 | 2018_House-G_US | 2018 | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/31/2018 | 737.0 | Democrat | 51.5 | Republican | 44.0 | 7.5 | 11/6/2018 | 53.42 | 44.85 | 8.57 | 1.07 | -1.07 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
5935 | 5935 | 82531 | 2012_House-G_NY-23 | 2012 | NY-23 | House-G | House-G | AFL-CIO | 526 | 10/22/2012 | 955.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 50.0 | -5.0 | 11/6/2012 | 48.09 | 51.91 | -3.82 | 1.18 | -1.18 | 1.0 | for Nathan I. Shinagawa; newly added in 2019 update; ambiguous methodology | D | |
1986 | 1986 | 5381987 | 2004_House-G_UT-2 | 2004 | UT-2 | House-G | House-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/21/2004 | 400.0 | Democrat | 57.0 | Republican | 34.0 | 23.0 | 11/2/2004 | 54.76 | 43.21 | 11.55 | 11.45 | 11.45 | 1.0 | previously listed as Anzalone Liszt Grove Research | D | |
3695 | 3695 | 5383702 | 2008_House-G_NE-2 | 2008 | NE-2 | House-G | House-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/14/2008 | 400.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 47.0 | -1.0 | 11/4/2008 | 48.07 | 51.93 | -3.86 | 2.86 | 2.86 | 1.0 | previously listed as Anzalone Liszt Grove Research | D | |
4724 | 4724 | 5384733 | 2010_House-G_AR-1 | 2010 | AR-1 | House-G | House-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/12/2010 | 400.0 | Democrat | 44.0 | Republican | 42.0 | 2.0 | 11/2/2010 | 43.5 | 51.8 | -8.3 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 0.0 | previously listed as Anzalone Liszt Grove Research | D | |
4827 | 4827 | 5384837 | 2010_Sen-G_IL | 2010 | IL | Sen-G | Sen-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/15/2010 | 601.0 | Democrat | 41.0 | Republican | 36.0 | 5.0 | 11/2/2010 | 46.42 | 48.01 | -1.59 | 6.59 | 6.59 | 0.0 | previously listed as Anzalone Liszt Grove Research | D | |
4942 | 4942 | 5384952 | 2010_Sen-G_LA | 2010 | LA | Sen-G | Sen-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/18/2010 | 600.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 48.0 | -3.0 | 11/2/2010 | 37.67 | 56.55 | -18.88 | 15.88 | 15.88 | 1.0 | previously listed as Anzalone Liszt Grove Research | D | |
5065 | 5065 | 5385075 | 2010_House-G_LA-2 | 2010 | LA-2 | House-G | House-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/21/2010 | 400.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 32.0 | 17.0 | 11/2/2010 | 64.6 | 33.5 | 31.1 | 14.1 | -14.1 | 1.0 | previously listed as Anzalone Liszt Grove Research | D | |
5100 | 5100 | 5385110 | 2010_Sen-G_IL | 2010 | IL | Sen-G | Sen-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/22/2010 | 600.0 | Democrat | 38.0 | Republican | 36.0 | 2.0 | 11/2/2010 | 46.42 | 48.01 | -1.59 | 3.59 | 3.59 | 0.0 | previously listed as Anzalone Liszt Grove Research | D | |
5367 | 5367 | 5385380 | 2010_Sen-G_IL | 2010 | IL | Sen-G | Sen-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/28/2010 | 400.0 | Democrat | 39.0 | Republican | 37.0 | 2.0 | 11/2/2010 | 46.42 | 48.01 | -1.59 | 3.59 | 3.59 | 0.0 | previously listed as Anzalone Liszt Grove Research | D | |
5760 | 5760 | 5385770 | 2012_House-G_IL-8 | 2012 | IL-8 | House-G | House-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/17/2012 | 400.0 | Democrat | 54.0 | Republican | 39.0 | 15.0 | 11/6/2012 | 54.74 | 45.26 | 9.48 | 5.52 | 5.52 | 1.0 | aka Anzalone Liszt -- for League of Conservation Voters; previously listed as Anzalone Liszt Grove Research | ||
5859 | 5859 | 5385868 | 2012_House-G_FL-22 | 2012 | FL-22 | House-G | House-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/20/2012 | 501.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 37.0 | 10.0 | 11/6/2012 | 54.63 | 45.37 | 9.26 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 1.0 | aka Anzalone Liszt; previously listed as Anzalone Liszt Grove Research | D | |
5860 | 5860 | 5385869 | 2012_House-G_IL-13 | 2012 | IL-13 | House-G | House-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/20/2012 | 400.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 39.0 | 9.0 | 11/6/2012 | 46.21 | 46.55 | -0.34 | 9.34 | 9.34 | 0.0 | for DCCC; previously listed as Anzalone Liszt Grove Research | D | |
8634 | 8634 | 90799 | 2018_Gov-G_MI | 2018 | MI | Gov-G | Gov-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/18/2018 | 906.0 | Democrat | 47.5 | Republican | 37.0 | 4.0 | 10.5 | 11/6/2018 | 53.31 | 43.75 | 9.57 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.0 | for Gretchen E. Whitmer; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | D |
8822 | 8822 | 90992 | 2018_House-G_FL-27 | 2018 | FL-27 | House-G | House-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/27/2018 | 500.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 39.0 | 10.0 | 11/6/2018 | 51.76 | 45.76 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | for DCCC | D | |
9124 | 9124 | 104341 | 2019_Gov-O_LA | 2019 | LA | Gov-G | Gov-O | ALG Research | 14 | 10/2/2019 | 900.0 | Edwards (D) | 52.0 | Rispone (R) | 36.0 | 16.0 | 10/12/2019 | 46.59 | 27.42 | 19.18 | 3.18 | 1.0 | for John Bel Edwards | D | ||
6722 | 6722 | 15380106 | 2014_Gov-G_IL | 2014 | IL | Gov-G | Gov-G | APC Research | 4 | 10/19/2014 | 800.0 | Democrat | 43.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | 11/4/2014 | 46.35 | 50.27 | -3.92 | 1.92 | 1.92 | 1.0 | ||
6734 | 6734 | 15380118 | 2014_Sen-G_IL | 2014 | IL | Sen-G | Sen-G | APC Research | 4 | 10/19/2014 | 800.0 | Democrat | 50.0 | Republican | 36.0 | 14.0 | 11/4/2014 | 53.55 | 42.69 | 10.86 | 3.14 | 3.14 | 1.0 | |||
2776 | 2776 | 5382783 | 2006_House-G_KS-2 | 2006 | KS-2 | House-G | House-G | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 10/28/2006 | 1002.0 | Democrat | 50.0 | Republican | 41.0 | 9.0 | 11/7/2006 | 50.6 | 47.14 | 3.46 | 5.54 | 5.54 | 1.0 | D | ||
2530 | 2530 | 5382534 | 2006_House-G_NY-19 | 2006 | NY-19 | House-G | House-G | Abacus Associates | 6 | 10/22/2006 | 400.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 48.0 | -2.0 | 11/7/2006 | 51.22 | 40.69 | 10.53 | 12.53 | -12.53 | 0.0 | D | ||
5070 | 5070 | 5385080 | 2010_House-G_NY-22 | 2010 | NY-22 | House-G | House-G | Abacus Associates | 6 | 10/21/2010 | 403.0 | Democrat | 51.0 | Republican | 34.0 | 17.0 | 11/2/2010 | 52.7 | 47.3 | 5.4 | 11.6 | 11.6 | 1.0 | D | ||
1763 | 1763 | 5381767 | 2004_Pres-G_US | 2004 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | Abt Associates | 7 | 10/15/2004 | 865.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.27 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.0 | previously listed as Time/Abt Associates | |
1970 | 1970 | 5381973 | 2004_Pres-G_US | 2004 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | Abt Associates | 7 | 10/20/2004 | 803.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 51.0 | 2.0 | -5.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.27 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 2.54 | -2.54 | 1.0 | previously listed as Time/Abt Associates | |
2967 | 2967 | 5382974 | 2006_House-G_US | 2006 | US | House-G | House-G | Abt Associates | 7 | 11/2/2006 | 679.0 | Democrat | 55.0 | Republican | 40.0 | 15.0 | 11/7/2006 | 52.3 | 43.75 | 8.55 | 6.45 | 6.45 | 1.0 | previously listed as Time/Abt Associates | ||
3593 | 3593 | 5383600 | 2008_Pres-D_PA | 2008 | PA | Pres-P | Pres-D | Abt Associates | 7 | 4/4/2008 | 676.0 | Obama | 41.0 | Clinton | 49.0 | -8.0 | 4/22/2008 | 45.4 | 54.6 | -9.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | previously listed as Time/Abt Associates | |||
5959 | 5959 | 5385967 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | 2012 | OH | Pres-G | Pres-G | Abt Associates | 7 | 10/23/2012 | 783.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 5.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.58 | 47.6 | 2.98 | 2.02 | 2.02 | 1.0 | previously listed as Time/Abt Associates | ||
6748 | 6748 | 15380132 | 2014_Gov-G_GA | 2014 | GA | Gov-G | Gov-G | Abt Associates | 7 | 10/20/2014 | 1170.0 | Democrat | 41.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 5.0 | -5.0 | 11/4/2014 | 44.88 | 52.74 | -7.86 | 2.86 | 2.86 | 1.0 | previously listed as Time/Abt Associates | |
6796 | 6796 | 15380532 | 2014_Sen-G_GA | 2014 | GA | Sen-G | Sen-G | Abt Associates | 7 | 10/20/2014 | 1170.0 | Democrat | 42.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 6.0 | -2.0 | 11/4/2014 | 45.21 | 52.89 | -7.68 | 5.68 | 5.68 | 1.0 | previously listed as Time/Abt Associates | |
8515 | 8515 | 79813 | 2017_House-GSR_GA-6 | 2017 | GA-6 | House-G | House-GSR | Abt Associates | 7 | 6/7/2017 | 745.0 | Democrat | 51.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 7.0 | 6/20/2017 | 48.22 | 51.78 | -3.57 | 10.57 | 10.57 | 0.0 | |||
3186 | 3186 | 5383192 | 2008_Pres-D_AL | 2008 | AL | Pres-P | Pres-D | Alabama State University | 8 | 1/19/2008 | 438.0 | Obama | 31.0 | Clinton | 24.0 | 7.0 | 2/5/2008 | 56.0 | 41.6 | 14.4 | 7.4 | 1.0 | ||||
3190 | 3190 | 5383196 | 2008_Pres-R_AL | 2008 | AL | Pres-P | Pres-R | Alabama State University | 8 | 1/19/2008 | 438.0 | McCain | 20.0 | Huckabee | 19.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 2/5/2008 | 37.1 | 41.3 | -4.2 | 5.2 | 0.0 | |||
5649 | 5649 | 5385664 | 2012_Pres-R_AL | 2012 | AL | Pres-P | Pres-R | Alabama State University | 8 | 3/1/2012 | 470.0 | Santorum | 23.0 | Gingrich | 14.0 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 3/13/2012 | 34.5 | 29.3 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 1.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2019/raw-polls" ( "pollno" INTEGER, "race" TEXT, "year" INTEGER, "location" TEXT, "type_simple" TEXT, "type_detail" TEXT, "pollster" TEXT, "pollster_rating_id" INTEGER, "polldate" TEXT, "samplesize" REAL, "cand1_name" TEXT, "cand1_pct" REAL, "cand2_name" TEXT, "cand2_pct" REAL, "cand3_pct" REAL, "margin_poll" REAL, "electiondate" TEXT, "cand1_actual" REAL, "cand2_actual" REAL, "margin_actual" REAL, "error" REAL, "bias" REAL, "rightcall" REAL, "comment" TEXT, "partisan" TEXT );