pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
453 rows sorted by Races Called Correctly
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly ▼ | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty | latest_poll |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
41 | 41 | Harvard University | 135 | 1 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.4 | A/B | D +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 6.8 | 6.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1 | D +6.8 | D +1.5 | 2.0 | 2.69 | 10/26/02 |
157 | 157 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | 0% | 0% | 7.1 | 8.6 | -1.3 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/27/08 | ||||
164 | 164 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.7 | -3.8 | -3.5 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | 10/17/04 | |
166 | 166 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.8 | -3.0 | -3.3 | 0.0 | 1 | R +2.6 | 0.0 | 10/15/02 | ||
168 | 168 | Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies | 460 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 2.0 | 6.8 | -4.5 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 1 | R +2.0 | R +2.4 | 3.0 | 2.58 | 10/21/18 |
178 | 178 | Morningside College | 536 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 0% | 0% | 6.4 | 8.5 | -1.9 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 0 | 2.3 | 1.37 | 1/20/20 | |||
204 | 204 | University of Maryland | 575 | 1 | yes | no | Landline | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 6.6 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 1 | D +6.6 | D +2.2 | 0.0 | 10/15/04 | |
213 | 213 | A&A Research | 2 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 10.0 | 6.3 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 0.1 | 1 | R +10.0 | 0.0 | 10/22/02 | ||
214 | 214 | TMR Research | 328 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.2 | 0% | 50% | 7.9 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 2 | D +7.9 | D +6.7 | 0.0 | 10/18/98 | |
215 | 215 | California State University, Bakersfield | 41 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 9.9 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 1 | R +9.9 | R +14.0 | 0.0 | 10/20/00 | |
223 | 223 | Marketing Research Institute | 192 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 7.4 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 1 | R +7.4 | R +7.3 | 0.0 | 11/21/02 | |
230 | 230 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | 16 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 13.7 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 0.1 | 1 | R +13.7 | 0.0 | 10/17/02 | ||
251 | 251 | Glover Park Group | 120 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | B/C | R +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 11.4 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 1 | R +11.4 | R +7.3 | 0.0 | 10/16/12 | |
253 | 253 | Anderson Group | 12 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | B/C | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 10.9 | 4.3 | 6.8 | 8.2 | 0.1 | 1 | R +10.9 | R +5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 11/11/03 |
258 | 258 | Lauer Johnson Research | 167 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | B/C | D +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 13.8 | 6.4 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 0.1 | 1 | D +13.8 | D +17.0 | 0.0 | 10/28/06 | |
278 | 278 | David Binder Research | 578 | 2 | no | partial | Online/Live/Text | no | 0.7 | B/C | 0% | 50% | 5.4 | 8.1 | -2.5 | -1.4 | -0.1 | 0 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 1/29/20 | |||
290 | 290 | Hickman Analytics | 415 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 9.1 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 6.1 | 0.3 | 1 | D +9.1 | D +7.7 | 0.0 | 10/15/19 | |
304 | 304 | Massie & Associates | 199 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.8 | B/C | R +0.5 | 0% | 100% | 24.0 | 7.0 | 17.1 | 15.4 | 0.3 | 2 | R +24.0 | 0.0 | 10/24/98 | ||
319 | 319 | Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions | 568 | 1 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.9 | B/C | 0% | 100% | 10.7 | 8.0 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 2/24/20 | |||
324 | 324 | Sacred Heart University | 453 | 1 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.9 | B/C | R +0.3 | 0% | 0% | 5.6 | 5.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1 | R +5.6 | R +8.8 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 10/30/18 |
332 | 332 | Harper Polling/Clarity Campaign Labs | 513 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.0 | B/C | D +0.3 | 0% | 0% | 7.0 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 1 | D +7.0 | D +4.8 | 0.0 | 8/27/19 | |
334 | 334 | Multi-Quest International | 220 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.0 | B/C | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 5.0 | 5.7 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +2.7 | 1.6 | 2.11 | 10/17/14 |
352 | 352 | Meredith College | 423 | 1 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.0 | B/C | 0% | 100% | 20.3 | 8.1 | 12.4 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0 | 2.9 | 0.74 | 2/20/20 | |||
359 | 359 | Riggs Research Services | 289 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.9 | 0% | 100% | 33.7 | 5.9 | 28.0 | 25.9 | 0.7 | 1 | D +33.7 | D +29.0 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 10/28/10 |
364 | 364 | Craciun Research Group | 61 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.7 | 0% | 100% | 18.7 | 6.2 | 12.7 | 17.5 | 0.7 | 1 | D +18.7 | D +11.3 | 0.0 | 10/24/16 | |
369 | 369 | Victory Enterprises | 525 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.5 | 0% | 100% | 17.3 | 6.7 | 10.9 | 9.5 | 0.3 | 1 | R +17.3 | 0.0 | 10/24/12 | ||
373 | 373 | Evan Falchuk and Lou DiNatale | 531 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.2 | B/C | 0% | 100% | 11.3 | 7.9 | 3.5 | -2.9 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/17/20 | ||||
405 | 405 | co/efficient | 514 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Text | no | 1.3 | C/D | D +0.2 | 0% | 0% | 3.5 | 4.1 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1 | D +3.5 | R +0.5 | 3.0 | 1.04 | 9/6/19 |
411 | 411 | Great Lakes Strategies Group | 125 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 7.5 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 1 | R +7.5 | R +10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 10/27/10 |
414 | 414 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | 0% | 100% | 21.6 | 7.8 | 13.9 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/12/12 | ||||
416 | 416 | Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne | 150 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.4 | C/D | 0% | 100% | 23.4 | 9.2 | 14.4 | 9.3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 4/21/16 | ||||
423 | 423 | Strategy Research | 322 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | C/D | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 8.7 | 3.1 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 0.2 | 1 | R +8.7 | R +4.7 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 12/4/17 |
435 | 435 | Saguaro Strategies | 298 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.7 | C/D | D +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 5.0 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 2 | D +5.0 | D +4.0 | 2.4 | 0.89 | 10/30/16 |
442 | 442 | TP Research | 452 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.0 | C/D | R +1.4 | 0% | 100% | 15.6 | 6.3 | 9.5 | 7.9 | 0.7 | 2 | R +15.6 | R +8.3 | 7.1 | 0.37 | 10/31/18 |
5 | 5 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | 94 | 25 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.1 | A/B | R +0.7 | 100% | 16% | 3.9 | 5.6 | -1.5 | -2.0 | -0.7 | 18 | R +2.5 | D +0.6 | 4.7 | 0.01 | 5/29/16 |
10 | 10 | National Journal | 224 | 12 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.8 | A/B | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 6.1 | -3.4 | -3.2 | -0.7 | 12 | R +0.6 | D +0.3 | 3.5 | 0.89 | 10/25/08 |
11 | 11 | Stockton University | 317 | 10 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.8 | A/B | D +0.7 | 100% | 20% | 4.0 | 5.3 | -1.1 | -1.4 | -0.4 | 10 | D +2.3 | D +0.7 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 10/28/18 |
19 | 19 | Western New England University | 380 | 10 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | A/B | R +0.3 | 100% | 10% | 4.3 | 6.4 | -1.9 | -2.5 | -0.7 | 9 | R +1.1 | D +2.2 | 2.6 | 1.46 | 10/19/18 |
23 | 23 | Michigan State University | 463 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | A/B | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.0 | 9.6 | -8.4 | -7.7 | -0.7 | 2 | R +0.5 | R +1.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/18 | |
26 | 26 | Temple University | 336 | 6 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.6 | A/B | R +0.2 | 100% | 17% | 3.7 | 5.2 | -1.3 | -1.4 | -0.2 | 5 | R +2.5 | D +0.7 | 3.7 | 0.08 | 10/23/08 |
28 | 28 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | A/B | 100% | 33% | 9.9 | 9.5 | 0.6 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/10/16 | ||||
31 | 31 | Indiana University | 149 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | A/B | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.1 | -5.0 | -4.7 | -0.1 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +4.1 | 0.0 | 10/18/04 | |
33 | 33 | Louis Harris & Associates | 173 | 2 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.5 | A/B | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 5.0 | -3.9 | -5.2 | -0.1 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +5.4 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 10/31/98 |
34 | 34 | Market Strategies International | 189 | 1 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.5 | A/B | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.1 | 6.3 | -5.0 | -5.4 | -0.1 | 1 | R +1.1 | R +4.6 | 3.6 | 1.27 | 10/28/02 |
37 | 37 | Gordon S. Black Corp. | 123 | 2 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.4 | A/B | R +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 6.4 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2 | R +6.4 | R +1.3 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 10/18/98 |
42 | 42 | Public Policy Institute of California | 262 | 16 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | A/B | R +1.0 | 100% | 25% | 5.2 | 5.5 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10 | R +4.4 | R +1.1 | 0.0 | 2/12/20 | |
43 | 43 | University of Illinois at Chicago | 352 | 1 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.3 | A/B | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 14.1 | 5.3 | 8.9 | 7.2 | 0.1 | 1 | R +14.1 | R +5.1 | 0.0 | 10/16/98 | |
45 | 45 | Winthrop University | 386 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | A/B | D +0.0 | 100% | 50% | 12.0 | 6.4 | 5.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1 | D +0.2 | R +1.2 | 3.6 | 0.27 | 2/14/20 |
61 | 61 | Public Religion Research Institute | 428 | 1 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -0.1 | A/B | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.4 | 5.1 | -4.4 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 1 | D +0.4 | D +1.7 | 2.0 | 1.23 | 10/19/18 |
62 | 62 | Middle Tennessee State University | 208 | 5 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | A/B | D +0.6 | 100% | 60% | 9.3 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 4 | D +4.6 | R +5.0 | 4.5 | 0.21 | 10/24/14 |
63 | 63 | Fleming & Associates | 96 | 17 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | A/B | R +0.4 | 100% | 12% | 5.0 | 6.3 | -1.1 | -1.7 | -0.6 | 15 | R +1.4 | R +0.2 | 3.7 | 0.63 | 10/22/18 |
73 | 73 | University of Arkansas | 345 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | B/C | D +0.7 | 100% | 0% | 4.1 | 5.3 | -1.0 | -2.6 | -0.5 | 6 | D +4.1 | R +3.9 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 10/22/16 |
77 | 77 | University of South Alabama | 361 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | B/C | R +0.4 | 100% | 11% | 3.3 | 5.3 | -1.8 | -2.0 | -0.3 | 9 | R +2.6 | R +2.0 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 10/14/10 |
87 | 87 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | 127 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | R +0.7 | 100% | 50% | 4.4 | 4.9 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -0.2 | 6 | R +4.2 | D +1.5 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 10/26/16 |
88 | 88 | Financial Dynamics | 95 | 15 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.2 | B/C | R +0.4 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 4.7 | -1.9 | -1.3 | -0.3 | 15 | R +1.7 | R +2.2 | 2.4 | 0.63 | 11/1/08 |
89 | 89 | University of Washington | 364 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.6 | 5.5 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -0.3 | 9 | D +0.3 | D +3.4 | 4.8 | 0.74 | 10/25/12 |
90 | 90 | Market Research Institute Inc. | 186 | 11 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 27% | 4.2 | 5.3 | -1.0 | -1.6 | -0.2 | 11 | D +0.6 | D +0.4 | 5.1 | 0.35 | 10/24/04 |
93 | 93 | Christopher Newport University | 50 | 10 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.7 | 100% | 30% | 5.9 | 5.1 | 1.0 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 9 | D +2.7 | D +2.1 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 2/14/20 |
95 | 95 | Victory Research | 437 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 5.9 | -3.7 | -4.6 | -0.4 | 1 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | 3/8/20 | ||
97 | 97 | Orion Strategies | 246 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 25% | 3.2 | 6.6 | -3.2 | -3.9 | -0.3 | 3 | D +1.5 | D +6.5 | 2.7 | 0.35 | 10/12/10 |
98 | 98 | CJ&N | 63 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 25% | 3.5 | 7.6 | -3.9 | -3.3 | -0.3 | 1 | D +3.2 | 0.0 | 10/26/10 | ||
99 | 99 | Marshall Marketing & Communications | 196 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.4 | 6.6 | -3.1 | -1.9 | -0.2 | 3 | R +2.9 | R +1.2 | 0.0 | 10/21/08 | |
101 | 101 | University of Massachusetts Amherst | 354 | 11 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 36% | 6.4 | 8.3 | -1.7 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 2 | R +6.1 | R +0.8 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 10/27/00 |
103 | 103 | Northern Arizona University | 234 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 25% | 3.6 | 5.6 | -1.9 | -3.2 | -0.2 | 4 | R +3.3 | R +5.1 | 6.0 | 0.19 | 10/23/08 |
107 | 107 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.1 | -2.3 | -3.4 | -0.2 | 2 | D +2.5 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | 10/19/14 | |
108 | 108 | Dittman Research | 79 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.5 | 100% | 33% | 5.4 | 5.9 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -0.1 | 5 | D +4.6 | R +1.0 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 10/26/10 |
111 | 111 | Clemson University | 54 | 7 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 43% | 8.7 | 7.7 | 1.2 | -3.5 | -0.7 | 1 | R +16.7 | R +9.7 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 2/21/20 |
114 | 114 | Market Decisions | 184 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 25% | 4.7 | 5.2 | -0.3 | -2.0 | -0.1 | 4 | R +1.0 | R +0.4 | 5.5 | 0.65 | 10/20/08 |
115 | 115 | Park Street Strategies | 534 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 2.4 | 7.7 | -5.1 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 1/26/20 | |||
116 | 116 | Wiese Research Associates Inc. | 382 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.9 | 100% | 43% | 7.3 | 6.6 | 0.9 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 7 | D +5.4 | D +6.1 | 0.0 | 10/24/12 | |
118 | 118 | University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee | 366 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 25% | 4.4 | 6.1 | -1.5 | -1.6 | -0.1 | 4 | R +3.5 | R +1.2 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 10/21/08 |
119 | 119 | RBI Strategies & Research | 271 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.6 | -4.8 | -6.9 | -0.4 | 1 | R +0.7 | D +3.5 | 5.1 | 0.17 | 10/25/10 |
122 | 122 | MSR Group | 178 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.8 | -3.1 | -3.9 | -0.2 | 3 | D +3.5 | D +1.3 | 0.0 | 10/19/04 | |
123 | 123 | Richard Day Research Inc. | 287 | 11 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.4 | 100% | 36% | 5.5 | 5.3 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 11 | R +2.9 | R +0.7 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 10/21/06 |
125 | 125 | Southern Media & Opinion Research | 310 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 14% | 5.6 | 5.3 | 0.5 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 7 | R +0.7 | R +1.6 | 0.0 | 11/29/16 | |
126 | 126 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 5.7 | -3.6 | -4.8 | -0.2 | 1 | D +1.9 | R +4.1 | 0.0 | 10/18/18 | |
128 | 128 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | 100% | 50% | 6.9 | 9.4 | -2.4 | -2.3 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/12/08 | ||||
131 | 131 | Targeted Persuasion | 579 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 8.3 | -7.2 | -6.4 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 5/24/16 | ||||
132 | 132 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 8.5 | -6.3 | -6.3 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/17/16 | ||||
133 | 133 | Market Solutions Group | 188 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 25% | 4.4 | 6.6 | -2.0 | -1.4 | -0.1 | 2 | R +0.1 | D +1.5 | 4.4 | 0.45 | 10/19/04 |
135 | 135 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 50% | 8.7 | 9.1 | -0.2 | -0.7 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 3/9/16 | ||||
136 | 136 | Richmond Times-Dispatch | 288 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.3 | 4.9 | -1.3 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 4 | D +2.9 | D +2.4 | 5.0 | 0.17 | 10/23/04 |
137 | 137 | Mercyhurst University | 422 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.7 | -4.8 | -5.4 | -0.2 | 1 | R +0.7 | 0.0 | 10/18/14 | ||
138 | 138 | Odney | 524 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.1 | 6.3 | -4.1 | -4.8 | -0.2 | 1 | D +2.1 | R +8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 10/22/14 |
139 | 139 | University of Tennessee | 362 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -5.7 | -0.2 | 2 | R +2.7 | R +5.4 | 0.0 | 10/14/04 | |
141 | 141 | Frank N. Magid Associates Inc. | 105 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.3 | 100% | 25% | 4.7 | 5.7 | -0.8 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 4 | D +4.7 | R +0.9 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 10/24/02 |
143 | 143 | Gotham Research Group | 576 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 5.8 | 6.4 | -0.5 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 1 | R +5.8 | D +2.0 | 6.0 | 0.75 | 10/23/12 |
145 | 145 | RMS Research | 273 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.3 | 5.9 | -3.4 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 2 | R +2.3 | R +5.8 | 4.0 | 0.35 | 10/22/02 |
146 | 146 | Knowledge Networks | 164 | 3 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 33% | 4.2 | 4.5 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 3 | D +4.0 | D +0.6 | 3.1 | 0.16 | 10/22/08 |
148 | 148 | Midwest Survey and Research | 209 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 33% | 7.3 | 5.8 | 1.7 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 3 | R +1.1 | 0.0 | 10/26/02 | ||
149 | 149 | QEV Analytics | 266 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 6.5 | -4.3 | -6.3 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 11/2/09 | ||||
150 | 150 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 5.7 | 8.7 | -2.9 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 4/8/16 | |||
152 | 152 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.3 | -4.3 | -6.1 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.8 | R +13.0 | 0.0 | 10/16/08 | |
155 | 155 | Centre College | 47 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.4 | -1.3 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 1 | D +3.9 | D +2.3 | 4.8 | 0.35 | 10/21/16 |
156 | 156 | Blumenthal Research Daily | 447 | 2 | no | yes | Live | yes | 0.4 | F | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.3 | -2.6 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 2 | R +1.8 | R +3.1 | 1.0 | 1.58 | 4/14/18 |
158 | 158 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 17 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 5.7 | -2.1 | -2.6 | -0.1 | 1 | R +3.5 | 0.0 | 10/22/06 | ||
159 | 159 | Voter/Consumer Research | 371 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 50% | 5.2 | 5.7 | -0.3 | -1.1 | -0.1 | 6 | R +0.0 | R +3.0 | 2.5 | 1.19 | 10/19/14 |
160 | 160 | Jim Meader (KELOLAND-TV) | 159 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.3 | 100% | 25% | 4.6 | 5.5 | -0.7 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 4 | D +4.6 | D +4.4 | 0.0 | 10/21/02 | |
162 | 162 | Manhattanville College | 181 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 33% | 6.5 | 6.7 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 2 | R +8.2 | D +0.2 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 2/22/00 |
163 | 163 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 0.1 | 8.6 | -8.3 | -5.7 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/19/04 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL, "latest_poll" TEXT );