FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: pollster-ratings.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
493 rows sorted by Misses Outside MOE
This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)
Suggested facets: NCPP/AAPOR/Roper, Banned by 538
Link | rowid | Rank | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | Polls Analyzed | NCPP/AAPOR/Roper | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE ▼ | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | 17 | 17 | Data Orbital | 73 | 13 | yes | no | -0.5601375650091485 | A/B | 0.5515915781817705 | 0.9615384615384616 | 0.0 | 2.397174541766827 | 4.830461730624204 | -2.428432848250788 | -1.487450615111105 | -0.5659004369636715 | 13 | 1.449840252216046 | -1.198510417111883 | 4.046261810032384 | 0.4437168583600935 |
45 | 45 | 45 | National Journal | 224 | 12 | yes | no | -0.2406283419287637 | A/B | -0.1370833076306571 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.58882745107015 | 5.180404786862579 | -2.586722995185841 | -1.52528217964292 | -0.3327836470072496 | 12 | -0.6283082962036133 | 0.3330994514929227 | 3.469211118333305 | 0.890053168558799 |
47 | 47 | 47 | Michigan State University | 463 | 2 | yes | no | -0.2283145698385184 | A/B | -0.0470255683040697 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.030765533447266 | 7.354118595320895 | -6.318498721267041 | -4.047355406498196 | -0.3548497897677919 | 2 | -0.5363655090332031 | -1.523426869532446 | 0.0 | |
50 | 50 | 50 | Florida Atlantic University | 97 | 9 | no | no | -0.2161511206524903 | A/B | 0.6514053149811404 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.0 | 3.636521657307943 | 6.661359402823979 | -3.019983404909446 | -2.279551776412484 | -0.6921803183240303 | 5 | 3.434135437011719 | 0.3300030026579208 | 3.668343239936295 | 0.4501304626064923 |
63 | 63 | 63 | Wick | 284 | 7 | no | no | -0.1558947575762597 | A/B | -0.1659714457749334 | 0.7142857142857143 | 0.0 | 2.200096947806222 | 3.925699169269442 | -1.72074788085663 | -1.907580142382158 | -0.5251704232891569 | 7 | -0.6028592245919364 | -3.730497145167032 | 5.761407580823872 | 0.0 |
66 | 66 | 66 | Public Religion Research Institute | 428 | 1 | yes | no | -0.1289325890940318 | A/B | -0.0395204838800565 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8620071411132812 | 5.824591809115224 | -4.957730327395354 | -3.43964563678583 | -0.1576976030223359 | 1 | -0.8620071411132812 | 1.674285670689174 | 2.0 | 1.229466967224174 |
72 | 72 | 72 | Indiana University | 149 | 2 | yes | no | -0.0950399518333271 | A/B | 0.0274411754240121 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8688735961914062 | 5.810770506827918 | -4.937042570029924 | -4.491494658622478 | -0.1418525011964127 | 2 | 0.8688735961914062 | 4.125 | 0.0 | |
73 | 73 | 73 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | yes | no | -0.0937916384673061 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.486835479736328 | 9.283068746160636 | -3.791378925817718 | -0.5855972152556834 | -0.0449379192348417 | 0 | 9.150757595082505 | 0.0 | |||
80 | 80 | 80 | Louis Harris & Associates | 173 | 2 | yes | no | -0.0723071526680285 | A/B | 0.0189190483417673 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8593788146972656 | 4.876444529458897 | -4.012211374155043 | -4.505402691124016 | -0.0991855161597517 | 2 | 0.8593788146972656 | 5.375 | 5.497869162102364 | 0.0 |
85 | 85 | 85 | Escalent | 189 | 1 | yes | no | -0.0552193460940959 | A/B | -0.0166482327432473 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.123138427734375 | 5.486926266072844 | -4.35893349773188 | -3.875852503676521 | -0.0574515954278837 | 1 | -1.123138427734375 | -4.641666730244955 | 3.6 | 1.265265741385294 |
87 | 87 | 87 | Lauer, Lalley, Victoria | 168 | 1 | yes | no | -0.0464446632527891 | A/B | -0.0184639711316201 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.658950805664063 | 6.284845112644165 | -4.621039966373513 | -4.423442351258791 | -0.0492325098472914 | 1 | -1.658950805664063 | 4.0 | 0.0 | |
89 | 89 | 89 | University of Florida | 349 | 1 | yes | no | -0.0411360947075567 | A/B | 0.0373956668765794 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.077785491943359 | 4.854339825419885 | -3.771699992869936 | -1.405468170236857 | -0.0487651948302299 | 1 | 1.077785491943359 | -0.1470588235294118 | 1.414285387311663 | 1.172301971721692 |
93 | 93 | 93 | Ohio State University | 236 | 1 | yes | no | -0.028267094412787 | A/B | -0.0472408228151871 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.677444458007813 | 4.889618661903905 | -1.207319863289503 | -0.2675489206245848 | -0.0034369604484707 | 1 | -3.677444458007813 | -5.8 | 0.0 | |
98 | 98 | 98 | co/efficient | 514 | 5 | no | no | 0.0025374719739618 | B/C | -0.1458200546642594 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.651225280761719 | 4.891678480928892 | -2.235598859560584 | -3.390815593488743 | -0.7294941728289335 | 5 | -0.6777969360351562 | -7.721500015258789 | 3.0 | 0.2086763622067728 |
100 | 100 | 100 | American Viewpoint | 10 | 8 | no | no | 0.0051543406263754 | B/C | -0.7621450628157735 | 0.6875 | 0.0 | 4.16240930557251 | 5.712293976693308 | -1.545030330514208 | -2.079017544121555 | -0.4454959471628316 | 8 | -3.556739330291748 | -3.333993881672352 | 6.252438154863531 | 0.0 |
105 | 105 | 105 | Harvard University | 135 | 1 | yes | no | 0.0259599162417106 | B/C | 0.1012598233566302 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.831283569335938 | 5.543205937713233 | 1.292931972229294 | 1.037013564768634 | 0.0153716075933749 | 1 | 6.831283569335938 | 1.583333333333333 | 2.5 | 2.439576681812079 |
116 | 116 | 116 | Starboard Communications | 316 | 4 | no | no | 0.1274346382177961 | B/C | 0.374046740297524 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.159484386444092 | 5.083658222124731 | -2.91931949507405 | -6.562266283829818 | -1.143598075117469 | 3 | 2.83880869547526 | -5.112361537085639 | 14.37580641278399 | 0.0 |
120 | 120 | 120 | SEA Polling & Strategic Design | 302 | 12 | no | no | 0.1451600955110219 | B/C | 0.5545560229747505 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.0 | 3.021411736806234 | 5.603694830321737 | -2.577428752908915 | -1.201709097646268 | -0.3328360521905492 | 10 | 2.169110870361328 | 0.0115923127490971 | 3.751690993240957 | 0.3988726134857696 |
131 | 131 | 131 | CVOTER | 40 | 6 | no | no | 0.2074642111036509 | B/C | -0.2389402614864285 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.865321477254232 | 3.741884229672774 | -1.871708411811952 | -1.434479972329097 | -0.2610489329781672 | 6 | -1.312991460164388 | -0.3925210524768365 | 3.221708933333288 | 0.0037679274717715 |
137 | 137 | 137 | Cardinal Point Analytics (CardinalGPS) | 591 | 3 | no | no | 0.224718970036331 | B/C | -0.3554905482700892 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.488433837890625 | 4.54301327063627 | -2.049725092139056 | -1.990967209745684 | -0.2844238871065263 | 3 | -2.488433837890625 | -7.321529435918518 | 7.266176789875896 | 0.0 |
142 | 142 | 142 | Insights West | 151 | 9 | no | no | 0.2538491059172749 | B/C | -0.1131277768133897 | 0.9444444444444444 | 0.0 | 2.45503913031684 | 4.639068437529775 | -2.179174966606345 | -1.694811304753787 | -0.4613475285323269 | 8 | -0.453394889831543 | -0.9934361641541188 | 3.120698850743814 | 1.258770957388996 |
148 | 148 | 148 | RBI Strategies & Research | 271 | 4 | no | no | 0.2909029756979314 | B/C | 0.3606007321116089 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.368895530700684 | 5.377189597858191 | -3.003439726550918 | -1.395041023732948 | -0.2176161786109427 | 3 | 2.516201019287109 | 3.802380770728702 | 5.136646549690034 | 0.0849233300678187 |
150 | 150 | 150 | Ogden & Fry | 425 | 3 | no | no | 0.3001234758833004 | B/C | -0.0130636356899012 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.535954157511393 | 5.944371449213182 | -3.403562951095199 | -3.96749256953032 | -0.4672144749284703 | 2 | -0.2278366088867188 | -5.816668192545573 | 5.950001525878906 | 0.0 |
151 | 151 | 151 | Riley Research Associates | 290 | 7 | no | no | 0.3074442208645212 | B/C | -0.0702740521806737 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.681526184082031 | 5.462639974584008 | -2.776259449895388 | -1.966914782914964 | -0.2293968648084062 | 7 | -0.6025499616350446 | -1.264285796029227 | 0.0 | |
155 | 155 | 155 | Praecones Analytica | 257 | 3 | no | no | 0.3212286124688598 | B/C | -0.1990078903029578 | 0.3333333333333333 | 0.0 | 1.795216878255208 | 5.473129376508742 | -3.673058157646944 | -3.760935854690828 | -0.4169167074310298 | 3 | -1.795216878255208 | -5.199742801372822 | 4.881398235057152 | 0.7616229920472635 |
165 | 165 | 165 | Echelon Insights | 407 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 0.1488210678100586 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.488210678100586 | 5.022068575452601 | -3.529003556745426 | -3.28584820902155 | -0.328584820902155 | 2 | 1.488210678100586 | -2.832186497240511 | 3.10272692285871 | 0.3785494922808028 |
166 | 166 | 166 | John Zogby Strategies/EMI Research Solutions | 583 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 0.0338211059570313 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.108814239501953 | 4.114685807989426 | -3.001017227880884 | -2.668757774072982 | -0.2668757774072982 | 2 | 0.3382110595703125 | -4.016893409628738 | 4.53855784500827 | 0.0 |
167 | 167 | 167 | El Nuevo Día/The Research Office | 599 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738414764404297 | 4.743661413535933 | -3.000392308525047 | -2.252755431561434 | -0.2252755431561434 | 0 | 4.416666666666666 | 0.0 | |||
169 | 169 | 169 | Frederick Polls | 108 | 7 | no | no | 0.370331414542987 | B/C | 0.8153998077643643 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.650873184204102 | 4.737125969854708 | -1.081398445044017 | -0.795073100153267 | -0.2091508301011534 | 6 | 3.200395584106445 | 0.2371146105583032 | 2.939237664711974 | 0.7499170581479203 |
171 | 171 | 171 | University of Washington | 364 | 9 | no | no | 0.3800481449922722 | B/C | 0.0532533730961987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.622421688503689 | 5.063046854146427 | -1.435770825036149 | -1.191054899146847 | -0.2296040934072544 | 9 | 0.2762480841742622 | 3.356217749513037 | 4.606347677453184 | 0.7948245687372982 |
172 | 172 | 172 | Latino Decisions | 482 | 2 | no | no | 0.381147274344124 | B/C | 0.230152732447574 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.48735237121582 | 6.998023892727285 | -3.505817180904875 | -3.421120513867502 | -0.3421120513867502 | 1 | 4.372901916503906 | -2.489285469055176 | 0.5 | 1.688593257308742 |
174 | 174 | 174 | Tulchin Research | 340 | 3 | no | no | 0.3967495028002202 | B/C | -0.0834851339549489 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.0 | 3.758841196695963 | 5.287960358380499 | -1.524264821077946 | -2.135247734142755 | -0.2126782791453226 | 3 | -0.8381741841634115 | 5.405614937024239 | 2.891996797437437 | 0.5482649626219331 |
180 | 180 | 180 | MWR Strategies | 617 | 2 | no | no | 0.410275427724254 | B/C | -0.0343067081139238 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.786197662353516 | 4.816119989194961 | -3.025067986234856 | -1.792315334770503 | -0.1571403190141825 | 2 | -0.39129638671875 | -3.042161028652905 | 5.016464085746227 | 0.0 |
181 | 181 | 181 | Keating Research | 161 | 5 | no | no | 0.4115774659102327 | B/C | 0.1445028223253213 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.420847320556641 | 4.517917228295543 | -2.092215567132313 | -1.139007483398565 | -0.1772226130476071 | 5 | 0.928717803955078 | 2.774069838145422 | 3.758756290232343 | 0.5983990116734001 |
185 | 185 | 185 | OnPoint | 240 | 6 | no | no | 0.4195104486711769 | B/C | 0.0247740893716518 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.569707234700521 | 5.068054022507265 | -2.493492447200155 | -1.921803885622261 | -0.2069507297089412 | 6 | 0.2300593058268229 | 2.054282395927995 | 3.48864719924326 | 0.7445488744159957 |
187 | 187 | 187 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | 0.425486792621247 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.163215637207031 | 9.148190844036044 | -7.980120866222423 | -6.450210786693455 | -0.4949802420996439 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
189 | 189 | 189 | Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson | 455 | 3 | no | no | 0.4254993434463736 | B/C | -0.112109205074789 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.932412465413411 | 4.84802488565374 | -2.91075807963374 | -1.871559196768958 | -0.2579638566620892 | 3 | -0.8133659362792969 | 0.5753966437445749 | 2.064001485289123 | 1.226228374303404 |
194 | 194 | 194 | Marshall Marketing | 196 | 4 | no | no | 0.4519125179642489 | B/C | -0.212397164185273 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.451752662658691 | 6.163325362506762 | -2.706718359241481 | -1.507514846342002 | -0.1223690859268654 | 3 | -3.065058390299479 | -1.328352507960294 | 0.0 | |
195 | 195 | 195 | Missouri State University | 212 | 3 | no | no | 0.452661694231157 | B/C | 0.3071272553435229 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.0 | 4.362482706705729 | 6.31140230716012 | -1.944065259847801 | -1.98086169407013 | -0.1478569754636185 | 3 | 4.114629109700521 | 1.158334732055664 | 4.099998474121094 | 0.2591198504872457 |
197 | 197 | 197 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | no | 0.4550446757982236 | B/C | 0.1699623547622983 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.534235000610352 | 5.353794251459908 | -2.814704910242967 | -3.205234956036415 | -0.2149639952739889 | 2 | 2.534235000610352 | 0.4023811703636535 | 0.0 | |
207 | 207 | 207 | Amber Integrated | 556 | 1 | no | no | 0.4991578947368421 | B/C | -0.0197500931589227 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3752517700195313 | 5.821665544995738 | -5.441559434369617 | -4.582240064473633 | -0.2411705297091386 | 1 | -0.3752517700195313 | -5.399999618530273 | 6.299999237060547 | 0.1961096424653417 |
208 | 208 | 208 | Park Street Strategies | 534 | 1 | no | no | 0.4991578947368421 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.407428741455078 | 8.392593806561234 | -5.980310724499566 | -3.834212157916771 | -0.2018006398903564 | 0 | 4.939999961853028 | 0.0 | |||
209 | 209 | 209 | Data Targeting | 406 | 1 | no | no | 0.4991578947368421 | B/C | -0.2104961997584293 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999427795410156 | 6.190354653596476 | -2.18607251757973 | -3.531059731289722 | -0.1858452490152485 | 1 | -3.999427795410156 | 0.0 | ||
218 | 218 | 218 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | no | 0.5198914173942083 | B/C | 0.0866587653277707 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.890171051025391 | 5.708192679384823 | -3.813167287752842 | -4.604348099564906 | -0.2110957742322349 | 1 | 1.890171051025391 | -4.050000190734863 | 0.0 | |
219 | 219 | 219 | 1892 Polling | 461 | 1 | no | no | 0.5198914173942083 | B/C | -0.0277419910364482 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.6050987243652344 | 4.986418844306704 | -4.376465779334881 | -3.738883553313888 | -0.1714167785284408 | 1 | -0.6050987243652344 | -4.217575998017282 | 7.549999237060547 | 0.0 |
222 | 222 | 222 | Blumenthal Research Daily | 447 | 2 | no | yes | 0.5263744841283232 | F | -0.1575991160111993 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.467611312866211 | 5.638341035807127 | -3.165875382334327 | -2.051734484823545 | -0.1798847586821848 | 2 | -1.797548294067383 | -3.291666666666667 | 1.0 | 1.5836249328262 |
224 | 224 | 224 | Edgewater Research/My People Vote | 530 | 2 | no | no | 0.5280291468967028 | B/C | -0.0622989158976114 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.700000762939453 | 5.328922781218676 | -3.624067677672634 | -1.380189154171575 | -0.1292624283363107 | 2 | -0.665191650390625 | 0.6833324432373047 | 1.23333485921224 | 1.027081012971852 |
225 | 225 | 225 | The Polling Company Inc./National Research Inc. | 644 | 1 | no | no | 0.5292794977249156 | B/C | -0.1123074703570687 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.625537872314453 | 5.513608298180296 | -2.883216085259253 | -3.702385581933174 | -0.1583696671748479 | 1 | -2.625537872314453 | 1.806111229790582 | 3.55000114440918 | 0.8307405767476224 |
228 | 228 | 228 | Ethridge & Associates LLC | 89 | 6 | no | no | 0.5308744366044175 | B/C | -0.055599642064223 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.0 | 2.664740244547526 | 4.98668521896212 | -2.317090633808005 | -1.87322592458754 | -0.1461447971745971 | 6 | -0.7126541137695312 | -3.704166666666667 | 1.945446689463193 | 1.274145774244554 |
229 | 229 | 229 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 29 | 2 | no | no | 0.5315842228214828 | B/C | 0.1210308213228181 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.005687713623047 | 4.984013891347866 | -1.97347183711823 | -0.6174179684120591 | -0.0473797997596811 | 2 | 1.577182769775391 | 3.181666628519694 | 0.0 | |
230 | 230 | 230 | Forward Strategies | 102 | 2 | no | no | 0.5325782279628469 | B/C | 0.0664861010956853 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.30284309387207 | 4.886251782915052 | -3.578554348436392 | -2.347493426889205 | -0.119796225681907 | 2 | 1.30284309387207 | 3.616071428571428 | 4.0 | 0.9065719204133242 |
231 | 231 | 231 | CSP Polling | 39 | 1 | no | yes | 0.5348104598229051 | F | 0.1097464575157897 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.565666198730469 | 5.441342618051372 | -2.870822078714313 | -2.766629486439672 | -0.1183426688731848 | 1 | 2.565666198730469 | -2.554444630940755 | 4.166666666666667 | 0.8959329994868166 |
233 | 233 | 233 | Targeted Persuasion | 579 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.9474029541015624 | 9.672130421329964 | -8.719873126621811 | -10.15794896327855 | -0.4053047290142406 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
234 | 234 | 234 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.005395889282227 | 9.546341300288688 | -7.536091070399872 | -8.858919949950904 | -0.3534731433140437 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
235 | 235 | 235 | Singularis Group | 306 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | -0.0318606585104297 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7985076904296875 | 5.294739482378556 | -4.491377451342279 | -4.471793064531674 | -0.1784256726214928 | 1 | -0.7985076904296875 | 2.0 | 0.0 | |
238 | 238 | 238 | University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee | 366 | 3 | no | no | 0.5472114288863595 | B/C | -0.0600707773696393 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.627614339192708 | 6.21254154765672 | -4.580072867857422 | -4.605856013381849 | -0.1699895021284382 | 3 | -1.627614339192708 | 3.361111111111111 | 0.0 | |
239 | 239 | 239 | Tufts University | 666 | 1 | no | no | 0.5475642325774921 | B/C | 0.1340538827996505 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.547023773193359 | 3.799137245215796 | -1.247259131415847 | -1.337384828697161 | -0.0703886751945874 | 1 | 2.547023773193359 | -1.293440993114185 | 3.034583250681559 | 0.2571052476695102 |
240 | 240 | 240 | Mercyhurst University | 422 | 1 | no | no | 0.5539666948301877 | B/C | -0.0256045861832137 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7379531860351562 | 6.010215435191023 | -5.267407908549278 | -6.730360836853476 | -0.2335217292267797 | 1 | -0.7379531860351562 | 0.0 | ||
241 | 241 | 241 | Odney | 524 | 1 | no | no | 0.5539666948301877 | B/C | 0.0714600242176442 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.059558868408203 | 6.073717909854865 | -4.009304700840073 | -5.155234784676257 | -0.1788699552178043 | 1 | 2.059558868408203 | -8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
242 | 242 | 242 | Diamond State Consulting Group | 78 | 1 | no | no | 0.5539666948301877 | B/C | 0.1311797930771222 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.780750274658203 | 5.635256578671561 | -1.849651963406769 | -2.870160877203463 | -0.0995852893255796 | 1 | 3.780750274658203 | -5.400001525878906 | 5.400001525878906 | 0.4194975189688179 |
243 | 243 | 243 | University of Tennessee | 362 | 2 | no | no | 0.5572493027700784 | B/C | -0.091661963825131 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.726200103759766 | 4.856763059162516 | -2.125708614796161 | -3.986092255272814 | -0.1340228267186099 | 2 | -2.726200103759766 | -5.439999389648438 | 0.0 | |
246 | 246 | 246 | Reconnect Research/Probolsky Research | 651 | 2 | no | no | 0.5612857184847847 | B/C | -0.1652378082275391 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.652378082275391 | 5.308732091518542 | -3.651499668636562 | -1.94561455137911 | -0.194561455137911 | 2 | -1.652378082275391 | -1.215624690055847 | 2.200000762939453 | 2.014471736226958 |
247 | 247 | 247 | KG Polling | 502 | 2 | no | yes | 0.5629580963561331 | F | 0.1902591516344927 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.170063018798828 | 5.563354060502096 | -3.388436701096678 | -1.625743500085212 | -0.1425362196498393 | 2 | 2.170063018798828 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.574900309824624 |
249 | 249 | 249 | Richmond Times-Dispatch | 288 | 4 | no | no | 0.5651237642740335 | B/C | 0.1608213861396819 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.31916332244873 | 4.581592794419672 | -1.257575131364352 | -0.8314425452721331 | -0.0458175309691152 | 4 | 2.918396949768066 | 2.411111111111111 | 4.964109123704968 | 0.1657404533149993 |
255 | 255 | 255 | Crantford Research | 62 | 1 | no | no | 0.5799820738756363 | B/C | 0.0644898214916852 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.462959289550781 | 5.432348998703429 | -2.964535368546058 | -3.657323993631593 | -0.0957629192196584 | 1 | 2.462959289550781 | 9.0 | 0.0 | |
256 | 256 | 256 | Lincoln Institute | 170 | 2 | no | no | 0.5824804547828468 | B/C | -0.1048016342512832 | 0.75 | 0.0 | 4.131523132324219 | 5.241303960991875 | -1.104926488061066 | -2.900882953570159 | -0.0735847929610441 | 2 | -4.131523132324219 | 2.731892899104527 | 0.0 | |
259 | 259 | 259 | Rivercity Polling | 291 | 1 | no | no | 0.5867095617996063 | B/C | -0.1747003444309101 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.67205810546875 | 6.567956656091599 | 0.1089557899837401 | -1.74306753384611 | -0.0456402647752209 | 1 | -6.67205810546875 | -11.25000095367432 | 0.0 | |
261 | 261 | 261 | AYTM | 635 | 4 | no | no | 0.5874428609973176 | B/C | 0.6593147624622692 | 0.75 | 0.0 | 3.62623119354248 | 4.288456421692077 | -0.6573708875430071 | -0.621834409146875 | -0.1130608016630682 | 4 | 3.62623119354248 | 0.2269919453753536 | 3.051699940686654 | 1.278770144632121 |
262 | 262 | 262 | Sacred Heart University | 453 | 2 | no | no | 0.590285521478589 | B/C | -0.0296161979447906 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 5.240124702453613 | 4.791280420565943 | 0.4536986224942599 | 0.3169148321298133 | 0.029893107341468 | 2 | -0.3139791488647461 | -4.999999364217123 | 6.400001525878906 | 0.0 |
263 | 263 | 263 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | no | 0.5905468090816441 | B/C | 0.0409435610025319 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.801551818847656 | 6.275675393553641 | -4.469269234099396 | -6.748338224380611 | -0.153368332159537 | 1 | 1.801551818847656 | -13.0 | 0.0 | |
264 | 264 | 264 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | no | 0.5905468090816441 | B/C | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.145587921142578 | 8.88757842876825 | -1.737136167019083 | -3.246362520751393 | -0.0737795274685672 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
267 | 267 | 267 | Myers Research & Strategic Services | 319 | 2 | no | no | 0.5931762470380728 | B/C | 0.14019584241651 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.186407089233398 | 5.420198471970155 | -1.228937042130168 | -0.939433161975486 | -0.0314600612720815 | 2 | 4.186407089233398 | 3.4 | 0.0 | |
270 | 270 | 270 | Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies | 460 | 1 | no | no | 0.5974059606860419 | B/C | -0.0930488167484266 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.029548645019531 | 6.352832115291105 | -4.318429129664985 | -2.889176387062972 | -0.1324602122020666 | 1 | -2.029548645019531 | -2.366666158040364 | 3.0 | 2.579896826126576 |
271 | 271 | 271 | Léger | 572 | 3 | no | no | 0.5986432751854601 | B/C | 0.5543367295038132 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.880357106526693 | 4.067416440790304 | -0.1822049936570226 | -0.2087787508579852 | -0.029825535836855 | 3 | 3.880357106526693 | 0.0554211096012545 | 2.481682881901375 | 0.8352816771562054 |
272 | 272 | 272 | Jorge Benítez | 600 | 4 | no | no | 0.6023811895696973 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.0 | 5.131099700927734 | 5.297056208821066 | -0.1611021672867416 | 0.7390965426333351 | 0.1343811895696973 | 0 | 9.25 | 0.0 | |||
273 | 273 | 273 | Morningside College | 536 | 1 | no | no | 0.6034162189016622 | B/C | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.407428741455078 | 9.729677981260473 | -3.317394899198805 | -1.103253928318778 | -0.0580659962273041 | 0 | 3.699999809265137 | 1.08416208745036 | |||
275 | 275 | 275 | Pasquines | 552 | 1 | no | no | 0.6050388666367741 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.38766098022461 | 9.457199369386291 | 0.9353159514449056 | -0.3214632953961422 | -0.0128264666715264 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
278 | 278 | 278 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | no | 0.6077461967520814 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0537261962890625 | 9.408736251272927 | -9.350155714377276 | -7.814129174736894 | -0.1336119006709826 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
279 | 279 | 279 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | no | 0.6077461967520814 | B/C | 0.0285126270690753 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.667526245117188 | 4.926187360836865 | -3.253806775113088 | -2.185356381181451 | -0.037366879047395 | 1 | 1.667526245117188 | 2.2526317395662 | 0.0 | |
281 | 281 | 281 | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 1 | no | no | 0.6092912170977801 | B/C | 0.1091834640090221 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.53753662109375 | 5.337060581610748 | 0.2053303800895914 | -1.515833975783473 | -0.0298876586582136 | 1 | 5.53753662109375 | 0.0 | ||
284 | 284 | 284 | Purple Strategies | 265 | 4 | no | no | 0.610557670306633 | B/C | -0.3335362614200786 | 0.875 | 0.0 | 3.015741348266602 | 4.333702658060196 | -1.313106969187005 | -0.6859282325093059 | -0.0758625862941251 | 4 | -3.015741348266602 | -0.151845747877509 | 2.240816279876927 | 1.294884551633112 |
285 | 285 | 285 | Triumph Campaigns | 339 | 1 | no | no | 0.6113271515044195 | B/C | -0.1573667355033384 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.229019165039063 | 5.054368836402566 | -0.820495330756914 | -0.2520172785339738 | -0.0093778568660047 | 1 | -4.229019165039063 | -5.0 | 0.0 | |
286 | 286 | 286 | BIGresearch | 19 | 1 | no | no | 0.611345728047248 | B/C | -0.0300829916661306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.889528274536133 | 4.344390565009105 | -2.450007949866383 | -3.720704480533952 | -0.0592369658546209 | 1 | -1.889528274536133 | -7.5 | 6.4 | 0.0 |
288 | 288 | 288 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | no | 0.6147010430708935 | B/C | -0.0391345768022912 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.640132904052734 | 6.184046929344141 | -3.539059684684817 | -4.960907426329268 | -0.0735353180086958 | 1 | -2.640132904052734 | 0.0 | ||
290 | 290 | 290 | Meeting Street Insights | 204 | 4 | no | no | 0.6180909705289955 | B/C | 0.7125785299598706 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.057546138763428 | 5.064239196281024 | -1.001838716911006 | -0.4478094737895041 | -0.0786434474488259 | 4 | 4.057546138763428 | 1.280954818209123 | 2.589868277385861 | 1.265172167780616 |
291 | 291 | 291 | Analytical Group | 11 | 1 | no | no | 0.6184552499999836 | B/C | 0.0598262926693221 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036056518554688 | 5.176661106527053 | -1.135750247365776 | -1.746730230604324 | -0.0258917072915293 | 1 | 4.036056518554688 | -1.333333333333333 | 6.666666666666666 | 0.0 |
293 | 293 | 293 | Dynamics Marketing | 83 | 1 | no | no | 0.6207423154389612 | B/C | 0.0387765602878785 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.018547058105469 | 6.154617547993511 | -3.131216149281453 | -4.657631660139869 | -0.0598324065822249 | 1 | 3.018547058105469 | -7.5 | 0.0 | |
294 | 294 | 294 | Vox Populi Communications | 529 | 1 | no | no | 0.6207423154389612 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.522224426269531 | 7.922152820894688 | -4.395074054018568 | -3.978707102335895 | -0.0511108731623914 | 0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | |||
295 | 295 | 295 | Diversified Research Inc | 80 | 1 | no | no | 0.6207423154389612 | B/C | -0.064152784522455 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.993949890136719 | 6.554124573829257 | -1.555320343085949 | -2.783166075606892 | -0.0357528324205367 | 1 | -4.993949890136719 | 0.0 | ||
296 | 296 | 296 | Gotham Research Group | 576 | 1 | no | no | 0.6228818480437359 | B/C | -0.1734449731809093 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.752628326416016 | 5.80416491424317 | -0.046682247220565 | -1.563056099378912 | -0.047127018791067 | 1 | -5.752628326416016 | 1.770000076293945 | 4.0 | 1.387962868760444 |
298 | 298 | 298 | Centre College | 47 | 1 | no | no | 0.6290964946878583 | B/C | 0.1537553333945501 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.853492736816406 | 4.892529148884713 | -1.034182071461717 | -0.0700566622163491 | -0.0027952785151694 | 1 | 3.853492736816406 | 2.327529164103718 | 4.75 | 0.3515376219114583 |
299 | 299 | 299 | Market Trends Pacific | 190 | 1 | no | no | 0.6292134302570268 | B/C | 0.067351313773143 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.543716430664063 | 5.457385416784418 | -0.908814645513766 | -1.020951954584041 | -0.0151335270344861 | 1 | 4.543716430664063 | 2.5 | 0.0 | |
300 | 300 | 300 | Cromer Group | 65 | 1 | no | no | 0.6296432233094026 | B/C | -0.0774360405063987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.927379608154297 | 6.088251771594662 | -2.156017822833776 | -0.4836265739348392 | -0.0095356524465912 | 1 | -3.927379608154297 | -3.346666463216146 | 0.0 | |
301 | 301 | 301 | Schoen Cooperman Research | 301 | 1 | no | no | 0.630353747263825 | B/C | -0.0624973442065987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.386863708496094 | 5.370243436440502 | -2.978525387337819 | -1.049814137594858 | -0.027488203568841 | 1 | -2.386863708496094 | -2.088709677419355 | 1.944444444444444 | 0.973580989975632 |
303 | 303 | 303 | NRECA Market Research | 223 | 1 | no | no | 0.6330559026141181 | B/C | 0.0697342213024587 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.265480041503906 | 5.440001734980825 | 0.8303326471296706 | -1.364873156027169 | -0.0151909137179756 | 1 | 6.265480041503906 | 0.0 | ||
308 | 308 | 308 | Wick Communications | 381 | 1 | no | no | 0.6452559228484718 | B/C | 0.0558979032903333 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.835014343261719 | 5.978589862980124 | -3.138721179111816 | -0.8856187931012665 | -0.017461722465898 | 1 | 2.835014343261719 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.193832780705905 |
309 | 309 | 309 | Zimmerman & Associates/Marketing Intelligence | 394 | 3 | no | no | 0.6498885803996233 | B/C | 0.1938247030416279 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.675465901692708 | 5.549925218374376 | -0.8696049760750783 | 0.1656563550649974 | 0.0099340599920116 | 3 | 3.232142130533854 | 0.652592440004702 | 2.19999885559082 | 0.7217297129798763 |
310 | 310 | 310 | Rossman Group | 294 | 1 | no | no | 0.6506261206815344 | B/C | 0.1102692544733953 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.211341857910156 | 5.846049886685832 | -1.629853688169086 | 0.6979980298825965 | 0.0182762941067072 | 1 | 4.211341857910156 | 4.666666666666668 | 0.0 | |
311 | 311 | 311 | Victoria Research & Consulting | 369 | 1 | no | no | 0.6517964988250861 | B/C | 0.1376153728243881 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 8.048267364501953 | 6.227888794106417 | 1.825232911002125 | 0.5762282315874135 | 0.0098527868583982 | 1 | 8.048267364501953 | 17.5 | 0.0 | |
314 | 314 | 314 | Iona College | 152 | 1 | no | no | 0.6549196296105675 | B/C | 0.1141930803039217 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.361198425292969 | 5.773430070496683 | -1.407377304597125 | -1.398690645469099 | -0.0366231429122988 | 1 | 4.361198425292969 | -1.666666666666667 | 1.5 | 2.260663973420936 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/pollster-ratings" ( "Rank" INTEGER, "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "Polls Analyzed" INTEGER, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" REAL, "Races Called Correctly" REAL, "Misses Outside MOE" REAL, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" REAL, "House Effect" REAL, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );