pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
453 rows sorted by Pollster Rating ID
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID ▼ | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty | latest_poll |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
321 | 321 | 20/20 Insight | 1 | 6 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.9 | B/C | D +0.2 | 50% | 33% | 12.1 | 7.6 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3 | D +1.9 | D +4.3 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 11/1/18 |
213 | 213 | A&A Research | 2 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 10.0 | 6.3 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 0.1 | 1 | R +10.0 | 0.0 | 10/22/02 | ||
3 | 3 | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 73 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.3 | A+ | D +0.5 | 72% | 7% | 2.8 | 4.8 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.2 | 68 | D +0.8 | D +1.3 | 3.8 | 0.12 | 10/31/18 |
107 | 107 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.1 | -2.3 | -3.4 | -0.2 | 2 | D +2.5 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | 10/19/14 | |
189 | 189 | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1 | D +5.5 | 0.0 | 10/28/06 | ||
240 | 240 | Abacus Associates | 6 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.2 | 50% | 50% | 8.1 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 2 | D +3.6 | D +6.5 | 0.0 | 10/21/10 | |
44 | 44 | Abt Associates | 7 | 10 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | A/B | D +0.8 | 90% | 20% | 3.8 | 5.1 | -1.1 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 9 | D +3.3 | D +0.3 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 6/7/17 |
347 | 347 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | Landline | no | 1.0 | B/C | 50% | 50% | 6.4 | 8.2 | -1.6 | -3.1 | -0.3 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.03 | 3/7/12 | |||
85 | 85 | American Research Group | 9 | 273 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B | R +0.2 | 75% | 39% | 7.4 | 7.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 82 | R +0.2 | R +1.7 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 2/9/20 |
70 | 70 | American Viewpoint | 10 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | B/C | R +0.8 | 69% | 0% | 4.2 | 5.7 | -1.3 | -1.6 | -0.3 | 8 | R +3.5 | R +3.3 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 10/17/18 |
188 | 188 | Analytical Group | 11 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.0 | 5.3 | -1.1 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 1 | D +4.0 | D +3.0 | 3.7 | 0.86 | 10/26/02 |
253 | 253 | Anderson Group | 12 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | B/C | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 10.9 | 4.3 | 6.8 | 8.2 | 0.1 | 1 | R +10.9 | R +5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 11/11/03 |
66 | 66 | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 30 | no | no | Online | no | 0.0 | B+ | R +1.2 | 93% | 7% | 3.2 | 5.6 | -2.1 | -2.6 | -1.2 | 30 | R +2.6 | D +0.8 | 3.1 | 0.85 | 11/3/16 |
365 | 365 | ALG Research | 14 | 15 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +1.5 | 60% | 40% | 6.5 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 15 | D +4.6 | D +6.8 | 4.4 | 0.22 | 10/27/18 |
382 | 382 | Arizona State University | 15 | 8 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.2 | B/C | D +0.6 | 100% | 50% | 8.2 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 6 | D +5.8 | D +6.8 | 0.4 | 0.87 | 10/25/08 |
230 | 230 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | 16 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 13.7 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 0.1 | 1 | R +13.7 | 0.0 | 10/17/02 | ||
158 | 158 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 17 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 5.7 | -2.1 | -2.6 | -0.1 | 1 | R +3.5 | 0.0 | 10/22/06 | ||
185 | 185 | Associated Industries of Florida | 18 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.3 | 50% | 0% | 3.4 | 4.5 | -0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2 | D +3.4 | D +1.0 | 0.0 | 10/19/16 | |
396 | 396 | BIGresearch | 19 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 3.9 | -1.8 | -3.6 | -0.1 | 1 | R +1.9 | R +7.8 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 10/4/03 |
287 | 287 | BK Strategies | 20 | 3 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.4 | 67% | 33% | 3.8 | 3.7 | 0.3 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 3 | D +3.6 | R +2.9 | 3.3 | 0.27 | 10/28/16 |
246 | 246 | Bannon Communications | 21 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | B/C | D +0.3 | 100% | 50% | 10.4 | 6.4 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 2 | D +10.4 | D +8.3 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 10/16/04 |
150 | 150 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 5.7 | 8.7 | -2.9 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 4/8/16 | |||
254 | 254 | Baselice & Associates | 23 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | B/C | D +0.3 | 100% | 50% | 10.0 | 5.9 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 2 | D +10.0 | D +8.5 | 4.0 | 0.23 | 9/25/03 |
181 | 181 | Basswood Research | 24 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 10.7 | 7.7 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1 | R +13.0 | 0.0 | 3/20/16 | ||
437 | 437 | Baydoun Consulting | 25 | 6 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.8 | C/D | R +1.0 | 83% | 67% | 6.8 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 4 | R +8.8 | R +6.7 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 11/2/12 |
175 | 175 | Becker Institute | 26 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.3 | 67% | 67% | 6.9 | 6.4 | 0.7 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 3 | D +6.9 | D +0.8 | 11.5 | 0.0 | 10/23/02 |
18 | 18 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | 27 | 8 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | A/B | D +0.1 | 75% | 0% | 3.1 | 6.4 | -3.1 | -2.7 | -0.3 | 6 | D +1.0 | R +1.4 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 10/22/08 |
190 | 190 | Belden Russonello | 28 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 4.7 | 5.3 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2 | D +3.3 | D +5.4 | 0.0 | 10/18/04 | |
183 | 183 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 29 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.8 | -1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2 | D +1.6 | D +3.2 | 0.0 | 10/22/16 | |
293 | 293 | Benenson Strategy Group | 30 | 9 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.7 | 61% | 11% | 5.8 | 6.2 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9 | D +3.8 | D +7.6 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 10/16/14 |
239 | 239 | Big Ten | 31 | 10 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.8 | 100% | 20% | 4.7 | 5.1 | -0.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 10 | D +4.3 | D +5.2 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 10/21/08 |
60 | 60 | Blum & Weprin Associates | 32 | 19 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | A/B | R +0.7 | 95% | 21% | 4.8 | 5.2 | -0.2 | -2.1 | -0.5 | 17 | R +3.4 | D +0.9 | 4.6 | 0.04 | 10/25/10 |
197 | 197 | Braun Research | 33 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +1.2 | 100% | 50% | 6.6 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 6 | D +6.6 | D +2.8 | 2.5 | 0.17 | 10/21/16 |
445 | 445 | Brigham Young University | 34 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 2.2 | C/D | D +2.1 | 75% | 75% | 16.5 | 8.7 | 8.0 | 8.1 | 1.0 | 4 | D +16.5 | D +16.5 | 0.0 | 10/19/14 | |
428 | 428 | Brown University | 35 | 12 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.6 | C/D | R +0.3 | 83% | 67% | 11.4 | 7.4 | 4.1 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 7 | R +2.2 | R +0.1 | 4.9 | 0.31 | 4/20/16 |
16 | 16 | CBS News/The New York Times | 36 | 62 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | A | D +0.4 | 76% | 23% | 4.3 | 5.5 | -1.0 | -1.0 | -0.6 | 51 | D +0.7 | D +1.5 | 4.1 | 0.23 | 10/16/18 |
51 | 51 | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 103 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | B+ | D +0.0 | 72% | 25% | 5.5 | 6.2 | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 71 | D +0.0 | D +0.1 | 5.0 | 0.09 | 10/30/16 |
438 | 438 | CPEC | 38 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.8 | C/D | 100% | 100% | 15.8 | 8.4 | 7.6 | 6.9 | 0.5 | 0 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 4/23/16 | |||
377 | 377 | CSP Polling | 39 | 1 | no | no | Online | yes | 1.2 | F | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.6 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -0.1 | 1 | D +2.6 | R +2.6 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 6/16/17 |
306 | 306 | CVOTER | 40 | 6 | no | no | Online | no | 0.8 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 3.4 | -1.4 | -1.8 | -0.3 | 6 | R +1.3 | R +0.4 | 3.2 | 0.02 | 11/3/16 |
215 | 215 | California State University, Bakersfield | 41 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 9.9 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 1 | R +9.9 | R +14.0 | 0.0 | 10/20/00 | |
237 | 237 | CallFire | 42 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.4 | 75% | 0% | 3.9 | 4.6 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 4 | R +3.9 | R +0.5 | 2.5 | 0.98 | 10/30/12 |
163 | 163 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 0.1 | 8.6 | -8.3 | -5.7 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/19/04 | ||||
357 | 357 | Capital Survey Research Center | 44 | 13 | no | no | Landline | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.0 | 35% | 62% | 9.7 | 7.6 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 4 | D +0.6 | D +1.3 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 3/10/12 |
28 | 28 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | A/B | 100% | 33% | 9.9 | 9.5 | 0.6 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/10/16 | ||||
164 | 164 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.7 | -3.8 | -3.5 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | 10/17/04 | |
155 | 155 | Centre College | 47 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.4 | -1.3 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 1 | D +3.9 | D +2.3 | 4.8 | 0.35 | 10/21/16 |
406 | 406 | Change Research | 48 | 65 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | C- | D +1.1 | 77% | 38% | 6.6 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 57 | D +1.6 | D +2.1 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 3/2/20 |
271 | 271 | Cherry Communications | 49 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | B/C | R +0.5 | 50% | 20% | 7.6 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 4 | R +3.3 | R +3.9 | 11.7 | 0.0 | 10/22/16 |
93 | 93 | Christopher Newport University | 50 | 10 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.7 | 100% | 30% | 5.9 | 5.1 | 1.0 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 9 | D +2.7 | D +2.1 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 2/14/20 |
13 | 13 | Ciruli Associates | 51 | 16 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.8 | A/B | R +0.4 | 94% | 0% | 3.5 | 5.9 | -2.3 | -2.5 | -0.5 | 16 | R +2.1 | R +2.7 | 5.3 | 0.59 | 10/25/06 |
236 | 236 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 52 | 12 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +1.1 | 54% | 17% | 3.5 | 4.4 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.2 | 12 | D +3.5 | D +1.1 | 2.7 | 0.39 | 10/16/18 |
202 | 202 | Clarus Research Group | 53 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.3 | 100% | 33% | 6.8 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3 | D +4.1 | D +2.2 | 0.0 | 10/6/11 | |
111 | 111 | Clemson University | 54 | 7 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 43% | 8.7 | 7.7 | 1.2 | -3.5 | -0.7 | 1 | R +16.7 | R +9.7 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 2/21/20 |
339 | 339 | Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies | 55 | 15 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.0 | B/C | R +1.8 | 53% | 40% | 6.7 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 14 | R +5.5 | R +4.6 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 4/15/17 |
343 | 343 | Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates | 56 | 5 | no | partial | Live/Text | no | 1.0 | B/C | D +0.1 | 60% | 40% | 8.1 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 3 | D +3.4 | R +2.2 | 3.7 | 0.41 | 2/12/20 |
361 | 361 | Columbus Dispatch | 57 | 22 | no | no | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +1.0 | 93% | 45% | 5.1 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 17 | D +3.0 | D +2.8 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 11/1/16 | |
394 | 394 | Constituent Dynamics | 58 | 8 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | R +0.0 | 88% | 63% | 8.5 | 7.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1 | R +1.9 | D +2.3 | 10.9 | 0.0 | 2/25/08 |
296 | 296 | Consumer Logic | 59 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.3 | 50% | 75% | 8.8 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 0.3 | 4 | D +5.4 | D +2.5 | 3.1 | 1.17 | 10/17/04 |
166 | 166 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.8 | -3.0 | -3.3 | 0.0 | 1 | R +2.6 | 0.0 | 10/15/02 | ||
364 | 364 | Craciun Research Group | 61 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.7 | 0% | 100% | 18.7 | 6.2 | 12.7 | 17.5 | 0.7 | 1 | D +18.7 | D +11.3 | 0.0 | 10/24/16 | |
383 | 383 | Crantford Research | 62 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | 1.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.4 | -2.8 | -3.9 | -0.1 | 1 | D +2.5 | D +9.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/10 | |
98 | 98 | CJ&N | 63 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 25% | 3.5 | 7.6 | -3.9 | -3.3 | -0.3 | 1 | D +3.2 | 0.0 | 10/26/10 | ||
409 | 409 | Critical Insights | 64 | 19 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.4 | C/D | R +0.1 | 89% | 42% | 8.6 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 17 | R +0.2 | R +2.1 | 11.4 | 0.0 | 10/31/12 |
194 | 194 | Cromer Group | 65 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.3 | -1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1 | R +3.9 | R +3.8 | 0.0 | 10/19/06 | |
407 | 407 | CrossTarget | 66 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | R +0.4 | 100% | 50% | 7.7 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2 | R +7.7 | R +13.3 | 15.8 | 0.0 | 1/17/10 |
65 | 65 | Cygnal | 67 | 13 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live/Text | no | -0.1 | A/B | D +1.0 | 92% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.6 | -2.4 | -3.0 | -1.1 | 13 | D +2.6 | R +1.0 | 3.5 | 0.76 | 11/8/19 |
303 | 303 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | 68 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.8 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.5 | 6.2 | -1.6 | -2.0 | -0.1 | 1 | D +4.5 | 0.0 | 10/20/16 | ||
200 | 200 | DFM Research | 69 | 10 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +1.5 | 75% | 40% | 6.4 | 5.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 10 | D +5.4 | D +3.8 | 2.5 | 0.47 | 10/25/18 |
154 | 154 | Dan Jones & Associates | 70 | 38 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.4 | B- | D +1.0 | 95% | 21% | 6.9 | 6.3 | 0.9 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 31 | D +2.1 | R +2.7 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 10/24/16 |
444 | 444 | Dane & Associates | 71 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.0 | C/D | R +0.9 | 50% | 100% | 21.2 | 3.9 | 17.5 | 15.2 | 0.7 | 2 | R +21.2 | R +10.5 | 3.0 | 0.79 | 10/28/08 |
179 | 179 | Dartmouth College | 72 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 67% | 9.3 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/26/00 | ||||
9 | 9 | Data Orbital | 73 | 9 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | A/B | D +0.3 | 94% | 0% | 2.3 | 5.3 | -2.8 | -2.4 | -0.7 | 9 | D +1.2 | R +1.1 | 3.7 | 0.65 | 10/17/18 |
266 | 266 | Data West Polling | 74 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | B/C | D +0.4 | 50% | 100% | 13.1 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 6.1 | 0.2 | 2 | D +13.1 | D +7.5 | 0.0 | 10/26/02 | |
404 | 404 | Datamar | 75 | 8 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | R +0.3 | 69% | 38% | 6.3 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 5 | R +2.8 | R +3.3 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 11/2/08 |
245 | 245 | DHM Research | 76 | 14 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.6 | B/C | R +0.1 | 86% | 7% | 4.4 | 5.9 | -1.3 | -0.9 | -0.3 | 12 | R +0.3 | D +0.3 | 4.5 | 0.54 | 10/27/16 |
222 | 222 | Decision Forecasting | 77 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 67% | 8.1 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 3 | R +1.4 | D +0.6 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 11/1/00 |
387 | 387 | Diamond State Consulting Group | 78 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 5.0 | -0.6 | -1.6 | -0.1 | 1 | D +4.2 | R +5.0 | 5.0 | 0.62 | 10/21/14 |
108 | 108 | Dittman Research | 79 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.5 | 100% | 33% | 5.4 | 5.9 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -0.1 | 5 | D +4.6 | R +1.0 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 10/26/10 |
171 | 171 | Diversified Research Inc | 80 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.0 | 7.0 | -1.8 | -2.2 | 0.0 | 1 | R +5.0 | 0.0 | 10/19/00 | ||
362 | 362 | Dixie Strategies | 81 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.1 | B/C | R +1.2 | 95% | 55% | 6.9 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8 | R +4.5 | R +4.0 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 10/30/18 |
281 | 281 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 82 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.7 | B/C | 100% | 50% | 5.0 | 8.3 | -3.1 | -2.8 | -0.2 | 0 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 1/19/16 | |||
169 | 169 | Dynamic Marketing Inc. | 83 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 6.2 | -3.0 | -4.6 | -0.1 | 1 | D +3.0 | R +7.5 | 0.0 | 10/22/00 | |
54 | 54 | EPIC-MRA | 84 | 49 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | B+ | R +0.2 | 78% | 24% | 5.5 | 6.1 | -0.4 | -0.8 | -0.5 | 42 | R +0.4 | D +0.6 | 5.3 | 0.13 | 3/5/20 |
325 | 325 | Ed Renwick/Loyola University New Orleans | 85 | 7 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.9 | B/C | D +0.6 | 86% | 43% | 8.1 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 7 | D +5.3 | D +4.6 | 6.1 | 0.01 | 10/25/08 |
58 | 58 | Elon University | 86 | 8 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -0.1 | A/B | D +0.5 | 56% | 13% | 3.2 | 4.6 | -1.3 | -1.0 | -0.2 | 8 | D +2.1 | D +0.8 | 3.6 | 0.57 | 10/25/16 |
55 | 55 | Elway Research | 87 | 21 | no | partial | Live/Text | no | -0.2 | A/B | D +0.8 | 90% | 5% | 3.9 | 6.3 | -2.2 | -2.6 | -1.0 | 20 | D +2.1 | D +3.7 | 4.2 | 0.37 | 10/21/16 |
40 | 40 | Emerson College | 88 | 165 | yes | no | IVR/Online/Text | no | -0.4 | A- | D +0.3 | 80% | 24% | 5.4 | 6.2 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -0.6 | 123 | D +0.4 | R +1.3 | 5.2 | 0.05 | 3/12/20 |
106 | 106 | Ethridge & Associates LLC | 89 | 6 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.1 | 83% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.6 | -2.8 | -3.0 | -0.2 | 6 | R +0.7 | R +3.6 | 3.1 | 1.25 | 10/29/02 |
140 | 140 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 90 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 33% | 33% | 5.7 | 6.1 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 3 | D +2.1 | R +4.5 | 0.0 | 10/17/18 | |
312 | 312 | FM3 Research | 91 | 7 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.9 | B/C | D +0.5 | 79% | 29% | 5.9 | 6.2 | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 7 | D +5.5 | D +6.9 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 10/21/04 |
15 | 15 | Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) | 92 | 19 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | A/B | D +0.0 | 95% | 5% | 3.9 | 5.4 | -1.3 | -1.4 | -0.4 | 18 | D +0.1 | D +2.8 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 10/16/14 |
191 | 191 | Feldman Group | 93 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 50% | 50% | 6.7 | 5.4 | 1.4 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 2 | D +4.1 | D +2.8 | 1.5 | 0.84 | 10/29/12 |
5 | 5 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | 94 | 25 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.1 | A/B | R +0.7 | 100% | 16% | 3.9 | 5.6 | -1.5 | -2.0 | -0.7 | 18 | R +2.5 | D +0.6 | 4.7 | 0.01 | 5/29/16 |
88 | 88 | Financial Dynamics | 95 | 15 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.2 | B/C | R +0.4 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 4.7 | -1.9 | -1.3 | -0.3 | 15 | R +1.7 | R +2.2 | 2.4 | 0.63 | 11/1/08 |
63 | 63 | Fleming & Associates | 96 | 17 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | A/B | R +0.4 | 100% | 12% | 5.0 | 6.3 | -1.1 | -1.7 | -0.6 | 15 | R +1.4 | R +0.2 | 3.7 | 0.63 | 10/22/18 |
231 | 231 | Florida Atlantic University | 97 | 8 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.4 | 75% | 0% | 3.4 | 6.9 | -3.3 | -2.0 | -0.6 | 4 | D +2.9 | D +0.4 | 4.4 | 0.26 | 3/6/20 |
152 | 152 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.3 | -4.3 | -6.1 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.8 | R +13.0 | 0.0 | 10/16/08 | |
255 | 255 | Florida Poll | 99 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | B/C | D +0.3 | 60% | 0% | 4.6 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 5 | D +3.1 | D +0.8 | 3.3 | 0.71 | 10/25/10 |
242 | 242 | Forman Center | 100 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 11.0 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 0.1 | 2 | D +11.0 | D +17.1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 10/22/98 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL, "latest_poll" TEXT );