FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: pollster-ratings.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
493 rows sorted by Bias
This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)
Suggested facets: NCPP/AAPOR/Roper, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Rank | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | Polls Analyzed | NCPP/AAPOR/Roper | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias ▼ | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
62 | 62 | 62 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | no | -0.1563042889882817 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 9.956270853678385 | 10.88909266019898 | -0.927967465914008 | -0.9340794387797972 | -0.0971842088293806 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
67 | 67 | 67 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | yes | no | -0.1255979863026042 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.854116439819336 | 11.09983460908339 | -4.240863828657471 | -2.734016207015824 | -0.1215095143011595 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
73 | 73 | 73 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | yes | no | -0.0937916384673061 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.486835479736328 | 9.283068746160636 | -3.791378925817718 | -0.5855972152556834 | -0.0449379192348417 | 0 | 9.150757595082505 | 0.0 | |||
136 | 136 | 136 | ROI Rocket | 554 | 3 | no | no | 0.2234285714285715 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 2.599483489990234 | 8.232182047700974 | -5.62784421710415 | -5.238768298462158 | -0.7483954712088796 | 0 | 4.0 | 0.4249855547435774 | |||
159 | 159 | 159 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | no | 0.3420453059425479 | B/C | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.246297836303711 | 10.63547991170321 | -4.384327734792912 | -5.024609190012803 | -0.5227742401075861 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
167 | 167 | 167 | El Nuevo Día/The Research Office | 599 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738414764404297 | 4.743661413535933 | -3.000392308525047 | -2.252755431561434 | -0.2252755431561434 | 0 | 4.416666666666666 | 0.0 | |||
168 | 168 | 168 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | 0.354813048295232 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.384744644165039 | 9.412257812926748 | -3.022658828155119 | -4.208478728945152 | -0.4202790558249763 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.0298356183924002 | |||
176 | 176 | 176 | IVR Polls | 146 | 4 | no | no | 0.3999196421644681 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.25 | 4.152257919311523 | 8.539092643493515 | -4.381980383575401 | -2.930696528475484 | -0.2494164273014579 | 0 | 7.977818519066259 | 0.0 | |||
187 | 187 | 187 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | 0.425486792621247 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.163215637207031 | 9.148190844036044 | -7.980120866222423 | -6.450210786693455 | -0.4949802420996439 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
188 | 188 | 188 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 82 | 2 | no | no | 0.425486792621247 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.041962623596191 | 9.504355831588605 | -4.457538867385824 | -4.250752548276271 | -0.32619686317725 | 0 | 8.624999523162842 | 0.0 | |||
206 | 206 | 206 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | no | 0.4974766349515035 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.5 | 8.71716594696045 | 9.74164143280978 | -1.019621145242739 | -1.061882438860048 | -0.0814873876296605 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
208 | 208 | 208 | Park Street Strategies | 534 | 1 | no | no | 0.4991578947368421 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.407428741455078 | 8.392593806561234 | -5.980310724499566 | -3.834212157916771 | -0.2018006398903564 | 0 | 4.939999961853028 | 0.0 | |||
227 | 227 | 227 | Personal Marketing Research | 252 | 3 | no | no | 0.530340999794168 | B/C | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 5.411446253458659 | 9.377282965354292 | -3.960982371289043 | -3.530717722236241 | -0.1498001733881424 | 0 | 6.100505063388336 | 0.027413447753404 | |||
233 | 233 | 233 | Targeted Persuasion | 579 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.9474029541015624 | 9.672130421329964 | -8.719873126621811 | -10.15794896327855 | -0.4053047290142406 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
234 | 234 | 234 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.005395889282227 | 9.546341300288688 | -7.536091070399872 | -8.858919949950904 | -0.3534731433140437 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
245 | 245 | 245 | Overtime Politics | 247 | 12 | no | yes | 0.5606575823109456 | F | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.4166666666666667 | 9.819032033284506 | 8.8002319152952 | 1.023654458595894 | 0.7574553550038076 | 0.2520475497343417 | 0 | 6.634753052243117 | 0.0 | |||
251 | 251 | 251 | War Room Logistics | 374 | 1 | no | no | 0.5678598845666973 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.470468521118164 | 7.490421217887829 | -3.015098356163076 | -2.561214517790606 | -0.0772220554053263 | 0 | 11.55555555555556 | 0.0 | |||
264 | 264 | 264 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | no | 0.5905468090816441 | B/C | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.145587921142578 | 8.88757842876825 | -1.737136167019083 | -3.246362520751393 | -0.0737795274685672 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
272 | 272 | 272 | Jorge Benítez | 600 | 4 | no | no | 0.6023811895696973 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.0 | 5.131099700927734 | 5.297056208821066 | -0.1611021672867416 | 0.7390965426333351 | 0.1343811895696973 | 0 | 9.25 | 0.0 | |||
273 | 273 | 273 | Morningside College | 536 | 1 | no | no | 0.6034162189016622 | B/C | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.407428741455078 | 9.729677981260473 | -3.317394899198805 | -1.103253928318778 | -0.0580659962273041 | 0 | 3.699999809265137 | 1.08416208745036 | |||
275 | 275 | 275 | Pasquines | 552 | 1 | no | no | 0.6050388666367741 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.38766098022461 | 9.457199369386291 | 0.9353159514449056 | -0.3214632953961422 | -0.0128264666715264 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
278 | 278 | 278 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | no | 0.6077461967520814 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0537261962890625 | 9.408736251272927 | -9.350155714377276 | -7.814129174736894 | -0.1336119006709826 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
289 | 289 | 289 | OurProgress (The Progress Campaign) | 561 | 1 | no | yes | 0.6161654942043626 | F | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.39239501953125 | 8.365918202901572 | 1.031331157236268 | 0.2231443898828894 | 0.0117444415727837 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
294 | 294 | 294 | Vox Populi Communications | 529 | 1 | no | no | 0.6207423154389612 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.522224426269531 | 7.922152820894688 | -4.395074054018568 | -3.978707102335895 | -0.0511108731623914 | 0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | |||
304 | 304 | 304 | Dartmouth College | 72 | 3 | no | no | 0.6342064191532407 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.6666666666666666 | 9.2988650004069 | 8.594980148218431 | 0.7087391927950591 | 0.3695070114900995 | 0.0138834760643398 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
306 | 306 | 306 | Liberty Opinion Research | 169 | 1 | no | no | 0.6405103784070884 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.079864501953125 | 9.00806824817187 | -2.923349405612156 | 0.0530148062504045 | 0.0021153041582252 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.5145265914137396 | |||
312 | 312 | 312 | University of Nevada, Las Vegas | 356 | 1 | no | no | 0.6523054001943108 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.909448623657227 | 8.321813454871092 | 0.5924895093927236 | 0.8007941442703316 | 0.0241443929618394 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
315 | 315 | 315 | QEV Analytics | 266 | 1 | no | no | 0.6558623172861971 | B/C | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.367771148681641 | 5.673281247074294 | 0.6993442422139364 | -1.01937610592222 | -0.0248684132594613 | 0 | 3.0 | 1.905769189375852 | |||
330 | 330 | 330 | R.L. Repass & Partners | 268 | 1 | no | no | 0.6780316469454992 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.57935333251953 | 10.00894267019912 | 1.575265002926999 | 1.50791811564035 | 0.0601663136371989 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
333 | 333 | 333 | Public Strategies Inc. | 264 | 6 | no | no | 0.682334156134031 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 7.979216893513997 | 8.299483959669688 | -0.3154127255491002 | 1.238398802681448 | 0.1516380141134428 | 0 | 7.643708774087621 | 0.0 | |||
341 | 341 | 341 | TeleResearch Corporation | 335 | 1 | no | no | 0.6995370076870748 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.888496398925781 | 8.694951309577576 | 0.1983994299547951 | 2.795662265967504 | 0.0635365396274491 | 0 | 11.25 | 0.0 | |||
351 | 351 | 351 | Constituent Dynamics | 58 | 7 | no | no | 0.7114204767023606 | B/C | 0.8571428571428571 | 0.7142857142857143 | 9.457359858921595 | 8.460331650799835 | 1.001882548728349 | 1.423295422909794 | 0.1992579394388035 | 0 | 10.87636664561877 | 0.0 | |||
370 | 370 | 370 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 2 | no | no | 0.7415875112176328 | B/C | 0.5 | 1.0 | 14.05421733856201 | 8.091564778767712 | 5.96750690040089 | 2.449795285445019 | 0.1434017623817209 | 0 | 10.18888918558756 | 0.0 | |||
374 | 374 | 374 | Lester & Associates | 293 | 1 | no | no | 0.757813807098785 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.92186546325684 | 7.939957168970158 | 10.98676263489327 | 4.032942336631153 | 0.0916559928235483 | 0 | 1.850000381469727 | 1.32694911229125 | |||
378 | 378 | 378 | Dynata | 283 | 2 | no | no | 0.7659266382211682 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.368056297302246 | 8.563656556344602 | 0.8092540815642333 | 0.8376995302750494 | 0.0642839017226691 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.598656868505834 | |||
399 | 399 | 399 | Beacon Research | 545 | 3 | no | no | 0.8024684099094195 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.6666666666666666 | 7.971240361531575 | 6.546103251047581 | 1.429991451090585 | 2.053278869365935 | 0.2933255527665622 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
419 | 419 | 419 | GCR & Associates | 110 | 1 | no | no | 0.8646525450775476 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.29655265808105 | 9.780529509083932 | 8.520877489603713 | 7.843686067201693 | 0.2364915378450761 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
433 | 433 | 433 | Concord Public Opinion Partners | 553 | 1 | no | no | 0.9128463189124753 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.4076042175293 | 7.71702778658851 | 5.695430771547376 | 4.90008790922519 | 0.2578993636434311 | 0 | 6.0 | 0.9599921501118364 | |||
439 | 439 | 439 | Schapiro Group | 300 | 2 | no | no | 0.9626482024962544 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.5 | 21.48976993560791 | 9.67580504112034 | 11.81881923509416 | 7.25176267778764 | 0.3222944174742237 | 0 | 6.5 | 0.6139517335312643 | |||
466 | 466 | 466 | TargetPoint | 331 | 2 | no | no | 1.159604211984977 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.27473926544189 | 9.77160886971426 | 8.507984736334224 | 7.566466889654669 | 0.5806401894038133 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
471 | 471 | 471 | Elucd | 549 | 4 | no | no | 1.267003517884994 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.75 | 12.94745445251465 | 7.55719598031602 | 5.395112812805219 | 4.358326424147456 | 0.7924229862086284 | 0 | 3.682365112624316 | 0.0361929242200101 | |||
475 | 475 | 475 | CPEC | 38 | 2 | no | no | 1.355100819765538 | C/D | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.00404167175293 | 7.828429101160927 | 8.180466911198593 | 10.11403186501444 | 0.7761367971843742 | 0 | 11.18820155180871 | 0.0 | |||
481 | 481 | 481 | Point Blank Political | 550 | 6 | no | no | 1.488613590080401 | C/D | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.8333333333333334 | 10.66819604237874 | 7.98123487463683 | 2.691815508348502 | 4.370454360321604 | 1.092613590080401 | 0 | 9.375758475211496 | 0.0 | |||
490 | 490 | 490 | Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne | 150 | 3 | no | no | 2.048179028922068 | C/D | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23.41861343383789 | 9.746905584996624 | 13.67656218944786 | 13.57853073467099 | 1.505241393199845 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
445 | 445 | 445 | Massie & Associates | 199 | 2 | no | no | 0.9968783293981434 | B/C | -0.5278419610119539 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23.97669219970703 | 6.3655494552371 | 17.61599708507652 | 16.35836057255758 | 0.360125952806156 | 2 | -23.97669219970703 | 0.0 | ||
472 | 472 | 472 | Dane & Associates | 71 | 2 | no | no | 1.292292975615425 | B/C | -0.9468322760367824 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 21.30413246154785 | 5.176883509566855 | 16.13210329258759 | 14.546176868878 | 0.6464844216140726 | 2 | -21.30413246154785 | -10.60000038146973 | 3.200000762939453 | 0.7366863760056699 |
473 | 473 | 473 | GOP Calls | 654 | 2 | no | no | 1.299843741989501 | B/C | -1.073954814432304 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 21.04491901397705 | 6.007385155418485 | 15.04238819916516 | 13.5941995134376 | 0.6937330576617211 | 2 | -21.04491901397705 | 0.0 | ||
493 | 493 | 493 | Fort Hays State University | 101 | 6 | no | no | 2.925766982257719 | C/D | -1.437339691355343 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.5 | 22.10050201416016 | 8.121156737737067 | 13.98419961702968 | 12.40843589819734 | 2.476527910988802 | 2 | -18.73033142089844 | -27.66666666666667 | 28.25 | 0.0 |
414 | 414 | 414 | WCIA-TV | 373 | 2 | no | no | 0.8373707824230141 | B/C | -0.4020674631878819 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.26351165771484 | 6.085304705082537 | 12.1830612932389 | 9.11289007221899 | 0.2006184058310267 | 2 | -18.26351165771484 | -8.769841269841269 | 0.0 | |
435 | 435 | 435 | Victory Enterprises | 525 | 1 | no | no | 0.9239620442305716 | B/C | -0.5228166038913292 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.34019470214844 | 6.208346079624863 | 11.13670296313016 | 9.810797010782425 | 0.2958010369981002 | 1 | -17.34019470214844 | 0.0 | ||
389 | 389 | 389 | Neighbor | 226 | 1 | no | no | 0.7845976154095272 | B/C | -0.1902672901224637 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 17.09513473510742 | 5.335849966702793 | 11.76413910901122 | 12.25084605960385 | 0.1363507990774335 | 1 | -17.09513473510742 | -14.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 |
478 | 478 | 478 | TP Research | 452 | 2 | no | no | 1.371119784114602 | C/D | -1.363687299657571 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.55398178100586 | 6.016545535152569 | 9.54229058645988 | 8.79403822483834 | 0.7710127482957436 | 2 | -15.55398178100586 | -8.315000534057617 | 7.100002288818359 | 0.3728711962648337 |
108 | 108 | 108 | University of Illinois at Chicago | 352 | 1 | yes | no | 0.0413190733537317 | B/C | -0.1568976460641931 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.09693908691406 | 5.544373067504281 | 8.557420360016371 | 5.885395861681104 | 0.0655039190536681 | 1 | -14.09693908691406 | -5.111111111111111 | 0.0 | |
359 | 359 | 359 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | 16 | 1 | no | no | 0.7311744675064819 | B/C | -0.202592759519747 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.66749954223633 | 6.614494543737975 | 7.057859339104942 | 5.857637552939973 | 0.0868275102149689 | 1 | -13.66749954223633 | 0.0 | ||
400 | 400 | 400 | University of Alabama at Birmingham | 344 | 2 | no | no | 0.8104141712019267 | B/C | -0.3508822861760528 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0112133026123 | 4.940563881724581 | 7.075503761494313 | 6.204896838683693 | 0.1812629859608257 | 2 | -12.0112133026123 | -6.0 | 6.267949192431122 | 0.0 |
340 | 340 | 340 | Tulsa Surveys | 341 | 1 | no | no | 0.6968914434267224 | B/C | -0.1324139186690047 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.89712524414063 | 5.161915585651205 | 6.740063999096009 | 4.370622264008132 | 0.0486446270946287 | 1 | -11.89712524414063 | 0.0 | ||
381 | 381 | 381 | Jeffrey Stonecash | 158 | 1 | no | no | 0.769585419510555 | B/C | -0.2253635113043367 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.42992401123047 | 5.395863044648573 | 6.038915307188485 | 6.613922888648005 | 0.1304065437545612 | 1 | -11.42992401123047 | -16.66666666666667 | 22.0 | 0.0 |
387 | 387 | 387 | Glover Park Group | 120 | 1 | no | no | 0.7802782013337553 | B/C | -0.3425971166529996 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.36287689208984 | 6.52075289177766 | 4.846978340918772 | 5.045252472144208 | 0.1521171941012839 | 1 | -11.36287689208984 | -7.25 | 0.0 | |
443 | 443 | 443 | Millersville University | 210 | 5 | no | no | 0.9843616996351582 | B/C | -0.6272345449247876 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 14.15688896179199 | 4.994529713987127 | 9.167213588411457 | 6.420218182423063 | 0.3882155443458528 | 5 | -10.37305870056152 | -6.093433316548666 | 5.855996079896939 | 0.0 |
331 | 331 | 331 | A&A Research | 2 | 1 | no | no | 0.6789533460330148 | B/C | -0.1488675128531222 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.04303741455078 | 5.738853416971225 | 4.309038338186145 | 2.334648105905419 | 0.0346063887415019 | 1 | -10.04303741455078 | 0.0 | ||
474 | 474 | 474 | Carroll Strategies | 450 | 5 | no | no | 1.310058901575354 | C/D | -1.913723873068454 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 9.87927589416504 | 5.402969768499934 | 4.481160466271694 | 3.490799679526417 | 0.6762061060320272 | 5 | -9.87927589416504 | -1.651001485188802 | 4.512893403438581 | 0.9210194783459328 |
348 | 348 | 348 | California State University, Bakersfield | 41 | 1 | no | no | 0.7104449698380708 | B/C | -0.1265790115977124 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.853496551513672 | 6.104626058474669 | 3.753724833645592 | 4.982870103239322 | 0.0640104524612569 | 1 | -9.853496551513672 | -14.0 | 0.0 | |
326 | 326 | 326 | University of Georgia Survey Research Center | 674 | 1 | no | no | 0.6756154646546773 | B/C | -0.1088501121320425 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.779964447021484 | 5.680793417310857 | 4.104025370317216 | 2.459018206919318 | 0.0273686483225836 | 1 | -9.779964447021484 | -0.75 | 0.0 | |
371 | 371 | 371 | SMS Research & Marketing Services | 296 | 1 | no | no | 0.742124091279715 | B/C | -0.1666266571273037 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.744956970214844 | 4.610530379259771 | 5.139280931561662 | 2.978766842861347 | 0.0509332122147581 | 1 | -9.744956970214844 | -1.0 | 1.0 | 2.880160549046826 |
297 | 297 | 297 | Probolsky Research | 259 | 3 | no | no | 0.6232981732812273 | B/C | -0.6900987648517687 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.959641774495442 | 5.243212170386674 | 1.721283944715357 | 0.7459419493432793 | 0.0882977626579074 | 2 | -9.125648498535156 | -5.579999923706055 | 6.167808482020772 | 0.0 |
388 | 388 | 388 | Baydoun Consulting | 25 | 6 | no | no | 0.7811925707864777 | B/C | -0.9694367373149146 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.6666666666666666 | 6.843583424886067 | 5.376897249511465 | 1.471540515981191 | 1.826923684414111 | 0.2872003836710728 | 4 | -8.765375137329102 | -6.805556221613808 | 8.004608245886912 | 0.0 |
355 | 355 | 355 | Sky Research | 665 | 1 | no | no | 0.7150213319471003 | B/C | -0.3732352724099157 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.725540161132812 | 5.459213122187348 | 3.271181379552054 | 2.342295473960913 | 0.1001917672882289 | 1 | -8.725540161132812 | -4.632780075073242 | 0.0 | |
191 | 191 | 191 | Basswood Research | 24 | 4 | no | no | 0.4343457605308099 | B/C | -0.2108626115923885 | 0.75 | 0.5 | 8.042419910430908 | 7.189219979778214 | 0.858054271259283 | -1.093209658063048 | -0.1147805161981799 | 2 | -8.710025787353516 | 0.0 | ||
335 | 335 | 335 | SmithJohnson Research | 367 | 1 | no | no | 0.6866345695022391 | B/C | -0.1934785389033732 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.513221740722656 | 6.137363483796756 | 2.38071259753249 | 2.227943913916424 | 0.0506341014426133 | 1 | -8.513221740722656 | -15.0 | 0.0 | |
250 | 250 | 250 | Manhattanville College | 181 | 3 | no | no | 0.5663975253264174 | B/C | -0.1715809583025112 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.246330261230469 | 6.767597272395764 | -0.5164126705587059 | -1.659693474538157 | -0.0572050630429813 | 2 | -8.19076919555664 | 0.1535353323425901 | 7.177654338522139 | 0.0 |
339 | 339 | 339 | Illinois Wesleyan University | 147 | 3 | no | no | 0.6911469816999355 | B/C | -0.3299533999281484 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 8.178092956542969 | 5.624068504011845 | 2.558878793137714 | 1.578918473873792 | 0.0637030566211911 | 3 | -8.178092956542969 | -5.873611132303874 | 5.0 | 0.249078152659788 |
327 | 327 | 327 | CrossTarget | 66 | 2 | no | no | 0.6762960235638725 | B/C | -0.3947710135020523 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 7.735822677612305 | 4.742460412288372 | 2.998216605930522 | 1.37533233274143 | 0.0701853392360924 | 2 | -7.735822677612305 | -13.36923261789175 | 15.7764521715802 | 0.0 |
459 | 459 | 459 | MRG Research | 207 | 24 | no | no | 1.111869170732042 | B/C | -3.083955272059459 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.5833333333333334 | 8.943052132924398 | 5.406854431451237 | 3.54105204207975 | 2.142434698891506 | 0.8910799624896134 | 23 | -7.625354103420092 | -3.234717323666527 | 10.26022213049239 | 0.0 |
345 | 345 | 345 | Great Lakes Strategies Group | 125 | 1 | no | no | 0.7051103069770992 | B/C | -0.1972988004563895 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.535125732421875 | 5.33439995803765 | 2.205580114990815 | 2.778827681234298 | 0.072760480402272 | 1 | -7.535125732421875 | -10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 |
313 | 313 | 313 | Pacific Market Research | 459 | 2 | no | no | 0.6536851612976886 | B/C | -0.6555274086879038 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 7.476832389831543 | 5.863477841794323 | 1.618208888643809 | 0.9839740405660394 | 0.0862694145592523 | 2 | -7.476832389831543 | -0.9224997520446774 | 0.0 | |
259 | 259 | 259 | Rivercity Polling | 291 | 1 | no | no | 0.5867095617996063 | B/C | -0.1747003444309101 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.67205810546875 | 6.567956656091599 | 0.1089557899837401 | -1.74306753384611 | -0.0456402647752209 | 1 | -6.67205810546875 | -11.25000095367432 | 0.0 | |
358 | 358 | 358 | Opinion Consultants | 241 | 2 | no | no | 0.7274854879836085 | B/C | -0.2560304923197467 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.620656967163086 | 5.238506864616457 | 1.387004443153219 | 1.015196302331795 | 0.0392591264547226 | 2 | -6.620656967163086 | -5.441666730244955 | 2.242640687119285 | 1.785901565320188 |
451 | 451 | 451 | University of Iowa | 353 | 3 | no | no | 1.039961016782716 | B/C | -0.3193475974663202 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.6666666666666666 | 17.28665033976237 | 7.41899229586098 | 9.872512384507978 | 6.978442571360039 | 0.4477098938529421 | 1 | -6.610149383544922 | -2.789999198913574 | 13.14096253015037 | 0.0 |
252 | 252 | 252 | IMGE Insights | 145 | 2 | no | no | 0.569244618947208 | B/C | -0.5264236856242678 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.416610717773438 | 5.028467100058508 | 1.392997958321519 | -0.050222927770391 | -0.0041203276780526 | 2 | -6.416610717773438 | -0.539500045776367 | 6.877749860236933 | 0.0 |
88 | 88 | 88 | Gordon S. Black Corp. | 123 | 2 | yes | no | -0.0418053502782946 | A/B | -0.1399591861875582 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.357505798339844 | 5.137398300763543 | 1.22496183818289 | -0.6144861881899994 | -0.0135277873981688 | 2 | -6.357505798339844 | -1.269841269841269 | 6.000000000000001 | 0.0 |
369 | 369 | 369 | Kimball Political Consulting | 163 | 6 | no | no | 0.7408599088190024 | B/C | -0.9883884432002163 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.5 | 6.287283579508464 | 4.647312677120706 | 1.644825242994348 | 1.570361717253792 | 0.2468677217035975 | 6 | -6.287283579508464 | -2.414999643961589 | 6.36664866823249 | 0.0 |
380 | 380 | 380 | SocialSphere | 307 | 2 | no | no | 0.7668488168813593 | B/C | -0.4117260457887734 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.139068603515625 | 5.423947501621051 | 0.7199754425011635 | 2.649176394227108 | 0.1776710755060569 | 2 | -6.139068603515625 | -6.424999872843425 | 6.522497216032183 | 0.0 |
269 | 269 | 269 | Strategy Research | 322 | 2 | no | no | 0.5964185280907349 | B/C | -0.502543845186506 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.125537872314453 | 4.795572996646543 | 1.3348192162745 | 0.2810015239701942 | 0.0230535814654743 | 2 | -6.125537872314453 | -1.999411639045267 | 3.18333371480306 | 0.0 |
178 | 178 | 178 | University of Massachusetts | 354 | 11 | no | no | 0.4059316386698545 | B/C | -0.1538409348022615 | 1.0 | 0.3636363636363636 | 6.411165757612749 | 8.01216059489509 | -1.596140496675752 | -0.972958332112748 | -0.1218348968384141 | 2 | -6.064765930175781 | -0.8333333333333339 | 7.665543245237642 | 0.0 |
447 | 447 | 447 | Hampton University | 131 | 4 | no | no | 1.006372546360688 | B/C | -0.8084199351629326 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 7.510197639465332 | 4.543193627412718 | 2.971858352659204 | 3.527894687459416 | 0.4943438215175679 | 4 | -5.769305229187012 | -6.759859941252808 | 5.482901716514413 | 0.0 |
296 | 296 | 296 | Gotham Research Group | 576 | 1 | no | no | 0.6228818480437359 | B/C | -0.1734449731809093 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.752628326416016 | 5.80416491424317 | -0.046682247220565 | -1.563056099378912 | -0.047127018791067 | 1 | -5.752628326416016 | 1.770000076293945 | 4.0 | 1.387962868760444 |
391 | 391 | 391 | Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies | 55 | 16 | no | no | 0.7852868615226893 | B/C | -1.903883602077899 | 0.5625 | 0.4375 | 6.75414502620697 | 5.16587790936004 | 1.593121457453521 | 1.407843461757177 | 0.5013146697622185 | 15 | -5.697357813517253 | -4.60628011158975 | 5.237259413643385 | 0.0 |
396 | 396 | 396 | Open Model Project | 629 | 2 | no | no | 0.7977944110353132 | B/C | -0.5652378082275391 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.652378082275391 | 4.889192054473236 | 0.7680403684087436 | 2.433944110353132 | 0.2433944110353132 | 2 | -5.652378082275391 | -5.465624690055847 | 5.266666412353516 | 0.0 |
488 | 488 | 488 | TCJ Research | 327 | 132 | no | yes | 1.73252349719409 | F | -4.368320531183411 | 0.5909090909090909 | 0.4924242424242424 | 6.437300060734604 | 4.620029262645345 | 1.82212513869585 | 2.119417023837321 | 1.677473937056623 | 124 | -5.583939398488691 | -3.444773641882034 | 4.378142404254912 | 0.0 |
323 | 323 | 323 | MarblePort | 182 | 2 | no | no | 0.6704891016752899 | B/C | -0.3989260252944092 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.559762954711914 | 4.593370166054036 | 0.971247129264468 | 1.202184794234583 | 0.0862595771690107 | 2 | -5.559762954711914 | -3.433333333333333 | 6.063945294843617 | 0.0 |
420 | 420 | 420 | ccAdvertising | 396 | 33 | no | no | 0.8651626296718206 | C+ | -2.639029471910175 | 0.8484848484848485 | 0.7575757575757576 | 7.36368144642223 | 5.330020138798532 | 2.038515648230288 | 1.487314888434947 | 0.7074678891067008 | 33 | -5.548050851532907 | -4.331729200390248 | 7.005812303421265 | 0.0 |
260 | 260 | 260 | JMC Analytics/Bold Blue Campaigns | 503 | 5 | no | no | 0.5874416106710005 | B/C | -1.070948914995215 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 6.71466293334961 | 5.744101656167575 | 0.975415617788624 | 0.6814295843276099 | 0.1320003689858563 | 5 | -5.528592681884765 | -6.841666539510092 | 26.00000000000001 | 0.0 |
215 | 215 | 215 | OnMessage Inc. | 239 | 12 | no | no | 0.5168366660895292 | B/C | -1.638568026149947 | 0.75 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.76245911916097 | 5.638599712294909 | 1.128713747472649 | 0.5763589538430638 | 0.172031710009919 | 12 | -5.489705085754395 | -5.856712356886356 | 7.706283608555769 | 0.0 |
385 | 385 | 385 | Zia Poll | 393 | 4 | no | no | 0.7786391354970146 | B/C | -0.8303678743833749 | 0.75 | 0.5 | 5.355730056762695 | 3.573749435983919 | 1.786834961385366 | 1.821202030920989 | 0.2823644289780817 | 4 | -5.355730056762695 | -5.332124996185303 | 5.859122918275927 | 0.0 |
346 | 346 | 346 | Hoffman Research Group | 141 | 2 | no | no | 0.7077379120484042 | B/C | -0.4009827442091181 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.245321273803711 | 4.714887431733557 | 0.5352881826767435 | -0.5087761577924994 | -0.0388937968316032 | 2 | -5.245321273803711 | -1.262501239776611 | 2.060718205744823 | 2.189243642368037 |
175 | 175 | 175 | GS Strategy Group | 478 | 2 | no | no | 0.3985605216558946 | B/C | -0.437889356618411 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.118545532226563 | 6.080013998170813 | -0.9566141253376604 | -2.701267272389335 | -0.2310922469114765 | 2 | -5.118545532226563 | -5.806252956390381 | 0.0 | |
295 | 295 | 295 | Diversified Research Inc | 80 | 1 | no | no | 0.6207423154389612 | B/C | -0.064152784522455 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.993949890136719 | 6.554124573829257 | -1.555320343085949 | -2.783166075606892 | -0.0357528324205367 | 1 | -4.993949890136719 | 0.0 | ||
292 | 292 | 292 | The Polling Company Inc. | 337 | 7 | no | no | 0.6200724778436899 | B/C | -1.067938553093189 | 0.7142857142857143 | 0.5714285714285714 | 6.255960191999163 | 5.308021553775161 | 0.9527929788305908 | 0.8750483814306691 | 0.1930820730626939 | 7 | -4.83989988054548 | -3.324883065028498 | 6.250531052568514 | 0.0 |
121 | 121 | 121 | Spry Strategies | 508 | 5 | no | no | 0.1510535317674696 | B/C | -0.4597777031608106 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 9.491231155395509 | 6.36591430356789 | 3.130171192434207 | -1.309671563957201 | -0.2817604637837424 | 2 | -4.835419654846191 | -9.453224503096711 | 13.78226443376999 | 0.0 |
372 | 372 | 372 | HighGround Inc. | 416 | 2 | no | no | 0.7430892528704829 | B/C | -0.3894387965502069 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.441871643066406 | 5.640017798991987 | -1.193291815318991 | 0.0613453865069179 | 0.0053784250007434 | 2 | -4.441871643066406 | -3.016805860731337 | 2.638004968678565 | 1.942356279167756 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/pollster-ratings" ( "Rank" INTEGER, "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "Polls Analyzed" INTEGER, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" REAL, "Races Called Correctly" REAL, "Misses Outside MOE" REAL, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" REAL, "House Effect" REAL, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );