pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
453 rows sorted by Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) ▼ | Herding Penalty | latest_poll |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | 23 | Michigan State University | 463 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | A/B | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.0 | 9.6 | -8.4 | -7.7 | -0.7 | 2 | R +0.5 | R +1.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/18 | |
28 | 28 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | A/B | 100% | 33% | 9.9 | 9.5 | 0.6 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/10/16 | ||||
31 | 31 | Indiana University | 149 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | A/B | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.1 | -5.0 | -4.7 | -0.1 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +4.1 | 0.0 | 10/18/04 | |
42 | 42 | Public Policy Institute of California | 262 | 16 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | A/B | R +1.0 | 100% | 25% | 5.2 | 5.5 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10 | R +4.4 | R +1.1 | 0.0 | 2/12/20 | |
43 | 43 | University of Illinois at Chicago | 352 | 1 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.3 | A/B | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 14.1 | 5.3 | 8.9 | 7.2 | 0.1 | 1 | R +14.1 | R +5.1 | 0.0 | 10/16/98 | |
86 | 86 | Montana State University Billings | 216 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.3 | 57% | 0% | 3.6 | 6.3 | -2.5 | -4.1 | -0.5 | 7 | D +3.0 | D +2.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/08 | |
91 | 91 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | 67% | 33% | 6.2 | 8.9 | -2.4 | -3.7 | -0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/14/16 | ||||
95 | 95 | Victory Research | 437 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 5.9 | -3.7 | -4.6 | -0.4 | 1 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | 3/8/20 | ||
98 | 98 | CJ&N | 63 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 25% | 3.5 | 7.6 | -3.9 | -3.3 | -0.3 | 1 | D +3.2 | 0.0 | 10/26/10 | ||
99 | 99 | Marshall Marketing & Communications | 196 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.4 | 6.6 | -3.1 | -1.9 | -0.2 | 3 | R +2.9 | R +1.2 | 0.0 | 10/21/08 | |
107 | 107 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.1 | -2.3 | -3.4 | -0.2 | 2 | D +2.5 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | 10/19/14 | |
116 | 116 | Wiese Research Associates Inc. | 382 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.9 | 100% | 43% | 7.3 | 6.6 | 0.9 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 7 | D +5.4 | D +6.1 | 0.0 | 10/24/12 | |
117 | 117 | GBAO | 109 | 6 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.0 | 75% | 0% | 3.7 | 6.0 | -2.1 | -2.0 | -0.4 | 6 | D +0.0 | D +1.9 | 0.0 | 10/21/18 | |
122 | 122 | MSR Group | 178 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.8 | -3.1 | -3.9 | -0.2 | 3 | D +3.5 | D +1.3 | 0.0 | 10/19/04 | |
125 | 125 | Southern Media & Opinion Research | 310 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 14% | 5.6 | 5.3 | 0.5 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 7 | R +0.7 | R +1.6 | 0.0 | 11/29/16 | |
126 | 126 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 5.7 | -3.6 | -4.8 | -0.2 | 1 | D +1.9 | R +4.1 | 0.0 | 10/18/18 | |
128 | 128 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | 100% | 50% | 6.9 | 9.4 | -2.4 | -2.3 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/12/08 | ||||
131 | 131 | Targeted Persuasion | 579 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 8.3 | -7.2 | -6.4 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 5/24/16 | ||||
132 | 132 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 8.5 | -6.3 | -6.3 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/17/16 | ||||
135 | 135 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 50% | 8.7 | 9.1 | -0.2 | -0.7 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 3/9/16 | ||||
137 | 137 | Mercyhurst University | 422 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.7 | -4.8 | -5.4 | -0.2 | 1 | R +0.7 | 0.0 | 10/18/14 | ||
139 | 139 | University of Tennessee | 362 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -5.7 | -0.2 | 2 | R +2.7 | R +5.4 | 0.0 | 10/14/04 | |
140 | 140 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 90 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 33% | 33% | 5.7 | 6.1 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 3 | D +2.1 | R +4.5 | 0.0 | 10/17/18 | |
144 | 144 | Strategic Services | 319 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 50% | 0% | 4.2 | 5.7 | -1.3 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 2 | D +4.2 | D +3.4 | 0.0 | 10/23/06 | |
147 | 147 | Lincoln Institute | 170 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 75% | 0% | 4.1 | 5.1 | -0.8 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 2 | R +4.1 | D +2.7 | 0.0 | 10/17/00 | |
148 | 148 | Midwest Survey and Research | 209 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 33% | 7.3 | 5.8 | 1.7 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 3 | R +1.1 | 0.0 | 10/26/02 | ||
149 | 149 | QEV Analytics | 266 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 6.5 | -4.3 | -6.3 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 11/2/09 | ||||
152 | 152 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.3 | -4.3 | -6.1 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.8 | R +13.0 | 0.0 | 10/16/08 | |
157 | 157 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | 0% | 0% | 7.1 | 8.6 | -1.3 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/27/08 | ||||
158 | 158 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 17 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 5.7 | -2.1 | -2.6 | -0.1 | 1 | R +3.5 | 0.0 | 10/22/06 | ||
160 | 160 | Jim Meader (KELOLAND-TV) | 159 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.3 | 100% | 25% | 4.6 | 5.5 | -0.7 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 4 | D +4.6 | D +4.4 | 0.0 | 10/21/02 | |
163 | 163 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 0.1 | 8.6 | -8.3 | -5.7 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/19/04 | ||||
164 | 164 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.7 | -3.8 | -3.5 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | 10/17/04 | |
166 | 166 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.8 | -3.0 | -3.3 | 0.0 | 1 | R +2.6 | 0.0 | 10/15/02 | ||
167 | 167 | Red Sea Communications | 278 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 7.1 | -2.5 | -3.0 | 0.0 | 1 | R +4.4 | 0.0 | 10/24/02 | ||
169 | 169 | Dynamic Marketing Inc. | 83 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 6.2 | -3.0 | -4.6 | -0.1 | 1 | D +3.0 | R +7.5 | 0.0 | 10/22/00 | |
171 | 171 | Diversified Research Inc | 80 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.0 | 7.0 | -1.8 | -2.2 | 0.0 | 1 | R +5.0 | 0.0 | 10/19/00 | ||
173 | 173 | Lauer Lalley Victoria Inc. | 168 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 6.6 | -4.7 | -4.1 | 0.0 | 1 | R +1.7 | D +4.0 | 0.0 | 10/18/98 | |
176 | 176 | Ohio State University | 236 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 3.7 | 5.1 | -1.3 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 1 | R +3.7 | R +5.8 | 0.0 | 10/18/00 | |
179 | 179 | Dartmouth College | 72 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 67% | 9.3 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/26/00 | ||||
180 | 180 | Market Trends Pacific | 190 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 50% | 0% | 4.5 | 5.5 | -0.8 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 1 | D +4.5 | D +2.5 | 0.0 | 10/21/02 | |
181 | 181 | Basswood Research | 24 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 10.7 | 7.7 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1 | R +13.0 | 0.0 | 3/20/16 | ||
183 | 183 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 29 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.8 | -1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2 | D +1.6 | D +3.2 | 0.0 | 10/22/16 | |
184 | 184 | NRECA Market Research | 223 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 6.3 | 5.5 | 0.9 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 1 | D +6.3 | 0.0 | 10/20/98 | ||
185 | 185 | Associated Industries of Florida | 18 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.3 | 50% | 0% | 3.4 | 4.5 | -0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2 | D +3.4 | D +1.0 | 0.0 | 10/19/16 | |
189 | 189 | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1 | D +5.5 | 0.0 | 10/28/06 | ||
190 | 190 | Belden Russonello | 28 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 4.7 | 5.3 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2 | D +3.3 | D +5.4 | 0.0 | 10/18/04 | |
193 | 193 | University of Nevada Las Vegas | 356 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 8.9 | 8.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/29/12 | ||||
194 | 194 | Cromer Group | 65 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.3 | -1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1 | R +3.9 | R +3.8 | 0.0 | 10/19/06 | |
202 | 202 | Clarus Research Group | 53 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.3 | 100% | 33% | 6.8 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3 | D +4.1 | D +2.2 | 0.0 | 10/6/11 | |
204 | 204 | University of Maryland | 575 | 1 | yes | no | Landline | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 6.6 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 1 | D +6.6 | D +2.2 | 0.0 | 10/15/04 | |
207 | 207 | Val Smith | 367 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 8.5 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 1 | R +8.5 | R +15.0 | 0.0 | 10/22/08 | |
213 | 213 | A&A Research | 2 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 10.0 | 6.3 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 0.1 | 1 | R +10.0 | 0.0 | 10/22/02 | ||
214 | 214 | TMR Research | 328 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.2 | 0% | 50% | 7.9 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 2 | D +7.9 | D +6.7 | 0.0 | 10/18/98 | |
215 | 215 | California State University, Bakersfield | 41 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 9.9 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 1 | R +9.9 | R +14.0 | 0.0 | 10/20/00 | |
220 | 220 | Tulsa Surveys | 341 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 100% | 11.9 | 4.5 | 7.6 | 5.8 | 0.1 | 1 | R +11.9 | 0.0 | 10/18/98 | ||
223 | 223 | Marketing Research Institute | 192 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 7.4 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 1 | R +7.4 | R +7.3 | 0.0 | 11/21/02 | |
228 | 228 | Minnesota State University Moorhead | 211 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.4 | 100% | 50% | 8.3 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 4 | D +6.2 | D +3.3 | 0.0 | 10/19/04 | |
230 | 230 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | 16 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 13.7 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 0.1 | 1 | R +13.7 | 0.0 | 10/17/02 | ||
238 | 238 | MarketAide Services Inc. | 191 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 11.2 | 6.5 | 4.9 | 6.6 | 0.1 | 1 | D +11.2 | D +9.5 | 0.0 | 10/19/02 | |
240 | 240 | Abacus Associates | 6 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.2 | 50% | 50% | 8.1 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 2 | D +3.6 | D +6.5 | 0.0 | 10/21/10 | |
248 | 248 | Riley Research Associates | 290 | 7 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.6 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.6 | -2.7 | -2.3 | -0.3 | 7 | R +0.6 | R +1.3 | 0.0 | 10/15/08 | |
249 | 249 | Hendrix College | 138 | 14 | no | partial | IVR/Live/Text | no | 0.6 | B/C | D +1.5 | 93% | 50% | 6.5 | 5.6 | 1.1 | -0.5 | -0.2 | 13 | D +4.7 | R +3.0 | 0.0 | 10/19/18 | |
251 | 251 | Glover Park Group | 120 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | B/C | R +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 11.4 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 1 | R +11.4 | R +7.3 | 0.0 | 10/16/12 | |
258 | 258 | Lauer Johnson Research | 167 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | B/C | D +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 13.8 | 6.4 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 0.1 | 1 | D +13.8 | D +17.0 | 0.0 | 10/28/06 | |
266 | 266 | Data West Polling | 74 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | B/C | D +0.4 | 50% | 100% | 13.1 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 6.1 | 0.2 | 2 | D +13.1 | D +7.5 | 0.0 | 10/26/02 | |
276 | 276 | WCIA-TV | 373 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.7 | B/C | R +0.4 | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 6.6 | 11.8 | 10.0 | 0.2 | 2 | R +18.3 | R +8.8 | 0.0 | 10/14/98 | |
279 | 279 | Rainmaker Media Group | 276 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.3 | 100% | 100% | 12.1 | 5.2 | 7.1 | 10.3 | 0.2 | 1 | D +12.1 | D +7.8 | 0.0 | 10/15/08 | |
290 | 290 | Hickman Analytics | 415 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 9.1 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 6.1 | 0.3 | 1 | D +9.1 | D +7.7 | 0.0 | 10/15/19 | |
297 | 297 | East Tennessee State University | 456 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.9 | 75% | 100% | 9.9 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 2 | D +9.9 | D +3.9 | 0.0 | 10/26/18 | |
300 | 300 | Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson | 455 | 1 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.8 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.9 | -3.1 | -3.9 | -0.2 | 1 | R +2.6 | D +3.0 | 0.0 | 10/28/18 | |
303 | 303 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | 68 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.8 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.5 | 6.2 | -1.6 | -2.0 | -0.1 | 1 | D +4.5 | 0.0 | 10/20/16 | ||
304 | 304 | Massie & Associates | 199 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.8 | B/C | R +0.5 | 0% | 100% | 24.0 | 7.0 | 17.1 | 15.4 | 0.3 | 2 | R +24.0 | 0.0 | 10/24/98 | ||
316 | 316 | Momentum Analysis | 214 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.9 | B/C | D +0.4 | 33% | 100% | 13.7 | 6.5 | 7.4 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 3 | D +5.7 | D +2.8 | 0.0 | 10/13/10 | |
318 | 318 | R.L. Repass & Partners | 268 | 1 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.9 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 11.6 | 9.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 4/27/16 | ||||
322 | 322 | Victoria Research & Consulting | 369 | 1 | no | partial | Live/Text | no | 0.9 | B/C | D +0.1 | 50% | 0% | 8.0 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | D +8.0 | 0.0 | 10/18/04 | ||
332 | 332 | Harper Polling/Clarity Campaign Labs | 513 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.0 | B/C | D +0.3 | 0% | 0% | 7.0 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 1 | D +7.0 | D +4.8 | 0.0 | 8/27/19 | |
337 | 337 | Beacon Research | 545 | 1 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.0 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 11.4 | 7.8 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/14/20 | ||||
356 | 356 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.1 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 7.5 | -6.1 | -4.1 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/24/16 | ||||
364 | 364 | Craciun Research Group | 61 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.7 | 0% | 100% | 18.7 | 6.2 | 12.7 | 17.5 | 0.7 | 1 | D +18.7 | D +11.3 | 0.0 | 10/24/16 | |
369 | 369 | Victory Enterprises | 525 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.5 | 0% | 100% | 17.3 | 6.7 | 10.9 | 9.5 | 0.3 | 1 | R +17.3 | 0.0 | 10/24/12 | ||
372 | 372 | RMG Research | 555 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 1.2 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 4.3 | 8.1 | -3.6 | -5.1 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/24/20 | ||||
373 | 373 | Evan Falchuk and Lou DiNatale | 531 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.2 | B/C | 0% | 100% | 11.3 | 7.9 | 3.5 | -2.9 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/17/20 | ||||
381 | 381 | Pacific Market Research | 459 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.7 | 100% | 50% | 7.5 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | R +7.5 | R +0.9 | 0.0 | 10/22/18 | |
383 | 383 | Crantford Research | 62 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | 1.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.4 | -2.8 | -3.9 | -0.1 | 1 | D +2.5 | D +9.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/10 | |
384 | 384 | Rivercity Polling | 291 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 6.7 | 7.6 | -0.8 | -3.1 | -0.1 | 1 | R +6.7 | R +11.5 | 0.0 | 10/21/10 | |
385 | 385 | AFL-CIO | 526 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.8 | 4.9 | -0.8 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 1 | R +3.8 | 0.0 | 10/22/12 | ||
389 | 389 | Pasquines | 552 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 10.4 | 10.1 | 0.4 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 5/27/16 | ||||
395 | 395 | TargetPoint | 331 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.3 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 8.2 | 10.4 | 5.9 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 4/9/16 | ||||
397 | 397 | Rossman Group | 294 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 6.5 | -2.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1 | D +4.2 | D +4.7 | 0.0 | 10/18/10 | |
399 | 399 | Triumph Campaigns | 339 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1 | R +4.2 | R +5.0 | 0.0 | 11/5/15 | |
414 | 414 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | 0% | 100% | 21.6 | 7.8 | 13.9 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/12/12 | ||||
416 | 416 | Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne | 150 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.4 | C/D | 0% | 100% | 23.4 | 9.2 | 14.4 | 9.3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 4/21/16 | ||||
418 | 418 | Zata3 | 392 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 10.5 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 2 | R +4.3 | D +0.0 | 0.0 | 10/20/10 | |
419 | 419 | GCR & Associates | 110 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | C/D | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 8.2 | 10.3 | 5.5 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 3/9/12 | ||||
424 | 424 | GaPundit.com | 111 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | C/D | D +0.6 | 25% | 100% | 8.3 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +3.1 | 0.0 | 10/14/14 | |
427 | 427 | Baldwin Wallace University | 401 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.6 | C/D | D +0.7 | 50% | 50% | 8.3 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +3.5 | 0.0 | 10/23/18 | |
429 | 429 | University of Colorado | 580 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.6 | C/D | D +0.5 | 100% | 50% | 6.7 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +6.7 | D +7.3 | 0.0 | 10/21/16 | |
431 | 431 | BWD Global | 527 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.6 | C/D | R +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 13.5 | 6.2 | 7.5 | 5.3 | 0.4 | 1 | R +4.4 | R +5.3 | 0.0 | 5/26/16 | |
445 | 445 | Brigham Young University | 34 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 2.2 | C/D | D +2.1 | 75% | 75% | 16.5 | 8.7 | 8.0 | 8.1 | 1.0 | 4 | D +16.5 | D +16.5 | 0.0 | 10/19/14 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL, "latest_poll" TEXT );