pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error ▼ | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty | latest_poll |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
439 | 439 | Zia Poll | 393 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.8 | C/D | R +0.5 | 100% | 33% | 4.9 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 3 | R +4.9 | R +3.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 11/6/16 |
410 | 410 | RAND (American Life Panel) | 270 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 1.4 | C/D | D +0.2 | 100% | 25% | 2.7 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 4 | D +1.4 | D +3.7 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 10/26/16 |
401 | 401 | Big Data Poll | 251 | 4 | no | no | IVR/Online | yes | 1.3 | F | R +0.4 | 25% | 25% | 3.0 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 4 | R +3.0 | R +4.9 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 11/5/16 |
435 | 435 | Saguaro Strategies | 298 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.7 | C/D | D +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 5.0 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 2 | D +5.0 | D +4.0 | 2.4 | 0.89 | 10/30/16 |
366 | 366 | USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times | 343 | 6 | yes | no | Online | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.3 | 67% | 83% | 5.3 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 6 | D +1.2 | D +1.2 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 10/31/18 |
423 | 423 | Strategy Research | 322 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | C/D | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 8.7 | 3.1 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 0.2 | 1 | R +8.7 | R +4.7 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 12/4/17 |
368 | 368 | M4 Strategies | 177 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.1 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 3.1 | 3.2 | 0.1 | -4.4 | -0.3 | 2 | R +3.1 | D +4.8 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 10/25/12 |
306 | 306 | CVOTER | 40 | 6 | no | no | Online | no | 0.8 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 3.4 | -1.4 | -1.8 | -0.3 | 6 | R +1.3 | R +0.4 | 3.2 | 0.02 | 11/3/16 |
340 | 340 | Harris Insights & Analytics | 133 | 169 | yes | no | Online | no | 1.0 | C | R +1.3 | 83% | 49% | 5.1 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 169 | R +1.5 | D +0.7 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 11/5/18 |
432 | 432 | Google Surveys | 122 | 24 | yes | no | Online | no | 1.6 | D+ | R +0.1 | 92% | 38% | 5.3 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 24 | R +0.2 | R +0.7 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 11/4/16 |
346 | 346 | Morning Consult | 218 | 12 | no | no | Online | no | 1.0 | B/C | D +0.2 | 75% | 25% | 3.0 | 3.5 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 12 | D +0.6 | R +0.6 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 11/3/18 |
211 | 211 | Polling Company/Global Strategy Group (Hotline Bullseye) | 255 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.2 | 25% | 25% | 4.3 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 4 | R +4.3 | R +2.8 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 11/4/00 |
287 | 287 | BK Strategies | 20 | 3 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.4 | 67% | 33% | 3.8 | 3.7 | 0.3 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 3 | D +3.6 | R +2.9 | 3.3 | 0.27 | 10/28/16 |
398 | 398 | Remington Research Group | 279 | 39 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.3 | C- | D +1.2 | 69% | 36% | 4.9 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 38 | D +2.0 | R +1.9 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 3/5/20 |
301 | 301 | 1892 Polling | 461 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.8 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.6 | 3.9 | -3.1 | -2.3 | -0.1 | 1 | R +0.6 | R +4.3 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 10/21/18 |
396 | 396 | BIGresearch | 19 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 3.9 | -1.8 | -3.6 | -0.1 | 1 | R +1.9 | R +7.8 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 10/4/03 |
444 | 444 | Dane & Associates | 71 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.0 | C/D | R +0.9 | 50% | 100% | 21.2 | 3.9 | 17.5 | 15.2 | 0.7 | 2 | R +21.2 | R +10.5 | 3.0 | 0.79 | 10/28/08 |
274 | 274 | Pew Research Center | 253 | 25 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.8 | 50% | 40% | 4.4 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 25 | D +2.1 | D +1.0 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 10/23/16 |
425 | 425 | Lucid | 175 | 25 | no | no | Online | no | 1.6 | D+ | D +1.9 | 88% | 32% | 4.1 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 25 | D +3.8 | D +2.3 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 10/25/18 |
21 | 21 | IBD/TIPP | 144 | 27 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -0.6 | A/B | R +0.8 | 78% | 4% | 2.2 | 4.1 | -1.6 | -1.6 | -0.7 | 27 | R +1.9 | R +1.6 | 3.4 | 0.25 | 10/30/18 |
393 | 393 | Singularis Group | 306 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.8 | 4.1 | -3.1 | -2.6 | -0.1 | 1 | R +0.8 | D +2.0 | 2.0 | 2.38 | 10/27/16 |
405 | 405 | co/efficient | 514 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Text | no | 1.3 | C/D | D +0.2 | 0% | 0% | 3.5 | 4.1 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1 | D +3.5 | R +0.5 | 3.0 | 1.04 | 9/6/19 |
412 | 412 | MarblePort | 182 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | R +0.4 | 100% | 100% | 5.6 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 2 | R +5.6 | R +4.4 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 11/11/15 |
422 | 422 | ccAdvertising | 396 | 30 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.5 | C/D | R +2.6 | 88% | 70% | 7.1 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 30 | R +5.7 | R +3.7 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 11/1/14 |
284 | 284 | Star Tribune | 315 | 14 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.9 | 50% | 50% | 5.9 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 12 | D +5.1 | D +3.7 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 11/6/06 |
399 | 399 | Triumph Campaigns | 339 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1 | R +4.2 | R +5.0 | 0.0 | 11/5/15 | |
253 | 253 | Anderson Group | 12 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | B/C | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 10.9 | 4.3 | 6.8 | 8.2 | 0.1 | 1 | R +10.9 | R +5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 11/11/03 |
37 | 37 | Gordon S. Black Corp. | 123 | 2 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.4 | A/B | R +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 6.4 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2 | R +6.4 | R +1.3 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 10/18/98 |
120 | 120 | Valley Research | 368 | 6 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.2 | 83% | 17% | 4.3 | 4.4 | 0.1 | -1.1 | -0.1 | 6 | D +2.4 | D +1.3 | 2.0 | 0.21 | 10/24/04 |
165 | 165 | Scripps Howard | 303 | 5 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 40% | 4.8 | 4.4 | 0.6 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 5 | R +2.2 | R +2.7 | 2.8 | 0.46 | 10/18/02 |
236 | 236 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 52 | 12 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +1.1 | 54% | 17% | 3.5 | 4.4 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.2 | 12 | D +3.5 | D +1.1 | 2.7 | 0.39 | 10/16/18 |
424 | 424 | GaPundit.com | 111 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | C/D | D +0.6 | 25% | 100% | 8.3 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +3.1 | 0.0 | 10/14/14 | |
429 | 429 | University of Colorado | 580 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.6 | C/D | D +0.5 | 100% | 50% | 6.7 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +6.7 | D +7.3 | 0.0 | 10/21/16 | |
449 | 449 | SurveyMonkey | 324 | 210 | no | no | Online | no | 2.6 | D- | D +5.0 | 84% | 54% | 7.1 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 197 | D +5.6 | D +2.9 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 10/15/19 |
36 | 36 | University of Florida | 349 | 1 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | A/B | D +0.0 | 50% | 0% | 1.1 | 4.5 | -3.3 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | D +1.1 | R +0.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 10/26/14 |
146 | 146 | Knowledge Networks | 164 | 3 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 33% | 4.2 | 4.5 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 3 | D +4.0 | D +0.6 | 3.1 | 0.16 | 10/22/08 |
185 | 185 | Associated Industries of Florida | 18 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.3 | 50% | 0% | 3.4 | 4.5 | -0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2 | D +3.4 | D +1.0 | 0.0 | 10/19/16 | |
189 | 189 | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1 | D +5.5 | 0.0 | 10/28/06 | ||
220 | 220 | Tulsa Surveys | 341 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 100% | 11.9 | 4.5 | 7.6 | 5.8 | 0.1 | 1 | R +11.9 | 0.0 | 10/18/98 | ||
262 | 262 | McCulloch Research & Polling | 201 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | B/C | R +0.4 | 75% | 50% | 7.0 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 4 | R +5.5 | R +3.2 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 11/5/06 |
320 | 320 | Schoen Consulting | 301 | 1 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.9 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.3 | 4.5 | -2.1 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 1 | R +2.3 | R +1.5 | 1.9 | 0.97 | 10/22/10 |
415 | 415 | Hampton University | 131 | 4 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.4 | C/D | R +0.8 | 50% | 50% | 7.5 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 4 | R +5.8 | R +6.8 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 10/20/17 |
427 | 427 | Baldwin Wallace University | 401 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.6 | C/D | D +0.7 | 50% | 50% | 8.3 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +3.5 | 0.0 | 10/23/18 | |
451 | 451 | TCJ Research | 327 | 132 | no | no | IVR | yes | 3.0 | F | R +4.4 | 60% | 49% | 6.4 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 124 | R +5.6 | R +3.5 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 11/5/12 |
47 | 47 | Georgetown University (Battleground) | 114 | 35 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | A/B | R +0.6 | 57% | 11% | 3.4 | 4.6 | -1.0 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 35 | R +1.4 | R +1.6 | 3.3 | 0.43 | 11/5/12 |
58 | 58 | Elon University | 86 | 8 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -0.1 | A/B | D +0.5 | 56% | 13% | 3.2 | 4.6 | -1.3 | -1.0 | -0.2 | 8 | D +2.1 | D +0.8 | 3.6 | 0.57 | 10/25/16 |
222 | 222 | Decision Forecasting | 77 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 67% | 8.1 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 3 | R +1.4 | D +0.6 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 11/1/00 |
237 | 237 | CallFire | 42 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.4 | 75% | 0% | 3.9 | 4.6 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 4 | R +3.9 | R +0.5 | 2.5 | 0.98 | 10/30/12 |
349 | 349 | TargetSmart/William & Mary | 332 | 3 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.0 | B/C | D +0.6 | 67% | 33% | 5.3 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 3 | D +5.3 | D +1.7 | 4.0 | 0.23 | 11/2/16 |
350 | 350 | Optimus | 245 | 16 | yes | partial | Online/Live/Text | no | 1.0 | B/C | R +1.4 | 81% | 69% | 8.0 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 13 | R +3.9 | R +2.7 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 3/8/20 |
351 | 351 | St. Pete Polls | 314 | 22 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.0 | C | R +0.4 | 52% | 27% | 4.4 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 21 | R +0.9 | R +1.3 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 3/7/20 |
361 | 361 | Columbus Dispatch | 57 | 22 | no | no | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +1.0 | 93% | 45% | 5.1 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 17 | D +3.0 | D +2.8 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 11/1/16 | |
88 | 88 | Financial Dynamics | 95 | 15 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.2 | B/C | R +0.4 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 4.7 | -1.9 | -1.3 | -0.3 | 15 | R +1.7 | R +2.2 | 2.4 | 0.63 | 11/1/08 |
226 | 226 | NPR | 222 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.1 | 17% | 33% | 4.9 | 4.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 3 | D +0.9 | D +0.6 | 2.1 | 0.61 | 10/24/12 |
392 | 392 | Trafalgar Group | 338 | 48 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C- | R +0.9 | 75% | 50% | 5.6 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 34 | R +1.5 | R +3.4 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 2/27/20 |
3 | 3 | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 73 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.3 | A+ | D +0.5 | 72% | 7% | 2.8 | 4.8 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.2 | 68 | D +0.8 | D +1.3 | 3.8 | 0.12 | 10/31/18 |
75 | 75 | RT Strategies | 275 | 42 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | B/C | D +1.0 | 69% | 40% | 5.9 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 42 | D +2.2 | D +3.4 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 10/28/06 |
183 | 183 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 29 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.8 | -1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2 | D +1.6 | D +3.2 | 0.0 | 10/22/16 | |
204 | 204 | University of Maryland | 575 | 1 | yes | no | Landline | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 6.6 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 1 | D +6.6 | D +2.2 | 0.0 | 10/15/04 | |
212 | 212 | Jeffrey Stonecash | 158 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 8.4 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 1 | R +8.4 | R +16.5 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 10/29/06 |
221 | 221 | Ipsos | 154 | 66 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.5 | B- | D +0.4 | 70% | 21% | 4.6 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 60 | D +0.5 | D +1.0 | 3.7 | 0.06 | 11/5/18 |
255 | 255 | Florida Poll | 99 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | B/C | D +0.3 | 60% | 0% | 4.6 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 5 | D +3.1 | D +0.8 | 3.3 | 0.71 | 10/25/10 |
315 | 315 | Kimball Political Consulting | 163 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.9 | B/C | R +0.9 | 75% | 75% | 8.1 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 4 | R +8.1 | R +4.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 11/1/12 |
378 | 378 | Purple Strategies | 265 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.3 | 88% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.8 | -1.6 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 4 | R +3.0 | R +0.1 | 2.2 | 1.29 | 11/1/12 |
379 | 379 | Revily | 284 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.5 | 4.8 | -4.1 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 1 | R +0.5 | D +1.7 | 2.0 | 1.58 | 4/11/17 |
390 | 390 | Florida Chamber of Commerce | 577 | 1 | no | no | Landline | no | 1.3 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 4.8 | -3.4 | -2.6 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.2 | D +1.9 | 3.2 | 0.85 | 10/27/08 |
83 | 83 | Pharos Research Group | 254 | 33 | no | yes | Live | yes | 0.1 | F | D +0.8 | 92% | 15% | 3.8 | 4.9 | -1.0 | -0.4 | -0.2 | 33 | D +1.6 | D +1.1 | 4.1 | 0.22 | 10/27/12 |
87 | 87 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | 127 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | R +0.7 | 100% | 50% | 4.4 | 4.9 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -0.2 | 6 | R +4.2 | D +1.5 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 10/26/16 |
136 | 136 | Richmond Times-Dispatch | 288 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.3 | 4.9 | -1.3 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 4 | D +2.9 | D +2.4 | 5.0 | 0.17 | 10/23/04 |
256 | 256 | Market Research Insight | 185 | 11 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | B/C | D +1.2 | 100% | 36% | 4.8 | 4.9 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 11 | D +3.9 | D +3.6 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 10/9/19 |
385 | 385 | AFL-CIO | 526 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.8 | 4.9 | -0.8 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 1 | R +3.8 | 0.0 | 10/22/12 | ||
407 | 407 | CrossTarget | 66 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | R +0.4 | 100% | 50% | 7.7 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2 | R +7.7 | R +13.3 | 15.8 | 0.0 | 1/17/10 |
448 | 448 | Saint Leo University | 299 | 6 | no | no | Online | no | 2.5 | C/D | D +1.8 | 33% | 67% | 8.5 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 6.9 | 1.4 | 6 | D +8.5 | D +6.5 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 10/19/18 |
33 | 33 | Louis Harris & Associates | 173 | 2 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.5 | A/B | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 5.0 | -3.9 | -5.2 | -0.1 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +5.4 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 10/31/98 |
81 | 81 | Gallup | 112 | 84 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | B | R +0.4 | 69% | 30% | 4.3 | 5.0 | -0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 69 | R +0.7 | R +1.4 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 10/22/18 |
84 | 84 | Keating Research | 161 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | B/C | D +0.1 | 80% | 0% | 2.4 | 5.0 | -2.4 | -2.1 | -0.3 | 5 | D +0.9 | D +2.8 | 3.7 | 0.62 | 11/3/16 |
153 | 153 | GfK Group | 115 | 21 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 88% | 19% | 3.9 | 5.0 | -0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 21 | D +0.6 | D +1.3 | 4.6 | 0.22 | 10/22/16 |
202 | 202 | Clarus Research Group | 53 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.3 | 100% | 33% | 6.8 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3 | D +4.1 | D +2.2 | 0.0 | 10/6/11 | |
223 | 223 | Marketing Research Institute | 192 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 7.4 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 1 | R +7.4 | R +7.3 | 0.0 | 11/21/02 | |
265 | 265 | OpinionWorks | 244 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | B/C | R +0.5 | 92% | 50% | 7.3 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 6 | R +3.1 | D +3.7 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 10/23/12 |
280 | 280 | Southeastern Louisiana University | 309 | 8 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.1 | 88% | 38% | 6.3 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 8 | D +0.4 | D +0.1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 10/22/08 |
308 | 308 | IMGE Insights | 145 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.8 | B/C | R +0.5 | 100% | 50% | 6.4 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2 | R +6.4 | R +0.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 11/4/17 |
325 | 325 | Ed Renwick/Loyola University New Orleans | 85 | 7 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.9 | B/C | D +0.6 | 86% | 43% | 8.1 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 7 | D +5.3 | D +4.6 | 6.1 | 0.01 | 10/25/08 |
328 | 328 | Probolsky Research | 259 | 4 | no | partial | Online/Live/Text | no | 0.9 | B/C | R +0.8 | 50% | 25% | 6.4 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 3 | R +7.7 | R +5.6 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 10/28/18 |
339 | 339 | Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies | 55 | 15 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.0 | B/C | R +1.8 | 53% | 40% | 6.7 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 14 | R +5.5 | R +4.6 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 4/15/17 |
387 | 387 | Diamond State Consulting Group | 78 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 5.0 | -0.6 | -1.6 | -0.1 | 1 | D +4.2 | R +5.0 | 5.0 | 0.62 | 10/21/14 |
411 | 411 | Great Lakes Strategies Group | 125 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 7.5 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 1 | R +7.5 | R +10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 10/27/10 |
38 | 38 | Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Corp. | 104 | 34 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.4 | A/B | R +0.3 | 72% | 12% | 3.9 | 5.1 | -1.1 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 28 | R +0.9 | R +1.6 | 4.1 | 0.15 | 10/27/10 |
44 | 44 | Abt Associates | 7 | 10 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | A/B | D +0.8 | 90% | 20% | 3.8 | 5.1 | -1.1 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 9 | D +3.3 | D +0.3 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 6/7/17 |
48 | 48 | Princeton Survey Research Associates International | 258 | 35 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | A/B | D +0.5 | 63% | 31% | 5.1 | 5.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 33 | D +1.2 | D +0.2 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 10/25/14 |
61 | 61 | Public Religion Research Institute | 428 | 1 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -0.1 | A/B | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.4 | 5.1 | -4.4 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 1 | D +0.4 | D +1.7 | 2.0 | 1.23 | 10/19/18 |
68 | 68 | Strategic Vision LLC | 320 | 133 | no | yes* | Live* | yes | 0.0 | F | R +1.5 | 89% | 18% | 3.8 | 5.1 | -1.1 | -0.4 | -0.3 | 110 | R +2.2 | R +2.1 | 4.4 | 0.12 | 11/1/08 |
93 | 93 | Christopher Newport University | 50 | 10 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.7 | 100% | 30% | 5.9 | 5.1 | 1.0 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 9 | D +2.7 | D +2.1 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 2/14/20 |
107 | 107 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.1 | -2.3 | -3.4 | -0.2 | 2 | D +2.5 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | 10/19/14 | |
139 | 139 | University of Tennessee | 362 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -5.7 | -0.2 | 2 | R +2.7 | R +5.4 | 0.0 | 10/14/04 | |
147 | 147 | Lincoln Institute | 170 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 75% | 0% | 4.1 | 5.1 | -0.8 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 2 | R +4.1 | D +2.7 | 0.0 | 10/17/00 | |
176 | 176 | Ohio State University | 236 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 3.7 | 5.1 | -1.3 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 1 | R +3.7 | R +5.8 | 0.0 | 10/18/00 | |
192 | 192 | Meeting Street Research | 204 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 1 | D +2.6 | D +5.3 | 3.0 | 1.39 | 4/4/17 |
197 | 197 | Braun Research | 33 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +1.2 | 100% | 50% | 6.6 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 6 | D +6.6 | D +2.8 | 2.5 | 0.17 | 10/21/16 |
199 | 199 | Virginia Commonwealth University | 370 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 20% | 4.9 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 5 | R +1.9 | R +1.8 | 5.3 | 0.13 | 10/23/09 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL, "latest_poll" TEXT );