pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
453 rows sorted by Live Caller With Cellphones
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones ▼ | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty | latest_poll |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
40 | 40 | Emerson College | 88 | 165 | yes | no | IVR/Online/Text | no | -0.4 | A- | D +0.3 | 80% | 24% | 5.4 | 6.2 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -0.6 | 123 | D +0.4 | R +1.3 | 5.2 | 0.05 | 3/12/20 |
64 | 64 | University of Massachusetts Lowell | 355 | 19 | yes | no | Online | no | -0.1 | A/B | R +0.2 | 74% | 37% | 7.2 | 6.9 | 0.5 | -0.6 | -0.3 | 9 | R +0.8 | R +0.6 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 2/16/20 |
66 | 66 | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 30 | no | no | Online | no | 0.0 | B+ | R +1.2 | 93% | 7% | 3.2 | 5.6 | -2.1 | -2.6 | -1.2 | 30 | R +2.6 | D +0.8 | 3.1 | 0.85 | 11/3/16 |
78 | 78 | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 423 | no | no | IVR/Text | no | 0.1 | B | D +0.3 | 80% | 31% | 5.0 | 5.5 | -0.3 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 294 | D +0.4 | D +0.9 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 2/25/20 |
100 | 100 | YouGov | 391 | 416 | no | no | Online | no | 0.3 | B | D +0.4 | 88% | 30% | 4.9 | 5.2 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 357 | D +0.4 | D +0.2 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 3/7/20 |
121 | 121 | Research Co. | 449 | 21 | no | no | Online | no | 0.3 | B- | R +0.5 | 88% | 14% | 4.1 | 5.9 | -1.7 | -1.9 | -1.0 | 20 | R +1.1 | D +0.8 | 3.9 | 1.05 | 11/2/18 |
146 | 146 | Knowledge Networks | 164 | 3 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 33% | 4.2 | 4.5 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 3 | D +4.0 | D +0.6 | 3.1 | 0.16 | 10/22/08 |
153 | 153 | GfK Group | 115 | 21 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 88% | 19% | 3.9 | 5.0 | -0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 21 | D +0.6 | D +1.3 | 4.6 | 0.22 | 10/22/16 |
177 | 177 | Opinion Savvy/InsiderAdvantage | 243 | 119 | yes | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.4 | B- | D +1.1 | 70% | 41% | 7.2 | 7.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 42 | D +1.8 | D +0.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 10/29/18 |
204 | 204 | University of Maryland | 575 | 1 | yes | no | Landline | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 6.6 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 1 | D +6.6 | D +2.2 | 0.0 | 10/15/04 | |
205 | 205 | Insights West | 151 | 9 | no | no | Online | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 94% | 0% | 2.4 | 5.7 | -3.1 | -3.7 | -1.0 | 8 | R +0.4 | R +1.0 | 3.1 | 1.25 | 11/6/16 |
221 | 221 | Ipsos | 154 | 66 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.5 | B- | D +0.4 | 70% | 21% | 4.6 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 60 | D +0.5 | D +1.0 | 3.7 | 0.06 | 11/5/18 |
231 | 231 | Florida Atlantic University | 97 | 8 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.4 | 75% | 0% | 3.4 | 6.9 | -3.3 | -2.0 | -0.6 | 4 | D +2.9 | D +0.4 | 4.4 | 0.26 | 3/6/20 |
233 | 233 | Vox Populi Polling | 372 | 19 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.3 | 74% | 16% | 4.2 | 5.3 | -1.0 | -0.9 | -0.4 | 19 | D +0.7 | R +1.2 | 4.8 | 0.17 | 10/29/18 |
241 | 241 | Data for Progress | 522 | 31 | no | no | Online/Text | no | 0.5 | B- | D +0.0 | 81% | 45% | 8.9 | 8.1 | 0.9 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 2 | D +0.3 | R +1.9 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 3/8/20 |
274 | 274 | Pew Research Center | 253 | 25 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.8 | 50% | 40% | 4.4 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 25 | D +2.1 | D +1.0 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 10/23/16 |
277 | 277 | Pan Atlantic Research | 249 | 17 | no | no | Online | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.8 | 91% | 24% | 6.8 | 6.8 | 0.3 | -1.0 | -0.3 | 15 | D +2.7 | D +1.1 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/14 |
283 | 283 | East Carolina University | 523 | 3 | yes | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.7 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 19.1 | 7.9 | 11.4 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 2/28/20 | |||
288 | 288 | New England College | 228 | 19 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.7 | B/C | R +1.2 | 74% | 16% | 4.2 | 5.1 | -0.7 | -0.4 | -0.2 | 19 | R +3.1 | R +3.4 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 11/1/14 |
305 | 305 | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 277 | 722 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.8 | C+ | R +1.5 | 78% | 29% | 5.3 | 5.6 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 581 | R +1.6 | R +1.2 | 4.6 | 0.09 | 10/30/18 |
306 | 306 | CVOTER | 40 | 6 | no | no | Online | no | 0.8 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 3.4 | -1.4 | -1.8 | -0.3 | 6 | R +1.3 | R +0.4 | 3.2 | 0.02 | 11/3/16 |
313 | 313 | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 473 | no | no | Online | no | 0.9 | C+ | R +0.6 | 77% | 29% | 5.4 | 5.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 376 | R +0.7 | D +0.2 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 10/30/14 |
317 | 317 | ROI Rocket | 554 | 3 | no | no | Online | no | 0.9 | B/C | 100% | 33% | 2.6 | 8.0 | -5.2 | -3.6 | -0.5 | 0 | 3.6 | 0.77 | 3/9/20 | |||
331 | 331 | AtlasIntel | 546 | 8 | no | no | Online | no | 0.9 | B/C | 81% | 63% | 8.8 | 8.2 | 0.8 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 3/15/20 | |||
335 | 335 | Ogden & Fry | 425 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.0 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.8 | -3.0 | -4.4 | -0.5 | 2 | R +0.2 | R +6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3/8/20 |
338 | 338 | Civiqs | 471 | 3 | no | no | Online | no | 1.0 | B/C | 100% | 33% | 4.9 | 7.8 | -2.7 | -1.4 | -0.2 | 0 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 1/28/20 | |||
340 | 340 | Harris Insights & Analytics | 133 | 169 | yes | no | Online | no | 1.0 | C | R +1.3 | 83% | 49% | 5.1 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 169 | R +1.5 | D +0.7 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 11/5/18 |
341 | 341 | Praecones Analytica | 257 | 3 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 1.0 | B/C | R +0.2 | 33% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.4 | -4.4 | -5.6 | -0.6 | 3 | R +1.8 | R +5.2 | 4.9 | 0.76 | 10/27/16 |
344 | 344 | Maine People's Resource Center | 180 | 14 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 1.0 | B/C | D +0.1 | 93% | 36% | 6.4 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 12 | D +0.5 | R +1.2 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 10/25/16 |
346 | 346 | Morning Consult | 218 | 12 | no | no | Online | no | 1.0 | B/C | D +0.2 | 75% | 25% | 3.0 | 3.5 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 12 | D +0.6 | R +0.6 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 11/3/18 |
347 | 347 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | Landline | no | 1.0 | B/C | 50% | 50% | 6.4 | 8.2 | -1.6 | -3.1 | -0.3 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.03 | 3/7/12 | |||
351 | 351 | St. Pete Polls | 314 | 22 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.0 | C | R +0.4 | 52% | 27% | 4.4 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 21 | R +0.9 | R +1.3 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 3/7/20 |
354 | 354 | IVR Polls | 146 | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.1 | B/C | 100% | 25% | 4.2 | 8.3 | -4.0 | -2.0 | -0.2 | 0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 3/1/08 | |||
355 | 355 | Strategic National | 318 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.1 | 25% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.1 | -4.2 | -7.2 | -0.6 | 2 | D +0.7 | R +4.8 | 5.4 | 0.03 | 11/3/16 |
356 | 356 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.1 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 7.5 | -6.1 | -4.1 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/24/16 | ||||
357 | 357 | Capital Survey Research Center | 44 | 13 | no | no | Landline | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.0 | 35% | 62% | 9.7 | 7.6 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 4 | D +0.6 | D +1.3 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 3/10/12 |
361 | 361 | Columbus Dispatch | 57 | 22 | no | no | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +1.0 | 93% | 45% | 5.1 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 17 | D +3.0 | D +2.8 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 11/1/16 | |
363 | 363 | OnPoint | 240 | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.2 | -3.4 | -2.4 | -0.2 | 4 | D +1.6 | D +2.3 | 3.7 | 0.79 | 11/6/06 |
366 | 366 | USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times | 343 | 6 | yes | no | Online | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.3 | 67% | 83% | 5.3 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 6 | D +1.2 | D +1.2 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 10/31/18 |
368 | 368 | M4 Strategies | 177 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.1 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 3.1 | 3.2 | 0.1 | -4.4 | -0.3 | 2 | R +3.1 | D +4.8 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 10/25/12 |
371 | 371 | Edgewater Research/My People Vote | 530 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.5 | -3.6 | -1.7 | -0.2 | 2 | R +0.7 | D +0.7 | 1.2 | 1.03 | 11/11/19 |
372 | 372 | RMG Research | 555 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 1.2 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 4.3 | 8.1 | -3.6 | -5.1 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/24/20 | ||||
373 | 373 | Evan Falchuk and Lou DiNatale | 531 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.2 | B/C | 0% | 100% | 11.3 | 7.9 | 3.5 | -2.9 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/17/20 | ||||
376 | 376 | Forward Strategies | 102 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.3 | 5.1 | -3.6 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 2 | D +1.3 | D +3.6 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 10/28/10 |
377 | 377 | CSP Polling | 39 | 1 | no | no | Online | yes | 1.2 | F | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.6 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -0.1 | 1 | D +2.6 | R +2.6 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 6/16/17 |
378 | 378 | Purple Strategies | 265 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.3 | 88% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.8 | -1.6 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 4 | R +3.0 | R +0.1 | 2.2 | 1.29 | 11/1/12 |
379 | 379 | Revily | 284 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.5 | 4.8 | -4.1 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 1 | R +0.5 | D +1.7 | 2.0 | 1.58 | 4/11/17 |
381 | 381 | Pacific Market Research | 459 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.7 | 100% | 50% | 7.5 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | R +7.5 | R +0.9 | 0.0 | 10/22/18 | |
383 | 383 | Crantford Research | 62 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | 1.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.4 | -2.8 | -3.9 | -0.1 | 1 | D +2.5 | D +9.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/10 | |
384 | 384 | Rivercity Polling | 291 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 6.7 | 7.6 | -0.8 | -3.1 | -0.1 | 1 | R +6.7 | R +11.5 | 0.0 | 10/21/10 | |
385 | 385 | AFL-CIO | 526 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.8 | 4.9 | -0.8 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 1 | R +3.8 | 0.0 | 10/22/12 | ||
386 | 386 | War Room Logistics | 374 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 4.5 | 7.5 | -2.8 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 11.6 | 0.0 | 1/27/12 | |||
387 | 387 | Diamond State Consulting Group | 78 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 5.0 | -0.6 | -1.6 | -0.1 | 1 | D +4.2 | R +5.0 | 5.0 | 0.62 | 10/21/14 |
389 | 389 | Pasquines | 552 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 10.4 | 10.1 | 0.4 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 5/27/16 | ||||
390 | 390 | Florida Chamber of Commerce | 577 | 1 | no | no | Landline | no | 1.3 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 4.8 | -3.4 | -2.6 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.2 | D +1.9 | 3.2 | 0.85 | 10/27/08 |
391 | 391 | PSB Research | 250 | 19 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | B/C | D +2.3 | 63% | 42% | 7.8 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 19 | D +7.0 | D +1.0 | 5.4 | 0.02 | 10/20/10 |
392 | 392 | Trafalgar Group | 338 | 48 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C- | R +0.9 | 75% | 50% | 5.6 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 34 | R +1.5 | R +3.4 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 2/27/20 |
393 | 393 | Singularis Group | 306 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.8 | 4.1 | -3.1 | -2.6 | -0.1 | 1 | R +0.8 | D +2.0 | 2.0 | 2.38 | 10/27/16 |
394 | 394 | Constituent Dynamics | 58 | 8 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | R +0.0 | 88% | 63% | 8.5 | 7.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1 | R +1.9 | D +2.3 | 10.9 | 0.0 | 2/25/08 |
396 | 396 | BIGresearch | 19 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 3.9 | -1.8 | -3.6 | -0.1 | 1 | R +1.9 | R +7.8 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 10/4/03 |
397 | 397 | Rossman Group | 294 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 6.5 | -2.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1 | D +4.2 | D +4.7 | 0.0 | 10/18/10 | |
399 | 399 | Triumph Campaigns | 339 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1 | R +4.2 | R +5.0 | 0.0 | 11/5/15 | |
400 | 400 | Liberty Opinion Research | 169 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | 100% | 100% | 5.7 | 7.3 | -1.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.51 | 4/7/16 | |||
401 | 401 | Big Data Poll | 251 | 4 | no | no | IVR/Online | yes | 1.3 | F | R +0.4 | 25% | 25% | 3.0 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 4 | R +3.0 | R +4.9 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 11/5/16 |
402 | 402 | Iona College | 152 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 5.5 | -0.9 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 1 | D +4.4 | R +1.7 | 1.5 | 2.26 | 10/20/10 |
403 | 403 | University of California, Berkeley | 457 | 3 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | C/D | R +0.3 | 100% | 67% | 8.0 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1 | R +5.9 | D +2.7 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 2/23/20 |
404 | 404 | Datamar | 75 | 8 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | R +0.3 | 69% | 38% | 6.3 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 5 | R +2.8 | R +3.3 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 11/2/08 |
405 | 405 | co/efficient | 514 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Text | no | 1.3 | C/D | D +0.2 | 0% | 0% | 3.5 | 4.1 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1 | D +3.5 | R +0.5 | 3.0 | 1.04 | 9/6/19 |
406 | 406 | Change Research | 48 | 65 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | C- | D +1.1 | 77% | 38% | 6.6 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 57 | D +1.6 | D +2.1 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 3/2/20 |
407 | 407 | CrossTarget | 66 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | R +0.4 | 100% | 50% | 7.7 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2 | R +7.7 | R +13.3 | 15.8 | 0.0 | 1/17/10 |
408 | 408 | TeleResearch Corporation | 335 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | 100% | 100% | 8.9 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 11.3 | 0.0 | 4/27/08 | |||
410 | 410 | RAND (American Life Panel) | 270 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 1.4 | C/D | D +0.2 | 100% | 25% | 2.7 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 4 | D +1.4 | D +3.7 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 10/26/16 |
411 | 411 | Great Lakes Strategies Group | 125 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 7.5 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 1 | R +7.5 | R +10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 10/27/10 |
412 | 412 | MarblePort | 182 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | R +0.4 | 100% | 100% | 5.6 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 2 | R +5.6 | R +4.4 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 11/11/15 |
413 | 413 | ResearchNow | 283 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.4 | C/D | 100% | 100% | 9.4 | 8.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2/23/16 | |||
414 | 414 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | 0% | 100% | 21.6 | 7.8 | 13.9 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/12/12 | ||||
418 | 418 | Zata3 | 392 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 10.5 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 2 | R +4.3 | D +0.0 | 0.0 | 10/20/10 | |
419 | 419 | GCR & Associates | 110 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | C/D | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 8.2 | 10.3 | 5.5 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 3/9/12 | ||||
421 | 421 | Slingshot Strategies | 451 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 1.5 | C/D | D +0.4 | 100% | 100% | 9.3 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 4.9 | 0.2 | 1 | D +9.3 | D +9.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 11/1/18 |
423 | 423 | Strategy Research | 322 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | C/D | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 8.7 | 3.1 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 0.2 | 1 | R +8.7 | R +4.7 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 12/4/17 |
424 | 424 | GaPundit.com | 111 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | C/D | D +0.6 | 25% | 100% | 8.3 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +3.1 | 0.0 | 10/14/14 | |
425 | 425 | Lucid | 175 | 25 | no | no | Online | no | 1.6 | D+ | D +1.9 | 88% | 32% | 4.1 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 25 | D +3.8 | D +2.3 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 10/25/18 |
427 | 427 | Baldwin Wallace University | 401 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.6 | C/D | D +0.7 | 50% | 50% | 8.3 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +3.5 | 0.0 | 10/23/18 | |
429 | 429 | University of Colorado | 580 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.6 | C/D | D +0.5 | 100% | 50% | 6.7 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +6.7 | D +7.3 | 0.0 | 10/21/16 | |
431 | 431 | BWD Global | 527 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.6 | C/D | R +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 13.5 | 6.2 | 7.5 | 5.3 | 0.4 | 1 | R +4.4 | R +5.3 | 0.0 | 5/26/16 | |
432 | 432 | Google Surveys | 122 | 24 | yes | no | Online | no | 1.6 | D+ | R +0.1 | 92% | 38% | 5.3 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 24 | R +0.2 | R +0.7 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 11/4/16 |
433 | 433 | Targoz Market Research | 454 | 7 | no | no | Online | no | 1.7 | C/D | D +1.6 | 93% | 43% | 7.3 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 7 | D +6.1 | D +4.3 | 5.1 | 0.16 | 11/10/19 |
434 | 434 | OurProgress (The Progress Campaign) | 561 | 2 | no | no | Online/Text | yes | 1.7 | F | 100% | 100% | 14.6 | 8.8 | 5.9 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.42 | 3/5/20 | |||
435 | 435 | Saguaro Strategies | 298 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.7 | C/D | D +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 5.0 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 2 | D +5.0 | D +4.0 | 2.4 | 0.89 | 10/30/16 |
436 | 436 | Elucd | 549 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 1.7 | C/D | 50% | 75% | 12.9 | 7.8 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2/28/20 | |||
437 | 437 | Baydoun Consulting | 25 | 6 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.8 | C/D | R +1.0 | 83% | 67% | 6.8 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 4 | R +8.8 | R +6.7 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 11/2/12 |
438 | 438 | CPEC | 38 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.8 | C/D | 100% | 100% | 15.8 | 8.4 | 7.6 | 6.9 | 0.5 | 0 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 4/23/16 | |||
439 | 439 | Zia Poll | 393 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.8 | C/D | R +0.5 | 100% | 33% | 4.9 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 3 | R +4.9 | R +3.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 11/6/16 |
440 | 440 | Glascock Group | 116 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.9 | C/D | D +0.2 | 50% | 100% | 15.5 | 5.1 | 10.6 | 9.6 | 0.6 | 2 | D +3.4 | D +20.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 12/2/14 |
441 | 441 | Point Blank Political | 550 | 6 | no | no | Online/Text | no | 1.9 | C/D | 83% | 83% | 10.7 | 7.5 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 3/12/20 | |||
442 | 442 | TP Research | 452 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.0 | C/D | R +1.4 | 0% | 100% | 15.6 | 6.3 | 9.5 | 7.9 | 0.7 | 2 | R +15.6 | R +8.3 | 7.1 | 0.37 | 10/31/18 |
443 | 443 | Carroll Strategies | 450 | 5 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.0 | C/D | R +1.9 | 80% | 60% | 9.9 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 5 | R +9.9 | R +1.7 | 4.5 | 0.92 | 11/1/18 |
444 | 444 | Dane & Associates | 71 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.0 | C/D | R +0.9 | 50% | 100% | 21.2 | 3.9 | 17.5 | 15.2 | 0.7 | 2 | R +21.2 | R +10.5 | 3.0 | 0.79 | 10/28/08 |
445 | 445 | Brigham Young University | 34 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 2.2 | C/D | D +2.1 | 75% | 75% | 16.5 | 8.7 | 8.0 | 8.1 | 1.0 | 4 | D +16.5 | D +16.5 | 0.0 | 10/19/14 | |
446 | 446 | Swayable | 543 | 22 | no | no | Online | no | 2.2 | D- | 77% | 68% | 12.0 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 3/16/20 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL, "latest_poll" TEXT );