pollster-ratings/2020/raw-polls
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
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Link | rowid | poll_id | question_id | race_id | year | race | location | type_simple | type_detail | pollster ▼ | pollster_rating_id | polldate | samplesize | cand1_name | cand1_party | cand1_pct | cand2_name | cand2_party | cand2_pct | cand3_pct | margin_poll | electiondate | cand1_actual | cand2_actual | margin_actual | error | bias | rightcall | comment | partisan |
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8901 | 8901 | 56468 | 90822 | 138 | 2018 | 2018_Gov-G_FL | FL | Gov-G | Gov-G | 1892 Polling | 461 | 10/21/2018 | 2500.0 | Andrew Gillum | DEM | 46.0 | Ron DeSantis | REP | 47.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2018 | 49.19 | 49.59 | -0.39 | 0.61 | -0.61 | 1.0 | for Ron DeSantis; among registered voters | R | |
5647 | 5647 | 13980 | 18006 | 7447 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-R_SC | SC | Pres-P | Pres-R | 20/20 Insight | 1 | 1/15/2012 | 165.0 | Newt Gingrich | REP | 22.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 36.0 | 15.0 | -14.0 | 1/21/2012 | 40.42 | 27.85 | 12.58 | 26.58 | 0.0 | |||
5653 | 5653 | 13979 | 18005 | 7447 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-R_SC | SC | Pres-P | Pres-R | 20/20 Insight | 1 | 1/16/2012 | 214.0 | Newt Gingrich | REP | 21.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 38.0 | 15.0 | -17.0 | 1/21/2012 | 40.42 | 27.85 | 12.58 | 29.58 | 0.0 | |||
5656 | 5656 | 13978 | 18004 | 7447 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-R_SC | SC | Pres-P | Pres-R | 20/20 Insight | 1 | 1/17/2012 | 133.0 | Newt Gingrich | REP | 29.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 24.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 1/21/2012 | 40.42 | 27.85 | 12.58 | 7.58 | 1.0 | |||
6383 | 6383 | 30586 | 36770 | 663 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_GA | GA | Pres-G | Pres-G | 20/20 Insight | 1 | 10/30/2012 | 1316.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 46.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 52.0 | -6.0 | 11/6/2012 | 45.39 | 53.19 | -7.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | for Better Georgia | D | |
6415 | 6415 | 30586 | 81200 | 5021 | 2012 | 2012_House-G_GA-12 | GA-12 | House-G | House-G | 20/20 Insight | 1 | 10/30/2012 | 450.0 | John Barrow | DEM | 50.0 | Lee I. Anderson | REP | 44.0 | 6.0 | 11/6/2012 | 53.7 | 46.3 | 7.4 | 1.4 | -1.4 | 1.0 | for Better Georgia | D | |
9206 | 9206 | 56775 | 91483 | 139 | 2018 | 2018_Gov-G_GA | GA | Gov-G | Gov-G | 20/20 Insight | 1 | 11/1/2018 | 614.0 | Stacey Yvonne Abrams | DEM | 50.0 | Brian P. Kemp | REP | 46.0 | 4.0 | 11/6/2018 | 48.83 | 50.22 | -1.39 | 5.39 | 5.39 | 0.0 | for Southern Majority | D | |
1276 | 1276 | 54999 | 88537 | 1416 | 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_WY | WY | Gov-G | Gov-G | A&A Research | 2 | 10/22/2002 | 400.0 | Dave Freudenthal | DEM | 36.0 | Eli D. Bebout | REP | 44.0 | -8.0 | 11/5/2002 | 49.96 | 47.92 | 2.04 | 10.04 | -10.04 | 0.0 | |||
42 | 42 | 36811 | 33541 | 8661 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_US | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/17/1998 | 548.0 | Democratic | DEM | 48.0 | Republican | REP | 47.0 | 1.0 | 11/3/1998 | 47.29 | 48.41 | -1.12 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 0.0 | |||
68 | 68 | 54323 | 87859 | 1447 | 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_MD | MD | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/20/1998 | 919.0 | Parris Glendening | DEM | 49.0 | Ellen Sauerbrey | REP | 44.0 | 5.0 | 11/3/1998 | 55.14 | 44.82 | 10.33 | 5.33 | -5.33 | 1.0 | |||
137 | 137 | 36812 | 33538 | 8661 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_US | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/1998 | 581.0 | Democratic | DEM | 49.0 | Republican | REP | 47.0 | 2.0 | 11/3/1998 | 47.29 | 48.41 | -1.12 | 3.12 | 3.12 | 0.0 | |||
165 | 165 | 66199 | 123151 | 8661 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_US | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/25/1998 | 600.0 | Democratic | DEM | 44.0 | Republican | REP | 36.0 | 8.0 | 11/3/1998 | 47.29 | 48.41 | -1.12 | 9.12 | 9.12 | 0.0 | sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; among registered voters | ||
269 | 269 | 36819 | 120403 | 8661 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_US | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/31/1998 | 600.0 | Democratic | DEM | 47.5 | Republican | REP | 47.0 | 0.5 | 11/3/1998 | 47.29 | 48.41 | -1.12 | 1.62 | 1.62 | 0.0 | sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
358 | 358 | 59816 | 103779 | 7120 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-R_SC | SC | Pres-P | Pres-R | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 2/5/2000 | 490.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 48.0 | John McCain | REP | 43.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2/19/2000 | 53.39 | 41.87 | 11.52 | 6.52 | 1.0 | |||
496 | 496 | 6449 | 7918 | 40 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/19/2000 | 1020.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 45.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 47.0 | -2.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.52 | 2.52 | -2.52 | 0.0 | |||
523 | 523 | 6440 | 121959 | 40 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/20/2000 | 1071.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 46.5 | George W. Bush | REP | 48.5 | -2.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.52 | 2.52 | -2.52 | 0.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
572 | 572 | 6420 | 7888 | 40 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/22/2000 | 1070.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 47.5 | George W. Bush | REP | 47.0 | 0.5 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.52 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
605 | 605 | 63527 | 116947 | 40 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/23/2000 | 1037.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 47.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 48.5 | -1.5 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.52 | 2.02 | -2.02 | 0.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
639 | 639 | 25901 | 7878 | 851 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_VA | VA | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2000 | 1009.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 45.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 49.0 | -4.0 | 11/7/2000 | 44.44 | 52.47 | -8.04 | 4.04 | 4.04 | 1.0 | |||
655 | 655 | 25901 | 31141 | 1712 | 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_VA | VA | Sen-G | Sen-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2000 | 1009.0 | Charles S. Robb | DEM | 46.0 | George F. Allen | REP | 48.0 | -2.0 | 11/7/2000 | 47.68 | 52.26 | -4.58 | 2.58 | 2.58 | 1.0 | |||
693 | 693 | 66223 | 123209 | 40 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/26/2000 | 1009.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 46.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 47.0 | -1.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.52 | 1.52 | -1.52 | 0.0 | |||
715 | 715 | 6356 | 7824 | 40 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/27/2000 | 1432.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 47.5 | George W. Bush | REP | 48.0 | -0.5 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.52 | 1.02 | -1.02 | 0.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
773 | 773 | 63529 | 121973 | 40 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/29/2000 | 1020.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 46.5 | George W. Bush | REP | 49.0 | -2.5 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.52 | 3.02 | -3.02 | 0.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
808 | 808 | 6260 | 7717 | 40 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/30/2000 | 1081.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 46.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 49.5 | -3.5 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.52 | 4.02 | -4.02 | 0.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
887 | 887 | 66220 | 123205 | 40 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 11/1/2000 | 1280.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 45.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 48.0 | -3.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.52 | 3.52 | -3.52 | 0.0 | |||
933 | 933 | 6179 | 121976 | 40 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 11/2/2000 | 1519.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 46.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 49.0 | -3.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.52 | 3.52 | -3.52 | 0.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
1081 | 1081 | 63530 | 121979 | 40 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 11/4/2000 | 1801.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 46.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 49.0 | -3.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.52 | 3.52 | -3.52 | 0.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
1144 | 1144 | 63909 | 117653 | 1418 | 2001 | 2001_Gov-G_VA | VA | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2001 | 1010.0 | Mark R. Warner | DEM | 51.0 | Mark Lawrence Earley | REP | 41.0 | 10.0 | 11/6/2001 | 52.16 | 47.03 | 5.14 | 4.86 | 4.86 | 1.0 | |||
1267 | 1267 | 54751 | 88287 | 1396 | 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_MD | MD | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/22/2002 | 1529.0 | Kathleen Townsend | DEM | 47.0 | Robert Ehrlich Jr. | REP | 47.0 | 0.0 | 11/5/2002 | 47.68 | 51.55 | -3.88 | 3.88 | 3.88 | 0.5 | |||
1368 | 1368 | 27976 | 120399 | 8653 | 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/26/2002 | 600.0 | Democratic | DEM | 47.0 | Republican | REP | 49.0 | -2.0 | 11/5/2002 | 45.24 | 49.97 | -4.73 | 2.73 | 2.73 | 1.0 | sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default | ||
1540 | 1540 | 27970 | 33248 | 8653 | 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 11/1/2002 | 504.0 | Democratic | DEM | 50.0 | Republican | REP | 49.0 | 1.0 | 11/5/2002 | 45.24 | 49.97 | -4.73 | 5.73 | 5.73 | 0.0 | |||
1551 | 1551 | 38141 | 117325 | 8653 | 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 11/2/2002 | 845.0 | Democratic | DEM | 48.0 | Republican | REP | 48.0 | 0.0 | 11/5/2002 | 45.24 | 49.97 | -4.73 | 4.73 | 4.73 | 0.5 | |||
1552 | 1552 | 66169 | 123041 | 8653 | 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 11/2/2002 | 845.0 | Democratic | DEM | 48.0 | Republican | REP | 48.0 | 0.0 | 11/5/2002 | 45.24 | 49.97 | -4.73 | 4.73 | 4.73 | 0.5 | |||
1771 | 1771 | 15654 | 20494 | 39 | 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/14/2004 | 600.0 | John Kerry | DEM | 47.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 50.0 | -3.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.26 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 0.54 | -0.54 | 1.0 | sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default | ||
1783 | 1783 | 14801 | 20493 | 39 | 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/15/2004 | 600.0 | John Kerry | DEM | 46.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 50.0 | -4.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.26 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 1.54 | -1.54 | 1.0 | sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
1831 | 1831 | 4688 | 6059 | 790 | 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_OH | OH | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/16/2004 | 789.0 | John Kerry | DEM | 50.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 47.0 | 3.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.71 | 50.81 | -2.11 | 5.11 | 5.11 | 0.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
1854 | 1854 | 4688 | 30307 | 1638 | 2004 | 2004_Sen-G_OH | OH | Sen-G | Sen-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/16/2004 | 789.0 | Eric D. Fingerhut | DEM | 35.0 | George V. Voinovich | REP | 60.0 | -25.0 | 11/2/2004 | 36.14 | 63.85 | -27.71 | 2.71 | 2.71 | 1.0 | |||
1904 | 1904 | 14798 | 20490 | 39 | 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/18/2004 | 1801.0 | John Kerry | DEM | 46.5 | George W. Bush | REP | 50.5 | -4.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.26 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 1.54 | -1.54 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
2025 | 2025 | 15647 | 20487 | 39 | 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/21/2004 | 600.0 | John Kerry | DEM | 46.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 50.0 | -4.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.26 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 1.54 | -1.54 | 1.0 | sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default | ||
2040 | 2040 | 14795 | 20486 | 39 | 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/22/2004 | 600.0 | John Kerry | DEM | 48.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 49.0 | -1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.26 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.0 | sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
2163 | 2163 | 14791 | 20482 | 39 | 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/26/2004 | 600.0 | John Kerry | DEM | 48.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 49.0 | -1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.26 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.0 | sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
2350 | 2350 | 15638 | 20478 | 39 | 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/30/2004 | 2904.0 | John Kerry | DEM | 48.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 49.0 | -1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.26 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
2463 | 2463 | 63910 | 117654 | 1364 | 2005 | 2005_Gov-G_VA | VA | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/25/2005 | 1004.0 | Tim Kaine | DEM | 47.0 | Jerry W. Kilgore | REP | 44.0 | 3.0 | 11/8/2005 | 51.72 | 45.99 | 5.73 | 2.73 | -2.73 | 1.0 | |||
2563 | 2563 | 28953 | 120395 | 8655 | 2006 | 2006_House-G_US | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/21/2006 | 600.0 | Democratic | DEM | 54.0 | Republican | REP | 41.0 | 13.0 | 11/7/2006 | 52.29 | 44.28 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; among registered voters | ||
2631 | 2631 | 24875 | 88976 | 1342 | 2006 | 2006_Gov-G_MD | MD | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2006 | 1003.0 | Martin O'Malley | DEM | 55.0 | Robert Ehrlich Jr. | REP | 45.0 | 10.0 | 11/7/2006 | 52.69 | 46.16 | 6.53 | 3.47 | 3.47 | 1.0 | |||
2644 | 2644 | 24875 | 30113 | 1589 | 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_MD | MD | Sen-G | Sen-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2006 | 1003.0 | Benjamin L. Cardin | DEM | 54.0 | Michael S. Steele | REP | 43.0 | 11.0 | 11/7/2006 | 54.21 | 44.2 | 10.01 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 1.0 | |||
3063 | 3063 | 27722 | 120394 | 8655 | 2006 | 2006_House-G_US | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 11/3/2006 | 600.0 | Democratic | DEM | 51.0 | Republican | REP | 45.0 | 6.0 | 11/7/2006 | 52.29 | 44.28 | 8.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 1.0 | sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default | ||
3107 | 3107 | 3116 | 3805 | 7329 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-D_IA | IA | Pres-P | Pres-D | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 12/15/2007 | 652.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 33.0 | John Edwards | DEM | 20.0 | 29.0 | 13.0 | 1/3/2008 | 34.91 | 31.2 | 3.71 | 9.29 | 1.0 | |||
3108 | 3108 | 3116 | 3806 | 7330 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-R_IA | IA | Pres-P | Pres-R | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 12/15/2007 | 501.0 | Mike Huckabee | REP | 35.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 27.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1/3/2008 | 34.41 | 25.23 | 9.18 | 1.18 | 1.0 | |||
3546 | 3546 | 2491 | 3083 | 7402 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-D_OH | OH | Pres-P | Pres-D | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 2/18/2008 | 611.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 50.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 43.0 | 7.0 | 3/4/2008 | 53.49 | 44.84 | 8.66 | 1.66 | 1.0 | ||||
3549 | 3549 | 2494 | 3086 | 7406 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-D_TX | TX | Pres-P | Pres-D | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 2/18/2008 | 603.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 48.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 47.0 | 1.0 | 3/4/2008 | 50.88 | 47.39 | 3.49 | 2.49 | 1.0 | ||||
3968 | 3968 | 14859 | 19699 | 38 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/20/2008 | 1330.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 54.0 | John McCain | REP | 43.0 | 11.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.86 | 45.6 | 7.26 | 3.74 | 3.74 | 1.0 | |||
4160 | 4160 | 14862 | 19702 | 38 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2008 | 1308.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 52.0 | John McCain | REP | 45.0 | 7.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.86 | 45.6 | 7.26 | 0.26 | -0.26 | 1.0 | |||
4184 | 4184 | 16686 | 21596 | 749 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_VA | VA | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2008 | 784.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 52.0 | John McCain | REP | 44.0 | 8.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.63 | 46.33 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | |||
4195 | 4195 | 16686 | 25420 | 1577 | 2008 | 2008_Sen-G_VA | VA | Sen-G | Sen-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2008 | 784.0 | Mark R. Warner | DEM | 61.0 | James S. Gilmore III | REP | 31.0 | 30.0 | 11/4/2008 | 65.03 | 33.73 | 31.3 | 1.3 | -1.3 | 1.0 | |||
4374 | 4374 | 63616 | 117081 | 1577 | 2008 | 2008_Sen-G_VA | VA | Sen-G | Sen-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/26/2008 | 671.0 | Mark R. Warner | DEM | 63.0 | James S. Gilmore III | REP | 32.0 | 31.0 | 11/4/2008 | 65.03 | 33.73 | 31.3 | 0.3 | -0.3 | 1.0 | |||
4423 | 4423 | 14861 | 19701 | 38 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/28/2008 | 1327.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 52.0 | John McCain | REP | 44.0 | 8.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.86 | 45.6 | 7.26 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 1.0 | |||
4634 | 4634 | 14858 | 19698 | 38 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 11/1/2008 | 2470.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 53.0 | John McCain | REP | 44.0 | 9.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.86 | 45.6 | 7.26 | 1.74 | 1.74 | 1.0 | |||
4764 | 4764 | 63911 | 117655 | 1312 | 2009 | 2009_Gov-G_VA | VA | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2009 | 1206.0 | R. Creigh Deeds | DEM | 44.0 | Robert Francis McDonnell | REP | 55.0 | -11.0 | 11/3/2009 | 41.26 | 58.62 | -17.36 | 6.36 | 6.36 | 1.0 | |||
5155 | 5155 | 32692 | 83881 | 1293 | 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_MD | MD | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/21/2010 | 1434.0 | Martin O'Malley | DEM | 54.0 | Robert Ehrlich Jr. | REP | 40.0 | 14.0 | 11/2/2010 | 56.24 | 41.79 | 14.46 | 0.46 | -0.46 | 1.0 | |||
5168 | 5168 | 32692 | 39288 | 1525 | 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_MD | MD | Sen-G | Sen-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/21/2010 | 1434.0 | Barbara A. Mikulski | DEM | 64.0 | Eric Wargotz | REP | 27.0 | 37.0 | 11/2/2010 | 62.19 | 35.75 | 26.44 | 10.56 | 10.56 | 1.0 | |||
5436 | 5436 | 27381 | 32659 | 8657 | 2010 | 2010_House-G_US | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/27/2010 | 600.0 | Democratic | DEM | 45.0 | Republican | REP | 49.0 | -4.0 | 11/2/2010 | 44.92 | 51.65 | -6.74 | 2.74 | 2.74 | 1.0 | sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default | ||
6052 | 6052 | 30275 | 36294 | 37 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/22/2012 | 1394.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 48.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 49.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.01 | 47.15 | 3.86 | 4.86 | -4.86 | 0.0 | |||
6133 | 6133 | 30374 | 36442 | 698 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_VA | VA | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2012 | 1228.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 51.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 47.0 | 4.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.16 | 47.28 | 3.87 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 1.0 | |||
6158 | 6158 | 30374 | 36443 | 1501 | 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_VA | VA | Sen-G | Sen-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2012 | 1228.0 | Tim Kaine | DEM | 51.0 | George F. Allen | REP | 44.0 | 7.0 | 11/6/2012 | 52.87 | 46.96 | 5.91 | 1.09 | 1.09 | 1.0 | |||
6210 | 6210 | 30406 | 36476 | 37 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/26/2012 | 1278.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 48.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 49.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.01 | 47.15 | 3.86 | 4.86 | -4.86 | 0.0 | |||
6372 | 6372 | 30563 | 36735 | 37 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/30/2012 | 1293.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 49.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 48.0 | 1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.01 | 47.15 | 3.86 | 2.86 | -2.86 | 1.0 | |||
6596 | 6596 | 30768 | 37110 | 37 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 11/3/2012 | 2345.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 50.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 47.0 | 3.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.01 | 47.15 | 3.86 | 0.86 | -0.86 | 1.0 | |||
6739 | 6739 | 63908 | 117652 | 1257 | 2013 | 2013_Gov-G_VA | VA | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/26/2013 | 762.0 | Terry R. McAuliffe | DEM | 51.0 | Kenneth T. Cuccinelli | REP | 39.0 | 12.0 | 11/5/2013 | 47.75 | 45.23 | 2.52 | 9.48 | 9.48 | 1.0 | |||
7108 | 7108 | 34918 | 49045 | 8271 | 2014 | 2014_House-G_US | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/25/2014 | 758.0 | Democratic | DEM | 44.0 | Republican | REP | 50.0 | -6.0 | 11/4/2014 | 45.53 | 51.23 | -5.7 | 0.3 | -0.3 | 1.0 | |||
7986 | 7986 | 47607 | 74498 | 8272 | 2016 | 2016_House-G_US | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/23/2016 | 828.0 | Democratic | DEM | 47.0 | Republican | REP | 46.0 | 1.0 | 11/8/2016 | 48.03 | 49.11 | -1.09 | 2.09 | 2.09 | 0.0 | |||
7998 | 7998 | 47553 | 74392 | 94 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2016 | 1135.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 49.5 | Donald Trump | REP | 43.0 | 6.5 | 11/8/2016 | 48.02 | 45.93 | 2.09 | 4.41 | 4.41 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
8168 | 8168 | 47784 | 74802 | 94 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/28/2016 | 1165.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 47.5 | Donald Trump | REP | 46.0 | 1.5 | 11/8/2016 | 48.02 | 45.93 | 2.09 | 0.59 | -0.59 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
8252 | 8252 | 47880 | 74935 | 647 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_VA | VA | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/29/2016 | 1024.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 49.5 | Donald Trump | REP | 43.5 | 6.0 | 11/8/2016 | 49.75 | 44.43 | 5.32 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
8393 | 8393 | 48268 | 75635 | 94 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 11/1/2016 | 1151.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 48.0 | Donald Trump | REP | 45.0 | 3.0 | 11/8/2016 | 48.02 | 45.93 | 2.09 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
8656 | 8656 | 48630 | 76193 | 94 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 11/5/2016 | 2220.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 48.0 | Donald Trump | REP | 44.5 | 3.5 | 11/8/2016 | 48.02 | 45.93 | 2.09 | 1.41 | 1.41 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
8740 | 8740 | 50529 | 79746 | 1214 | 2017 | 2017_Gov-G_VA | VA | Gov-G | Gov-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/28/2017 | 921.0 | Ralph S. Northam | DEM | 49.0 | Ed Gillespie | REP | 44.0 | 5.0 | 11/7/2017 | 53.9 | 44.97 | 8.93 | 3.93 | -3.93 | 1.0 | |||
8765 | 8765 | 50681 | 79996 | 95 | 2017 | 2017_Sen-GS_AL | AL | Sen-G | Sen-GS | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 11/29/2017 | 739.0 | Doug Jones | DEM | 50.0 | Roy S. Moore | REP | 47.0 | 3.0 | 12/12/2017 | 50.83 | 49.17 | 1.65 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.0 | |||
8858 | 8858 | 56454 | 90801 | 577 | 2018 | 2018_House-G_VA-10 | VA-10 | House-G | House-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/18/2018 | 430.0 | Jennifer T. Wexton | DEM | 56.0 | Barbara J. Comstock | REP | 43.0 | 13.0 | 11/6/2018 | 56.1 | 43.73 | 12.37 | 0.63 | 0.63 | 1.0 | |||
9057 | 9057 | 56656 | 91244 | 577 | 2018 | 2018_House-G_VA-10 | VA-10 | House-G | House-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/27/2018 | 446.0 | Jennifer T. Wexton | DEM | 54.0 | Barbara J. Comstock | REP | 43.0 | 11.0 | 11/6/2018 | 56.1 | 43.73 | 12.37 | 1.37 | -1.37 | 1.0 | |||
9189 | 9189 | 56729 | 91388 | 8273 | 2018 | 2018_House-G_US | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 10/31/2018 | 737.0 | Democratic | DEM | 51.5 | Republican | REP | 44.0 | 7.5 | 11/6/2018 | 53.41 | 44.85 | 8.56 | 1.06 | -1.06 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
6066 | 6066 | 52295 | 82531 | 5176 | 2012 | 2012_House-G_NY-23 | NY-23 | House-G | House-G | AFL-CIO | 526 | 10/22/2012 | 955.0 | Nathan I. Shinagawa | DEM | 44.7 | Thomas Reed | REP | 49.7 | -5.0 | 11/6/2012 | 43.21 | 44.36 | -1.15 | 3.85 | -3.85 | 1.0 | for Nathan I. Shinagawa; ambiguous methodology | D | |
2038 | 2038 | 63832 | 117535 | 3555 | 2004 | 2004_House-G_UT-2 | UT-2 | House-G | House-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/21/2004 | 400.0 | Jim Matheson | DEM | 57.0 | John Swallow | REP | 34.0 | 23.0 | 11/2/2004 | 54.76 | 43.21 | 11.54 | 11.46 | 11.46 | 1.0 | for unspecified Democratic spnosor | D | |
3777 | 3777 | 63834 | 117537 | 4262 | 2008 | 2008_House-G_NE-2 | NE-2 | House-G | House-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/14/2008 | 400.0 | Jim Esch | DEM | 46.0 | Lee Terry | REP | 47.0 | -1.0 | 11/4/2008 | 48.07 | 51.93 | -3.85 | 2.85 | 2.85 | 1.0 | for unspecified Democratic spnosor | D | |
4832 | 4832 | 51648 | 81676 | 4477 | 2010 | 2010_House-G_AR-1 | AR-1 | House-G | House-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/12/2010 | 400.0 | Chad Causey | DEM | 44.0 | Rick Crawford | REP | 42.0 | 2.0 | 11/2/2010 | 43.48 | 51.79 | -8.31 | 10.31 | 10.31 | 0.0 | for Chad Causey | D | |
4923 | 4923 | 32603 | 39199 | 1518 | 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_IL | IL | Sen-G | Sen-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/15/2010 | 601.0 | Alexi Giannoulias | DEM | 41.0 | Mark Kirk | REP | 36.0 | 5.0 | 11/2/2010 | 46.42 | 48.01 | -1.6 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 0.0 | for DSCC | D | |
5021 | 5021 | 32627 | 39223 | 1524 | 2010 | 2010_Sen-O_LA | LA | Sen-G | Sen-O | ALG Research | 14 | 10/18/2010 | 600.0 | Charlie Melancon | DEM | 45.0 | David Vitter | REP | 48.0 | -3.0 | 11/2/2010 | 37.67 | 56.55 | -18.88 | 15.88 | 15.88 | 1.0 | for Charlie Melancon | D | |
5180 | 5180 | 51826 | 81901 | 4633 | 2010 | 2010_House-O_LA-2 | LA-2 | House-G | House-O | ALG Research | 14 | 10/21/2010 | 400.0 | Cedric Richmond | DEM | 49.0 | Anh Cao | REP | 32.0 | 17.0 | 11/2/2010 | 65.87 | 34.13 | 31.73 | 14.73 | -14.73 | 1.0 | for Cedric Richmond | D | |
5202 | 5202 | 32670 | 39266 | 1518 | 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_IL | IL | Sen-G | Sen-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/22/2010 | 600.0 | Alexi Giannoulias | DEM | 38.0 | Mark Kirk | REP | 36.0 | 2.0 | 11/2/2010 | 46.42 | 48.01 | -1.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0.0 | for DSCC | D | |
5459 | 5459 | 32809 | 39405 | 1518 | 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_IL | IL | Sen-G | Sen-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/28/2010 | 400.0 | Alexi Giannoulias | DEM | 39.0 | Mark Kirk | REP | 37.0 | 2.0 | 11/2/2010 | 46.42 | 48.01 | -1.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0.0 | for DSCC | D | |
5891 | 5891 | 51559 | 81518 | 5035 | 2012 | 2012_House-G_IL-8 | IL-8 | House-G | House-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/17/2012 | 400.0 | Tammy Duckworth | DEM | 54.0 | Joe Walsh | REP | 39.0 | 15.0 | 11/6/2012 | 54.74 | 45.26 | 9.48 | 5.52 | 5.52 | 1.0 | for League of Conservation Voters | D | |
5958 | 5958 | 30818 | 37189 | 1473 | 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_AZ | AZ | Sen-G | Sen-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/19/2012 | 800.0 | Richard Carmona | DEM | 45.0 | Jeff Flake | REP | 41.0 | 4.0 | 11/6/2012 | 46.16 | 49.18 | -3.02 | 7.02 | 7.02 | 0.0 | for Richard Carmona | D | |
6016 | 6016 | 51294 | 81137 | 5004 | 2012 | 2012_House-G_FL-22 | FL-22 | House-G | House-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/20/2012 | 501.0 | Lois Frankel | DEM | 47.0 | Adam Hasner | REP | 37.0 | 10.0 | 11/6/2012 | 54.63 | 45.37 | 9.25 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.0 | for Lois Frankel | D | |
6017 | 6017 | 51360 | 81244 | 5040 | 2012 | 2012_House-G_IL-13 | IL-13 | House-G | House-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/20/2012 | 400.0 | David M. Gill | DEM | 48.0 | Rodney Davis | REP | 39.0 | 9.0 | 11/6/2012 | 46.21 | 46.55 | -0.34 | 9.34 | 9.34 | 0.0 | for DCCC | D | |
6194 | 6194 | 30832 | 37216 | 1479 | 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_IN | IN | Sen-G | Sen-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/25/2012 | 446.0 | Joe Donnelly | DEM | 47.0 | Richard Mourdock | REP | 40.0 | 7.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.03 | 44.3 | 5.74 | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.0 | for DSCC | D | |
8850 | 8850 | 56453 | 90799 | 148 | 2018 | 2018_Gov-G_MI | MI | Gov-G | Gov-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/18/2018 | 906.0 | Gretchen E. Whitmer | DEM | 47.5 | Bill Schuette | REP | 37.0 | 10.5 | 11/6/2018 | 53.31 | 43.75 | 9.57 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.0 | for Gretchen E. Whitmer; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | D | |
9049 | 9049 | 56555 | 90992 | 280 | 2018 | 2018_House-G_FL-27 | FL-27 | House-G | House-G | ALG Research | 14 | 10/27/2018 | 500.0 | Donna Shalala | DEM | 49.0 | Maria Salazar | REP | 39.0 | 10.0 | 11/6/2018 | 51.76 | 45.76 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | for DCCC | D | |
6870 | 6870 | 33756 | 40942 | 4 | 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_IL | IL | Sen-G | Sen-G | APC Research | 4 | 10/19/2014 | 800.0 | Richard J. Durbin | DEM | 50.0 | James Oberweis | REP | 36.0 | 14.0 | 11/4/2014 | 53.55 | 42.69 | 10.85 | 3.15 | 3.15 | 1.0 | |||
6878 | 6878 | 33756 | 41656 | 1252 | 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_IL | IL | Gov-G | Gov-G | APC Research | 4 | 10/19/2014 | 800.0 | Pat Quinn | DEM | 43.0 | Bruce Rauner | REP | 45.0 | -2.0 | 11/4/2014 | 46.35 | 50.27 | -3.92 | 1.92 | 1.92 | 1.0 | |||
2847 | 2847 | 63839 | 117542 | 3752 | 2006 | 2006_House-G_KS-2 | KS-2 | House-G | House-G | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 10/28/2006 | 1002.0 | Nancy Boyda | DEM | 50.0 | Jim Ryun | REP | 41.0 | 9.0 | 11/7/2006 | 50.6 | 47.14 | 3.46 | 5.54 | 5.54 | 1.0 | for unspecified Democratic spnosor | D |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2020/raw-polls" ( "poll_id" INTEGER, "question_id" INTEGER, "race_id" INTEGER, "year" INTEGER, "race" TEXT, "location" TEXT, "type_simple" TEXT, "type_detail" TEXT, "pollster" TEXT, "pollster_rating_id" INTEGER, "polldate" TEXT, "samplesize" REAL, "cand1_name" TEXT, "cand1_party" TEXT, "cand1_pct" REAL, "cand2_name" TEXT, "cand2_party" TEXT, "cand2_pct" REAL, "cand3_pct" REAL, "margin_poll" REAL, "electiondate" TEXT, "cand1_actual" REAL, "cand2_actual" REAL, "margin_actual" REAL, "error" REAL, "bias" REAL, "rightcall" REAL, "comment" TEXT, "partisan" TEXT );