pollster-ratings/2020/raw-polls
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
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Link | rowid | poll_id | question_id | race_id | year | race | location | type_simple | type_detail | pollster | pollster_rating_id | polldate | samplesize | cand1_name | cand1_party | cand1_pct | cand2_name | cand2_party | cand2_pct | cand3_pct | margin_poll | electiondate | cand1_actual | cand2_actual | margin_actual | error ▼ | bias | rightcall | comment | partisan |
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1316 | 1316 | 25525 | 30765 | 1667 | 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_MT | MT | Sen-G | Sen-G | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 197 | 10/24/2002 | 625.0 | Max Baucus | DEM | 59.0 | Mike Taylor | REP | 28.0 | 31.0 | 11/5/2002 | 62.74 | 31.73 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
2487 | 2487 | 24319 | 29557 | 1600 | 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_NY | NY | Sen-G | Sen-G | Marist College | 183 | 10/17/2006 | 475.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 67.0 | John Canfield Spencer | REP | 31.0 | 36.0 | 11/7/2006 | 67.0 | 31.01 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
4948 | 4948 | 32644 | 84110 | 1299 | 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_OH | OH | Gov-G | Gov-G | University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | 346 | 10/16/2010 | 839.0 | Ted Strickland | DEM | 47.0 | John Richard Kasich | REP | 49.0 | -2.0 | 11/2/2010 | 47.04 | 49.04 | -2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
5309 | 5309 | 32780 | 84101 | 1299 | 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_OH | OH | Gov-G | Gov-G | Columbus Dispatch | 57 | 10/25/2010 | 1445.0 | Ted Strickland | DEM | 47.0 | John Richard Kasich | REP | 49.0 | -2.0 | 11/2/2010 | 47.04 | 49.04 | -2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
5963 | 5963 | 30183 | 36154 | 1494 | 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_OH | OH | Sen-G | Sen-G | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 10/19/2012 | 550.0 | Sherrod Brown | DEM | 45.0 | Josh Mandel | REP | 39.0 | 6.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.7 | 44.7 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
6360 | 6360 | 30673 | 36931 | 1494 | 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_OH | OH | Sen-G | Sen-G | Columbus Dispatch | 57 | 10/29/2012 | 1501.0 | Sherrod Brown | DEM | 51.0 | Josh Mandel | REP | 45.0 | 6.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.7 | 44.7 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
6637 | 6637 | 30794 | 37149 | 1494 | 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_OH | OH | Sen-G | Sen-G | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 11/3/2012 | 540.0 | Sherrod Brown | DEM | 52.0 | Josh Mandel | REP | 46.0 | 6.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.7 | 44.7 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
8418 | 8418 | 48339 | 75938 | 56 | 2016 | 2016_Gov-G_UT | UT | Gov-G | Gov-G | Y2 Analytics | 389 | 11/2/2016 | 500.0 | Mike Weinholtz | DEM | 26.0 | Gary Richard Herbert | REP | 64.0 | -38.0 | 11/8/2016 | 28.74 | 66.74 | -38.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
9012 | 9012 | 56489 | 90864 | 299 | 2018 | 2018_House-G_IA-3 | IA-3 | House-G | House-G | Siena College/The New York Times Upshot | 448 | 10/26/2018 | 504.0 | Cindy Axne | DEM | 43.39 | David Young | REP | 41.23 | 2.1600001 | 11/6/2018 | 49.3 | 47.14 | 2.16 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
32 | 32 | 26147 | 31387 | 1734 | 1998 | 1998_Sen-G_MD | MD | Sen-G | Sen-G | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 197 | 10/16/1998 | 821.0 | Barbara A. Mikulski | DEM | 67.0 | Ross Z. Pierpont | REP | 26.0 | 41.0 | 11/3/1998 | 70.5 | 29.5 | 41.01 | 0.01 | -0.01 | 1.0 | |||
2231 | 2231 | 4375 | 5697 | 764 | 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_FL | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 277 | 10/27/2004 | 500.0 | John Kerry | DEM | 45.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 50.0 | -5.0 | 11/2/2004 | 47.09 | 52.1 | -5.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 1.0 | |||
2823 | 2823 | 24349 | 89115 | 1349 | 2006 | 2006_Gov-G_NV | NV | Gov-G | Gov-G | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 197 | 10/28/2006 | 625.0 | Dina Titus | DEM | 40.0 | Jim Gibbons | REP | 44.0 | -4.0 | 11/7/2006 | 43.92 | 47.93 | -4.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 1.0 | |||
5790 | 5790 | 14387 | 18875 | 7472 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-R_OH | OH | Pres-P | Pres-R | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 3/4/2012 | 666.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 37.0 | Rick Santorum | REP | 36.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 3/6/2012 | 37.96 | 36.95 | 1.01 | 0.01 | 1.0 | |||
6228 | 6228 | 30482 | 36603 | 1477 | 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_FL | FL | Sen-G | Sen-G | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 10/26/2012 | 1073.0 | Bill Nelson | DEM | 52.0 | Connie Mack | REP | 39.0 | 13.0 | 11/6/2012 | 55.23 | 42.23 | 13.01 | 0.01 | -0.01 | 1.0 | |||
6485 | 6485 | 30601 | 36802 | 1477 | 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_FL | FL | Sen-G | Sen-G | Ipsos | 154 | 11/1/2012 | 1152.0 | Bill Nelson | DEM | 51.0 | Connie Mack | REP | 38.0 | 13.0 | 11/6/2012 | 55.23 | 42.23 | 13.01 | 0.01 | -0.01 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
6907 | 6907 | 33822 | 41011 | 18 | 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_MS | MS | Sen-G | Sen-G | YouGov | 391 | 10/20/2014 | 654.0 | Travis W. Childers | DEM | 28.0 | Thad Cochran | REP | 50.0 | -22.0 | 11/4/2014 | 37.89 | 59.9 | -22.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 1.0 | |||
572 | 572 | 6420 | 7888 | 40 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/22/2000 | 1070.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 47.5 | George W. Bush | REP | 47.0 | 0.5 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.52 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
593 | 593 | 54500 | 88036 | 1425 | 2000 | 2000_Gov-G_NH | NH | Gov-G | Gov-G | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 277 | 10/22/2000 | 1338.0 | Jeanne Shaheen | DEM | 45.0 | Gordon Humphrey | REP | 40.0 | 5.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.74 | 43.76 | 4.98 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1.0 | |||
971 | 971 | 6167 | 27321 | 1705 | 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_OH | OH | Sen-G | Sen-G | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 197 | 11/2/2000 | 625.0 | Ted Celeste | DEM | 32.0 | Michael DeWine | REP | 56.0 | -24.0 | 11/7/2000 | 35.87 | 59.9 | -24.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1.0 | |||
1331 | 1331 | 64104 | 117947 | 2870 | 2002 | 2002_House-G_IN-7 | IN-7 | House-G | House-G | Indiana University | 149 | 10/25/2002 | 506.0 | Julia M. Carson | DEM | 46.0 | Ambrose A. McVey | REP | 37.0 | 9.0 | 11/5/2002 | 53.13 | 44.14 | 8.98 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1.0 | |||
2506 | 2506 | 24380 | 29618 | 1598 | 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_NJ | NJ | Sen-G | Sen-G | Monmouth University | 215 | 10/18/2006 | 396.0 | Robert Menendez | DEM | 48.0 | Thomas H. Kean | REP | 39.0 | 9.0 | 11/7/2006 | 53.37 | 44.34 | 9.02 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 1.0 | |||
2650 | 2650 | 24215 | 29453 | 1598 | 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_NJ | NJ | Sen-G | Sen-G | Normington, Petts & Associates | 232 | 10/24/2006 | 800.0 | Robert Menendez | DEM | 45.0 | Thomas H. Kean | REP | 36.0 | 9.0 | 11/7/2006 | 53.37 | 44.34 | 9.02 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 1.0 | for unspecified Democratic spnosor | D | |
2952 | 2952 | 55657 | 89207 | 1362 | 2006 | 2006_Gov-G_OR | OR | Gov-G | Gov-G | YouGov | 391 | 11/1/2006 | 502.0 | Ted Kulongoski | DEM | 54.0 | Ron Saxton | REP | 46.0 | 8.0 | 11/7/2006 | 50.73 | 42.75 | 7.98 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1.0 | |||
3097 | 3097 | 24393 | 29631 | 1598 | 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_NJ | NJ | Sen-G | Sen-G | OnPoint | 240 | 11/6/2006 | 520.0 | Robert Menendez | DEM | 50.0 | Thomas H. Kean | REP | 41.0 | 9.0 | 11/7/2006 | 53.37 | 44.34 | 9.02 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 1.0 | |||
3831 | 3831 | 16836 | 21750 | 708 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_CA | CA | Pres-G | Pres-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 10/16/2008 | 615.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 59.0 | John McCain | REP | 35.0 | 24.0 | 11/4/2008 | 60.92 | 36.9 | 24.02 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 1.0 | |||
4315 | 4315 | 16459 | 25452 | 1574 | 2008 | 2008_Sen-G_SD | SD | Sen-G | Sen-G | YouGov | 391 | 10/25/2008 | 352.0 | Tim Johnson | DEM | 60.0 | Joel D. Dykstra | REP | 35.0 | 25.0 | 11/4/2008 | 62.49 | 37.51 | 24.98 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1.0 | among registered voters | ||
4317 | 4317 | 16485 | 25454 | 1576 | 2008 | 2008_Sen-G_TX | TX | Sen-G | Sen-G | YouGov | 391 | 10/25/2008 | 972.0 | Rick Noriega | DEM | 35.0 | John Cornyn | REP | 47.0 | -12.0 | 11/4/2008 | 42.84 | 54.82 | -11.98 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 1.0 | among registered voters | ||
4574 | 4574 | 16508 | 21405 | 708 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_CA | CA | Pres-G | Pres-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 10/30/2008 | 637.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 60.0 | John McCain | REP | 36.0 | 24.0 | 11/4/2008 | 60.92 | 36.9 | 24.02 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 1.0 | |||
4775 | 4775 | 64366 | 118418 | 1801 | 2009 | 2009_House-GS_CA-10 | CA-10 | House-G | House-GS | SurveyUSA | 325 | 10/27/2009 | 581.0 | John Garamendi | DEM | 50.0 | David Harmer | REP | 40.0 | 10.0 | 11/3/2009 | 52.85 | 42.83 | 10.02 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 1.0 | |||
4926 | 4926 | 32623 | 39219 | 1537 | 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_PA | PA | Sen-G | Sen-G | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 10/15/2010 | 1046.0 | Joe Sestak | DEM | 46.0 | Patrick J. Toomey | REP | 48.0 | -2.0 | 11/2/2010 | 48.99 | 51.01 | -2.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1.0 | |||
5197 | 5197 | 32655 | 84223 | 1301 | 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_PA | PA | Gov-G | Gov-G | Muhlenberg College | 219 | 10/22/2010 | 445.0 | Dan Onorato | DEM | 37.0 | Thomas W. Corbett | REP | 46.0 | -9.0 | 11/2/2010 | 45.51 | 54.49 | -8.98 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 1.0 | |||
5368 | 5368 | 32783 | 39379 | 1537 | 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_PA | PA | Sen-G | Sen-G | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | 326 | 10/26/2010 | 800.0 | Joe Sestak | DEM | 44.0 | Patrick J. Toomey | REP | 46.0 | -2.0 | 11/2/2010 | 48.99 | 51.01 | -2.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1.0 | |||
5398 | 5398 | 32731 | 84209 | 1301 | 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_PA | PA | Gov-G | Gov-G | YouGov | 391 | 10/27/2010 | 779.0 | Dan Onorato | DEM | 41.0 | Thomas W. Corbett | REP | 50.0 | -9.0 | 11/2/2010 | 45.51 | 54.49 | -8.98 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 1.0 | |||
5494 | 5494 | 32882 | 117634 | 1301 | 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_PA | PA | Gov-G | Gov-G | TCJ Research | 327 | 10/29/2010 | 1000.0 | Dan Onorato | DEM | 43.0 | Thomas W. Corbett | REP | 52.0 | -9.0 | 11/2/2010 | 45.51 | 54.49 | -8.98 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 1.0 | |||
6191 | 6191 | 30562 | 86956 | 1267 | 2012 | 2012_Gov-G_WA | WA | Gov-G | Gov-G | University of Washington | 364 | 10/25/2012 | 632.0 | Jay Robert Inslee | DEM | 48.7 | Rob McKenna | REP | 45.6 | 3.0999999 | 11/6/2012 | 51.54 | 48.46 | 3.08 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1.0 | |||
1176 | 1176 | 54967 | 117399 | 1679 | 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_TX | TX | Sen-G | Sen-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 10/15/2002 | 683.0 | Ron Kirk | DEM | 42.0 | John Cornyn | REP | 54.0 | -12.0 | 11/5/2002 | 43.33 | 55.3 | -11.97 | 0.03 | -0.03 | 1.0 | |||
1652 | 1652 | 5534 | 15852 | 7236 | 2004 | 2004_Pres-D_MO | MO | Pres-P | Pres-D | Los Angeles Times | 172 | 1/29/2004 | 545.0 | John Kerry | DEM | 37.0 | John Edwards | DEM | 11.0 | 7.0 | 26.0 | 2/3/2004 | 50.62 | 24.64 | 25.97 | 0.03 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
2661 | 2661 | 64305 | 118291 | 3875 | 2006 | 2006_House-G_NY-26 | NY-26 | House-G | House-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 10/24/2006 | 411.0 | Jack Davis | DEM | 46.0 | Thomas M. Reynolds | REP | 50.0 | -4.0 | 11/7/2006 | 48.02 | 51.98 | -3.97 | 0.03 | -0.03 | 1.0 | |||
3034 | 3034 | 64323 | 118310 | 3875 | 2006 | 2006_House-G_NY-26 | NY-26 | House-G | House-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 11/2/2006 | 470.0 | Jack Davis | DEM | 46.0 | Thomas M. Reynolds | REP | 50.0 | -4.0 | 11/7/2006 | 48.02 | 51.98 | -3.97 | 0.03 | -0.03 | 1.0 | |||
3262 | 3262 | 2853 | 3486 | 7341 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-R_FL | FL | Pres-P | Pres-R | Strategic Vision LLC | 320 | 1/21/2008 | 600.0 | John McCain | REP | 25.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 20.0 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 1/29/2008 | 36.0 | 31.03 | 4.97 | 0.03 | 1.0 | |||
3296 | 3296 | 2807 | 3431 | 7341 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-R_FL | FL | Pres-P | Pres-R | American Research Group | 9 | 1/24/2008 | 600.0 | John McCain | REP | 31.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 26.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1/29/2008 | 36.0 | 31.03 | 4.97 | 0.03 | 1.0 | |||
4170 | 4170 | 16658 | 21568 | 719 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_IN | IN | Pres-G | Pres-G | Research 2000 | 281 | 10/24/2008 | 600.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 48.0 | John McCain | REP | 47.0 | 1.0 | 11/4/2008 | 49.84 | 48.81 | 1.03 | 0.03 | -0.03 | 1.0 | |||
4392 | 4392 | 16588 | 21485 | 719 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_IN | IN | Pres-G | Pres-G | Selzer & Co. | 304 | 10/27/2008 | 606.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 46.0 | John McCain | REP | 45.0 | 1.0 | 11/4/2008 | 49.84 | 48.81 | 1.03 | 0.03 | -0.03 | 1.0 | |||
4648 | 4648 | 16418 | 21315 | 719 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_IN | IN | Pres-G | Pres-G | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 11/1/2008 | 2634.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 49.0 | John McCain | REP | 48.0 | 1.0 | 11/4/2008 | 49.84 | 48.81 | 1.03 | 0.03 | -0.03 | 1.0 | |||
5623 | 5623 | 13837 | 17767 | 7443 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-R_IA | IA | Pres-P | Pres-R | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 1/1/2012 | 670.0 | Rick Santorum | REP | 18.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 18.0 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 1/3/2012 | 24.56 | 24.53 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.0 | |||
5914 | 5914 | 30142 | 36086 | 688 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | OH | Pres-G | Pres-G | Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 103 | 10/18/2012 | 1131.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 46.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 43.0 | 3.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.58 | 47.6 | 2.97 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1.0 | |||
6037 | 6037 | 30250 | 36258 | 688 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | OH | Pres-G | Pres-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 10/21/2012 | 609.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 47.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 44.0 | 3.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.58 | 47.6 | 2.97 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1.0 | |||
6206 | 6206 | 51342 | 81208 | 5174 | 2012 | 2012_House-G_NY-21 | NY-21 | House-G | House-G | Public Opinion Strategies | 260 | 10/25/2012 | 400.0 | William L. Owens | DEM | 42.0 | Matthew A. Doheny | REP | 40.0 | 2.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.16 | 48.19 | 1.97 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1.0 | for Matthew A. Doheny | R | |
6312 | 6312 | 30460 | 36584 | 688 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | OH | Pres-G | Pres-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 10/28/2012 | 603.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 48.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 45.0 | 3.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.58 | 47.6 | 2.97 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1.0 | |||
6347 | 6347 | 30461 | 36573 | 688 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | OH | Pres-G | Pres-G | Grove Insight | 129 | 10/29/2012 | 500.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 48.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 45.0 | 3.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.58 | 47.6 | 2.97 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1.0 | for The Majority Institute | D | |
6433 | 6433 | 30607 | 36808 | 688 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | OH | Pres-G | Pres-G | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 10/31/2012 | 796.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 48.5 | Mitt Romney | REP | 45.5 | 3.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.58 | 47.6 | 2.97 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
6536 | 6536 | 30705 | 36995 | 688 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | OH | Pres-G | Pres-G | YouGov | 391 | 11/2/2012 | 1620.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 49.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 46.0 | 3.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.58 | 47.6 | 2.97 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1.0 | |||
6617 | 6617 | 30794 | 37148 | 688 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | OH | Pres-G | Pres-G | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 11/3/2012 | 540.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 51.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 48.0 | 3.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.58 | 47.6 | 2.97 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1.0 | |||
868 | 868 | 6231 | 7686 | 851 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_VA | VA | Pres-G | Pres-G | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 197 | 10/31/2000 | 625.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 41.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 49.0 | -8.0 | 11/7/2000 | 44.44 | 52.47 | -8.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1.0 | |||
3387 | 3387 | 2714 | 3335 | 7355 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-D_CT | CT | Pres-P | Pres-D | SurveyUSA | 325 | 1/31/2008 | 679.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 48.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 44.0 | 4.0 | 2/5/2008 | 50.7 | 46.66 | 4.04 | 0.04 | 1.0 | ||||
4986 | 4986 | 32624 | 39220 | 1509 | 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_AR | AR | Sen-G | Sen-G | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 197 | 10/17/2010 | 625.0 | Blanche Lincoln | DEM | 34.0 | John Boozman | REP | 55.0 | -21.0 | 11/2/2010 | 36.95 | 57.9 | -20.96 | 0.04 | -0.04 | 1.0 | |||
5267 | 5267 | 32894 | 39490 | 1509 | 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_AR | AR | Sen-G | Sen-G | TCJ Research | 327 | 10/24/2010 | 1000.0 | Blanche Lincoln | DEM | 37.0 | John Boozman | REP | 58.0 | -21.0 | 11/2/2010 | 36.95 | 57.9 | -20.96 | 0.04 | -0.04 | 1.0 | |||
6528 | 6528 | 30709 | 37003 | 680 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_NC | NC | Pres-G | Pres-G | YouGov | 391 | 11/2/2012 | 1500.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 47.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 49.0 | -2.0 | 11/6/2012 | 48.35 | 50.39 | -2.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1.0 | |||
8278 | 8278 | 48087 | 75247 | 87 | 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_AZ | AZ | Sen-G | Sen-G | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 10/30/2016 | 769.0 | Ann Kirkpatrick | DEM | 41.0 | John McCain | REP | 54.0 | -13.0 | 11/8/2016 | 40.75 | 53.71 | -12.96 | 0.04 | -0.04 | 1.0 | |||
8854 | 8854 | 56350 | 90586 | 268 | 2018 | 2018_House-G_FL-15 | FL-15 | House-G | House-G | Remington Research Group | 279 | 10/18/2018 | 1369.0 | Kristen Carlson | DEM | 41.0 | Ross Spano | REP | 47.0 | -6.0 | 11/6/2018 | 46.98 | 53.02 | -6.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1.0 | for Ross Spano | R | |
8895 | 8895 | 56456 | 90805 | 8273 | 2018 | 2018_House-G_US | US | House-G | House-G | Suffolk University | 323 | 10/20/2018 | 1000.0 | Democratic | DEM | 51.2 | Republican | REP | 42.6 | 8.6000004 | 11/6/2018 | 53.41 | 44.85 | 8.56 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1.0 | |||
272 | 272 | 54219 | 117371 | 1721 | 1998 | 1998_Sen-G_CA | CA | Sen-G | Sen-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 11/1/1998 | 800.0 | Barbara Boxer | DEM | 53.0 | Matt Fong | REP | 43.0 | 10.0 | 11/3/1998 | 53.06 | 43.01 | 10.05 | 0.05 | -0.05 | 1.0 | |||
1273 | 1273 | 25538 | 88486 | 1412 | 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_TN | TN | Gov-G | Gov-G | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 197 | 10/22/2002 | 625.0 | Phil Bredesen | DEM | 45.0 | Van Hilleary | REP | 42.0 | 3.0 | 11/5/2002 | 50.65 | 47.59 | 3.05 | 0.05 | -0.05 | 1.0 | |||
1705 | 1705 | 5463 | 7000 | 7275 | 2004 | 2004_Pres-D_NY | NY | Pres-P | Pres-D | Canisius College | 43 | 2/19/2004 | 401.0 | John Kerry | DEM | 57.0 | John Edwards | DEM | 16.0 | 3.0 | 41.0 | 3/2/2004 | 61.17 | 20.12 | 41.05 | 0.05 | 1.0 | |||
1731 | 1731 | 59647 | 103111 | 7275 | 2004 | 2004_Pres-D_NY | NY | Pres-P | Pres-D | SurveyUSA | 325 | 2/28/2004 | 451.0 | John Kerry | DEM | 61.0 | John Edwards | DEM | 20.0 | 9.0 | 41.0 | 3/2/2004 | 61.17 | 20.12 | 41.05 | 0.05 | 1.0 | |||
1814 | 1814 | 25279 | 6022 | 759 | 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_CA | CA | Pres-G | Pres-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 10/16/2004 | 703.0 | John Kerry | DEM | 53.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 43.0 | 10.0 | 11/2/2004 | 54.3 | 44.36 | 9.95 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.0 | |||
4166 | 4166 | 16632 | 21542 | 709 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_CO | CO | Pres-G | Pres-G | GfK Group | 115 | 10/24/2008 | 626.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 50.0 | John McCain | REP | 41.0 | 9.0 | 11/4/2008 | 53.66 | 44.71 | 8.95 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.0 | |||
5211 | 5211 | 32653 | 83768 | 1282 | 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_GA | GA | Gov-G | Gov-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 10/23/2010 | 601.0 | Roy Barnes | DEM | 39.0 | Nathan Deal | REP | 49.0 | -10.0 | 11/2/2010 | 42.97 | 53.02 | -10.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.0 | |||
5246 | 5246 | 52071 | 82217 | 4810 | 2010 | 2010_House-G_RI-1 | RI-1 | House-G | House-G | Fleming & Associates | 96 | 10/23/2010 | 250.0 | David Cicilline | DEM | 48.0 | John J. Loughlin | REP | 42.0 | 6.0 | 11/2/2010 | 50.54 | 44.49 | 6.05 | 0.05 | -0.05 | 1.0 | |||
5253 | 5253 | 32705 | 83766 | 1282 | 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_GA | GA | Gov-G | Gov-G | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 277 | 10/24/2010 | 750.0 | Roy Barnes | DEM | 39.0 | Nathan Deal | REP | 49.0 | -10.0 | 11/2/2010 | 42.97 | 53.02 | -10.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.0 | |||
5461 | 5461 | 32784 | 39380 | 1521 | 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_IA | IA | Sen-G | Sen-G | Selzer & Co. | 304 | 10/28/2010 | 805.0 | Roxanne Conlin | DEM | 30.0 | Chuck Grassley | REP | 61.0 | -31.0 | 11/2/2010 | 33.3 | 64.35 | -31.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.0 | |||
6188 | 6188 | 30831 | 87068 | 1260 | 2012 | 2012_Gov-G_IN | IN | Gov-G | Gov-G | Clarity Campaign Labs | 52 | 10/25/2012 | 825.0 | John R. Gregg | DEM | 44.0 | Mike Pence | REP | 47.0 | -3.0 | 11/6/2012 | 46.55 | 49.5 | -2.95 | 0.05 | -0.05 | 1.0 | for John R. Gregg | D | |
6725 | 6725 | 63808 | 117493 | 1471 | 2013 | 2013_Sen-GS_NJ | NJ | Sen-G | Sen-GS | Stockton University | 317 | 10/6/2013 | 729.0 | Cory A. Booker | DEM | 50.0 | Steven M. Lonegan | REP | 39.0 | 11.0 | 10/16/2013 | 55.13 | 44.19 | 10.95 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.0 | |||
6730 | 6730 | 63634 | 117105 | 1471 | 2013 | 2013_Sen-GS_NJ | NJ | Sen-G | Sen-GS | Harper Polling | 132 | 10/14/2013 | 778.0 | Cory A. Booker | DEM | 52.0 | Steven M. Lonegan | REP | 41.0 | 11.0 | 10/16/2013 | 55.13 | 44.19 | 10.95 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.0 | |||
7302 | 7302 | 34345 | 42039 | 1234 | 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_NH | NH | Gov-G | Gov-G | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 11/2/2014 | 1690.0 | Margaret Wood Hassan | DEM | 51.0 | Walt Havenstein | REP | 46.0 | 5.0 | 11/4/2014 | 52.37 | 47.43 | 4.95 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.0 | |||
7698 | 7698 | 36711 | 50562 | 7633 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-D_NY | NY | Pres-P | Pres-D | Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 103 | 4/6/2016 | 801.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 53.0 | Bernard Sanders | DEM | 37.0 | 16.0 | 4/19/2016 | 58.03 | 41.97 | 16.05 | 0.05 | 1.0 | ||||
8996 | 8996 | 56477 | 90838 | 567 | 2018 | 2018_House-G_UT-4 | UT-4 | House-G | House-G | Siena College/The New York Times Upshot | 448 | 10/25/2018 | 526.0 | Ben McAdams | DEM | 45.44 | Mia B. Love | REP | 45.13 | 0.31 | 11/6/2018 | 50.12 | 49.86 | 0.26 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.0 | |||
950 | 950 | 6171 | 7624 | 838 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_NM | NM | Pres-G | Pres-G | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 197 | 11/2/2000 | 625.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 45.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 45.0 | 0.0 | 11/7/2000 | 47.91 | 47.85 | 0.06 | 0.06 | -0.06 | 0.5 | |||
1324 | 1324 | 54550 | 88086 | 1384 | 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_AR | AR | Gov-G | Gov-G | Opinion Research Associates | 242 | 10/25/2002 | 500.0 | Jimmie Lou Fisher | DEM | 43.0 | Mike Huckabee | REP | 49.0 | -6.0 | 11/5/2002 | 46.95 | 53.01 | -6.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1.0 | |||
2937 | 2937 | 24334 | 89058 | 1344 | 2006 | 2006_Gov-G_MI | MI | Gov-G | Gov-G | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 197 | 11/1/2006 | 625.0 | Jennifer Granholm | DEM | 52.0 | Dick DeVos | REP | 38.0 | 14.0 | 11/7/2006 | 56.36 | 42.3 | 14.06 | 0.06 | -0.06 | 1.0 | among registered voters | ||
3763 | 3763 | 16838 | 21752 | 746 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_TN | TN | Pres-G | Pres-G | North Star Opinion Research/Ayres, McHenry & Associates | 233 | 10/14/2008 | 600.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 39.0 | John McCain | REP | 54.0 | -15.0 | 11/4/2008 | 41.79 | 56.85 | -15.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1.0 | for Lamar Alexander | R | |
5164 | 5164 | 32671 | 39267 | 1512 | 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_CT | CT | Sen-G | Sen-G | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 10/21/2010 | 702.0 | Richard Blumenthal | DEM | 54.0 | Linda McMahon | REP | 42.0 | 12.0 | 11/2/2010 | 55.16 | 43.22 | 11.94 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1.0 | |||
6546 | 6546 | 30753 | 37091 | 701 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_WI | WI | Pres-G | Pres-G | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 11/2/2012 | 454.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 53.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 46.0 | 7.0 | 11/6/2012 | 52.83 | 45.89 | 6.94 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1.0 | |||
6812 | 6812 | 33838 | 41027 | 23 | 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_CO | CO | Sen-G | Sen-G | Ipsos | 154 | 10/17/2014 | 1099.0 | Mark Udall | DEM | 45.0 | Cory Gardner | REP | 47.0 | -2.0 | 11/4/2014 | 46.26 | 48.2 | -1.94 | 0.06 | -0.06 | 1.0 | |||
7168 | 7168 | 34351 | 42106 | 23 | 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_CO | CO | Sen-G | Sen-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 10/28/2014 | 618.0 | Mark Udall | DEM | 44.0 | Cory Gardner | REP | 46.0 | -2.0 | 11/4/2014 | 46.26 | 48.2 | -1.94 | 0.06 | -0.06 | 1.0 | |||
8946 | 8946 | 56510 | 90907 | 574 | 2018 | 2018_House-G_VA-7 | VA-7 | House-G | House-G | Christopher Newport University | 50 | 10/23/2018 | 830.5 | Abigail Spanberger | DEM | 47.0 | David Brat | REP | 45.0 | 2.0 | 11/6/2018 | 50.33 | 48.39 | 1.94 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
432 | 432 | 64043 | 117861 | 7139 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-R_MD | MD | Pres-P | Pres-R | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 3/1/2000 | 400.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 52.0 | John McCain | REP | 32.0 | 20.0 | 3/7/2000 | 56.23 | 36.16 | 20.07 | 0.07 | 1.0 | ||||
684 | 684 | 6372 | 27518 | 1697 | 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_MO | MO | Sen-G | Sen-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 10/25/2000 | 603.0 | Mel Carnahan | DEM | 47.0 | John Ashcroft | REP | 45.0 | 2.0 | 11/7/2000 | 50.47 | 48.39 | 2.07 | 0.07 | -0.07 | 1.0 | |||
801 | 801 | 63631 | 117261 | 1697 | 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_MO | MO | Sen-G | Sen-G | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 277 | 10/29/2000 | 1243.0 | Mel Carnahan | DEM | 48.0 | John Ashcroft | REP | 46.0 | 2.0 | 11/7/2000 | 50.47 | 48.39 | 2.07 | 0.07 | -0.07 | 1.0 | |||
834 | 834 | 25931 | 31171 | 1697 | 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_MO | MO | Sen-G | Sen-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 10/30/2000 | 600.0 | Mel Carnahan | DEM | 47.0 | John Ashcroft | REP | 45.0 | 2.0 | 11/7/2000 | 50.47 | 48.39 | 2.07 | 0.07 | -0.07 | 1.0 | |||
1212 | 1212 | 25659 | 30899 | 1670 | 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_NJ | NJ | Sen-G | Sen-G | West Chester University | 377 | 10/18/2002 | 404.0 | Frank R. Lautenberg | DEM | 42.0 | Douglas R. Forrester | REP | 32.0 | 10.0 | 11/5/2002 | 53.88 | 43.95 | 9.93 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1.0 | |||
1284 | 1284 | 25538 | 30778 | 1678 | 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_TN | TN | Sen-G | Sen-G | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 197 | 10/22/2002 | 625.0 | Bob Clement | DEM | 40.0 | Lamar Alexander | REP | 50.0 | -10.0 | 11/5/2002 | 44.34 | 54.27 | -9.93 | 0.07 | -0.07 | 1.0 | |||
1410 | 1410 | 63783 | 117436 | 1670 | 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_NJ | NJ | Sen-G | Sen-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 10/28/2002 | 732.0 | Frank R. Lautenberg | DEM | 51.0 | Douglas R. Forrester | REP | 41.0 | 10.0 | 11/5/2002 | 53.88 | 43.95 | 9.93 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1.0 | |||
1475 | 1475 | 25461 | 30701 | 1670 | 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_NJ | NJ | Sen-G | Sen-G | Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) | 92 | 10/30/2002 | 600.0 | Frank R. Lautenberg | DEM | 47.0 | Douglas R. Forrester | REP | 37.0 | 10.0 | 11/5/2002 | 53.88 | 43.95 | 9.93 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1.0 | sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default | ||
1594 | 1594 | 63938 | 117691 | 1376 | 2003 | 2003_Gov-G_KY | KY | Gov-G | Gov-G | Louisville Courier-Journal | 174 | 10/22/2003 | 712.0 | Albert Ben Chandler | DEM | 39.0 | Ernie Fletcher | REP | 49.0 | -10.0 | 11/4/2003 | 44.96 | 55.04 | -10.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1.0 | |||
2897 | 2897 | 55286 | 88826 | 1334 | 2006 | 2006_Gov-G_FL | FL | Gov-G | Gov-G | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 197 | 10/31/2006 | 625.0 | Jim Davis | DEM | 43.0 | Charlie Crist | REP | 50.0 | -7.0 | 11/7/2006 | 45.11 | 52.18 | -7.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1.0 | |||
3038 | 3038 | 4081 | 88829 | 1334 | 2006 | 2006_Gov-G_FL | FL | Gov-G | Gov-G | Strategic Vision LLC | 320 | 11/3/2006 | 1200.0 | Jim Davis | DEM | 44.0 | Charlie Crist | REP | 51.0 | -7.0 | 11/7/2006 | 45.11 | 52.18 | -7.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1.0 | |||
4830 | 4830 | 32564 | 39160 | 1543 | 2010 | 2010_Sen-GS_WV | WV | Sen-G | Sen-GS | Orion Strategies | 246 | 10/12/2010 | 450.0 | Joe Manchin, III | DEM | 48.0 | John Raese | REP | 38.0 | 10.0 | 11/2/2010 | 53.47 | 43.4 | 10.07 | 0.07 | -0.07 | 1.0 | |||
8752 | 8752 | 50518 | 79733 | 1214 | 2017 | 2017_Gov-G_VA | VA | Gov-G | Gov-G | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 11/2/2017 | 1056.0 | Ralph S. Northam | DEM | 51.0 | Ed Gillespie | REP | 42.0 | 9.0 | 11/7/2017 | 53.9 | 44.97 | 8.93 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1.0 | |||
9466 | 9466 | 64661 | 119430 | 7677 | 2020 | 2020_Pres-D_CA | CA | Pres-P | Pres-D | AtlasIntel | 546 | 2/28/2020 | 727.0 | Bernard Sanders | DEM | 34.0 | Joseph R. Biden Jr. | DEM | 26.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 3/3/2020 | 35.97 | 27.9 | 8.07 | 0.07 | 1.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2020/raw-polls" ( "poll_id" INTEGER, "question_id" INTEGER, "race_id" INTEGER, "year" INTEGER, "race" TEXT, "location" TEXT, "type_simple" TEXT, "type_detail" TEXT, "pollster" TEXT, "pollster_rating_id" INTEGER, "polldate" TEXT, "samplesize" REAL, "cand1_name" TEXT, "cand1_party" TEXT, "cand1_pct" REAL, "cand2_name" TEXT, "cand2_party" TEXT, "cand2_pct" REAL, "cand3_pct" REAL, "margin_poll" REAL, "electiondate" TEXT, "cand1_actual" REAL, "cand2_actual" REAL, "margin_actual" REAL, "error" REAL, "bias" REAL, "rightcall" REAL, "comment" TEXT, "partisan" TEXT );