FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: pollster-ratings.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
493 rows sorted by Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)
This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)
Suggested facets: NCPP/AAPOR/Roper, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Rank | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | Polls Analyzed | NCPP/AAPOR/Roper | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) ▼ | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | 23 | 23 | Public Policy Institute of California | 262 | 17 | yes | no | -0.4350847160589734 | A/B | -1.142767725530053 | 1.0 | 0.2352941176470588 | 5.058373956119313 | 6.340402037348159 | -1.277173740622257 | -0.6710188021511885 | -0.2660216305465535 | 11 | -4.278469779274681 | -1.420514016184773 | 0.0 | |
47 | 47 | 47 | Michigan State University | 463 | 2 | yes | no | -0.2283145698385184 | A/B | -0.0470255683040697 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.030765533447266 | 7.354118595320895 | -6.318498721267041 | -4.047355406498196 | -0.3548497897677919 | 2 | -0.5363655090332031 | -1.523426869532446 | 0.0 | |
62 | 62 | 62 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | no | -0.1563042889882817 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 9.956270853678385 | 10.88909266019898 | -0.927967465914008 | -0.9340794387797972 | -0.0971842088293806 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
67 | 67 | 67 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | yes | no | -0.1255979863026042 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.854116439819336 | 11.09983460908339 | -4.240863828657471 | -2.734016207015824 | -0.1215095143011595 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
72 | 72 | 72 | Indiana University | 149 | 2 | yes | no | -0.0950399518333271 | A/B | 0.0274411754240121 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8688735961914062 | 5.810770506827918 | -4.937042570029924 | -4.491494658622478 | -0.1418525011964127 | 2 | 0.8688735961914062 | 4.125 | 0.0 | |
87 | 87 | 87 | Lauer, Lalley, Victoria | 168 | 1 | yes | no | -0.0464446632527891 | A/B | -0.0184639711316201 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.658950805664063 | 6.284845112644165 | -4.621039966373513 | -4.423442351258791 | -0.0492325098472914 | 1 | -1.658950805664063 | 4.0 | 0.0 | |
93 | 93 | 93 | Ohio State University | 236 | 1 | yes | no | -0.028267094412787 | A/B | -0.0472408228151871 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.677444458007813 | 4.889618661903905 | -1.207319863289503 | -0.2675489206245848 | -0.0034369604484707 | 1 | -3.677444458007813 | -5.8 | 0.0 | |
108 | 108 | 108 | University of Illinois at Chicago | 352 | 1 | yes | no | 0.0413190733537317 | B/C | -0.1568976460641931 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.09693908691406 | 5.544373067504281 | 8.557420360016371 | 5.885395861681104 | 0.0655039190536681 | 1 | -14.09693908691406 | -5.111111111111111 | 0.0 | |
118 | 118 | 118 | The Kitchens Group | 664 | 1 | yes | no | 0.1322986317253363 | B/C | 0.2585877357845111 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.37808227539063 | 6.271495277910399 | 5.111441338086816 | 7.07727048733797 | 0.1608439196131968 | 1 | 11.37808227539063 | 12.5 | 0.0 | |
132 | 132 | 132 | Hendrix College | 138 | 16 | no | no | 0.2125062490338201 | B/C | 1.285739969520104 | 0.9375 | 0.5625 | 7.155205965042114 | 5.760620306055093 | 1.39943999959361 | -0.1630797025130941 | -0.0598624910525482 | 15 | 3.654452260335286 | -2.656944260773836 | 0.0 | |
151 | 151 | 151 | Riley Research Associates | 290 | 7 | no | no | 0.3074442208645212 | B/C | -0.0702740521806737 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.681526184082031 | 5.462639974584008 | -2.776259449895388 | -1.966914782914964 | -0.2293968648084062 | 7 | -0.6025499616350446 | -1.264285796029227 | 0.0 | |
159 | 159 | 159 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | no | 0.3420453059425479 | B/C | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.246297836303711 | 10.63547991170321 | -4.384327734792912 | -5.024609190012803 | -0.5227742401075861 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
175 | 175 | 175 | GS Strategy Group | 478 | 2 | no | no | 0.3985605216558946 | B/C | -0.437889356618411 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.118545532226563 | 6.080013998170813 | -0.9566141253376604 | -2.701267272389335 | -0.2310922469114765 | 2 | -5.118545532226563 | -5.806252956390381 | 0.0 | |
182 | 182 | 182 | MSR Group | 178 | 6 | no | no | 0.4153592331752826 | B/C | 0.1043288883051664 | 1.0 | 0.1666666666666667 | 5.407261530558269 | 5.762207736041764 | -0.3500918648769066 | -1.68912491721802 | -0.1505318801410795 | 6 | 1.170679092407227 | 1.333333333333333 | 0.0 | |
187 | 187 | 187 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | 0.425486792621247 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.163215637207031 | 9.148190844036044 | -7.980120866222423 | -6.450210786693455 | -0.4949802420996439 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
191 | 191 | 191 | Basswood Research | 24 | 4 | no | no | 0.4343457605308099 | B/C | -0.2108626115923885 | 0.75 | 0.5 | 8.042419910430908 | 7.189219979778214 | 0.858054271259283 | -1.093209658063048 | -0.1147805161981799 | 2 | -8.710025787353516 | 0.0 | ||
193 | 193 | 193 | CJ&N | 63 | 3 | no | no | 0.4500784824373211 | B/C | 0.0932771905456728 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 4.423019409179688 | 7.308646503488428 | -2.880772753702151 | -3.244320802681246 | -0.2228575740703586 | 1 | 3.24993896484375 | 0.0 | ||
194 | 194 | 194 | Marshall Marketing | 196 | 4 | no | no | 0.4519125179642489 | B/C | -0.212397164185273 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.451752662658691 | 6.163325362506762 | -2.706718359241481 | -1.507514846342002 | -0.1223690859268654 | 3 | -3.065058390299479 | -1.328352507960294 | 0.0 | |
197 | 197 | 197 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | no | 0.4550446757982236 | B/C | 0.1699623547622983 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.534235000610352 | 5.353794251459908 | -2.814704910242967 | -3.205234956036415 | -0.2149639952739889 | 2 | 2.534235000610352 | 0.4023811703636535 | 0.0 | |
200 | 200 | 200 | Ragnar Research Partners | 517 | 2 | no | no | 0.4757084010757188 | B/C | 0.3257184982299805 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.802282333374023 | 4.923467673449888 | -0.1163309994692749 | -0.7869159892428119 | -0.0786915989242812 | 2 | 3.257184982299805 | -2.324999809265137 | 0.0 | |
206 | 206 | 206 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | no | 0.4974766349515035 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.5 | 8.71716594696045 | 9.74164143280978 | -1.019621145242739 | -1.061882438860048 | -0.0814873876296605 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
209 | 209 | 209 | Data Targeting | 406 | 1 | no | no | 0.4991578947368421 | B/C | -0.2104961997584293 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999427795410156 | 6.190354653596476 | -2.18607251757973 | -3.531059731289722 | -0.1858452490152485 | 1 | -3.999427795410156 | 0.0 | ||
211 | 211 | 211 | Wiese Research Associates | 382 | 7 | no | no | 0.5048358593013772 | B/C | 0.9467606616622736 | 1.0 | 0.4285714285714285 | 7.323360988071987 | 5.847293605205125 | 1.480921723473451 | 0.1754684624898306 | 0.0309204293567153 | 7 | 5.372714451381138 | 6.66444426642524 | 0.0 | |
218 | 218 | 218 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | no | 0.5198914173942083 | B/C | 0.0866587653277707 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.890171051025391 | 5.708192679384823 | -3.813167287752842 | -4.604348099564906 | -0.2110957742322349 | 1 | 1.890171051025391 | -4.050000190734863 | 0.0 | |
223 | 223 | 223 | Southern Media & Opinion Research | 310 | 7 | no | no | 0.5266091678016338 | B/C | 0.0930673670065113 | 1.0 | 0.2857142857142857 | 6.942311150687082 | 5.298149337056105 | 1.649016154237565 | 0.345261579985275 | 0.0647984239819264 | 7 | 0.4958853040422712 | 0.4604760669526599 | 0.0 | |
229 | 229 | 229 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 29 | 2 | no | no | 0.5315842228214828 | B/C | 0.1210308213228181 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.005687713623047 | 4.984013891347866 | -1.97347183711823 | -0.6174179684120591 | -0.0473797997596811 | 2 | 1.577182769775391 | 3.181666628519694 | 0.0 | |
233 | 233 | 233 | Targeted Persuasion | 579 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.9474029541015624 | 9.672130421329964 | -8.719873126621811 | -10.15794896327855 | -0.4053047290142406 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
234 | 234 | 234 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.005395889282227 | 9.546341300288688 | -7.536091070399872 | -8.858919949950904 | -0.3534731433140437 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
235 | 235 | 235 | Singularis Group | 306 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | -0.0318606585104297 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7985076904296875 | 5.294739482378556 | -4.491377451342279 | -4.471793064531674 | -0.1784256726214928 | 1 | -0.7985076904296875 | 2.0 | 0.0 | |
238 | 238 | 238 | University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee | 366 | 3 | no | no | 0.5472114288863595 | B/C | -0.0600707773696393 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.627614339192708 | 6.21254154765672 | -4.580072867857422 | -4.605856013381849 | -0.1699895021284382 | 3 | -1.627614339192708 | 3.361111111111111 | 0.0 | |
240 | 240 | 240 | Mercyhurst University | 422 | 1 | no | no | 0.5539666948301877 | B/C | -0.0256045861832137 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7379531860351562 | 6.010215435191023 | -5.267407908549278 | -6.730360836853476 | -0.2335217292267797 | 1 | -0.7379531860351562 | 0.0 | ||
243 | 243 | 243 | University of Tennessee | 362 | 2 | no | no | 0.5572493027700784 | B/C | -0.091661963825131 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.726200103759766 | 4.856763059162516 | -2.125708614796161 | -3.986092255272814 | -0.1340228267186099 | 2 | -2.726200103759766 | -5.439999389648438 | 0.0 | |
244 | 244 | 244 | Jim Meader (KELOLAND-TV) | 159 | 4 | no | no | 0.5587163216241517 | B/C | 0.2520143302391507 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 4.569961547851563 | 5.400266969587797 | -0.8254510811296456 | -0.780651571215634 | -0.0430496801362668 | 4 | 4.569961547851563 | 4.379166603088379 | 0.0 | |
255 | 255 | 255 | Crantford Research | 62 | 1 | no | no | 0.5799820738756363 | B/C | 0.0644898214916852 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.462959289550781 | 5.432348998703429 | -2.964535368546058 | -3.657323993631593 | -0.0957629192196584 | 1 | 2.462959289550781 | 9.0 | 0.0 | |
256 | 256 | 256 | Lincoln Institute | 170 | 2 | no | no | 0.5824804547828468 | B/C | -0.1048016342512832 | 0.75 | 0.0 | 4.131523132324219 | 5.241303960991875 | -1.104926488061066 | -2.900882953570159 | -0.0735847929610441 | 2 | -4.131523132324219 | 2.731892899104527 | 0.0 | |
257 | 257 | 257 | Belden Russonello | 28 | 3 | no | no | 0.5854152596770307 | B/C | 0.0612298840920925 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 4.136116027832031 | 5.484229198564642 | -1.343258830126022 | -0.4477223734118073 | -0.0222070626520885 | 3 | 1.234471638997396 | 2.103030233672171 | 0.0 | |
259 | 259 | 259 | Rivercity Polling | 291 | 1 | no | no | 0.5867095617996063 | B/C | -0.1747003444309101 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.67205810546875 | 6.567956656091599 | 0.1089557899837401 | -1.74306753384611 | -0.0456402647752209 | 1 | -6.67205810546875 | -11.25000095367432 | 0.0 | |
263 | 263 | 263 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | no | 0.5905468090816441 | B/C | 0.0409435610025319 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.801551818847656 | 6.275675393553641 | -4.469269234099396 | -6.748338224380611 | -0.153368332159537 | 1 | 1.801551818847656 | -13.0 | 0.0 | |
264 | 264 | 264 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | no | 0.5905468090816441 | B/C | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.145587921142578 | 8.88757842876825 | -1.737136167019083 | -3.246362520751393 | -0.0737795274685672 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
267 | 267 | 267 | Myers Research & Strategic Services | 319 | 2 | no | no | 0.5931762470380728 | B/C | 0.14019584241651 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.186407089233398 | 5.420198471970155 | -1.228937042130168 | -0.939433161975486 | -0.0314600612720815 | 2 | 4.186407089233398 | 3.4 | 0.0 | |
268 | 268 | 268 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 17 | 3 | no | no | 0.5947561192509095 | B/C | -0.0063020479446093 | 1.0 | 0.6666666666666666 | 7.454544067382813 | 5.585990837842279 | 1.873407570147123 | -0.0905029317702228 | -0.0051502375826832 | 3 | -0.1107432047526042 | 0.0 | ||
275 | 275 | 275 | Pasquines | 552 | 1 | no | no | 0.6050388666367741 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.38766098022461 | 9.457199369386291 | 0.9353159514449056 | -0.3214632953961422 | -0.0128264666715264 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
278 | 278 | 278 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | no | 0.6077461967520814 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0537261962890625 | 9.408736251272927 | -9.350155714377276 | -7.814129174736894 | -0.1336119006709826 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
279 | 279 | 279 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | no | 0.6077461967520814 | B/C | 0.0285126270690753 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.667526245117188 | 4.926187360836865 | -3.253806775113088 | -2.185356381181451 | -0.037366879047395 | 1 | 1.667526245117188 | 2.2526317395662 | 0.0 | |
280 | 280 | 280 | Clarus Research Group | 53 | 3 | no | no | 0.607940232459405 | B/C | 0.3041951139593911 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.774649302164714 | 5.256346821450742 | 1.523156821320561 | 0.3619302539864748 | 0.0271471347031992 | 3 | 4.055581410725911 | 2.230769230769231 | 0.0 | |
281 | 281 | 281 | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 1 | no | no | 0.6092912170977801 | B/C | 0.1091834640090221 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.53753662109375 | 5.337060581610748 | 0.2053303800895914 | -1.515833975783473 | -0.0298876586582136 | 1 | 5.53753662109375 | 0.0 | ||
285 | 285 | 285 | Triumph Campaigns | 339 | 1 | no | no | 0.6113271515044195 | B/C | -0.1573667355033384 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.229019165039063 | 5.054368836402566 | -0.820495330756914 | -0.2520172785339738 | -0.0093778568660047 | 1 | -4.229019165039063 | -5.0 | 0.0 | |
288 | 288 | 288 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | no | 0.6147010430708935 | B/C | -0.0391345768022912 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.640132904052734 | 6.184046929344141 | -3.539059684684817 | -4.960907426329268 | -0.0735353180086958 | 1 | -2.640132904052734 | 0.0 | ||
289 | 289 | 289 | OurProgress (The Progress Campaign) | 561 | 1 | no | yes | 0.6161654942043626 | F | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.39239501953125 | 8.365918202901572 | 1.031331157236268 | 0.2231443898828894 | 0.0117444415727837 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
293 | 293 | 293 | Dynamics Marketing | 83 | 1 | no | no | 0.6207423154389612 | B/C | 0.0387765602878785 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.018547058105469 | 6.154617547993511 | -3.131216149281453 | -4.657631660139869 | -0.0598324065822249 | 1 | 3.018547058105469 | -7.5 | 0.0 | |
295 | 295 | 295 | Diversified Research Inc | 80 | 1 | no | no | 0.6207423154389612 | B/C | -0.064152784522455 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.993949890136719 | 6.554124573829257 | -1.555320343085949 | -2.783166075606892 | -0.0357528324205367 | 1 | -4.993949890136719 | 0.0 | ||
299 | 299 | 299 | Market Trends Pacific | 190 | 1 | no | no | 0.6292134302570268 | B/C | 0.067351313773143 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.543716430664063 | 5.457385416784418 | -0.908814645513766 | -1.020951954584041 | -0.0151335270344861 | 1 | 4.543716430664063 | 2.5 | 0.0 | |
300 | 300 | 300 | Cromer Group | 65 | 1 | no | no | 0.6296432233094026 | B/C | -0.0774360405063987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.927379608154297 | 6.088251771594662 | -2.156017822833776 | -0.4836265739348392 | -0.0095356524465912 | 1 | -3.927379608154297 | -3.346666463216146 | 0.0 | |
303 | 303 | 303 | NRECA Market Research | 223 | 1 | no | no | 0.6330559026141181 | B/C | 0.0697342213024587 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.265480041503906 | 5.440001734980825 | 0.8303326471296706 | -1.364873156027169 | -0.0151909137179756 | 1 | 6.265480041503906 | 0.0 | ||
304 | 304 | 304 | Dartmouth College | 72 | 3 | no | no | 0.6342064191532407 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.6666666666666666 | 9.2988650004069 | 8.594980148218431 | 0.7087391927950591 | 0.3695070114900995 | 0.0138834760643398 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
310 | 310 | 310 | Rossman Group | 294 | 1 | no | no | 0.6506261206815344 | B/C | 0.1102692544733953 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.211341857910156 | 5.846049886685832 | -1.629853688169086 | 0.6979980298825965 | 0.0182762941067072 | 1 | 4.211341857910156 | 4.666666666666668 | 0.0 | |
311 | 311 | 311 | Victoria Research & Consulting | 369 | 1 | no | no | 0.6517964988250861 | B/C | 0.1376153728243881 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 8.048267364501953 | 6.227888794106417 | 1.825232911002125 | 0.5762282315874135 | 0.0098527868583982 | 1 | 8.048267364501953 | 17.5 | 0.0 | |
312 | 312 | 312 | University of Nevada, Las Vegas | 356 | 1 | no | no | 0.6523054001943108 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.909448623657227 | 8.321813454871092 | 0.5924895093927236 | 0.8007941442703316 | 0.0241443929618394 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
313 | 313 | 313 | Pacific Market Research | 459 | 2 | no | no | 0.6536851612976886 | B/C | -0.6555274086879038 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 7.476832389831543 | 5.863477841794323 | 1.618208888643809 | 0.9839740405660394 | 0.0862694145592523 | 2 | -7.476832389831543 | -0.9224997520446774 | 0.0 | |
324 | 324 | 324 | University of Maryland | 575 | 1 | no | no | 0.6712947422113368 | B/C | 0.1135980314638551 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.643642425537109 | 5.754330458478516 | 0.8941663076651829 | 1.716559233058691 | 0.0293510302446489 | 1 | 6.643642425537109 | 2.28 | 0.0 | |
325 | 325 | 325 | TMR Research | 328 | 2 | no | no | 0.671659373118822 | B/C | 0.1732914738583265 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 7.871591567993164 | 5.559130742974748 | 2.317315165625006 | 1.5856153416367 | 0.0349069965268346 | 2 | 7.871591567993164 | 6.666666666666667 | 0.0 | |
326 | 326 | 326 | University of Georgia Survey Research Center | 674 | 1 | no | no | 0.6756154646546773 | B/C | -0.1088501121320425 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.779964447021484 | 5.680793417310857 | 4.104025370317216 | 2.459018206919318 | 0.0273686483225836 | 1 | -9.779964447021484 | -0.75 | 0.0 | |
330 | 330 | 330 | R.L. Repass & Partners | 268 | 1 | no | no | 0.6780316469454992 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.57935333251953 | 10.00894267019912 | 1.575265002926999 | 1.50791811564035 | 0.0601663136371989 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
331 | 331 | 331 | A&A Research | 2 | 1 | no | no | 0.6789533460330148 | B/C | -0.1488675128531222 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.04303741455078 | 5.738853416971225 | 4.309038338186145 | 2.334648105905419 | 0.0346063887415019 | 1 | -10.04303741455078 | 0.0 | ||
335 | 335 | 335 | SmithJohnson Research | 367 | 1 | no | no | 0.6866345695022391 | B/C | -0.1934785389033732 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.513221740722656 | 6.137363483796756 | 2.38071259753249 | 2.227943913916424 | 0.0506341014426133 | 1 | -8.513221740722656 | -15.0 | 0.0 | |
336 | 336 | 336 | Harper Polling/Clarity Campaign Labs | 513 | 1 | no | no | 0.6867256714328992 | B/C | 0.3433280981097093 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.988388061523438 | 5.954941090881893 | 1.038301311248134 | 1.599996731424496 | 0.0786052276928041 | 1 | 6.988388061523438 | 4.75 | 0.0 | |
340 | 340 | 340 | Tulsa Surveys | 341 | 1 | no | no | 0.6968914434267224 | B/C | -0.1324139186690047 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.89712524414063 | 5.161915585651205 | 6.740063999096009 | 4.370622264008132 | 0.0486446270946287 | 1 | -11.89712524414063 | 0.0 | ||
348 | 348 | 348 | California State University, Bakersfield | 41 | 1 | no | no | 0.7104449698380708 | B/C | -0.1265790115977124 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.853496551513672 | 6.104626058474669 | 3.753724833645592 | 4.982870103239322 | 0.0640104524612569 | 1 | -9.853496551513672 | -14.0 | 0.0 | |
349 | 349 | 349 | Minnesota State University Moorhead | 211 | 4 | no | no | 0.7108969551157276 | B/C | 0.4641666238621686 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 9.203699111938477 | 5.200479311205552 | 4.008074141339514 | 1.83833431398978 | 0.1195979997217173 | 4 | 7.134679794311523 | 0.0 | ||
355 | 355 | 355 | Sky Research | 665 | 1 | no | no | 0.7150213319471003 | B/C | -0.3732352724099157 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.725540161132812 | 5.459213122187348 | 3.271181379552054 | 2.342295473960913 | 0.1001917672882289 | 1 | -8.725540161132812 | -4.632780075073242 | 0.0 | |
359 | 359 | 359 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | 16 | 1 | no | no | 0.7311744675064819 | B/C | -0.202592759519747 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.66749954223633 | 6.614494543737975 | 7.057859339104942 | 5.857637552939973 | 0.0868275102149689 | 1 | -13.66749954223633 | 0.0 | ||
360 | 360 | 360 | Zata3 | 392 | 2 | no | no | 0.7314228315643269 | B/C | -0.2012821656754537 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 10.1712818145752 | 6.04166524578764 | 4.134470909394145 | 2.455581887264707 | 0.1253121472365468 | 2 | -3.944269180297852 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
361 | 361 | 361 | GaPundit.com | 111 | 2 | no | no | 0.7323715570758917 | B/C | 0.5537197498696054 | 0.25 | 1.0 | 8.256275177001953 | 5.356511452358934 | 2.904618065249609 | 2.135100917652609 | 0.1431938157005893 | 2 | 8.256275177001953 | 3.027981217144526 | 0.0 | |
363 | 363 | 363 | MarketAide Services Inc. | 191 | 1 | no | no | 0.7347617707815949 | B/C | 0.1662938060892203 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.21866607666016 | 5.930474800375713 | 5.293045616891033 | 6.099647514138478 | 0.090414813490082 | 1 | 11.21866607666016 | 9.5 | 0.0 | |
373 | 373 | 373 | Abacus Associates | 6 | 2 | no | no | 0.7479667078828547 | B/C | 0.1657550174081954 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8.05563735961914 | 6.17635698229895 | 1.88413471792678 | 2.977452512533899 | 0.1363118233194016 | 2 | 3.620578765869141 | 6.5 | 0.0 | |
387 | 387 | 387 | Glover Park Group | 120 | 1 | no | no | 0.7802782013337553 | B/C | -0.3425971166529996 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.36287689208984 | 6.52075289177766 | 4.846978340918772 | 5.045252472144208 | 0.1521171941012839 | 1 | -11.36287689208984 | -7.25 | 0.0 | |
394 | 394 | 394 | Rainmaker Media Group | 276 | 1 | no | no | 0.7927307362117337 | B/C | 0.2754625870077134 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.12059020996094 | 4.909713011557411 | 7.215731539010116 | 6.896266293018583 | 0.156730268152108 | 1 | 12.12059020996094 | 7.75 | 0.0 | |
397 | 397 | 397 | Lauer Johnson Research | 167 | 1 | no | no | 0.8005647941407796 | B/C | 0.2723246035939315 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.81168365478516 | 6.004192203188446 | 7.812345792203299 | 8.185126212067717 | 0.1613859183847859 | 1 | 13.81168365478516 | 17.0 | 0.0 | |
399 | 399 | 399 | Beacon Research | 545 | 3 | no | no | 0.8024684099094195 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.6666666666666666 | 7.971240361531575 | 6.546103251047581 | 1.429991451090585 | 2.053278869365935 | 0.2933255527665622 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
404 | 404 | 404 | University of Colorado | 580 | 2 | no | no | 0.8144357959969769 | B/C | 0.5152778562059495 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.714714050292969 | 4.882611391734617 | 1.836956999164942 | 3.068491312715381 | 0.2354717734158129 | 2 | 6.714714050292969 | 7.307555601331923 | 0.0 | |
407 | 407 | 407 | Baldwin Wallace University | 401 | 2 | no | no | 0.8202506188048283 | B/C | 0.7280571696293006 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8.304094314575195 | 5.071536737268028 | 3.237411917913756 | 2.883790876919586 | 0.252834872066392 | 2 | 8.304094314575195 | 3.546666781107585 | 0.0 | |
410 | 410 | 410 | Data West Polling | 74 | 2 | no | no | 0.8314642257907742 | B/C | 0.3825687758208263 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 13.09588813781738 | 6.156274800768978 | 6.944467677654996 | 6.925470961856789 | 0.2023130405496732 | 2 | 13.09588813781738 | 7.5 | 0.0 | |
412 | 412 | 412 | brilliant corners Research & Strategies | 564 | 1 | no | no | 0.832238816747141 | B/C | 0.6458057604337993 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.27030944824219 | 5.883113618582202 | 6.392050170266574 | 4.328537518195677 | 0.227817764115562 | 1 | 12.27030944824219 | 4.292500019073486 | 0.0 | |
414 | 414 | 414 | WCIA-TV | 373 | 2 | no | no | 0.8373707824230141 | B/C | -0.4020674631878819 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.26351165771484 | 6.085304705082537 | 12.1830612932389 | 9.11289007221899 | 0.2006184058310267 | 2 | -18.26351165771484 | -8.769841269841269 | 0.0 | |
418 | 418 | 418 | Hickman Analytics | 415 | 1 | no | no | 0.8587584780464299 | B/C | 0.4464992819421832 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.088420867919922 | 5.956972395129987 | 3.136302813396525 | 5.101696762816038 | 0.2506380343063347 | 1 | 9.088420867919922 | 7.666666666666666 | 0.0 | |
419 | 419 | 419 | GCR & Associates | 110 | 1 | no | no | 0.8646525450775476 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.29655265808105 | 9.780529509083932 | 8.520877489603713 | 7.843686067201693 | 0.2364915378450761 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
430 | 430 | 430 | Colby College | 593 | 6 | no | no | 0.902542600397532 | B/C | 1.986114343007406 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.5 | 8.309026718139648 | 5.052475337686825 | 3.261405721059413 | 2.026170401590127 | 0.5065426003975319 | 6 | 7.944457372029622 | 4.139999453226725 | 0.0 | |
431 | 431 | 431 | East Tennessee State University | 456 | 2 | no | no | 0.9042082604316538 | B/C | 0.8677047628217041 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 9.896890640258787 | 5.431653280469702 | 4.470091700395676 | 3.841397234746467 | 0.3367925136932174 | 2 | 9.896890640258787 | 3.928571701049804 | 0.0 | |
435 | 435 | 435 | Victory Enterprises | 525 | 1 | no | no | 0.9239620442305716 | B/C | -0.5228166038913292 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.34019470214844 | 6.208346079624863 | 11.13670296313016 | 9.810797010782425 | 0.2958010369981002 | 1 | -17.34019470214844 | 0.0 | ||
437 | 437 | 437 | Bainbridge Media Group | 656 | 1 | no | no | 0.953342212040748 | B/C | 0.4812609706441475 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 21.17589569091797 | 5.6804533814596 | 15.50029665006496 | 13.96330905438646 | 0.3173417439811224 | 1 | 21.17589569091797 | 0.0 | ||
444 | 444 | 444 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | 68 | 5 | no | no | 0.9849079660818172 | B/C | 2.043319386493293 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 9.703327178955078 | 5.952459378863677 | 3.75572214069799 | 2.598924869592363 | 0.5472796569814823 | 5 | 9.703327178955078 | 0.0 | ||
445 | 445 | 445 | Massie & Associates | 199 | 2 | no | no | 0.9968783293981434 | B/C | -0.5278419610119539 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23.97669219970703 | 6.3655494552371 | 17.61599708507652 | 16.35836057255758 | 0.360125952806156 | 2 | -23.97669219970703 | 0.0 | ||
452 | 452 | 452 | BWD Global | 527 | 2 | no | no | 1.045711407806707 | B/C | -0.1404711485062427 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 13.50125408172607 | 7.134482252583018 | 6.371626169749645 | 6.392500185529562 | 0.4620369456092442 | 1 | -4.353763580322266 | -5.299999237060547 | 0.0 | |
457 | 457 | 457 | Craciun Research Group | 61 | 1 | no | no | 1.095235298337428 | B/C | 0.7473572828176596 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.73064041137695 | 5.116279744282602 | 13.61921500770094 | 11.96408379729902 | 0.4773699650291278 | 1 | 18.73064041137695 | 11.25 | 0.0 | |
462 | 462 | 462 | Momentum Analysis | 214 | 3 | no | no | 1.124544347914709 | B/C | 0.3670145406580748 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1.0 | 13.65023549397787 | 6.144355786380257 | 7.510734048204196 | 8.30393979144252 | 0.532226868122331 | 3 | 5.726254781087239 | 3.222222222222222 | 0.0 | |
466 | 466 | 466 | TargetPoint | 331 | 2 | no | no | 1.159604211984977 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.27473926544189 | 9.77160886971426 | 8.507984736334224 | 7.566466889654669 | 0.5806401894038133 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
470 | 470 | 470 | Brigham Young University | 34 | 4 | yes | no | 1.233114910002849 | B/C | 2.066664529023629 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 16.44090175628662 | 7.147380329083355 | 9.298375767809857 | 10.34488408126312 | 1.300379097480629 | 4 | 16.44090175628662 | 16.47500038146973 | 0.0 | |
473 | 473 | 473 | GOP Calls | 654 | 2 | no | no | 1.299843741989501 | B/C | -1.073954814432304 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 21.04491901397705 | 6.007385155418485 | 15.04238819916516 | 13.5941995134376 | 0.6937330576617211 | 2 | -21.04491901397705 | 0.0 | ||
484 | 484 | 484 | University of Wyoming | 667 | 3 | no | no | 1.639473691274899 | C/D | 2.164692288353329 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.15284601847331 | 5.287956800208677 | 9.86974355887122 | 7.912315838924292 | 1.130330834132042 | 3 | 15.15284601847331 | 5.0 | 0.0 | |
485 | 485 | 485 | Triton Polling & Research | 497 | 2 | no | no | 1.640410492366879 | C/D | 1.728580474853516 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 17.28580474853516 | 5.127785686953035 | 12.16287340218871 | 10.86010492366879 | 1.086010492366879 | 2 | 17.28580474853516 | 14.90000152587891 | 0.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/pollster-ratings" ( "Rank" INTEGER, "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "Polls Analyzed" INTEGER, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" REAL, "Races Called Correctly" REAL, "Misses Outside MOE" REAL, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" REAL, "House Effect" REAL, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );